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A presentation by Dr. Jay Noel & Dr. Eivis Qenani. What Skills Do Graduates Need to Succeed in the New Economy?
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Jay E. Noel Eivis Qenani
Agribusiness Department, California Polytechnic State University,
San Luis Obispo, California
Introduction
Changes in the nature of work and the are transforming the kinds of knowledge, skills, and attitudes needed for successful employment and work performance
So, what set of skills do today’s graduates need to be successful in the tomorrow’s economy?
Goal of the Study: … to examine the emerging paradigm
of skills perceived as essential for the success of graduates in the knowledge economy
Findings from the study: … shed light into the changing needs
of the economy regarding the skill set required from future college graduates
Human Capital, Skills and Education
A vast literature has shown the direct impact of human capital and education on economic output, growth, productivity and progress of the society
Skill Definition Skills are “those generalizable attributes
of individuals that confer advantage in the labor market” Skill is “an ability or proficiency at a task
that is normally acquired through education, training and/or experience”
Skill Grouping
Skills are grouped in two categories: Generic skills that include higher
cognitive skills and interpersonal skills such as problem solving, creativity, communication, etc.
Technical skills refer to specific skills needed in a particular occupation or job
Skills and Education If skills demanded in the workplace are identified, then
education should be able to design curricula to ensure that students acquire the proper building blocks
Boehlje et al. (2011) point out that development and implementation of technology and new innovations are becoming vitally critical to long-term success of the food and agribusiness industry
But, employers repeatedly report that many new graduates they hire are not prepared to work and lack the necessary skills
Question: what is the effectiveness of education system in preparing graduates with the necessary core skills and attributes???
Skills and Graduate Education Various studies (Litzenberg & Schneider, 1987; Barkley, 1991; Barkley, Stock, & Sylvius, 1999; Norwood & Henneberry, 2006) have explored the topic of essential skills of agricultural graduates and their relative value in the workplace
The fast changing nature of the industry indicates a need to revisit this subject to better align educational outcomes with the needs of the job market
Data A Web-based survey was administered to employers
of agribusiness college graduates from December 2011- April 2012
Employers’ database (n=1,050) was created by combining various sources such as lists from Cal Poly Agricultural Employers, Red Book Credit Services (CA, FL, OR, WA) and California League of Food Processors
Two part survey: a) direct questions; b) discrete choice experiment
Questionnaire Employers were asked to imagine the situation of hiring for an entry-level position requiring an undergraduate degree and presented with three hypothetical profiles of job candidates and were asked to select the best candidate The hypothetical profiles differed by combining various levels of the following skills:
Critical Thinking Communication Teamwork Creativity Knowledge of Marketing Knowledge of Finance
Graduates’ Attributes and Attribute-Levels Used in Choice-Based Conjoint Questions
Attributes Levels Definitions
Critical Thinking Skills Basic Elementary or Base Level
Good Average or Satisfactory Level
Advanced Specialist or High Quality Level
Communication Skills Basic Elementary or Base Level
Good Average or Satisfactory Level
Teamwork Skills Basic Elementary or Base Level
Good Average or Satisfactory Level
Creativity Yes Creative
No Not Creative
Knowledge of Marketing Basic Elementary or Base Knowledge
Good Average or Satisfactory Knowledge
Advanced Specialist or High Quality Knowledge
Knowledge of Finance Basic Elementary or Base Knowledge
Good Average or Satisfactory Knowledge
Advanced Specialist or High Quality Knowledge
Data A fractional factorial randomized design with main effects only that
optimized the D-efficiency was used to select 16 choice tasks for each respondent
A sample choice task from the survey is presented below:
Attributes Candidate A
Candidate B
Candidate C
Critical Thinking Advanced Basic Good
Communication Basic Good Good
Teamwork Basic Good Basic
Creativity No No Yes
Knowledge of Marketing
Advanced Basic Good
Knowledge of Finance
Basic Advanced Good
Model and Estimation Data were analyzed within a random utility framework Each candidate is described by some vector of choice attribute
