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MAJOR TRENDS IN GLOBAL CV INDUSTRY
Center of gravity shift
Major global trends
Volvo in India
Industry needs in India
1,000 units, 2011
Germany 61,000
France 41,000
Uk 30,000
Spain 13,000
Italy 13,000
Other
6%
Russia
4%
WORLD'S LARGEST TRUCK MARKETS (> 14T)
CHINDIA HELD OVER HALF OF THE GLOBAL HD TRUCK INDUSTRY IN 2011
VOLVO IN ASIA STRONG GROWTH – A SIGNIFICANT PART OF THE GROUP’S BUSINESS
24%
INDIA
CHINA
THAILAND
MALAYSIA
SINGAPORE
PHILIPPINES
JAPAN
KOREA
OF GROUP SALES
Technological convergence of developed markets
Value for money products
DUAL WORLD
MAJOR GLOBAL TRENDS
Nox (g/kWh)
EMISSIONS BROUGHT TOWARDS ZERO MAP FOR EMISSION STANDARDS 1995-2016
Tier 2 2001 Tier 3 -06 (-05)
Tier 4B
Tier 4A
EPA 02
EPA ’2010
EPA’07
EPA 98
Japan new Short term regulation
2005
Japan new Long term regulation
2007
2.0 3.5 5.0 7.0
0.15
0.10
0.02
PM (g/kWh)
0.05
0.20
EU-II 95
EU-III 00/01
EU-IV 05/06
EU-V 08/0
9
Euro VI demands Further reduced levels of
NOx and Particulates (PM)
Particulate counting
Extensive On Board
Diagnostics
New in service conformity
emission requirements.
Emission durability:
300000-700000 km
(depending on application)
TOWARDS ONE COMMON TECHNOLOGY CONVERGENCE EUROPE / US / JAPAN
US’04
+ EGR
Euro IV
+ SCR
Euro V
+SCR + Opt. DPF
US’07
+HEGR + DPF
Tier 3
+ internal EGR Tier 4A
+ HEGR + DPF
NLT
+ EGR
Off Road
2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2008 2013 2014 2015 2016
SCR + EGR + DPF
The Global Engine
HDEP+
Tier 4B
EPA 2010
PNLT
HDEP+
EPA Next
PPNLT
Euro VI
VALUE PRODUCTS STRIVING TOWARDS ~70% PERFORMANCE AT ~50% COST
100
75
50
25
1995-2000
2003-2005
2008-2009
Earlier
predictions
Actual
development
Premium
Europeans
High/Mid end
Japan/Korean
1st upgrade ‘Copy cats’
Moderni-
zation
2nd upgrade ‘Own development’
+
JVs
Price index
Performance Horsepower
Features
Quality
Design
3rd upgrade JV products?
2012-2015
“30s”
trucks
1949-95
Technological convergence of developed markets
Value for money products
West goes East, East goes West
Platforms, Alliances
DUAL WORLD
GLOBAL GAME
MAJOR GLOBAL TRENDS
Technological convergence of developed markets
Value for money products
West goes east, east goes west
Platforms, alliances
Urbanization, Electromobility
Customer efficiency & TCO Focus
DUAL WORLD
GLOBAL GAME
NEW NEEDS
MAJOR GLOBAL TRENDS
3,000
EMPLOYEES
WHOLLY OWNED OPERATIONS A STRONG FOOTHOLD IN INDIA
CONSTRUCTION
EQUIPMENT
TRUCKS BUSES MARINE & INDUSTRIAL
POWER SYSTEMS
AERO
MARKET PRESENCE
SOURCING & COMPETENCE HUB
INFORMATION
TECHNOLOGY PRODUCT
EXPORTS
3P PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT &
GLOBAL SOURCING
SERVICES
PARTS LOGISTICS
X 5
VOLVO EICHER COMMERCIAL VEHICLES A SUCCESSFUL JOINT VENTURE IN INDIA MASS MARKET
Strong partner adding market presence, competence in frugal
engineering and speed to market
Combination of frugal approach and selective introduction of
Volvo hard & soft technology
Total alignment and high cooperation
between AB Volvo and Eicher Motors
Eicher brand to take its natural
place in the Indian market
INFRASTRUCTURE AND LOGISTICS
Road transport 4.7 % of GDP
Average speed 30-40 km/h
Logistics cost India = 13-15% of GDP
(7-8% in US & Europe, 10% in China)
Consistent infrastructure needed
(500 MUSD/year lost in idling)
Better infrastructure allows more
efficient trucks
15
ACCELERATING REPLACEMENT OF OLD TRUCKS FASTER EFFECT THAN EXPENSIVE NEW TECHNICAL REGULATIONS
Clean Air
Fuel Consumption
Road Safety
Reliability
CONTRIBUTING TO IMPROVEMENT OF TRANSPORT INDUSTRY
12 year Limit
=
1 to 2
Emission Steps
CONCLUSION
A global game
India high on the global map
CV industry can contribute to India’s modernization
Volvo and VECV will deliver