Regions Hazards People

ASCE Met Section Spring Seminar 2015

Regions – Hazards – PeopleRamon Gilsanz, PE, SE, F.SEI


Center for International EarthScience Information Network

Information Resources

Munich Reinsurance


Population Distribution and Density

Center for International Earth Science Information Network (Columbia University)


Geophysical Hazard

Munich RE, NATHAN 2014


World Mining

InfoMine Inc.


Geophysical Loss Assessment (1980-2013)

Munich RE, NatCatSERVICE 2014


Other Natural Disasters (2014)

Munich RE, NatCatSERVICE 2015


Global Loss Events1980 – 2014(by Hazard)

Munich RE, NatCatSERVICE

21,700 Loss events 1,740,000 Fatalities

Overall lossesUS$ 4,200bn

Insured lossesUS$ 1,100bn

Meteorological events(Tropical storm, extratropical storm, convective storm, local storm)

Hydrological events(Flood, mass movement)

Climatological events(Extreme temperature, drought, forest fire)

Geophysical events(Earthquake, tsunami, volcanic activity)

22%

40%

25%

13%

11%

71%

10%

8%

12%

41%

36%

11%

51%

25%

13%

10%


Global Loss Events1980 – 2014(by Income Group)

Munich RE, NatCatSERVICE

21,700 Loss events 1,740,000 Fatalities

Overall lossesUS$ 4,200bn

Insured lossesUS$ 1,100bn

High incomeGNI > US$12,745(per capita)

High/middle incomeGNI US$4,126 - 12,745(per capita)

Low/middle incomeGNI US$1,046 - 4,125(per capita)

Low incomeGNI < US$1,045(per capita)

44%

17%

23%

16%

8%

8%

33%

51%

61%

12%

16%

11%

92%

5%

2%

1%


Haiti – Chile Earthquakes Lethality Comparison

Haitian Earthquake Chilean Earthquake

11% “strongly shaken” died 0.1% “strongly shaken” died

GeoHazards International


FEMA Mitigation Grants

Every dollar spent on preventionsaves more in disaster losses

• Earthquakes 1.4 : 1• Wind 4.7 : 1• Flood 5.1 : 1

ASCE Natural Hazards Review

Prevention and Response


World’s investment in disaster prevention

=1% world’s investment

in disaster response and recovery

GeoHazards International

Prevention and Response


Risk = Exposure x Vulnerability

UNU-EHS World Risk Report 2014

Vulnerability:World Risk Index

++xExposure

to Natural HazardsSusceptibilityLikelihood of

Suffering Harm

CopingCapacity to ReduceNegative Impacts

AdaptationCapacity for

Long-Term Change

Measures a country’s exposure, resiliency, response to an event, and preparedness

for future events


Exposure



++xExposure


Suffering Harm



Long-Term Change

• Earthquakes• Storms• Floods• Droughts• Sea level rise


Susceptibility



++xExposure


Suffering Harm



Long-Term Change

• Health and Sanitation• Quality of Construction

(Housing / Slums)• Nutrition• Poverty• Economy (GDP)


Coping



++xExposure


Suffering Harm



Long-Term Change

• Good Governance• Disaster Preparedness• Medical Services• Social & Physical Networks• Insurance


Adaptation



++xExposure


Suffering Harm



Long-Term Change

• Education• Gender Equity• Environmental Regulation• Building Codes & Strategies• Investment


Vulnerability: World Risk Index



Goal


What can we doto reduce risk?

Partner with organizationsso we can invest our

money and time

Goal


Partnership

Vicki Arbitrio Develop and promote state-of-the-art, user-friendly engineering resources

and applications to mitigate effects of hazards on the built environment


Partnership

Sissy Nikolaou

Improve understanding of physical, social, economic, political & cultural

impacts

Advocate comprehensive and realistic measures for reducing the harmful

effects of earthquakes


Partnership

Help world’s most vulnerable communities end preventable death and suffering from natural disasters

Brian Tucker


Partnership

Leslie Renner

Girls Inc. inspires all girls to be strong, smart and bold

Providing over 140,000 girls across the US and Canada with life-changing experiences and real solutions to the unique

issues girls face


Partnership

Non-profit organization with a mission to connect people through

lending to alleviate poverty

1.3 million lenders gave$707 billion in loans to

200 million people(98.7% are repaid)


Partnership


Thank you

Engineering

Regions Hazards People