49
Ukraine today: challenges and prospects smc.org.ua uisr.org.ua ratinggroup.ua Methodology: face-to-face interview at the places of residence (PAPI: 1500, СAPI: 1500) Sample: Representative by age (population 18 years of age and older), gender, type of settlement and region; Sample size: 3000 respondents Standard deviation +/- 1,8% Cooperation rate 51% Field stage: Since April, 30 to May, 10, 2019 West: Volyn, Lviv, Rivne, Zakarpatska, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Chernivtsi oblasts Center: Vinnitsa, Kirovograd, Poltava, Khmelnytsky, Cherkasy oblasts. North: Zhytomyr, Kiyv, Sumy, Chernihiv oblasts. East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhya, Kharkiv oblasts. Donbass: Donetsk, Luhansk oblasts (survey was conducted only in controlled territories) South: Mykolayiv, Odessa, Kherson oblasts. Kiyv. 1 May - 2019

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Page 1: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Ukraine today: challenges and prospects

smc.org.ua uisr.org.ua ratinggroup.ua

• Methodology: face-to-face interview at the places of residence (PAPI: 1500, СAPI: 1500)

• Sample: • Representative by age (population 18 years of age and older), gender, type of settlement and region; • Sample size: 3000 respondents • Standard deviation +/- 1,8% • Cooperation rate 51%

• Field stage:

Since April, 30 to May, 10, 2019

West: Volyn, Lviv, Rivne, Zakarpatska, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Chernivtsi oblasts Center: Vinnitsa, Kirovograd, Poltava, Khmelnytsky, Cherkasy oblasts. North: Zhytomyr, Kiyv, Sumy, Chernihiv oblasts. East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhya, Kharkiv oblasts. Donbass: Donetsk, Luhansk oblasts (survey was conducted only in controlled territories) South: Mykolayiv, Odessa, Kherson oblasts. Kiyv.

1 May - 2019

Page 2: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

2

Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections

Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May-2019

Page 3: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Participation level in the elections of the Presidential of Ukraine on March 31st and April 21st, 2019 (estimates).

3

74,0%

5,0%

4,9%

11,5%

4,6%

Participated in voting inboth rounds

Participated in votingonly in the first round

Participated in votingonly in the second round

Did not participate invoting during

Presidential elections

No answer

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Participated in voting in both rounds 73,0% 73,2% 77,1% 79,0% 69,5% 67,0% 74,3%

Participated in voting only in the first round 4,8% 4,4% 6,1% 4,1% 8,9% 4,9% 3,5%

Participated in voting only in the second round 4,4% 6,0% 4,4% 5,0% 4,2% 5,2% 4,9%

Did not participate in voting during Presidential elections 12,1% 12,9% 6,3% 9,6% 14,2% 15,7% 12,8%

No answer 5,7% 3,5% 6,1% 2,3% 3,2% 7,2% 4,4%

18-29 years

30-39 years

40-49 years

50-59 years

60 years and older

Participated in voting in both rounds 70,0% 70,4% 75,1% 75,6% 78,0%

Participated in voting only in the first round 4,4% 3,5% 2,8% 6,6% 6,9%

Participated in voting only in the second round 5,0% 5,7% 5,4% 4,1% 4,4%

Did not participate in voting during Presidential elections 17,0% 14,2% 12,9% 8,3% 6,6%

No answer 3,7% 6,2% 3,8% 5,4% 4,0%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 4: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Who did you vote for in the FIRST ROUND

of Presidential elections on March 31st, 2019?

4 Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Who did you vote for in the SECOND ROUND

of Presidential elections on April, 21st, 2019?

Among those who voted (n=2364)

Based on the data of CEC

74% 73,22%

23% 24,45%

3% Недійсні

2,31%

Page 5: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

6,8%

2,9%

6,6% 9,7% 10,1% 48,0%

3,7%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ВВ

If the next Sunday were the elections for Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, would you come to vote?

5

8,8%

5,5%

29,9%

49,3%

6,4%

Definitely, NO

Rather, NO

Rather, YES

Definitely, YES

Hard to answer

14,3%

79,2%

Score on a 10-point scale: "0" - absolutely sure that they will not vote, "10" - are convinced that they will vote

12,1%

11,2% 16,6% 14,1% 11,9% 20,0% 17,1% 16,4%

82,7% 78,6% 82,2% 78,6% 75,3% 74,5% 77,0%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Will not vote Will vote

17,6% 15,4% 16,5% 12,2% 10,9%

75,4% 77,2% 79,1% 81,6% 82,3%

18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years andolder

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 6: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

7

Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?

29,5%

8,1%

7,8%

6,7%

3,8%

3,7%

2,6%

2,4%

1,8%

1,5%

0,7%

39,9%

10,9%

10,6%

9,1%

5,1%

5,0%

3,5%

3,3%

2,4%

2,0%

0,9%

"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)

"Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y.Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)

Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist "(P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko)

All-Ukrainian Association"Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko)

«Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko)

"Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko)

Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev,V. Novinsky)

Radical Party Oleg Lyashko

All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O.Tiahnybok)

Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi)

Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S.Vakarchuk)

0,5%

0,5%

0,4%

0,3%

0,3%

0,3%

0,2%

0,2%

0,2%

0,1%

0,1%

0,0%

2,2%

17,3%

8,8%

0,7%

0,7%

0,6%

0,4%

0,4%

0,4%

0,3%

0,2%

0,2%

0,2%

0,2%

0,0%

2,9%

"Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk)

Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman)

"Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko)

Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko)

«UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V.Klychko)

"Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko,B. Filatov)

Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov)

"Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar)

"Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky)

“Osnova” (S. Taruta)

Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin)

Social Party of Ukraine (І. Kyva)

Other party

HARD TO ANSWER

I WOULD NOT VOTE

Among all

Among those who havedecided and will vote(n=2216)

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 7: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

8

Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?

