Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Transnet Annual Results Presentation 31 March 2011
CONTENTS
Financial review
Execution of the Quantum Leap strategy
2TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Five years looking ahead
Strategic focus areas
Conclusion
3TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
FINANCIAL REVIEW
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
2011R billion
%change
Revenue 38,0 6,6
EBITDA 15,8 9,4
Cash generated from operations after changes in working capital 18,3 13,5
Capital investment* 21,5 16,6
4TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Key Ratios 2011 2010
EBITDA margin 41,5% 40,5%
Gearing 41,1% 39,8%
Cash interest cover 3,9 times 4,1 times
Return on average total assets (excluding CWIP) 6,6% 7,7%
* Excludes capitalised borrowing costs, including capitalised finance leases.
ABRIDGED INCOME STATEMENT
2011R million
2010R million %
Revenue 37 952 35 610 6,6
Net operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortisation (22 189) (21 201) 4,7
EBITDA 15 763 14 409 9,4
Depreciation and amortisation (7 184) (6 089) 18,0
Profit before items listed below 8 579 8 320 3,1
5TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Profit before items listed below 8 579 8 320 3,1
Impairment of assets, fair value adjustments and other items (9) (971) (99,1)
Net finance costs (2 878) (2 436) 18,1
Profit before taxation 5 692 4 913 15,9
Taxation (1 508) (1 763) (14,5)
Profit from continuing operations 4 184 3 150 32,8
• The sustained financial performance has created a platform for the execution of the capital investment programme.
REVENUE
Revenue (R million) Commodity revenue
37 952
9,0%
20112010
35 610
2009
33 592
2008
30 091
2007
26 8996,6%
21,7
2011
13,4
2,7
5,6
2010
19,7
11,9
2,2
5,6
10,2%
Export coal GFB
Export iron oreRail sector (R billion)
4-Year CAGR
6TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE 6TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Revenue contribution by Operating division
TPL
3,0%TPT
16,7%TRE*
2,2%
TNPA19,3% TFR
58,8%
20112010
3,3
0,6
5,9
12,0
2011
4,0
0,9
9,8
7,1
2010
22,4%
Ports sector (R billion)
• Revenue increased by 6,6% despite the negative impact of the industrial action.
* Includes Specialist Units
Containers Total bulk
Automotive
OPERATING EXPENSES
22 189
8,1%
21 20120 39217 28116 232
4,7% TFR14 463
TPL432TPT
4 163
TRE
4-Year CAGR
Operating expenses (R million) Operating expenses contribution byOperating division* (R million)
7TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE 7TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
20112010200920082007
TNPA2 195
TRE8 175
• Operating expenses increased by 4,7% despite an increase in input costs, such as electricity costs of 25%.
• Cost saving initiatives resulted in a R2,1 billion reduction in planned costs.
• The marginal increase in operating expenses is indicative of ongoing cost saving initiatives and efficiency improvements.
* Excludes Specialist Units.
EBITDA
EBITDA (R million) EBITDA contribution by Operating divisions*
(R million)
15 76310,0%
20112010
14 409
2009
13 200
2008
12 810
2007
10 6679,4%
TPL697TPT
2 188
TRE1 151 TFR
8 144
4-Year CAGR
8TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE 8TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
EBITDA margin (%)
2011
41,5
2010
40,5
2009
39,3
2008
42,6
2007
39,7
TNPA5 866
8 144
• Improvement in EBITDA margin is as a result of revenue growth and cost reduction initiatives implemented during the year.
• Strong profitability over the last 5 years.
* Excludes Specialist Units and intercompany eliminations.
DEPRECIATION AND AMORTISATION, NET FINANCECOSTS, TAXATION AND PROFIT FOR THE YEAR
Depreciation and amortisation (R million)
7 1846 089
4 7793 798
2 952
18,0%
Net finance costs (R million)
2 8782 436
1 9661 9312 287 18,1%
• In line with expectations, the increase in depreciation and amortisation is attributable to the capital investment programme and revaluations of port facilities and pipeline networks.
• Increase in net finance costs due to increasedlong-term borrowings to fund the capital investment programme.
