View
26
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20152/17 www.gwpcee.org
3rd PRG Report (planned)
Contents:
- General observations
(whole IDMP CEE project lifetime)
- Brief assessment Activities
(Oct 2014 – March 2015)
- PRG Assessment reports (Annex)
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20153/17 www.gwpcee.org
PRG assessment procedure
Milestone 1 report
Output report 2
Milestone 2 report
Output report 1
Act
ivit
y
Milestone 3 report
Output report 3
Milestone/Output
Progress report 1
Milestone/Output
Progress report 2
Milestone/Output
Progress report 3
Final Activity report (FAR)
PR
G A
ssessm
en
t
brief
briefcomprehensive comprehensive
Assess-ment
reports
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20154/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
Where are we at the end? (responsibility of IDMP CEE consortium):
many written comprehensive Milestone / Output reports
scientific / professional content: varying
language; none-native speakers
restricted referencing; some refer to old literature
from the region and do not relate to recent literature
not all focus on drought, but have a wider perspective
some duplication; not always consistent
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20155/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP):
very ambitious and limited in budget
rather short lifetime (1.5 – 2 yr)
supply-driven (“what can we offer”) rather than balanced between demand (“what does CEE need”) and supply. Priorities of countries were only considered to a certain extend
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20156/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):
not consistent in terms of Milestones (steps toward final product) and Outputs (IDMP programme structure)
last Output did not cover/synthesize the whole activity (was not planned)
very limited interaction across activities (cross-cutting needs to be organized and planned)
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20157/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):
Lot of work is half-way, but very valuable and can easily be lost. Follow-up is urgently required
Dissemination plan is not well described; is it beyond the lifetime
of the project? Follow-up needed.
Good start was consultation of CEE countries (Inception Report). How do we close circle (back to countries)? Follow-up
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20158/17 www.gwpcee.org
FOLLOW-UP - IDMP CEE
ACTIVITIES clustered5.1 Agricultural practices (incl. increase WHC)5.2 Impacts on Forest ecosystems5.3 Natural small water retention measures
1.3 Drought Information Platform5.4 Risk Management, Decision support system5.5 Remote sensing agricultural drought
monitoring 5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring
and forecasting
1.3 Guidelines for DM Plans, NCDs7.1 Compendium Good Practices1.1 International Cooperation beyond CEE7.2 Capacity building / Awareness rising
ROLE of your Activity in whole?
Which step out of 7 steps Guidelines DMP (Act. 2.1)?
Operational or strategic mode? What do you address:
- Monitoring, Early Warning- forecasting / prediction- impacts, incl. threshold- vulnerability- measures- management- risk management
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20159/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan- Define content of Drought Management
Plan- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification- Establish drought early warning system- Develop a programme of measures- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes
Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015
CORNER STONES:
Activity 2.1: Guidelines for Drought Management
Activity 7.1: Good practice Compendium
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201510/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan- Define content of Drought Management
Plan- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification- Establish drought early warning system- Develop a programme of measures- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes
Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015
Where fits your Activity in?
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201511/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring and early warning
Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors
n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National
HydrometeoServices
- ...
HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water
ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....
Potential short-term measures
National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers
Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......
DSS (incl. risk management
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201512/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring and early warning
Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors
n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National
HydrometeoServices
- ...
HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water
ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....
Potential short-term measures
National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers
Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......
Priority ranking sectors
(prior to drought)
DSS (incl. risk management
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201513/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring and early warning
Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors
n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National
HydrometeoServices
- ...
HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water
ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....
Potential short-term measures
National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers
Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......
DSS (incl. risk management
ACTIVITIES (where?):1.3 Drought data exchange Platform5.2 Assessment of drought impact on
forests5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a
decision support system5.5 Policy oriented study on remote
sensing agricultural droughtmonitoring methods
5.6 Upgrading agricultural droughtmonitoring and forecasting: the case ofUkraine and Moldova
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201514/17 www.gwpcee.org
Putting IDMP CEE Activitiesin a context
AMBITION: development pro-active Drought Management Plan in an integrated land and water management framework, incl. WFD RBMPs
Two temporal scales
Operational mode (ongoing (multiple-year) drought, next year drought)
Strategic mode (far future drought, prepared for global change)
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201515/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management,
long-term planning
Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors
n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National
HydrometeoServices
- ...
HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water
ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....
Potential long-term measures
National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers
Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......
Climate projections
Possible futures
Current water infrastructure
- Demographic developments
- RCPs
DSS (incl. risk management
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201516/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management,
long-term planning
Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors
n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National
HydrometeoServices
- ...
HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water
ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....
Potential long-term measures
National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers
Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......
Climate projections
Possible futures
Current water infrastructure
- Demographic developments
- RCPs
DSS (incl. risk management
ACTIVITIES (where?):5.1 Drought management by agricultural
practices and measures-increasing soilwater holding capacity
5.2 Assessment of drought impact onforests
5.3 Natural small water retentionmeasures
5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: adecision support system
5.6 Precipitation harvesting and practicesfor moisture conservation
3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201517/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan- Define content of Drought Management
Plan- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification- Establish drought early warning system- Develop a programme of measures- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015