- 1.Athletic FootwearIndustry Analysis Angela Gieras Jeremy King
Tara McNeill Tom Parrish January 17, 2003
2. Background
- Athletic footwear was first developed by the ancient Greeks in
order toprovide protection when moving over rough terrain in
varying weather conditions.
- The modern athletic shoe was developed in eighteenth century
England as a result of an increasing interest in the sport of
running and other outdoor activities.
- Joseph William Foster founded the first large-scale sports shoe
company in Boulton, UK in the 1890s.During this period, other sport
shoes could be found in mail order catalogues, such as Sears and
Montgomery Wards.
- In 1917, the Converse and Keds corporations entered the
American athletic shoe market.
- In 1958, Joseph William Fosters grandson renamed his
grandfathers company Reebok .
- Athletic footwear forever changed in 1962 when Phil Knight and
Bill Bowerman created "Blue Ribbon Sports," the forerunner of
Nike.
Source: Digital Dissertations: Gurian, Brian. The Impact of the
Sneaker and the SneakerIndustry on Modern Society.St. Johns
University, 2002. 3. Size of Market
- In the first half of 2002, NPD Group estimates that athletic
footwear spending resulted in 1.4% year-to-year growth to $7.40
billion from $7.29 billion in the comparable year-earlier period.
(Euromonitor)
Source: The NPD Group, Inc. +2.0% $15.420 $15.115 $14.558
$14.753 TOTAL +2.8% 2.461 2.394 2.327 2.332 Childrens -1.5% 4.418
4.486 4.194 3.951 Womens +3.7% $8.541 $8.236 $8.037 $8.470 Mens
Change 00-01 2001 2000 1999 1998 ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR MARKET SIZE
ESTIMATES Retail Dollars in Billions 4. Size of Market Source: The
NPD Group, Inc. -1.5% 401.943 407.990 380.402 368.194 TOTAL -4.2%
106.961 111.676 102.986 106.508 Childrens -4.8% 119.973 125.999
115.755 106.486 Womens +2.8% 175.010 170.316 161.661 155.200 Mens
Change 00-01 2001 2000 1999 1998 ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR MARKET SIZE
ESTIMATES Pairs Sold in Millions 5. Expected Growth Rate
- According to the Sporting Goods Manufacturers Association,
athletic footwear accounts for almost 35% of all footwear
purchases. (The NPD Group, Inc.)
Source: Euromonitor Growth Rate Market Size (billions of
dollars) 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 TOTAL FOOTWEAR SOLD IN
THEUNITED STATES MARKET FORECASTS $45.2 $44.0 $42.8 $41.7 $40.6
$40.0 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 1.5% - 6. Growth Rates inSports
Participation Source: National Sporting Goods Association 7. Market
Sales - Seasonality
- The US market for footwear is seasonal in nature due to
consumer spending patterns, with higher back to school, Christmas,
and Easter holiday seasonal sales.
Source: Euromonitor and The NPD Group, Inc. -5.4% -1.5% +5.1%
+12.4% Change 00-01 4.068 3.996 3.474 3.882 2001 4.299 4.057 3.307
3.453 2000 $3.671 $4.015 $3.663 $3.209 1999 4 3 2 1 SALES BY
QUARTER Dollars in Billions 8. Market Sales
- In 2001, NPD estimates that spending for athletic footwear rose
2% to $15.42 billion, from $15.12 billion in 2000.
- Consumers purchased 401.9 million pairs of athletic shoes, down
1.5% from 408.0 million pairs in 2000.
- The average price paid per pair rose 3.5%, to $38.36, from
$37.05 in 2000; however, this was still well below the $40.07 paid
in 1998.
- Running shoes captured the biggest share of consumer spending,
with 29.0% of the total market.Sales of running shoes rose 3.8% to
$4.55 billion, from $4.38 billion in 2000.
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 9.
