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The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) platform is an open-source, free IP city-region platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment, which integrates human-ecological-economic systems. In order for Dorset to 'grow through business enterprise, whilst safeguarding the environment’, a select group of leaders will debate whether The Ecological Sequestration Trust (TEST) integrated platform is a good solution for the county. TEST is an open-source, free IP city-region platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment. It integrates human-ecological-economic systems; a system which calculates the current resource flows from human and ecological activity (e.g. in soils, air, water, industrial plants and infrastructure) and enables economically beneficial urban-rural resource management to be funded and implemented through ‘good’ projects, together with insurance against extreme risks with an integrated focus on energy, water and food security. The Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP), Bournemouth University and Mouchel have agreed to support a short study to investigate whether The Ecological Sequestration Trust integrated planning and investment platform (TEST), is a good option for Dorset to help ‘deliver growth through business enterprise, whilst safeguarding the environment’. Our objective is to support good governance for sustainable development and explain the very latest methods of using data and systems integration in decision making. What is the TEST platform? TEST is an open-source regional platform for collaborative, low-carbon, planning and investment. It integrates human-ecological-economic systems; a system which calculates the current resource flows from human and ecological activity (e.g. in soils, air, water, industrial plants and infrastructure) and enables economically beneficial urban-rural resource management to be funded and implemented through ‘good’ projects, together with insurance against extreme risks with an integrated focus on energy, water and food security. Why would Dorset benefit from it? Dorset prides itself on its business, social and natural environment. All of these must be nurtured in order to grow. Business leaders and governments acknowledge that growth and development needs a new operating model that is less dependent on primary energy and material inputs. However, unless resource use and supply chains are holistically understood, this can be a challenge. Easy access to robust data, which can be converted into useful information that builds knowledge and understanding, is crucial for good decision making and development in all sectors...
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Pathway to a Resilient Future for Dorset
Peter Head
@peterheadCBE #dorset
Supporting the creation of an EU and Global hub for trade and business
Providing a planning tool to prioritise investment for resilient economic growth
that embraces rural and urban communities
Attracting inward investment to create a more competitive lower cost economy with
more jobs and better services
Leadership for a Resilient Future for Dorset
__ Growing global instabilityContents
Section 1
Section 2 __ Global Action for resilience
Section 3 __Observatory to Collaboratory
__ Funding and opportunitiesSection 4
Section 5 __ The way forward
1. Growing global instability
Our Shrinking EarthPopulation growing at 80m per year
YEARHectares of Land Per Capita
USA 9.5 UK 5.8 China 2.3 India 1.3
China’s Ecological Footprint growing at 4% per year=100 million hectares of new land per year
Industrial development is polluting and wasteful
Air pollution alone costs the UK between £9-19 billion annually in health damages
HDI-Ecological Footprint Graph
Malaysia
Hong Kong
Dorset
The UK National Ecosystem Assessment concluded in 2011 that 30% of ecosystems are in decline, and many
others are in a reduced or degraded state.
2. Global action for resilience
SDSN Action Agenda Report
Sustainable Development Solutions Network
In 2013 China changed the legal constitution for development towards the “Ecological Civilisation”
• To take a scientific approach to development
• To make Ecological Progress
China now has an environmental court and a circular economy law
Global Action - China
The Circular Economy THE ELLEN MACARTHUR FOUNDATION
‘The evolution of our economy from an increasingly resource-constrained ‘take-make-dispose’ model towards one that is circular and re- generative by intention poses a huge opportunity for business innovation. This report highlights the significant economic opportunities, both immediate and long-term, that are available across the EU-a recurring 3-4% GDP cost saving. The report offers the catalyst for a sector wide re-design revolution’.
Moving from Ownership to Services
‘Innovative business models, especially changing
from ownership to performance-based payment models, are instrumental in translating products designed for reuse into attractive value propositions ‘Enablers to improve cross-cycle and cross-sector performance include higher transparency, alignment of incentives, and the establishment of industry standards for better cross-chain and cross-sector collaboration; access to financing and risk management tools; regulation and infrastructure development; and—last but not least—education, both to increase general awareness and to create the skill base to drive circular innovation’.
Competitive Dorset
How economy will improvefrom substantial net savings on material and energy costs, improved mitigation of volatility and supply risks (eg renewables), higher multipliers due to sectoral shifts and reduced externalities
How companies will win by creating new profit pools and competitive advantage, building resilience against some of today’s most strategic challenges, and the opportunity for growth
How consumers and users will winby gaining more choice, experiencing fewer hassles from premature obsolescence, and enjoying improved service quality
Castlepoint Electricity – ‘Watts Up!’
- 2005 annual electricity bill = £138,000 – 2,045 KWHRS- 2013 annual electricity bill = £115,000 – 1,211 KWHRS - No increase to tenants.
