Download pdf - 143 75 Recovered Paper and Pulp World Map...DeVink MapDesign, Leigh-on-Sea, United Kingdom RaboResearch Food & Agribusiness Recovered Paper and Pulp World Map far.rabobank.com Rabobank

1,025

608 608 608 608

175175175

181

241

126

262

203

287287287

265

975

405

193

291

148324163163163

897267

133

364158

104

249

195

3,815

2,661

1,345

1,190

6,327

2,950

1,358

845300

133120

1,342

987987987987

342342342

297

101101101101101

110110110110110

174174174

123

118

237

312

303303303

261261261

325325325325325

550550

125125125

721721721

244

191

192

608608

149

134250250

374374374374374

241191125 145328

131

293427

2,118

1,999

386386

251 152

145

312

344

295

151151151151151

1,206

219219

116185446446

446

307307307

134

136 814

490

673

107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107

123

295

Japan

Canada

United Statesof America

Mexico

Guatemala

Belize

Honduras

Panama

Cuba

Bermuda

Jamaica

HaïtiDom.

Republic PuertoRico (US)

Trinidadand Tobago

Venezuela

Guyana

Colombia Suriname

FrenchGuyana

Ecuador

Peru

Bolivia

Chile

Argentina

Uruguay

Paraguay

Brazil

GalapagosIsl. (Ec.)

Israel

Cyprus

Jordan

SyriaLebanon

Egypt

SaudiArabia

Kuwait

BahrainQatar

UAE

Oman

Yemen

Ethiopia

Somalia

Djibouti

Eritrea

Kenya

TanzaniaRwanda

Burundi

Uganda

Congo(Dem. Rep.)

GabonCongo

Cameroon

S. Tomé andPrincipe

Be

nin

Tog

o

Ghana Nigeria

BurkinaFaso

Côted’Ivoire

Mauritania

Senegal

GuineaGuinea-Bissau

Gambia

SierraLeone

Liberia

Morocco

W. Sahara

CanaryIslands

(Sp.)

Cape Verde

Angola

Zambia

Zimbabwe

BotswanaNamibia

South Africa

Lesotho

Swaziland

Moz

am

bique

Madagascar

Comoros

Mauritius

Réunion (Fr.)

Seychelles

Maldives

SudanChad

Libya

Tunisia

Algeria

Niger

CentralAfrican Rep.

Mali

Iran

Uzbekistan

Afghanistan

Kyrgyzstan

Tajikistan

Pakistan

India

Nepal Bhutan

Bangla-desh

MyanmarLaos

Thailand

Cambodia

China

Mongolia

NorthKorea

SouthKorea

TaiwanHong Kong

Philippines

Brunei

PapuaNew

Guinea

Vanuatu

New Caledonia

Australia

EastTimor

NewZealand

Sri Lanka

A t l a n t i c

O c e a n

Hawaii

Kazakhstan

S o u t hC h i n a

S e a

P a c i f i c

O c e a n

Ta s m a nS e a

I n d i a n

O c e a n

A r a b i a nS e a

P a c i f i c

O c e a n

H u d s o nB a y

Equator

Tropic of Cancer

Tropic of Capricorn

G u l fo f

M e x i c o

Spain

Portugal

Norway

Nether-lands

Iceland

Belarus

Russia

Moldova

Georgia

AzerbaijanArmenia Turkmenistan

Serbia

Greenland(Den.)

SolomonIslands

SouthSudan

Vietnam

S e ao f

O k h o t s k

M a l a y s i a

Iraq

Nicaragua

CostaRica

S e a o fJ a p a n

France

Italy

PolandIreland

Sweden

Finland

BelgiumGermany

Austria

Switzer-land

Czech Rep.

Slovakia

Hungary

Romania

TurkeyGreece

Bulgaria

DenmarkUnited

Kingdom

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Ukraine

Croatia

Alb.

L.

Indonesia

Poland

Austria

France

Italy

Spain

Ireland

UnitedKingdom

Slovakia

CzechRepublic

Hungary

Greece

Portugal

Latvia

Lithuania

SloveniaCroatia

N o r t h

S e a

B a l t i c

S e a

Netherlands

Lux.

Belgium

Denmark

M e d i t e r r a n e a n S e a

A t l a n t i c

O c e a n

Romania

Sweden

Germany

977

96

86

129

286

112

109

104

102 6262622327368

230

87

344

189138138138 651

969696

59

979790

89

160

115

448

73

7950

90

71

129

123

147

131

143

75

154

185185185

OCC (150,000 metric tons)

The minimum requirement

for drawing a trade line

is 50,000 metric tons

150

Mixed paper (150,000 metric tons)150

ONP (150,000 metric tons)150

Poland

Finland

Austria

France

Italy

Spain

Ireland

UnitedKingdom

Slovakia

CzechRepublic

Hungary

GreecePortugal

Latvia

Estonia

Lithuania

SloveniaCroatia

Bulgaria

N o r t h

S e a

B a l t i c

S e a

Netherlands

Lux.

