22
TREASURY CASH BALANCE AND NET MARKET BORROWING 1 II III 1980 IV I II III 1981 IV I e estimate II III 1982 IV I II III 1983 IVe Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-20

TREASURY CASH BALANCE AND NET MARKET BORROWING...Auction 3 Year^ 2 Auction 10 Year^ 3 A Auction 30 Year* 4 7 8 Partial Holiday 9 10 11 Holiday 14 15 16 Announce 2 Year 17 18 Announce

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    5

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • TREASURY CASH BALANCE AND NET MARKET BORROWING

    1 II III1980

    IV I II III1981

    IV I

    e estimate

    II III1982

    IV I II III1983

    IVe

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-20

  • TREASURY NET BORROWING FROM NONMARKETABLE ISSUES—i $Bil.$Bil

    2.2

    0

    -2

    j*5

    J^-1.4-.9

    -4

    -6

    -8II III IV1979

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    j [Savings Bonds

    g^g State & Local Series

    H| Foreign Nonmarketables

    KKM

    ZB

    -1.4

    -2.4-2.2

    -1.9

    -4.0

    I II III IV I II III IV1980 1981

    e estimate

    5.9

    12.5

    2.8

    nm

    HI11-2.0• mA "1.0-2.5 "-4

    I II III IV1982

    I II III IVe1983

    October 25, 1983-12

    0

    -2

    -4

    -6

    -8

  • QUARTERLY CHANGES IN FOREIGN AND INTERNATIONALHOLDINGS OF PUBLIC DEBT SECURITIES

    $Bil. $Bil.

    Nonmarketabie

    12 12Marketable

    Add-ons-L/ 8.0 o g

    Other Transactions **

    5.4

    8.8

  • SHORT TERM INTEREST RATESMonthly Averages

    %

    22

    1979

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    Prime Rate

    1980 1981 1982

    ThroughOctober 21"

    >CS«3^

    1983

    %

    22

    20

    18

    16

    14

    12

    10

    8

    6

    4

    October 25, 1983-8

  • %

    12

    11

    8

    .....*•—••...,V

    SHORT TERM INTEREST RATESWeekly Averages

    SV

    Prime Rate

    '•••••••C':::^,#3MonthTreasury Bill

    .»•••-

    X "V

    Throughweek endingOctober 19

    . ™.M... _

    12

    11

    10

    8

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May June

    1983

    Jul Aug Sep Oct

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-7

  • 1979

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    LONG MARKET RATESMonthly Averages

    1980 1981 1982 1983

    October 25, 1983-5

  • %

    14

    13

    8

    INTERMEDIATE AND LONG MARKET RATESWeekly Averages

    Treasury \20-Year

    i I I lii I I I

    New Aa

    Corporates

    I I l l ll i

    Jan Feb Mar Apr

    Municipal Bonds20-Year

    May Jun

    1983

    Jul

    Throughweek ending

    October 21

    Aug Sep Oct

    %

    14

    13

    12

    11

    10

    8

    7

    Olfice of tiie Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-6

  • $Bil

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSJuly - September 1983

    Uses

    Coupon Maturities^

    Increase inCash Balance

    Cash Deficit

    71 y2Sources

    [^Coupon Refunding

    State and Local

    2

    Savings Bondsand Other

    Net Market tBorrowing t

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    $Bil.

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    -20

    10

    •JO

    October 25, 1983-17

  • $Bil.

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSOctober-December 1 983 ^

    Uses

    Coupon Maturities^Foreign Nonmarketables

    13/4

    1/2

    State and Local

    4 Cash Deficit

    803/4

    Sources

    ^ Coupon RefundingSavings Bonds

    1V4

    Net Market a .7 JBorrowing W ** i

    Decrease in 4Cash Balance^

    y Excludes the 2 and 4 year notes settling January 3, 1984.y Issued or announced through October 21, 1983.& Assumes a $15 billion cash balance December 31,1983.

    Office of the Secretary of Ihe TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    $Bil.

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    October 25, 1983-18

  • $Bil.

    -10

    -20

    TREASURY OPERATING CASH BALANCESemi-Monthly

    ,»"»i«.iiim"'»iiin,.1«»"* '« m«"" >""" "

    Federal Reserve Account

    Tax and Loan

    Accounts Balance!

    ♦-Without New-*-

    Borrow ing_L/

    \ /

    -30Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul

    1982 1983_i/ Assumes refunding of maturing issues

    Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-19

  • TREASURY NET MARKET BORROWING^

    Calendar Year Quarters

    I II III IV I II III

    1980 1981 1982

    1/ Excludes Federal Reserve and Government Account Transactions.

    Ill IVI II III IV

    1979 1983

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-15

  • MARKET YIELDS ON GOVERNMENTSBid Yields

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    4 5 6

    Years to Maturity

    October 25, 1983-13

  • PRIVATE HOLDINGS OF TREASURY MARKETABLE DEBTBY MATURITY

    100W^Mw^-

    1972 1973 1974 1975

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982

    As of December 31

    October 25, 1983-1

  • PRIVATE HOLDINGS OF TREASURY MARKETABLE DEBT

    BY MATURITY

    100%

    Coupons • over 10 yrs g^ 1-2 yrs Bills

    H 2-10 yrs 7A 1 yr & under

    1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 Sep'83

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    As of December 31

    October 25, 1983?

