Transcript
Page 1: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Predictors of Interest in DL Courses

Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR)

30th Annual ConferenceFebruary 6, 2008

Lone Star College – Cy-FairW. Clay McFaden, Patti Franklin, and Joe Schlichting

Page 2: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Hypothesis What is most important regarding Distance

Learning (DL) courses is “convenience”– Women with children at home

The traditional course with in-class lecture does not work well for women who have small children

• Finding day care is inconvenient and may even be too costly if it is not provided by the community college

– Full-Time workers Full-time workers have the option of taking night courses, but

night courses extend the “work” day, and it is inconvenient to go from work to school and then home

Page 3: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Anecdotal Evidence Who takes DL courses (in Government)?

– Personal Introductions – At the beginning of the semester, I ask my students to introduce themselves. I do not solicit any specific information, but students often

offer information about their career goals and family

– Noticeable patterns from student testimonials: Women -- In 11 DL courses (Fall 2005 to Fall 2007), 75% of

my students have been women Mothers – More mothers than fathers have taken my courses Aspiring Nurses – A notable number aspire to be nurses Full-Time Workers – A notable number have full-time jobs

Page 4: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

A Few Anecdotes Testimonials – Summer 2007

– Student #1 thru #12 testimonials taken from Summer 2007 course in Government

– Women with Children Student #1: “I am a mother to my beautiful, rambunctious

‘almost-two-year-old’, so with my platter full, online classes have been amazing for me.”

Student #2: “I believe this is my 8th on line class I have taken. I have not decided what career I would enjoy after my children has [sic] gain independence. So, in the meantime I will enjoy my children’s laughs and continue learn [sic].”

Student #3: “My kids like that I am at home during the summer so online classes provided me with the opportunity to do just that.”

Page 5: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

A Few Anecdotes Testimonials – Summer 2007 (continued)

– Women with Children Student #4: “I am a stay at home mom. I love taking classes on

line because my baby girl who is now 5 months old and my 4yr. old son keep me very busy.”

– Mothers who work Full-Time Student #5: “I too work full time and am a single mom, so these

online classes have been a tremendous help in achieving goals.” Student #6: “I have two children…I work full time…as a

Pharmacy technician making Chemotherapy IV's.” Student #7: “I have been a bus driver for 13 years, and a

teachers aid for 5 years. I have two handsome sons and have been married for 22 years. My youngest son will graduate next year.”

Page 6: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

A Few Anecdotes Testimonials – Summer 2007 (continued)

– Students who Work Full-Time Student #8: “I have been working as a full time

employee…as an IT E2E Consultant for the past three years..”

Student #9: “I work full time…as a Transaction Control Analyst.”

Student #10: “I work full-time and am a part-time student (sometimes a full-time student).”

Student #11: “I work anywhere from 20-40 hours a week and go to school so it's a little easier on me to take online classes.”

Student #12: “I'm a full time employee at a gas turbine engine building business and a full time student.”

Page 7: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

A Few Anecdotes Testimonials – Fall 2007

– Students who aspire to be nurses Student #1: “I will be applying to the nursing program at

Texas Women's and UT in the med center. Wish me luck! They are hard programs to get into.”

Student #2: “I will apply to UT and TX Women's Nursing program as well. Although, my long term goal is to become a CRNA.”

Student #3: “I am currently a Registered Nurse and work in Trauma SICU. I'm working my way towards my Advanced Practice Nursing degree (Nurse Practitioner).”

Page 8: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

The Dataset Cy-Fair College (CFC) Student Opinion Survey

– Biennial Survey – 2006 survey used in this study 65-70 classes were surveyed, classes randomly chosen from

approximately 1400 sections taught 1165 students completed survey (65% response rate)

– About 70% to 80% of questions are borrowed from the ACT Corporation – Faces of the Future Survey, a survey specifically designed for community colleges

Page 9: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

The (Statistical) Model Design Dependent Variables

– Interest in DL courses Ordered Variable: 1 = not interested at all, 2 = not interested,