2007 20092008 20112010
9TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
1 5081 7631 492
2 6151 742
14,5%
4 1843 150
5 2266 4785 736
32,8%
Taxation (R million)
Profit for the year (R million)
2007 20092008 20112010
programme.
• At 26,8% (2010: 36,8%) the effective taxation rate is marginally below the corporate taxation rate of 28%.
• Strong year on year improvement is mainly due to the volume increases and cost reduction initiatives.
2007 20092008 20112010
2007 20092008 20112010
ABRIDGED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
2011R million
2010R million
ASSETS
Non-current assets 146 243 120 845
Property, plant and equipment 137 836 113 579
Investment properties 7 368 6 604
Other non-current assets 1 039 662
Current assets 20 827 18 040
10TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Current assets 20 827 18 040
Total assets 167 070 138 885
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Capital and reserves 73 666 63 347
Non-current liabilities 72 660 60 179
Current liabilities 20 744 15 359
Total equity and liabilities 167 070 138 885
• Transnet’s strong financial position enables the execution of the borrowing programme without Government guarantees.
PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIPMENT ANDLONG-TERM BORROWINGS
Property, plant and equipment (R million)
Return on average total assets (excluding CWIP) (%)
• Included in additions are capital investments of R21,5 billion and capitalised borrowing costs of R1,8 billion.
• Revaluations are in respect of:• Pipeline network assets R310 million;• Port facilities R8,2 billion; and• Land and buildings R264 million.
• Decline in return on average total assets due to higher depreciation charge as a result of thecapital investment programme as well as the revaluation of assets.
8 784
Additions
23 264
2010
113 579
2011
137 836
Other
(476)
Impairment
(291)
Depreciation
(7 024)
Revals
6,67,79,011,611,1
11TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Long-term borrowings (R million)
Gearing (%)
revaluation of assets.
• Long-term borrowings increased due to funding raised for the capital investment programme which is creating capacity ahead of demand.
• Gearing, which is lower than the Board limit,reflects adequate capacity to fund futurecapital investments.
2008
30,9
2007
40,8
20112010
39,8
2009
37,7 41,1
50 452
20112010
42 736
2009
29 758
2008
16 890
2007
17 53518,1%
20112010200920082007
ABRIDGED CASH FLOW STATEMENT AND FUNDING
• Generated strong, predictable and sustainable cashfrom operations.
• Transnet has adequate liquidity and funding facilities to meet all its operational and capital investment funding requirements over the medium-term.
• Successfully implemented the funding strategy.
• Required funds raised in a cost effective manner evidenced by the reduction in WACD to below 10%.
2011R million %
Cash from operating activities 13 159 8,8
• Cash generated from operations• Security of supply petroleum levy• Changes in working capital• Other operating activities
16 1591 315792
(5 107)
13,5>100,0(57,2)27,8
Cash utilised in investing activities
(23 018) 12,8
12TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
by the reduction in WACD to below 10%.
3,9
20112010
4,1
2009
3,7
Cash interest cover (times)
• Cash interest cover of 3,9 times remains significantly above the minimum Board target of 3,0 times and is not expected to fall below the target in the medium-term.
Cash from financing activities 12 791 23,5
Sources of funding 2011 R billion
• GMTN• DMTN• Commercial paper• Bank loans and asset backed finance• DFIs/ECA
5,17,72,01,91,7
Total 18,4
13TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
EXECUTION OF THE QUANTUM LEAP STRATEGY
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY
Volumes (mt) • GFB volumes reflect a 2,2% growth from the prior year, despite a loss of volumes due to the May 2010 industrial action,cable theft and rolling stock related faults.
• However, strategic commodities within GFB performed well.
• Overall productivity and
General freight business
Productivity and efficiency
83,8
78,4
72,1 73,7
3,2%
20112010200920082007
2,2%
84,5
4-Year CAGR
14TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Overall productivity and service delivery deteriorated from theprior year.
