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VICTORIAFOCUSREAPPRAISING THE NEIGHBOURHOOD
VICT
ORIA
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Kings Gate Development
Following significant regeneration over the past decade, Victoria is now benefiting from major investment and redevelopment with the unlocking of over three million square feet of new offices, retail and residential spaces.
Traditionally seen as a transport hub for commuters and office workers, Victoria is now establishing itself as a destination in its own right. High end homes, restaurants and boutiques as well as improvements to the public realm are bringing new vibrancy to the area.
Victoria’s lower entry costs for office tenants and improvements to the area are making it an increasingly attractive destination for a number of eclectic companies. This has created a major migration from more traditional locations such as Mayfair and The City. Fashion houses such as Burberry, Armani, Tom Ford and Jimmy Choo, financial institutions including Wellington Hedge Fund and Italian investment bank Mediobanca, luxury car maker Rolls Royce and philanthropic establishment, The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation now all have offices in SW1.
A number of new high end developments are now being delivered, yet average values remain significantly lower than surrounding prime neighbourhoods such as Belgravia and Knightsbridge. A wealth of new prime residential spaces are providing the catalyst for improved retail and leisure spaces in Victoria, a previously overlooked central London location. Driving this change is the main landowner Land Securities, who are developing more than 2 million sq ft, meshing the innovation and elegance of world-class architecture with quality craftsmanship and design. New upmarket residences are a key part of Land Securities’ plan to create an area to rival London’s most prestigious neighbourhoods. Land Securities isn’t alone in its ambition to transform SW1 into a vibrant new neighbourhood. Amongst others, Northacre, a high end developer, is busy creating its own raft of luxury apartments by Buckingham Palace at No.1 Palace Street.
VICTORIALONDON
For the first time, this busy central London hub is emerging as a destination in its own right,
unlocking a place for Londoners to enjoy and businesses to migrate to, surrounded by
striking architecture and world famous landmarks
St James Park
VICT
ORIA
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US 4
Victoria’s enviable position in central London means that it has always been a hive of activity. It rubs shoulders with Buckingham Palace, the Houses of Parliament, Westminster Cathedral and The Goring, London’s last family run luxury hotel. It is surrounded by some of the best parks in the capital and sits alongside some of the most desirable postcodes in London including Belgravia to the north west, Chelsea to the south west and Westminster to the east. Its location also gives easy access to the bustling West End and beyond.
AN ICONIC LOCATION
Victoria is home to 98 acresof Royal Parks
3 underground lines
c.700 overground trains per day
£700 million investment in Victoria Station Upgrade
30 minutes to Gatwick Airport
The Goring Hotel
Buckingham Palace
Victoria has welcomed an influx of places to shop, drink and socialise. Land Securities’ mixed use scheme Nova will complete the area’s transformation. In addition to five buildings encompassing a huge pedestrianised, landscaped public space, a vibrant new restaurant quarter will quickly become an integral part of London’s latest foodie scene.
Hosting an Italian restaurant by Michelin starred icon, Jason Atherton, who is best known for Pollen Street Social and Berners Tavern, an all-day offering from Adam White, the restaurateur behind venues including the Riding House Café and The Garrison, and a Ramen bar and Okonomiyaki restaurant from Ross Shonhan of Bone Daddies fame.
Victoria Street is now home to Curzon’s newest cinema in the capital, an upscale flagship venue with five state-of-the art screens and chic lounge bars.
