1
Introduction Air travel is the main way that pandemic influenza is disseminated globally 1 so it is important to limit dissemina- tion via air travel during the containment stage, but there is little evidence for the effectiveness of control meas- ures at borders. Passenger aircraft are also a setting for influenza transmission 2 , but this risk is not well characterised. On 25 April 2009 WHO declared pandemic influenza A(H1N1) [pH1N1] a Public health emergency of interna- tional concern. That day a group of 24 students and teachers arrived in Auckland New Zealand (NZ) after a 3 week trip to Mexico: • 12 had influenza symptoms, 9 subsequently confirmed as NZ’s first cases of pH1N1. All were seated in the rear sec- tion of a Boeing 747-400 long- haul (13 hour) direct flight from Los Angeles • 5 other passengers in the rear section later developed influen- za symptoms suggesting possi- ble in-flight transmission This was the containment phase of NZ’s influenza response so a vigor- ous attempt was made to follow-up all passengers on the flight. 3 Aims of the investigation 1. Assess the risk of in-flight transmission of pH1N1 2. Measure the effectiveness (sensitivity, specificity) of symptom questions for case detection 3. Assess the effectiveness (completeness, timeliness) of contact tracing of exposed passengers Methods Design: Retrospective cohort investigation using a questionnaire administered to passengers to identify those with symptomatic illness. Data collection: We obtained a passenger list and seating positions from the airline to identify passengers seated in the rear section of the aircraft. Passengers were interviewed using a standard questionnaire to record symptoms, timing of illness and expo- sure to symptomatic people before and during the flight. Information on passengers and their management was also obtained from public health service records. Nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained from symptomatic passengers, as well as some who were asymptomatic, and tested by real-time PCR using primers that distinguished pH1N1 from other influenza virus sequences.The student group also had serologic specimens collected 16-23 days post-flight. Case definition: In-flight transmission: Laboratory confirmed pH1N1 infection; Symptom onset post-flight within the influenza incubation period (influenza A = 0.6 - 3.2 days) 4 ; No other plausible source identified Also distinguished: Lab-confirmed symptomatic case during flight; Suspected symptomatic case during flight; Immune case; Non-case Results Risk of In-flight Transmission: All 24 members of the school group were interviewed and had nasopharyngeal swabs and/or serological specimens collected: 9 had laboratory-confirmed symptomatic pH1N1 infection We obtained interview information from 95% (97/102) other passengers in the rear section of the aircraft (see Figure 1): 2 were classified as cases of in-flight transmission (laboratory-confirmed infection, 12 and 48 hours follow- ing the flight), both cases were seated within 2 rows of infected passengers 2 other passengers were possible cases of in-flight transmission (1 laboratory-confirmed case was part of the school group with symptom onset after 24 hours; 1 suspect case was part of the school group with symptom onset after 55 hours) Risk = 1.7% (95%CI 0.3-0.6) for passengers in the rear section of aircraft (2 / 107) Risk = 3.5% (95%CI 0.6-11.1) for those seated within 2 rows of infected passengers (2 / 57) Figure 1. Seating plan of the rear section of the aircraft showing passengers according to their infection category and seating position Transmission of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) on a Passenger Aircraft Michael G Baker 1 , Craig Thornley 2 , Clair Mills 3 , Sally Roberts 4 Shanika Perera 2 , Julia Peters 2 , Anne Kelso, 5 Ian Barr, 5 Nick Wilson 1 1 University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand (NZ); 2 Auckland Regional Public Health Service, Auckland District Health Board (ADHB), Auckland, NZ; 3 Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, NZ; 4 Department of Microbiology, ADHB, Auckland, NZ; 5 WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza, Melbourne, Australia Effectiveness of Symptoms for Case Detection: All but one of the confirmed pH1N1 infected travellers re- ported cough but more complex influenza case definitions had relatively low sensitivity (see table 1). Effectiveness of Passenger Follow-up: Rigorous follow-up by public health workers located 93.1% of pas- sengers, but only 52.2% within 72 hours of arrival (Table 2). Discussion Main findings: There is a low but measurable risk of transmission of pH1N1 on passenger aircraft. Risk ap- pears concentrated within 2 rows of infected and symptomatic passengers. Other investigations report similar findings. 5,6 Screening for people infected with influenza is likely to be more sensitive if it uses the presence of single symp- toms, such as cough, rather than more complex case definitions. Identification and management of passengers exposed to infections should be started before passengers leave the airport or board other flights. Limitations: These cases of in-flight influenza transmission could potentially have been infected prior to board- ing, but this is unlikely: cases of pH1N1 were rare outside Mexico at this very early stage of the pandemic; trans- mission before boarding would only have been possible at the extreme upper range of the incubation period. This study is likely to have under-estimated transmission risk: we excluded 2 likely cases; some of those infected in-flight would have been asymptomatic (serological testing could have helped identify such cases, but was not available on a large scale). Generalisability of findings to other influenza viruses and other exposure settings is uncertain. Implications: Transmission of influenza is most likely to be via short-range droplets from coughing and sneez- ing, rather than airborne aerosols distributed through ventilation system. 7 Screening arriving passengers for influenza symptoms and following-up contacts of those who were sympto- matic on flights are insufficient to detect arriving passengers with influenza. Such measures will miss asymp- tomatic passengers and those incubating disease. 8 Preventing in-flight transmission is dependent on stopping infected passengers getting on flights. For future pandemics (which are likely to be more severe than this one), governments and the airline transport sector will probably need a much stronger focus on exit screening. Reducing global dissemination of important pathogens by air travel will require a major systematic change in how we manage infectious disease risk in this setting. Study funding and acknowledgements 9 One of the investigators (MB) was partly supported by a grant from the Centers for Disease Control and Preven- tion (USA) for research on pandemic influenza (1 U01 CI000445-01). The WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza is supported by the Australian Gov- ernment Department of Health and Ageing. We thank the following: The affected school, the students & their families; Passengers on flight NZ1; Public health units/DHBs; Staff at LabPlus (Auckland DHB); Air New Zealand; Customs; Immigration; Auckland Inter- national Airport Ltd; NZ Ministry of Health. References: 1. Khan K, et al. N Engl J Med 2009;361:212-4. 2. Mangili A, and Gendreau MA. Lancet 2005;365:989-96. 3. Baker MG, et al. Euro Surveill 2009;14:ii,19319. 4. Lessler J, et al. Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. Lancet Infect Dis 2009;9:291-300 5. Han K, et al. Emerg Infect Dis 2009;15:1578-81 6. Foxwell AR, et al. Emerg Infect Dis. 2011 Jul; [Epub ahead of print] 7. Brankston G, et al. Lancet Infect Dis 2007;7:257-65. 8. Cowling BJ, et al. BMC Infect Dis 2010;10:82. 9. Baker MG, et al. BMJ 2010;340:c2424. doi: 10.1136/bmj.c2424.

