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Running head: UNDERSTANDING THE GENDER GAP
Understanding the Gender Gap in Support for a Woman for President
Stefanie Simon
Harvard University
Crystal L. Hoyt
University of Richmond
Please do not cite without permission from authors
Stefanie Simon, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University; Crystal L.
Hoyt, Jepson School of Leadership Studies, University of Richmond. We acknowledge and
thank Audrey Innella for her excellent contributions to this research.
Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Stefanie Simon, Center for
Public Leadership, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 79 JFK Street,
Cambridge, MA, 02138; Phone: (617) 496-6243; Email: [email protected].
Understanding the Gender Gap 2
Abstract
The gender gap in support for a female presidential candidate has recently gathered much media
attention with Hillary Clinton as a frontrunner for the 2008 democratic presidential nomination.
Two common explanations for this gap are that women have more liberal gender role and
political attitudes. We contend that another important, and distinct, factor for heightened support
among females is shared social identity. We tested these three explanations across two studies. In
Study 1, hierarchical regression analyses revealed that both attitudes toward women and sex
independently predict a significant proportion of the variance in willingness to elect a woman for
president. In Study 2, hierarchical regression analyses showed that when entered together,
attitudes toward female authority and sex independently predict support, but when political
attitudes were entered, only sex and political attitudes predicted support for Clinton. Finally, as
expected, when primed with their gender identity, women increased their support for Clinton and
men decreased their support, and women perceived her more favorably and men less so. In sum,
these studies strongly support the arguments that the gender gap in support for female
presidential candidates stems in part from women’s more liberal gender role and political
attitudes, and also from women sharing the same gender social identity as a female candidate for
commander in chief.
Key words: Sex, Gender Stereotypes, Leadership, Presidential Candidates, Hillary Clinton
Understanding the Gender Gap 3
Understanding the Gender Gap in Support for a Woman for President
With women greatly underrepresented in most levels of public office in the United States,
the purpose of this research is to illustrate just how important a factor gender is in presidential
elections. Nearly two years ago Herbert (2006) correctly predicted that the gender stigma would
be influential, yet silenced, issue in the 2008 Democratic election:
When the crunch comes, the toughest issue for Clinton may be the one that so far has been talked about least. If she runs, she’ll be handicapped by her gender. Anyone who thinks it won’t be difficult for a woman to get elected president of the United States should go home, take a nap, wake up refreshed, and think again.
Unlike in 1992 when a then unprecedented 14 women ran for governor or U. S. senator
with campaigns centered around their identity as women (Plutzer & Zipp, 1996), Senator
Clinton has not championed her gender as one of her selling points. Moreover, while
Senator Obama is seen as a unifying force by his race, Senator Clinton is seen as divisive
by her sex and accused of “playing the gender card” (Steinem, 2008).
The negative implications of gender have clearly affected Clinton’s campaign, will likely
impact those of future female presidential candidates, and thus need to be addressed seriously.
Interestingly, the impact of gender has been of interest to researchers and pollsters since 1937
when a Gallup poll asked respondents: “Would you vote for a woman for president if she was
qualified in every other respect?” (Gallup, 1937). At that time, 64% of respondents said that they
would not vote for a woman. Similar questions have evolved since then addressing gender bias in
voting behavior. For example, in the early 1950s the General Society Survey asked respondents,
“If your party nominated a woman for president, would you vote for her if she were qualified for
the job?” and in the 1970s, “Tell me if you agree or disagree with this statement: Most men are
better suited emotionally for politics than are most women.” In a more recent Gallup poll, 77%
Understanding the Gender Gap 4
of respondents indicated that they would feel completely comfortable voting for a presidential
candidate who was woman (Gallup, 2007a).
While recent polls seem to indicate that the American public now holds much more
positive views of women vying for the presidential nomination, other evidence reveals women’s
chances may not be so optimistic. For example, Elizabeth Dole’s failed presidential campaign in
1999 clearly demonstrated that the country was not ready for a female president. Moreover,
while a CBS/New York Times poll found that nearly all Americans say they would vote for a
woman for president from their own political party if she were qualified, the same CBS/New
York Times poll revealed that only 55% of people think that America is ready to elect a woman
for president (CBS News, 2006). This discrepancy suggests that while respondents may say they
will vote for a woman in order to avoid appearing sexist, when it comes time to casting a ballot,
many of those respondents would not actually vote for a woman (Kennedy, 2003). This tendency
for people to be more willing to say that they will vote for a woman than they are to actually vote
for a female candidate was first evidenced by Clinton’s surprising upset in the Iowa primary,
finishing in third place behind Democratic candidates Obama and Edwards after polls predicted a
much stronger showing.
Despite the apparent hardships for women seeking leadership positions, women are
undoubtedly reaching higher-level leadership positions in the political sphere than ever before.
Women now hold 16% of the seats in both the House of Representatives and the Senate in the
U.S. Congress (Center for American Women and Politics, 2008). In 2005, Condoleezza Rice
became the second woman to hold the powerful position of secretary of state, in 2007, Nancy
Pelosi became the first woman to hold the top leadership position of Speaker of the House of
Representatives, and now in 2008, Senator Hillary Clinton is the first woman to be considered a
Understanding the Gender Gap 5
serious frontrunner in a US presidential election. Nonetheless, these women serve as exceptions
to the rule, and attainment of such high power leadership positions remains a rarity for women.
As Herbert (2006) implies in the quote above, it is a feat in itself that Senator Clinton has made it
even this far in the 2008 Presidential race. Similarly, Eagly and Carli (2007) argue in their recent
book, Through the Labyrinth: The Truth About How Women Become Leaders, while the
metaphor of the glass ceiling no longer servers as an appropriate metaphor for women because it
implies an impenetrable barrier, women must still successfully overcome a myriad of challenges,
or what they refer to as a ‘labyrinth’, on the path to achieving leadership positions.
