Upload
ne002
View
118
Download
4
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
UNIT 8 CURRENCY SWAPS
Unit Structure
8.0 Overview
8.1 Learning Outcomes
8.2 Currency Swaps
8.3 Possible Currency Swaps Scenarios
8.4 Swap Risks
8.5 Summary
8.6 Activities
8.7 References and Readings
8.0 OVERVIEW
This Unit will focus mainly on currency swaps. The rationales will be analysed, and the
currency swap mechanism and its implications are discussed.
8.1 LEARNING OUTCOMES
By the end of this Unit, you should be able to do the following:
1. Describe what a currency swap is.
2. Demonstrate how to hedge exchange rate risk with swaps.
3. Discuss the rationales for exchange rate swaps.
4. Construct a currency swap contract.
Unit 8 1
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
8.2 CURRENCY SWAPS
A currency swap is an agreement between two counterparties to swap interest
payments denominated in two different currencies at fixed dates in the future and
for a fixed length of time. A currency swap works precisely on the same principle as
the standard interest rate swap (Please refer to example in Unit 7, Section 7.4). Firm 1
may have a comparative advantage in borrowing in sterling, but requires a dollar
loan and, conversely, Firm 2 may wish to borrow in sterling, but has a comparative
advantage in dollar borrowing. In this scenario, each agent borrowing in the market
in which she has a comparative advantage and then the pair participating in a
currency swap will yield gains to each participant. Note that in a currency swap,
however, the principal amount will have to change hands at both the beginning and
end of the contract (as the borrowings will be denominated in different currencies).
Fixed-rate currency swap
Here the counterparties exchange payments governed by the simple differential between,
say, the interest rate on a seven-year $ corporate bond and the interest rate on a seven-
year SFr corporate bond. In a currency swap the two parties initially exchange a principal
amount in one currency for the same amount in another currency at the current spot rate.
Periodic interest payments are then made in the respective currencies, and the principal
amounts are re-exchanged at maturity. It should be noted that currency swaps differ from
interest rate swaps not only in that interest payments are in two different currencies, but
also because the two principals are exchanged
Other currency swaps
If one of the interest rates in a currency swap is variable (e.g. REPO or LIBOR), we
speak of a fixed-floating currency swap, and if two interest rates are variable, we speak
of a floating-floating currency swap.
Unit 8 2
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
Most swaps happen because of possibility of interest savings. The basic reason for these
interest savings is capital market segmentation which occurs for different reasons:
Name recognition with lenders: a firm may be well-known in its home country
but unknown in a foreign country, or there may be more information available
about certain market participants in some markets then in other markets (e.g. Coca
Cola is better known than a local firm in Malaysia).
Interpretation of information: the same information on a firm may be interpreted
differently by different lenders.
Differences in regulation and taxation: If an investor faces a higher burden of
taxation or regulation, they will ask for a higher return on investment to be
compensated for this higher burden.
8.3 POSSIBLE CURRENCY SWAPS SCENARIOS
There are a number of rationales why firms and institutions engage in currency swaps and
these are briefly discussed below.
Changing the currency base of a Balance Sheet
A fixed-fixed currency swap transforms a loan against a fixed interest rate in one
currency into a loan against a fixed interest rate in another currency.
Example: Take a German firm with a higher credit rating than a British firm. The
German firm can borrow in DM at five per cent and in £ at eight per cent, whereas the
British firm can borrow in DM at 7.5 per cent and in £ at nine per cent. The German firm
can therefore borrow at lower rates; regardless of currency. Let us say that for hedging
reasons, the German firm prefers to borrow £ (e.g. because the German firm has many £
assets), and the British firm prefers to borrow in DM (e.g. because the British firm has
Unit 8 3
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
many DM assets). There is a swap opportunity because risk premiums on loans in the two
financial markets in different currencies differ. So, the German firm borrows in DM and
the British firm borrows in £, and then they swap.
