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9-6-2009 1 Herhaling titel van presentatie Playing the game of the global Playing the game of the global sporting arms race? sporting arms race? T T he nine Sports Policy factors Leading to International he nine Sports Policy factors Leading to International Sporting Success Sporting Success Play the Game, June 8 Play the Game, June 8 - - 12, Coventry 12, Coventry Veerle De Bosscher Paul De Knop & Maarten van Bottenburg Simon Shibli & Jerry Bingham

Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

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Page 1: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

9-6-2009 1Herhaling titel van presentatie

Playing the game of the global Playing the game of the global

sporting arms race? sporting arms race? TThe nine Sports Policy factors Leading to International he nine Sports Policy factors Leading to International

Sporting SuccessSporting Success

Play the Game, June 8Play the Game, June 8--12, Coventry12, Coventry

Veerle De Bosscher

Paul De Knop & Maarten van Bottenburg

Simon Shibli & Jerry Bingham

Page 2: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

The global sporting Arms Race

Page 3: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Change in national expenditure on sport 1999-2003

Page 4: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Change in national expenditure on elite sport 1999-2003

Page 5: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Change in national expenditure on elite sport 1999-2007

Page 6: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Change in market share (medal points) 2000-2004 (Athens)

Page 7: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Change in market share (medal points) 2000-2008

Page 8: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Elite sports spending in the Netherlands and

Olympic medals won by Dutch athletes, 1988-2002

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

Elite sports

spending (in

Euro's)

Number of Olympic

medals won by

Dutch athletes

Polynoom (Elite

sports spending (in

Euro's))

Polynoom (Number

of Olympic medals

won by Dutch

athletes)

The Netherlands: 1986 – 2002 (van Bottenburg, 2009)

Page 9: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Elite sports spending in the Netherlands and

Olympic medals won by Dutch athletes, 1988-2008

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Elite sports spending

(in Euro's)

Number of Olympic

medals won by Dutch

athletes

Polynoom (Elite sports

spending (in Euro's))

Polynoom (Number of

Olympic medals won

by Dutch athletes)

The Netherlands: 1988– 2008 (van Bottenburg, 2009)

Page 10: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Elite sport is…

Citius Altius Fortius

Page 11: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

This presentation

1. The global sporting arms race

2. Theoretical model of sports policy factors leading to international sporting success

3. What is success?

4. Policy evaluation in nine pillars in 6 nations

5. Conclusions

Page 12: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Objectives

To improve our theoretical understanding and

methodological approach with respect to the

identification of key policy factors leading to

international sporting success

• Explore the relationship between elite sport policies

(inputs and throughputs) and a nation’s success

(outputs)

• Test a conceptual model of sports policy factors leading

to international sporting success in an empirical context

• Measuring competitiveness in elite sport

Page 13: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Conceptual model

De Bosscher, V., De Knop,P., van Bottenburg,M., Shibli, S. (2006). A

conceptual framework for analysing Sports Policy Factors Leading to

international sporting success. European Sport Management Quarterly, Vol. 6.,

2, 185-215

Page 14: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Pillar 2Pillar 2

Organisation and structure of sport policies: Organisation and structure of sport policies: an integrated approach to policy developmentan integrated approach to policy development

National govern

ing b

odie

s Pillar 9

Scientific research

Talent development

Pillar 1Pillar 1

Financial supportFinancial support

INPUT

INPUT

INPUT

Talent identification

system

Pillar 4: performance

Pillar 6

Training facilities

Pillar 7

Coaching provision & coach development

Pillar 8

(Inter)national competition

Elite sport Environment Media & Sponsorship

Post career

Pillar 5: excellence

Athletic career support

OUTCOME

OUTPUT

THROUGHPUT

Pillar 3Pillar 3: : initiationinitiation

Foundation & Foundation &

participationparticipation

organized sport

Non organised sport and physical education in schools

De Bosscher et al., 2006

Page 15: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Sports Policy factors Leading to International Sporting Success

Page 16: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Output

What is success?