Are Women ‘Fit’ for the Presidential Race?
One of the challenges that women encounter while striving for leadership positions is
negative prejudice. Research suggests that this prejudice is at least partially the reason why a
great disparity between women and men in high-level leadership positions still remains
(Heilman, 2001; Hoyt & Blascovich, 2007; Hoyt & Chemers, 2008; Schein, 2001). Eagly and
Karau’s (2002) role congruity theory explains that prejudice against women in leadership
positions exists because the role and the person are not perceived as a “fit” (Eagly & Karau,
2002). Whereas the female gender role is characterized by communal qualities such as kind,
sympathetic, and nurturant, the leadership role is characterized by agentic qualities such as
aggressive, ambitious, and dominant—traits that are congruent with men. This incompatibility
between the female gender role and the leadership role creates prejudice that negatively impacts
the way in which women are perceived and evaluated in leadership positions. Individuals
perceive women as less likely than men to hold leadership positions because leadership ability is
more stereotypic of men than of women. Moreover, individuals evaluate women’s actual
leadership behavior less favorably than men’s because leadership behavior is less desirable in
Understanding the Gender Gap 6
women than in men (Eagly & Karau, 2002). Indeed research has demonstrated the negative
impact that prejudice has on female candidates for political office (Dolan, 1997; Fox & Smith,
1998; Fox & Oxley, 2003; Huddy & Terkildsen, 1993; Koch, 2002; Smith, Paul, & Paul, 2007).
On the other hand, men are seen as congruent with the leadership role because the agentic
qualities used to describe men are the same as those used to describe effective leaders.
The needed congruency between role and person also helps to explain why women now
fare no worse than men in lower-level elections (Leeper, 1991). For instance, middle manager
positions and lower-level leadership positions now appear to have an appropriate fit for women:
As of 2006, women held 42% managerial and administrative positions (U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics, 2007). Unfortunately, these “velvet ghetto” positions that have become congruent with
women, such as public relations, education, accounting, and human resources positions, do not
lead to promotion to top corporate positions and tend to be structured so that women hold less
authority over others than do men (Bowles & McGinn, 2005; Catalyst, 2006; Eagly & Carli,
2007). Similarly, there has been a relative increase in the number of women elected to the U. S.
House of Representatives and U. S. Senate beginning in 1992 and the number of women serving
in state legislatures—a number that has more than quintupled since 1971 (Center for Women and
Politics, 2008). In contrast, because the role of U. S. President has always been filled by a man,
the presidency has become a gender-stereotyped role that prescribes a man should be president
(Eagly et al., 1992; Prentice & Carranza, 2002). In other words, when the person running for
president is not a man, the role and the candidate are incongruent. Thus, a woman vying for a
presidential nomination is likely to be subject to prejudice—putting her at a disadvantage in the
upcoming election.
Gender Role Attitudes and Support for a Female Presidential Candidate
Understanding the Gender Gap 7
Because the prejudice held against women is based on gender role stereotypes and
expectations, it follows that the extent to which individuals endorse traditional gender role
attitudes will influence their support for a female president. If the female gender role is perceived
in a more nontraditional or modern manner, then there will not be a perceived incongruency
between women and leaders. In fact, research has demonstrated a general move in the U.S.
toward more nontraditional beliefs about the distinct roles that women and men should play and
about the different rights and privileges women and men should have (Helmreich, Spence, &
Gibson, 1982; Spence & Hahn, 1997; Twenge, 1997). Thus, we expect to find that the more
modern the views are that individuals hold for women, the more they will be likely to support a
female presidential candidate.
Similarly, research suggests that individuals who hold nontraditional attitudes toward
women tend to be more liberal, as liberalism is associated with openness to change and
challenges to inequality, while conservatism is associated with resistance to social change and
justification of inequality (Jost, Glaser, Kruglanski, & Sulloway, 2003). In fact, research by Fox
and Smith (1998) found that participants from a university in Wyoming showed significant
gender bias toward female candidates, while those from a university in California did not,
suggesting that voters with a history of more conservative views are more likely to display
prejudice toward female candidates in their voting behavior.
While attitudes toward women have in general become more egalitarian in the U. S., the
movement toward more nontraditional beliefs has been more pronounced for women than it has
been for men (Spence & Hahn, 1997). Since the women’s movement in the 1970s, women have
been less approving of traditional gender roles (Harris & Firestone, 1998; Spence & Hahn,
1997). The current gender gap in support for Senator Clinton illustrates this disparity in gender
Understanding the Gender Gap 8
role attitudes. For example, a Gallup poll of independent voters found that while men were
equally likely to rate Clinton favorably or unfavorably, 59% of women rated her as favorable
compared to 36% who rated her as unfavorably (Gallup, 2007b). Moreover, Clinton has also
gained disproportionately strong support among female Democratic voters: A January 2, 2008
poll showed that 48% of women, compared to 38% of men, supported Clinton (Gallup, 2008).
Evidence of women’s nontraditional attitudes toward gender roles is also demonstrated by their
more favorable attitudes than men toward equal rights for women (Swim, Aiken, Hall, & Hunter,
1995) and for gays and lesbians (Herek, 2002; Kite & Whitley, 1996). In an analysis of a General
Social Survey, Eagly, Diekman, Johannesen-Schmidt, and Koenig (2004) found that men were
more oriented than women to group-based dominance and conservatism and women were more
oriented than men to equality and liberalism. Thus, women demonstrate greater support for a
female presidential candidate in part because they tend to hold more liberal gender role attitudes
and sociopolitical attitudes than men.