General freight business
Productivity and efficiency
GTK /loco/month (’000)
Wagon turnaround (days)
On-time departures (avg minutes delayed)
On-time arrivals (avg minutes delayed)
2010
5 3375 239
5 121
2,3%
4,0%
Target 2011
2010 Target 2011
434
238265
63,8%
82,4%
2010 Target 2011
12,612,2
14,03,3%
10,0%
Target 201120112010
350
184165
112,1%
90,2%
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY (continued)
Containers on rail (‘000 TEUs)
Domestic coal (mt)
• Volumes increased by 13,2% compared to the prior year.• Freight Rail’s overall “rail friendly” container market
share increased from 30,9% to 34,0%.
• Volume growth of 12,4% despite operational challenges and customer cancellations.
• One of Transnet’s key focus areas over the next five years is to meet Eskom’s domestic coal requirements.
Strategic Commodities –GFB
502,3 536,8 524,7 554,7 627,8
5,7%
13,2%
19,818,6
17,019,119,8
0,9%
12,4%
20112010200920082007
4-Year CAGR
15TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Magnetite (mt)
Export manganese (mt)
years is to meet Eskom’s domestic coal requirements.
• Volumes increased by 3,7% despite the negative impact of the Brakspruit Bridge collapse – the main transport route for this commodity.
• Export manganese volumes increased by 23,1% compared to the prior year.
Strategic Commodities
12,4%
1,1 1,52,2
2,7 2,8
26,3%
3,7%
3,0 3,8 3,4 3,9 4,8
12,5%
20112010200920082007
23,1%
20112010200920082007
20112010200920082007
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY (continued)
Volumes (mt) • Export coal volumes reflect marginal growth from the prior year,despite a loss of 3,1mt due to the May 2010 industrial action,derailments and a longer than planned shutdown of the line due to the industrial action.
• Overall productivity and service delivery
Export coal
Productivity and efficiency
63,561,9 61,8 62,2
67,0
2011
1,8%
2010200920082007
0,6%
4-Year CAGR
16TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
service delivery deteriorated from the prior year, mainly due to the impact of the industrial action as well as rail infrastructure problems and operational challenges such as crew scheduling, hook-up failures, cable theft and RBCT cancellations.
Export coal
Productivity and efficiency
GTK /loco/month (’000)
Wagon cycle time (hours)
On-time departures (avg minutes delayed)
On-time arrivals (avg minutes delayed)
2010
13 50515 755
14 173
14,3%
4,7%
Target 2011
2010 Target 2011
468
248309
88,7%
51,5%
2010 Target 2011
726569
10,8%
4,3%
Target 201120112010
234149
289 57,0%
19,0%
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY (continued)
Volumes (mt) • Export iron ore volumes increased by 3,4%,despite an unprecedented number of derailments resulting in lost volumes which also impactedoperational performance levels.
• Ship loading rates (TPT) increased with 9,7% from 6 341 tons per hour during 2010 to 6 959 tons
Export iron ore
Productivity and efficiency
30,0 31,936,8
44,7 46,211,4%
20112010200920082007
3,4%
4-Year CAGR
17TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
during 2010 to 6 959 tons per hour during 2011 due to the successful implementation of dual and staggered ship loading at the Iron Ore Terminal.
Export iron ore
Productivity and efficiency
GTK /loco/month (’000)
Wagon cycle times (hours)
On-time departures (avg minutes delayed)
On-time arrivals (avg minutes delayed)
2010
38 86643 650
38 310
11,0%
1,5%
Target 2011
2010 Target 2011
285
160190
78,1%
50,0%
2010 Target 2011
8580
85 6,3%
–
Target 201120112010
161
94121
71,3%
33,1%
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY (continued)
Volumes (’000 TEUs) • Maritime container volumes reflect a 12,5% growth, primarily driven by an increase in transshipments and imports due to the 2010 FIFA Soccer World Cup.
• Container handling rates (moves per gross crane hour) have improved by an average 12,8% across all terminals and resulted
Maritime Containers
Productivity and efficiency
4 081
12,5%
2,7%
20112010
3 629
2009
3 800
2008
3 738
2007
3 674
4-Year CAGR
18TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
all terminals and resulted in an increase in overall container port efficiencies.
• Marine services delays caused by tugs, pilots and berthing staff at all ports have decreased significantly with 42,3% (average across all ports).