  • AVERAGE LENGTH OF THE MARKETABLE DEBTPrivately Held

    June 194710 Years

    5 MonthsMonths

    1945 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    September 30, 1983

    4 Years, 1 Month

    October 25,1983-3

  • MATURING COUPON ISSUESNovember 1983 - March 1984

    (In Millions of Dollars)

    Maturing Issues

    Outstanding September 30, 1983

    Total

    Held By

    Federal Reserve

    & Government

    Accounts

    Private

    Investors

    ForeignInvestors!/

    7% Nt. 11/15/83

    9 7/8%Nt. 11/15/83

    12 1/8%Nt. 11/30/83

    10 1/2%Nt. 12/31/83

    13% Nt. 12/31/83

    15% Nt. 1/31/84

    7 1/4% Nt. 2/15/84

    15 1/8% Nt. 2/29/84

    14 1/4% Nt. 3/31/84

    14 1/8% Nt. 3/31/84

    2,3095,832

    5,493

    2,7015,427

    6,208

    8,438

    5,9502,914

    6,219

    113

    2,143

    715

    289

    658

    578

    3,920

    720

    703

    674

    2,196

    3,689

    4,778

    2,4124,769

    5,630

    4,5185,230

    2,211

    5,545

    15

    766

    700

    146

    631

    964

    75

    711

    276

    690

    Total 51,491 10,513 40,978 4,974

    XJ F.R.B. custody accounts for foreign official institutions;included in Private Investors.

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis October 25, 1983-11

  • TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes

    J F M A M

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    J J A S O N D

    H Securities issued prior to 1981

    JFMAMJJASOND

    jNew issues calendar year 1982New issuescalendar year 1981 |||||j Issued or announced through October 21, 1983 October 25 ,9839

  • $Bil.4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2 —

    oL—

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4 —

    2 —

    2.9

    1.7

    2.2

    1.5

    S3

    1.7

    3.0

    TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes

    $Bil.

    2.6

    1.7

    8

    3.2

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    L5

    2.5

    I

    2.4

    3.5

    1.5

    1.4

    1.6

    3.0

    3.5

    4

    2

    02

    04

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2.7

    I

    1.8

    2.12005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    3_9 2009

    I2010

    1.9

    3.8 2011

    2012

    2013

    1.4

    4.0

    1.2

    3.6

    I3.4

    I4.2

    4.4

    10.3

    1

    JFMAMJJASOND

    ^•Securities issued prior to 1981OTiSSS^rF?™1^^ An.iv* ^New issues calendar year 1981

    JFMAMJJASOND

    (%%|New issues calendar year 1982

    Hill Issued or announced through October 21, 1983 October 25, 1983-10

  • NET NEW MONEY IN AGENCY FINANCE, QUARTERLY

    $Bil.10

    9

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

    9

    8-

    7-

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

    FNMA

    ii ll. iFHLB^

    .•Ii. II II III IV

    1979I II III IV

    1980

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    •I

    I

    Privately Held$Bil.

    lullFCA

    0

    -Ih

    III!

    GNMAMortgage BackedSecurities

    ill

    llli

    i

    mlI II III IV I II III IV I II llleIV

    1981 1982 1983

    13

    12

    11

    10

    9

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II llleIV

    1979 1980 1981 1982 1983

    *Less than $50 million. e Partly estimated.

    1/ Includes FHLB discount notes, bonds, and FHLMC discount notes, debentures,certificates, mortgage-backed bonds, and mortgage participation certificates. October 25, 1983-14

  • $Bil.

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    AGENCY MATURITIESvPrivately Held

    $Bil.

    6

    4

    2

    0

    4

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    IV I II III IV

    1991 1992 1993 1994

    2.6

    1.4 1.3

    3.2

    I.. .3 .1(- 1995

    .4

    1996

    .1 -5

    1997

    1.1 .9

    • ££•

    1998

    .1 .2 .2 .1

    1999 2000 2001

    * _1

    2002

    * 2.2003

    .1

    2004

    *

    2005

    .1 .1

    2006

    .1 .1

    2007

    JL J.

    2008

    ^2 .3

    2009 2010

    2011 2012

    .4

    2013

    _1 .2

    2014

    .2

    - 2015 2016 2017 2018

    IV I IVI II III IV I IV I

    Calendar Years Quarterly±i Securities issued through September 30, 1983* Less than $50 million.

    October 25, 1983-16

  • SCHEDULE OF ISSUES TO BE ANNOUNCED

    AND AUCTIONED IN NOVEMBER 19831

    Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    1Auction

    3 Year^

    2Auction

    10 Year^

    3 AAuction

    30 Year*

    4

    7 8Partial Holiday

    9 10 11Holiday

    14 15 16Announce

    2 Year

    17 18Announce

    52 Week

    21Announce

    5 Year

    22Auction

    2 Yeara

    23Auction

    52 Week*>

    24Holiday

    25

    28 29Auction

    5 Year^

    30

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    1/ Does not include weekly bills2/ For settlement November 15

    3/ For settlement November 30

    */ For settlement December 1

    5/ For settlement in early December

    October 25, 1983-22

  • SCHEDULE OF ISSUES TO BE ANNOUNCEDAND AUCTIONED IN DECEMBER 1983 ^

    Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    12 13 14

    Announce

    2 Year

    15 16

    Announce

    52 Week

    19 20 21 22 23

    Announce Auction Auction

    4 Year 2 Year u 52 Week-2/

    7 Year

    20 Year

    26 27 28 29 30

    Holiday Auction Auction Auction4 Year-i/ 7 Year & 20 Year^

    Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Finance & Market Analysis

    -i/Does not include weekly bills or the 5 year issuescheduled to be announced in late November

    -?>For settlement January 3-2/For settlement December 29

    i/For settlement in early JanuaryOctober 25, 1983-21