Page 17: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Absolute success: market share

Market share (%)

Country OG AthensOG Beijing

OG TurinWSI 60sports

Italy 3.4 (1st) 2.9% (2nd) 4.2 (3rd) 3.2 (2nd)

Great Britain 3.1 (2nd) 5.3 % (1st) 0.4 (5th) 6.5 (1st)

Netherlands 2.1 (3rd) 1.9 %(3rd) 3.4 (4rd) 1.6 (5th)

Canada 1.3 (4rd) 1.8 %(4th) 9.5 (1st) 3.2 (2nd)

Norway 0.9 (5th) 1.1 %(5th) 6.2 (2th) 2.7 (4rd)

Belgium(Flanders)(Wallonia)

0.3 (6th)(0.17%)(0.13%)

0.3 (6th)(0.2%)(0.1%)

0.0 (6th)0.4 (6th)

--

Page 18: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Relative success

Linear regression(BBP/cap, pop, comm.)

Country OS Athens OS Salt Lake WSI (S + W)1

Italy 0.90 (2nd) 9.1 (3th) 0.74 (3th)

Great Britain 0.64 (3th) -14.4 (5th) 0.07 (5th)

Netherlands 0.90 (1st) -3.92 (4th) 0.71 (4th)

Canada 0.04 (5th) 9.9 (2nd) 0.97 (2nd)

Norway 0.48 (4th) 23.0 (1st) 1.38 (1st)

Belgium -0.93 (6th) Not ranked -0.87 (6th)

Page 19: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Conclusion success

There is not ‘one way to measure

success’

Page 20: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Policy evaluation in 9 pillars

Page 21: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

1. Overall sports policy questionnaire

- Researcher’s instrument

- Specific (84) policy questions on each of the nine pillars (over 30 pages per nation)

� Role of consortium group

Mixed research methods

Page 22: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Data Collection

2. Elite sports climate survey

Athletes CoachesHigh

performance directors

1090 253 69

• objective and subjective criteria

Page 23: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Developing a scoring systemW CAN Fl IT Nl NOR UK WAL

Simplicity of administration

1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2

Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures

1 There is a ministry and/or minister of sport 2 5 2 4 2 4 5

2There is an organisation at national level with specific

responsibilities for elite sport (as a core task)3 3 3 3 5 5 3

2Coordination of expenditures and activities at national level

(horizontal)3 3 5 5 5 5 1

2Coordination of expenditures and activities at regional level

(vertical)1 5 5 5 5 3 5

Targeting of key sports and elite sports

1The number of recognised and funded NGBs for elite sport

purposes3 5 3 2 5 4 4

Effective communication: an unbroken line up through all levels of elite sports policies

2Provision of information and services to national governing

bodies to develop their management capability4 3 2 5 4 5 1

1 Information received from governing bodies acc. to athletes 4 2 na 4 3 5 na

1 Information received from governing bodies acc. to coaches na 3 3 4 na na na

1 Athletes commission in national governing bodies 4 1 na 2 2 na na

TOTAL points 43 50 42 57 59 54 35

MAX 70 75 65 75 70 65 60

number of times NA 1 0 1 0 1 1 2

Total score for pillar 2 61,43 66,67 64,62 76,00 84,29 83,08 58,33

na: data not available; W: weight

blue text: results from elite sports climate survey; black text: results deriving from the overall sport policy questionnaire

Page 24: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Total score: “traffic light”

85-100% Policy area very well developed

69-84% Good level of development

53-68% Moderate level of development

37-52% Limited development

21-36% Little or no development

A score for over 100 indicators on 9 pillars

Page 25: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Results

Page 26: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Pillar ITA UK NED CAN NOR FLA WAL

1Financial support: expenditures on

sport and elite sport at national level

1BFinancial support: national

subsidisation towards NGBs

2Policy structures and policy

development

3 Sport participation NA

4 Talent identification and development

5 Athletic career and post athletic career

6 Training facilities NA

7Coaching provision and coach

developmentNA NA NA

8 International competition

9 Scientific research

Results ++ + 0 - --

Page 27: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Pillar ITA UK NED CAN NOR FLA WAL

1Financial support: expenditures on

sport and elite sport at national level

1BFinancial support: national

subsidisation towards NGBs

2Policy structures and policy

development

3 Sport participation NA

4 Talent identification and development

5 Athletic career and post athletic career

6 Training facilities NA

7Coaching provision and coach

developmentNA NA NA

8 International competition

9 Scientific research

Results ++ + 0 - --

Page 28: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

United Kingdom

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

United Kingdom Sample Average

Page 29: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

The Netherlands

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Netherlands Sample Average

Page 30: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Italy

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Italy Sample Average

Page 31: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Canada

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Canada Sample Average

Page 32: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Norway

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Norway Sample Average

Page 33: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Flanders

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Flanders Sample Average

Page 34: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Wallonia

0

0,5

1

1,5

2

2,5

3

3,5

4

4,5

5

1A. Financial Support

1B. Financial Support (NGBs)