• Since December 2010,DCT Pier 1 and Pier 2 have sustained an average GCH of 29,5 and 24,5 respectively.
Maritime Containers
Productivity and efficiency
GCH – DCT Pier 1 GCH – DCT Pier 2
Shipping delays (avg hours if ship is delayed)
2010
262621
–
23,8%
Target 2011
2010 Target 2011
1,5
34,8%2,3
42,3%
2,6
Target 201120112010
402827
42,9%
48,1%
TEUs/STAT Hour - Durban
2010 Target 2011
2326
2211,5%
4,5%
VOLUME GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY (continued)
Volumes (mℓ) • Petroleum volumes increased by 1,5% from the prior year, despitethe constrained Durban-Johannesburg Pipeline (DJP).
• Capacity utilisation increased through continued use of drag-reducing agents (DRAs) and a 26,9% decrease in production interruptions
Petroleum (TPL)
Productivity and efficiency
18 0251,4%
20112010
17 751
2009
17 216
2008
16 893
2007
17 032 1,5%
4-Year CAGR
19TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
production interruptions due to internal causes,which is significantly below benchmarks.
• Security of supply to the inland market was achieved due to the successful implementation of the rail bridging plan.
Petroleum (TPL)
Productivity and efficiency
Capacity utilisation - DJP
Capacity utilisation - Crude
Internal production interruptions(total annual hours)
2010
102%
100%101%
2,0%
1,0%
Target 2011
2010 Target 2011
85%83%83% 2,4%
2,4%
Target 201120112010
285280390
1,8%
26,9%
SUMMARY OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT
5-year Capital investment (R billion)
2007 2008 2009
11,7
2011
15,818,419,4
2010
21,5
58,3%Rail and other
13,5%
Ports
28,2%
Pipeline
Capital investment by operating segment
20TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Planned investment of R22,8 billion for the 2011 year as part of the 5-year capital investment plan.
• Actual investment represents 94% of planned spend.
• Did not compromise capacity creation or customer commitments.
• Capacity created in Rail (iron ore, manganese and containers on rail) and Ports (bulk, automotive and container sectors).
2007 2008 2009 20112010Ports
• Total investment of R86,8 billion during the past 5 years, funded without Government guarantee on the strength of Transnet’s financial position.
CAPITAL INVESTMENT BY ASSET TYPE
Asset Type Quantity
Acquisitions
Locomotives
19E Dual voltage locomotives for the Coal Line 58
Class 15E locomotives for the Ore Line 34
Class 43 GE Diesel Locomotives 2
Wagons
New wagons for Manganese export 354
Refurbishments
Asset Type Quantity
Port Infrastructure
Tugs for Durban 2
Tugs for Richards Bay 1
Trailing Suction Hopper Dredger 1
Bulk liquid berth at Richards Bay 1
Cargo handling equipment and facilities
Rubber tyred gantry cranes for CTCT 28
Agriport Bulk Terminal 80 000 tons of storage capacity 1
21TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Refurbishments
Locomotives
Conversion from Class 6E to 18E 41
Conversion of wagons 48t to 60t capacity 410
Wagons
Wagon Liftings 12 900
Infrastructure: Replacements
Rail 555km
Railway sleepers 292km
Screening of track 528km
Agriport Bulk Terminal 80 000 tons of storage capacity 1
PE Manganese Refurbishment: Increase in capacity from 2,8mt to 4,8mt
1
Rubber tyred gantry cranes for Durban Pier 1 4
Durban Point Car Terminal 80 000 units of automotive capacity (parking bays)
3 300
MEGA PROJECTS SUMMARY AND CAPACITY CREATION
Project Total ETC
Actual spending
2011
Spending since
inception Capacity created
R million R million R million
Iron Ore Line expansion to 60,7mt 16 073 3 263 9 793 24mt to date
New Multi-Product Pipeline 23 407 5 612 11 588 3 X16” lines operational in the Northern network
Reengineering of Durban Container Terminal 1 802 268 1 319 300 000 TEUs
Ngqura Port Construction 3 492 123 3 083 Fully functional 5 berth deepwater port
22TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Ngqura Container Terminal 7 900 461 4 842 700 000 TEUs
Durban Harbour entrance channel widening and deepening 3 360 54 2 826 9 200 TEU vessel sizecan be accommodated
Coal Line expansion to 81mt 9 806 1 384 1 801 In progress to meet 81mt
Cape Town Container expansion 4 375 741 2 697 200 000 TEUs
LOCOMOTIVE AND WAGON ACQUISITION PROGRAMME
Spending(R million)
Coal 110 Cl 19E
Ore 44 Cl 15E
Ore 32 Cl 15E
GFB 100Cl 43
2011 Actual 925 1 058 268 334
Since inception 2 116 2058 268 771
2012 857 307 85 510
2013 292 - 715 692
2014 - - 98 569
Acquisition of 110 Class 19E dual voltage locomotives for the Coal Line:• 58 locomotives have been delivered :
• 48 locomotives accepted into operations • 10 locomotives are at various stages of testing and commissioning.
