Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development of Energy

in African Cities

Friday, 11th November 11am

Agenda

Session Chair: Daniel Werner, EUEI PDF

Moderator: Jens Drillisch, KfW Development Bank

Key note speech: Jean Pierre Elong Mbassi, UCLG Africa

• EUEI PDF study: Silvia Escudero, EUEI PDF

• Panel discussion: Sustainable energy in municipalities

Mohammed Sefiani, Mayor of Chefchaouen

Vera Rodenhoff , German Ministry of Environment (BMUB) Caroline Huwiler, Institute for Development, Environment&Energy (IDE-E) John Dulac, International Energy Agency (IEA) Meggan Spires, ICLEI Africa Vincent Kitio, UN-HABITAT

• Q&A

• Session summary and way forward

Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

of Energy in African Cities

EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility (EUEI-PDF) Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Urban Growth Rate in Africa

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development 2

Urban Growth Rate in Africa

Sou

rce:

ww

w.m

ccro

w.o

rg.u

k

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Megatrends: Urbanisation Scope and Space

Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Hangzhou, China Willingboro, NJ, USA

3

Slum Population in Urban Africa

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development 4

Slum Population in Urban Africa

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Objectives of Strategic Foresight – Energy Scenarios 2050

Classify drivers for change and wild cards to improve risk management

Break down complexity of urban planning (inter-sectorial inputs)

Identify the main megatrends that will shape the future of African cities

Support long term strategic planning

7

PLAN

IMPLEMENT

EVALUATE

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Application of Strategic Foresight – Energy Scenarios 2050

Review of impacts & outcomes

Revision of scenario

framework

Consider new risks and opportunities

Long term needs assessment

Scenario analysis for options appraisal

Strategy & plan based on scenario

implications & recommendations

8

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

The Scenarios

Reliance on a centralised energy

model

Strong climate commitment, weak

enforcement

Technology enabled growth

Green growth city expansion

10

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Selected results of Scenario Analysis

Public institutions: Vertical integration of governance between the national and municipal

level is necessary to achieve action locally

Civil Society/Informal sector: 70% of urban population lives in slums. Innovative solutions to address issues in informal settlements need to

be developed e.g. lack of energy access

Private sector and financing institutions: Financing possibilities for renewable energy and

energy efficiency in municipalities need to be developed

11

Example: Scenario 4 – Technology enabled growth

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

• Private-sector leading technological progress and outpacing action in governments (similar to the telecommunications sector)

• Widespread decentralised solutions emerging

• Role of vertically integrated local utilities diminished

12

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

Key messages of Strategic Foresight - Energy Scenarios 2050

Strategic Foresight is a powerful instrument to support long term planning

Megatrends shaping the future of African cities: urban population growth, economic growth, increasing energy demand, climate

risks, progress in health&education

Success of the global climate agreement largely

depends on action in cities which consume 80% of total energy & release 75% of global CO2

13

Silvia Escudero EUEI PDF Project Manager

www.euei-pdf.org

Thank you for your attention!

Mohammed Sefiani, Mayor of Chefchaouen Vera Rodenhoff , German Ministry of Environment

(BMUB) Caroline Huwiler, Institute for Development,

Environment and Energy (IDE-E) John Dulac, International Energy Agency (IEA) Meggan Spires, ICLEI Africa Vincent Kitio, UN-HABITAT

Panel discussion: Sustainable energy in municipalities

Backup

Urban policy landscape: Kampala, Uganda

CIT

Y A

UT

HO

RIT

Y

NA

TIO

NA

L

Electricity Access Renewable Energy Planning & Construction Transport

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development

UMEME: distribution

Stand-alone

applications

(streetlights) Building licensing

Spatial / urban planning

Distributed renewable

energy retail (e.g. pico-

PV lease) Public infrastructure

Transport planning &

regulation

Public transport

provision

Road works

Regulator (ERA): feed-in regulations, standards,

tenders / licensing

Energy supply policy

Grid extension

(UEDCL)

Development Planning

IPPs: electricity generation

Electricity transmission (UETCL) Works & Transport

Energy Efficiency policy

Housing

Spatial /urban planning

law

Building Code

Urban policy landscape: South Africa

MU

NIC

IPA

L

NA

TIO

NA

L

Regulator; RE Tenders (NERSA), Guidelines /

Standards

Electricity Access Renewable Energy

Energy policy framework

Planning & Construction Transport

National building

standards

IPPs

electricity purchase & distribution (60%)

local feed-in regulations

transport planning &

regulation building licensing

ESKOM: electricity production, RE and EE schemes

public transport

grid extension

PR

OV

INC

IAL

public transport

provision

Spatial & Urban

Planning

Environmental Planning

rail transport, incl.

Metrorail Housing

Housing

housing provision by-laws, e.g. electr.

tariffs

EE policies and promotion programs

Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development