Click here to load reader
Upload
ramen24
View
441
Download
4
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
A Comparative Analysis of Embedded Value of Life
Insurance Companies and Banks of China
Cao XiaojingError: Reference source not found Hao Yansu*
AbstractEmbedded value of life insurance companies depends on the operation and corresponding asset.
When net asset of a bank is considered as its embedded value, it also depends on the operation and
corresponding asset. The difference of life insurance companies and banks of China in capital
structure, asset structure and asset-liability management leads to different embedded value of
them.
Key words: embedded value, capital structure, asset structure, asset-liability management
Embedded value is an exclusive instrument of life insurance companies in financial reporting
and value estimating. It has been widely used in all aspects of management-decision of life
insurance companies abroad while in China it is mainly applied to estimate the value during
capital increase and share expansion or when the life insurance company gets listed. “Direction of
embedded value’s report of life insurance”, which was published by CIRC in 2005, said,
“Embedded value is current benefit which generates from the future profit of corresponding asset
to applicable operation and can be distributed to shareholders.” The definition shows that
embedded value, which is an influencing factor of life insurance companies’ value, depends on the
operation and corresponding asset. Net asset of a bank is considered as its embedded value, which
also depends on the operation and corresponding asset.
I. Research Background and Its PurposeIt is a new topic in China whether for insurance companies to evaluate embedded value or for
banks to evaluate market value. Moreover, present study is limited to separate research. However,
new phenomena have emerged in China. Firstly, in 2006 life insurance companies performed more
actively than banks in investment as the application of insurance fund is broadened. The paper
establishes relation of two industries by embedded value and gives a new illustration of different
investment inclination through the analysis of operating income structure. Secondly, when
insurance companies and banks start floating, the paper will offer the deeper reason why life
insurance companies have higher price than banks through the comparison. Thirdly, capital
movement is frequent between insurance companies and banks as the corporation of two
industries upgrades. However insurance companies’ purchase of banks is more often to see. The
paper gives the reason why insurance companies, whose assets only occupy 4% of financial
institutions, will have a deeper influence in future financial market through the contrast.
II. Literature Review“Valuation methods of a life insurance company” and “embedded value definition” and
“introduction to embedded value” give formula of embedded value of life insurance companies:
EV=NA+VBIF (EV=embedded value, NA=the adjusted net worth, VBIF=value of business in
forth). Li Bingqing and Yang xue pointed out in “the mistake of embedded value’s application in
* Postgraduate Student of Insurance School, Central University of Finance and Economics, Email: [email protected]? Professor of Insurance School, Central University of Finance and Economics, Email: [email protected]
1
life insurance companies and its modification” that embedded value of life insurance companies is
equal to net asset of other enterprises. So net assets of banks (total assets - total liabilities) can be
viewed as its embedded value.
In “management of insurance companies” Dieter Farny (Gernany) believes that acquiring
promotion of shareholder’s value is the final goal of operating a company. It can be achieved by
proper financial policies including fund source policy, fund utilization policy and the coordination
of them. The classification fits for both insurance and banks and provides main influencing factors
of embedded value. So based on the frame, this paper makes more specific research of the
influencing factors of embedded value.
Modigliani and Mille’s research of the relation of capital structure and market value since
1958 is acknowledged as foundation of modern financing theory. Based on five classical
hypotheses, they proved that market value is irrelevant to capital structure. But as two scholars
and others broadened the hypotheses step by step, they found that capital structure had been
influencing market value through a few accesses, including financial leverage, revenue,
bankruptcy cost, signal and governance structure. The research of capital structure in China
focuses on explaining the problem of capital structure with foreign theories, while adjusting the
capital structure positively to achieve the goal of enhancing market value is hardly seen.
