34
THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Date: GAIN Report Number: Approved By: Prepared By: Report Highlights: Assuming a normal monsoon season (June-September), India’s total oilseed [1] production is expected to grow 6.4 percent to 37 million tons in MY 2013/14 (Oct-Sep). Strong market prices for oilseeds and yield improvements will likely increase oilseed crush and push total oil meal production to 17.8 million tons, an increase of 6 percent in MY 2013/14. Growing international demand for animal feed is also expected to push Indian oil meal exports to 5.6 million tons. Edible vegetable oil production and consumption are expected to increase to 7.6 million tons and 18.6 million tons, respectively. As a result, imports will increase to reach almost 11 million tons. [1] Includes soybean, rapeseed-mustard, peanut, sunflower seed, cottonseed and copra. Production of minor oilseed crops are not covered in this report Amit Aradhey David Leishman 2013 Oilseeds and Products Annual India IN3034 4/3/2013 Required Report - public distribution

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

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Page 1: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY

USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT

POLICY

Date:

GAIN Report Number:

Approved By:

Prepared By:

Report Highlights:

Assuming a normal monsoon season (June-September), India’s total oilseed [1]

production is expected to

grow 6.4 percent to 37 million tons in MY 2013/14 (Oct-Sep). Strong market prices for oilseeds and

yield improvements will likely increase oilseed crush and push total oil meal production to 17.8 million

tons, an increase of 6 percent in MY 2013/14. Growing international demand for animal feed is also

expected to push Indian oil meal exports to 5.6 million tons. Edible vegetable oil production and

consumption are expected to increase to 7.6 million tons and 18.6 million tons, respectively. As a

result, imports will increase to reach almost 11 million tons.

[1]

Includes soybean, rapeseed-mustard, peanut, sunflower seed, cottonseed and copra. Production of minor oilseed crops are

not covered in this report

Amit Aradhey

David Leishman

2013

Oilseeds and Products Annual

India

IN3034

4/3/2013

Required Report - public distribution

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Executive Summary:

Assuming a normal monsoon (June-September), India’s total oilseed [2]

production is expected to grow

6.4 percent to 37 million tons in MY 2013/14 (Oct-Sep). Strong market prices for oilseeds and yield

improvements will likely increase oilseed crush and push total oil meal production to 17.8 million tons,

an increase of 6 percent in MY 2013/14.

Under the XIIth

five-year plan, the Government of India (GOI) plans to expand area under oil palm

cultivation across 8 states. The launch of a National Livestock Mission in FY 2013-14 should also

encourage growth in domestic animal feed demand. With growing demand for animal feed also outside

of India, oil meal exports are expected to reach 5.6 million tons.

Edible vegetable oil production and consumption are expected to increase to 7.6 million tons and 18.6

million tons, respectively. As a result, imports will increase to reach almost 11 million tons. The

import forecast includes 8.4 million tons of palm oil, 1.3 million tons of soy oil, 1.2 million tons of

sunflower oil and 10,000 tons of other edible oils. While India’s per capita edible oil consumption is

increasing (currently estimated at 14.1 kg for 2012/13), it still remains far below the world average per

capita consumption of 21.6 kg.

[2] Includes soybean, rapeseed-mustard, peanut, sunflower seed, cottonseed and copra. Production of minor oilseed crops are

not covered in this report

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Commodities:

Production:

Table 1. INDIA: TOTAL OILSEEDS PSD

OILSEEDS (‘000 metric tons) MY 2011/12 MY 2012/13 MY 2013/14

Revised Estimate Forecast

Beginning Stocks 1,905 1,365 1,165

Production 35,377 34,792 37,010

MY Imports 20 20 20

Total Supply 37,302 36,177 38,195

MY Exports 813 623 672

Crush 28,684 28,129 29,770

Food Use Dom. Cons. 1,580 1,610 1,745

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 4,860 4,650 4,945

Total Dom. Cons. 35,124 34,389 36,465

Ending Stocks 1,365 1,165 1,058

Total Distribution 37,302 36,177 38,195

Assuming a normal monsoon (June-September), India’s total oilseed [3]

production is expected to grow

6.4 percent to 37 million tons in MY 2013/14 (Oct-Sep). Previous year oilseed production estimates

and the MY 2013/14 forecast are based on the latest data available from the Indian Ministry of

Agriculture. .

The GOI plans to launch a national mission on oil seeds and oil palm under the XIIth

five-year plan.