• The remaining 52 locomotives are planned to be delivered at four per month over the next 13 months.
Acquisition of 100 Class 43 Diesel locomotives: Locomotives for GFB for replacement of ageing fleet.• 2 locomotives were delivered in January 2011 for testing
23TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Delivery scheduleLocomotives*
(units)Wagons(units)
2012 86 1509
2013 110 672
2014 64 736
2015 40 915
2016 40 461
• 2 locomotives were delivered in January 2011 for testing • 8 locomotive sets were shipped from the United States in April 2011 for assembly in South Africa.
• 90 locomotives will be built at Rail Engineering’s Koedoespoort plant.
Acquisition of 44 Class 15E locomotives for theIron Ore Line: Acquisition to facilitate the ramp up in Iron Ore volumesto 60,7mt:• 34 locomotives have been delivered, • 10 locomotives will be delivered during 2012. Transnet entered into a contract to acquire 32 more Class 15E locomotives with delivery expected as follows:• 25 locomotives in 2013• 7 locomotives in 2014
* Currently being revised.
HUMAN CAPITAL
SkillsDevelopmentand Capacity Building
Capacity Building Initiatives
• 1 412 apprentices and 427 engineers in the Company
• Granting of 52 engineering bursaries for 2011
• 356 engineering technicians in the internship programme.
• The availability of appropriate skills across the Company remains a significant challenge.
• Training is 3% of personnel cost
2010 2011
24TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Employment Equity as at31 March 2011
• Representation of black (African, Colouredand Indian) employees improved to 76% oftotal workforce.
• Since 2001 Transnet has managed to morethan double its female employee base from8,4% to 20%.
• People with disabilities comprise 0,8% of Transnet’s workforce.
2010 2011
White 25% 24%
Black 75% 76%
2010 2011
Female 19% 20%
Male 81% 80%
STRATEGIC ENABLERS
BBBEE
• Transnet’s BBBEE spend has grown significantly over the past three years from R6,9bn in 2008 to R19,4bn in 2011. This is higher than the DTI target of 50% and the internal target of 65%.
CSDP
• Procurement of 100 General Electric (GE) locomotives: Total localisation value as a percentage of the total contract value is 52%. This includes skills development in TFR and TRE as well as localised assembly and investment in plant.
• Procurement of 32 new 15E locomotives: The total localisation value is 40% which includes local assembly by Union Carriage Works. Due to this 15E build programme, 734 jobs are being preserved.
75%
2010 2011
65%
2009
59%
2008
41%
2007
37%
BBBEE spend % against total measured procurement spend
25TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
CSDP assembly by Union Carriage Works. Due to this 15E build programme, 734 jobs are being preserved.
• Procurement of Electro-Motive Diesel (EMD) locomotive spare parts and components:Total localisation value of 34%.
• The GE locomotive parts (Long-Term Parts Agreement): Total localisation value is 12% which includes skills development and purchasing of local parts and services
Branch lines
• The Branch lines were grouped by cluster and comprehensive feasibility studies were conducted on the grain handling branch lines.
• A non-binding call for expressions of interest in October 2010 resulted in 47 companies responding to the likely opportunities, and competitive bidding documents were prepared for release in theyear ahead.