Ukraine

Region

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 23,4% 33,2% 29,5% 39,4% 21,1% 32,2% 16,8% "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 2,0% 3,9% 3,7% 14,6% 24,7% 14,2% 4,0% Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 12,8% 10,2% 7,3% 3,5% 4,2% 4,6% 7,5% All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 6,8% 10,0% 9,8% 4,1% 4,7% 3,2% 7,1% «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 3,6% 6,0% 4,9% 3,0% 2,1% 2,6% 2,7% "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 6,1% 4,8% 4,1% 3,0% 0,5% 0,6% 2,2% Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 0,0% 0,8% 1,0% 7,0% 7,4% 3,2% 1,3% Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 2,7% 3,3% 3,9% 1,3% 3,2% 1,4% 0,9% All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,8% 5,1% 1,4% 1,0% ,5% 1,1% 0,3% 0,4% Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,5% 3,6% 0,2% 1,7% 1,2% 1,1% 0,6% 0% Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 1,0% 1,0% 1,0% ,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0,9% "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 1,0% 0,4% 0,5% ,7% 0% 0% 0,4% Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 0,9% 0,4% 0,7% ,5% 0% 0,6% 0% "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 0,1% 0,6% 0,5% ,5% 0% 0,6% 0,9% Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 0,0% 0,6% 0,2% ,3% 0% 0,6% 0% «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 0,1% 0,6% 1,0% 0% 0% 0% 0,4% "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0,1% 0,2% 0,2% 0,5% 0% 0,3% 0,4% Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0,4% 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% 00% 0% 0% "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,5% 0,3% 0% 0% 0,4% "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,5% 0,5% 0% 0% 0% “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0,4% Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,2% 0,5% 0,3% 0% Other 2,2% 1,7% 1,5% 1,0% 2,0% 1,6% 5,5% 3,1% HARD TO ANSWER 17,3% 21,7% 11,8% 18,8% 10,3% 14,2% 17,7% 33,6% I WOULD NOT VOTE 8,8% 6,8% 9,1% 7,8% 6,3% 12,6% 11,0% 16,4%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 8: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

9

Which party will you vote for during Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada elections, if the following parties will be in the list?

Ukraine Your age

18-29 years

30-39 years

40-49 years

50-59 years

60 years and older

"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 42,0% 34,1% 27,7% 22,3% 22,2% "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 1,9% 3,6% 6,0% 10,5% 16,0% Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 6,1% 8,5% 7,4% 8,6% 8,5% All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 4,2% 4,3% 7,4% 9,4% 8,2% «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 2,7% 3,1% 3,0% 3,0% 6,1% "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 2,6% 3,6% 4,2% 5,3% 3,3% Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 1,3% 3,3% 2,2% 3,2% 3,0% Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 1,8% 1,0% 2,0% 2,8% 4,0% All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,8% 1,6% 1,6% 1,8% 1,9% 2,1% Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,5% 1,6% 1,7% 1,2% 1,5% 1,3% Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 1,0% 0,3% 1,2% 1,1% 0,1% "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 0% 0,9% 0,2% 0,6% 0,9% Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 0,2% 1,0% 0,4% 0,4% 0,7% "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 0,6% 0,3% 0,6% 0% 0,5% Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 0,2% 0,5% 0,4% 0,4% 0% «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 1,0% 0% 0,2% 0% 0,3% "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0% 0,2% 0,6% ,6% 0,1% Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0% 0,7% 0,2% 0,2% 0% "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0% 0% 0,6% 0,2% 0,1% "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0,3% 0,3% 0% 0% 0,1% “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0,3% 0,3% 0% 0% 0% Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0,2% 0% 0% 0,2% 0,3% Other 2,2% 2,4% 2,2% 2,8% 2,4% 1,3% HARD TO ANSWER 17,3% 15,7% 18,0% 20,1% 17,8% 15,7% I WOULD NOT VOTE 8,8% 12,3% 10,2% 9,6% 7,7% 5,2%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 9: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

10

First choice (1)

Second choice

(2)

Sum of two choices

(3) Antirating (4)** Balance of choice

and antirating "Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky) 29,5% 9,4% 38,9% -5,1% 33,8 "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk) 8,1% 4,5% 12,6% -18,8% -6,2 Block of Peter Poroshenko " Solidarnist " (P.Poroshenko, Y. Lutsenko) 7,8% 2,2% 10,0% -43,9% -33,9 All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) 6,7% 4,4% 11,1% -21,7% -10,6 «Syla I Chest» (І. Smeshko) 3,8% 4,5% 8,3% -3,2% 5,1 "Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) 3,7% 4,4% 8,1% -4,6% 3,5 Opposition bloc (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky) 2,6% 4,2% 6,8% -16,7% -9,9 Radical Party Oleg Lyashko 2,4% 3,4% 5,8% -12,5% -6,7 All-Ukrainian Association "Svoboda" (O. Tiahnybok) 1,5% 2,6% 4,1% -5,9% -1,8 Association " Samopomich" (A. Sadovyi) 1,8% 1,4% 3,2% -12,2% -9 Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) 0,7% 2,5% 3,2% -5,0% -1,8 "Narodnyi Front " (A. Yatsenyuk) 0,5% 1,3% 1,8% -6,8% -5 Party of Volodymyr Groisman (V.Groisman) 0,5% 1,1% 1,6% -15,2% -13,6 "Public platform of Nadii Savchenko" (N. Savchenko) 0,4% 1,1% 1,5% -11,1% -9,6 Agrarian Party of Ukraine (Y. Krutko) 0,3% 1,0% 1,3% -3,6% -2,3 «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko) 0,3% 0,6% 0,9% -5,6% -4,7 "Ukrainian Association of Patriots - UKROP" (D. Borysenko, B. Filatov) 0,3% 0,4% 0,7% -7,3% -6,6 Public Movement " Narodnyi Kontrol " (D. Dobrodomov) 0,2% 0,5% 0,7% -5,4% -4,7 "Vidrodzhennia" (V. Bondar) 0,2% 0,4% 0,6% -6,0% -5,4 "Natsionalnyi korpus " (A. Beletsky) 0,2% 0,3% 0,5% -3,8% -3,3 “Osnova” (S. Taruta) 0,1% 0,4% 0,5% -5,7% -5,2 Social Democratic Party (S. Kaplin) 0,1% 0,2% 0,3% -5,5% -5,2 Social Party of Ukraine (І. Kyva) 0,0% 0,1% 0,1% -6,4% -6,3

* The table is arranged by the indicator "Sum of two choices" (1) First choice: Which party will you vote for in the elections to the Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada if the following parties are in the list? (2) Second choice: Tell me, which party will you vote for, if the one you have just selected will not be in the list? (3) The sum of two choices: is calculated as the sum of the answers to the first and second questions (4) Antirating: Tell me which party you will NOT VOTE under any circumstances ?, the sum of answers does not equal 100%, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer option

Level of support and negative attitude towards political parties *

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 10: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

11

Attitude to the idea of unification and joint participation in the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine

Positive 29,7%

Negative 49,2%

HARD TO ANSWER 21,1%

All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) and party "Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)?