Belgium

Denmark

M e d i t e r r a n e a n S e a

A t l a n t i c

O c e a n

Romania

Sweden

Germany

204

182

128

126

217 188

183242242242242

222

883

166166166166

124

367

293

319

250

169102

72

72

69

109

105

50

94

93

61

98

70

73

7498

80

BHKP (150,000 metric tons)

The minimum requirement for drawing

a trade line is 50,000 metric tons

150

BSKP (150,000 metric tons)150

Short Fiber Wood Brazil

Eucalyptus 7-8

Growth cycle(years)Species

45

Productivity mwood/ha/year

Long Fiber Wood Brazil

SPP Pine 15


38


Long Fiber Wood Finland

Picea abies 70-80


4


Short Fiber Wood Chile

Eucalyptus 10-12


25


Short Fiber Wood South Africa

Eucalyptus 8-10


20


Short Fiber Wood Portugal

Eucalyptus 12-15


12


Short Fiber Wood Spain

Eucalyptus 12-15


10


Long Fiber Wood

Short Fiber Wood Finland

35-40


6


Long Fiber Wood Chile

Radiata Pine 25


22


Long Fiber Wood New Zealand

Radiata Pine 25


22


Long Fiber Wood US

Elliotti Pine 25


10


Long Fiber Wood Canada

Oregon PinePicea glauca


73


US

Sweden

Canada

Finland

Chile

Russia

Germany

Japan

Spain

China

ROW

0 105 15 20

Brazil

Indonesia

US

Japan

China

Finland

Russia

Uruguay

Portugal

Chile

ROW

millionmetric tons

2015

2020f

2010

5 10 15

2015

2020f

2010

5 10 15 20

US

UK

Netherlands

France

Germany

Japan

Italy

Canada

Belgium

Australia

2016

2019

2000

0 million

metric tons

0 million

metric tons

Non-processed food & beverage ingredients

Retail,foodservice

& e-commerce

Consumer

RCP disposal

RCP collection

Environment

Materials recovery

facility

Landfill

Food & beverage manufacturer/processor

Packaging converter

Packaging paperproducer

Commercialtimberland

Pulp mill

Waste to energy

Printing & writingpaper producer

Tissue paper producer

Specialtypaper producer

S e a

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

2.0

1.8

1.6

1.4

1.2

Note:83% of these recycled pulp capacities are investments by Chinese companies. The figures show the announced year ofthe project completion, which does not necessarily mean that all the capacity will become operational in the same year.

US Myanmar ThailandMalaysia Laos India

2018 2019 2020 2021 Pending

mill

ion

me

tric

to

ns

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20190

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Virgin containerboard

Recycled containerboard

Recycled pulp

Import RCP volume

90

mill

ion

me

tric

to

ns

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

-20

-10

-15

0

5

-5

10

20

15

25%

Total RCP volume growth (YOY)

2005 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18’10 ’15 2019

2020 scenario

1

2020 scenario

2

Domestic RCP volume

- 2

01

8-2

02

0 G

rad

ua

l de

clin

e o

f

imp

ort

qu

ota

siz

e (

pe

rmit

s)-

Loo

kin

g t

o b

an

RC

P im

po

rts

b

y th

e e

nd

of

20

20

1 M

arc

h 2

01

8: M

axi

mu

mco

nta

min

ati

on

lev

el f

or

RC

P

set

to 0

.5%

31

De

cem

be

r 2

01

7: B

an

on

un

sort

ed

mix

ed

pa

pe

rim

po

rts

cam

e in

to e

ffe

ct

mill

ion

me

tric

to

ns

Other RCP actual imports

RCP total import quota

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020scenario

1

2020scenario

2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mixed paper actual imports

OCC actual imports

2014 2016 2017 2018 20192015

IndonesiaIndia VietnamThailandMalaysia

mill

ion

me

tric

to

ns

0 0

2

4

6

8

10

12

US

D/m

t

250

300

150

200

50

100

OCC (11) price, US to India OCC (12) price, US to India

2014 2016 2017 2018 20192015

Mixed paperOCC Other RCPONP

mill

ion

me

tric

to

ns

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Source: Waste Material Recycling: Assessment of ContaminantsLimiting Recycling (Pivnenko) 2016; iCAREPLAST, Rabobank 2020

A bold printed country name indicates

an export country.

