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Welcome to Commodity Trading Research Your premier site for fundamental and
technical analysis for profitable Commodity Trading. For more info on Commodity Trading Research visit our
website
www.CommodityTradingResearch.com
Hi, My name is Justin and I‘m with Commodity Trading Research, today were reviewing our recently published article…
Platinum Prices: Look Out Below…
Platinum Prices: Buy This Heavily Oversold Metal Now?
The commodity selloff of the past year has been hard to ignore. Hard assets as a
whole have suffered from a surging US Dollar and ongoing concerns over global
growth.
One of the most noticeable markets controlled by commodity bears is
platinum.The once lustrous metal is down 35% from this time last year, and is
suffering from a 20% downturn in 2015 alone.
It’s an outrageously bearish chart…
As you can see, after putting in a relatively strong January 2015
performance the metal has gone straight in the gutter. This year’s selloff
accelerated the past two months, which took platinum below $1,000 an ounce for
the first time since early 2009.
With the metal trading at the lowest price in years, is it time to buy?
Only if you like losing money…
With the metal stuck in a debilitating technical downtrend, buying now is akin to stepping in front of oncoming freight
train.
Remember, trying to pick tops and bottoms in markets is one of the worst
mistakes a trader can make. For more of the bad habits traders tend to make, and how to alleviate them, read this article.
With that said, you can possibly make a case for buying platinum right now if
you’re an investor with a long time frame, and can withstand even lower prices.
Speaking of lower prices, look at this long-term chart…
As you can see the metal has nearly $150 an ounce further to fall before it reaches the 2008 low at $800 an ounce. Given the
overwhelmingly bearish sentiment and disastrous chart, this important price
point will likely be realized before 2015 comes to an end.
Is there any hope for platinum in the long run?
As bad as this market is right now, bulls will eventually return.
You see, South African platinum miners are falling on hard times with the metal
they produce diving lower with each passing day.
As you may know, South Africa is home to the world’s largest Platinum Group Metal
(PGM) mines and holds around 80% of the world’s proven reserves.
Platinum prices are so low that a large swath of the South African PGM mining industry is now producing the metal at a
loss.
The situation is so bad at Lonmin, one of the larger South African miners, the company is laying off 6,000 workers.
Folks, it’s only a matter of time before layoffs and mine closures become
widespread.
Once the South African PGM mining industry’s capitulation point is reached, that’s when bulls will likely return to the
platinum market.
With that said, it’s very challenging to accurately predict at what price that will
happen.
For now it’s best to just sit back and watch the fireworks as platinum plummets
to new multi-year lows.
Is there a way to capitalize on plummeting platinum?
Of the three platinum based commodity exchange traded funds available to
investors, there’s only one I feel relatively comfortable trading. The ETFS Physical
Platinum Shares $PPLT has a decent amount of intraday liquidity with a
manageable bid/ask spread.
As this point, shorting $PPLT until platinum hits $800 an ounce is your only
viable strategy for profiting from the metal.
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