- Healthcare, leisure, retirement compete for fashion
dollars
- Fashion spending is waning, but still spend the most
- Conservative, large sizes appeal to this group
- Are typically marketed to in a similar fashion as Generation
Ys
- Marketing focus may be lost between Baby Boomers and Generation
Y
Consumer Demographics Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage
10. Consumer Demographics
- 75 million Americans (25% of population)
- Focus of marketing in recent years
- Teen girls spend 75% of earnings on clothing and
accessories
- Comparatively, teen boys spend 52%
- Loyal to footwear and apparel name brands
- Generally support smaller footwear companies in tune with
fashions
- Comprised one-quarter of all athletic footwear spending
- Advertisers attempt to reach more through non-traditional
mediums (i.e. Internet)
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 11. Athletic Footwear
Purchases by Age Source: National Sporting Goods Association 12.
Market Segments Source:Euromonitor 19.2% Women 20.0% Men 22.6% Male
Professional 18.4% Male Crafts/Repairs 25.0% Male Executive 22.0%
Male Clerical/Sales 26.6% Female Professional 30.6% Female
Crafts/Repairs 22.9% Female Executive 21.5% Female Clerical/Sales
Percent PurchasingAthletic Shoes Sample Market Segment 13. Product
Segments Source: SGMA International Retail Sales in $ Billions -
2.4% 1.018 1.043 .961 Other - 4.8% .216 .227 .320 Aerobic - 6.1%
.355 .378 .349 Sports sandals +21.7% .571.469 .524 Tennis - 6.6%
.678 .726 .757 Hiking -13.0% .802 .922 .466 Recreational boots +
3.6% .971 .937 1.121 Athleisure - 0.5% 1.218 1.224 1.267 Walking -
2.7% 2.220 2.282 2.126 Cross training +11.8% 2.822 2.524 2.606
Basketball + 3.8% $4.549 $4.383 $4.076 Running Change 00-01 2001
2000 1999 14. Consumer Purchasing Habits
-
-
- Internet, television (i.e. QVC, HSN, ShopNBC)
-
-
-
- Footwear is one of fastest growing categories on QVC &
HSN
-
-
-
- QVC and HSN reach 100 million homes
-
-
-
- ShopNBC reaches 52 million homes
Source: Footwear Journal USA 15. Consumer Purchasing Habits
-
- Men spend more per pair and buy more pairs of athletic footwear
than women
-
- Womens and Childrens shoe sales growing more rapidly than
Mens
-
- Nearly 33% of all athletic footwear spending is done by those
aged 13-24
-
- Less than 30% of athletic shoes purchased are for use in sports
or fitness activities
-
- Internet orders (via websites)
-
- Telephone orders (i.e. QVC)
-
- Walk-in orders (mall, outlets, etc)
Source: SGMA International & Standard & Poors Net
Advantage 16. Major Competitors
- Nike-Principal business activities involve design, development,
and worldwide marketing of quality footwear, apparel, equipment,
and accessory products. The largest seller of athletic footwear and
athletic apparel in the world. All footwear products are produced
outside the United States by independent contractors.Nike places
emphasis on high quality construction and innovative design.
- Adidas-German based Adidas-Saloman is the second largest
manufacturer of athletic equipment, footwear , and apparel in the
world.Adidas America oversees marketing, merchandising,
distribution, and sales of Adidas products in the U.S.Their mission
is to become the best sports brand in the world.Adidas believes in
creating a product to perform.Form follows function.
-
- Source: Company websites and company 10K reports,
-
- competitor information from Standard & Poors
17. Major Competitors
- Reebok International-Global company engaged in the design and
marketing of sports and fitness products, including footwear,
apparel, and accessories.They devote significant resources to
advertising products to a variety of audiences through various
media. Revenues are primarily driven from wholesale distribution of
products to selected athletic specialty stores, high-end retail
shops, as well as sporting goods and department stores.
- New Balance Athletic-A privately held company in Massachusetts,
New Balancewas founded as a manufacturer of arch supports and
orthopedic shoes.New Balances mission is to be recognized as the
worlds leading manufacturer of high performance footwear and
apparel.
-
- Source: Company websites and company 10K reports,
-
- competitor information from Standard & Poors
18. Major Competitors
- Skechers U.S.A.-A newer player in the athletic footwear
market.A global leader in the lifestyle footwear industry, Skechers
designs, develops, and markets lifestyle footwearthat appeals to
trend-savvy men, women, and children.Product offerings have grown
from utility-styled work boots to include sports, casual, dress,
dress casual, and roller skates.