“Theory and practice of life insurance’s embedded value” (Wei Yingning,2005) introduces
the definition, report, calculation and application of embedded value of life insurance companies
systematically. It solves the problem of calculating EV with report forms and fixed hypothesis, but
detailed methods of advancing EV through modification of operating income structure and asset
structure have not been referred. “Fiscal measure of bank’s market value” (Wang Lin, Wang
Jianping,2005) is one of few literatures in China which introduce banks’ market value specially. It
classifies assets and liabilities of banks and gives the formula of all items’ market value. The
influence of the structure of asset and liability to market value has been involved.
“Mutual development of life insurance and capital market of china” of Fu Anping makes a
comparison of the application of life insurance fund in China and in developed countries and
points out that the broadening application of the investment and the modification of capital market
promise a higher return of insurance fund.
III. Comparative Analysis of Embedded Value of Life Insurance Companies and Banks in China
Embedded value of a life insurance company is discount of future profit generated from
present operation. According to this definition, net assets of a bank can be used to measure its
embedded value, which are total assets minus total liabilities.
We know that the total assets of China Life hadn’t even reach 8.09% of ICBC until the end of
2005. What surprised us is that the offering price of the former in Shanghai Stock Exchange was
18.88¥ , which was higher than the latter’s when both of them were listed in 2006 in SSE.
Meanwhile between listing financial institutions it is common that life insurance companies have
evident higher stock price than banks, which can be seen from Chart 1. The drive of stock price is
high embedded value. But why life insurance companies in China have higher inflation in
embedded value than banks?
2
Share Pri ce of Fi nanci al I nsti tui t i onscl osi ng pri ce of 04/ 30/ 07 f rom SSE( )
5. 425. 62
10. 3413. 0113. 31
19. 4831. 58
41. 6565. 85
0 20 40 60 80
Pi ngan I nsurance
Chi na Li f e
I ndust r i al Bank
Merchants Bank
Huaxi a Bank
Mi ngsheng Bank
CI TI C Bank
Chi na Bank
I CBC
Chart 1
Data from: www.sse.com
i. Research FrameIn “management of insurance companies” Dieter Farny (Gernany) believes that acquiring
promotion of shareholder’s value is the final goal of operating a company. It can be achieved by
proper financial policies including fund source policy, fund utilization policy and the coordination
of them. The classification fits for both insurance and banks and provides different influencing
factors of embedded value. So based on the frame, this paper makes more specific research of the
influencing factors of embedded value. Firstly, we’ll research the influence of fund source policy
to embedded value by capital structure theory, which consists of the relation of long-term liability
to equity and the liability structure. Secondly, we’ll research the influence of fund utility policy to
embedded value by asset structure, which consists of diversified combination of assets. Thirdly,
we’ll research the coordination of fund source policy and fund utilization policy by the decisive
influence of liability structure to asset structure. Finally, considering that investment is of great
importance, this paper will illustrate material promotion of investment to embedded value in
China nowadays. The definite frame is shown as follows.
invest
income
discount
embedded value
Chart 2
ii. Capital Structure of Life Insurance Companies and Banks in ChinaIn a long period we are seeking for the optimized financial mode to enhance market value of
a company, which is frequently referred in finance theory and practice. Modigliani and Mille’s
research of the relation of capital structure and market value since 1958 is acknowledged as
foundation of modern financing theory. Based on five classical hypotheses, they proved that
3
market value is irrelevant to capital structure. But as two scholars and others broadened the
hypotheses step by step, they found that capital structure had been influencing market value
through a few accesses, including financial leverage, revenue, bankruptcy cost, signal and
governance structure. Since the final ambition of financing is enhancing market value and capital
structure theory is the core of financing, the adjustment of capital structure is firstly and naturally
introduced if we want to enhance market value.