All-Ukrainian Association "Batkivshchyna" (Yulia Tymoshenko) and party "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)?

Positive 17,8%

Negative 57,4%

HARD TO ANSWER 24,9%

"Sluha narodu" (V. Zelensky)and party "Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)?

Positive 28,0%

Negative 49,4%

HARD TO ANSWER 22,5%

"Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia" (Y. Boyko, V. Rabinovich, V.Medvedchuk)? and Opposition bloc – partiya Myru ta rozvutku (O. Vilkul,Ye. Muraiev, V. Novinsky)?

Positive 27,7%

Negative 44,6%

HARD TO ANSWER 27,7%

"Hromadianska pozytsiia" (A. Hrytsenko) and Association " Samopomich" (A.Sadovyi)?

Positive 35,3%

Negative 35,0%

HARD TO ANSWER 29,8%

Party of Sviatoslav Vakarchuk (S. Vakarchuk) and «UDAR» (Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reforms) (V. Klychko)?

Positive 22,9%

Negative 44,4%

HARD TO ANSWER 32,6%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 11: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

12

Actual problems of Ukrainian society

May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects

Page 12: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

According to your expectations, how will the situation in Ukraine change in the coming months?

Definitely will get

worse 4,9%

Rather will get worse

15,9%

Rather will get better

36,8%

Definitely will get

better 12,9%

Hard to answer 29,3%

13

24,0% 24,7% 23,9%

13,2%

26,3%

12,8%

25,2%

43,6% 50,4%

44,4%

59,4% 54,7% 57,7%

35,4%

West Center North East Donbas South Київ

Get worse Get better

13,9% 19,4% 21,3%

25,7% 24,1%

58,3% 53,5%

47,8% 43,9% 45,5%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 13: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

According to your expectations, how will the situation in Ukraine change in the coming months?

14

21,5%

24,1%

11,1%

26,4%

26,6%

25,2%

47,1%

29,2%

27,8%

45,2%

35,1%

36,8%

39,1%

35,1%

Zelenskyi Volodymyr

Boiko Yurii

Shevchenko Oleksandr

Vilkul Oleksandr

Tymoshenko Yuliya

Smeshko Ihor

Tymoshenko Yuriy

Liashko Oleh

Hrytsenko Anatolii

Koshulynskyi Ruslan

Poroshenko Petro

Other

DID NOT VOTE

REFUSED TO ANSWER

Hard to answer

-8,0%

-15,2%

-33,3%

-19,5%

-20,7%

-22,8%

-5,9%

-24,7%

-27,2%

-16,7%

-48,8%

-28,9%

-22,2%

-21,5%

70,5%

60,7%

55,6%

54,0%

52,7%

52,0%

47,1%

46,1%

44,9%

38,1%

16,1%

34,2%

38,7%

38,6%

Will get worse Will get better

Vote

d in

the

first

roun

d fo

r:

The sum of answers among those who voted for the particular politician equals to 100%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 14: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Evaluate how important to your personally are these issues? Use the scale from "1" to "5", where "1" - not at all important, and "5" - very important.

15

2,3

2,8

4

4,3

4,1

4,4

6,6

6,6

6,9

6,1

6,3

8,4

11,2

9,8

11,5

9,4

11,8

14,8

14,5

13,6

15,1

14,3

88,4

84,3

84,5

82,8

84,5

80,2

76,4

76,1

75,7

74,4

73,7

The ceasefire in the Donbas

Return of Ukrainian prisoners of war and detainees

The current level of prices, inflation

Salary and pensions level

Current utility tariffs

Military conflict in the East of Ukraine and reintegration ofthe Donbas

The level of social protection of the population

The level of medical care

Availability of work, unemployment

Enrichment of the oligarchs and impoverishment of ordinarypeople

Corruption and nepotism in power

12345

Average score

4,84

4,77

4,76

4,75

4,75

4,66

4,65

4,63

4,59

4,57

4,53 1

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 15: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Evaluate how important to your personally are these issues? Use the scale from "1" to "5", where "1" - not at all important, and "5" - very important.

16

2,4

2,9

4,2

9,9

11,5

20,4

20,1

24,9

24,2

35,1

34,4

4,8

3,2

5,2

5,4

9,1

11,4

10

9,1

9,8

12

10,8

11,1

12

14

16,8

16,2

20,5

14,8

17,5

16,1

18,4

18,1

19,8

19,7

16,9

17

17,2

15,6

14,1

14,8

14,2

13,1

65,9

61,4

60,9

53,9

49,3

37,1

32,4

36,1

34,4

24,8

22,1

Current volume of state taxes and fees

Crime, street security

Labor migration, changes in the population of Ukraine

Crimea's return

Completion of the initiated reforms

Accession to the European Union

Rights of national minorities

The law on the state language

Accession to NATO

Establishment of OCofU / Tomos

De-communisation

12345

Average score

4,42

4,32

4,30

4,00

3,87

3,42

3,29

3,26

3,26

2,84

2,77 2

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 16: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

What should be the first steps of the President of Ukraine? FIVE answers

17

53,7%

40,9%

38,4%

38,1%

33,7%

30,6%

25,8%

25,4%

17,9%

17,8%

16,3%

13,3%

13,2%

35,1%

11,4%

9,9%

Introduce bills to VR on the removal of immunity from deputies, judges, thePresident