Cost savings on new financing: Absolute advantage
Suppose a Japanese firm, A, wants to invest in the US. The Japanese firm needs US
dollars with a term to maturity of five years against a fixed interest rate. However, the
Japanese firm is not very well-known in the US dollar market, though it is relatively well-
known in the YEN market. The difference in name recognition is reflected in the interest
rate cost of YEN borrowing (9%) and the interest rate costs of $ borrowing (11%). A US
firm, B, needs YEN financing with a term to maturity of five years against a fixed interest
rate. The US firm is not well-known in the YEN market, but well-known in the $ market.
The difference in name recognition is reflected in the interest rate cost of YEN borrowing
(9.8%) and the interest rate costs of $ borrowing (10.5%).
YEN US $
Japanese firm
9% 11%
US firm 9.8% 10.5%
Table 1
Both companies want to hedge the exchange rate risk with respect to their borrowing and
also benefits from cost savings. Assume the Japanese firm, A, will borrow YEN against
nine per cent. Subsequently, A sells the borrowed YEN in the FX market (absolute
advantage in YEN borrowing) in exchange for $ and invests the $ proceeds in US assets.
The US firm, B, borrows $ against 10.5 per cent (absolute advantage in $ borrowing),
sells the borrowed $ in the FX market in exchange for YEN and invests the YEN
proceeds in YEN assets. A and B also agree to a fixed-fixed currency swap, where A
pays a $ interest rate to B of 10.5 per cent in exchange for a YEN interest rate of 9 per
cent. You can see this in the scheme below.
Unit 8 4
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
Activity One
Calculate the net position of both firms.
8.4 SWAP RISKS
The main risks in swaps are:
Credit risk is the failure by one of the two swap parties to make contractual
payments. Indeed a major concern for both parties in an interest rate swap is that the
other party will default on its interest payments. A default would not mean that any
principal is lost since the notional principal amount is retained by both parties, but it
could involve losses on the interest side of the swap. This is precisely why an
intermediary, for an appropriate fee, will often guarantee the swap payments should one
party fail to honour its obligations.
Interest rate risk: is the risk that the swap value declines due to interest rate
movements. Take the example of a fixed-floating interest rate swap, where party A
pays fixed-rate interest and receives LIBOR, and party B receives fixed-rate interest
and pays LIBOR. A decline in the short-term interest rate (LIBOR) will result in a
loss to A and a gain to B.
Unit 8 5
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
Currency risk: namely, the risk that the swap value declines due to a change in the
exchange rate.
8.5 SUMMARY
A currency swap is an agreement between two counterparties to swap interest
payments denominated in two different currencies at fixed dates in the future and
for a fixed length of time.
Here the counterparties exchange payments governed by the simple differential
between, say, the interest rate on a seven-year $ corporate bond and the interest rate
on a seven-year SFr corporate bond.
If one of the interest rates in a currency swap is variable (e.g. REPO or LIBOR), we
speak of a fixed-floating currency swap, and if two interest rates are variable, we
speak of a floating-floating currency swap.
A fixed-fixed currency swap transforms a loan against a fixed interest rate in one
currency into a loan against a fixed interest rate in another currency.
Credit risk is the failure by one of the two swap parties to make contractual
payments.
Interest rate risk: is the risk that the swap value declines due to interest rate
movements.
Unit 8 6
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
Currency risk: namely, the risk that the swap value declines due to a change in the
exchange rate.
8.6 ACTIVITIES
Activity Two
How can multinational companies utilise a currency swap to reduce borrowing costs?
Activity Three
Refer to Levich (1998), chapter 13. Analyse carefully the currency swap between the
IBM and World Bank and try to understand the rationales and mechanism related to such
swap.