The definition of capital structure in “Capital Structure, Governance Structure and Agent
Cost” includes three meanings: a. the proportion of liability to shareholding equity, which is
recognized as financing structure or financing leverage. b. the proportion of all parts of liability,
which is recognized as liability structure. c. the proportion of all parts of shareholding equity,
which is recognized as equity structure or ownership structure. But in the capital structure theory,
the proportion of long-term liability to shareholding equity is emphasized more. So if we measure
capital structure with this proportion, as it moves up, financial leverage increases. Meanwhile
embedded value and market value increase since assets correspondent to long-term liability brings
more profit in future according to the definition of embedded value. Therefore we will analyze the
dynamic influence of capital structure of China Life and ICBC to embedded value.
1. Sample: China Life and ICBC
There are three reasons for choosing China Life and ICBC when analyzing the influence of
capital structure to embedded value. a. China Life is the biggest life insurance company while
ICBC is the biggest commercial bank in China. As countrywide financial institutions, both of
them have long history, representative management and steady status. b. as listed companies, the
operation data of them can been acquired from annual report while the data of unlisted companies
are not comprehensive and authoritative. c. as financial magnates listed in SSE in 2006, they are
easily contacted with each other . Thus we can not only reveal different performance of them, but
also explain universal problem facing life insurance and banks.
2.the Analysis of Long-term Liability and Shareholding Equity
With long-term liability and shareholding equity of China Life from 2001 to 2005, we can
compare the inflation speed of them shown as Chart 3. Because ICBC reconstructed share in 2005
and its capital structure endured great change, we only choose long-term liability and shareholding
equity from 1998 to 2004. Chart 4 conceals the different inflation speed of them. Suppose that
equity of China Life is , long-term liability is and equity of ICBC is , long-
term deposit is . When leverage is defied as long-term liability/equity, then the leverage of
China Life is marked as A= / and the leverage of ICBC is marked as B= /
. By the comparison of Chart 3 and Chart 4, we can find that A>B. So China Life has a
larger financial leverage. Thus a faster development of embedded value of China Life is easy to
understand.
4
Changi ng of Long- term Li abi l i t y andSharehol di ng Equi ty of Chi na Li f e
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Million(RMB)
Long- termLi abi l i t y
Sharehol di ngEqui t y
Chart 3
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
Changi ng of Long- term Deposi t and Sharehol di ngEqui ty of I CBC
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Hund
red
Mill
ion(
RMB)
Long- termDeposi t
Sharehol di ngEqui t y
Chart 4
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
3. the Analysis of Liability Structure
For a life insurance company, EV=NA+VBIF. From the aspect of liability, VBIF is
influenced by the structure of operation (including individual and party operation classified by
customers, also short-term and long-term operation classified by contracts). Meanwhile all these
are influencing factors of NA. So the influence of liability structure of a life insurance company to
its embedded value can be revealed with the data of these factors.
For a bank, EV=NA. From the aspect of liability, net asset is influenced by the structure of
deposit (including saving deposit and public deposit classified by customers, also demand deposit
and term deposit classified by contracts) and inter-bank bid. So the influence of liability structure
of a bank to its embedded value can be revealed with the data of these factors.
5
I ndi vi dual and Party Operat i on of Chi na Li f e
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
Mill
ion(
RMB)
Par ty Operat i onI ndi vi dual Operat i on
Chart 5
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
Savi ng Deposi t and Publ i c Deposi t ofI CBC
0
20000
40000
60000
Hundred Million(RMB)
Publ i c Deposi tSavi ng Deposi t
Chart 6
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
Firstly since party operation of life insurance has high surrender rate, low renew rate and
short insurance period, its function on the increase of VBIF and embedded value is limited.
Similarly, since public deposit of bank has short term, its function on the increase of embedded
value is less than saving deposit. Then from the comparison of Chart 5 and Chart 6, we find that
the share of individual operation of China Life is larger than the share of saving deposit of ICBC
and the share of party operation of China Life is less than the share of public deposit of ICBC.