-
- Source: Company websites and company 10K reports,
-
- competitor information from Standard & Poors
19. Best Selling Product Categories
- Nike-Running, basketball, childrens, cross-training, and womens
shoes
- Adidas-Basketball, training, baseball, football, urban,
originals, workout, and walking
- Reebok International-Running, walking , aerobic
- New Balance Athletic-Running, walking, cross-training
- Skechers U.S.A.-Casuals, utility, steel toe
-
-
-
- Source: Company websites and corporate 10K reports
20. Competitor Business Strategies
-
- High quality construction
-
- Collection based marketing
-
- Focus sales on distributors, licensees, and subsidiaries
-
- Marketing department begins design process
-
- Greater emphasis placed on design for an athletes need
Source: Nike website and 10K and Adidas website 21. Competitor
Business Strategies
-
- Grow sales through distribution channels
-
- Focus on relationship with major sports figures to enhance
brand image
-
- Resources devoted to advertising through various media
-
- Does not concentrate on performance
-
- International expansion by leveraging domestic brand image
Source: Reebok and Skechers websites and 10K reports 22. Brand
Development
- According to Forrester Research, 69% of teens said that when
they find a brand they like, they remain loyal
-
- Firms use celebrities and athletes
-
-
- Nike: Michael Jordan and Tiger Woods
-
-
- Skechers: Brittany Spears
Source: Drivers of Change,
http://www.duke.edu/web/soc142/team2/drivers.html 23. 2001
Competitor Ratio Analysis Source: Bloomberg and Adidas consolidated
financial statements, financial information unavailable for New
Balance 14.26 20.55 15.36 Return on Net Worth 2.88 2.07 2.26
Current Ratio 5.01 2.74 4.29 Inventory turnover 6.83 5.09 10.82
Return on Assets 6,700 13,941 22,700 # of employees 53.34 74.35
40.41 Total Debt/Equity 5.21 3.41 6.7 Profit Margin Reebok Adidas
Nike Ratio 24. 2000 Market Share ofAthletic Shoe Competitors
Source: Market Share Reporter 25. Historical Government Legislation
and Trade Restrictions
- May 1974: Multifibre Agreement (MFA) import quotas replace the
regulations under the GATT agreements as the primary regulator
offootwear trade
-
- Protects countries whose domestic industries are severely
threatened by imports
- December 1993: North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
-
- Created the worlds largest free trade zone between the United
States, Mexico, and Canada
- July 1995: The World Trade Organization created the Agreement
on Textiles and Clothing (ATC) to replace the Multifibre
Agreement
- May 2000: Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act (CBTPA) and the
African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), passed under the heading
of the Trade and Development Act
-
- Effective October 1, 2000, authorized for eight years
-
- Duty-free treatment and reduced duties on footwear imports for
potentially 72 countries
-
-
- Source: The Politics of Footwear,
http://www.duke.edu/web/soc142/team2/Politics.html
26. Historical Government Legislation and Trade Restrictions
(cont.)
