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Water Supply, Drainage and Flooding
Wastewater Planning: Current State of Play and Looking to the Future – a Consultant’s Perspective
19th September 2012
David De Rosa, Clear Consultants
Wastewater ModellingEvolved over last 20 years….
Step changes in modelling software; WASSP; WALLRUS; SPIDA; HydroWorks; InfoWorks;
Dendritic → ‘full solution’ looped systems
User interface, GIS and data exchange
Hardware ↔ software constrained
Simplified models → all-sewer models
1-D → 2-D and integrated catchment models
InfoNet asset, survey and data management2
3
Wastewater Planning
Initially based on early versions of SRM
Used to understand asset base and develop schemes
Focus different across WCs
– Long term plans vs model development vehicle
Should have considered all issues, but
– Often focused on hydraulic issues
– Little forward looking operational planning
Criticisms?
– Snap shots / rapidly out of date
– Reports “sat on shelf”
– Too much focus on hydraulic performance / schemes and not enough planning
Evolved over last 20 years…..
4
DAPs – The Current State of Play
Step change to SRM5 & earlier Common Framework
Move to risk based assessments
– Focus expenditure on high priority areas
– Consider consequence of failures
Rolling and “live” to avoid ‘snap shot’ scenario
Linked to service measures, benefits and outcomes
More rounded plans across capital & operational
Medium and long term planning
Increased stakeholder engagement within and outside WCs
Significant change in last 3 years…..
Urban Drainage Challenges
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Longbridge STW
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Milverton
Radford SemeleCastles Park
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Sherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne BrookSherborne Brook
Longbridge Brook
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Grand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union CanalGrand Union Canal
Tach BrookTach BrookTach Brook
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Lillington
Sydenham
Woodloes Park
Hampton Magna
1km
Climate Change
Urban Creep
Growth and New
Development
Surface Water
Flooding
PollutionCSOs & WwTW
Combined Sewer
Flooding
Ageing Infrastructure
Interactions with other
urban stakeholders
Carbon
Resilience
EfficiencyOpex v Capex
Long term strategic plans
Hydraulic Modelling
Tactical operational support
Improvement
Benefits
Value for money
Climate Change
6
SOURCE: UKCIP09 Climate Change Projections
UKCIP09 Climate Projections
Wetter winters & drier summers
More short, intense events causing flooding
Population Growth
7
Population growth of 10m in 25 years SOURCE: www.ons.gov.uk
Urban Creep
8
Front gardens – paved for driveways
Back gardens – conservatories & extensions
Wrong connections
Average approx 1m2 / house / year
– Housing type
– Property density
– Socio-economic groups
Relaxation of Planning Regulations
Ageing Infrastructure
9
70% of sewers across UK are 50 years old or more
Increasing risk of asset deterioration into future
20% 100yrs old
Poor condition
50% pre-war
Capital Maintenance - linked to serviceabilityUnderstand likely collapse, blockage and failure hotspots
Attempt to understand frequency and consequence
Root cause analysis
Deterioration modelling
Low velocity assessments
Failure model analysis
Consequence analysis
Response time assessment
Prioritisation
Drive operational maintenance regimes
10Identify highest risk operational collapse or blockage
and promote within a pro-active programme
Where are we likely to go…
Include Private Sewers to improve asset base understanding and performance and risks – full serviceability ‘all sewer’ models
Type III models in high hydraulic risk areas to give further efficiencies in capital programme
Water Quality modelling to ensure objectives and obligations of WFD are understood and met in the future and pro-actively manage risks in response to growth, climate change and creep
Increase in Integrated Models to understand multi-agency problems, such as flooding
11
12
Surface Water Management Plans
Integration with SWMPsOpportunity to get on front foot with: • model upgrades• Understanding of responsibilities• Pro-active modelling?Inclusion of more SW sewers and 2D modellingIdentify and influence long term stakeholder engagement needsInfluence development planning
Risk based outputs aligned to SWMPs initiatives
13
Sustainable Solutions
Sustainable mitigation initiatives
Surface Water Reduction & SuDSIdentify opportunities for SW reduction or removalUse models to test SW reduction on strategic and local scalesPossible solutions to existing problemsCreate system capacity and headroomDemand management to reduce capital investmentEnergy and carbon benefitsLong term strategy to mitigate climate change, growth and creep
14
Real-Time Monitoring
Permanent / long term monitors to record system performance
On-going model calibration
Manage and utilise headroom
Identify operational issues; as blockages; pump failures
Move from ‘set pro-active’ to ‘just in time pro-active’
Use DAP knowledge to identify optimum locations for strategic long term monitors & operational improvement monitoring sites
DAP models and scenario tests can be used to formulate alarm and response strategies for monitors
Live DAPs lend themselves to driving ownership and implementation of long term monitoring programmes
Predictive Modelling
Real time flow management in response to predicted rainfall events
Prediction of flooding, surcharge and CSO spills
Prediction of bathing water failures
Pre-emptive interventions
15
Back to the Future?
Now doing what the SRM set out to achieve
Long term planning
Asset management
Joined-up – hydraulic, operational, structural, water quality
16
Water Supply, Drainage and Flooding
Wastewater Planning: Current State of Play and Looking to the Future – a Consultant’s Perspective
19th September 2012
David De Rosa, Clear Consultants