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What host factors are at play? Paul de Bakker Division of Genetics, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard [email protected]

What host factors are at play? Paul de Bakker Division of Genetics, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard [email protected]

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What host factors are at play?

Paul de Bakker

Division of Genetics, Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard

[email protected]

B cell

CTL

NK

Th cell

DC

Unique advantages of human genetics Genotype assignment is randomized at meiosis

(formally, a randomized trial) Genotypes are unaltered by the disease

process We can develop good statistical rules when a

variant is consistent with null hypothesis (no association)

Therefore, can argue for causality

Evolution shaped allelic variation

50%

5%

0.5%

expected to reach high(er) frequency due to balancing

selection

most of genome consistent with neutral drift

deleterious variants are selected against

Allele frequency

common

not socommon

rare

Three approaches

common

not socommon

rare

50%

5%

0.5%

HapMap

1000 Genomes

Sequencing

Resource Approach

GWAS

Imputation+

newer chips

From Manolio, NEJM 2010

>1000 loci discovered through GWAS in various complex, polygenic traits

>1000 loci discovered through GWAS in various complex, polygenic traits

Science Aug 2007

First GWAS of VL points to MHC

Two SNP markers found that explain 15% of variance of VL

rs2395029 / proxy B*5701 rs9264942 / upstream HLA-C

Another SNP found associated with progression

CCR2/CCR5 only associated variant outside MHC

Confirmation in other studies

PLoS ONE Nov 2008

PLoS ONE Dec 2008

Confirmation in other studies

AIDS Jan 2009

Genes & Immunity Dec 2009

JID Feb 2009

rs9264942 / upstream HLA-Cnot associated

GWAS in other phenotypes

JID Oct 2009

JID Jan 2010

Genes outside MHC proposed but

validation needed

No signals outside MHC with large sample of VL (n=2500)

PLoS Genet 2009

Non-replication of published associations

A potential role for CD4:CD8 ratio in host control?

American Journal of Human Genetics. 2010

Variants in MHC associated with CD4:CD8 ratio

This variant is also associated with host control

Association with host control: P = 9 x 10-11

This raises the possibility that host control may (in part) be mediated by regulation of T cell

homeostasis

Summary

There has been virtually no success with candidate gene studies in terms of robustly pointing to true associations

Genome-wide association studies point unequivocally to SNP markers in the MHC associated with VL or (non-)progression

But no functional or causal variants pinpointed

What is needed?

We need large, well-phenotyped cohort in multiple populations or ethnicities

This is also true for studying rare variation (sequencing)

Logistical hurdles in low-resource settings where delivery of care is already poor