Trade flows of mixed paper to China refer to speciallysorted mixed paper that meets China’s contaminationrequirements.

ROW = Rest of world

RCP = Recoverd paper

State boundaryEU boundary

uninhabited

Trade flows

The data in the map refers to 2019 and is presented in metric tons. The

minimum requirement for drawing a trade line on the main world map

is 100,000 metric tons for OCC (HS code 470710), mixed paper (HS code

470790), ONP (HS code 470730), BHKP (HS code 470329 + HS code

470429), and BSKP (HS code 470321 + HS code 470421). Trade lines on

the map refer neither to the actual trade route nor to the exact point of

origin or arrival.

The data in the map refers to 2019 and is presented in metric tons. The

minimum requirement for drawing a trade line on the main world map

is 100,000 metric tons for OCC (HS code 470710), mixed paper (HS code

470790), ONP (HS code 470730), BHKP (HS code 470329 + HS code

470429), and BSKP (HS code 470321 + HS code 470421). Trade lines on

the map refer neither to the actual trade route nor to the exact point of

origin or arrival.

500

500

500

Mixed paper500,000 metric tons

500OCC (old corrugated containers)500,000 metric tons

ONP (old newsprint)500,000 metric tons

BHKP (bleached hardwood kraft pulp)500,000 metric tons

BSKP (bleached softwood kraft pulp)500,000 metric tons

500

Growth cycle andproductivity of shortand long fiber wood(for BHKP and BSKP)

Short Fiber Wood Chile

Eucalyptus 10-12


25


Long Fiber Wood Chile

Radiata Pine 25


22


Legend

Intra-EU Trade Flows of Bleached Pulp, 2019

China’s RCP Balance: Domestic Production and Imports, 2005-2020f China’s RCP Import Quotas and Actual Imports, 2015-2020f Announced Recycled Pulp Capacities Outside of China, 2018-2021China’s Imports of Recycled Pulp and Containerboard, 2013-2019

Top 10 BHKP-Producing Countries by Volume, 2010-2020f

Top 10 BSKP-Producing Countries by Volume, 2010-2020f

Top 10 RCP-Exporting Countries by Volume, 2000-2019

US and EU Exports of RCP to India and Southeast Asia, per Country, 2014-2019

US and EU Exports of RCP to India and Southeast Asia, per RCP grade, 2014-2019

Intra-EU Trade Flows of Recovered Paper, 2019

0 5 10 15 20

China

US

Japan

Germany

Brazil

UK

Finland

Sweden

Russia

Canada

ROW

millionmetric tons

2015

2020f

2000

0 2 4 86 10

China

US

Sweden

Finland

Germany

UK

Japan

Canada

Russia

Brazil

ROW

metric tons

2015

2020f

2000

Imports as share of consumptionm

illio

n m

etr

ic t

on

s

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020f

25

20

15

10

5

0

80

100%

60

40

20

0

China’s pulp imports

China’s pulp production

Top 10 BHKP-Consuming Countries by Volume, 2010-2020f Top 10 BSKP-Consuming Countries by Volume, 2010-2020f China’s Bleached Pulp Balance: Domestic Production and Imports, 2010-2020f

Recovered Paper and Pulp in the Paper Packaging Supply Chain

Utrecht, June 2020

Published Cover PhotoShutterstock

PrintingDe Groot Drukkerij bv, Goudriaan, the Netherlands China Customs, China Paper Association, China Solid Waste and Chemicals Management Center,

Company Reports, Fastmarkets RISI, UN Comtrade, Rabobank 2020

SourceAvailabilityThis map is published in line with Rabobank’s long-term commitment to international food and agribusiness. It is one of the products undertaken by

RaboResearch Food & Agribusiness. Clients of Rabobank can obtain a copy of this map from their Relationship Manager.

Copyright© Rabobank 2020. No reproduction of this map or any part thereof is permitted without prior consent of the copyright owners. The international and

other boundaries in this map are taken from authoritative sources and are believed to be accurate as of the date of publication of this map.

DisclaimerThe information on this map is based upon or drawn from various authoritative sources and whilst all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this map no warranties can be given as to its accuracy and/or no reliance should be

placed upon the same without further detailed inspection and survey. Therefore, the publishers cannot accept any liability or responsibility for any loss or damage and indeed would be grateful to receive notification of any errors or inconsistencies.

CartographyG-O graphics, Ede & Kaartbeeld, Scherpenzeel, the Netherlands

DeVink MapDesign, Leigh-on-Sea, United Kingdom

RaboResearch

Food & Agribusiness

Recovered Paper andPulp World Map

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