Gender-Identity Politics
Diverging from past research which has focused on political and social attitudes to
explain the gender gap in voting, we propose that another potent predictor of voting behavior is
shared social identity. According to Pomper’s (1975) gender identity approach, voters tend to
cast votes based on social group membership; therefore, men are more likely to vote for a male
candidate and women are more likely to vote for a female candidate. Importantly, we contend
that gender-identity voting is not driven solely by social or political attitudes; rather, we argue
that gender identity uniquely impacts one’s support for a female presidential candidate above and
beyond the effects of certain attitudes.
Understanding the Gender Gap 9
Social identity theory (Tajfel, 1982) supports the prediction that individuals will tend to
vote along gender-lines. According to the social identity theory, individuals value and have
emotional ties to their social identity groups. Moreover, social identity membership serves as a
source for positive self-esteem for individuals, leading to social comparison processes that
evaluatively favor the ingroup (Turner, 1972). This ingroup bias allows individuals to enhance
their self-esteem by viewing their own ingroup as positively distinct from other groups and as
better than other groups. According to Tajfel and Turner (1979), group members may behave in
different ways to protect or enhance positive distinctiveness and positive social identity. The
tendency for group members to show ingroup bias is even stronger in competitive situations
(Taylor & Moriarty, 1987), which by nature electoral races tend to be. Thus, adding to the body
of literature examining gender gaps in voting behavior, we predicted that, irrespective of gender
role and political ideologies, women may be more likely to support a female presidential
candidate more than men will simply because she elicits a bond through sharing social identity
membership.
Past research has shown evidence of gender identity politics. For example, Plutzer and
Zipp (1996) found that in 1992 when a then record 14 women sought statewide office by
explicitly running “as women” and as representatives of women, the sex of the voter was
significantly related to voting for female candidates in 8 of the 13 states. In this election, making
one’s gender identity salient had the intended effect of increased support from women. Gender
identity politics may be particularly strong for women because lower status groups (such as
women) seek to change status-quo relationships when societies have distinct group boundaries
that are seen as illegitimate (Tajfel & Turner, 1979). Therefore, women in particular may show
ingroup bias in an attempt to create a positive social identity for women in a domain where
Understanding the Gender Gap 10
women are historically devalued and absent (i.e., leadership). Electing a woman to such a
powerful leadership position helps to create a positive social identity for all women.
Study Overview and Predictions
Our ability to study the influence of a candidate’s sex on voting behavior is greatly
limited by the fact that only few women have sought a major-party presidential nomination and
no woman has ever been nominated by the U.S. Republican or Democratic parties. The current
race for the Democratic nominee provides the closest real-case scenario of how gender will
influence a presidential electoral race. The 2008 Democratic presidential nomination has resulted
in a clear gender gap in support for Hillary Clinton such that women are demonstrating
significantly more support for Clinton than men. In order to understand this gender gap, the
present research explores how attitudes toward women, political ideology, and one’s gender
social identity influence support for a female presidential candidate.
In accordance with previous research, we predicted that the gender gap in support of a
female presidential candidate would be due, in part, to women having more liberal attitudes
about gender roles and more liberal political attitudes. However, unlike past research, we also
contend that this gender gap is uniquely predicted by a shared gender social identity between the
female candidate and women, unlike men who do not have this shared identity. We tested these
three explanations for the gender gap in support for a female president across two studies. In
Study 1, we assessed individuals’ attitudes toward women (ATW) and attitudes toward electing a
woman for president. In Study 2, we assessed individuals’ attitudes toward female authority,
political attitudes, and support for Hillary Clinton. Additionally, Study 2 experimentally
investigated the role of gender social identity in attitudes toward a female presidential candidate
Understanding the Gender Gap 11
by examining the influence of priming their gender social identity on degree of participants’
support for Clinton and on the favorability of participants’ perceptions of Clinton.
Study 1
In Study 1, we assessed participants’ attitudes toward women and attitudes toward
electing a female candidate for president. We hypothesized that 1) women will endorse more
nontraditional gender roles than men and that 2) individuals who endorse nontraditional gender
roles will support electing a female candidate for president significantly more than those who
endorse traditional gender roles. In addition, we predicted that women’s social identity would
also impact their support for a female candidate and therefore hypothesized that 3) women will
support electing a woman for president significantly more than men will when controlling for
their attitudes toward women.
Method
Participants and Procedure
In Study 1, we surveyed 112 people (56 women, 58 men; age ranging from 18-74, M =
26.92, SD = 13.12). This study was a part of a classroom research project, and students in the
class were responsible for recruiting individuals to participate on a voluntary basis. The
researchers recruited a broad convenience sample beyond undergraduates for this study.
Participants completed the questionnaires individually.
Measures
Attitudes Toward Women (ATW) Scale. Participants responded to 25 items from Spence
and Helmreich’s (1973) Attitude Towards Women (ATW) Scale, which asked them to indicate
their agreement to items on a 7-point Likert-type scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7
(strongly agree). This scale has been shown to be a reliable measure of both men and women’s
Understanding the Gender Gap 12
attitudes toward the rights and roles of women in society (Spence & Hahn, 1997). Examples of
items include: “Swearing and obscenity are more repulsive in the speech of a woman than of a
man”; “Women should take increasing responsibility for leadership in solving the intellectual
and social problems of the day”; and “Women should be concerned with their duties of
childbearing and house tending rather than with desires for professional or business careers.”
Items were recoded such that higher scores indicated more liberal attitudes toward the female
gender role. The ATW scale showed adequate internal consistency (α = .83).