- April 2001: Summit of the Americas Conference in Quebec
-
- Delegates agreed to a draft to eliminate all trade barriers
within North and South America, final text due January 2005
- October 2001:Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement
-
- Established normal commercial trade relations subject to annual
review by Congress
- October 2001: Bilateral Trade Agreement with the Kingdom of
Jordan
-
- Mandates that all footwear articles must meet the basic 35%
local content origin rule
- November 2001: China enters the World Trade Organization
-
- China allowed to ship apparel and footwear to the U.S. under
reduced tariffs
- December 2001: Congress directed attention to numerous labor
issues in the footwear industry, but instituted no actions
regarding sweatshop and child labor conditions
-
-
- Source: The Politics of Footwear,
http://www.duke.edu/web/soc142/team2/Politics.html
27. Latest Trade Legislation
- July 2002: Trade Act of 2002
-
- Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) grants the President the right
to negotiate trade agreements and gives Congress the final
authority to approve or disapprove those agreements
-
- Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA)
-
-
- Duty-free access to virtually all footwear from the Andean
region (Bolivia, Columbia, Ecuador, and Peru)
-
- Retroactive modifications to the May 2000 Caribbean Basin Trade
Partnership Act (CBTPA) and the African Growth and Opportunity Act
(AGOA)
- Expected Consequences of Latest Legislation
-
- Increase in imports from the Caribbean basin and Andean region,
and to a lesser extent sub-Saharan Africa
-
-
- Erosion of Asias share of U.S. imports in the short term
-
- Increasing amounts of footwear imports from China in the
long-run
-
-
- Eventual erosion of Mexican and Caribbean share of U.S. imports
due to lower labor costs in China
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 28. Labor
Practices
- Labor practices and environmental issues in the footwear
industry have been historical issues
-
- Example: Nike (Historical)
-
-
- In Indonesia, production workers were paid 86 cents per hour
for a 12 hour day, no overtime, no breaks
-
-
- In Vietnam, factory workers earned 20 cents per hour
-
-
- In China (where Nike has 40% of its production), workers worked
84 hours per week and earned $1.50 per shoe made
- The International Labor Office reports a recent trend in
self-regulation, including voluntary initiatives, due to pressure
from labor and special interest groups
-
- Footwear companies are concerned with public image and
corporate citizenship
-
-
- Source: The Politics of Footwear,
http://www.duke.edu/web/soc142/team2/Politics.html
29. Labor Practices (cont.)
-
- President Clinton worked with UNITE to form worldwide labor
regulations for the footwear industry, limiting the work week to 60
hours and establishing a minimum wage
-
-
- Source: The Politics of Footwear,
http://www.duke.edu/web/soc142/team2/Politics.html
30. Economic Factors
- Apparel and footwear sales are driven strongly by economic
conditions, demographics, and pricing
- With expected economic recovery in 2003, footwear sales should
begin a gradual recovery
- A wave of consolidation is expected as firms attempt to gain
leverage in distribution channels.The slow economy has led athletic
footwear manufacturers to lay off workers, freeze hiring, find less
expensive sourcing, and cut non-fixed costs like technology,
travel, and entertainment
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 31. Benefits of
Economic Downturn
- Retailer position becomes If it isnt moving, mark it down while
bad for margins, it is good for inventory
- Since 1995, the industry inventory-to-sales ratio has
declined
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 32. Consumer
Confidence Index
- Declines in the Consumer Confidence Index tend to curtail
spending on discretionary items like apparel and footwear, causing
retailers to reduce and cancel orders
- September 11 terrorist attacks dramatically slowed consumer
spending, exacerbating the problem
-
- While consumer spending for athletic footwear was up about 7%
before the attacks, sales dropped more than 10% after
- In October 2002, the Consumer Confidence Index reached a nine
year low of 79.4
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 33. Consumer
Confidence Index (cont.)
- Consumer spending is expected to rise 3.0% for the full-year
2002 and 2.5% in 2003
- Disposable income expected to rise 5.8% in 2002 and 4.7% in
2003
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 34. Good News for
Consumers,Bad News for Manufacturers
- Poor economy and high competition leads to extreme price
pressure, deflating prices and margins
- Consumers are more value-conscious, wanting quality at a low
price evident in the growth of mass merchant and off-price retail
stores
- Discounts and bargain shopping maintained sales level, but hurt
profit margins
-
- While spending for all men, women, and childrens athletic shoe
categories increased, the pattern of buying more for less was
consistent among all segments
-
- Years of price promotion have tarnished the image of athletic
footwear
- Also contributing to price deflation have been an increase in
imports and market share gains by discounters
- Despite a 6% rise in average prices for athletic shoes in 2001,
which reversed the trend beginning in 1997, analysts believe the
reversal is temporary
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 35. Average Price of
Athletic Footwear Source: National Sporting Goods Association 36.
