World Population Prospects 2019 - un.org€¦ · World Population Prospects 2019, ... population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for 1950-2015 are estimates

WorldPopulationProspects2019

Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

ST/ESA/SER.A/426

Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division

World Population Prospects 2019

Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

United Nations New York, 2019

The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i) it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review common problems and take stock of policy options; (ii) it facilitates the negotiations of Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical assistance, helps build national capacities. The Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs provides the international community with timely and accessible population data and analysis of population trends and development outcomes for all countries and areas of the world. To this end, the Division undertakes regular studies of population size and characteristics and of all three components of population change (fertility, mortality and migration). Founded in 1946, the Population Division provides substantive support on population and development issues to the United Nations General Assembly, the Economic and Social Council and the Commission on Population and Development. It also leads or participates in various interagency coordination mechanisms of the United Nations system. The work of the Division also contributes to strengthening the capacity of Member States to monitor population trends and to address current and emerging population issues. Notes The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply the expression of any opinions whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The term “country” as used in this report also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas. This report is available in electronic format on the Division’s website at www.unpopulation.org. For further information about this report, please contact the Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, Two United Nations Plaza, DC2-1950, New York, 10017, USA; phone: +1 212-963-3209; email: [email protected]. Suggested citation: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2019). World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables (ST/ESA/SER.A/426). Official symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with numbers, as illustrated in the above citation. Front cover photo credit: Unsplash/Mauro Mora Published by the United Nations Sales No.: E.20.XIII.7 ISBN: 978-92-1-148327-7 eISBN: 978-92-1-004642-8 Copyright © 2019 by United Nations, made available under a Creative Commons license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division iii World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

PREFACE

The 2019 Revision of the World Population Prospects represents the latest global set of demographic estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. It constitutes the twenty-sixth round of global population estimates and projections produced by the Population Division since 1951.

This volume of the 2019 Revision presents the comprehensive tables of the official United Nations population estimates and projections, displaying key demographic indicators for selected periods or dates from 1950 to 2100, for the world, development groups, income groups, regions, subregions, and countries or areas with more than 90,000 inhabitants in 2019. For countries or areas with fewer than 90,000 inhabitants in 2019, only figures related to population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for 1950-2015 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. The projections are presented for the medium fertility variant, lower and upper 95 per cent prediction intervals, and constant-fertility variant. A companion World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights report (ST/ESA/SER.A/423) provides key findings and summarises key population trends described by the estimates and projections presented in World Population Prospects 2019.

To depict the uncertainty of future demographic trends, the Population Division has developed probabilistic projections for all countries and areas of the world. It should be stressed that making projections to 2100 is subject to a high degree of uncertainty, especially at the country level. In that regard, users are invited to focus not only on the outcomes of the medium variant, which for each country corresponds to the median of several thousand projected trajectories of specific demographic components, but also to the associated prediction intervals that provide an assessment of the uncertainty inherent in such projections. Detailed information on the 80 per cent and 95 per cent uncertainty bounds for different components at the country level is available on the website of the Population Division, www.unpopulation.org (also see: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/), and associated data table (https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Probabilistic/) and country profiles (see Volume 2: Demographic Profiles).

The detailed results of the 2019 Revision are made available through a variety of media. The website of the Population Division provides access to an extended set of data organized in Excel and ASCII files (https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/) as well as to an interactive database that enables users to obtain specific information on selected countries or regions (https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/).

The results of the 2019 Revision are presented in two volumes. In addition to this volume, the second volume contains demographic profiles presenting time series and plots of selected indicators, covering the period from 1950 to 2100, for each country or area, as well as for development groups, income groups, regions and subregions. The second volume also provides a brief description of the empirical data used and the methods applied to derive the estimates of population and components of demographic change (fertility, child, adult and overall mortality, international migration) for each country or area for the period 1950-2020. Further details about the respective data sources used for each country or area are available online interactively (https://population.un.org/wpp/DataSources/) with a tabular version of this information also available for download (https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Metadata). Further details about the methodology used to prepare the estimates and projections is explained in a companion report (World Population Prospects 2019: Methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections).

In preparing the 2019 Revision, the Population Division benefitted from the collaboration of the regional commissions, especially the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, and of specialized agencies and other relevant bodies of the United Nations system, including UNAIDS, UNICEF, WHO, UNHCR and the World Bank, notably for under-five mortality estimates through the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN-IGME). The Statistics Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, through its United Nations Demographic Yearbook and accompanying databases, provided access to official national population statistics used in the preparation of the 2019 Revision. The Population Division also acknowledges the assistance and cooperation of the organizations responsible for the Demographic and Health Surveys, the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys, the Human Mortality Database and Human Life Table Database (UC Berkeley, MPIDR and INED), the Human Fertility Database and Human Fertility Collection (MPIDR and VID), the Latin American Mortality Database–LAMBdA (University of Wisconsin-Madison), the International Data Base (U.S. Census

http://www.unpopulation.org/http://www.unpopulation.org/https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Probabilistic/https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Probabilistic/https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/https://population.un.org/wpp/DataSources/https://population.un.org/wpp/DataSources/https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Metadatahttps://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Metadatahttps://www.cepal.org/en/work-areas/population-and-developmenthttps://www.cepal.org/en/work-areas/population-and-developmenthttp://aidsinfo.unaids.org/http://aidsinfo.unaids.org/https://www.unicef.org/https://www.unicef.org/https://www.who.int/https://www.who.int/http://popstats.unhcr.org/en/overviewhttp://popstats.unhcr.org/en/overviewfile://unhq.un.org/shared/DESA_POP_Development/PEP-Section/WPP2019/Volumes%201%20and%202/Vol.%201%20-%20October%202019/World%20Bankfile://unhq.un.org/shared/DESA_POP_Development/PEP-Section/WPP2019/Volumes%201%20and%202/Vol.%201%20-%20October%202019/World%20Bankhttps://childmortality.org/https://childmortality.org/https://childmortality.org/https://childmortality.org/https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/dyb/https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/dyb/https://dhsprogram.com/https://dhsprogram.com/https://mics.unicef.org/https://mics.unicef.org/https://mics.unicef.org/https://mics.unicef.org/https://www.mortality.org/https://www.mortality.org/https://www.lifetable.de/https://www.lifetable.de/https://www.humanfertility.org/https://www.humanfertility.org/https://www.fertilitydata.org/https://www.fertilitydata.org/https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/cdha/latinmortality2/https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/cdha/latinmortality2/https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/cdha/latinmortality2/https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/cdha/latinmortality2/https://www.census.gov/data-tools/demo/idb/informationGateway.phphttps://www.census.gov/data-tools/demo/idb/informationGateway.php

iv United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division

World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Bureau), the Global Burden of Disease project (IHME, University of Washington), the Developing Countries

Mortality Database–DCMD (Zhejiang University), IPUMS-International, and of the many national statistical offices

that have made available data and reports for recent censuses and surveys to inform the development of the

estimates presented in this report. The Population Division is grateful for the contributions made by these entities

and accepts responsibility for any errors in the manipulation or interpretation of the information provided.