Attitudes Toward Electing a Woman for President. Participants responded to 10 items on
the same Likert scale as above. Examples of items include: “Americans are ready to elect a
woman for president”; “I would prefer to have a man for president”; and “I would vote for a
qualified woman candidate for president.” Items were recoded such that higher scores indicated
stronger support for electing a woman for President. This measure also showed adequate internal
consistency (α = .82).
Results
Table 1 shows descriptive statistics, including scale means, standard deviations, and
intercorrelations for Study 1 and 2.
Sex Differences in Attitudes toward Women
First, we examined the relationship between ATW and sex by conducting an independent
samples t-test. As expected, women reported significantly more liberal attitudes towards women
(M = 5.60, SD = .53) than men did (M = 5.18, SD = .69; t(110) = 3.65, p < .001).
Relationship Between Attitudes Toward Women, Sex, and Attitudes Toward Electing a Woman
for President
Understanding the Gender Gap 13
We employed hierarchical regression to test three predictions. First, we tested the
prediction that people with more nontraditional attitudes towards women’s roles in society will
be more likely to support electing a woman for president. Next, we examined the hypothesis that
women will have more positive attitudes towards electing a woman for president than men will.
Finally, we tested the hypothesis that these effects are independent; that is, the impact of sex on
attitudes toward a female president is not fully explained by women’s more liberal attitudes
toward women.
Table 2 displays the standardized regression coefficients and the change in R2 at each
step. Attitude toward women was entered into the regression equation in Step 1. This analysis
revealed that those with more liberal attitudes toward women were more like to be in support of
electing a female president. Thirty percent of the variance in support for electing a woman for
president was accounted for by ATW. In Step 2, sex was added to the equation as a predictor of
support for a female president. In total, 36% of the variance in support of a female president was
accounted for by both ATW and sex. The addition of sex to the equation results in a significant
increase in R2 and accounts for an additional 6% of the variance in support for electing a woman
for president. Specifically, women supported electing a woman for president more than men, and
importantly, this effect is significant controlling for their ATW.
Discussion
As expected, women reported significantly more liberal attitudes towards women’s place
in society than men did. Women were not as supportive of traditional gender roles as men.
Furthermore, we demonstrated that attitudes toward women and sex both predict support for
electing a woman for president. As predicted, hierarchical regression analyses revealed that sex
independently predicted a significant proportion of the variance in support for a female candidate
Understanding the Gender Gap 14
for president. This supports our contention that women’s identity to their gender social group
uniquely influences their support for electing a woman as president.
Study 2
In Study 2, we sought to replicate and generalize our findings from Study 1 that women
hold more liberal gender role attitudes than men by using an alternate measure of gender role
attitudes. In this study we used Rudman and Kilianski’s (2000) Gender and Authority Measure
(GAM), rather than the ATW scale. Rather than assessing the extent to which individuals
endorse traditional attitudes toward women’s place in society in general, the GAM specifically
looks at the extent to which individuals prefer male versus female authorities in various power
situations (Rudman & Kilianski, 2000).
Furthermore, we sought to increase the external validity of this line of research by
specifically asking questions about support for Hillary Clinton. As a frontrunner in the 2008
Presidential race, using Clinton as a dependent measure provides a more realistic view of how
individuals will actually respond to a female presidential candidate. However, because Senator
Clinton ran as a Democratic candidate, we expected political attitudes to influence support for
her presidency. Therefore, in Study 2 we also examined and controlled for the role of
participants’ political attitudes in support of Clinton for president. We hypothesized that 1)
women will endorse nontraditional gender roles and politically liberal attitudes more than men,
2) individuals who endorse nontraditional gender roles and have more liberal political attitudes
will support Clinton significantly more than those who endorse traditional gender roles, 3)
women will support Clinton significantly more than men, while controlling for both attitudes
toward female authority and political attitudes.
Understanding the Gender Gap 15
In order to further explore the influence of one’s social identity, we chose to
experimentally investigate the role of social identity in attitudes toward electing a female for
president. In this study, we primed women and men’s gender social identity and examined the
extent to which that impacted the degree of their support for Clinton and the favorability of their
perceptions of her. Specifically we predicted an interaction between gender identity prime and
sex such that, when primed with their gender identity, women will increase their support for a
female president and view her more positively, whereas men will decrease their support and
view her less positively.
Method
Participants and Design
In this study, we surveyed 83 participants (44 women and 39 men). As in Study 1, this
study was completed as part of a classroom research project, but in this study the student
researchers were responsible for recruiting only undergraduate participants. Female and male
participants were randomly assigned to the gender prime or control condition and completed the
consent form and questionnaires individually. This study employed a 2 (Participants’ Sex:
Female or Male) X 2 (Social Identity: Gender or Control) between-subjects design.
Procedure
Participants completed what was described to them as a ‘political attitudes’ questionnaire.
Before completing the survey items, participants read one of the following two statements.
Participants in the student prime, or control condition, read: “According to reports of the 2004
election, among 18-25-year olds, 60% of people are registered and only 42% vote. A large
percentage of people in this demographic are students. As a student, write a sentence or two
commenting on this.” Participants in the gender prime condition read: “According to reports of
Understanding the Gender Gap 16
the 2004 election, 74% of women and 71% of men were registered to vote. Additionally, women
were more likely to vote (65%) than men were (62%). As a man/woman, write a sentence or two
commenting on this.” After this statement, participants read a short biography of Hillary Clinton,
which was identical for participants in both conditions.