ENERGY WATER
FOOD RAW MATERIALS
By 2030 world needs 30% more water, 40% more energy & 50% more food
Resource Efficiency
11.1 Waste and the circular economy
Materials and Waste –Systems ApproachHillier, Graham. “Construction Products for a Sustainable Society” Sustainability - Steel and the Environment Conference. 2 November 2004
Food, paper, cardboard, metal recycling
1. A Regional Approach Is Fundamental2. Gather regional data, develop regional knowledge, embed integrated regional planning, build regional capacity and shared confidence to act3. Uniting economic, societal and environmental perspectives and shape interventions with a common/credible economic analyses
Approach to Sustainable Regions
Greenhousegases
Greenhousegases
Greenhousegases
Solid waste
Degraded waters
Manufactured goods
INTERLAND
Manufactured goods
Fuels andRaw materials
Water
Food
Land and sea
Public Sector
Geographies
Private Sector
ResearchNGO
&Philanthropy
Specialisms
Sectors
TEST
TEST stepped into the space between existing institutionsto facilitate systems integrationand scale up
SpecialismsDegraded waters
Manufactured goods
3. Observatory to Collaboratory
Licence Form
Region
Application nameOrganisation
Partnership agreement
Technical support service
Dorset land use75% agriculture11% woodland
12% built up/other
Earth(in solar system) Simulator
Region Simulator
A planning tool to prioritise investment
www.icesfoundation.orgwww.ecosequestrust.org
In the last twenty years, the world has
• Deployed a global, high-bandwidth network
• Created a population of over 1 billion Internet users
• And another population of some 6 billion mobile telephones
• Embedded some billions of sensors in our environment and infrastructure
• Invented globally-integrated business processes
Computer processing capacity
Crowd-sourced data Apps and sensors
Data brokering framework linked to Systems Model Engine
The system of community life
Syn City City resources IIER Economics
EFI Forestry PROFILE Soil-agriculture
Climate model data
Earth observation and ground sensors for land use data
Soil and geologyPROFILE
Government data eg demographics, employmentCrowd-sourced agent Data – mobility 4G 5G 6G
Resource flows Sankey Diagrams
Integrated Sustainable Infrastructure
transport
logistics and waste management
sewerage, potable and non-potable water energy
agriculture, landscape and urban design
Economic Region Social, Env, Economic Targets
Data Processor Boundaries
Economic Region Social, Env, Economic Targets Power
Water Treatment
IndustryMining
Building cluster
Railway
BIM
IIMProcessorBoundaries
Agriculture,grassland Forest
Data Processor Boundaries
Energy
Water
Mass goods&minerals
Agents
BIPV on roofThin film photovoltaics are factory applied to the roof sheeting, offering a robust and aesthetically pleasing solution.
TSC on wallsTranspired solar collector on south facing walls draws warm air into the building to provide space heating either directly or to be stored for later use.
StorageWarm air from the TSC is stored in a tank supplying the heating system. Electricity generated by the photovoltaics is stored in batteries.
Water purificationRainfall on the roof passes over a photoactive TiO2 coated metal roof sheeting, which removes organic matter. This is collected, passed through a filter and stored for use in the house.
ReleaseEnergy generated by the building envelope is released throughout the house via heating, lighting, electrical equipment and water use.
B u i l d i n g s a s P o w e r S t a ti o n s
SPECIFIC http://www.specific.eu.com
"Regional collaborative intelligence"
Dorset Collaboratory
43
Education
On-line science, engineering, maths, economics, social science,
politics, humanities MOOCSline
Gaming for school childrenCockpit
The system of community life
Ecology Health
Air Water Soil Quality
Human Healthwell-being nutrition, life-span, healthcare costs
Labour- skill, job availability, salary, productivity
Training & Education-skill and knowledge through learning and education
Human agentsand their well-being
Economy
Asset Value
Goods
High quality Inclusive resilient growth
“Green, circular, Knowledge economy”
- 2 bee hives put at back of centre.
- Bees forage in Townsend housing estate next door.
- Local residents of Edentide Homes are now able to come into the centre and buy jars of honey produced from there own gardens.
- 45 jars were produced in 2013.
Castlepoint Bees
Art and Culture
Community Leadership and Cultural Planning
“Trust”
4. Funding and opportunities
The Open-Source, Agent-based Urban-Rural
Resource and Economics Systems Platform Model
Integrated urban systems design/planning and procurement for sustainability and resilience
Now Where we could be with systems thinking and performance based
procurement
• Sequential and silo-ed approach – conventional economic assessment dominates how we design (cities, policies, technology interventions etc)
• Short term political and finance cycles dominate economic plane
• Environment plane silo-ed (i.e. water-food-energy, urban and rural viewed separately)
• Social benefit at the end of the line – abstract relationship to earlier planes .
• INTEGRATED DESIGN• INTEGRATED PLANNING• ACCELERATED DEVELOPMENT
DEVELOPMENT PLANNING DESIGN
DESIGN
PLANNING
DEVELOPMENT
5th
Strategic planning and investment for flood protection
5th June 2014
OutputSuccessful
improvement in energy-water-food
security and quality of life
“Project portfolio”
Evidence-based ‘trusted’ independent model
Regional Investment Fund - ‘Green Growth’ ‘Climate Adaptation’ ‘Social Impact Bonds’1-2% GDP per annum
Sources of capital-MNB’s Pension Funds Sovereign Wealth Funds
Return Investment
Assurance
“Attracting inward investment into Dorset”1% GDP= £160m/yr
5. The way forward
Supporting the creation of an EU and Global hub in Dorset
CHINANDRCMOHURDAPECEco Demo Regions
International Centre Chongqing University
UK-EU
Demo region
Dorset LEP
IFS
DFID
Cities AllianceCountry programme5 Centres
African Centre for CitiesAfrican Urban Research Initiative
Mainland Europe
ICLEI GIZ Climate KIC-IFS
GlobalUNEPUN HabitatUNDP
UNSDSNUCCRN
MongoliaDemo region
UN ADB FCO
Brazil Rio de JaneiroAcademy of Science
Regional-Global collaborative intelligenceFinance
andlaw
Accountancy
TEST “Accelerator Scale-Up Fund”
Build open source platform& set it up in demo regions using loan
Demonstration region savings enable pay back of set-up loan costs over 7 years plus interest & attract funds for more regions
Platform development
funders to get use of and value from
platform
• DFID• Climate KIC• ESA• China
Government ®ions
• MNB’s
$ $
IndependentFund Manager
Dorset LEP can be the first EU demonstration region to show transformational change to a resilient inclusive high quality growth model in which communities can participate. Local businesses can develop new business models and gain access to global markets. Inward investment can be attracted.
Understanding extinction and demonstrating resilience