The 2019 Revision of the World Population Prospects was prepared by a team led by Patrick Gerland, including

Kirill Andreev, Lina Bassarsky, Guiomar Bay, Helena Cruz Castanheira, Victor Gaigbe-Togbe, Danan Gu, Sara

Hertog, Nan Li, Igor Ribeiro, Thomas Spoorenberg, Philipp Ueffing, Lubov Zeifman, Marc Wheldon and benefited

of the support of Bela Hovy, Kyaw Kyaw Lay, Frank Swiaczny, Guangyu Zhang. The team is grateful to other

colleagues in the Population Division for the support they have provided.

http://www.healthdata.org/gbdhttp://www.healthdata.org/gbdhttp://www.lifetables.org/http://www.lifetables.org/http://www.lifetables.org/http://www.lifetables.org/https://international.ipums.org/international/https://international.ipums.org/international/

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division v World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CONTENTS

Page

PREFACE ................................................................................................................................................................ iii EXPLANATORY NOTES .......................................................................................................................................... vii

TABLES

Population size and growth No. Page

A.1. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ........ 2 A.2. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion: upper 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 5 A.3. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion: lower 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 7 A.4. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion: constant-fertility variant, 2020-2100 ................. 9 A.5. Average annual rate of population change by region and subregion: estimates and medium

variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 12 A.6. Average annual rate of population change by region and subregion: upper 95 percent prediction

interval, 2020-2100 .................................................................................................................................. 15 A.7. Average annual rate of population change by region and subregion: lower 95 percent prediction

interval, 2020-2100 .................................................................................................................................. 17 A.8. Average annual rate of population change by region and subregion: constant-fertility variant,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 19 A.9. Total population at mid-year by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium

variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 22 A.10. Total population at mid-year by region, subregion, country and area: upper 95 percent prediction

interval, 2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................. 34 A.11. Total population at mid-year by region, subregion, country and area: lower 95 percent prediction

interval, 2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................. 41 A.12. Total population at mid-year by region, subregion, country and area: constant-fertility variant,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 48 A.13. Average annual rate of population change by region, subregion, country and area: estimates

and medium variant, 1950-2100 .............................................................................................................. 56 A.14. Average annual rate of population change by region, subregion, country and area: upper 95 percent

prediction interval, 2020-2100 ................................................................................................................. 68 A.15. Average annual rate of population change by region, subregion, country and area: lower 95 percent

prediction interval, 2020-2100 ................................................................................................................. 75 A.16. Average annual rate of population change by region, subregion, country and area: constant-fertility

variant, 2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 82 A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by region, subregion, country and area:

estimates, 1995-2015 ............................................................................................................................... 90 A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by region, subregion, country and area: medium

variant, 2016-2035 ................................................................................................................................... 102

vi United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population DivisionWorld Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

Fertility No. Page

A.19. Crude birth rate by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ..... 114 A.20. Crude birth rate by region, subregion, country and area: upper 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 124 A.21. Crude birth rate by region, subregion, country and area: lower 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 130 A.22. Total fertility by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ......... 136 A.23. Total fertility by region, subregion, country and area: upper 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 146 A.24. Total fertility by region, subregion, country and area: lower 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 152

Mortality

A.25. Crude death rate by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 .... 158 A.26. Crude death rate by region, subregion, country and area: upper 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 168 A.27. Crude death rate by region, subregion, country and area: lower 95 percent prediction interval,

2020-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 174 A.28. Life expectancy at birth by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and projections,

1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................................ 180 A.29. Infant mortality rate by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and projections, 1950-2100 ...... 216 A.30. Under-five mortality by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and projections, 1950-2100 ..... 228

Population age composition and dependency ratios

A.31. Population by broad age group, region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 240

A.32. Population in school ages by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 284

A.33. Dependency ratios (i, ii, iii) by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 328

A.34. Old-age potential support ratio by region, subregion, country and area: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................... 364

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division vii

World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

EXPLANATORY NOTES

The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report:

Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not reported separately.

A hyphen (-) indicates that the item is not applicable.

A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease.

A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals.

Years given refer to 1 July.

Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1 July

of the first year to 1 July of the second year.

Numbers and percentages in tables do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding.

References to countries, territories and areas:

The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever

on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or its

authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

The term “country” as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas. The names and

composition of geographical areas follow those presented in “Standard country or area codes for statistical use”

(ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49 as of July 2019), available at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/

The designation of “more developed” and “less developed” regions is intended for statistical purposes and does not

express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. More

developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, Australia and New Zealand and Japan. Less

developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), and Latin America and the Caribbean as

well as Oceania (excluding Australia and New Zealand).

The group of least developed countries includes 47 countries located in sub-Saharan Africa (32), Northern Africa and

Western Asia (2), Central and Southern Asia (4), Eastern and South-Eastern Asia (4), Latin America and the

Caribbean (1), and Oceania (4). Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-ldcs/.

The group denominated “other less developed countries” comprises all countries in the less developed regions minus

the least developed countries.

The group of Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) includes 32 countries or territories located in sub-Saharan

Africa (16), Northern Africa and Western Asia (2), Central and Southern Asia (8), Eastern and South-Eastern Asia (2),

Latin America and the Caribbean (2), and Europe and Northern America (2). Further information is available at

http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/.

The group of Small Island Developing States (SIDS) includes 58 countries or territories located in the Caribbean (29),

the Pacific (20), and the Atlantic, Indian Ocean, Mediterranean and South China Sea (AIMS) (9). Further information

is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/.

The classification of countries and areas by income level is based on the gross national income (GNI) per capita as

reported by the World Bank (June 2018). These income groups are not available for all countries or areas.

In this publication, data for countries or areas have been aggregated in six continental regions: Africa, Asia, Europe,

Latin America and the Caribbean, Northern America, and Oceania. Further information on continental regions is

available from https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49/. Countries and areas are also grouped into geographic

regions based on the classification being used to track progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals of the

United Nations (see: https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/).

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49.htmhttp://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49.htmhttp://unohrlls.org/about-ldcs/http://unohrlls.org/about-ldcs/http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49/https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49/https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/

viii United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

The following abbreviations have been used:

DESA Department of Economic and Social Affairs

HIV/AIDS Human immunodeficiency virus/Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

LDCs Least developed countries

SAR Special Administrative Region

UNAIDS Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division ix World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY REGION, INCOME GROUP AND SUBREGION OF THE WORLD

Sub-Saharan Africa

Eastern Africa Middle Africa Southern Africa Western Africa

Burundi Angola Botswana Benin Comoros Cameroon Eswatini Burkina Faso Djibouti Central African Republic Lesotho Cabo Verde Eritrea Chad Namibia Côte d’Ivoire Ethiopia Congo South Africa Gambia Kenya Democratic Republic of the Congo Ghana Madagascar Equatorial Guinea Guinea Malawi Gabon Guinea-Bissau Mauritius1 São Tomé and Príncipe Liberia Mayotte2 Mali Mozambique Mauritania Réunion2 Niger Rwanda Nigeria Seychelles Saint Helena3* Somalia Senegal South Sudan Sierra Leone Uganda Togo United Republic of Tanzania4 Zambia Zimbabwe

NOTE: Countries with a population of less than 90,000 in 2019 are indicated by an asterisk (*).

Northern Africa and Western Asia

Northern Africa Western Asia

Algeria Armenia Jordan Syrian Arab Republic Egypt Azerbaijan5 Kuwait Turkey Libya Bahrain Lebanon United Arab Emirates Morocco Cyprus6 Oman Yemen Sudan Georgia7 Qatar Tunisia Iraq Saudi Arabia Western Sahara Israel State of Palestine8

1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon. 2 For statistical purposes, the data for France do not include this area. 3 Including Zanzibar. 4 Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha. For statistical purposes, the data for United Kingdom do not include this area. 5 Including Nagorno-Karabakh. 6 Refers to the whole country. 7 Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia. 8 Including East Jerusalem.

x United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)

Africa

Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa

Asia

Central and Southern Asia Eastern and South-Eastern Asia Western Asia

Central and Southern Asia

Central Asia Southern Asia

Kazakhstan Afghanistan Iran (Islamic Republic of) Sri Lanka Kyrgyzstan Bangladesh Maldives Tajikistan Bhutan Nepal Turkmenistan India Pakistan Uzbekistan

Eastern and South-Eastern Asia

Eastern Asia South-Eastern Asia

China9 Democratic People’s Brunei Darussalam Philippines China, Hong Kong SAR10 Republic of Korea Cambodia Singapore China, Macao SAR11 Japan Indonesia Thailand China, Taiwan Province of China12 Mongolia

