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BUILDING STRONG ® Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011 Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload Bob Morris, PE, PMP Fort Worth Engineer District American Society of Civil Engineers 8 August 2011

Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

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Page 1: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload

Bob Morris, PE, PMP

Fort Worth Engineer District

American Society of Civil Engineers

8 August 2011

Page 2: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Fort Worth District

Established in 1950, 1213 people

Civil Works --- area of responsibility covers 53% of state, 25 multipurpose projects, 10 river basins, three hydropower plants, 190 parks, serving more than 22 million visitors a year

Military Construction---10 Army and 7 Air Force installations

Environmental Support---to seven Major Commands including 60 Army and Air Force Installations

International and Interagency Services-- management for other government agencies including Environmental Compliance support for eleven different Federal Agencies

Page 3: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Army $1,625M

ECSO $260M

Civil $127M

Total: $2,403MEnvironmental

$32M

Air Force $359M

Forecasted District WorkloadFY11

3Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 4: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

USACE Campaign PlanA GREAT engineering force of highly

disciplined people working with our partners through disciplined thought and action

to deliver innovative and sustainable solutions to the Nation’s engineering challenges.

Provide vital public engineering services in peace and war to strengthen our

Nation’s security, energize the economy and reduce risks from disasters.

• Delivering superior performance.• Setting the standard for the profession.• Making a positive impact on the Nation and other nations. • Being built to last by having a strong "bench" of educated,

trained, competent, experienced, and certified professionals.

USACE Mission GREAT isUSACE Vision

What will WE do to make our infrastructure great?

Deliver USACE support to combat, stability and disaster operations through forward deployed and

reach back capabilities.

Ready, responsive and reliable.

Deliver enduring and essential water resource solutions through collaboration

with partners and stakeholders.

Deliver innovative, resilient, sustainable solutions to the

Armed Forces and the Nation.

Build and cultivate a competent, disciplined, and resilient team equipped

to deliver high quality solutions.

Objective 1a:

Objective 1b:

Objective 1c:

Objective 1d:

Support the Operating and Generating Force.

Establish human resources and family support programs that promote

readiness and quality of life.

Institutionalize USACE capabilities in interagency policy and doctrine.

Objective 2a:

Objective 2b:

Objective 2c:

Objective 2d:

Deliver integrated, sustainable, water resources solutions.

Implement collaborative approaches to effectively

solve water resource problems.

Implement streamlined and transparent regulatory processes

to sustain aquatic resources.

Enable Gulf Coast recovery.

Deliver sustainable infrastructure via consistent and effective military

construction & real estatesupport to customers.

Improve protection, resilience and lifecycle investment in critical infrastructure.

Deliver reliable infrastructureusing a risk-informed asset

management strategy.

Develop and apply innovativeapproaches to delivering

quality infrastructure.

Identify, develop, maintain, and strengthen technical competencies .

Communicate strategically

and transparently.

Standardize businessprocesses.

Establish tools and systems to get the right people in the right jobs,

then develop and retain this highly skilled workforce.

Objective 3a:

Objective 3b:

Objective 3c:

Objective 3d:

Objective 4a:

Objective 4b:

Objective 4c:

Objective 4d:

Goal 1 Goal 2 Goal 3 Goal 4

Page 5: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Military Missions Program TrendsFY00-15

Fiscal Year

Program ($Millions)

Current $ as of Mar 11 (FY12 PB) FY09-10 Includes Military Carryover – FY 00 -15 AR, AF and DOD Reimbursable is separate

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 10 11 12 13 14 15

Army Construction

Air ForceConstruction

Engineering & Design

DOD

Host Nation/FMS

Environmental

OCORDT&E

Other

ARRA

RE

ECIP

AR,AF & DOD Reimbursable

5Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 6: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Pentagon to cut spending by $78 billion

Senate panel cuts $6.4 billion from Pentagon request GovExec

DoD expects up to $100B more in cuts

6

Page 7: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Post Surge Era

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 10 11 12 13 14 15

3,236

4,656

2,9602,691 2,803

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

MCA Funding Comparison FY12-17

FYDP FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Total

FY12 Pres Bud 3,236 4,656 2,960 2,691 2,803 16,346

MILCON Declines

7Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 8: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Moonshine Beach, Table Rock Lake, Mo.