3 = somewhat interested, 4 = interested, 5= very interested Dummy Variable #1: 1 = very interested; 0 = all others Dummy Variable #2: 1 = interested or very interested, 0 = all

others

Independent Variables– In addition to my test variables (women, aspiring

nurses, mothers, full-time workers), I chose other variables that may also determine why one might be interested in taking DL courses

Page 10: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

The (Statistical) Model Design Independent Variables (continued)

Demographics: race, age, gender, family income Course Load: 1 to 17 course hours Who Pays for School: Self, Spouse, Parents, Financial Aid,

Employer – ranges from 1( not a source) to 4 (a major source)) Full-Time Work: 0 to 50+ hours per week Internet Usage: ranges from 1 (no use) to 6 (daily use) Problems: no transportation, no day care (for mothers) – ranges

from 1 (not a problem) to 4 (major problem) Desired Academic Field: education, engineering, accounting,

computer science, biology, business administration, pre-law, nursing

Mothers: 1) Children 0 to 2 years old , 2) Children 3 to 5 years old (also 0 to 5 years old), 3) Children 6 to 17 years old (also 0 to 17 years old)

Page 11: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Most Significant Predictors Statistically, the most consistent and significant

predictors of interest in DL courses are ranked as follows:1) Problems with transportation to school – those without

reliable transportation show interest in DL

2) Hours worked – The more hours one works, the more interest in DL

3) Frequency of internet use – those who use the internet daily are most interested in DL

4) Family income – higher income more interest

5) Women – Women are more interested than men in DL

6) Asians – Asians show significantly more interest in DL than any other race

Page 12: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Most Significant Predictors Other variables are significant in some cases:

1) Aspiring career as a Nurse – Of all Cy-Fair College students, the 2nd highest number aspire to be nurses

2) Aspiring career in Business Administration – Of all Cy-Fair College students, the highest number aspire to major in business administration

3) Financial Aid – Students who rely mostly on financial aid to pay for school are less likely to be very interested in DL courses

4) Mother – Mothers with children 3 to 5 years old are marginally more interested in DL than women who are not mothers or women who have children of other ages

5) Aspiring Educators – Students who aspire to be educators are marginally more interested in DL in one analysis than those who hope to major in other fields

6) Self-Funded – Students who pay for most of their college expenses on their own have less interest in DL courses than students who are funded by other means

Page 13: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Most Substantive Predictors Substantively, the most consistent predictors of

interest in DL courses over 3 separate analyses rank as follows:

1. Frequency of Internet Use – Students who use the internet on a daily basis are 120% to 143% more likely to have interest in DL courses than those who never use the internet

2. Problems with Transportation – Students who have issues with transportation are 52% to 62% more likely to have interest in DL courses than those with no problems with transportation

3. Aspiring career in Business Administration – Students who want to major in business administration are 37% to 39% more likely to have interest in DL courses than those who wish to major in another field

4. Self-Funded – Students who pay for most of the expenses of their education are 26% to 27% less likely to have interest in DL courses than those who are pay for college by other means

Page 14: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Most Substantive Predictors Other substantive predictors (though not necessarily

consistent predictors over 3 separate analyses):1. Mothers – Mothers with children between 3 and 5 years of age

are 28% to 91% more likely to have interest in DL courses than mothers with children of other ages or women with no children

2. Asians – Asians are 18% to 87% more likely to have interest in DL than other races and ethnicities

3. Hours Worked – Students who work 50+ hours per week are 50% to 79% more likely to have interest in DL than those who work 10 hours per week or less

4. Family Income – Students whose families earn $100K or more are 32% to 78% more likely to have interest in DL courses than those whose families earn less than $10K

5. Aspiring Nurses – Those who aspire to be nurses are 27% to 56% more likely to have interest in DL courses than those who want to major in other fields

6. Women – Women are 28% to 55% more likely to have interest in DL courses than men

Page 15: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Statistical Results

Page 16: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Statistical Results

Page 17: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Statistical Results

Page 18: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Substantive Results

Page 19: Predictors of Interest in DL Courses Texas Association of Institutional Research (TAIR) 30 th Annual Conference February 6, 2008 Lone Star College – Cy-Fair

Substantive Results


Recommended