Lao People’s Democratic Republic Timor-Leste

Republic of Korea Malaysia13 Viet Nam Myanmar

9 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province of China. 10 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 11 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China. 12 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include this area. 13 Including Sabah and Sarawak.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division xi World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Latin America and the Caribbean

Caribbean Central America South America Anguilla14* Belize Argentina Antigua and Barbuda Costa Rica Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Aruba15 El Salvador Brazil Bahamas Guatemala Chile Barbados Honduras Colombia Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba15* Mexico Ecuador British Virgin Islands14* Nicaragua Falkland Islands (Malvinas)16* Cayman Islands14* Panama French Guiana2 Cuba Guyana Curaçao15 Paraguay Dominica* Peru Dominican Republic Suriname Grenada Uruguay Guadeloupe2 Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of) Haiti Jamaica Martinique2 Montserrat14* Puerto Rico17 Saint Barthélemy2* Saint Kitts and Nevis* Saint Lucia Saint Martin (French part)2* Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Sint Maarten (Dutch part)15* Trinidad and Tobago Turks and Caicos Islands14* United States Virgin Islands17 NOTE: Countries with a population of less than 90,000 in 2019 are indicated by an asterisk (*).

14 For statistical purposes, the data for United Kingdom do not include this area. 15 For statistical purposes, the data for Netherlands do not include this area. 16 A dispute exists between the Governments of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas). For statistical purposes, the data for United Kingdom do not include this area. 17 For statistical purposes, the data for United States of America do not include this area.

xii United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population DivisionWorld Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Oceania

Australia/New Zealand Oceania (excluding Australia and New Zealand)

Melanesia Micronesia Polynesia18

Australia19 Fiji Guam17 American Samoa17* New Zealand20 New Caledonia2 Kiribati Cook Islands21*

Papua New Guinea Marshall Islands* French Polynesia2 Solomon Islands Micronesia (Federated States of) Niue21* Vanuatu Nauru* Samoa

Northern Mariana Islands17* Tokelau21* Palau* Tonga

Tuvalu* Wallis and Futuna Islands2*


18 Including Pitcairn. 19 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island. 20 For statistical purposes, the data for New Zealand do not include Cook Islands, Niue, and Tokelau. 21 For statistical purposes, the data for New Zealand do not include this area.

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division xiii World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Europe and Northern America

Europe Eastern Europe Northern Europe Southern Europe Western Europe

Belarus Channel Islands22 Albania Austria Bulgaria Denmark23 Andorra* Belgium Czechia Estonia Bosnia and Herzegovina France24 Hungary Faeroe Islands25* Croatia Germany Poland Finland26 Gibraltar14* Liechtenstein* Republic of Moldova27 Iceland Greece Luxembourg Romania Ireland Holy See28 * Monaco* Russian Federation Isle of Man14* Italy Netherlands29 Slovakia Latvia Malta Switzerland Ukraine30 Lithuania Montenegro Norway31 North Macedonia Sweden Portugal United Kingdom of Great San Marino* Britain and Northern Serbia32 Ireland33 Slovenia Spain34

Northern America

Bermuda14* Canada Greenland25* Saint Pierre and Miquelon2* United States of America35 NOTE: Countries with a population of less than 90,000 in 2019 are indicated by an asterisk (*).

22 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey. For statistical purposes, the data for United Kingdom do not include this area. 23 For statistical purposes, the data for Denmark do not include Faroe Islands, and Greenland. 24 For statistical purposes, the data for France do not include French Guiana, French Polynesia, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mayotte, New

Caledonia, Réunion, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Saint Barthélemy, Saint Martin (French part), Wallis and Futuna Islands. 25 For statistical purposes, the data for Denmark do not include this area. 26 Including Åland Islands. 27 Including Transnistria. 28 Refers to the Vatican City State. 29 For statistical purposes, the data for Netherlands do not include Aruba, Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba, Curaçao, and Sint Maarten (Dutch

part). 30 Including Crimea. 31 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands. 32 Including Kosovo. 33 Refers to the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland. For statistical purposes, the data for United Kingdom do not include

Anguilla, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Channel Islands, Falkland Islands (Malvinas), Gibraltar, Isle of Man, Montserrat, Saint Helena, Turks and Caicos Islands.

34 Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla. 35 For statistical purposes, the data for United States of America do not include American Samoa, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico,

and United States Virgin Islands.

xiv United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Least developed countries (LDC)

Afghanistan Guinea São Tomé and Príncipe Angola Guinea-Bissau Senegal Bangladesh Haiti Sierra Leone Benin Kiribati Solomon Islands Bhutan Lao People’s Democratic Republic Somalia Burkina Faso Lesotho South Sudan Burundi Liberia Sudan Cambodia Madagascar Timor-Leste Central African Republic Malawi Togo Chad Mali Tuvalu Comoros Mauritania Uganda Democratic Republic of the Congo Mozambique United Republic of Tanzania Djibouti Myanmar Vanuatu Eritrea Nepal Yemen Ethiopia Niger Zambia Gambia Rwanda

Land-locked Developing Countries (LLDC)

Afghanistan Ethiopia North Macedonia Armenia Kazakhstan Paraguay Azerbaijan Kyrgyzstan Republic of Moldova Bhutan Lao People's Democratic Republic Rwanda Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Lesotho South Sudan Botswana Malawi Tajikistan Burkina Faso Mali Turkmenistan Burundi Mongolia Uganda Central African Republic Nepal Uzbekistan Chad Niger Zambia Eswatini Zimbabwe

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division xv World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Small island developing States (SIDS)

American Samoa* Grenada Puerto Rico Anguilla* Guadeloupe Saint Barthélemy* Antigua and Barbuda Guam Saint Kitts and Nevis* Aruba Guinea-Bissau Saint Lucia Bahamas Guyana Saint Martin (French part)* Bahrain Haiti Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Barbados Jamaica Samoa Belize Kiribati Sao Tome and Principe Bermuda* Maldives Seychelles British Virgin Islands* Marshall Islands* Singapore Cabo Verde Martinique Sint Maarten (Dutch part)* Cayman Islands* Mauritius Solomon Islands Comoros Micronesia (Fed. States of) Suriname Cook Islands* Montserrat* Timor-Leste Cuba Nauru* Tonga Curaçao New Caledonia Trinidad and Tobago Dominica* Niue* Turks and Caicos Islands* Dominican Republic Northern Mariana Islands* Tuvalu* Fiji Palau* United States Virgin Islands French Polynesia Papua New Guinea Vanuatu


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High-income countries

Andorra* Finland Oman Antigua and Barbuda France Palau* Argentina French Polynesia Panama Aruba Germany Poland Australia Gibraltar* Portugal Austria Greece Puerto Rico Bahamas Greenland* Qatar Bahrain Guam Republic of Korea Barbados Hungary Saint Kitts and Nevis* Belgium Iceland Saint Martin (French part)* Bermuda* Ireland San Marino* British Virgin Islands* Isle of Man* Saudi Arabia Brunei Darussalam Israel Seychelles Canada Italy Singapore Cayman Islands* Japan Sint Maarten (Dutch part)* Channel Islands Kuwait Slovakia Chile Latvia Slovenia China, Hong Kong SAR Liechtenstein* Spain China, Macao SAR Lithuania Sweden China, Taiwan Province of China Luxembourg Switzerland Croatia Malta Trinidad and Tobago Curaçao Monaco* Turks and Caicos Islands* Cyprus Netherlands United Arab Emirates Czechia New Caledonia United Kingdom Denmark New Zealand United States of America Estonia Northern Mariana Islands* United States Virgin Islands Faroe Islands* Norway Uruguay


United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division xvii World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Upper-middle-income countries