Measures
Gender and Authority Measure (GAM). We assessed participants’ attitudes toward
female authority participants with a 15-item measure on which participants indicate preference
for male versus female authorities. This scale has been shown to demonstrate a single factor
structure with adequate internal consistency and convergent and discriminant validity (Rudman
& Kilianski, 2000). Participants indicated their agreement to items on a 7-point Likert-type scale
ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree). Example items include: “In general, I
would rather work for a man than a woman”; “The people I look up to most are women”; and
“For most college courses, I prefer a male professor to a female professor.” Items were recoded
such that higher numbers indicate preference for male versus female authorities. The GAM
showed adequate internal consistency (α = .79).
Support for Clinton. We assessed the extent to which participants support Clinton as a
presidential candidate with an 8-item measure. Example items include: “Hillary Clinton would
be a competent President of the US”; “Hillary Clinton would be an influential President of the
US”; and “If nominated, Hillary Clinton will win election for President of the US.” This measure
showed strong internal consistency (α = .96).
Trait Perceptions. We assessed the extent to which participants perceived Clinton as
possessing favorable traits with an 18-item measure consisting of both agentic and communal
traits. Examples of agentic items include: “Confident”; “Competent”; and “Ambitious.”
Understanding the Gender Gap 17
Examples of communal items include: “Kind”; “Supportive”; and “Sensitive to the needs of
others.” This measure also showed strong internal consistency (α = .94).1
Political Attitudes. We assessed participants’ overall political views on a 5-point Likert-
type scale ranging from ‘very liberal’ to ‘very conservative’ with lower numbers indicating
greater liberal views and higher numbers indicating greater conservative views.
Results
Sex Differences in Attitudes Toward Female Authority and Political Attitudes2
Similar to Study 1, we examined the relationship between attitudes toward women (as
assessed by the GAM) and sex by conducting an independent samples t-test. As expected,
women reported significantly less negative attitudes toward women in authority (M = 3.56, SD =
.70) than men (M = 4.22, SD = .49; t(80) = 4.95, p < .001).
In Study 2, we also examined the relationship between political attitudes and sex by
conducting an independent samples t-test. As expected, women reported political attitudes that
were significantly more politically liberal (M = 2.39, SD = .1.10) than men (M = 2.84, SD = .97;
t(80) = 1.97, p = .05).
Relationship Between Attitudes Toward Female Authority, Sex, Political Orientation, and
Support for Hillary Clinton
In this study we wanted to test the predictions that people with more liberal attitudes
toward women would be more likely to support a female leader (i.e., Hillary Clinton), that
women will have more positive attitudes towards supporting Clinton than men will, and that
these effects are independent. In addition, we wanted to test the prediction that these effects will
still hold when controlling for political attitudes.
Understanding the Gender Gap 18
The standardized regression coefficients and the change in R2 at each step of the
hierarchical regression analysis are shown in Table 3. The Gender and Authority Measure
(GAM) was entered into the regression equation in Step 1. This analysis revealed that those with
more liberal attitudes toward women were more likely to be in support of electing a female
president. Thirteen percent of the variance in support for Clinton was accounted for by scores on
the GAM. In Step 2, sex was added to the equation as a predictor and, in total, 20% of the
variance in support of Clinton was accounted for by both GAM and sex. The addition of sex to
the equation results in a significant increase in R2 accounting for an additional 7% of the variance
in support for Clinton with women supporting Clinton more than men, and importantly, this
effect is significant controlling for their GAM scores. Finally, we entered political orientation
into the equation at Step 3. Political attitudes accounted for 33% more of the variance in support
for Clinton with individuals who hold more liberal political attitudes supporting Clinton more
than those who hold more conservative political attitudes. Importantly, when political attitudes
was entered into the equation, attitudes toward female authority (GAM) no longer significantly
predicted attitudes toward Hillary Clinton above and beyond what was accounted for by sex and
political attitudes.
Gender Priming and Support for and Perceptions of Hillary Clinton
Support for Clinton. To test the hypothesis that a gender prime will impact women and
men’s support for Clinton in opposite directions, support for Clinton was analyzed with a 2
(Participant Sex: Male or Female) x 2 (Priming: Gender or Student) between-subjects analysis of
variance. There was no significant main effect for gender priming, p = .63. Therefore, support
for Clinton did not differ as a function of whether participants were primed with their gender or a
control prime. There was a main effect of sex such that women supported Clinton more (M =
Understanding the Gender Gap 19
4.35, SD = 1.64) than men (M = 3.03, SD = 1.27), F(1, 77) = 17.01, p = .000, �2 = .18.
Additionally, there was a significant interaction between sex and priming (F(1, 77) = 4.12, p =
.046, �2 = .05; see Figure 1). Compared to the control condition, men indicate less support for
Clinton when primed with their gender and women report greater support. Simple effects tests
revealed a significant difference between women and men in the gender prime condition (p =
.000) such that women primed with their gender reported greater support for Clinton (M = 4.59,
SE = .30) than men primed with gender (M = 2.58, SE = .35). The difference between women
and men in the control condition did not quite reach a level of significance (p = .14).
Trait Perceptions. A between-subjects ANOVA revealed that the main effect of
priming was not significant, p = .88; thus, perceptions of Clinton’s traits did not differ between
those who were primed with their gender and those in the control condition (primed with their
identity as a student). There was a main effect of sex such that women perceived Clinton as
possessing more positive traits (M = 4.86, SD = .87) than did men (M = 3.82, SD = .96), F(1, 77)
= 26.70, p = .000, �2 = .26. Additionally, there was a significant interaction between sex and
priming (F(1, 77) = 4.71, p = .033, �2 = .06; see Figure 2). Women indicated more positive
perceptions of Clinton in the gender prime condition compared to the control condition whereas
men reported a decrease in positive perceptions in the gender prime condition. In addition,
simple effects revealed that although there is a significant difference between women and men in
the student prime condition (p = .035) such that women perceived Clinton as possessing more
positive traits (M = 4.61, SE = .20) than men (M = 4.01, SE = .20), this difference is significantly
stronger in the gender prime condition (p = .000; women: M = 5.07, SE = .19; men: M = 3.60, SE
= .22.