A SOCIAL SPACE
Computer generated image for illustrative purposes only
Curzon
Royal Quarter Café
Land Securities, The Nova Building
VICT
ORIA
FOC
US 6 RESIDENTIAL
RESEARCH
SOURCE: EXPERIAN
202020192018201720162015201420132012
WESTMINSTERGREATER LONDONFORECAST
Economic performance Annual GVA growth
3.0%
1.8%
1.5% 1.6%
3.9%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%3.3%
2.8%
2.8%2.9%
2.9%3.0%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK WEALTH REPORT
Most important cities to the ultra-wealthy 2015
LOND
ON
NEW
YOR
K
HONG
KON
G
SING
APOR
E
SHAN
GHAI
MIA
MI
PARI
S
DUBA
I
BEIJ
ING
ZURI
CH
1 2 3
10
45
6 7 8 9
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
Annual growth in Prime central London prices(forecasts 2015 - 2019)
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010
FORECAST
1%
4% 5% 5%5%
8%9%
12%
10%
6%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
How residential price performance in Victoria compares Growth in prices, indexed 100=January 2000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
PRIME CENTRAL LONDON ENGLAND & WALES GREATER LONDON VICTORIA
Residential prices in prime central London have climbed by 76% since the trough of the market in early 2009, averaging just under a growth of 9% a year over the last five years. The pace of growth has eased in recent months as more normal market conditions have resumed. The market is also absorbing changes to stamp duty for properties worth £1.1m and more made in December 2014. Knight Frank forecasts further cumulative growth of 25.8% from 2015 to the end of 2019.
Average residential prices in the area within a 1km radius of Victoria station have outperformed those in prime central London, as well as Greater London since 2000. The average property has risen in value by 88% between the trough of the market, compared in 2009 to Q1 in 2015, to an average 56% increase in the Greater London market. Looking at activity, Victoria has seen the biggest increase in the volume of £1m+ sales in any area of London in the last 12 months once prices are inflation-adjusted, underlining its status as a prime residential area.
The prime London market is underpinned by London’s eco-nomic power, boosting domestic demand, as well as its po-sition as a key global city, attracting international attention. London was ranked as the top destination for the world’s ultra-wealthy in Knight Frank’s 2015 Wealth Report, beating New York, Hong Kong and Singapore.
Looking at Victoria in more detail, it is situated in one of the most vibrant boroughs in London. Westminster is expected to outperform the wider London market in terms of job creation and economic output over the next five years.
SOURCE: EXPERIAN
202020192018201720162015201420132012
WESTMINSTERGREATER LONDONFORECAST
Economic performance Annual GVA growth
3.0%
1.8%
1.5% 1.6%
3.9%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%3.3%
2.8%
2.8%2.9%
2.9%3.0%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK WEALTH REPORT
Most important cities to the ultra-wealthy 2015
LOND
ON
NEW
YOR
K
HONG
KON
G
SING
APOR
E
SHAN
GHAI
MIA
MI
PARI
S
DUBA
I
BEIJ
ING
ZURI
CH
1 2 3
10
45
6 7 8 9
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
Annual growth in Prime central London prices(forecasts 2015 - 2019)
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010
FORECAST
1%
4% 5% 5%5%
8%9%
12%
10%
6%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
How residential price performance in Victoria compares Growth in prices, indexed 100=January 2000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
PRIME CENTRAL LONDON ENGLAND & WALES GREATER LONDON VICTORIA
SOURCE: EXPERIAN
202020192018201720162015201420132012
WESTMINSTERGREATER LONDONFORECAST
Economic performance Annual GVA growth
3.0%
1.8%
1.5% 1.6%
3.9%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%3.3%
2.8%
2.8%2.9%
2.9%3.0%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK WEALTH REPORT
Most important cities to the ultra-wealthy 2015
LOND
ON
NEW
YOR
K
HONG
KON
G
SING
APOR
E
SHAN
GHAI
MIA
MI
PARI
S
DUBA
I
BEIJ
ING
ZURI
CH
1 2 3
10
45
6 7 8 9
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
Annual growth in Prime central London prices(forecasts 2015 - 2019)
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010