Albania Fiji Nauru* Algeria Gabon North Macedonia American Samoa* Grenada Paraguay Armenia Guatemala Peru Azerbaijan Guyana Romania Belarus Iran (Islamic Republic of) Russian Federation Belize Iraq Saint Lucia Bosnia and Herzegovina Jamaica Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Botswana Jordan Samoa Brazil Kazakhstan Serbia Bulgaria Lebanon South Africa China Libya Suriname Colombia Malaysia Thailand Costa Rica Maldives Tonga Cuba Marshall Islands* Turkey Dominica* Mauritius Turkmenistan Dominican Republic Mexico Tuvalu* Ecuador Montenegro Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Equatorial Guinea Namibia

Lower-middle-income countries

Angola Honduras Pakistan Bangladesh India Papua New Guinea Bhutan Indonesia Philippines Bolivia (Plurinational State of) Kenya Republic of Moldova Cabo Verde Kiribati Sao Tome and Principe Cambodia Kyrgyzstan Solomon Islands Cameroon Lao People's Democratic Republic Sri Lanka Congo Lesotho State of Palestine Côte d'Ivoire Mauritania Sudan Djibouti Micronesia (Fed. States of) Timor-Leste Egypt Mongolia Tunisia El Salvador Morocco Ukraine Eswatini Myanmar Uzbekistan Georgia Nicaragua Vanuatu Ghana Nigeria Viet Nam

Zambia


xviii United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population DivisionWorld Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables


Low-income countries

Afghanistan Gambia Rwanda Benin Guinea Senegal Burkina Faso Guinea-Bissau Sierra Leone Burundi Haiti Somalia Central African Republic Liberia South Sudan Chad Madagascar Syrian Arab Republic Comoros Malawi Tajikistan Dem. People's Republic of Korea Mali Togo Democratic Republic of the Congo Mozambique Uganda Eritrea Nepal United Republic of Tanzania Ethiopia Niger Yemen

Zimbabwe

No income group available

Anguilla* Holy See* Saint Barthélemy* Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba* Martinique Saint Helena* Cook Islands* Mayotte Saint Pierre and Miquelon* Falkland Islands (Malvinas)* Montserrat* Tokelau* French Guiana Niue* Wallis and Futuna Islands* Guadeloupe Réunion Western Sahara


ANNEX TABLES

Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion:estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100

Estimates: 1950-2019

Population (thousands)

Region and subregion 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2015 2019

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division2 World Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables

World...................................................... 2 536 431 3 034 950 3 700 437 4 458 003 5 327 231 6 143 494 6 541 907 6 956 824 7 379 797 7 713 468UN development groups (a) ................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...More developed regions (b) ................ 814 819 916 344 1 008 452 1 083 126 1 145 508 1 188 359 1 209 215 1 234 768 1 256 622 1 270 630Less developed regions (c) .................. 1 721 612 2 118 605 2 691 985 3 374 878 4 181 723 4 955 134 5 332 692 5 722 056 6 123 175 6 442 838Least developed countries (d)............ 195 428 240 518 306 917 390 613 506 276 657 216 744 191 836 615 941 131 1 033 389Other less developed countries (e) .... 1 526 184 1 878 087 2 385 068 2 984 265 3 675 448 4 297 919 4 588 501 4 885 441 5 182 043 5 409 449Less dev. regions, excl. China............. 1 157 420 1 444 107 1 845 364 2 351 776 2 978 289 3 635 583 3 971 957 4 322 553 4 684 981 4 977 204Land-locked Developing Countries (f) 103 803 130 210 167 055 209 113 265 852 333 947 374 685 420 661 473 817 520 973Small Island Developing States (g) ..... 23 771 29 188 35 868 42 471 49 808 57 614 61 045 65 253 68 856 71 429World Bank income groups................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...High-income countries (h)................... 694 989 787 158 880 846 963 431 1 038 455 1 112 318 1 151 595 1 197 095 1 233 935 1 258 043Middle-income countries (h) ............... 1 703 596 2 080 781 2 607 461 3 221 988 3 936 199 4 567 891 4 860 124 5 153 738 5 460 516 5 696 667Upper-middle-income countries (h) .. 938 931 1 144 055 1 428 300 1 731 255 2 056 240 2 285 145 2 376 345 2 466 364 2 566 519 2 638 958Lower-middle-income countries (h).. 764 666 936 726 1 179 161 1 490 733 1 879 959 2 282 746 2 483 779 2 687 375 2 893 996 3 057 709Low-income countries (h) ................... 137 042 165 954 210 778 271 058 350 701 461 021 527 686 603 340 682 576 755 850No income group available ................. 804 1 056 1 353 1 527 1 876 2 263 2 503 2 651 2 771 2 908Geographic regions (i)......................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Africa (j).............................................. 227 794 283 361 363 448 476 386 630 350 810 984 916 154 1 039 304 1 182 439 1 308 064Asia (k) ................................................ 1 404 909 1 705 041 2 142 480 2 649 578 3 226 099 3 741 263 3 977 986 4 209 594 4 433 475 4 601 371Europe (l) ............................................ 549 329 605 407 656 919 693 567 720 858 725 558 729 288 736 413 743 059 747 183Latin America and the Caribbean (m) . 168 821 220 470 286 676 361 253 442 840 521 836 557 501 591 352 623 934 648 121Northern America (n) .......................... 172 603 204 649 230 992 254 007 279 785 312 427 327 287 343 287 357 031 366 601Oceania (o) .......................................... 12 976 16 022 19 922 23 212 27 299 31 425 33 690 36 873 39 859 42 128SDG regions (p).................................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Sub-Saharan Africa............................. 179 007 220 138 280 908 369 614 490 605 639 661 729 733 836 364 958 577 1 066 283Eastern Africa ................................... 66 145 83 558 109 682 146 488 197 168 257 353 295 185 339 318 389 671 433 905Middle Africa.................................... 26 454 32 222 40 171 52 885 70 855 96 116 112 008 131 622 154 203 174 308Southern Africa................................. 15 533 19 411 24 975 32 440 42 046 51 444 54 645 58 383 62 985 66 630Western Africa .................................. 70 875 84 947 106 080 137 799 180 535 234 749 267 895 307 040 351 718 391 440Northern Africa and Western Asia...... 100 239 129 302 168 730 220 224 288 060 355 882 391 986 435 367 481 520 517 106Northern Africa................................. 48 788 63 223 82 539 106 773 139 745 171 323 186 421 202 940 223 862 241 781Western Asia ..................................... 51 452 66 078 86 191 113 452 148 316 184 559 205 564 232 427 257 658 275 325Central and Southern Asia .................. 510 788 619 068 775 437 980 359 1 239 984 1 511 915 1 647 074 1 775 361 1 896 327 1 991 424Central Asia ...................................... 17 450 24 321 33 212 41 088 50 123 55 346 58 450 62 805 68 480 73 212Southern Asia.................................... 493 339 594 746 742 225 939 271 1 189 861 1 456 569 1 588 624 1 712 555 1 827 847 1 918 211Eastern and South-Eastern Asia.......... 842 669 1 019 895 1 280 853 1 555 768 1 837 799 2 044 789 2 125 348 2 201 807 2 279 490 2 334 623Eastern Asia ...................................... 677 535 805 881 999 435 1 198 126 1 393 335 1 519 781 1 564 192 1 604 859 1 645 184 1 672 611South-Eastern Asia............................ 165 134 214 014 281 418 357 642 444 464 525 008 561 156 596 947 634 306 662 012Latin America and the Caribbean ....... 168 821 220 470 286 676 361 253 442 840 521 836 557 501 591 352 623 934 648 121Caribbean .......................................... 17 080 20 667 25 201 29 646 34 058 38 102 39 746 41 217 42 622 43 335Central America ................................ 37 975 51 117 69 400 91 092 113 384 135 322 145 951 157 591 168 949 177 587South America .................................. 113 765 148 686 192 074 240 515 295 398 348 412 371 805 392 544 412 363 427 199Australia/New Zealand ....................... 10 085 12 615 15 611 17 735 20 359 22 850 24 314 26 525 28 547 29 986Oceania excl AUS,NZL...................... 2 891 3 407 4 311 5 477 6 940 8 575 9 376 10 348 11 312 12 142Melanesia .......................................... 2 493 2 909 3 655 4 698 5 973 7 473 8 232 9 188 10 122 10 919Micronesia......................................... 156 191 248 304 417 485 498 504 523 543Polynesia (1)...................................... 242 307 408 476 550 616 646 657 667 680Europe and Northern America ............ 721 931 810 056 887 911 947 574 1 000 644 1 037 985 1 056 575 1 079 700 1 100 090 1 113 784Europe ............................................... 549 329 605 407 656 919 693 567 720 858 725 558 729 288 736 413 743 059 747 183Eastern Europe ................................ 220 171 253 511 276 165 294 734 309 809 303 918 297 501 294 873 294 391 293 445Northern Europe.............................. 78 007 81 727 87 251 89 798 92 036 94 454 96 307 100 398 103 519 105 769Southern Europe.............................. 108 737 117 761 127 475 138 555 143 504 144 847 149 676 153 016 153 065 152 447Western Europe ............................... 142 414 152 409 166 028 170 479 175 510 182 339 185 804 188 126 192 084 195 522Northern America ............................. 172 603 204 649 230 992 254 007 279 785 312 427 327 287 343 287 357 031 366 601