Start a direct negotiations in the quadrilateral "Ukraine-Russia-DPR-LPR" to stopthe fire and return the Donbas

Ensure the return of Ukrainian military prisoners and detained persons

Initiate dissolution of the current Verkhovna Rada and holding earlyparliamentary elections

Ensure the stability of the national currency and banking system

Reduce salaries to top officials

Start / accelerate the investigation of the most resonant corruption crimes

To initiate a public discussion on the immediate change of the ProsecutorGeneral, the head of the SBU, the prime minister and the present Cabinet of…

Finishing medical reform

Changing the system of parliamentary elections: the abolition of majoritarianelections and the transition to proportional to the open-ended lists

To deepen negotiations with the EU and the US on Donbas and Crimea

Activate negotiations on the EU accession

To introduce to the Verkhovna Rada a bill on referendums

To deepen economic sanctions against Russia and Russian capital in Ukraine

Initiate the restart of anti-corruption bodies (NABU, SAP)

Activate negotiations on the NATO accession

The sum of answers is more than 100%: respondents could choose five answers

Захід Центр Північ Схід Донбас Південь м. Київ

45,9% 53,1% 59,0% 63,6% 55,3% 52,8% 43,4%

29,8% 32,6% 36,8% 55,0% 50,5% 53,6% 37,2%

39,6% 34,7% 46,3% 37,9% 32,1% 32,5% 43,8%

25,0% 35,7% 33,9% 56,8% 42,1% 42,3% 32,3%

34,9% 37,5% 28,8% 33,4% 37,9% 33,3% 27,4%

24,3% 32,2% 24,6% 32,1% 36,8% 35,7% 39,8%

26,0% 26,8% 22,0% 28,1% 26,3% 31,3% 14,2%

19,3% 21,0% 26,3% 27,6% 33,7% 30,4% 31,9%

11,8% 23,0% 12,4% 16,9% 26,8% 21,7% 24,8%

17,6% 20,5% 20,7% 15,4% 21,1% 13,3% 17,7%

20,5% 19,1% 15,9% 10,4% 21,1% 12,8% 14,6%

24,1% 13,7% 13,4% 5,5% 8,4% 4,9% 16,8%

9,9% 8,1% 11,0% 19,5% 24,7% 13,9% 11,5%

19,0% 13,1% 14,1% 4,5% 6,8% 5,5% 29,6%

10,1% 10,2% 13,9% 11,3% 8,9% 13,0% 14,2%

19,0% 9,1% 9,5% 5,1% 7,9% 4,1% 7,5%

2

1

3

4

5

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 17: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

When will it become clear: whether the newly elected President of Ukraine manages the country's leadership?

18

3,9%

18,4%

26,2%

35,5%

7,1%

8,9%

In a month or earlier

After first 100 days

in 6 months

In a year

Other

HARD TO ANSWER

1,8%

1,1%

2,8%

3,8%

4,4%

5,3%

2,5%

3,3%

3,4%

7,7%

4,4%

0,0%

9,5%

2,9%

17,4%

25,8%

16,6%

17,7%

14,0%

15,8%

17,7%

22,0%

23,0%

23,3%

19,0%

44,4%

26,2%

23,5%

26,8%

28,1%

28,5%

27,8%

23,9%

23,7%

29,1%

24,4%

23,0%

22,8%

22,2%

33,3%

23,8%

38,2%

41,1%

39,3%

37,9%

37,3%

37,0%

36,8%

36,0%

35,0%

34,5%

30,8%

25,3%

22,2%

21,4%

20,6%

Boiko Yurii

Liashko Oleh

Zelenskyi Volodymyr

Hrytsenko Anatolii

Did not vote

Voted for another candidate

Tymoshenko Yuliya

Smeshko Ihor

Vilkul Oleksandr

Poroshenko Petro

Refused to answer

Shevchenko Oleksandr

Koshulynskyi Ruslan

Tymoshenko Yuriy

In a month or earlier After first 100 days In 6 months In a year

Vote

d in

the

first

roun

d fo

r:

The sum of answers among respondents who voted for a particular politician is 100% (the "difficult to answer" and "other" indicators are not shown in the chart)

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 18: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

How, in your opinion, the Association Agreement and the Free Trade Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union signed in the summer of 2014 influenced the economic situation in Ukraine?

19

23,7%

25,9%

12,3%

20,0%

18,2%

Positive, ingeneral

Partially positive,partially negative

Negative, ingeneral

Did not influence

HARD TOANSWER

33,7%

23,9% 19,0%

13,7% 10,5% 11,9%

55,8%

3,8% 10,6%

6,8%

18,0% 18,9% 26,4%

9,7%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Positive Negative

23,3% 25,6% 24,1% 24,6%

21,6%

10,2% 11,1% 11,2% 12,9% 15,1%

18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years and older

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 19: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

What, in your opinion, should be the further development path of Ukraine?

20

43,1

12,3

37,8

6,8

European integration,economic and cultural

rapprochement with thecountries of the European

Union (1)

Restoration and expansion ofeconomic and cultural ties

with Russia (2)

Develop and implement aprogram of economic andcultural development of

Ukraine focused, first of all,on the use of internal

capabilities and resources (3)

HARD TO ANSWER

43,1

%

64,9

%

43,1

%

46,6

%

24,8

%

24,2

%

21,2

%

12,3

%

1,6%

8,5%

5,4%

21,9

%

31,1

%

23,5

% 37

,8%

28,0

% 39

,0%

40,2

%

46,7

%

37,4

% 49

,0%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

1 2 3

44,1

%

45,3

%

41,2

%

44,7

%

40,7

%

8,9%

10,4

%

9,2%

15,6

%

16,1

%

40,4

%

36,7

%

42,8

%

35,6

%

34,9

%

18-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60 years and older

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 20: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

If the referendum was held now, which resolved the issue of Ukraine's accession to the European Union or the restoration of pragmatic economic relations with Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and other CIS countries, how would you vote?

