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    TURKEY KRIZ (A)

    Aguipo, James

    Jarabelo, Kristelle

    06 September 2013

    A Mini-Case

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    INTRODUCTION

    Turkey(officially The Republic of Turkey) is a

    transcontinental country located in both

    Europe and Asia Capital City: Ankara

    Currency: Lira

    Currently, Turkey hasthe worlds 15th largestGDP PPP and the 17thlargest nominal GDP

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    In February 2001, Turkeys rapidly

    escalating economic kriz forced thedevaluationof the Turkish Lira.

    Just as the economy was beginning to

    boom, pressures on the countries

    balance of payments and

    currency rose.

    This resulted in the economic

    crisis of 2001

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    PROBLEMSHow did the problems on Turkeys Balance of

    Payments and currency affect the devaluation

    of the Turkish Lira?

    1. How did the imported telecommunication equipment

    affect the countrys current accounts?

    2. Why did the net direct investment declined from $573

    million in 1998 to $112 million in 2000?3. Why did TelSim defaulted on its payments for equipment

    imports from Nokia and Motorola?

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    AREAS OF CONSIDERATION

    Significant volatility in thebalance of the key

    international accounts

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    Turkeys Balance of PaymentsExhibi t 1

    Turkeys current accoun thad been relatively volatile (generally in deficit), but had

    taken a severe dive in 2000. The capital / financial accoun tbalance was in surplus

    nearly throughout the period reflecting the massive international borrowing by Turkey.

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    AREAS OF CONSIDERATION

    The current account behaved

    in a relatively inverse mannerto the financial account,

    running deficits in most of theyears shown.

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    Turkish Current AccountExh ibit 2 (In $M)

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    Turkish Financial Account

    Exhibi t 3

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    AREAS OF CONSIDERATION

    TelSims Default in

    Payments to Suppliers suchas Motorola and Nokia

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    ANALYSISHow did the imported telecommunication equipment

    affect the countrys current accounts?

    Imports of capital equipment accounted for

    most of the increase in net other investment

    and thus the large negative balance in theFinancial Account in the year 2000.

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    Why did the net direct investment declined from$573 million in 1998 to $112 million in 2000?

    TelSims purchase of infrastructure andequipment amounted to a trade credit in which

    they took on debt to finance the project. This

    investment is not reflected as a net directinvestment but a loan which is accounted for inthe BOP.

    ANALYSIS

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    Why did TelSim defaulted on its payments for

    equipment imports from Nokia and Motorola?

    The considerable time gap between the time a

    network is created and its capacity is utilized by

    revenue-paying customers was not realized.

    ANALYSIS

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    The balance of payments is a statistical statement

    that systematically records all economic

    transactions between a country and another.

    CONCLUSION

    When investigating potentialinvestments abroad, it isimportant to examine both

    the companys financialstanding as well as thecountrys current economicsituation.

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    Thank you!Aguipo and Jarabelo

    Balance of Payments

    A Mini Case Study