a The designation “more developed” and “less developed” regions are intended for statistical purposes and do not express a judgment about thestage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term “country” as used in this publication also refers, asappropriate, to territories or areas.

(continued on next page)

Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion (continued)

2020-2100: Medium variant


2020 2025 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 Region and subregion

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population DivisionWorld Population Prospects 2019, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables 3

7 794 799 8 184 437 8 548 487 9 198 847 9 735 034 10 151 470 10 459 240 10 673 904 10 809 892 10 875 394 World......................................................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... UN development groups (a) ................

1 273 304 1 281 504 1 286 010 1 287 350 1 279 913 1 267 173 1 254 230 1 245 980 1 243 338 1 244 296 More developed regions (b) ................6 521 494 6 902 933 7 262 477 7 911 498 8 455 121 8 884 297 9 205 009 9 427 925 9 566 554 9 631 098 Less developed regions (c) ..................1 057 438 1 182 377 1 313 759 1 590 724 1 876 798 2 159 628 2 427 682 2 669 675 2 877 187 3 046 779 Least developed countries (d)............5 464 056 5 720 556 5 948 719 6 320 774 6 578 323 6 724 669 6 777 327 6 758 250 6 689 367 6 584 319 Other less developed countries (e) ....5 050 208 5 412 610 5 765 376 6 429 942 7 021 424 7 521 511 7 918 752 8 215 396 8 420 610 8 541 187 Less dev. regions, excl. China.............533 143 595 213 659 183 792 073 926 457 1 054 432 1 170 511 1 269 330 1 348 141 1 405 998 Land-locked Developing Countries (f)72 076 75 416 78 488 83 523 87 159 89 365 90 384 90 352 89 340 87 599 Small Island Developing States (g) .....

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... World Bank income groups................1 263 093 1 282 772 1 298 770 1 319 333 1 324 198 1 319 455 1 312 041 1 306 134 1 303 150 1 303 541 High-income countries (h)...................5 753 052 6 016 032 6 252 578 6 647 510 6 932 572 7 108 434 7 190 665 7 201 171 7 161 023 7 082 399 Middle-income countries (h) ...............2 654 816 2 718 487 2 763 138 2 807 456 2 799 690 2 745 209 2 661 871 2 567 298 2 472 332 2 380 613 Upper-middle-income countries (h) ..3 098 235 3 297 544 3 489 440 3 840 054 4 132 882 4 363 225 4 528 793 4 633 873 4 688 692 4 701 786 Lower-middle-income countries (h)..775 711 882 519 993 853 1 228 401 1 474 406 1 719 515 1 952 283 2 162 184 2 341 176 2 484 829 Low-income countries (h) ...................2 944 3 115 3 287 3 604 3 858 4 066 4 251 4 415 4 544 4 624 No income group available .................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Geographic regions (i).........................

1 340 598 1 508 935 1 688 321 2 076 750 2 489 275 2 904 977 3 307 528 3 680 571 4 008 138 4 280 127 Africa (j)..............................................4 641 055 4 822 629 4 974 092 5 188 949 5 290 263 5 289 216 5 206 542 5 068 513 4 901 149 4 719 907 Asia (k) ................................................747 636 745 791 741 303 727 811 710 486 688 790 666 591 649 589 638 369 629 563 Europe (l) ............................................653 962 681 896 706 254 742 348 762 432 767 495 758 723 738 620 711 056 679 993 Latin America and the Caribbean (m) .368 870 379 851 390 599 410 177 425 200 439 379 454 369 467 639 479 097 490 889 Northern America (n) ..........................42 678 45 335 47 919 52 814 57 376 61 612 65 486 68 974 72 084 74 916 Oceania (o) ..........................................

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... SDG regions (p)....................................1 094 366 1 241 174 1 399 888 1 746 496 2 117 731 2 496 583 2 867 347 3 213 530 3 519 136 3 775 270 Sub-Saharan Africa.............................445 406 505 292 569 705 707 393 851 218 994 888 1 131 895 1 256 219 1 363 577 1 451 842 Eastern Africa ...................................179 595 207 543 238 186 306 945 382 640 461 774 541 383 617 725 686 666 746 061 Middle Africa....................................67 504 71 596 75 364 82 055 87 379 90 995 93 038 94 017 94 195 93 571 Southern Africa.................................401 861 456 742 516 633 650 103 796 494 948 926 1 101 032 1 245 569 1 374 697 1 483 796 Western Africa ..................................525 869 568 928 608 881 684 500 754 047 811 810 856 426 890 113 914 347 927 827 Northern Africa and Western Asia......246 233 267 761 288 433 330 253 371 545 408 395 440 180 467 041 489 002 504 858 Northern Africa.................................279 637 301 167 320 448 354 247 382 502 403 416 416 246 423 073 425 346 422 969 Western Asia .....................................2 014 709 2 126 237 2 226 970 2 389 800 2 496 417 2 548 331 2 545 464 2 497 547 2 422 058 2 330 130 Central and Southern Asia ..................74 339 79 416 83 843 92 540 100 250 105 816 109 990 112 785 114 518 114 923 Central Asia ......................................

1 940 370 2 046 821 2 143 127 2 297 260 2 396 167 2 442 515 2 435 474 2 384 762 2 307 540 2 215 207 Southern Asia....................................2 346 709 2 395 226 2 426 673 2 444 901 2 411 344 2 337 469 2 244 832 2 147 893 2 053 746 1 966 808 Eastern and South-Eastern Asia..........1 678 090 1 695 428 1 699 380 1 675 643 1 617 342 1 534 566 1 445 519 1 361 027 1 285 889 1 222 593 Eastern Asia ......................................668 620 699 798 727 294 769 258 794 002 802 904 799 313 786 866 767 857 744 215 South-Eastern Asia............................653 962 681 896 706 254 742 348 762 432 767 495 758 723 738 620 711 056 679 993 Latin America and the Caribbean .......43 532 44 806 45 829 47 069 47 394 46 752 45 418 43 591 41 337 38 838 Caribbean ..........................................179 670 189 581 198 571 213 441 223 567 228 895 229 812 226 766 220 391 211 854 Central America ................................430 760 447 510 461 854 481 837 491 472 491 847 483 493 468 263 449 327 429 301 South America ..................................30 322 31 886 33 350 36 005 38 422 40 677 42 798 44 828 46 826 48 885 Australia/New Zealand .......................12 356 13 448 14 569 16 808 18 954 20 934 22 689 24 146 25 258 26 030 Oceania excl AUS,NZL......................11 123 12 164 13 234 15 387 17 469 19 410 21 148 22 610 23 755 24 583 Melanesia ..........................................549 576 603 645 674 694 702 698 684 659 Micronesia.........................................684 708 732 776 811 831 840 837 819 789 Polynesia (1)......................................

