Tuberculosis: Forgotten, But Not Gone

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    Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey

    Forgotten But Not Gone

    J2J Lung Health Media Training

    Lee B. Reichman, M.D., M.P.H.

    Paris, FranceOctober 30, 2013

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    TB Historical Permutation

    17th - 18th centuries TB took 1 in 5 adult lives

    1850 - 1950 one billion people died of TB

    This decade 2010-2020 300 million new infections

    90 million new cases

    30 million deaths

    More people died from TB last year than any year in history

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    Estimated numberof cases Estimated numberof deaths

    1.4 million*

    (1.31.6 million)

    8.7 million

    (8.39.0 million)

    630,000

    (460,000-790,000)out of ~12 million prevalent

    TB cases

    All forms of TB

    Multidrug-

    resistant TB

    HIV-associated TB1.1 million (13%)

    (1.01.2 million)430,000

    (400,000460,000)

    Source: WHO Global Tuberculosis Report 2012 * Including deaths attributed to HIV/TB** Excluding deaths attributed to TB/HIV

    The Global Burdenof TB-2011

    Unknown, but

    probably >150,000

    Childhood TB490,000

    (470,000510,000)

    ~ 5.6% of the total

    burden

    64,000**(58,000 71,000)

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    Forgotten But Not GoneIncidence Rates, 2011

    Highest rates in Africa, linked to high rates of HIVinfection

    Per 100 000

    population

    30015029950149

    024

    2549

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    Global TB Control: Background

    1991 World Health Assembly recognized the

    growing importance of TB as a public health

    problem

    A new framework for TB control wasdeveloped

    A global strategy called DOTS was introduced

    (originally stood for Directly ObservedTreatment, Short Course)

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    International TB Control Strategy

    DOTS: 1991-2005 Political commitment

    Case detection using sputum microscopy among persons seeking care for

    prolonged cough

    Standardized short-course chemotherapy under proper case-management conditions including DOT

    Regular drug supply

    Standardized recording and reporting system that allows assessment of

    individual patients as well as overall program performance

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    International TB Control Strategy

    Stop TB Strategy: 2006 - current1. Pursue high-quality DOTS expansion and

    enhancement

    2. Address TB/HIV, MDR-TB and other challenges

    3. Contribute to health system strengthening

    4. Engage all care providers

    5. Empower people with TB, and communities

    6. Enable and promote research

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    Emergence of worst-case TB scenarios

    Co-infection between TB and HIV

    Multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) Resistance to isoniazid and rifampin the 2 most powerful anti-TB

    drugs Extensively-drug resistant TB (XDR-TB)

    MDR-TB plus resistance to any fluoroquinolone and at least 1

    second-line injectable (AMI, KAN, CAP)

    Totally Drug Resistant TB (TDR-TB) Resistant to all anti-TB drugs

    ?

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    The Global Burden of TB/HIV

    1/3 of 33 million people living with HIV/AIDSco-infected with TB(>10 million people)

    Without treatment, 90% will die

    HIV and TB form a lethal combination, each speeding theother's progress

    TB is the leading cause of death among HIV-positivepeople (up to 50% of all patients worldwide)

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    Co-Existence of HIV & TB infection

    Risk of Active TB

    10% per year10% per lifetime

    .0017% per year

    TB Infection

    HIV Infection

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    Estimated HIV Prevalence in New TB Cases, 2010

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    WHO TB/HIV Policy: 12 Point Policy Package

    Mechanism for integrated

    TB and HIV services

    Activities to reduce TB

    burden in PLHIV

    Activities to reduce HIV

    burden in TB patients

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    MDRTB/XDRTB - The Big Problem!

    630,000 new MDR-TB cases estimated

    annually with 150,000 deaths

    XDR-TB in 84 countries

    19% of estimated MDR-TB cases

    detected 44-58% (overall 48%) successfully

    completed treatment

    About 85% of the global

    MDR-TB burden found in 27 countries

    Sources: Global TB Report, 2012

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    Use of One Drug Knowingly or Unknowingly

    Sensitive bacilli killed

    Resistant bacilli multiply unimpeded

    Resistant bacilli become dominant

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    Pathogenesis of Drug Resistance

    Z

    R

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    INH

    RIF

    PZA

    EMB

    INHE

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    Pathogenesis of Drug Resistance

    I

    I

    I IR

    IR

    IR

    INH

    RIF

    I

    I

    I

    I

    IPIP

    IRP

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    I

    IR

    Never add a single drug to a failing regimen

    IRIR

    IRIR

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    Why 4 drugs, why DOT ?

    Large

    population

    of highly

    activegrowing

    bacilli

    Random Mutations

    Frequency of mutations that

    confer drug resistance

    INH 1 in 1,000,000 or 10-6

    SM 1 in 1,000,000 10-6

    RIF 1 in 100,000,000 10-

    8

    EMB 1 in 100,000 10-

    5 David HL. Probability distribution of drug-resistant mutants in unselected populations of

    Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Appl Microbio

    l970;20:810-14.