57

19,3

13,6

10,1

Would vote for Ukraine'saccession to the European

Union

Voted for the restoration ofpragmatic economic relations

with Russia, Bilorus, Kazakhstanand other CIS countries

Would not take part in such areferendum

HARD TO ANSWER

21

81,8%

63,5% 63,2%

37,4% 30,0% 25,2%

2,0% 10,8% 11,7%

34,1% 39,5% 44,1%

West Center North East Donbas South

EU Restoration of pragmatic economic relations with Russia,…

60,9% 58,7% 57,0% 58,9% 51,1%

14,2% 15,9% 16,7% 20,8%

26,5%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 21: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

If now there was a referendum on Ukraine's accession to NATO or the legislative consolidation of non-aligned status of Ukraine, how would you vote?

48,9%

23,2%

16%

11,8%

Would vote for Ukraine'saccession to NATO

Would vote for thelegislative consolidation of

Ukraine's non-alignedstatus

Would not take part insuch a referendum

HARD TO ANSWER

22

75,7%

52,7% 51,2%

31,6%

21,1% 22,6%

62,8%

4,0%

18,0% 19,3%

39,6% 40,5% 41,4%

16,4%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

NATO Non-aligned status

49,3% 53,5%

50,6% 48,6% 44,5%

17,4% 21,6% 22,9% 25,7% 27,6%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 22: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

23

Attitude to politicians

May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects

Page 23: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Tell us how you feel about the leaders of other countries?

24

0,8%

0,4%

1,6%

1,5%

4,0%

4,7%

8,5%

6,9%

30,5%

16,6%

45,9%

36,7%

11,7%

65,6%

21,3%

13,5%

53,0%

12,6%

22,6%

41,3%

President of Bilorus Oleksandr Lukashenko

President of RF Volodymyr Putin

President of the USA Donald Trump

Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 42,2 56,8 54,6 63,1 54,2 66,7 26,1 Negative 14,5 6,6 7,1 6,1 10,5 4,3 50,4 Neutral 38,5 32, 35,1 24,7 32,6 22,9 19,5 Hard to answer 3,3 2,5% 3,2 6, 2,1 6,1 4, I do not know who this is 1,6 2 0 0,2 5 0 0

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 2,3 4,6 6,6 23,8 30,0 28,4 5,3 Negative 87,2 76,1 77,8 47,4% 32,6 29,9 83,6 Neutral 8,1 14,5 12,2 22, 30,5 29,6 8,4 Hard to answer 2,1 3,5 3,4 6,0 6,8 11,6 2,7 I do not know who this is 0,3 1,4 0 0,2 0 0,6 0

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 28,4 26,6 21, 20, 17,4 15,1 21,2 Negative 16,1 17,4 14,1 22, 26,8 27,5 43,8 Neutral 47, 47,3 51,7 46,4 47,4 44,6 27,9 Hard to answer 7,1 5,6 10,7 10,4 6,8 12,2 6,6 I do not know who this is 1,4 3,1 2,4 1,2 1,6 0,6 0,4

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Positive 55 48,3 40,5 34,4 25,3 28,7 35,8 Negative 5 7,7 8, 16,6 20,5 19,4 40,7 Neutral 33,5 36,1 41,7 38,7 46,8 40, 19, Hard to answer 4,7 5, 8,5 8,8 6,3 11, 4,4 I do not know who this is 1,8 2,9 1,2 1,5 1,1 0,6 0

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 24: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Tell us how you feel about these politicians...?

26

1,5%

6,4%

7,5%

26,2%

5,8%

1,6%

0,8%

10,6%

10,6%

2,5%

0,8%

4,1%

9,3%

3,2%

20,0%

33,2%

37,4%

27,8%

22,1%

25,7%

25,7%

37,0%

24,8%

31,5%

17,9%

31,9%

26,8%

38,1%

64,6%

33,5%

31,0%

28,6%

25,9%

23,2%

22,2%

21,5%

20,3%

20,2%

17,4%

17,1%

15,4%

14,7%

13,9%

26,9%

24,1%

17,4%

46,3%

49,5%

51,3%

31,0%

44,3%

45,9%

64,0%

46,8%

48,5%

43,9%

Zelenskyi Volodymyr

Hrytsenko Anatolii

Vakarchuk Sviatoslav

Smeshko Ihor

Boiko Yurii

Liashko Oleh

Tymoshenko Yuliya

Sadovyi Andrii

Vilkul Oleksandr

Groisman Volodymyr

Poroshenko Petro

Savchenko Nadiia

Rabinovych Vadym

Klychko Vitalii

I do not know him/her

Neutral

Positive

Negative

1

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 25: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Tell us how you feel about these politicians...?

27

12,9%

25,4%

7,2%

16,9%

9,7%

7,5%

8,5%

15,5%

3,0%

45,4%

33,8%

36,8%

31,3%

46,0%

25,8%

23,0%

23,3%

28,9%

38,3%

29,9%

34,5%

33,8%

25,0%

26,7%

22,6%

22,0%

22,3%

24,8%

26,0%

21,1%

13,0%

12,9%

11,1%

11,0%

10,5%

10,3%

8,9%

8,8%

8,5%

6,5%

6,4%

6,0%

5,2%

4,7% 2,6%

51,1%

38,4%

52,8%

33,8%

49,9%

47,7%

48,8%

50,7%

61,9%

25,5%

37,8%

34,8%

38,7%

23,3%

50,5%

Medvedchuk Viktor

Muraiev Yevhen

Parubii Andrii

Taruta Serhii

Shufrich Nestor

Kolomoiskii Igor

Avakov Arsen

Korolevska Nataliia

Yatsenuik Arsenii

Biletskyi Andrii

Novinskii Vadym

Kyva Illia

Kolesnikov Boris

Skotsyk Vitalii

Liovochkin Serhii

I do not know him/her

Neutral

Positive

Negative

2

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 26: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Look at the list and name FIVE politicians that you would like to see in the next Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine?