• Key focus going forward is to drive CSDP initiatives to stimulate local employment opportunities
SAFETY
Disabling Injury Frequency Rate
(DIFR)
• The Company’s 12-month rolling disabling injury frequency rate (weighted) deteriorated by 11,4% to 0,98 compared to 0,88 in the prior year –mainly due to an increase in disabling injuries at TFR and TRE.
Employee fatalities (Numbers)
• Sadly there were 12 employee fatalities during the year under review, compared with 8 fatalities during the prior year. Transnet conveys its deepest condolences to the families and friends of the employees who lost their lives on duty.
2011Target
0,85
2010
11,4%0,980,88
128
1311
26
20112009
50,0%
201020082007
26TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
of the employees who lost their lives on duty.
Public fatalities (Numbers)
• Public fatalities decreased by 12,7% to 151 for the year compared to 173 in the prior year. Public fatalities remains a focus area.
Cost of losses(R million)
• Cost of losses increased to R1 billion for the year compared to R501m in the prior year mainly due to the derailments.
• Continued commitment to strive for zero fatalities
20112009 201020082007
473 432589
501
2008 201020092007
104,6%
1 025
2011
151173197151
2009
12,7%
201120102008
• Two Operating divisions of Transnet are regulated by economic regulators:
− Transnet Pipelines (TPL) is regulated by the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA);
− Transnet National Ports Authority (TNPA) is regulated by the Ports Regulator of South Africa.
REGULATORY
69,00
51,3059,99
19,13
11,91
Approved by Regulator
Applied forTPL tariff increase % TNPA tariff increase %
27TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Closer alignment with NERSA resulting in greater certainty in terms of future tariff applications.
• Difference with the Ports Regulator on tariff determination for National Ports Authority due to the lack of an approved tariff methodology.
Other developments
• King III compliance – Assessment completed – fully compliant.
• Ports Act and ICM Act amendments – mitigation plan in place. Long-term sustainable solution is being addressed at policy level.
• DoT has established an interim Rail Regulator.
2011
11,86
2012
4,49
2011
4,42
2012
28TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
FIVE YEARS LOOKING AHEAD
STRATEGY OVERVIEW
The Quantum Leap strategy will stimulate economic growth in South Africa
Improvement in rail, port and pipeline infrastructure as a result of extensive capital investments
Accelerate implementation of the human capital strategy and skills development in line with NGP commitments
29TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Resulting in volume growth, increased productivity and efficiency, infrastructure capacity, financial
sustainability, safety and improved customer service
Reduce the cost of doing business in SAIncrease in exports and growing local economies
Volume throughputand financial sustainability
Improvement in operational efficiencies
Strategic supply chain management
and BBBEE
VOLUME PROJECTIONS
Key commodity 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Comments
GFB(mt)
• Growth in Eskom coal from 7,1mt in 2011 to 14,5mt in 2016 have been planned but is dependent on the timing of the Eskom’s capacity increase.
Exportcoal (mt)
• Capacity beyond 81,0mt will becreated through alternative funding
110,7104,499,791,184,4
81,081,077,073,070,0
4-Year CAGR
7,0%
3,7%
30TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
coal (mt)created through alternative funding models (PSPs).
Exportiron ore(mt)
• Allocation of capacity to emerging miners.
• Capacity beyond 60,7mt will becreated through alternative funding models (PSPs).
Maritimecontainers(’000 TEUs)
• Current capacity expansionprogrammes are in progress at Durban.
• Ngqura and Cape Town container terminals will increase total container capacity to 6,1 million TEUs by 2016.
60,760,760,759,951,6
5 3645 0694 7904 5274 319
4,1%
5,6%
3,7%
Containers on rail (‘000 TEUs)
Domestic coal (mt)
• Transnet’s key focus is to move container“rail friendly” traffic from road to rail.
• Opportunity to increase market share in this sector.
• Included in domestic coal volumes is the ramp up to 14,5mt volume throughput in respect of Eskom’s anticipated requirements.