The Motor Vessel Mississippitransits the MKARNS

Regulator of the Year (2008) Andria Davis, Galveston

Dallas Floodway

Bull Shoals Powerhouse, Arkansas

Houston Ship Channel

Skiatook Lake, Oklahoma

Navigation•4 of the Nation’s “Top Ten” ports•32 channels (15 deep draft, 17 shallow draft) •More than 500 M tons of commerce annually

Navigation2 major waterways (GIWW and MKARNS)

Hydroelectric Power•18 power plants in 6 statesproduce 6.7 billion kw hours

•87% of regional capacity, second in the Corps

Water Supply•8.4 million acre-feet of

water storage•Water control contracts =

water for 39 million households

Regulatory•5710 permit decisions (FY 10)

Recreation•20 percent of the Corps' total recreation projects located within the regional boundary

•83 million visitors at 90 operating projects located in five states

Flood Damage Reduction •90 flood damage

reduction•lakes/reservoirs

•33.22M acre-feet of flood storage

•760 miles of local flood protection projects

•$10.2 B in flood damages prevented FY 10

Civil Works

8Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 9: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

National Water Resource Challenges

Energy

Persistent Conflict

AgingInfrastructure

Globalization

IncreasingDemand

for Water

Governance

Federal Budget

Legislative Changes

ClimateChange

Environmental Values

Declining Biodiversity

Disaster Preparednessand Response

DemographicShifts

Page 10: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Challenges Strategies Constrained Budgets Aging Infrastructure Disaster Preparedness and

Response Increasing Demand for Water Long Term Recovery Climate Change Environmental Values Declining Biodiversity Demographic Shifts Globalization 8 +2 Ecosystem Restoration Sites Principles & Guidelines Levee/Dam Safety

• Integrated Water Resource Management

• Systems – Based Approach• Risk-Informed Decision Making &

Communication• Collaboration & Partnering• Asset Management• State-of-the Art Technology

12Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 11: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

What’s Changing in Civil Works?

• Increasingly unpredictable, unreliable funding streams• Focused application of constrained resources• Frequency of non-routine workload increasing at Districts• Increased customer expectation for enterprise solutions

13Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 12: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

The New Budgeting Paradigm

Aligning Business Lines to National Goals/Priorities and

National Objectives

Page 13: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

National Priorities/Goals

• Reduce the Deficit1

• Create Jobs and Restore the Economy1

• Improve Infrastructure1

• Restore and Protect the Environment1

• Maintain Global Competitiveness2

• Increase Energy Independence2

• Improve Quality of Life2

1FY2011 CW Budget Briefings to OMB2President’s 2011 State of the Union Address

NOTE: This listing is a listing of priorities/goals, not a ranking.

16Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 14: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Water Resources Objectives

• Protect, develop and restore the Nation’s water and related land resources1

• Operate and maintain existing Corps projects1

• Train and prepare for emergency response needs1

• Improve energy, water, and petroleum efficiency2

• Double exports from FY2010 to FY20153

1FY2011 CW Press Book Preface 2Executive Order 13514 - Federal Leadership in Environmental, Energy, and Economic Performance 3President’s 2011 State of the Union Address

NOTE: This is a listing of objectives, not a ranking.

17Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 15: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Budget Development Principles

•Finish Projects That We Start•Focus on Core Mission Areas•Take risks in Non-Core Mission Areas•Provide Efficient Funding for Fewer Projects

18Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 16: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Strategic Initiatives/Opportunities

Water resource infrastructure investment Water reallocation/Water supply Support installations on Zero Energy, Zero Water,

Zero Waste Planning Studies Recreation Strategy

Page 17: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Civil Works Investigations Fort Worth District, FY12-13

• Hydrology and Hydraulics Model Development - Hays County, Lower Guadalupe River Basin

• In-house resources• Feasibility level (30%) designs - Cibolo Creek, Leon Creek, and Abilene.