28

The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer

29,3% 26,7%

23,6% 22,4%

21,1% 19,3%

17,6% 17,5%

16,5% 16,4%

12,8% 11,6%

9,6% 9,0%

8,7% 8,1%

7,9% 7,4%

6,4% 6,3%

5,9% 4,6% 4,5%

3,8% 2,4% 2,3% 2,2%

1,7% 16,1%

Hrytsenko AnatoliiBoiko Yurii

Smeshko IhorVakarchuk Sviatoslav

Tymoshenko YuliyaLiashko Oleh

Sadovyi AndriiGroisman Volodymyr

Poroshenko PetroVilkul Oleksandr

Savchenko NadiiaMuraiev Yevhen

Rabinovych VadymMedvedchuk Viktor

Taruta SerhiiGerashchenko Iryna

Parubii AndriiKlychko Vitalii

Yatsenuik ArseniiKolomoiskii Igor

Avakov ArsenShufrich Nestor

Korolevska NataliiaBiletskyi Andrii

Kolesnikov BorisKyva Illia

Novinskii VadymLiovochkin Serhii

Other

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 27: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Look at the list and name FIVE politicians who actively opposed the policy of P. Poroshenko?

29

The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer

40,2% 40,0%

30,4% 24,1%

18,3% 17,6% 17,4%

16,0% 15,5%

11,0% 10,7%

6,7% 6,5% 6,5%

6,0% 5,5%

4,2% 4,0% 4,0%

3,3% 3,0% 2,9% 2,8%

20,1%

Tymoshenko Yuliya

Boiko Yurii

Liashko Oleh

Vilkul Oleksandr

Kolomoiskii Igor

Rabinovych Vadym

Savchenko Nadiia

Hrytsenko Anatolii

Medvedchuk Viktor

Muraiev Yevhen

Shufrich Nestor

Novinskii Vadym

Kyva Illia

Smeshko Ihor

Korolevska Nataliia

Taruta Serhii

Sadovyi Andrii

Avakov Arsen

Kolesnikov Borys

Biletskyi Andrii

Liovochkin Serhii

Vakarchuk Sviatoslav

Yatsenuik Arsenii

Other

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 28: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Look at the list and name FIVE politicians whose public actions (statements, interviews, speeches, publications) during the last month you remember?

30

The answer does not equal to 100, since the respondent was able to give more than one answer

33,6% 31,2%

25,8% 21,8%

16,3% 12,0%

11,4% 10,6%

10,3% 10,1%

8,2% 7,9%

6,9% 6,6% 6,5%

5,5% 4,5%

4,3% 4,0% 3,9%

3,5% 3,2%

2,8% 2,7%

2,3% 2,2%

1,4% 0,8%

20,4%

Tymoshenko YuliyaPoroshenko Petro

Liashko OlehBoiko Yurii

Hrytsenko AnatoliiGroisman Volodymyr

Rabinovych VadymVilkul Oleksandr

Savchenko NadiiaMedvedchuk Viktor

Smeshko IhorKolomoiskii Igor

Sadovyi AndriiMuraiev YevhenShufrich Nestor

Vakarchuk SviatoslavAvakov Arsen

Gerashchenko IrynaTaruta Serhii

Parubii AndriiKorolevska Natalia

Kyva IlliiaYatsenuik Arsenii

Klychko VitaliiNovinskii Vadym

Biletskyi AndriiLiovochkin SerhiiKolesnikov Borys

Other

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 29: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

After the presidential election, it is possible to approve the new Prime Minister of Ukraine. Various options are being discussed now on who can become the Prime Minister of Ukraine. Among the persons on the list, who would you like to see as the Prime Minister of Ukraine?

31

10,2%

10,0%

9,7%

8,8%

7,1%

4,4%

3,9%

3,7%

2,6%

2,3%

2,1%

0,5%

0,4%

11,0%

23,3%

Tymoshenko Yuliya

Smeshko Ihor

Boiko Yurii

Groisman Volodymyr

Hrytsenko Anatolii

Liashko Oleh

Poroshenko Petro

Sadovyi Andrii

Medvedchuk Viktor

Kolomoiskii Igor

Yatsenuik Arsenii

Klychko Vitalii

Avakov Arsen

Other

I DO NOT KNOW/HARD TO ANSWER

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 30: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

32

Perception of possible models of conflict resolution in the East

May - 2019 Ukraine today: challenges and prospects

Page 31: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

How do you generally fell about the Russian Federation?

Very positive

9,2%

Rather, positive 31,4%

Rather negative

31,4%

Very negative

28,0%

33

13,6%

31,7% 37,1%

59,6% 66,8%

73,6%

24,3%

86,4%

68,1% 62,2%

39,7% 33,2%

24,1%

75,7%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Positive Negative

34,4% 38,6% 41,6% 40,9%

45,1%

65,1% 61,2%

57,8% 58,0% 54,5%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

40,3%

59,2%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 32: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Is it necessary to question the status of uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts for an all-Ukrainian referendum?

Yes 49,2% No

29,8%

HARD TO ANSWER

21,1%

34

36,6%

52,3% 45,9%

55,1% 55,8% 52,8% 60,2%

41,5%

27,4%

35,6%

22,2% 18,4%

24,3% 26,1%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Yes No

52,0% 51,7% 49,2% 44,5%

48,2%

27,1% 30,6% 31,1% 33,4%

27,8%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 33: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Should Ukraine make compromises for the restoration of peace and the return of territories?

YES, rather YES

65,3%

NO, rather NO

21,3%

HARD TO ANSWER

13,5%

35

50,1%

63,1% 63,9%

75,7% 73,7% 80,3%

61,9%

34,1% 24,3% 22,4%

13,1% 13,2% 6,4%

23,5%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Yes No

65,1% 65,7% 61,6% 64,7% 67,8%

19,7% 21,5% 26,1% 23,5%

17,7%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

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Should the President of Ukraine have a direct dialogue with the Russian Federation in order to establish peace in the East?

Definitely, YES 50,8%

Rather, YES 24,2%

Rathe, NO 7,7%

Definitely, NO 8,4%

HARD TO ANSWER

9,0%

36

62,1%

74,5% 72,9% 84,1%

77,4% 87,2%

74,3%

25,4% 18,1% 17,8%

9,6% 14,2%

4,3%

15,9%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Yes No

73,8% 73,7% 76,5% 75,0% 75,7%

13,9% 17,1% 16,1% 17,6% 16,0%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

74,9%

16,1%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 35: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Should the President of Ukraine have a direct dialogue with the leaders of the so-called "LDPR" in order to establish peace in the East of the country?