VOLUME PROJECTIONS (continued)Strategic Commodities –GFB
24,827,6 30,5 30,8 32,5
7,0%
786 884 990 1 078
10,0%
1 149
20162015201420132012
4-Year CAGR
31TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Magnetite (mt)
Manganese (mt)
Eskom’s anticipated requirements.
• Growth in exports through Maputo and Richards Bay. Market opportunity may exceed 10mt.
• Grow manganese through Durban and Port Elizabeth through capital investment, improved service design and increase in the customer base by allocation of capacity to emerging miners.
Strategic Commodities
3,7 4,1 4,4 4,64,6
5,6%
7,0 7,7 8,1 8,4 8,5
5,0%
20162015201420132012
20162015201420132012
20162015201420132012
PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY
Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Rail
General Freight: GTK/loco/month (’000)
3,2%
6 1335 9755 8095 5955 400
General Freight: Wagon turnaround (days)
6,2%
8,58,59,010,011,0
– 2,4%
4-Year CAGR
32TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Ports
Pipelines
• Focus on productivity and operational efficiencies to improve customer service
TPT: Moves/GCH-DCT Pier1
3030303030
TNPA: TEU’s per ship turnaround time hour (Durban)
4443414040
2,4%
Production interruptions (hours per annum)
210255290300250
4,3%
Meantime between failures (days)
1,0%
1 0501 0401 0301 0201 010
Performance maintained
5-YEAR CAPITAL INVESTMENT PLAN
Transnet (R110,6 billion) Major capacity creation projects in the R110,6 billion capital investment plan.
Project
Next 5years
R million
Iron Ore Line expansion to 60,7mt 3 232
Iron Ore Line:32 Class 15E locomotives 898
New Multi-Product Pipeline 11 150
Durban Container Terminal Reengineering 247
Ngqura Container Terminal 1 550
2015
24,622,4
2011 2012 2013
21,5
25,9
2014
18,7
2016
19,0
33TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
5%
7%19%
Pipeline networksR13,2bn
12%Mach & EquipR5,9bn
Port facilitiesR20,9bn
19%
Land & BuildingsR8,1bn Perway R20,6bn
Wagons R18,9bn
17%
Locomotives R23,0bn
21%
Ngqura Container Terminal 1 550
DHEW sand bypass system 545
Coal Line expansion to 81mt (Above 63mt, Quantum Leap and 81mt)
5 063
Coal Line: 110 Dual Voltage Locomotives 1 149
Cape Town Container expansion 2 392
Acquisition of 100 Class 43GE diesel locomotives
1 771
Acquisition of former Durban Airport site 1 500
Reconstruction of sheet pile quay walls at Maydon Wharf
1 487
Durban Container Terminal berth deepening 3 300
Pier 1 Phase 2 expansion into Salisbury Island 1 884
CAPITAL INVESTMENT PLAN:POTENTIAL PSP OPPORTUNITIES
A number of infrastructure development opportunities have been identified beyond the 5 years as part of Transnet's Infrastructure Plan.
Project Capacity
• Waterburg coal opportunity for domestic and export market Between 80mt and 135mt
• Increasing the existing export coal channel. Further investment will be rolled out in conjunction with industry.
Beyond 81mt
• Iron Ore expansion to support the increase in demand for export iron ore. Beyond 60,7mt
34TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Iron Ore expansion to support the increase in demand for export iron ore. Beyond 60,7mt
• The Manganese export terminal through Ngqura/Saldanha is linked to the Iron Ore expansion project above. The preliminary estimated cost is dependant on the preferred export route.
Increase from 4,2mtto 12mt
• Ngqura Container Terminal equipping of the remaining two berths. Increase of 1,2m TEUs/a
• Former Durban Airport site development into a dig out port to provide berthing facilities of 16 container, 5 automotive and 4 bulk liquid berths. The initial cost includes basic port infrastructure and 4 container berths.
2,4mTEUs/a
• Inland terminals (City Deep, Kaserne and Pretoria). Mainly replacement
KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS
GEARING (%) CASH INTEREST COVER (times)
41,146,4
42,837,7
46,846,8
201620152014201320122011
Board limit
50% max
3,9
2011 20162015
4,8
3,9
2014
3,4
2013
3,3
2012
3,2 Board limit
3,0 min
35TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE 35TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Transnet gearing and cash interest cover will remain within target ranges ensuring the ability of the Company to access the debt capital markets to fund the capital investment programme.