This effort will incorporate the existing integrated scheme for oilseeds, pulses, oil palm and maize, the

central sector scheme on tree borne Oilseeds and Oil Palm Area Expansion (OPAE). This program is

expected to bring 49,682 hectares (33,182 hectares from FY 1011/12 and an additional 16,500 hectares

in FY 2012/13) under oil palm cultivation. Andhra Pradesh is leading the expansion drive, followed by

Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Odisha, Gujarat, Mizoram, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh.

Increasing vegetable oil imports in the last few years, especially palm oil, prompted a review of the

strategy for expanding domestic vegetable oil production [4]

. The OPAE program, initially proposed in

FY 2011/12, was implemented in FY 2012/13 (April-March) under Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana

(RKYY). The FY 2012/13 Union Budget provides an outlay of 99.5 billion rupees to the Rashtriya

Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY), an increase of 20.9 billion rupees from the previous year. As agriculture

Oilseed, Copra

Oilseed, Sunflowerseed

Oilseed, Cottonseed

Oilseed, Peanut

Oilseed, Rapeseed

Oilseed, Soybean

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is a state subject, the GOI central government program is also supplemented by state government’s

efforts to enhance oilseed production and productivity.

[3] Includes soybean, rapeseed-mustard, peanut, sunflower seed, cottonseed and copra. Production of minor oilseed crops are

not covered in this report [4]

http://agricoop.nic.in/tmop&m/OPAE_SP1213.pdf

Consumption:

Food use of oilseeds is expected to increase to 1.7 million tons in MY 2013/14, driven by increased

production of soy-based food products, increasing peanut consumption in snack foods, and the growing

use of rapeseed in curry and other sauce preparations.

At the same time, oilseed feed waste is also expected to grow to 5 million tons, driven largely by

cottonseed and soybean waste, which are forecast at 3 and 1 million tons, respectively. Higher

domestic oilseed production typically generates more “waste.” “Waste” broadly also includes seeds

retained for sowing/re-sowing operations, feed and industrial use.

The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and

higher education cess exemption on soybean products. While this will result in marginally higher

prices, it is unlikely to have significant effect on consumption.

Trade:

India annually exports more than $1 billion worth of high value handpicked select (HPS) peanuts,

sesame, niger seed, cottonseed, safflower seed and rapeseed-mustard. The total export volume around

1 million tons, including approximately 300,000 tons of minor oilseeds. With the expectation of strong

prices due to rising domestic consumption, oilseed exports in the current and forecast year will likely

continue to grow but at a relatively modest rate. Oilseeds can be imported into India without any

quantitative restrictions, but typically face high tariffs and complex phytosanitary regulations.

Anticipating higher peanut production in MY 2013/14, exports are likely to grow to 650,000 tons,

especially as demand for Indian Hand Picked Select (HPS) peanuts remains strong. India is a supplier

to neighboring countries and to countries like Vietnam, South Korea, the United States, Egypt, Taiwan,

Germany and Turkey.

On January 30, 2013, the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority

(APEDA) issued an addendum to the regulation of export of peanuts and peanut products through

control of aflatoxin, applicable to countries other than Russia and EU.

The APEDA addendum proposes the following changes:

1) Exporters shall ensure that all peanut and peanut product processing units from whom they source the

produce have provided their data available to the Indian Oilseeds and Produce Export Promotion

Council (IOPEPC) for submission to Peanut.Net by March 31, 2013.

2) The processing units shall obtain HACCP certification no later than July 31, 2013.

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3) Exporters shall ensure compliance with the aflatoxin level, not more than7 percent.

Other provisions stated in the regulation remain unchanged. The IOPEPC is nominated by APEDA to

implement the procedures and shall manually issue certificate of exports until February 10, 2013, after

which the certificate shall be generated through Peanut.Net for all countries [5]

. The joint efforts of

IOPEPC and APEDA are intended to increase awareness of the quality of Indian peanuts, helping

exporters to focus on international quality standards.

Similarly, anticipating higher domestic production of sesame seed in MY 2012/13, exports are

likely to grow to 400,000 tons from 361,000 tons in MY 2011/12. Vietnam is the largest importer

of Indian sesame seeds followed by South Korea, the United States, Egypt and Taiwan.

[5]

IOPEPC is an authorized agency to issue quality certificates for shelling units and warehouses involved in exports and

APEDA would certify the processing units.