Meanwhile, the occupation of China Life’s individual operation rose from 44.53% in 1998 to
87.13% in 2006 while the occupation of ICBC’s saving deposit fluctuated around 53%. In short,
classified by customers, China Life has higher proportion and faster speed of operation which can
increase embedded value than ICBC has. Thus China Life’s liability structure contributes to the
promotion of embedded value.
6
Short - term and Long- term Operat i on ofChi na Li f e
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Million(RMB)
Long- term Operat i on
Short - t erm Operat i on
Chart 7
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
Short - term and Long- term Deposi t ofI CBC
0
1000020000
30000
4000050000
60000
Hundred Million(RMB)
Long- termDeposi t
Shor t - t ermDeposi t
Chart 8
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
Secondly, since liability with long duration can match with long-term asset, it always earns
larger discount of profits and contributes more to embedded value. From the comparison of Chart
7 and Chart 8, we find that the share of short-term insurance of China Life is less than the share of
short-term deposit of ICBC and the share of long-term insurance of China Life is larger than long-
term deposit of ICBC. Meanwhile, the occupation of China Life’s long-term operation rose from
61.31% in 1998 to 93.92% in 2006, while the occupation of ICBC’s long-term deposit decreased
from 55.45% in 1998 to 39.72% in 2004. In short, classified by contracts, China Life has higher
proportion and faster speed of operation which can increase embedded value than ICBC has. Thus
China Life’s liability structure contributes to promotion of embedded value.
iii.Asset Structure of Life Insurance and Banks in China
China Life’s asset includes floating asset and long-term investment. ICBC’s asset includes
short-term loan, mid&long-term loan and investment (reserve and inter-bank offer omitted). In
this paper, only floating asset and long-term investment of China Life and short-term loan,
mid&long-term loan and investment of ICBC will be discussed. In addition, most investment of
ICBC is long-term. So we compare China Life’s floating asset with ICBC’s short-term loan and
compare China Life’s long-term investment with ICBC’s mid&long-term loan and investment.
7
Asset Di st r i but i on of Chi na Li f e
0100000200000300000400000500000600000700000800000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Million(RMB)
Long- term Asset
Fl oat i ng Asset
Chart 9
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
Asset Di st r i but i on of I CBC
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Hund
red
Mill
ion(
RMB)
I nvestment
Mi d/ Long- term l oan
Short - t erm l oan
Chart 10
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
From Chart 9 and 10, we find that long-term asset has relatively higher inflation than short-
term asset whether of China Life or of ICBC. Generally, both of their assets’ duration structure is
getting reasonable. Separately, the proportion of China Life’s long-term investment to total asset
increased from 23.07% in 2001 to 48.76% in 2005 with a yearly multiple increase rate of 20.57%.
The proportion of ICBC’s long-term asset to total asset increased from 29.47% in 1998 to 62.18%
in 2004 with a yearly multiple increase rate of 13.25%. By comparison it is obvious that the
relative inflation rate of China Life’s long-term asset (long-term investment/floating asset + long-
term investment) is larger than the relative inflation rate of ICBC’s long-term asset (mid&long-
term loan + investment/short-term loan + mid&long-term loan + investment). The developing
trend of asset structure promotes China Life’s embedded value.
iv.the Influence of Liability Structure to Asset Structure
It is referred that special liability structure of China Life promotes its embedded value. In
fact, the function is not delivered directly but through special correspondent asset structure which
can be seen from Chart 11.
