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Anatomy of A Campaign - Strategies for Successful Transit Referendums Taiwo Jaiyeoba, Transit Principal – HDR, Inc.

RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

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Page 1: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Anatomy of A Campaign -

Strategies for Successful Transit Referendums

Taiwo Jaiyeoba,

Transit Principal – HDR, Inc.

Page 2: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Reviewed Past Referendums

(2009 to 2014)

Agency Interviews

Key Findings

In Conclusion

Presentation Agenda

Page 3: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Past Referendums

Page 4: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

2009 to 2014 Referendum States

Statistics:

• 33 States (incl. Alaska)

• 207 Measures (149 wins)

• 72% win rate

Page 5: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

2009 to 2014

Review of Past Referendums

Year States Measures* Win Loss Win %

2009 7 11 8 3 73%

2010 19 49 36 13 73%

2011 6 26 20 6 77%

2012 17 56 43 13 77%

2013 8 13 9 4 69%

2014 18 52 33 19 63%

*Does not include uncounted measures.

Page 6: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Agency Interviews

Page 7: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Interviewed agencies

o 16 CEOs/Board Members

o Identify Lessons Learned

o Gain Practical Advice

o Develop Reference Guide and Tools

Agency Interviews

o Geographic Spread of the

Referendums

o Geographic Locations of the

Communities

o Political Leanings of the Communities

o Types of Referendums

o Sizes of the Agencies

Interviews

Page 8: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Transit Referendum Outcomes

Win

Loss

Page 9: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Key Study Findings

Page 10: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

KEYS TO SUCCESSFUL TRANSIT REFERENDUM

BUILD COALITIONS

SELECT THE “RIGHT FACE” OF THE CAMPAIGN

CHOOSE THE RIGHT TIME

CORRECTLY AND CLEARLY FRAME THE “ASK”

Page 11: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Define “what is in it for me?”

Broad outreach

oMinority and community

organizations

Clear Communication

oWork Shops

oOnline Surveys

oFeedback

BUILD COALITIONS

Page 12: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

The role of the executive: Education

The role of the champions: Advocacy

Trusted local leader(s)/or group

Sets the tone for the campaign

Consistent messaging

THE RIGHT FACE OF THE CAMPAIGN

“After the Strategic plans were in place, the Mayor came out favorably” –

Michael Tree, General Manager (Missoula Urban Transportation District)

Page 13: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

State of the Economy

Local vs. General Election Year

Consider what is already on the ballot

Preparing and Planning

Realistic Expectations (Board & Agency Leadership)

Public Readiness

CHOOSE THE RIGHT TIME

Page 14: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Benefits to the community

o Frequent service

o Improve facilities and equipment

o Service Expansion

Consequences

o Service cuts

o No expansion

o No Equipment Replacement

o Loss of Employment

Legal Requirements

FRAME THE ASK CORRECTLY

Making the case for referendum

o Tell a positive story

• How the community will benefit

• Key Agency Awards

Clear Understanding

o Ballot wording

o Where is the money going?

Page 15: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Build Coalitions Identify Champions Right Timing Clearly Frame The “Ask”

FLOW CHARTS FOR KEY FINDINGS

Page 16: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

In Conclusion

Page 17: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

THIS should be YOUR story: We Won!

We Built

Strong

Coalitions! We

Chose

the Right

Time!

We

Framed

the Ask

Clearly!

We

Selected

the Right

Face!

Page 18: RV 2015: Lessons from Politics: Anatomy of a Campaign by Taiwo Jaiyeoba

Anatomy of A Campaign -

Strategies for Successful Transit Referendums

Taiwo Jaiyeoba,

Transit Principal – HDR, Inc.