2016
11,3
2015
10,6
2014
9,4
2013
8,6
2012
6,5
2011
6,6
41,5 39,644,2 45,6 47,9 49,3
2016201520142012 20132011
ROTA (%) EBITDA MARGIN (%)
TRANSNET DOMESTIC BOND CURVE VERSUS GOVERNMENT CURVE
8.358.53 8.53
8.78
9.15
9.419.60 9.62 9.59
8.00
8.50
9.00
9.50
10.00
10.50
11.00
Government
Transnet
T018*
TN17
TN20TN23 TN27TN25
R203
R208 R186 R186R209
36TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE 36TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
6.90 7.05
8.04
8.35
7.35
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
15-Jan-14
21-Dec-14
15-Sep-17
31-M
ar-21
21-Dec-26
21-Dec-26
31-M
ar-36
T018* (Guarantee)
R206 R201
R203
• Transnet’s primary source of funding remains the R30 billion DMTN programme. We have been able to successfully tap the local bond market with regular bond auctions at spreads that vary between 106 and 111 basis points above the Government curve (excluding T018, which is guaranteed).
FUNDING PLAN
Funding Plan Strategy
• Maintain liquidity through pre-funding
• Diversify investor base and sources of funding both internationally and locally
• Minimize market risk (interest rate and foreign exchange)
• Explore PSP opportunities
• Managing and protecting Transnet’s financial position
• Maintain Transnet’s credit grade rating
Key features of Funding Plan
• Cash from operations over the next 5 years: R96,4 billion
Funding requirements (R billion)
6,5
37TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Cash from operations over the next 5 years: R96,4 billion
• Transnet to borrow R25,6 billion over the next 5 yearsfor the capital programme and redemption ofexisting loans
Sources of Funding
• Commercial paper
• Bonds
• DFIs, ECAs, domestic and foreign loans
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(12,9)*
(7,2) (8,3)
(3,7)
*The funding requirement for 2012 of R20,8 billion is reduced to R12,9 billion due to the cash on hand at 31 March 2011 and the pre-funding buffer.
38TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
FOCUS AREAS
Productivity and efficiency
• Implement rail turnaround plan to ensure improvement in productivity.
• Build on existing port efficiency improvements.
Humancapital
• Continue to increase training of engineers, technicians and artisans.
• Through the capital investment programme stimulate both direct and indirectjob creation.
• NGP commitments.
Volumegrowth
• Focus on growth in rail volumes and in particular growth in GFB volumes to meet market demand.
• Ensure emerging miners access capacity on the rail network.
Strategic enablers
• Maintain commitment to BBBEE and CSDP by ensuring suppliers invest directly in Transnet’s supply chain which benefits both the Company and the country.
• Rural development.
39TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
• Ensure security of fuel supply.• Rural development.
Capital investment
• Provide responsive infrastructure that creates appropriate capacity ahead of demand
• Rollout the R110,6 billion capital programme.
• Engage with private sector participants to fund commodity specific capital expansion.
SHEQ
• Commitment to zero fatalities across operations.
• Drive safety culture programme across the Company.
• Ensure strict compliance to environmental legislation.
Financial sustainability
• Continue to implement the cost effective funding plan
• Gearing remains below 50% and cash interest cover remains greater than 3,0 times.
• Maintain strong growth in respect of cash from operations.
Regulatory
• Engage collaboratively with Government to meet policy and regulatory challenges.
• Proactive engagement with RailSafety Regulator.
• Address TPL and TNPA corporatisation at a policy level.
40TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSION
Financial sustainability maintained.
Productivity and efficiency in port and pipeline operationsprogressing successfully.
41TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Continued capital investment to create additional capacity.
Significant focus on productivity and safety improvements in rail.
42TRANSNET ANNUAL RESULTS PAGE
Transnet SOC Ltd
47th floor, Carlton Centre
150 Commissioner Street
Johannesburg, 2001
Telephone: +27 11 308 2719
www.transnet.net