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Dr. Bedirhan Üstün ustunb@who.int

USTUN_ Digital Health Assembly Open Innovation Conference: Sharing Global Data: Ethical, Political, Technical and Social considerations

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Dr. Bedirhan Üstün

[email protected]

From the Data Drought to the Data Deluge

1. Big Data “as a solution” is a myth

2. Sharing difficult - G.I.G.O

3. Meaning what does it mean to us?

4. Purpose orientation: politics, economics,…

“The Web” will evolve(probably no matter what we say …)

Can we influence it ? – how ?

1. Ends-based thinking: Utilitarian approach (Betham, Mill, Sidgwick)

• best for greatest number of people in terms of ends

2. Rule-based thinking: Universal law (Kant)• follow the principle that you want everyone else to follow.

3. Care-based thinking: Golden rule (most religions) • Do to others what you would like them to do to you.

4. Empirical thinking: (empiricists –scientist)• let us see what can be done and develop indicators

5. Chaotic thinking: (all the rest …)• Let diversity get its own course

The Gartner HYPE CYCLE: Where are WE ?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle

Viewing as a solution • Combining data from all different sources

• with different structures

ABSENT the Common Trust – Networks of Owners -Functions – Meaning

• Humongous Data Information Knowledge

Intelligence Wisdom

• Insight• Decision analysis• Prediction• Intervention

is only a myth

Shepherdingsimple requirements

1. Count your sheep• How many born ? • How many dead ?

2. Don’t cry wolf !

Reporting of Mortality in the World

Source WHO 2014

Information Paradox

0

100000000

200000000

300000000

400000000

500000000

600000000

700000000

800000000

1 2 3 4

YL

Ls

VR countries vs No VR

Burden of Mortality

Carpet burnt

Millenium Development Goals

from Information Technology Report 2013, by the World Economic Forum

Worldwide distribution of real-time behavious sensing systems(aka cell phones)

the information YOU -

₋ have is not what you want

₋ want is not what you need

₋ need is not what you can have

Finagle's Law of Information have

want

need

In other words there is always a gap between what you have, need or want

Sharing “Health Information”

ComputationalProcessing

Knowledge

INPUTS

Analytical processOUTPUT

• Mechanisms

• Interventions

• Policies

• Statistics

• Aggregation

• Ontologies

• Data

• Big Data

in health

Reinventing the Meaning

Meaning of Global Health

• is NOT ALONE control of communicable diseases

• Can not be reduced to syndromic surveillance

• Can not be reduced to Health Security

is about LIFEaccess to water and foodImmunity Environment

Paranoia of Big Brother

• How can the selfish meme be altruistic ?

• Humans are NOT digital

• Emotions about unknowns

• Emotions about knowns

MAYBE WE SHOULD WATCH BIG BROTHER

It is not about size, it is what you do with it !

•Size• Is small still beautiful ?

•Relevance• Maps vs territory

•Big Data overload• information overload

Global Data - opportunities

• Direct generation /feedback from citizens

• Real-time health monitoring

• Creating NETWORKS

• Connecting data – hubs

• NETWORKING networks

• Availability/Mobility of services

• Confederating the Global Data

Sharing Data - requirements

• Capturing• Processing• Filtering• Calibrating • Putting in a scale • Comparing - Interpreting• Merging – Sorting - Integrating • Standardizing• Using - Re-using • Putting in perspective

Linked data Linked people

• Open data

• With meta data

• Transparency

• Citizens

• Enterprises

• Academia

• Governments

Trust B

Trust A

what data elements could be linkedShared with whom?

“Chemistry” of data binding

Smart Analysis of Big Data

Eco-systems of Health Information

Can we build the Big Intelligence ?

GIGO: Garbage In

Out ?

Value of Information

• the amount a decision maker would be willing to pay for information prior to making a decision• How much will you pay for weather forecast ?

• How much will you pay for maternal mortality information ?

• If you were to sell it what would be the price?

Is Health less valuable than Stock Exchange?

Personalised Healthcare = targeted therapy ?

… BUILDING BLOCKS OF HEALTH INFORMATION …

Avoiding an e-tower of Babel

Grade 3 hypertension

Grade 2 hypertension

Grade 1 hypertension

High normal

normal

optimal

120 130 140 150 160 170 180

Systolic pressure

Dia

sto

lic p

ress

ure

172

102

110

105

100

95

90

85

80

Knowledge Representation

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Beyond

• Search using Concepts above Words• How many patients do have diabetes mellitus type II?

• Extraction of Concepts from Health Records• Automated extraction of HbA1c results of selected patients with DM type II from lab

reports within last year

• Statistical Index on Community Collections• Calculation of coverage gap for treatment need for diabetes mellitus

• Concept Navigation across Collections• Comparison of region A with region B etc

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What do we do with our “time” ?

Trends From To

• Centralized Data

• Restrictions

• Fragmented

• Shared data

• Enablers

• Linked

Global Village … It takes a village…

It takes the whole globeto share data

Questions & Answers

[email protected]

@ustunb

bedirhan-ustun