values. Assuming that employer 𝑖 faces a choice among 𝐽 alternatives in each of 𝐾 choice situations, he chooses alternative 𝑗 that will provide him with the highest utility
Utility function of employer 𝑖 is given by:
𝑈𝑖𝑖 = 𝛽𝛽𝑖𝑋𝑖𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖𝑖 (1) 𝑋𝑖𝑖 - vector of non-stochastic independent variables (attributes of the alternative 𝑗 ) 𝛽 - vector of parameters measuring individual marginal utilities to be estimated 𝜀 - the random element that includes all the unobservable factors that influence individual choices
The utility of each alternative is the sum of the marginal utilities of its attribute levels
Model and Estimation
A Hierarchical Bayesian logit model was used to estimate individual marginal utilities given only a few choices by each individual
Sawtooth Software – same software used by John Hauser, a marketing professor at MIT, to oversee two online conjoint studies commissioned (to study preferences for smartphones and one for tablets) by APPLE in the $2.5 billion suit against Samsung
Results A total of 159 completed surveys was further reduced
to 137 based on the respondents who answered all choice-based conjoint questions
Each respondent answered 16 customized choice sets providing 2,192 choice tasks available for analysis
Respondents constitute a cross-sectional representation of employers in the food and fiber industry in terms of company type, revenues and number of employees
Description of Survey Respondents (n= 137) Category Number Percentage
Company Type
Input Provider 3 2
Food Processor 11 8
Retailer and Wineries 14 10
Financial Institution 16 12
Wholesaler 4 3
Broker-Shipper-Packer 24 18
Service Provider 13 9
Farm 26 19
Durable Goods Manufacturer 8 6
Other (Non Profit, Government, Biotech, Manufacturing, Consulting)
18 12
Company Revenue Up to $1 million 24 18
$1 million - $50 million 62 45
$51 million - $100 million 10 7
$100 million - $300 million 16 12
More than $300 million 25 18
Company Size Up to 10 employees 33 24
11-100 employees 46 34
101-500 employees 40 29
More than 500 employees 17 13
Role of Respondent in the Company CEO 44 33
Manager/Supervisor 56 42
HR Administrator 10 6
Other, responsible of hiring decisions 27 20
Direct Questions AGB
Students Stated
Expectation
My company is satisfied with the quality of AGB graduates 4.35 -
AGB graduates are able to make an immediate positive contribution to the workplace with minimum supervision
4.04 -
AGB graduates have the ability to identify, formulate, and solve agribusiness problems (problem solving/critical thinking)
3.61 4.35
AGB graduates have the ability to analyze and interpret data. (quantitative skills: regression analysis, linear programming, statistical analysis, etc.)
3.75 3.89
AGB graduates have the ability to use techniques, and current agribusiness tools (spreadsheet skills and capabilities)
4.11 3.84
AGB graduates demonstrate effective oral communication skills 4.15 4.29
AGB graduates demonstrate effective written communication skills 3.90 4.15
AGB graduates have the ability to work effectively in a team environment 4.33 4.34
AGB graduates demonstrate hands-on knowledge gained outside the classroom, via internships, international studies abroad programs and other workplace related experiences
4.32 3.46
AGB graduates demonstrate professional integrity and ethical behavior 4.41 4.69
AGB graduates demonstrate understanding for diverse perspectives and backgrounds and work effectively in generating solutions that incorporate them
4.05 3.31
Creativity - 4.08
Please indicate the degree you agree or disagree with the following statements, using a 5-point scale. 1 = Lowest; 2 = Low; 3 = Medium; 4 = High; 5 = Highest
. Direct Questions
AGB Students
Stated Expectation
AGB graduates are prepared well to solve a problem when: a)The problem is well-defined and the steps needed to solve it are clearly specified b) The problem is well-defined but the steps needed to solve it are not clearly specified c) It is clear that there is a problem , but the problem is not well defined and there are no clear steps to solve it
30%
40%
30%
AGB graduates demonstrate depth of knowledge, skill and perspective in the specialized area of: Marketing
4.18
3.31
AGB graduates demonstrate depth of knowledge, skill and perspective in the specialized area of: Finance
3.96
3.07
AGB graduates demonstrate depth of knowledge, skill and perspective in the specialized area of: Accounting
3.80
3.09
AGB graduates demonstrate depth of knowledge, skill and perspective in the specialized area of: Sales
4.09
3.19
How important to you as an employer are the problem-based and learn-by-doing experiences during the college education of the student?
