UUniversity of Tokyo IInstitute of Social Science
PPanel Survey
Discussion Paper Series
Yurie MOMOSE, Yasufumi YAMAGUCHI, Fumiko SUZUKI
November 2020
No.125
INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL SCIENCE UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO
× No.125
2020 11
15 wave16
× ×
2019 10 15
wave16
16 23
4 3 2
330
4 wave15
S 22223005 C 25381122
B 16H03778 H16
018 ×× ×
× ×
1
1.
× 2004 3
JLPS-H×
wave1 2004 1 3 4 1013 7,563
2004 10wave2 16 wave4 web
2 3 web wave2wave4 w15
wave1
16 1
6 1
2019 10 wave16
424 131 290 3 33 342
wave1 2004 1 17-18 7563 69.1%wave2 2004 10 18-19 501 24.6% 483 23.7%wave3 2005 10 19-20 670 33.3%wave4 2006 10 20-21 547 27.8% 348 17.8%wave5 2008 10 22-23 530 27.6%wave6 2009 10 23-24 465 25.0%wave7 2010 10 24-25 515 29.3%wave8 2011 10 25-26 505 29.3%wave9 2012 10 26-27 514 30.7%wave10 2013 10 27-28 484 29.8%wave11 2014 10 28-29 465 29.6%wave12 2015 10 29-30 463 30.0%wave13 2016 10 30-31 451 30.2%wave14 2017 10 31-32 490 33.5%wave15 2018 10 32-33 442 30.9% 181 70.2%wave16 2019 10 33-34 424 26.3% 183 70.9%
2
3 4 3
2
COVID-19
3010 15
4
2 5 4 3 1
2 12
3
3
2
3
4
5
28.6% 38.3% 37.6%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%
2009(n=461)
2012(n=498)
2015(n=380)
2019(n=354)
47.6% 56.8%59.0%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%
2009(n=461)
2012(n=498)
2015(n=380)
2019(n=354)
33.3%48.1% 43.8%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%
2009(n=461)
2012(n=498)
2015(n=380)
2019(n=354)
69.8% 84.0% 80.5%
0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%100.0%
2009(n=461)
2012(n=498)
2015(n=380)
2019(n=354)
4
6
210
6
37.5%
63.6%
84.6%
35.0%42.9%
26.0%36.4%
20.0%
36.4%
50.0%
72.7%
88.5%
70.0%76.5%
63.5%54.5%
40.0%
54.5%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
8 4 4 01 0
01
8 4 4 01 0
01
8 4 4 01 0
01
4 5
2
3 18
5
7
8
wave16
4
42.5%
70.0%
49.0%
89.8%
45.2%
81.9%
18.2%
72.7%
50.0%
80.0%
40.0%
76.4%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
37.5%
75.0%
48.0%
92.0%
42.7%
83.3%
30.0%
66.7%
51.7%
75.9%
46.7%
73.3%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
* * *
6
7 10
9
10
5
29.7%
73.0%
50.0%
90.7%
44.5%
84.1%
40.0%
68.0%
48.0%
76.0%
40.0%
66.7%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
* * *
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
* *
7
2
3
2019 Wave16 1170
10 20 30
18.9
2013×
8
300
11 33 34
1
33 34
12 13
1 12 33 34
20.6 17.9
15 Cramér's V=
9
0.351 13 25 60 44.0 1520 32.7
2
2 4 4 4
A BC D
14
15 Cramér's V=0.311 15 D 0
15 55.6 B 20 2558.3 A C 50 A
0 15 37.5 C 25 6034.3
14 15
3
30
16
20.6
15.317
10
16 17
2 30
19 20 2006 Wave3 20 21
2007 Wave418
2006 Wave331.6 68.4
2007 Wave4
28.571.5 2006 Wave3 31.6 2007 Wave4 26.5
30
19 2006 Wave3 2007 Wave42019 Wave16 49.3 1
2006 Wave3 2007 Wave4
2019 Wave16 21.92006 Wave3 2007 Wave4
2019 Wave16 28.8 3
1 2006 Wave3 2007 Wave4
2019 Wave16
11
18 19
1 20 35.1
26.6
20 21
2 21 5 Cramér's
V=0.228 A 57.1 D
73.9 B C B24.6 C 34.4
3 22
12
22 23
3
23
300 95.325.5
2020
.
30
2018 wave15
×
13
138
4 75 6 7 6.5 1 4 5
4.5 1 2 3 2.5 1 10
243 4
24 vs
25
14
25
26
1
26
25.2 52.9 21.6 23.7 46.329.6 21.8 50.0 28.1 29.7 41.3 28.8
52.9 41.3
15
25 1
0 1 3 4
4 4 4 1 n 51 0 n=31 1 4
n=56
4 4
27
27
n=138
3.4 3.6 1
16
3.0 3.73.4 1
t
28
1 3.4
3.010 3.6
3.4
17
2013
× ! :
S 2006 2009 2010 2014 C 2013
2016 2015 2017 A 2015 2018B 2016 2020 2018 2024
2004 2006
2006
2008
https://csrda.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/panel/