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This seminar will focus on how countries can establish a policy framework to enable effective local action using an evidence-based approach, choosing between different measures when resources are scarce. The latest evidence from OECD countries on ‘what works’ and ‘what doesn’t’ will be considered, with participants sharing their own experiences from their perspectives as policy makers, researchers, practitioners and social entrepreneurs.
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Using an evidence-based approach in Greater Manchester
Julian Cox, Head of Research, New Economy
OECD, Paris15 October 2014
About New Economy
“Growth and prosperity for Greater Manchester”
Policy
• Europe & international
• Skills & employment
• Planning, housing & environment
Strategy
• Research• Cost benefit
analysis & evaluation
• Public service reform
• Project development
What do we mean by evidence?
What Works Centre Reports
Outputs from local assessment or data
frameworks
Other academic and think-tank evidence
Local evaluations of interventions
Forecasting modelsHistoric trends and current
statistics
Macro
Micro
The Case for Agglomeration Innovation, Trade & Connectivity
Labour Markets, Skills & Talent
Daresbury Campus Review Sustainable Communities Inward & Indigenous Investment
Macro example:Manchester Independent Economic Review (MIER)
Micro example:Evaluation and Cost Benefit Analysis
• Greater Manchester has developed a Cost Benefit Analysis framework to support evaluation
• Now used by local authorities and partners across the UK
• Allows decisions to be made not only on what works, but also whether it is value for money?
Cost Benefit Analysis
• Fiscal• Social• Economic
Costs
Benefits
All additional costs needed to deliver project
Fiscal Economic Social
Family Intervention project
LocalAuthority NHS
DWP (AME)Police
WorkProgramme
Primes
RSLsCJS (excl
Police)
Proactive Costs
Reactive Cost Savings
£-
£100,000
£200,000
£300,000
£400,000
£500,000
£600,000
£700,000
£800,000
£900,000
£1,000,000
£
• Greater buy-in from local partners
• Evaluation process helps to clarify project objectives
• Ability to tailor evaluation to really understand the local population and what works for them
• Greater insights about local delivery
• Allows for feedback in the commissioning cycle
What are the benefits of local evaluation?
Stages of local evaluation/cost benefit analysis
Ex-ante appraisal
Performance monitoring
Ex-post evaluation
Forecast performance /
savings
Recommission?Scale up?Reinvest savings?
Stop activity? Continue?
Refine delivery model?
Is it value for money?
Who invests? What to
decommission?
Confirm performance /
savings
Track performance /
savings
