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Dr Swee Mak from CSIRO's Future Manufacturing Flagship spoke at our June 2014 Breakfast, where we introduced the topic of Regional Competitiveness. The HRF November Breakfast will report back with the results of our Manufacturing research program.
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FUTURE MANUFACTURING FLAGSHIP
Future Manufacturing Trends – enabling technologies and innovation HVRF, Newcastle June 2014
Trends and realities for Australian manufacturing
Majority of
Australian
manufacturers
are relatively
small.
Most Australian
manufacturers
operate in low
to medium tech.
Operating in an
increasingly
high cost
environment
Some are heavily
export oriented
but majority rely
on domestic
market.
The world is changing
quickly, businesses
need to be prepared.
Do we know what
to prepare for?
Megatrends
A particularly
important pattern of
social, economic or
environmental
activity that occurs
at the intersection of
many trends
Virtually Here
Increased connectivity between people, institutions and devices
The silk highway
Rapid economic growth in Asia and the developing
world
Forever young
An ageing population, rising healthcare expenditure and changed retirement models
More from less
Increasing demand for l imited resources
Great expectations
Demand for experiences in l ight of income growth and choice
overloaded consumers
Going, going … gone?
A window of opportunity to save endangered plants, animals and
habitats
So how do these
megatrends affect me
and my business ?
`
Virtually Here
The silk highway
Forever young
Going, going … gone?
More from less
Great expectations
Consumers are expecting a
higher degree of personalisation in what they buy and experience
The opportunity and
challenge for businesses to customise offerings efficiently
• Understand and respond to consumer insights much more quickly that they can currently do;
• Personalise or customise products and services implying a need to increase capacity for innovative design and flexible production;
• Shift from mass production to mass customisation ?
• Shift from capturing value solely from producing and selling products to creating knowledge and selling experiences
• Understand that consumers and governments have increasingly high expectations on businesses manage - social license to operate.
An increasingly connected and networked world ...
Information Driven Manufacturing
Towards a
competitive,
productive
and sustainable
future for
manufacturing
Sustainability - License to operate, Sustainable products, Resource efficient
Speed and agility Responsiveness, Customisation, Speed to market
Scalability Low volume, reconfigurable, Scope vs scale
Smart - Materials and processes, Information systems, Design led
Services Solutions vs product, Moving up value chain
reSources Natural assets, Human capital
Supply chains Globally connected
The 7 “S” of Manufacturing
Products
Processes Services
MANUFACTURING Materials Sciences
Process Sciences
Information Sciences
Design
Manufacturing: what is it?
Design it yourself…
Consumers’ expectations
are being shaped by
their lives online.
Reducing unit cost from repetition – economies from scale
Mass production
Providing choice through diversity
and personalisation - Customisation
So what does mass
customisation mean for
manufacturers?
Electron Beam Melting (EBM)
Fused deposition Modelling
(FDM)
UV photopolymer
3D Printing
Additive manufacturing or 3D printing
Future Technologies ... 3D printing / additive manufacturing
• Can offer significant cost savings by using lower amounts of materials than traditional subtractive methods
• Ability to significantly shorten the time a product spends in the design cycle before it reaches the market.
• Capability to manufacture highly complex products that simply cannot be produced with a conventional method.
• Rapidly produce once off products without a large investment in tooling or moulding equipment
• Able to combine two or more simple parts, prior to assembly, into one large complex component.
To become more competitive however, companies need to understand • impact of cost versus benefit gained for every part that they make. • Develop an appropriate business models that can allow them to fully
exploit the advantages
Additive vs Subtractive Manufacturing
In comparison with traditional “subtractive” manufacturing methods in
which a block of finished material is machined down to make a product,
additive manufacturing methods are fast, use less energy, and generate
less waste material.
Additive manufacturing
Subtractive manufacturing
Technology Description Wo
rld
Eco
no
mic
Fo
rum
Lis
t of
Emer
gin
g Te
chn
olo
gies
- 2
01
4
Gar
tner
20
13
Hyp
e C
ycle
D
elo
itte
- T
ran
sfo
rmat
ion
of
Man
ufa
ctu
rin
g &
Tec
h T
ren
ds
Acc
entu
re T
ech
no
logy
Vis
ion
20
14
&
FJO
RD
KP
MG
Co
nve
rgin
g Te
chn
olo
gy
Tren
ds
20
13
Glo
bal
Fu
ture
s an
d F
ore
sigh
t –
Wh
at’s
ho
t in
20
14
- Te
ch T
ren
ds
McK
inse
y G
lob
al I
nst
itu
te -
Dis
rup
tive
Tec
hn
olo
gies
- M
ay 2
01
3
Fro
st &
Su
lliva
n -
Tec
hvi
sio
n 2
02
0
Rep
ort
to
th
e U
S P
resi
den
t -
Ju
ne
20
11
CSI
RO
Personalisation of IT - Wearable Electronic, Mobile
Technologies & Consumerisation of IT and BYoT,
Screenless Display
Biotech Genomics & Medical Devices
Big Data and Analytics
Human Computer interface
Advanced Materials, Nanotechnolgies, Carbon Fibres
Composites & advanced materials
Harvesting value from waste & clean water
solutions
Clean energy & Energy Storage solutions including
smart buildings
New Production Processes - 3D printing, Apps,
Embedded systems, Smart Sensors, Flexible electronics
Cloud computing Services - the IoT & the Connected &
Collaborative economy
Technology trends
relevant to future
manufacturing
1
8
|
CSIRO: positive impact | Presentation title | Presenter name 1
9
|
Professor Sam Bucolo
Peter King
2
0
|
2
1
|
22 |
• New Workflows
• New Business Models • New Enterprises
• Cost Avoidance Strategies
• New Processes
• New Materials • New Production
• Cost Reduction Strategies
• Mass Customization
• Maximize Flexibility
• Focus on scope/value
• Mass Production
• Minimize Waste
• Focus on scale/ efficiency
Lean Agile
Information Driven
Manufacturing
Value Capture and Creation
Advanced Manufacturing
Value Capture
Future of Manufacturing
Great expectations
Virtu
ally He
re
Mo
re fro
m le
ss
Information Driven Manufacturing
information will flow
across all boundaries
within a factory, across
multiple processing
systems and multiple
enterprises ... including people
Industrial Internet Industrie 4.0
Future Technologies ... Network Enabled Manufacturing
AND ...
Booz and Co 2013 / 14 survey, that identified that “companies (that) made significant use of these digital enablers were 77 per cent more likely to report that they outperformed competitors than were those with low or moderate usage rates” BUT While 96 per cent of SMEs reported that they were online, only 19 per cent of those said that they had some form of digital business strategy.”
Summary
Megatrends and what they may mean to manufacturing Enabling technologies Innovation more broadly – design integration Information
Thank you CSIRO Future Manufacturing Flagship Dr Swee Mak
w www.csiro.au