8
Chart 11
Duration distribution
of China Life(%)
2006 2005 2004
Less than 1 year 1.60 0.40 0.10
1-5 years 28.90 23.60 38.70
5-10 years 21.40 37.30 54.00
More than 10 years 48.10 38.70 7.20
Total 100 100 100
Table 1
Data from: Annual Report of China Life
Duration distribution
of ICBC(%)2006 2005 2004
Current deposit 50.20 50.20 50.40
Less than 3 months 17.50 19.10 19.20
3-12 months 23.10 23.60 23.90
1-5 years 9.10 7.00 6.40
More than 5 years 0.10 0.10 0.10
Total 100 100 100
Table 2
Data from: Annual Report of ICBC
9
Special asset
structure
Special liability structure
Higher embedded
value
Duration of China Life's Contracts (2004-2006)
less than 1year
0.67% years 1-530.43%
years 5-1037.57%
more thanyears 1031.33%
Chart 12
Data from: Annual Report of China Life
Duration of ICBC's Contracts (2004-2006)
currentdeposit50.27%
years 1-57.50%
months 3-1223.53%
less than 3months18.60%
more than 5years0.10%
Chart 13
Data from: Annual Report of ICBC
By averaging the data in table 1 and table 2, we get average duration distribution in Chart 12
and 13. We can find that China Life’s contracts with duration less than one year occupied 0.67%,
less than 5 years occupied 31%, less than ten years occupied 68.67%, more than ten years
occupied 31.33%. But ICBC’s contracts with duration less than one year occupied 92.4%, less
than five years occupied 99.9%, more than five years occupied 0.1%. If we assume that (a) make
the half of the period as average duration, for example 1-5years contracts have average duration of
3 years (b) make lower limit as the duration of those contracts without upper limit, for example
more than ten years’ contracts have duration of ten years. Regarding the proportion as weight,
then average duration of China Life’s contracts is 6.9 and ICBC’s is 0.4. The distance is 6 years
and a half. Of course, the measurement is not accurate since (a) duration of liability is not
distributed equably (b) it is too conservative to simplify China Life’s contracts with duration of
more than ten years as ten years uniformly. These contracts will greatly influence real average
duration since they take up a big portion (c) China Life’s contracts with duration of more than ten
years increased from 7.2% in 2004 to 38.7% in 2005, which rose to 48.1% in 2006. But the
dynamic influence of these contracts to embedded value is excluded (d) it is not reasonable to
assume duration of current deposit as 0 since it takes up more than half of the total. But
considering all these factors, we’ll find China Life’s average duration is still longer than ICBC’s
and the distance is even larger, instead of smaller.
10
Special liability structure acquires special asset structure. Assets with different duration earns
different income, thus wins different embedded value. Adjusting asset structure by increasing asset
with high return and reducing those with low return according to liability structure, China Life
earns higher total return. From table 3, we know that the occupation of deposit’s income decreased
from 63.07% in 2004 to 26.19% in 2006, while the occupation of credit and equity’s income rose
from 34.32% in 2004 to 73.52% in 2006. Since long-term assets brings more discount of future
profits, the adjustment enhanced embedded value of China Life. Meanwhile, there’s slight
increase of credit investment of ICBC while others without any evident change and total return
kept stable shown as table 4.
China Life’s Return on
Investment(million)
2006 2005 2004
amount percent amount percent amount percent
Deposit 8269 26.19 7964 46.38 6742 63.07
Credit Investment 12506 39.61 8615 50.17 3475 32.51
Equity Investment 10708 33.91 568 3.30 194 1.81
Resell Securities 80 0.25 3 0.02 268 2.51
Policy Mortgage 13 0.04 22 0.13 11 0.10
Total 31576 100 17172 100 10690 100
Total Return 5.50% 3.93% 3.26%
Table 3
Data from: Annual Report of China Life
ICBC’s Return on
Fund(million)
2006 2005 2004
amount percent amount percent amount percent
Reserve 10080 3.71 8967 3.82 8286 4.39
Loan 176488 64.91 166240 70.89 138909 73.58
Inter-bank Bid 18435 6.78 13437 5.73 14698 7.78
Credit Investment 66883 24.60 45870 19.56 26899 14.25
Total 261806 100 225547 100 180506 100
Interest-bearing Asset’s
Total Return 3.99% 4.03% 3.43%
Table 4
Data from: Annual Report of ICBC
We should pay attention that the increase of equity investment can not only add up to the
return of insurance fund but have impact on structures and stratagems of insurance companies. It
is essential to those insurance companies who plan to engage in integrated operation. Banks is in
the leading position in China and its determination to engage in integrated operation never stops.