    The likelihood of an organism

    spontaneously resistant to 2 antibiotics

    is the product of their probabilities i.e.,

    for Isoniazid & Rifampin 1 in 10-14 , for 3drugs IRE 1 in 10-20) Schema Courtesy B. Mangura, 2013

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    Estimated Absolute Number of MDR-TB Cases, 2009

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    Countries that had reported at least one

    XDR-TB case by end 2010

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    Unsexy Tuberculosis Concern and attention re: XDR-TB is appropriate, but skips the

    more important message XDR-TB, MDR-TB, and drug-sensitive tuberculosis are all the

    same disease

    The only difference is that MDR-TB is drug-sensitive tuberculosismodified by inappropriate treatment or drug taking, and XDR-TB

    is MDR-TB thus modified We need to recognize that there are 8,700,000 new active drug-

    sensitive cases of tuberculosis globally that could be feedingdrug resistance

    It might be a less sexy concept, but they all must be

    appropriately treated with current strategies (as well as newdiagnostics, drugs, vaccines, and proper infection controlmeasures) to avoid preventable MDR-TB and XDR-TB, which arealways lurking

    Preventing active, drug-sensitive tuberculosis, or treating itproperly, should be everybodys priority; it is the only way to

    prevent MDR-TB and XDR-TB Reichman, LB The Lancet, 2009

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    Inadequacies in Physician Practices

    Major Recurring Practice

    Delays in diagnosis and errors in treatment

    Resulting In

    Increased risk and likelihood of disease transmission

    More advanced and complicated disease

    Lengthened hospital stays

    Increased medical costs

    Development of MDR-TB and XDR-TB

    Development of TDR-TB?

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    World TB Day 2006 - Dr Lee launches the International Standards

    for TB Care & the Patients' Charter for TB Care

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    International Standards for TB Care

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    ISTC: Key Partners in Implementation

    National (and local) tuberculosis control

    programs

    Influential professional societies

    Professional (medical and nursing) schools NGOs

    Patient and community organizations

    Technical agencies Funding agencies

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    International Standard for TB Care: Diagnosis

    All persons with otherwise unexplained cough lasting for 2-3 weeks or more

    should be evaluated for tuberculosis

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    International Standard for TB Care: DiagnosisMicrobiological evaluation (smear culture) is essential for all patients (including

    children, extra-pulmonary, and persons with radiographic abnormalities)

    F B N G

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    International Standard for TB Care: Treatment

    The provider is responsible for prescribing an adequate regimen andensuring adherence

    F tt B t N t G

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    International Standard for TB Care: TreatmentA patient-centered, individualized approach to treatment should be developed

    for all patients.A central element is direct observation by a treatment supporter.

    F tt B t N t G

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    Where Are The Missing Cases?

    They are not detected due to poor laboratory capacity

    F tt B t N t G

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    Where Are The Missing Cases?

    At home, if services are not accessible

    F tt B t N t G

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    In other un-connected public systems (prisons)

    Where Are The Missing Cases?

    Forgotten B t Not Gone

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    Forgotten But Not Gone

    In the private sector

    Where Are The Missing Cases?

    Forgotten But Not Gone

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    Patient Involvement in Medical Care

    Patients and their families have become increasingly involvedandinfluentialin all aspects of medical care

    In the mid-eighties, as the first anti-viral drugs for treating AIDS were being

    developed, activists demanded to participate in the design of clinical trials

    directed by the National Institutes of Health and pharmaceutical companies

    Laypeople now routinely sit on committees on the N.I.H. and on hospitals

    institutional review boards, which assess the ethicality and scientific merit ofclinical trials

    Forgotten But Not Gone

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    The Patients Charter for Tuberculosis Care

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    The Patients Charter for Tuberculosis Care

    Companion document to International Standards

    Initiated and developed by patients from around the world

    Outlines rights and responsibilities of people with

    tuberculosis Affirms that empowerment is catalyst for effective

    collaboration of the patient with health providers and

    authorities

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    Patients Rights

    You have the right to:

    Care;

    Dignity;

    Information;

    Choice;

    Confidence;

    Justice;

    Organization;

    Security

    Source: Patients Charter for TB Care, 2006

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    Patients Responsibilities

    You have the responsibility to:

    Share information;

    Follow treatment;

    Contribute to Community Health;

    Show Solidarity

    Source: Patients Charter for TB Care, 2006

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    No.ofCases

    Year

    Reported TB Cases in the United States, 1982-2012*

    *Updated as of March 22, 2013 with provisional 2012 data

    Impact of HIV Epidemic, Poverty, Homelessness

    Failure of Public Health Infrastructure

    Historically low

    9,951 Cases

    Rate 3.2/100,000

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    US Response to 1990s MDR Epidemic