1 116 506 1 125 642 1 131 901 1 137 988 1 135 687 1 128 170 1 120 960 1 117 228 1 117 465 1 120 451 Europe and Northern America ............747 636 745 791 741 303 727 811 710 486 688 790 666 591 649 589 638 369 629 563 Europe ...............................................293 013 289 526 284 535 272 824 261 977 251 009 239 419 230 188 224 387 219 456 Eastern Europe ................................106 261 108 253 109 990 112 749 114 960 116 377 117 487 118 633 119 747 121 044 Northern Europe..............................152 215 150 588 148 460 143 490 136 648 127 437 117 853 110 324 104 738 99 758 Southern Europe..............................196 146 197 425 198 318 198 748 196 902 193 967 191 832 190 443 189 496 189 304 Western Europe ...............................368 870 379 851 390 599 410 177 425 200 439 379 454 369 467 639 479 097 490 889 Northern America .............................

b More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.c Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and

Polynesia.(continued on next page)


Estimates: 1950-2019




d The group of least developed countries includes 47 countries: 32 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2 in Northern Africa and Western Asia, 4 in Central andSouthern Asia, 4 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, 4 in Oceania. Further information is available athttp://unohrlls.org/about-ldcs/.

e Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.f The group of Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) is composed of 32 countries or territories: 16 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2 in Northern

Africa and Western Asia, 8 in Central and Southern Asia, 2 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, 2 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 2 inEurope and Northern America. Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/.

g The group of Small Island Developing States (SIDS) is composed of 58 countries or territories: 29 in the Caribbean, 20 in the Pacific and 9 in theAtlantic, and Indian Ocean, Mediterranean and South China Sea (AIMS): Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/.

h The country classification by income level is based on June 2018 GNI per capita from the World Bank.i Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas designated as: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin America and the Caribbean;

Northern America, and Oceania.j Africa refers to Eastern Africa, Middle Africa, Northern Africa, Southern Africa, and Western Africa subregions.k Asia refers to Eastern Asia, Central Asia, Southern Asia, South-Eastern Asia, and Western Asia subregions.l Europe, like the SDG region, refers to Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, and Western Europe subregions.m Latin America and the Caribbean, like the SDG region, refers to Caribbean, Central America and South America subregions.n Northern America, like the SDG region, refers to Bermuda, Canada, Greenland, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States of America.o Oceania refers to Australia/New Zealand, Melanesia, Micronesia, and Polynesia subregions.p Countries and areas are grouped into eight Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) regions as defined by the United Nations Statistics Division

and used for The Sustainable Development Goals Report (https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/). These regions are furtherdivided into 21 geographic subregions.

1 Including Pitcairn.

Table A.2. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion:Upper 95 percent prediction interval, 2020-2100

Upper 95 percent prediction interval




World...................................................... 7 794 799 8 223 574 8 636 041 9 396 987 10 078 535 10 690 489 11 243 358 11 743 120 12 227 664 12 663 070UN development groups (a) ................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...More developed regions (b) ................ 1 273 304 1 285 917 1 295 312 1 307 182 1 311 488 1 313 407 1 317 965 1 330 189 1 351 565 1 380 175Less developed regions (c) .................. 6 521 494 6 940 103 7 346 264 8 103 032 8 784 765 9 408 349 9 963 818 10 458 221 10 936 769 11 378 984Least developed countries (d)............ 1 057 438 1 189 358 1 330 663 1 638 298 1 968 824 2 322 333 2 684 655 3 048 611 3 406 885 3 755 460Other less developed countries (e) .... 5 464 056 5 753 419 6 021 989 6 485 488 6 855 467 7 162 221 7 402 070 7 592 352 7 772 916 7 954 004

Less dev. regions, excl. China............. 5 050 208 5 444 571 5 837 615 6 599 742 7 325 359 8 011 931 8 635 211 9 183 883 9 715 987 10 202 309Land-locked Developing Countries (f) 533 143 599 226 668 838 819 135 979 025 1 144 424 1 311 686 1 474 044 1 627 775 1 774 350Small Island Developing States (g) ..... 72 076 75 898 79 534 85 976 91 420 96 018 99 942 103 286 106 093 108 504World Bank income groups................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...High-income countries (h)................... 1 263 093 1 287 260 1 308 174 1 339 855 1 356 756 1 367 312 1 378 981 1 393 199 1 414 145 1 440 322Middle-income countries (h) ............... 5 753 052 6 050 099 6 328 925 6 818 079 7 221 340 7 563 185 7 838 317 8 063 165 8 282 825 8 493 196Upper-middle-income countries (h) .. 2 654 816 2 733 053 2 795 449 2 874 424 2 907 728 2 900 157 2 865 918 2 826 685 2 790 913 2 768 979Lower-middle-income countries (h).. 3 098 235 3 323 927 3 547 737 3 974 574 4 370 210 4 739 306 5 065 821 5 367 208 5 656 552 5 927 693

Low-income countries (h) ................... 775 711 887 856 1 007 284 1 267 488 1 553 790 1 862 737 2 178 127 2 497 678 2 813 619 3 115 530No income group available ................. 2 944 3 136 3 331 3 708 4 043 4 356 4 676 4 997 5 304 5 586Geographic regions (i)......................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Africa (j).............................................. 1 340 598 1 517 518 1 709 200 2 137 577 2 615 282 3 131 496 3 673 682 4 229 533 4 780 715 5 329 577Asia (k) ................................................ 4 641 055 4 854 321 5 043 162 5 346 036 5 550 244 5 687 782 5 763 721 5 797 603 5 816 218 5 825 908Europe (l) ............................................ 747 636 748 260 746 411 738 311 726 782 712 590 699 350 692 219 692 854 696 889Latin America and the Caribbean (m) . 653 962 686 907 717 205 766 267 801 109 824 878 837 889 839 018 833 774 825 405Northern America (n) .......................... 368 870 382 705 396 857 423 898 447 226 471 328 499 307 527 620 555 419 585 649Oceania (o) .......................................... 42 678 45 696 48 714 54 672 60 633 66 711 72 966 79 285 85 743 92 501SDG regions (p).................................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Sub-Saharan Africa............................. 1 094 366 1 248 507 1 418 194 1 801 310 2 232 633 2 707 308 3 211 139 3 731 714 4 260 410 4 779 563Eastern Africa ................................... 445 406 509 924 580 977 738 084 912 898 1 102 520 1 303 017 1 505 735 1 707 716 1 908 244Middle Africa.................................... 179 595 209 411 243 139 323 013 419 528 532 519 661 751 807 807 967 439 1 138 962Southern Africa................................. 67 504 72 587 77 473 87 187 96 630 105 659 114 344 122 272 129 795 137 908Western Africa .................................. 401 861 460 552 526 441 680 658 865 554 1 079 711 1 320 551 1 592 484 1 891 183 2 200 352

Northern Africa and Western Asia...... 525 869 573 063 618 038 706 118 793 860 876 365 953 655 1 027 570 1 098 580 1 165 368Northern Africa................................. 246 233 270 409 294 339 344 924 399 525 455 533 513 725 574 335 637 146 699 153Western Asia ..................................... 279 637 303 690 325 871 367 075 405 577 440 302 469 842 495 878 521 827 546 530

Central and Southern Asia .................. 2 014 709 2 149 928 2 278 652 2 507 839 2 697 332 2 862 715 2 991 734 3 081 923 3 163 343 3 224 627Central Asia ...................................... 74 339 80 227 85 532 96 693 108 012 118 425 128 920 138 811 149 265 159 703Southern Asia.................................... 1 940 370 2 070 570 2 194 865 2 414 823 2 595 831 2 754 242 2 877 764 2 964 645 3 052 031 3 101 013

