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When To Walk Away From A Dealby Geoffrey Cullinan, Jean-Marc Le Roux, and Rolf-Magnus Weddigen
Vikas K Murthy CB.BU.P2MBA11077
Deal Making…Can it stand alone..?????
• A well known term • Frequent news about companies making deal • Most of the deals not seem to be profitable..!!•Deal making is a glamorous task but without due diligence deals tend to fail
Why deals often fails..?
• Due diligence is treated as a routine task• Includes only financial data analysis
Eg: US grocery chain Safeway acquiring Dominick’s, an innovative regional grocerer
Effective Due Diligence
• A clear analysis of strategy• The ability to realize values
from the deal• Need to look into business,
economy, customers and other factors
What Do Studies Tell?
• 250 M&A executives were interviewed• Half said – Diligence couldn’t reveal major
problems• Targets were dressed up to impress• Only 30% had a good deal
Good Diligence Process
• Should answer four questionsWhat are we really buying?What are the target’s stand alone value?What are the synergies and skeletons?What is our walk-away price?
1. What are we rally buying?
• Always have a preconceived picture- eliminate it
• Dig beneath and find the real picture• Use secondary sources• Always get ready to walk away from a deal
• Eg: Bridgepoint deal for FruitCo
Remember 4 C’s
• Customers• Competitors• Cost• Capability
2. What is the target’s stand-alone value?
• What benefits the assessment of the target gives• Determine true value of the company• Uncover the hidden treasureExplore moreLearn moreMake the deal successful
3. What are the synergies and skeletons?
• Tend to over estimate the synergies• Distinguish synergies• Measure synergies based on cost
4. What is our walk-away price?
• Walk-away price- Final price ready to pay after negotiation
• Should not include all potential values• Include all the cost-benefits attached• Think about the differences
Eg: Think about differences in compensation systems
To summarize…
• To have a good deal, have an efficient due diligence
• Due diligenceIts about humilityTesting every assumptionQuestioning every beliefThink & fix all the problems