Time Value 2

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    The Time Value of Money

    Money NOW

    is worth more thanmoney LATER!

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    To simplify this material as much

    as possible, you should

    understand that there are only afew basic types of problems,

    though each has severalvariations.

    Future value or present value

    Future value of an annuity

    Present value of an annuity

    Perpetuities and growing perpetuities

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    Required Rate of Return Would an investor want Rs. 100 today or after one year?

    Cash flows occurring in different time periods are notcomparable.

    It is necessary to adjust cash flows for their differences in timing

    and risk.

    Example : If preference rate =10 percent

    An investor can invest if Rs. 100 if he is offered Rs 110 after

    one year.

    Rs 110 is the future value of Rs 100 today at 10% interest rate.

    Also, Rs 100 today is the present value of Rs 110 after a year at

    10% interest rate.

    If the investor gets less than Rs. 110 then he will not invest.

    Anything above Rs. 110 is favorable.

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    Time Value Adjustment

    Two most common methods of adjusting cash

    flows for time value of money:

    Compoundingthe process of calculating

    future values of cash flows and

    Discountingthe process of calculating

    present values of cash flows.

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    A sum of money today is called a

    present value.

    We designate it mathematically with asubscript, as occurring in time period 0

    For example: P0 = 1,000 refers to $1,000today

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    A sum of money at a future time

    is termed a future value

    We designate it mathematically with a

    subscript showing that it occurs in time

    period n.

    For example: Sn = 2,000 refers to $2,000

    after n periods from now.

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    As already noted, the number of

    time periods in a time valueproblem is designated by n.

    n may be a number of years

    n may be a number of months

    n may be a number of quarters

    n may be a number of any defined time

    periods

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    The interest rate or growth rate in

    a time value problem isdesignated by i

    i must be expressed as the interest rate perperiod.

    For example if n is a number of years, i

    must be the interest rate per year. If n is a number of months, i must be the

    interest rate per month.

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    The first of the general type of

    time value problems is calledfuture value and present value

    problems. The formula for these

    problems is:

    Sn = P0(1+i)n

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    An example problem:

    If you invest $1,000 today at an interest rate of 10

    percent, how much will it grow to be after 5 years?

    Sn = P0(1+i)n

    Sn = 1,000(1.10)

    5

    Sn = $1,610.51 Table Sn = P0(CVFn,i)Compounded value factor

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    Future Value Example

    If you deposited Rs 55,650 in a bank whichwas paying 15 percent rate of interest on a ten

    year time deposit how much the deposit grow

    at the end of ten years

    Sn = P0(CVFn,I= 55650x 4.046 = 225,159.90

    TABLE A Pg 796

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    Present Value of a Single Cash Flow

    Assume you will receive an inheritance of$100,000, six years from now. How much couldyou borrow from a bank today and spend now,such that the inheritance money will be exactlyenough to pay off the loan plus interest when it isreceived? Assume the bank charges an interestrate of 12 percent?

    Sn = P0(1+i)n so, P0 = Sn/(1+i)

    n

    P0 = 100,000/(1.12)

    6

    P0 = $50,663 Table (Pg798)

    P0 = Sn X PVFn,i

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    Example TABLE C Pg 798

    13

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    Another example problem:

    How long will it take for $10,000 to grow to

    $20,000 at an interest rate of 15% per year?

    Sn = P0(1+i)n

    20,000 = 10,000(1.15)n

    n = 4.96 years (or, about 5 years)

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    One more example problem:

    If you invest $11,000 in a mutual fund today, andit grows to be $50,000 after 8 years, whatcompounded, annualized rate of return did you

    earn?

    Sn = P0(1+i)n

    50,000 = 11,000(1+i)8

    i = 20.84 percent per year

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    The next two general types of

    time value problems involveannuities

    An annuity is an amount of money thatoccurs (received or paid) in equal amounts

    at equally spaced time intervals.

    These occur so frequently in business thatspecial calculation methods are generally

    used.

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    For example:

    If you make payments of $2,000 per year

    into a retirement fund, it is an annuity. If you receive pension checks of $1,500 per

    month, it is an annuity.

    If an investment provides you with a returnof $20,000 per year, it is an annuity.

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    For the future value of an

    annuity:

    FV = PMT[(1+i)n - 1]/i

    TABLE

    The term within bracket is the

    compounded value factor for anannuity of Re 1 which shall be

    FV = PMT CVFAn,i

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    An example problem:

    If you save $5000 per year at 6percent perannum, how much will you have at the endof 4 years?

    Note that since time periods are months, i =6% per period, for 4 periods.

    FV = PMT[(1+i)n - 1]/i

    FV = 5000[(1.06)4 - 1]/.06

    FV = $21,873

    TABLE =5000(CVFA4,0.06 = 5000x4.3746 = 21873 Table B Pg 800

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    Present Value of an Annuity

    20

    ap tal Reco er and Loan

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    ap tal Recovery and LoanAmortisation

    21

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    Example Table D Pg 802

    22

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    Another example problem:

    If you want to save $10,000 for retirement

    after 3 years, and you earn 9 percent per

    annum, how much must you save eachyear?

    FV = PMT[(1+i)n - 1]/i

    10,000 = PMT[(1.09)3 - 1]/.9

    PMT = $3,951 per year

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    An example problem:

    If you borrow $100,000 today at 9 percent

    interest per annum, and repay it in equal

    annual payments over 10 years, how muchare the payments?

    PV = PMT[(1+i)

    n

    -1]/[i(1+i)n

    ] 100,000 = PMT[(1+.09)10 -1]/[.09(1.09)10]

    PMT = $15,582 per year

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    Loan Amortisation Schedule

    25

    End Payment Interest Principal Outstanding

    of Year Repayment Balance0 10,000

    1 3,951 900 3,051 6,949

    2 3,951 625 3,326 3,623

    3 3,951 326 3,625* 0

    Present Value o an Uneven

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    Present Value o an UnevenPeriodic Sum

    In most instances the firm receives a stream of

    uneven cash flows. Thus the present value

    factors for an annuity cannot be used.

    The procedure is to calculate the present value

    of each cash flow and aggregate all present

    values.

    26

    PV o Uneven ash Flows:

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    PV o Uneven ash Flows:Example

    27

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    A last type of time value problem

    involves what are called,perpetuities

    A perpetuity is simply an annuity that

    continues forever (perpetually).

    The formula for finding the present value ofa perpetuity is:

    PV = PMT/i

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    Present Value of Perpetuity

    29

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    A variation to perpetuity

    problems is the case ofgrowing

    perpetuities

    If an annuity continues forever, and grows

    in amount each period at a rate g, then

    PV = PMT1/(i - g)

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    An example problem:

    If you invest in a stock that will pay adividend of $10 next year and grow at 5percent per year, and you require a 14percent rate of return, how much is thestock worth to you today?

    PV = PMT1/(i - g)

    PV = 10/(.14-.05) PV = $111.11

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    Sinking Fund

    32

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    Example

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    Value of an Annuity Due

    34

    Future Value o n nnu ty:

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    Future Value o n nnu ty:Example

    35

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    Future Value of an annuity due

    Future Value of an annuity due =

    1x4.375x1.06

    = Rs 4637

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    Example

    The present value of Re 1 paid at the

    beginning of each year for 4 years is

    1 3.170 1.10 = Rs 3.487

    37