Eastern and South-Eastern Asia.......... 2 346 709 2 409 598 2 458 058 2 511 315 2 516 292 2 485 925 2 439 888 2 393 923 2 356 587 2 334 773Eastern Asia ...................................... 1 678 090 1 707 636 1 726 249 1 732 444 1 705 385 1 655 405 1 600 017 1 550 796 1 521 588 1 505 468South-Eastern Asia............................ 668 620 705 467 739 346 796 182 839 349 873 120 896 910 916 058 932 165 945 316

Latin America and the Caribbean ....... 653 962 686 907 717 205 766 267 801 109 824 878 837 889 839 018 833 774 825 405Caribbean .......................................... 43 532 45 177 46 625 48 919 50 527 51 534 52 237 52 455 52 415 52 377Central America ................................ 179 670 191 637 203 106 223 715 240 998 255 474 266 265 273 950 279 675 283 677South America .................................. 430 760 451 555 470 617 500 967 522 028 536 173 543 819 545 604 543 753 542 630

Australia/New Zealand ....................... 30 322 32 186 33 984 37 380 40 693 44 132 47 665 51 290 55 189 59 351Oceania excl AUS,NZL...................... 12 356 13 613 14 948 17 816 20 875 24 219 27 788 31 562 35 477 39 640Melanesia .......................................... 11 123 12 326 13 611 16 391 19 376 22 678 26 204 29 979 33 896 38 121Micronesia......................................... 549 581 612 667 713 755 792 823 849 869Polynesia (1)...................................... 684 713 744 805 863 911 960 1 003 1 043 1 074

Europe and Northern America ............ 1 116 506 1 129 804 1 140 690 1 156 879 1 165 507 1 171 952 1 181 284 1 197 546 1 221 176 1 249 256Europe ............................................... 747 636 748 260 746 411 738 311 726 782 712 590 699 350 692 219 692 854 696 889Eastern Europe ................................ 293 013 291 185 287 939 279 776 272 775 266 439 259 892 256 882 257 671 260 231Northern Europe.............................. 106 261 108 844 111 217 115 315 119 029 122 264 125 731 129 466 133 486 138 228Southern Europe.............................. 152 215 151 278 149 851 146 540 141 352 133 967 126 323 120 632 117 277 114 596Western Europe ............................... 196 146 198 434 200 343 203 032 203 714 203 773 205 446 208 447 212 043 217 613

Northern America ............................. 368 870 382 705 396 857 423 898 447 226 471 328 499 307 527 620 555 419 585 649


Upper 95 percent prediction interval




a The designation “more developed” and “less developed” regions are intended for statistical purposes and do not express a judgment about the stagereached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term “country” as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territoriesor areas.

b More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.c Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.d The group of least developed countries includes 47 countries: 32 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2 in Northern Africa and Western Asia, 4 in Central and Southern

Asia, 4 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, 1 in Latin America and the Caribbean, 4 in Oceania. Further information is available athttp://unohrlls.org/about-ldcs/.

e Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.f The group of Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) is composed of 32 countries or territories: 16 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2 in Northern Africa and

Western Asia, 8 in Central and Southern Asia, 2 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, 2 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 2 in Europe and NorthernAmerica. Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/.

g The group of Small Island Developing States (SIDS) is composed of 58 countries or territories: 29 in the Caribbean, 20 in the Pacific and 9 in the Atlantic,and Indian Ocean, Mediterranean and South China Sea (AIMS): Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/.

h The country classification by income level is based on June 2018 GNI per capita from the World Bank.i Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas designated as: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin America and the Caribbean; Northern

America, and Oceania.j Africa refers to Eastern Africa, Middle Africa, Northern Africa, Southern Africa, and Western Africa subregions.k Asia refers to Eastern Asia, Central Asia, Southern Asia, South-Eastern Asia, and Western Asia subregions.l Europe, like the SDG region, refers to Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, and Western Europe subregions.m Latin America and the Caribbean, like the SDG region, refers to Caribbean, Central America and South America subregions.n Northern America, like the SDG region, refers to Bermuda, Canada, Greenland, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States of America.o Oceania refers to Australia/New Zealand, Melanesia, Micronesia, and Polynesia subregions.p Countries and areas are grouped into eight Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) regions as defined by the United Nations Statistics Division and used for

The Sustainable Development Goals Report (https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/). These regions are further divided into 21 geographicsubregions.


Table A.3. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion:Lower 95 percent prediction interval, 2020-2100

Lower 95 percent prediction interval





Less dev. regions, excl. China............. 5 050 208 5 379 703 5 692 684 6 258 260 6 725 514 7 065 210 7 277 211 7 359 348 7 337 780 7 219 947Land-locked Developing Countries (f) 533 143 591 232 649 278 764 781 874 639 968 611 1 041 924 1 093 308 1 117 193 1 119 150Small Island Developing States (g) ..... 72 076 74 952 77 462 81 120 83 050 83 120 81 659 78 927 75 217 70 648

World Bank income groups................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...High-income countries (h)................... 1 263 093 1 278 226 1 289 182 1 298 660 1 291 141 1 272 278 1 248 814 1 225 689 1 204 415 1 185 397Middle-income countries (h) ............... 5 753 052 5 980 988 6 175 303 6 473 570 6 644 629 6 679 442 6 602 416 6 446 595 6 233 218 5 977 669Upper-middle-income countries (h) .. 2 654 816 2 705 280 2 733 127 2 742 293 2 693 519 2 595 258 2 468 776 2 330 917 2 189 504 2 048 137Lower-middle-income countries (h).. 3 098 235 3 271 161 3 430 780 3 700 768 3 900 564 4 008 524 4 038 138 3 991 801 3 896 387 3 755 263

Low-income countries (h) ................... 775 711 877 061 979 858 1 187 681 1 393 111 1 580 972 1 743 166 1 862 919 1 941 210 1 972 800No income group available ................. 2 944 3 095 3 241 3 493 3 670 3 780 3 849 3 888 3 884 3 828

Geographic regions (i)......................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Africa (j).............................................. 1 340 598 1 500 465 1 667 338 2 013 710 2 361 128 2 684 960 2 964 306 3 191 519 3 351 213 3 435 360Asia (k) ................................................ 4 641 055 4 790 526 4 902 660 5 033 496 5 036 705 4 924 816 4 720 016 4 458 198 4 170 257 3 874 019Europe (l) ............................................ 747 636 743 339 736 306 717 396 693 940 665 424 635 915 610 865 591 702 573 464Latin America and the Caribbean (m) . 653 962 676 921 695 434 717 318 720 547 707 251 679 851 641 129 595 516 546 966Northern America (n) .......................... 368 870 376 911 384 265 395 803 402 992 407 926 412 078 413 039 411 381 408 838Oceania (o) .......................................... 42 678 44 971 47 103 50 799 53 808 56 210 57 920 58 957 59 379 59 573

SDG regions (p).................................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Sub-Saharan Africa............................. 1 094 366 1 233 912 1 380 959 1 689 092 1 996 829 2 287 422 2 540 031 2 749 913 2 890 894 2 973 169Eastern Africa ................................... 445 406 500 697 558 300 676 209 791 337 894 422 979 987 1 040 624 1 075 148 1 087 817Middle Africa.................................... 179 595 205 508 231 923 284 494 336 524 384 293 426 479 458 784 476 561 482 965Southern Africa................................. 67 504 70 609 73 252 77 018 78 751 77 980 75 235 71 104 65 978 60 585Western Africa .................................. 401 861 452 879 506 403 613 943 716 316 809 527 888 276 948 346 982 828 989 943