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Page 1: Transmission of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) on a Passenger … · Introduction Air travel is the main way that pandemic influenza is disseminated globally1 so it is important to limit

Introduction Air travel is the main way that pandemic influenza is disseminated globally1 so it is important to limit dissemina-tion via air travel during the containment stage, but there is little evidence for the effectiveness of control meas-ures at borders.Passenger aircraft are also a setting for influenza transmission2, but this risk is not well characterised.On 25 April 2009 WHO declared pandemic influenza A(H1N1) [pH1N1] a Public health emergency of interna-tional concern. That day a group of 24 students and teachers arrived in Auckland New Zealand (NZ) after a 3 week trip to Mexico:

• 12 had influenza symptoms, 9 subsequently confirmed as NZ’s first cases of pH1N1.

• All were seated in the rear sec-tion of a Boeing 747-400 long-haul (13 hour) direct flight from Los Angeles

• 5 other passengers in the rear section later developed influen-za symptoms suggesting possi-ble in-flight transmission

This was the containment phase of NZ’s influenza response so a vigor-ous attempt was made to follow-up all passengers on the flight.3

Aims of the investigation

1. Assess the risk of in-flight transmission of pH1N1

2. Measure the effectiveness (sensitivity, specificity) of symptom questions for case detection

3. Assess the effectiveness (completeness, timeliness) of contact tracing of exposed passengers

Methods Design: Retrospective cohort investigation using a questionnaire administered to passengers to identify those with symptomatic illness.

Data collection: We obtained a passenger list and seating positions from the airline to identify passengers seated in the rear section of the aircraft.

Passengers were interviewed using a standard questionnaire to record symptoms, timing of illness and expo-sure to symptomatic people before and during the flight. Information on passengers and their management was also obtained from public health service records.

Nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained from symptomatic passengers, as well as some who were asymptomatic, and tested by real-time PCR using primers that distinguished pH1N1 from other influenza virus sequences.The student group also had serologic specimens collected 16-23 days post-flight.

