U.S. GLOBECTHE VIEW FROM NOAA

The Honorable Dr. Larry Robinson

Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Conservation & Management

National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration | NOAA

Outline

Overview of NOAA mission areas and intersections with U.S. GLOBEC research themes

Influence of U.S. GLOBEC program

Importance of partnerships

Thoughts on future ocean science programs

2U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

NOAA Mission

Science, Service, and Stewardship.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts,

To share that knowledge and information with others, and

To conserve and manage coastal and marine ecosystems and resources.

Next Generation Strategic Plan

3U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Climate Impacts

Understanding the interactions of climate with marine resources is a challenging scientific field and vital to our national interests.

4U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

NOAA’s Regional Approach

NOAA Regional Collaboration Teams

NOAA Large Marine Ecosystems

NOAA Weather Service Regional Offices

5U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

NOAA Fisheries Service Field Structure

Regional ecosystems: U.S. GLOBEC

6U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Northwest AtlanticNortheast Pacific

Southern Ocean

Northeast Pacific Salmon and PDO

Prior to GLOBEC, correlations identified between salmon returns and large-scale features such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

GLOBEC sought to understand mechanisms behind correlations

7U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

EBM and Predictive Modeling

Ecosystem-based management demands an understanding of ecosystem interactions and the ability to make complex multidisciplinary science actionable for use by managers.

Modeling can provide an integrative framework and lead to forecasts to be used in management 8U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA 9

Applications of GLOBEC results to NOAA priorities: Fishery

ManagementIncorporation into deliberations within the regional FMCs on EBM

Especially New England , North Pacific and Pacific

Predictions of salmon returns based on environmental indices

Applications of GLOBEC results to NOAA priorities: Ocean Observations

Long-term GLOBEC observations influenced locations of IOOS regional nodes

GLOBEC models are available operationally through IOOS regional entities

E.g., Northeast Coastal Ocean Forecast System (NECOFS)

U.S. GLOBEC data management structure utilized by IOOS and other ocean science programs

IOOS Regional Associations

NECOFS Model Results10U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA 11

Influence of U.S. GLOBEC on NOAA Research Programs

Fisheries and the Environment (FATE)

Climate Regimes and Ecosystem Productivity

Regional Ecosystem Prediction Program

Coastal and Ocean Climate Applications

Ecological Forecasting

Influence of U.S. GLOBEC on International Programs

International GLOBEC

ICES Cod and Climate Change

PICES Climate Change and Carrying Capacity

Cross-Atlantic distribution of Cod

Locations of PICES Climate Change and Carrying Capacity regional programs.

International GLOBEC countries

12U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Partnerships

NSF-NOAA Leveraging dollars

and intellectual capacity from different agencies and sectors

One-NOAA Bringing all of

NOAA’s capabilities together to address challenging issues

13U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Looking to the Future

NSF-NOAA Partnerships

Ocean Observing Ocean Exploration Ocean Acidification Oceans and Human

Health

NRC Committee on “Sustainability Linkages in the Federal Government”

14U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA

Visionary Ocean Science

What programs of today will be deemed “visionary” in 20 years?

Systems engineering approaches? Merging of natural and social sciences? New technologies?

Tight resources should not stop us from supporting visionary, and sometimes risky, approaches because they have the greatest potential to yield large benefits

15U.S. GLOBEC: The View From NOAA