Northern Africa and Western Asia...... 525 869 564 838 599 933 663 179 716 163 751 503 771 023 774 468 767 053 746 373Northern Africa................................. 246 233 265 121 282 669 316 365 345 586 367 211 379 997 385 764 384 666 374 362Western Asia ..................................... 279 637 298 642 314 836 341 307 360 406 369 673 369 331 362 047 349 576 332 518


Eastern and South-Eastern Asia.......... 2 346 709 2 382 514 2 397 396 2 382 040 2 309 077 2 189 477 2 056 760 1 913 935 1 775 614 1 645 729Eastern Asia ...................................... 1 678 090 1 684 707 1 674 766 1 622 136 1 530 187 1 410 987 1 289 789 1 173 868 1 065 901 966 545South-Eastern Asia............................ 668 620 694 451 715 655 741 768 746 868 733 195 706 576 670 799 627 702 580 412


Australia/New Zealand ....................... 30 322 31 583 32 669 34 324 35 475 36 313 36 761 36 993 37 214 37 363Oceania excl AUS,NZL...................... 12 356 13 284 14 189 15 807 17 099 17 933 18 290 18 280 17 846 17 125Melanesia .......................................... 11 123 12 001 12 857 14 399 15 634 16 446 16 780 16 792 16 392 15 699Micronesia......................................... 549 572 593 623 637 637 620 591 549 497Polynesia (1)...................................... 684 702 719 747 760 752 728 690 635 566




Lower 95 percent prediction interval







e Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.f The group of Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) is composed of 32 countries or territories: 16 in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2 in Northern Africa and

Western Asia, 8 in Central and Southern Asia, 2 in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, 2 in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 2 in Europe and NorthernAmerica. Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/.

g The group of Small Island Developing States (SIDS) is composed of 58 countries or territories: 29 in the Caribbean, 20 in the Pacific and 9 in the Atlantic,and Indian Ocean, Mediterranean and South China Sea (AIMS): Further information is available at http://unohrlls.org/about-sids/.

h The country classification by income level is based on June 2018 GNI per capita from the World Bank.i Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas designated as: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin America and the Caribbean; Northern

America, and Oceania.j Africa refers to Eastern Africa, Middle Africa, Northern Africa, Southern Africa, and Western Africa subregions.k Asia refers to Eastern Asia, Central Asia, Southern Asia, South-Eastern Asia, and Western Asia subregions.l Europe, like the SDG region, refers to Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, Southern Europe, and Western Europe subregions.m Latin America and the Caribbean, like the SDG region, refers to Caribbean, Central America and South America subregions.n Northern America, like the SDG region, refers to Bermuda, Canada, Greenland, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States of America.o Oceania refers to Australia/New Zealand, Melanesia, Micronesia, and Polynesia subregions.p Countries and areas are grouped into eight Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) regions as defined by the United Nations Statistics Division and used for

The Sustainable Development Goals Report (https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/regional-groups/). These regions are further divided into 21 geographicsubregions.


Table A.4. Total population at mid-year by region and subregion:constant-fertility variant, 2020-2100

Constant-fertility variant





Less dev. regions, excl. China............. 5 050 208 5 447 627 5 871 549 6 793 653 7 848 715 9 135 978 10 755 343 12 854 097 15 655 359 19 420 746Land-locked Developing Countries (f) 533 143 603 070 683 847 880 835 1 136 345 1 478 490 1 938 342 2 558 210 3 405 404 4 564 942Small Island Developing States (g) ..... 72 076 75 778 79 542 86 856 94 227 102 296 111 744 123 176 137 362 155 158World Bank income groups................ ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...High-income countries (h)................... 1 263 093 1 283 092 1 299 324 1 319 714 1 324 307 1 319 641 1 312 416 1 307 017 1 305 171 1 307 555Middle-income countries (h) ............... 5 753 052 6 037 699 6 316 760 6 858 314 7 391 715 7 967 370 8 640 595 9 482 960 10 590 391 12 057 069Upper-middle-income countries (h) .. 2 654 816 2 722 058 2 773 298 2 837 891 2 860 363 2 848 794 2 822 439 2 801 098 2 798 075 2 818 496Lower-middle-income countries (h).. 3 098 235 3 315 641 3 543 462 4 020 423 4 531 352 5 118 577 5 818 156 6 681 862 7 792 315 9 238 574

Low-income countries (h) ................... 775 711 894 581 1 032 349 1 371 422 1 823 072 2 441 498 3 286 938 4 445 064 6 046 913 8 260 982No income group available ................. 2 944 3 129 3 327 3 736 4 136 4 568 5 075 5 666 6 348 7 131Geographic regions (i)......................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Africa (j).............................................. 1 340 598 1 525 889 1 742 280 2 279 591 2 989 132 3 944 427 5 237 692 6 992 812 9 392 372 12 677 031Asia (k) ................................................ 4 641 055 4 837 315 5 016 762 5 321 851 5 563 350 5 773 028 5 974 678 6 200 811 6 492 500 6 869 508Europe (l) ............................................ 747 636 745 573 740 549 725 023 704 645 679 110 652 104 629 314 611 642 595 884Latin America and the Caribbean (m) . 653 962 684 426 713 384 763 009 802 030 832 769 855 984 873 457 889 252 906 886Northern America (n) .......................... 368 870 379 819 390 451 409 569 423 848 436 875 450 270 461 602 470 614 479 538Oceania (o) .......................................... 42 678 45 480 48 337 54 142 60 225 66 868 74 297 82 712 92 442 103 889SDG regions (p).................................... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...Sub-Saharan Africa............................. 1 094 366 1 256 186 1 448 168 1 930 288 2 575 078 3 455 754 4 660 563 6 309 137 8 578 810 11 705 038Eastern Africa ................................... 445 406 512 150 591 447 786 625 1 040 236 1 379 085 1 828 747 2 424 794 3 221 767 4 285 085Middle Africa.................................... 179 595 210 340 247 421 343 994 479 005 670 498 942 711 1 328 750 1 877 311 2 655 994Southern Africa................................. 67 504 71 927 76 329 85 180 94 073 102 978 112 198 122 293 133 606 146 117Western Africa .................................. 401 861 461 769 532 971 714 489 961 764 1 303 192 1 776 907 2 433 300 3 346 126 4 617 843

Northern Africa and Western Asia...... 525 869 572 749 620 101 721 568 835 370 963 234 1 110 631 1 286 151 1 499 384 1 758 057Northern Africa................................. 246 233 269 703 294 111 349 303 414 053 488 674 577 128 683 676 813 562 971 992Western Asia ..................................... 279 637 303 046 325 990 372 266 421 317 474 561 533 503 602 475 685 822 786 065


Eastern and South-Eastern Asia.......... 2 346 709 2 396 999 2 431 670 2 459 866 2 441 233 2 388 208 2 322 457 2 258 798 2 204 877 2 164 618Eastern Asia ...................................... 1 678 090 1 694 796 1 697 511 1 669 635 1 605 076 1 513 244 1 412 315 1 314 052 1 223 570 1 143 473South-Eastern Asia............................ 668 620 702 203 734 159 790 231 836 158 874 963 910 141 944 746 981 307 1 021 146


Australia/New Zealand ....................... 30 322 31 937 33 480 36 347 39 050 41 675 44 253 46 807 49 395 52 107Oceania excl AUS,NZL...................... 12 356 13 543 14 856 17 796 21 175 25 193 30 044 35 905 43 047 51 783Melanesia .......................................... 11 123 12 252 13 503 16 313 19 562 23 441 28 129 33 804 40 729 49 206Micronesia......................................... 549 579 612 674 734 801 875 956 1 050 1 158Polynesia (1)...................................... 684 711 741 808 878 952 1 040 1 146 1 269 1 419




Constant-fertility variant







e Other less developed countries compris

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World Population Prospects 2019 - un.org€¦ · World Population Prospects 2019, ... population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for 1950-2015 are estimates