Understanding the Gender Gap 20
Discussion
The findings from Study 2 replicated and extended the findings from Study 1. As in
Study 1, women reported significantly more liberal attitudes toward women and more liberal
political attitudes than men did. The results from hierarchical regression analyses demonstrated
once again that attitudes toward women and participants’ sex account for unique variance in
predicting support for Hillary Clinton. Specifically, the more liberal attitudes toward women that
participants held, the more support they provided for Clinton. Also, as in Study 1, women
indicated greater support for Clinton when controlling for GAM scores. Thus, regardless of their
attitudes toward women in authority positions, women provided more support than men for
Clinton as a presidential candidate. Political attitudes accounted for a large percentage of
variance in predicting support for Clinton with those who hold more liberal political views
supporting Clinton more than those who hold more conservative views. Moreover, when political
attitudes was entered into the equation, attitudes toward female authority (GAM) no longer
significantly predicted attitudes toward Hillary Clinton above and beyond what was accounted
for by sex and political attitudes. Thus, these results demonstrate that the attitudes captured by
the GAM do not predict variance independent of the attitudes assessed by participants’ political
attitudes, while participants’ sex still adds something unique to the equation.
In Study 2, we investigated the unique effect of one’s gender identity group by
experimentally priming participants with their gender group. As expected, when primed with
their gender identity, women increased their support for Clinton and viewed her traits more
positively, while men decreased their support and viewed her traits less positively. These results
suggest that beyond differences in attitudes that women and men may have, there is some degree
of ingroup bias when supporting a presidential candidate such that women are more likely to
Understanding the Gender Gap 21
support a female presidential candidate because of their shared gender identity. On the other
hand, when men’s gender identity is made salient, they may show a negative bias by derogating
members of an outgroup (Devine, 1995). Thus, men may support a female presidential candidate
less because she is not an ingroup member.
General Discussion
The present research sought to better understand the gender gap in support for female
presidential candidates. Across two studies we investigated the influence of gender role attitudes
and political attitudes, as well as the influence of a shared gender identity between women and a
female presidential candidate. Both Study 1 and Study 2 revealed that women are significantly
less supportive of traditional gender roles than men are. In Study 1, we showed this using a
measure assessing attitudes toward women in society in general (ATW), and in study 2, we
showed this using a measure specifically assessing attitudes toward women in authority positions
(GAM). Study 1 and Study 2 also revealed support for our prediction that attitudes toward
women and participants’ sex would independently predict support for electing a woman for
president. Both studies revealed that individuals who hold more liberal attitudes toward women
and women support female presidential candidates more than those who hold more traditional
attitudes toward women and men. However, in Study 2, when political attitudes was entered into
the regression, attitudes toward women was no longer significant, demonstrating that having
liberal political attitudes in general is a better predictor of support for a woman for president than
the measure we employed to assess liberal gender role attitudes. Study 2 also demonstrated that,
when primed with their gender identity, women increase and men decrease their support.
Liberal Attitudes and Supporting a Woman for President
Understanding the Gender Gap 22
Gender role attitudes. Our findings support past research showing that women tend to
have more liberal attitudes about gender roles than men do (Harris & Firestone, 1998; Spence &
Hahn, 1997; Swim et al., 1995). In Study 1, women indicated significantly more modern
attitudes toward women’s place in society, and in Study 2, women reported significantly less
preference for men in authority positions over women. Building on past research, our findings
from hierarchical analyses in both studies show that these more liberal attitudes toward women
predict greater support for a female presidential candidate. These findings are not too surprising
because if individuals believe that women can and should fill roles in society that are traditional
held by men then it is understandable that they would also be more supportive of a woman filling
a role that has always been filled by a man.
Political Attitudes. Because we chose to look at attitudes toward an actual presidential
candidate, we expected political attitudes to play an important role in predicting support for a
candidate of a particular political party. Indeed, political attitudes was the strongest predictor of
support for Clinton (Study 2); in fact, when entered into the regression, attitudes toward female
authority no longer remained a significant predictor. Past research suggests that individuals’
attitudes toward women are couched in their political views. For example, women tend to be
more oriented toward equality and liberalism than men are (Eagly et al., 2004). This helps to
explain why the effect of GAM disappears when political attitudes is entered. The present
findings demonstrate that a more general item assessing political attitudes does a better
predicting individuals’ support for a female presidential candidate than more specific attitudes
toward women in authority positions.
Gender Identity and Supporting a Woman for President
Understanding the Gender Gap 23
In both studies, we found evidence of intergroup bias in that women showed an ingroup
bias in favor of a female presidential candidate, while men showed an outgroup bias against her.
Sex accounted for a significant portion of unique variance in predicting support for a female
presidential candidate in Study 1 and for Hillary Clinton in Study 2. These findings support a
social identity perspective in that women’s support for a female candidate was based on their
social group membership as women. Our findings demonstrated that, independent of gender role
and political ideologies, women showed significantly more support for electing a female
candidate (Study 1) and for electing Hillary Clinton (Study 2).
Furthermore, Study 2 provided experimental evidence for this ingroup bias effect. When
primed with their gender identity, women increased their support for Clinton and viewed her
more favorably, whereas men decreased their support and viewed her less favorably. While past
research has linked a gender gap in attitudes with a gender gap in voting behavior (Eagly et al,
2004), our research demonstrates that, irrespective of attitudes, individuals also demonstrate an
ingroup bias in support for a candidate. The social identity perspective suggests that individuals
process information in terms of their group membership in intergroup situations where social
identities are made salient (Tajfel & Turner, 1979).