Then who has more advantage in this competition? Basing on the previous analysis I believe that
insurance fund has more advantage than banks fund resulting from larger impetus in equity
investment of insurance fund. Although banks have absolute advantage in its assets, the duration
of its liabilities requires high liquidity while the duration of insurance liabilities lays more
importance to safety and profitability.
11
v. Investment of Life Insurance Companies and Banks From the illustration, we know that investment is vital to embedded value. Although the
access of insurance fund to investment is broadened in China, present situation still needs more
modification. By the comparison of insurance fund’s investment restriction and asset distribution
of America, England, Japan and China, we can forecast the developing trend of life insurance fund
in China with the improvement of financial market.
1. Application of Insurance Fund in Developed Countries
A. America
Asset Di st r i but i on of Amer i ca' s Li f e I nsurance
0% 50% 100%
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996Bond
Stock
Mortgage Lendi ng
Pol i cy Mortgage
real estate
Other Asset
Chart 14
Data from: “modeling analysis of asset-liability of insurance in China”
Investment Items in America Limited Investment Proportion
Listed Share 15
Unlisted Share 5
Foreign Company’s Share 5
Foreign Bond 5
Real Estate 10
Mortgage Loan 69
Table 5
Materials from: www.edu.drcnet.com.cn
B. England
Asset Di st r i but i on of Engl and' s Li f e I nsurance
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1993
1994
1995
1996Bond
Stock
Mutual Fund
Other I nvestment
Cash
Other Asset
Chart 15
12
Data from: “modeling analysis of asset-liability of insurance in China”
Investment Items in England Limited Investment Proportion
Government Bond 18
Foreign and Local Government Bond 3
Government Loan 7
Share 48
Mortgage Loan 22
Others 2
Table 6
Materials from: edu.drcnet.com.cn
C. Japan
Asset Di st r i but i on of J apan' s Li f e I nsurance
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
1986
1988
1989
1990
1995
1996Deposi tNegot i abl e NoteLoanReal EstateOther
Chart 16
Data from: “modeling analysis of asset-liability of insurance in China”
Investment Items in Japan Limited Investment Proportion
Listed Share 30
Unlisted Share 30
Foreign Company’s Share 30
Real Estate 20
Mortgage Loan 50
Non-gage loan 30
Table 7
Materials from: www.edu.drcnet.com.cn
D. Revelation
We can get three revelations from asset distribution and limited investment proportion of
America, England and Japan. Firstly, flexible investment is common in developed countries. They
determine investment items on the characteristics of their companies and combine assets
effectively with those of large profit, high liquidity and good safety. Secondly, investment
proportion is limited to control the risk. Thirdly, securities account for majority of insurance fund.
2. Application of Insurance Fund in China
New phenomena have emerged recently in investment policy and practice.
Firstly, new investment items emerge. It started when stock market was open to insurance
fund in February 2005. Then the investment restriction of estate was cancelled by “experimental
13
management of insurance fund investing on basic facilities indirectly” in March 2006. The
“several suggestions of reform and development to insurance by State Council” encouraged
insurance fund to play more important role in the stock market in June. Later in October equity
investment on commercial banks became another feasible investment item after the print of
“notice about insurance companies investing on equity of commercial banks”. From the
comparison of the different return of deposit, government bond, fund, energy source, road and
traffic and public facilities, we conclude that as the new investment items are adopted, insurance
fund will have higher return.