4.33*
As an employer, what kind of education do you believe is more valuable to students: • A Specialized Education that is focused on specialty areas (such as marketing, finance, etc.) • A Balanced Education that combines broad competencies and specialty areas
19%*
81%
Estimation Results
Attributes
Marginal Utilities Using the Hierarchical Bayesian Model
Marginal Utilities Using the Multinomial Logit Model and Standard
Deviations
Critical Thinking Skills Basic -1.38854* -0.58784*(0.04572) Good 0.35698* 0.16026*(0.04074)
Advanced 1.03156* 0.42758*(0.04106) Communication Skills
Basic -1.22445* -0.53996*(0.03086) Good 1.22445* 0.53996*(0.03086)
Teamwork Skills Basic -0.85386* -0.38902*(0.02976) Good 0.85386* -0.38902*(0.02976)
Creative Thinking Yes 1.54899* 0.60826*(0.03126) No -1.54899* -0.60826*(0.03126)
Knowledge of Marketing Basic -0.40748* -0.15656*(0.04239) Good 0.10359* 0.08495*(0.04133)
Advanced 0.30389* 0.07160*(0.04135) Knowledge of Finance
Basic -0.26371* -0.10500*(0.04195) Good 0.15611* 0.09345*(0.04109)
Advanced 0.10760** 0.01155*(0.04121) Log-likelihood for this model = -1580.18
Consistent Akaike Info Criterion = 3237.39 Chi Square Statistic= 1053.91
Note: Standard errors are in parentheses. * and ** denote statistically significant variables at 5% and 1% levels of respectively.
Importance Scores for Attributes Attributes of College
Graduates Attribute
Importance Scores (0 - 100%)
Rank of Importance
Creativity 29% 1
Communication Skills
23% 2
Critical Thinking Skills
22% 3
Teamwork Skills 16% 4
Knowledge of Marketing
7% 5
Knowledge of Finance
4% 6
Findings Creativity is the most important attribute with the
strongest impact on employer’s choices Communication skills and Critical Thinking skills
compete closely as the second and third most valued attributes by employers
Ability to work in Teams skills came across as the next important attribute for employers
Specialized Technical knowledge in marketing and finance were ranked relatively low by employers
Findings
Labor market places a higher value on generic skills, like creativity, interpersonal communication, critical thinking, and ability to work in teams compared to technical skills
As production becomes increasingly globalized, employees
must have skills that allow them to adapt, be willing to engage in innovation and redeployment
More general abilities and worker flexibility are required
and must be nurtured as they are critical given the dynamic nature of the labor market and ongoing technological change
Choice Modeling Attributes Candidate A Candidate B
Candidate C
Critical Thinking Basic Good Basic Communication Good Good Good
Team Work Good Basic Good Creativity No Yes Yes Marketing Good Basic Basic
Finance Good Basic Basic Preference Share
(Hierarchical Bayes)
24%
40%
36%
Preference Share (Aggregate Logit)
21%
42%
36%
Conclusions Results of the study indicate that there has been a shift
in the needs for skills in the labor market New skills are emerging as important to the knowledge
economy Employers value most workers who can think
creatively. The quest for creative ideas and solutions in the today’s economy is becoming more and more pervasive
Although it is a talent-oriented process, yet, creativity can be taught and learned in schools (Livingston, 2010)
Creativity
Teaching Creativity Teaching Creatively
Thank you!!!
Questions?
Creativity … involves thinking that aims at
producing ideas or products that are relatively novel and can add value to society Creativity requires some specific
knowledge, but more importantly it can be developed and promoted!!!