Upload
others
View
5
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
The role of gas in the UK energy mix
Vitaly Vasiliev, Chief Executive Officer
Gazprom Marketing and Trading
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 2
Gazprom at a glance
$99bn Market capitalisation
404,600 Employees globally
40 years Supplying European customers
Years of Gas export experience
15% Of global gas production
25% Of European gas
168,000km Gas pipeline – world’s largest
Moscow HQ
40
GM&T HQ
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 3
GM&T Switzerland
GM&T France
GM&T USA GM&T Global LNG
GM&T Retail
GM&T Singapore
24/7 Trading capability
Supplying approx 40,000 retail gas and power sites
950 Global employees of 46 nationalities
10 per cent market share across all business segments in the UK
Over 130 cargoes of LNG traded to date
150 + Products across Gas, Power, LNG, Coal, Carbon, Oil, FX, Green Certificates, Helium
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 4
Gas supply: Key criteria
Security of supply 1 Relative costs 2 Environmental 3
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 5
News hysteria about security of supply
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 p
Imp
ort
vo
lum
e (
bcm
)
Norway Imports
LNG Imports
Netherlands Imports
Belgium Imports
Import dependence
DECC DUKES 2012 – Chapter 4, Natural Gas
Norway biggest source of UK gas imports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 p
Imp
ort
vo
lum
e (
bcm
)
Norway Imports
LNG Imports
Netherlands Imports
Belgium Imports
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 7
Import dependence
BBC – Have I Got News For You
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 8
Source of supply Russian gas exports to Europe
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1973 1975 1980 1990 2000 2012
Vo
lum
e e
xpo
rte
d (
bcm
)
Approx four trillion cubic metres of Russian gas delivered for export since 1973
Gazprom Export – 2012 annual report
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 9
Gazprom investment in Europe
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 10
UK Coal imports by country of origin
DECC UK Energy Trends 2012 - Section 2 - Solid Fuels and Derived Gases DECC UK Energy Trends 2012 - Section 2 - Solid Fuels and Derived Gases
2012
Coal demand: 64 million tonnes Coal imported: 45 million tonnes
Russia 41%
Columbia 27%
USA 23%
Australia 5%
EU 1%
Other 3%
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 11
It’s a long way from the wellhead to the EU border
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 12
Mott MacDonald - UK Electricity Generation Costs Update 2010 DECC Consultation on proposals for the levels of banded support under the Renewables Obligation for the period 2013-17 and the
Renewables Obligation Order 2012
Cost of generation
50
100
150
200
250
Biomass Onshore wind Nuclear Coal IGCC Offshore wind Solar Gas CCGT
Tota
l lev
elis
ed
co
st (
£/M
Wh
)
Generation technology
Gas fired generation cost: Lowest available technology
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 13
Switching coal for gas
2011 Fuel mix for power generation (MWh) If coal switched for gas (assuming 80% load factor)
CO2 Emissions from coal: 90 Mt CO2 Emissions from gas : 50 Mt Sum = 140Mt
CO2 Emissions from coal: 15 Mt CO2 Emissions from gas : 80 Mt Saving = 45Mt CO2
Gas 146,8
Coal 108,6
Nuclear 69,0
Others 43,4
MWh
Gas 236,0
Coal 19,0
Nuclear 69,0
Others 43,4
MWh
Electricity: chapter 5, Digest of United Kingdom energy statistics (DUKES) DECC 2013 Statistical release – 2011 UK greenhouse gas emissions, final figures
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 14
CCGT Load Factors in the UK
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/electricity-chapter-5-digest-of-united-kingdom-energy-statistics-dukes
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 15
EU ETS surplus
Bloomberg L.P. (2013) ECX front month settlement price 01/04/2008 to 23/05/2013. Retrieved 24 May 2013
-500
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
Cu
mu
lati
ve o
vers
up
ply
(M
t)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
апр 2008 апр 2009 апр 2010 апр 2011 апр 2012 апр 2013
EUR
/tC
O2
EUA price Carbon Floor Price 2013
Historic Forecast
Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited 16
Conclusions
DECC statistical release, 28th March 2013
Security of supply 1 Relative costs 2 Environmental 3