Average
Income(%)Deposit
Government
bondFund
Energy
source
Road and
traffic
Public
facilities
1999 5 2.5-3.5 — 13.88 13.59 15.90
2000 3.4 2.5-3.6 38.42 10.88 8.44 10.49
2001 3.4 3.0-4.0 -16.37 9.30 8.09 10.66
Table 8
Data from: “Mutual development of life insurance and capital market of china”
Secondly, investment proportion is regulated by “provisional rules of insurance institutions
investing on bond” and “provisional rules of insurance institutions investing on stock” shown as
table 9. Liquidity and safety are coordinated to pursuit high profit.
Investment Items in China Limited investment proportion
Deposit No Upper Limitation
Government Bond & Financial Bond No Upper Limitation
Enterprise bond over AA, subordinated term debt 30%
Fund 15%
Share 5%
Table 9
Materials from: http://www.circ.gov.cn
Finally, negotiable securities take up a larger part of insurance fund. Especially in 2004,
deposit decreased to lower than 50% for the first time. But negotiable securities increased steadily
and passed 50% in 2005 for the first time shown as table 10.
Asset Distribution of
Insurance in China
Deposit Government
Bond
Bond Investment
Fund
Financial
Bond
Others
2001 52.4 21.67 5.5 4.38 16.05
2002 52.07 18.64 5.4 6.96 16.93
2003 52 16.1 5.23 9.5 17.17
2004 46 25 6 11 12
2005 37.13 25.38 7.85 12.81 16.83
Table 10
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
IV.the Status of Insurance in Financial Market in Different Countries
Based on previous analysis, we know that life insurance companies have larger inflation
speed of embedded value than banks in China. Therefore if we evaluate assets with embedded
value, assets of life insurance will grow with a rate higher than banks. So it is scientific to foresee
that there will be continuous promotion of insurance’s status in financial market.
14
From Chart 17, we can see that in matured market (a) the share of insurance in financial
market is larger than bank’s (b) the proportions of insurance asset to GDP, banks asset to GDP and
insurance asset to banks asset are stable. From Chart 18, we can see that in China (a) the share of
insurance in financial market is far smaller than banks (b) insurance asset is growing quicker than
bank asset as GDP increases, which lessened the asset gap of insurance and banks.
the Compari son of I nsurance and Bank Assetsi n Matured Market
39. 6 41. 2 43. 548. 7 50. 5 48. 1
23. 2 24 24. 7 27. 223. 5 24 24. 7 26. 2
47. 337. 936. 3
23. 2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
%
I nsuranceAsset / GDPBank Asset /GDP
Chart 17
Data from: Global Report of Financial Stability in 2004
the Compar i son of I nsurance and Bank Asset s i n Chi na
3. 73 4. 81 6. 17 7. 79 8. 76 8. 39
153. 57 154. 09
210. 29 218. 02231. 47
205. 54
0. 00
50. 00
100. 00
150. 00
200. 00
250. 00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
% I nsuranceAsset / GDP
Bank Asset/ GDP
Chart 18
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
Although total assets of life insurance companies in China is far less than banks, the former
have advantage in the development of operation and assets since it is in the stage of growing. By
calculating the data given in chart 19 and 20, we know that multiple inflation of life insurance in
China is 33.37%, while banks’ is 18.79%. Although banks in China is dominant in financing and
insurance will not surpass banks as that in developed countries, insurance’s status and influence in
financial market will be advanced steadily.
15
Assets of I nsurance i n Chi na
6319. 68
11953. 68
15296. 3
9088. 21
4611. 83
3291. 32
2724. 2
2038. 20
2000400060008000
1000012000140001600018000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
100
mill
ion
Chart 19
Data from: Insurance Year Book of China
Assets of Banks i n Chi na
215329. 37
300488. 98
355282. 38
254413. 13
135434106411. 9
147826. 8119872
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
100
mill
ion
Chart 20
Data from: Finance Year Book of China
V.Conclusions
Different fund source and fund inflation speed promise life insurance companies a rapider
increase in embedded value than banks in China. Confronting with different discount of future
profit, life insurance and banks behave distinctly in investment inclination and also the former has
higher share price than the latter. These conclusions are based on the following facts: a. capital
structure is special with life insurance companies and leads to special asset structure b. the
efficiency of insurance fund is improving as investment gets normative and reasonable.
