of 10 /10
Denmark’s Green Future Professor Poul Erik Morthorst Systems Analysis Division

Poul Erik Morthorst

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Poul Erik Morthorst

Denmark’s Green Future

Professor Poul Erik Morthorst Systems Analysis Division

Page 2: Poul Erik Morthorst

Source: The Emissions GAP Report 2015

Global Greenhouse gas missions COP21The Emissions GAP Report 2015EU 80-95% reduction by 2050

23/6-2016

Page 3: Poul Erik Morthorst

146 countries reported to COP21

Source: The Emissions GAP Report 2015

23/6-2016

Page 4: Poul Erik Morthorst

Last news….

23/6-2016

Kilde: DMI, 2016

Page 5: Poul Erik Morthorst

Long term Vision

23/6-2016

“ We can both reduce Danish emissions of greenhouse gasses significantly, and make Denmark independent of fossil fuels. This will require a total conversion of the Danish energy system”

- Danish Commission on Climate Change Policy

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14Oil Natural gasCoal and coke Renewable energy etc.

Gross energy consumption by fuelPJ

Adjusted

Page 6: Poul Erik Morthorst

What do we need to do....

Source: Danish Energy Agency and Climate Commission

23/6-2016

Gross Energy Consumption 2050

Denmark has to be independent of fossil fuels by 2050

Oil36%

Natural gas18%

Coal19%

Waste2%

Renewable energy25%

Gross Energy Consumption 2013Gross Energy Consumption 2013

Page 7: Poul Erik Morthorst

The Future Energy System

23/6-2016

Main Future Trends:

• An Energy System dominated by electricity

• Intermittent sources will have to play a large role

• Very large Wind Power Capacity • Solar??

• The Resource of Biomass is limited

• Radical change in trans-port system • Electric cars, hydrogen, bio-ethanol.....?

Page 8: Poul Erik Morthorst

Foto: Elsam A/S

Wind Power

23/6-2016

Source: Danish Energy Agency

0,0%5,0%10,0%15,0%20,0%25,0%30,0%35,0%40,0%

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14Wind power offshore capacity, MWWind power onshore capacity, MWWind power's share of domestic electricity supply, %

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1 49 97 145 193 241 289 337 385 433 481 529 577 625 673 721

Hours in January '07

Win

d P

rodu

ctio

n/P

ower

Con

sum

ptio

n %

Page 9: Poul Erik Morthorst

23/6-2016

Source: Energinet.dk

Page 10: Poul Erik Morthorst

Thank you for your Attention

23/6-2016

Professor Poul Erik Morthorst The Technical University of

Denmark E-mail: [email protected]