• Engineering by in-house resources• Geotechnical data collection to be contracted using existing IDIQ contracts

• Feasibility Study – Dallas• In-house resources • Engineering data collection may be contracted using existing IDIQ contracts

• Feasibility Study – Johnson Creek• Ongoing contract through City of Arlington and in-house resources

• Feasibility Study - San Antonio Westside Creeks• National Pilot Program• In-house resources

Page 18: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Civil Works Construction Fort Worth District, FY12-13

• Onion Creek, Austin • Non-structural (buyout, ecosystem restoration, and recreation) project • In the President’s Budget, however, Congress has not allowed any new Construction starts

• No other Construction

Page 19: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

•Engineering

10 Major Army Posts11 Major Air Force

BasesAlmost 1/5 of Nation’s

Military Activities

Little Rock AFB University Center

Battlefield Health andTrauma Research Institute

Fort Sill Air Defense Artillery School

San Antonio Military Medical Center

Fort Bliss 1st Brigade Combat Team headquarters

•Environmental management services for the Army & Air Force • Construction •Installation Support

Military Program

22Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 20: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Accomplishments44 Projects142 Facilities 12 Training Ranges2,500 Acres7,000,000 SF$2,000,000,000

Innovative Approach• Land Development Engineer• Product Line• Troop Ready

Fort Bliss Program

Division Headquarters

Central Wash Facility

Combat Aviation Brigade Complex 3 Heavy Brigade Complexes

Training Campus

Page 21: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

San Antonio Program

Battlefield Health and Trauma facility

SAMMC Consolidated Parking Structure

Construct Building 2261 (IMCOM HQ)METC Physical Fitness Center

METC Medical Instructional Facility 4SAMMC Central Energy Plant (CEP)

24Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 22: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

What is Changing in Military Programs? Reduction in MILCON program and number of projects Increased requirements for energy and sustainability

products and services Change in customer mix reducing the Army and increasing

the Air Force and DOD program (% of program) Increased potential requirements for Restoration and

Modernization of existing facilities Increased potential requirements to support Combatant

Commands’ theater engagement Increased customer expectation for enterprise solutions

25Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 23: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Military Missions Priorities

•Energy and Sustainability•Centers of Standardization•Military Construction Business Process doctrine

26Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 24: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Statutory Goal 30% by 2015

DOD Energy Intensity

27Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 25: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

FY12 ProjectsDescription Location Estimated-Dollar amount

Non Potable Water Well Fort Bliss, TX $1M to $5M

Utility Feed for Industrial Complex Fort Bliss, TX $10M to $25M

Military Working Dog Fort Bliss, TX $1M to $5M

JLENS Battery 1 Ph 2 UEPH Fort Bliss, TX $10M to $25M

JLENS TADSS Facility Fort Bliss, TX $5M to $10M

Unmanned Aerial Systems Fort Hood, TX $25M to $100M

28Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 26: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Description Location Estimated-Dollar amount

Brigade Headquarters Fort Polk, LA $1M to $5M

Military Working Dog Fort Polk, LA $1M to $5M

Fire Station/Emergency Dispatch Fort Polk, LA $5M to$10M

Multipurpose Machine Gun Range Fort Polk, LA $5M to $10M

BMT Dormitory Lackland AFB, TX $25M to $100M

Physics Lab White Sands MR, NM $1M to $5M

FY12 Projects (Cont)

29Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 27: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Description Location Estimated-Dollar amount

Lab and Test Building White Sands MR, NM $1M to $5M

Ambulatory Care Center Phase 3 Lackland AFB, TX $100 to $200M

Maneuver Systems Sustainment Center Phase 3 Red River Army Depot, TX $25M to $100M

Dining Facility Add/Alter Fort Sam Houston, TX $25M to $100M

FY13 Projects

30Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 28: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Description Location Estimated-Dollar amount

Airframe Painting Facility Corpus Christi Army Depot, TX $25M to $100M

Aircraft Component Maint Shop Corpus Christi Army Depot, TX $10M to $25M

Modified Record Fire Range Fort Hood, TX $1M to $5M

Training Support Center Fort Hood, TX $10M to $25M

Barracks Complex Joint Base San Antonio, TX $10M to $25M

Ambulatory Care Center Phase 4 Lackland AFB, TX $25M to $100M

FY13 Projects (Cont)

31Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011

Page 29: Uncertain Times: A Look at Future Workload · 8/8/2011  · BUILDING STRONG ® Army $1,625M ECSO $260M Civil $127M Total: $2,403M Environmental $32M. Air Force $359M. Forecasted District

BUILDING STRONG®

Questions?Bob Morris

[email protected]

32Bob Morris, CESWF-PM, 8 Aug 2011