Experimental research supports an ingroup gender-bias in support for electoral
candidates. For example, research by Eagly, Diekman, Scheider, and Kulesa (2003) found that
individuals tend to vote for candidates who endorse policies supportive of the interests of their
gender, regardless of the candidate’s sex. However, when a candidate’s attitudes were not clearly
congenial to only women or only men, a gender-matching preference for candidates of one’s
own gender emerged such that women were more likely to vote for a female candidate and men
were more likely to vote for a male candidate (Eagly et al., 2003, Study 1). Hoyt, Simon, and
Understanding the Gender Gap 24
Reid (in press) also found a gender-bias, but only when individuals’ mortality was made salient.
Their findings demonstrated that women evaluated a female candidate more positively than a
male candidate and were significantly more likely to cast their vote for the woman than the man
when their death was made salient. These findings suggest that when women’s mortality is made
salient, they buffer their fear of death by clinging to their ingroup (Hoyt et al., in press). The
present research extends these findings by showing that women demonstrate ingroup bias by
supporting a female candidate even without reasons such as similar policy endorsement or
situational influences such as mortality salience and when controlling for sex role and political
attitudes.
Practical implications
This research has important implications for elections involving female candidates.
Judging from the recent media attention on voting polls examining percentages of different
groups of people (e.g., men, women, Blacks, Whites, Latinos, young people, old people, etc.),
there is a clear interest from both the general public and researchers in predicting voting
behavior. While this article particularly focuses on gender bias, the point of this research is not to
dismiss the barriers that stand in the way of an ethnic minority; as Steinem (2008) notes, “The
caste systems of sex and race are interdependent and can only be uprooted together.” The present
research helps us to better understand the current gender gap in support for Clinton by
demonstrating the importance of both gender role and political attitudes in predicting support for
a female presidential candidate.
Beyond attitudes, the present research also shows the effect of priming a social identity
group on individuals’ support for electing a candidate. While we investigated the effect of gender
identity, it likely that candidates activate many social identity groups depending on, among other
Understanding the Gender Gap 25
situational factors, whose support they are trying to obtain. The priming used in Study 2 creates a
similar situation as the recent Democratic primaries where voters have chosen to support a man
(Senator Obama) or a woman (Senator Clinton). Indeed, polls report that voters are clinging to
their ingroup. A poll taken in February 2008 indicated that 59% of white Democratic women
plan to vote for Clinton, while about two-thirds of blacks plan to vote for Obama (United Press
International, 2008). Interestingly, there has been a lot of attention focused on who black women
will support beginning with the Democratic primary in South Carolina (Seelye, 2008). These
women are of particular interest because they must choose between social identity groups:
Obama who shares their racial identity or Clinton who shares their gender identity. Judging from
a January 2008 poll indicating that Obama has an 11 point advantage lead over Clinton among
black women, it appears that black women have chosen to support their racial identity group
(Steinhauser, 2008). The present research would correctly predict these results as Obama has
effectively focused his campaign largely on issues of racial equality, while Clinton has put much
less emphasis on gender in her campaign.
The impact of making a specific social identity salient also has implications for
candidates who are seeking to gain support from several different groups of people. If Clinton is
trying to gain more support from women, then our research suggests that she should explicitly
make her gender more salient. However, she then faces the possibility of losing support of men,
which is what happened in Study 2. Moreover, our research suggests that this tactic might also
lose her support of individuals who hold more conservative gender role and political attitudes.
Thus, our research suggests that candidates must be careful as they try to gain support from
certain groups, not to alienate other groups. Recent research has found that, when presented with
images of Clinton and Obama, individuals perceived Clinton to be more American than Obama
Understanding the Gender Gap 26
(Devos, Ma, & Gaffud, 2008). Moreover, their research demonstrated that the more candidates
were construed as embodying the American identity, the more they were likely to be supported
(Devos, et al., 2008). This research suggests that a possible tactic for minority presidential
candidates, such as women, would be to make a shared identity (i.e., an American identity)
explicitly salient to voters so that they are perceived by all individuals as an ingroup member.
Limitations and Future Directions
While this research provides insight into factors that predict support for a female
presidential candidate, there still remains the possibility that other factors may provide further
predictive ability. While we measured individuals’ attitudes, there may be individual
characteristics that also have an influence. For example, research by Dweck and colleagues has
found that most individuals are either entity theorists or incremental theorists (Dweck, Chiu, &
Hong, 1995). While entity theorists hold the implicit belief that human characteristics are fixed
and stable, incremental theorists believe that they are malleable and develop over time. This
research suggests that entity theorists would resist the movement of women into nontraditional
gender roles, such as high-level leadership positions, and incremental theorists would be open to
changes in gender roles. In fact, research by Plaks, Stroessner, Dweck, and Sherman (2001)
found that individuals who hold incremental theories about human traits show a preference for
counterstereotypic information, while those who hold entity theories show a preference for
stereotypic information. Thus, to the extent that women in high-level leadership positions are
counterstereotypic to the female gender role, individuals may respond differently to a female
presidential candidate depending on their implicit theories. Furthermore, based on research by
Jost and colleagues (2003) demonstrating that liberalism is associated with change and openness,
conservatism is associated with resistance to change it is possible that liberals may tend to be
Understanding the Gender Gap 27
incremental theorists, while conservatives tend to be entity theorists, Future research should
explore whether one’s implicit theories about human traits influences support for a female
presidential candidate. This assessment may have an even stronger influence than attitudes on
individuals’ because it is less likely to elicit social desirability concerns that certain attitude
assessments do.