2. Sport Policies

3. Sport Participation

4. Talent ID & development

5. Athletic Career Support

6. Training Facilities

7. Coaching

8.International Competition

9.Scientific Research

Wallonia Sample Average

Page 35: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

5 conclusions

Page 36: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Input-output relationship?

Nations who have invested most in elite sport, also perform best.

• The best predictor of output is the absolute amount of funding allocated to elite sport

• However, elite sporting success appears to be the outcome of a multivariate process involving many pillars

Page 37: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Effectiveness?

2) The best performing nations in summer Olympic sports (UK, Italy, Neth.), have the best scores on:– Pillar 1: financial support for elite sport

– Pillar 5: athletic and post athletic career

– Pillar 6: training facilities

– Pillar 7: coaches development

The worst performing nation (in both summer and winter sports) has the lowest scores on most pillars (Belgium: Flanders & Wallonia)

Page 38: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Conclusions: competitive advantage

3) Three pillars of international sporting success are

still relatively underdeveloped in all sample nations

and might thus give a competitive advantage:

• Pillar 4: Talent identification and development

• Pillar 7: Coaches provisions (living circumstances)

• Pillar 9: Scientific research/sport science support

Page 39: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Conclusions: competitive advantage

Small countries

• Pillar 3: quality of (organized) sports participation

• Pillar 6: Training facilities

Page 40: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Pillar 4 – talent development

4) The two best and largest nations in our sample, Italy

and the UK, achieved relatively poor ratings on pillar

4: talent identification and development systems.

In an increasingly competitive environment, this relaxed

approach to talent identification and development will not be

sustainable for a long time any more; making the prospects of

small countries (still) poorer.

Page 41: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Pillar 4 – talent development

5) Elite sports policy paradox:

� Increasing global competition is encouraging nations to adopt

a more strategic elite sports policy. They do so in order to

differentiate themselves from other nations.

� However, the net result is an increasingly homogenous elite

sports development system, based around a near uniform

model of elite sports development with subtle local variations.

� With increasing costs but diminishing returns on investments

To what extent do you want to be part of this Game?

Page 42: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Future research

Measuring competitiveness of elite sport systems

and policies: comparing nations at the overall

sports level

2010-2011

Benchmarking nations in elite sport disciplines:

athletics

2009

(sept)

Benchmarking nations in elite sport disciplines:

other sports

2010

A world competitiveness elite sport policy ranking 2011

Measuring the outcomes of elite sport: what is it

good for, what does it lead to?

2011-12

Page 43: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

9-6-2009 Herhaling titel van presentatie

“There are several ways to skin a cat”“No nation can be competitive in

everything (Porter, 1990)”

Veerle De Bosscher

Paul De Knop & Maarten van Bottenburg

Simon Shibli & Jerry Bingham

Thank you!

more information:more information:

[email protected]@vub.ac.be

Page 44: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

athleteathlete

Micro-level

PersonalEnvironmen

t

Policies/politic

s

Meso-level

National success

National success

Individual success

Factors easily influenced by sports policies

Factors easily influenced by sports policies

Factors that can not be influenced

Factors that can not be influenced

MacroMacro--levellevel

Social/culturalcontextCountry Country

Environment of

elite sport

systems

Page 45: Veerle De Bosscher-play the Game · 1 Public sector efficiency (European Central Bank, 2003) 3 2 1 2 4 4 2 Coordination of elite sports policies and expenditures 1 There is a ministry

Flanders The Netherlands

Improvisation Planning

Systematic

Less long-term thinking long-term thinking

Generally Catholic Generally protestant

Avoids uncertainties

risks

Does not avoid uncertainties

Superior feeling, self confidence

Hierarchical“want to be told what to do”

More involvement in policies“want to be involved in policies”

Cultural differences?Cultural differences?

Better elite sports culture in

the Netherlands?

More research needed