Options for Survival
- There is a necessity to diversify in terms of product line,
market segment, and distribution channels
-
-
- Expands acquirers top line and market share
-
-
- Example: Nike acquired surf wear manufacturer Hurley
International
-
-
- Offer new products while leveraging current brands
-
-
- Example: Perry Ellis International has swimwear licenses with
Nike and Reebok
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 37. Expected Change
in the Industry
-
- Athletic apparel viewed as the new growth component for
firms
- Slower growth due to competition and price-conscious
consumers
- Granting of exclusive rights to retailers by manufacturers
- Issuing limited editions of high-fashion and high-tech
models
- Increased competition from the growing popularity of
traditional designer shoes, which have taken on more athletic
designs, and casual shoe styles
-
- Athletic footwear manufacturers introducing styles not meant
for sports and targeting different segments (i.e. girls, women, and
older casual wearers)
- Increased number of imports
Source: Standard & Poors Net Advantage 38. Industry Trade
Organizations
- Footwear Industries of America (FIA)
-
- National association for footwear manufacturers, importers,
distributors, and suppliers to the leather and allied trades
-
- Represents the industry in Washington, DC
- Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America (FDRA)
-
- Provides representation on U.S. and international government
relations for U.S.-based retail chain shoe retailers and the
footwear brands
- National Shoe Retailers Association (NSRA)
-
- Trade organization representing independent shoe retailers
- Athletic Footwear Association (AFA)
-
- Serves an international group of athletic footwear
manufacturers and marketers
-
- Part of the Sporting Goods Manufacturers Association
(SGMA)
Source: Contacts and Links,
www.infomat.com/information/research/industry/
Reports/USA_Footwear.html 39. Sources
- An Inside Look at Americas Sneaker Biz. SGMA International. 14
Jan. 2003 .
- Apparel and Footwear Industry Survey. Standard and Poors Net
Advantage. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Athletic Footwear. 14 Jan. 2003 .
- Athletic Footwear: a Mature Industry. SGMA International. 14
Jan. 2003 .
- Athletic Footwear: Adjusting to a Changing Market. SGMA
International. 14 Jan. 2003 .
- Athletic Footwear Sales Climb 2% in 2001 As Customers Pay More
Per Pair. SGMA International. 14 Jan. 2003 .
- Adidas. Annual Report. 14 Jan. 2003 .
- Adidas. About Adidas. 14 Jan. 2003 .
- Bloomberg. Financial Analysis Report. Nike. 15 Jan. 2003.
- Bloomberg. Financial Analysis Report. Reebok. 15 Jan.
2003.
40. Sources (cont.)
- Ellis, Kristi. AAFA Joins the Call for Free Trade; The U.S.
Apparel and Footwear Trade Group Reversed Its Longstanding Support
of Protective Tariffs for Footwear.Footwear News . 24 Jun.
2002.
- Ellis, Kristi. Lobbyists Say Trade Act Falls Short; Only
Columbia, Peru, Bolivia, and Ecuador to See Footwear Duty, Quota
Breaks.Footwear News . 19 Aug. 2002.
- Footwear in the USA. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Footwear in the USA. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Footwear in the USA.Footwear Journal USA . Jul. 2002.
- Footwear Industry. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Footwear Production. US Census Bureau. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Gurian, Brian. The Impact of the Sneaker and the Sneaker
Industry on Modern Society: A Review of the Transformative Powers
of an Icon. St. Johns University. 2002. 15 Jan. 2003 .
41. Sources (cont.)
- Howell, Mike McNulty. Footwear Industry Weathers Economic
Storm.Rubber & Plastics News . 7 Oct. 2002.
- Lazich, Robert S. Sports Shoe Market.Market Share Reporter
(Detroit: Gale) 2003.
- New Balance. Fact Sheet. 15 Jan. 2003 .
- Nike. Edgar Online, Inc. 10K report for Nike. 14 Jan.
2003.
- Reebok. Edgar Online, Inc. 10K report for Reebok. 14 Jan.
2003.
- Research and Statistics. National Sporting Goods Association.
14 Jan. 2003 .
- Skechers. Edgar Online, Inc. 10K report for Skechers. 14 Jan.
2003.
- Taylor, Sarah. Phoning It In; Footwear Is Now One of the
Fastest Growing Categories for Home-Shopping Networks QVC; HSN and
ShopNBC; Vendors Couldnt Be More Thrilled, but Retailers? Thats
Another Story.Footwear News.29 Jul. 2002.
- US Sporting Goods Market Outlook 2002. SGMA International. 14
Jan. 2003 .
42. Sources (cont.)