Activity Four
Keane International Inc. Your firm, rated as AAA, is able to raise capital in US dollars at
as floating rate of LIBOR+50 basis points or Canadian dollar at 5.5% flat. However,
Quinn International ltd, with a rating of BBB is only able to receive the capital in US
dollar at fixed rate, LIBOR +100 basis points or a fixed rate of 7%.
Assume that Keane International Inc wants to borrow US dollars at a floating rate of
interest and Quinn International ltd wants to borrow Canadian dollars at a fixed rate of
interest. A financial institution is planning to arrange a swap and requires a 50-basis-point
spread. If the swap is equally attractive to Keane International Inc and Quinn
International Inc, construct a swap and show the rates of interest they will end up paying.
Activity Five
Read the conclusion of the study based on “Why do non-financial firms use currency
swaps? Theory and Evidence”.
Summarise the main findings. You may wish to download the full article at
http://www.bnet.fordham.edu/public/financialgoswami.
Unit 8 7
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
Why do non-financial firms use Currency Swaps? Theory and Evidence
Gautam Goswani
Graduate School of Business Administration
Fordham University
113 West 60th Street
New York, NY 10023
Tel: (212) 636 6181
Fax: (212) 765 5573
Email: [email protected]
Jouahn Nam
Lubin School of Business Administration
Pace Plaza, Pace University
New York, NY 10038-1502
Tel.: (212) 346 1818
Fax: (212) 346 1573
and
Milind M Shrikhande
The DuPree College of Management
Georgia Institute of Technology
755 Ferst Drive, Atlanta, GA 30332-0520
Tel.: (404) 894 5109
Fax: (404) 894 6030
Email: [email protected]
Conclusion
Non-financial firms are the primary users of currency swaps. The motivation of these
firms for using currency swaps is closely linked with their long-term hedging and
Unit 8 8
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
financing strategies. Taking into account the possible menu of choices the firm has for
long-term financing we find that the sensitivity of the firm’s cashflows to unexpected
exchange rate changes can explain why they use currency swaps. To test this theoretical
conjecture, we examine data on use of currency swaps by a large sample of non-financial
firms. Our empirical analysis shows that the use of currency swaps together with long-
term debt is a value-maximising alternative for non-financial firms. Mere use of long-
term domestic debt or foreign debt in segmented international capital markets when
bankruptcy due to exchange rate changes is probable, does not provide a value-
maximising financing alternative.
Currency swaps are beneficial, from the
a) hedging motive, as well as from the
b) financing (value maximisation) motive.
Within the model, the currency swap creates a hedge against exchange rate uncertainty,
thus enabling the firm to avoid bankruptcy costs. The hedging motive differentiates the
currency swap alternative from the home-currency debt-financing alternative. Borrowing
home-currency debt creates a mismatch between the currency of cash inflows and the
currency of the home-currency debt. The mismatch exposes the firm to the prospect of
bankruptcy. The expected bankruptcy costs render the home-currency debt financing
alternative inferior to the currency swap alternative. The currency swap is beneficial
based on a financing (value maximisation) motive as well. As compared to the foreign-
currency debt-financing alternative, the currency swap is superior due to the economic
exposure effect.
Our empirical analysis also suggests that long-term exposure to exchange rate changes is
best addressed by the use of currency swaps. Other currency derivative instruments such
as currency forwards, futures, and options are short-term instruments which cannot
achieve the dual objectives of long-term hedging and long-term financing for non-
financial firms.
Unit 8 9
Financial Derivatives – DFA 4212
1
8.7 REFERENCES AND READINGS
Hull, J.C. (2009). Options, Futures and Other Derivatives. New Jersey: Prentice Hall,
Seventh edition [ISBN 0135009944], Chapter 7, pp 163.
Levich, R.(1998). International Financial Markets, Prices and Policies. Boston: Irwin
McGraw-Hill [ISBN 0-256-13011-6], Chapter 13.
Buckley, A. (2004). Multinational Finance. New Jersey: Prentice Hall, Chapter 14, pp
259.
Unit 8 10