    Turning the Tide

    Strong public health advocacy to obtain increased funding

    from Congress

    Rebuilt the weakened infrastructure for TB services and

    research

    Implemented routine drug susceptibility testing with liquid

    media

    Implemented and monitored infection control precautions in

    healthcare and congregate settings

    Strengthened public-private partnerships

    Supported centers of excellence

    National Institute of Healths 5-10 year investment in TB

    academic awardees

    Forgotten But Not Gone

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    2012 U.S. TB

    9,951 TB cases 3.2 cases per 100,000 population

    Decline of 6.1% from 2011 case rate

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    TB at a Crossroad of Global TB Control

    US domestic decline of TB since prior to development of drugs

    US resurgence of TB during the 1980s and 1990s, largely due to

    neglect

    Massive and effective response

    TB on the radar screen domestically

    TB on the radar screen internationally

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    BUT TB Remains a Global Killer

    Why does TB still infect one-third of the worldspopulation and remain a global health threat

    despite the fact that highly cost-effective drugs

    are available to eradicate it?

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    Challenges in TB Control

    Insufficient financial and human resources

    Inadequate healthcare infrastructure

    Weak laboratory capacity and lack of new rapid

    diagnostic tools

    Lack of new drugs that would cure TB in a shorter

    time

    Lack of effective vaccine that would prevent TB

    Poor use of infection control in healthcare settings HIV and MDR/XDR threats

    Minimal social mobilization for TB control and minimal

    population awareness stigma

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    Why Do We Need New Drugs To Treat TB?

    Shorter overall treatment duration

    Lower relapse rates

    Development of regimens with fewer adverse

    effects, particularly less hepatotoxicity Development of regimens that can be given easily

    and safely in combination with antiretroviral

    therapy Development of regimens that are effective in

    treating MDR-TB/XDR-TB

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    Second Line Drugs in People with MDRTB

    Prospective Study in eight countries

    1,278 patients 43.7% resistance to one SLD

    20.0% resistance to one SL Injectable

    12.9% resistance to one Fluroquinolone 6.7% XDRTB

    Previous treatment with SLD strong consistant risk factor

    Tracy Dalton et al (CDC) - Lancet, 2012

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    g

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    g

    Drugs In The Clinical Pipeline For The Worlds

    Leading Causes Of Mortality

    Drugs in clinical development:

    - Heart Disease and stroke: 299

    - COPD: 54

    - Antibacterials and antivirals: 89

    - Cancer: > 900 (includes vaccines)- Lung Cancer: 121

    - HIV/AIDS: 70

    - Diabetes: 221

    - Anti-tuberculosis: 5-8

    - Anti-malarials: 6

    Leading causes of global mortality:

    1. Ischemic heart disease

    2. Stroke

    3. COPD

    4. Lower respiratory infection

    5. Lung cancer

    6. HIV/AIDS

    7. Diarrhea

    8. Road traffic accidents

    9. Diabetes

    10.Tuberculosis

    11. Malaria

    Sources: The Global Burden of Disease Report, 2012The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America

    (www.pharma.org)

    Courtesy, Neil Schluger, MD

    2013

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    Courtesy, David Alland, 2012

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    As we cure increasing numbers, the remaining

    cases are those most difficult to treat, with

    impossible social problems, and/or severe,

    virtually untreatable but still transmissible, drugresistance

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    THE FEW REMAINING CASES

    With DOTS and case management along with funding,interest and involvement in developing new tools and

    strategies for combating TB we have taken care of the easy

    ones and

    Expertise decreases Funding decreases

    Innovative Initiatives are de-emphasized or even forgotten

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    g

    Tuberculosis Control and Elimination

    2010-50: Cure, Care, and Social Development

    Several key challenges persist: Many vulnerable people do not have access to affordable services

    of sufficient quality

    Technologies for diagnosis, treatment, and prevention are old and

    inadequate Multi-drug resistant tuberculosis is a serious threat in many settings

    HIV/AIDS continues to fuel the tuberculosis epidemic, especially in

    Africa

    Other risk factors and underlying social determinants help to

    maintain tuberculosis

    - Lonnroth, Castro, Chakaya, et al, Lancet, 2010

    Updated 2012

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    Annik Rouillion

    Defaulters and Motivation

    to default is the natural reaction of normal,

    sensible people: The person who continues to

    swallow drugs or have injections with complete

    regularity in the absence of encouragement and helpfrom others is the abnormal one.

    - Bull IUAT1972; 47:68-75

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    Why do we need to care about TB in the rest of

    the world?

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    Lessons from Andrew Speaker

    TB has not gone away, it remains with us, highly prevalent andtransmissible

    Anybody can get tuberculosis, not only poor people, minorities, or

    the foreign-born

    TB anywhere is TB everywhere

    All resistant TB, MDR and XDR TB is preventable by proper TB

    diagnosis and treatment

    Good public health is a silent secret, but when there is a small

    glitch, it becomes major news

    We desperately need new tools for TB diagnosis and treatment You dont want to sit on an airplane for 8 hours next to an

    untreated coughing person with anykind of TB, be it drug

    sensitive, MDR or XDR

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    INFORMATION LINE

    1-800-4TB-DOCS (482-3627)

    globaltb.njms.rutgers.edu