Definitely, YES 36,2%

Rather, YES 19,2%

Rather, NO 12,4%

Definitely, NO 20,3%

HARD TO ANSWER

11,9%

37

37,9%

53,7% 46,1%

69,5% 68,4% 77,1%

48,2% 45,5% 35,7%

42,7%

21,7% 18,4% 12,5%

40,7%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Yes No

55,3% 54,2% 55,2% 54,2% 57,2%

31,2% 34,9% 34,5% 33,4% 30,7%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

55,4% 32,7%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 36: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

What kind of solution do you support for the uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts?

38

39,9%

18,5%

17,3%

24,3%

Providing these territories with a special status that implies autonomy withinUkraine (1)

Official recognition that these territories in the coming years can not bereturned to Ukraine and their isolation (2)

Continuation of military development aimed at restoring Ukraine's full controlover these territories by military means (3)

HARD TO ANSWER

20,5

% 34

,0%

30,7

%

53,1

%

57,4

%

58,0

%

52,7

%

18,5

%

21,8

%

22,4

%

16,6

%

12,6

%

13,6

%

21,2

%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

1 2 3

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 37: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Would you support the decision to grant autonomy in Ukraine to uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions to stop fighting and have peaceful resolution of the conflict in Donbas?

39

Surely would support it

24,5%

Rather would

support 24,4%

Rather would not support it

12,8%

Surely would not support

it 20,7%

HARD TO ANSWER

17,6%

48,9% 33,5%

30,7%

43,1% 37,8%

61,9% 67,4%

73,3%

51,3% 49,1%

36,3%

45,9%

23,0% 20,0% 12,2%

27,9%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Would support Would NOT support

49,4% 48,1% 48,2% 47,8% 50,2%

32,8% 32,5% 34,9% 36,4% 31,9%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

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41

The language issue

May - 2019

Page 39: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

23,9%

22,0%

35,8%

12,1%

6,2%

The same amount of time asfor the study of the

Ukrainian language (1)

Less than for the study ofthe Ukrainian language, but

more than for foreignlanguages (English, German,

etc.) (2)

The same or less than for thestudy of foreign languages(English, German, etc.) (3)

Should not be studied at all(4)

HARD TO ANSWER (5)

42

In your opinion, to study the Russian language in Ukrainian schools should be given ...

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

1 6,5% 14,9% 10,0% 36,6% 56,3% 47,2% 27,4% 2 9,1% 26,1% 23,2% 32,8% 16,3% 29,6% 15,0% 3 48,6% 44,6% 51,2% 20,0% 18,9% 15,7% 34,5% 4 30,3% 10,4% 11,0% 2,5% 2,6% 1,2% 11,9% 5 5,5% 4,1% 4,6% 8,1% 5,8% 6,4% 11,1%

18-29 years

30-39 years

40-49 years

50-59 years

60 years and older

1 21,0% 23,2% 23,5% 24,0% 27,0% 2 20,2% 20,2% 19,3% 24,6% 24,7% 3 38,4% 39,8% 39,8% 34,9% 28,6% 4 14,7% 11,6% 11,6% 11,4% 11,2% 5 5,7% 5,2% 5,8% 5,1% 8,5%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 40: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

43

What language would you like to ...

watch TV programs: news, movies, concerts, sports broadcasts, etc.

Watch movies of Russian production

Read printed editions

Only in Ukrainian 19,7% 12,2% 19,7% Mostly in Ukrainian 13,3% 9,6% 11,1% Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often 30,8% 22,9% 24,9% Mostly in Russian 8,0% 12,8% 8,2% Only in Russian 5,7% 21,0% 9,1% Does not matter, both languages are comfortable 20,3% 18,0% 22,7% Other language 0,2% 0,2% 0,2% DO NOT WATCH / DO NOT READ 0,7% 2,1% 2,8% HARD TO ANSWER 1,2% 1,3% 1,2%

33% 21,8% 30,8%

33,8% 17,3% 13,7%

Only in Ukrainian

Mostly in Ukrainian

Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often

НЕ ДИВЛЮСЯ

DO NOT WATCH

HARD TO ANSWER

Mostly in Russian Only in Russian

Does not matter, both languages are comfortable

Only in Ukrainian

Mostly in Ukrainian

Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often

Mostly in Russian

Лише російською

Does not matter, both languages are comfortable

Both Russian and Ukrainian equally often

Only in Ukrainian

Mostly in Ukrainian

НЕ ЧИТАЮ

Does not matter, both languages are comfortable

Mostly in Russian Only in Russian

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 41: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

39,4%

22,9%

5,2%

23,8%

8,7%

I fully support this decision (1)

I support quota fixing in Ukrainianlanguage programs, but I believe thatthis percentage should be lower (e.g.,

50) (2)

I support quota fixing in Ukrainianlanguage programs, but I believe thatthis percentage should be higher (e.g.

90) (3)

I do not support the establishment ofsuch quotas, TV channels themselvesshould decide in which language to

broadcast programs (4)

HARD TO ANSWER (5)

44

What is your attitude to the law that 75% of the airtime of Ukrainian national channels should broadcast programs in Ukrainian?

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

1 67,6% 47,5% 46,8% 19,4% 12,6% 16,2% 31,0%

2 11,9% 20,8% 18,0% 34,4% 25,3% 32,2% 23,5%

3 8,4% 4,2% 2,9% 2,2% 3,7% ,9% 18,1%

4 5,5% 17,6% 20,5% 36,9% 43,2% 45,2% 16,4%

5 6,5% 9,8% 11,7% 7,1% 15,3% 5,5% 11,1%

18-29 years

30-39 years

40-49 years

50-59 years

60 years and older

1 40,2% 40,7% 41,0% 42,0% 35,0%

2 22,0% 22,1% 24,9% 23,3% 22,6%

3 5,5% 6,1% 3,8% 5,6% 5,1%

4 22,5% 23,2% 21,9% 22,9% 27,0%

5 9,9% 8,0% 8,4% 6,2% 10,3%

67,5%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 42: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

How do you feel about the rule of law that requires a radio station to broadcast 30% of songs in Ukrainian, 60% in the languages of the European Union countries, and 10% in other languages (e.g. Russian)?