FORECAST
1%
4% 5% 5%5%
8%9%
12%
10%
6%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
How residential price performance in Victoria compares Growth in prices, indexed 100=January 2000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
PRIME CENTRAL LONDON ENGLAND & WALES GREATER LONDON VICTORIA
SOURCE: EXPERIAN
202020192018201720162015201420132012
WESTMINSTERGREATER LONDONFORECAST
Economic performance Annual GVA growth
3.0%
1.8%
1.5% 1.6%
3.9%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%3.3%
2.8%
2.8%2.9%
2.9%3.0%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK WEALTH REPORT
Most important cities to the ultra-wealthy 2015
LOND
ON
NEW
YOR
K
HONG
KON
G
SING
APOR
E
SHAN
GHAI
MIA
MI
PARI
S
DUBA
I
BEIJ
ING
ZURI
CH
1 2 3
10
45
6 7 8 9
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
Annual growth in Prime central London prices(forecasts 2015 - 2019)
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010
FORECAST
1%
4% 5% 5%5%
8%9%
12%
10%
6%
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
How residential price performance in Victoria compares Growth in prices, indexed 100=January 2000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
PRIME CENTRAL LONDON ENGLAND & WALES GREATER LONDON VICTORIA
HORSEFERRY ROAD
VICTORIA STREET
BELGRAVE ROAD
BUCK
INGH
AM P
ALAC
E RO
AD
EATON GATE
A202
A302
A302
A302
A4
A3212
A3212
A3205
A3213
B324
B323
A3211
A3216
A3214
Cad
og
an Place
TateBritain
B302
B310
ST JAMES’SPARK
VICTORIA
PIMLICO
LondonVictoria
BuckinghamPalace
Gardens
ParkLane
GreenPark
Houses ofParliment
St James’sPark
HM Treasury
ForeignCommonwealth
Office
Victoria Gardens
Vincent Square
Vauxhall BridgeIndustrial
Estate
WandsworthRoad
IndustrialEstateSouthbank
BusinessCentre
BurtonsCourt
RoyalHospitalChelsea
BelgraviaSquare
WESTMINSTER
BELGRAVIA
PUBLIC TRANSPORTACCESSABILITY LEVELS
HIGH CONNECTIVITY
LOW CONNECTIVITY
Victoria
Sloane Square
Pimlico
St James’s Park
Westminster
For the latest news, views and analysison the world of prime property, visit
KnightFrankblog.com/global-briefing
GLOBAL BRIEFING
Please refer to the important notice at the end of this report.
TRANSPORT CONNECTIVITY. There is also evi-dence that residential prices benefit from an augmentation in transport infrastructure as well as the public realm around a transport hub. Work has already started on the upgrade of Victoria station, and this will be completed in 2018. The area is already enviable in terms of connectivity, scoring 6b, the highest possible score in Transport for London’s Public Trans-port Accessibility Level (PTAL) measure, which measures the connectivity of an area.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS OF 40+ UNITSSchemes shown are in planning, have planning permission granted, are currently under construction or just completed
VincentSquare
10 DowningStreet
Metropolitan Police
21 DARTMOUTH STREET Developer: Henley HomesTotal units: 46Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
55 BROADWAY Developer: Transport for LondonTotal units: 112Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
NO. 1 PALACE STREET Developer: NorthacreTotal units: 72Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
55VS Developer: Alchemi GroupTotal units: 57Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Under Construction
KINGS GATE Developer: Land SecuritiesTotal units: 100Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Build Complete
THE NOVA BUILDING Developer: Land SecuritiesTotal units: 170Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Under Construction
GROSVENOR GARDENS HOUSE Developer: Key Platinum Investments LimitedTotal units: 42Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
130 WILTON ROAD (STOCKLEY HOUSE) Developer: Victoria Gardens Development LimitedTotal units: 109Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
84 ECCLESTON SQUARE Developer: Mosaic Properties InternationalTotal units: 99Planning status: ApplicationConstruction status: Not Started
63 BUCKINGHAM GATE Developer: Anquila CorporationTotal units: 65Planning status: Permission - FullConstruction status: Not Started
KNIGHTSBRIDGE
BELGRAVIA
CHELSEA
Victoria
Hyde Park Corner
Sloane Square
Pimlico
Saatchi Gallery
Royal HospitalChelsea
Tate Britain
Big Ben