Future research would also benefit from presenting female leaders who exhibit different
leadership styles. Research has shown that female leaders who exhibit agentic traits face
resistance and backlash (Rudman & Glick, 1999; 2001). While the present research did not
manipulate the female candidate’s leadership behavior, future research should explore reactions
to female candidates who display different types of leadership, such as women who display
predominantly agentic traits versus women who blend agentic and communal traits. Furthermore,
based on the fact that political attitudes accounted for so much of the variance in predicting
support for electing a female candidate, individuals may respond differently to a female
candidate depending on the political party to which she belongs. In an analysis of the six
elections of candidates for the U. S. House of Representatives from 1990-2000, Dolan (2004)
found that people are more likely to see female Democratic candidates as liberal and to utilize
stereotypically female/liberal issues in their evaluations, whereas respondents did not evaluate
Republican candidates’ ideology or issues differently for men or women. This research suggests
that the extent to which individuals perceive female candidates in stereotypical terms depends on
their political party. Building off of Study 2, which utilizes a female Democratic candidate,
future research should also look at female Republican candidates.
This research is limited in its generalizability to real-life situations in which individuals
are actually casting a vote for a candidate. In Study 2, we chose to use Senator Clinton as the
Understanding the Gender Gap 28
female presidential candidate in order to increase external validity. However, participants are
likely to have pre-existing attitudes toward her and to be influenced by the current presidential
race, or to give their support according to political party. Moreover, because the purpose of this
research was to determine factors that predict support for female presidential candidates, we did
not have a condition including a male candidate. While research suggests that women display
higher degrees of ingroup bias than man do (Rudman & Goodwin, 2004), a social dominance
perspective (Pratto, Stallworth, & Sidanius, 1997) suggests that if a female candidate threatens
the gender hierarchy, men may show an equal amount of ingroup bias. Thus, more research is
needed investigating different electoral situations, varying the race and gender (among other
social categories), and also varying whether real or hypothetical candidates are employed in the
research design. Despite these limitations, the present research provides insights for
understanding the gender gap in support for a female presidential candidate and several different
interesting areas for future research.
Conclusions
In sum, this research indicates that the gender gap in support for a female presidential
candidate is influenced by attitudes toward women, political attitudes, and one’s gender social
identity. Study 1 and Study 2 show that attitudes toward women and participants’ sex have an
independent influence on support for a female candidate for president, while Study 2
demonstrates that political attitudes are a stronger predictor of support than attitudes toward
female authority. Study 2 also demonstrates that when individuals’ gender identity is made
salient, women show an increase in support for a female candidate, while men show a decrease
in support. These findings are consistent with a social identity perspective in that women showed
a positive bias toward their gender identity group, while men showed a negative bias against
Understanding the Gender Gap 29
their gender outgroup. The present research offers insight into understanding the gender gap in
support for a female candidate for the 2008 presidential race and has important implications for
candidates striving to gain support from various social groups.
Understanding the Gender Gap 30
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Footnotes
1. There were no differences between communal and agentic items when analyzed separately;
thus we combined all items into one measure.
2. Before we began testing our predictions, we confirmed that the priming manipulation did not
impact participants’ reported attitudes toward female authority and political attitudes. These
attitudes were reported after the priming manipulation for concerns that responding to them
before might adversely impact the efficacy of the primes, particularly reporting attitudes toward
female authority in the non-gender prime condition. We conducted independent groups t-tests to
make sure that there was no difference in political attitudes or attitudes toward female authority
across the two experimental groups (student vs. gender prime). As expected with random
assignment, there was no difference in political attitudes across experimental conditions (student
prime: M = 2.64, SD = .98; gender prime: M = 2.55, SD = 1.15; t(80) = .39, p = .695) and there
was no difference in attitudes toward female authority (student prime: M = 3.87 SD = .72; gender
prime: M = 3.88, SD = .66; t(80) = -.04, p = .965).
Understanding the Gender Gap 38
Table 1 presents the means, standard deviations, and reliability for all measures as well as
the intercorrelations among study variables.
Scale M SD α 1 2 3 4 Study 1 1. Attitude toward female president 3.94 .94 .82 1 2. ATW 5.39 .65 .83 .53** 1 Study 2 1. Attitude toward Clinton 3.8 1.5 .96 1 - 2. GAM 3.9 .69 .79 -.30** 1 - 3. Political Attitudes 2.6 1.1 -- -.67** .24* 1 - 4. Trait Perceptions of Clinton 4.38 1.0 .94 -.84** -.30** -.61** 1
* = p < .01 ** = p < .001
Understanding the Gender Gap 39
Table 2
Study 1: Hierarchical Regression Analyses Predicting Support for a Female President from
Attitudes toward Women and Sex
β Δ R2 Fchange Sig. Fchange Step 1 .30 47.19 .000 ATW .55 Step 2 .06 9.25 .003 ATW .47** Sexa -.25*
aCoded as 1 = female, 2 = male * = p < .01 ** = p < .001
Understanding the Gender Gap 40
Table 3
Study 2: Hierarchical Regression Analyses Predicting Support for Hillary Clinton from Gender
and Authority Measure, Sex, and Political Attitudes
β Δ R2 Fchange Sig. Fchange Step 1 .13 11.91 .001 GAM -.37*** Step 2 .07 6.31 .014 GAM -.23* Sexa .29** Step 3 .33 52.82 .000 GAM -.07 Sexa .25** Political Att. -.60***
aCoded as 1 = male, 2 = female * = p = .05 ** = p = .01 *** = p < .001
Understanding the Gender Gap 41
Figure Captions
Figure 1.Study 2: Attitudes toward Clinton as a function of participant sex and gender identity
prime.
Figure 2. Study 2: Trait perceptions of Clinton as a function of participant sex and gender
identity prime.