Although insurance is weak in financial market in China, its status will be boosted with
further development. The conclusion is based on the following facts: a. insurance in China has
advantage in expanding during its growing stage b. when evaluated by embedded value, the assets
of life insurance will increase with a high speed since high inflation of embedded value is
obtained.
References[1]Dieter Farney. Management of Insurance Companies [M]. Economic Science Press, 2002:567-
574
16
[2]David H.Friedman. Deposit Management [M]. China Planning Press, 2001:266-291
[3]Peter.S.Rose. Commercial Bank Management [M]. Mechanism Industry Publishing House,
2004:208-227
[4]Steven Lee. Estimate Embedded Value of Life Insurance Company [M]. People University
Publishing Company, 2003:7-10
[5]Dai Wensheng. Modeling Analysis of Asset-Liability of Insurance in China[M]. Economic
Science Press, 2004:107-113
[6]Deng Shimin. Fund Utilization and Management of Commercial Bank [M]. China Finance
Press, 2000:203-214
[7]Ding Jie. Embeded Value and its Application in Life Insurance Company [J]. Fujian Financial,
2006(11):32-35
[8]Fu Anping. Mutual Development of Life Insurance and Capital Market in China [M].
Economic Science Press, 2004:140-146
[9]Gao Yanfang. The Management and Control of Liquidity Risk of the Commercial Bank [D].
Master Paper of Administer, Wuhan University of Technology, 2003
[10]Guo Jinlong. Empirical Analysis of Insurance in China and International Experiences [M].
Economics Management Press, 2006: 26-28
[11]Hu Yanling, Li Lihong. The Analysis of Optimizing Liability Structure of Commercial Banks
in China [J]. The Border Economy and Culture, 2005(6):52-53
[12]Li Binqing, Yang Xue. the Mistake of Embedded Value’s Application in Life Insurance
Companies and Its Modification [J]. Insurance Study, 2005(12):9-12
[13]Li Xiufang. The Study of Asset-Liability Management of Life Insurance in China [M]. China
social science press, 2002:153-161
[14]Meng Zhaoyi. International Comparison of Managing Insurance Fund [M]. China Finance
Press, 2005:9-46
[15]Sun Jie. Capital Structure, Governance Structure and Agent Cost [M]. Social and Science
Literature press, 2006:395-403
[16]Wang Haiyan. Asset-Liability Management of Insurance Company [M]. Economic Science
Press, 2004:20-25
[17]Wang Lin, Wang Jianping. Fiscal Measure of Bank’s Market Value [M]. Economic Science
Press, 2005:36-42, 56-64
[18]Wang Yong. Collocate Financial Instrument of Commercial Bank of China [M]. Wuhan
University Publishing House, 2002:246-253
[19]Wei Yingning. Theory and Practice of Life Insurance’s Embedded Value [M]. Economy and
Management Publishing House,2005:3-9
[20]Wu Yueping. Hazard of Life Insurance Fund in China [M]. China Finance Press, 2006:22-44
[21]Xue Lan, Wu Zhiliang, Li Guorong, Jiang Xiangling. Fund Management of Commercial Bank
[M]. Tsinghua University press, 2006:60-74
[22]Zhang Ting. The Analysis and Suggestions on the Influence of Deposit Structure on
Commercial Banks [D]. Master Paper of Finance, University of International Business and
Economics, 2006
[23]Zhong Jin. The Analysis of Evaluation of Commercial Bank [D]. Doctorial Paper of Finance,
South Western University of Finance and Economics, 2006
[24] Finance Year Book of China [S]
17
[25] Insurance Year Book of China [S]
[26]http://www.osiris.bvdep.com/ip
[27]保监会[28]国研网
18