BuckinghamPalace
LondonVictoria
St James’s Park
St James’s Park
Westminster
Green Park
BelgraveSquareGarden
Hyde Park
ECCLESTON ST
A202
GROSVENOR ROAD
BIRDCAGE WALK
A3217
A4
A302
A321
4
CHELSEA BRIDGE RD
Key developments of 40+ units in planning, with planning permission granted or currently under construction
VICT
ORIA
FOC
US 8 RESIDENTIAL
RESEARCH
WestminsterAbbey
BuckinghamPalace
WestminsterCathedral
The Goring hotel
EatonSquare
The Guards Museum
VincentSquare
SloaneSquare
Elizabeth Street
BelgraveSquare
Curzon Victoria
Cardinal Place
VictoriaStation
HorseGuardsparade
St. James Theatre
BuckinghamPalace
Gardens
Victoria PalaceTheatre
HYDEPARK
GREENPARK ST JAMES’S
PARK
PIMLICO
V ICTORIA
BELGRAVIA
MAYFAIR
WALK TIMES0-6 MINUTES
6-12 MINUTES
12-18 MINUTES
Houses of ParliamentBig Ben
Annual rental value growth in prime central London was 2.4% in September. Rents have been growing in the prime central market for 14 consecutive months after a period of declining rents. The pace of rental growth has moderated in recent months against the backdrop of jittery financial markets and concerns about the global economy. This has been reflected in more uncertainty among companies about recruiting, and led to more conservative relocation budgets for senior executives. However, this trend is less marked in both lower and higher price brackets. Demand among younger professionals remains strong while demand at the super-prime level of £5,000 per week and above has been buoyed by the fact tenants have moved across from the sales market due to last December’s stamp duty increase.
SOURCE: KNIGHT FRANK RESEARCH
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
Prime Central London Rental Index
Sep-
15
Jun-
15
Mar
-15
Dec-
14
Sep-
14
Jun-
14
Mar
-14
Dec-
13
Sep-
13
Jun-
13
Mar
-13
Dec-
12
Sep-
12
Jun-
12
Mar
-12
Dec-
11
Sep-
11
Jun-
11
Mar
-11
Dec-
10
RENTAL GROWTHJAN - SEP 2015
HOUSE
FLAT
2.10%
1.30%
Walk mapVictoria: Highly Connected. Walk-time map from Victoria Station
Prime Central London Rental Index
Victoria is well connected to the whole of central London, with Westminster, Harrods and the River all accessible within 20 minutes on foot.
For the latest news, views and analysison the world of prime property, visit
KnightFrankblog.com/global-briefing
GLOBAL BRIEFING
Please refer to the important notice at the end of this report.
Average sales price
above £5m
£1.25m - £2m
£2m - £3m
12 months to Sept. 2015
£3m - £5m
sub £750k
£750k - £1.25m
1 mile
0.5
miles
M A Y F A I R
G R N R K
E EP A
K N I G H T S B R I D G E
B E L G R A V I A
V I C T O R I A
P I M L I C O
V A U X H A L L
C H E L S E A
S T . J A M E S 'P A R K
H Y D E P A R K
Price performance Local over and underperformance compared to average growth in 1.5 mile radius. Price performance measured since January 2010
Sales price map Average capital values of all sales (new-build and secondary market) in 12 months to September 2015.
This map shows how average prices have performed in and around Victoria since 2010. The average growth is taken from all sales within the area shown on the map, and the red areas show where prices have grown by more than average, and blue the areas where capital value growth has yet to catch up.
This snapshot of average capital values of all residential property, new-build and existing stock, shows the highly localised nature of the central London market.Source Knight Frank
VICT
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0 CONTACTSLONDON RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT
Richard Klein+44 20 7861 [email protected]
James Cohen+44 20 7861 [email protected]
Seb Warner+44 20 7861 [email protected]
Gráinne Gilmore+44 20 7861 [email protected]
INTERNATIONAL PROJECT MARKETING RESEARCH
Important Notice© Knight Frank LLP 2015 – This report is published for general information only and not to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance on or reference to the contents of this document. As a general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular proper-ties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is not allowed without prior written approval of Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within which it appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.