Generally, I support 51,2%

GENerally, I do not

support 31,3%

HARD TO ANSWER

17,5%

45

69,0%

58,9% 59,0%

37,6%

27,9% 29,9%

52,7%

11,9%

22,0% 14,9%

47,4% 55,3%

64,1%

29,6%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Support DO NOT support

53,8% 54,2% 50,8%

54,2%

45,1%

28,9% 30,4% 31,1% 31,1% 34,1%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

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46

Mass Media

Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May 2019

Page 44: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Do you agree with the fact that there is an onset on the freedom of speech in Ukraine?

47

Do you agree with the fact that Ukraine has too many Pro-Kremlin propaganda media, and the state and society react weakly to this matter?

Agree 46,9%

DO NOT agree 39,3%

Hard to answer 13,7%

Agree 48%

18%

4,4%

Hard to answer 16,2%

DO NOT agree 35,8%

16,2%

2,3%

5,2% 4%

25,6%

18%

4,4%

16,2%

17,4%

2,3% 7%

5,2%

4%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 45: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

48

Do you agree with the fact that there is an onset on the freedom of speech in Ukraine?

Do you agree with the fact that Ukraine has too many Pro-Kremlin propaganda media, and the state and society react weakly to this matter?

46,9% 39,8% 37,3% 36,1%

54,5% 55,8% 60,3% 62,8%

39,3% 45,5% 48,8% 49,8%

30,0% 25,8%

30,1% 30,1%

Ukraine West Center North East Donbas South KyivAgree Do not agree

48,0%

68,9%

52,5% 48,5%

33,9% 28,9% 22,9%

63,3%

35,8%

19,2% 30,3% 32,7%

46,4% 53,2%

60,6%

25,7%

Ukraine West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Agree Do not agree

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 46: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

Necessary step for state protection

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights

HARD TO ANSWER

Necessary step for state protection

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights

HARD TO ANSWER

49

40,0% 51,5% 8,5%

35,2% 57,5% 7,3%

34,2% 54,3% 11,4%

Necessary step for state protection

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights

HARD TO ANSWER

The prohibition of Russian TV channels in Ukraine is ...

The prohibition of individual artists and Russian films in Ukraine is ...

The prohibition of Russian social networks in Ukraine is ...

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv Necessary step for state protection 64,2% 40,5% 43,7% 23,8% 20,0% 14,5% 55,3%

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 26,1% 51,2% 44,1% 69,0% 72,1% 79,1% 38,5%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Necessary step for state protection 58,9% 37,8% 39,8% 21,7% 15,8% 11,3% 35,4%

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 31,0% 55,0% 50,7% 72,4% 81,1% 84,1% 58,4%

West Center North East Donbas South Kyiv

Necessary step for state protection 61,2% 39,2% 31,0% 20,4% 14,2% 11,0% 34,1%

Mistake and leads only to limitation of people’s rights 24,7% 49,8% 54,6% 69,5% 76,8% 79,1% 58,8%

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

Page 47: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

50

What is your attitude to the following Ukrainian TV channels?

-6

-3,1

-3,8

-7

-6,6

-3,9

-5,4

-3,1

-3

-4,6

-4,8

-8,4

-4,4

-5,8

-3,6

-3,7

-16,4

-9,9

-12,5

-16,5

-15,6

-10,8

-13,8

-9,8

-7,9

-10,9

-11,9

-15,4

-9,3

-10,2

-9,2

-8,5

17,9

28,8

27,5

21,6

26

37,3

39,5

46,8

54

52,7

56,3

49,7

62,6

60,6

64,1

68,5

1 + 1

STB

ICTV

Ukraina

Inter

Novyi

112

TET

Local Tvchannels

UA: Pershyi

24-yi

5-yi

Newsone

Pryamyi

ZIK

Espresso

Completely DO NOT trust Rather DO NOT trust Do not watch

41,1

40,9

40,6

37,8

36,1

34,4

29,6

28,1

24,7

23,4

19,9

19,2

16,9

16,7

16,6

14

18,6

17,3

15,6

17,1

15,6

13,6

11,7

12,2

10,4

8,4

7,1

7,2

6,8

6,8

6,5

5,3

Rather, trust Completely, trust

From which TV channels do you get socio-political information (news social-political talk shows, comments of experts)?

63,8

62

45,8

35,5

33,7

28,5

21,3

16,1

15,6

14,7

13,6

13,2

11,7

10,9

9

7,4

1 + 1

Ukraina

ICTV

Inter

112

STB

Novyi

5-yi

Newsone

24-yi

UA: Pershyi

ZIK

Pryamyi

Local TV channels

Espresso

ТЕТ

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019

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51

Attitude to the 9th of May

Ukraine today: challenges and prospects May - 2019

Page 49: Ukraine today: challenges and prospects · 2019-05-25 · 2 . Electoral behavior of various population groups and projections of parliamentary elections . Ukraine today : challenges

increased compared to the previous years

decreased compared to the previous years

HARD TO ANSWER

52

83,0% 14,2% 2,8%

Importance of this holiday for me…

What is your attitude to the holiday of May 9th - The Day of Victory over Nazism in the Second World War?

It is a great holiday It is a regular day off HARD TO ANSWER

56,8% 28,2% 15,1%

16,7% 69,5% 13,8%

is a correct move it s a wrong move HARD TO

ANSWER Transfer of the holiday to the May, 8th…

47,0% 40,9% 12,1%

Celebration May 8th as a Day of Remembrance and Reconciliation and May 9th as the Day of Victory over

Nazism in the Second World War is correct.

Selection of May 8th on a separate day of honor is wrong, Ukraine should celebrate

only May 9th as Victory Day HARD TO ANSWER

Sample size: 3000 respondents; standard deviation +/- 1,8% Field stage: 30/04-10/05/2019