US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

Scenario Timeline / Road to CrisisScenario Timeline / Road to Crisis

UNCLASSIFIED

Savannah mayor

secedes

UNSCR 1658:

Establishes embargo / sanctions

JAN 2013 FEB 2013 MAR 2013 APR 2013 MAY

OLW OPT

25 0415

16

MKI ARG / 11 MEU, LOGTF, TASWC, MIWC, NEF(-), MPRG

established in theater

MPSRON identified out of theater

Garnet incursion

into Amber

12

Garnetian forces

positioned on border

30

IDPs increase

UNSCR 1659:

Demands compliance w/ UNSCR

1658

28

CJTF 950 CJOA: 10 day sea transit / 8 hour air transit

CJTF 950 CJOA: 10 day sea transit / 8 hour air transit

UNSCR 1657:

Condemns Garnet

support to insurgent /

terrorist groups

20

CJTF 950 PLANORD

23

TLW OPT

12 21

10

UNSCR 1660:

Condemns, authorizes mil actions

II-A-1

(U) BOLD ALLIGATOR 13 EXERCISE DIRECTIVE 05 Oct 2012PART II, Section A: ROAD TO CRISIS

11

CTF 955 OPORD released

US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

MCM/PON

• Savannah Escambians rise up against Savannah Muscogees following months of Garnetian rhetoric laying claims to Savannah and its oil infrastructure. Garnet increases covert support to Savannah Escambians. •Savannah (Amber) mayor declares his township seceding to Garnet.•Garnetian forces positioned along border heighten level of readiness, with a Mechanized brigade reinforced posturing to invade Amber to provide “security and stability” to the local Escambians.•Piracy and armed robbery continue to threaten maritime trade.

•International pressure increases on both Amber to maintain its security, and Garnet to halt support of extremists.•Muscogees flee Savannah setting conditions for humanitarian problem (IDPs).•UNSC session meets to discuss resolution.

•Without a clear-cut international legitimacy, governments around the world continue to monitor the situation.•Ongoing U.S military support to Amber/Amberland continues in the form of FID, COIN and CT.•Some nations start prudent planning efforts in response to Garnet’s aggressive activity.

Amethyst Island

700nm

from TC

JAN 2013

SOF

SOF

SSN

X

NEF (-)

RQ-4,RC-135,P3, P8,

UNCLASSIFIEDII-A-2

MKIARG/

11 MEU

US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

X

MCM/PON

•Garnetian Mechanized brigade reinforced crosses Amber border (12Feb) to secure LOCs into Savannah. Intel of Div-sized force mobilizing ivo Macon. Garnet naval forces conduct defensive mining of Savannah.

•Savannah (Amber) mayor works with Garnet to ‘establish security in the township’.

•Insurgency activity within Amber and Amberland continues.

•Piracy and armed robbery incidents continue to occur, Garnet increases arms acquisition.

•Garnetian reinforcement forces remain positioned along the border, working Strategic Messaging.

•Garnetian Navy and AF patrolling along the Savannah coast. The Navy commenced SSK and surface ship deployments north of the Amber Straits, deployments from west coast of Garnet begins.

•International pressure remains.•UNSCR 1658 passed (16Feb) condemning

XG and imposing embargo and economic sanctions on Garnet. UNSCR 1659 passed (28Feb) demanding compliance with UNSCR 1658.

•IDP numbers becoming too large for Amber to manage.

•U.S. and coalition begin planning contingency Ops.

•Ongoing U.S. military support to Amber/Amberland continues.

•SECDEF issues WARNORD to US EASTCOM, US State Department talks w/ potential partners.

FEB 2013

SOF

SOF

SOF

XGSURF

XGSURF

XGSSK

SSN

XX

NEF (-)

IDP

RQ-4,RC-135,P3, P8,

UNCLASSIFIEDII-A-3

MKIARG/

11 MEU

US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

MKIARG/

11 MEU

X

MCM/PON

•Garnetian Mechanized brigade reinforced remains in Amber securing the primary and secondary LOCs

•Savannah (Amber) mayor continues to work with Garnet ‘establishing security in the township’

•Insurgency activity within Amber and Amberland continues

•Piracy/armed robbery incidents continue•Garnetian reinforcement forces remain

positioned along the border, working Strategic Messaging

•Garnetian Navy and AF continue patrolling along the Savannah coast. The Navy continues SSK and surface ship deployments north of the Amber Straits, west coast subs en route patrols/bases

•International pressure remains•UNSCR 1660 passes (10Mar) condemning

Garnet actions and authorizes military actions to halt Garnet aggression and expel Garnet from Amber.

•IDP numbers continue to grow and have exceeded Amber’s ability to manage.

•Governments continue to monitor the situation

•Ongoing U.S. military support to Amber/Amberland continues

•US ARG/MEU shows support to Amber with visit, ESG-2/2D MEB start embark

•US State Department continues discussions with other potential partner nations

MAR 2013

NEF (-)

SOF

SOF

SOF

XGSURF

XGSURF

XGSSK

SSN

XX

XGSSK

IDP

IDP

IDP

RQ-4,RC-135,P3, P8,

Amethyst Island

700nm

from TC

UNCLASSIFIEDII-A-4

US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

Current Forces in TheaterCurrent Forces in Theater(12Mar13 ~ TLW OPT)(12Mar13 ~ TLW OPT)

•TG 84.2•SCRANTON

CTG 955.7MPRG

(CPRW-11)

CTG 955.5MIW

(NMAWC)

•CPRW -11•4xP-3C AIP•2xP8

COALITIONFORCE

HEADQUARTERS

CTF 951 CFLCC

CTG 955.0CSG

CTF 955 CFMCC

CTF 958 JSOTF-TC

CTF 959 CFACC/CAOC

CTG 955.1ATF

(CPR-5)

CTG 955.2LF

(CO 11 MEU)

CTG 955.4TASW(CTF-84)

•MCMRON 3•PONCE•2xMH-53s•EODMUs

UNCLASSIFIED

CTG 955.6NEF

(CRS-4)

MKI ARG•CPR-5*•MAKIN ISLAND*•GREEN BAY*•PEARL HARBOR*

•11 MEU

•SOF

•J LENTHALL•WILLIAM MCLEAN

White Box: White/Response CellBlue / Green Box: Training Staff

BLUE FONT – Live BFTTRED FONT – Live non-BFTT

GREEN FONT – VirtualBLACK FONT – Constructive

ORANGE FONT – Unknown at this time*participants are subject to change

White Box: White/Response CellBlue / Green Box: Training Staff

BLUE FONT – Live BFTTRED FONT – Live non-BFTT

GREEN FONT – VirtualBLACK FONT – Constructive

ORANGE FONT – Unknown at this time*participants are subject to change

CTG 955.3LOG TF

(CLF EAST)

•RC-135, RQ-4, Tankers, E-3, E-8C, EC-130J, EC-130H

• CRS-4• NMCB-11 (-)• MDSU-2 Co 2-4• MCAT• IET• COMCAM• USCG PSU-312

II-A-5

COCOM

OPCON

Coordination

TACON

UNWFPIMO

EASTCOM(JECG)

AMBER/AMBERLAND COUNTRY TEAMS

CJTF 950

US Fleet ForcesUS Fleet Forces US Marine Corps ForcesUS Marine Corps Forces

(INTENTIONALLY BLANK)

UNCLASSIFIEDII-A-6