Case definition: In-flight transmission: Laboratory confirmed pH1N1 infection; Symptom onset post-flight within the influenza incubation period (influenza A = 0.6 - 3.2 days)4 ; No other plausible source identifiedAlso distinguished: Lab-confirmed symptomatic case during flight; Suspected symptomatic case during flight; Immune case; Non-case

Results Risk of In-flight Transmission: All 24 members of the school group were interviewed and had nasopharyngeal swabs and/or serological specimens collected:

• 9 had laboratory-confirmed symptomatic pH1N1 infection

We obtained interview information from 95% (97/102) other passengers in the rear section of the aircraft (see Figure 1):

• 2 were classified as cases of in-flight transmission (laboratory-confirmed infection, 12 and 48 hours follow-ing the flight), both cases were seated within 2 rows of infected passengers

• 2 other passengers were possible cases of in-flight transmission (1 laboratory-confirmed case was part of the school group with symptom onset after 24 hours; 1 suspect case was part of the school group with symptom onset after 55 hours)

• Risk = 1.7% (95%CI 0.3-0.6) for passengers in the rear section of aircraft (2 / 107)

• Risk = 3.5% (95%CI 0.6-11.1) for those seated within 2 rows of infected passengers (2 / 57)

Figure 1. Seating plan of the rear section of the aircraft showing passengers according to their infection category and seating position

Transmission of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) on a Passenger AircraftMichael G Baker1, Craig Thornley2, Clair Mills3, Sally Roberts4 Shanika Perera2, Julia Peters2, Anne Kelso,5 Ian Barr,5 Nick Wilson1 1University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand (NZ); 2Auckland Regional Public Health Service, Auckland District Health Board (ADHB), Auckland, NZ; 3Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, NZ; 4Department of Microbiology, ADHB, Auckland, NZ; 5WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza, Melbourne, Australia

 

Effectiveness of Symptoms for Case Detection: All but one of the confirmed pH1N1 infected travellers re-ported cough but more complex influenza case definitions had relatively low sensitivity (see table 1).

Effectiveness of Passenger Follow-up: Rigorous follow-up by public health workers located 93.1% of pas-sengers, but only 52.2% within 72 hours of arrival (Table 2).

Discussion Main findings: There is a low but measurable risk of transmission of pH1N1 on passenger aircraft. Risk ap-pears concentrated within 2 rows of infected and symptomatic passengers. Other investigations report similar findings.5,6

Screening for people infected with influenza is likely to be more sensitive if it uses the presence of single symp-toms, such as cough, rather than more complex case definitions.

Identification and management of passengers exposed to infections should be started before passengers leave the airport or board other flights.

Limitations: These cases of in-flight influenza transmission could potentially have been infected prior to board-ing, but this is unlikely: cases of pH1N1 were rare outside Mexico at this very early stage of the pandemic; trans-mission before boarding would only have been possible at the extreme upper range of the incubation period.

This study is likely to have under-estimated transmission risk: we excluded 2 likely cases; some of those infected in-flight would have been asymptomatic (serological testing could have helped identify such cases, but was not available on a large scale).

Generalisability of findings to other influenza viruses and other exposure settings is uncertain.

Implications: Transmission of influenza is most likely to be via short-range droplets from coughing and sneez-ing, rather than airborne aerosols distributed through ventilation system.7

Screening arriving passengers for influenza symptoms and following-up contacts of those who were sympto-matic on flights are insufficient to detect arriving passengers with influenza. Such measures will miss asymp-tomatic passengers and those incubating disease.8 Preventing in-flight transmission is dependent on stopping infected passengers getting on flights. For future pandemics (which are likely to be more severe than this one), governments and the airline transport sector will probably need a much stronger focus on exit screening.

Reducing global dissemination of important pathogens by air travel will require a major systematic change in how we manage infectious disease risk in this setting.

Study funding and acknowledgements9

One of the investigators (MB) was partly supported by a grant from the Centers for Disease Control and Preven-tion (USA) for research on pandemic influenza (1 U01 CI000445-01). The WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza is supported by the Australian Gov-ernment Department of Health and Ageing. We thank the following: The affected school, the students & their families; Passengers on flight NZ1; Public health units/DHBs; Staff at LabPlus (Auckland DHB); Air New Zealand; Customs; Immigration; Auckland Inter-national Airport Ltd; NZ Ministry of Health.

References:1. Khan K, et al. N Engl J Med 2009;361:212-4.2. Mangili A, and Gendreau MA. Lancet 2005;365:989-96.3. Baker MG, et al. Euro Surveill 2009;14:ii,19319.4. Lessler J, et al. Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. Lancet Infect Dis 2009;9:291-3005. Han K, et al. Emerg Infect Dis 2009;15:1578-816. Foxwell AR, et al. Emerg Infect Dis. 2011 Jul; [Epub ahead of print]7. Brankston G, et al. Lancet Infect Dis 2007;7:257-65.8. Cowling BJ, et al. BMC Infect Dis 2010;10:82.9. Baker MG, et al. BMJ 2010;340:c2424. doi: 10.1136/bmj.c2424.