Stocks:

As domestic consumption is growing faster than domestic oilseed production, inventories held by

private and government (cooperative) warehouses are gradually declining. From MY 2011/12, total

oilseed inventory is expected to contract by more than 300,000 tons through MY 2013/14.

The GOI Commission for Agriculture Costs & Prices has recommended an increase in the oilseed

minimum support price (MSP) for 2012/13 to boost output and provide a better return to farmers. The

MSP proposal includes minor oilseeds such as sesamum and niger seed.

As market prices during MY 2012/13, were mostly higher than the government MSP, the procurement

of major oilseeds by the National Agricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation of India (NAFED)

will likely remain low. Private-held stocks are also expected to be modest.

Table 2. India: Open Market Prices vis-à-vis Minimum Support Price

Commodity Minimum Support Price (Rs/100 kg) Market Price in 2012/13

2012-13 2011-12 2010-11

Soybean 2,200 (black)

2,240 (yellow)

1,650 (black)

1,690 (yellow)

1,400 (black)

1,440 (yellow)

2,200–3,900

Rapeseed/mustard 3,000 2,500 1,850 2,700-3,700

Peanut (in shell) 3,700 2,700 2,300 3,600-4,800

Sunflower seed 3,700 2,800 2,350 2,700-3,400

*Market price (Rs/quintal) across major centers during 2012/13

Source: Directorate of Agricultural Marketing, GOI

Commodities:

Meal, Soybean

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Production:

Table 3. INDIA: TOTAL OILMEALS PSD

OILMEALS (‘000 metric tons) MY 2011/12 MY 2012/13 MY 2013/14

Revised Estimate Forecast

Crush 28,684 28,129 29,770

Beginning Stocks 689 632 602

Production 16,937 16,788 17,791

MY Imports 110 50 110

Total Supply 17,736 17,470 18,503

MY Exports 5,466 5,360 5,610

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0

Food Use Dom. Cons. 325 330 353

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 11,313 11,178 11,858

Total Dom. Cons. 11,638 11,508 12,211

Ending Stocks 632 602 682

Total Distribution 17,736 17,470 18,503

Strong market prices for oilseeds and yield improvements will likely increase oilseed crush and push

total oil meal production to 17.8 million tons, an increase of 6 percent in MY 2013/14. In My 2011/12,

international demand for Indian meals and growing domestic consumption constrained the oilseed

supplies. With diminishing stocks, the availability of oilseeds for crushing was limited. An estimated

80 percent of India’s total oilseed supply is crushed for meal and oil; oil meal is then utilized for feed

and food. The specific end-use allocation can vary according to available domestic supplies and export

demand for Indian oil meal during the marketing year.

Consumption:

Assuming normal conditions in MY 2013/14, total feed waste is expected to grow 6 percent to 11.9

million tons. This includes 3.8 million tons of cottonseed meal (mostly used for livestock feed), 3.2

million tons of soybean meal, 2.7 million tons of rapeseed meal, 1.5 million tons of peanut meal, and

700,000 tons of other oil meals.

The proposed launch of the National Livestock Mission in FY 2013-14 is expected to encourage growth

in the dairy and livestock sectors. Together with the poultry sector, demand for animal feed is likely to

remain strong. India’s organized feed industry uses soy meal, and also peanut, sunflower seed, and

rapeseed meal in various formulations.

Meal, Copra

Meal, Sunflowerseed

Meal, Cottonseed

Meal, Peanut

Meal, Rapeseed

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Growing consumption [6]

of oil meals in MY 2012/13 will likely put pressure on available domestic

supply, and may even potentially create some opportunity for imports. , During the period August 2012

to March 31, 2013 [7]

, the GOI allowed oilmeal imports at zero duty as an effort to augment domestic

supplies. While there are no quantitative restrictions on oilmeal imports, the availability of other cheap

feed material continues to generally discourage imports, even at zero import duty.

Aside from animal feed use, oil meals like soymeal are increasingly used in processed food products,

healthcare products, and also as low-cost high-protein supplements. Soymeal is also finding new niche

markets as a texturized protein (chunks, flakes, nuggets, and grains), to fortify other food products

(wheat flours, biscuits etc), or for the extraction of protein isolates (with a 90 percent or more protein

content, it is a good substitute for animal protein).

[6]

In past, high feed prices have made meat, milk and eggs dearer. In addition, it leads to demand compression and prompt

feed manufacturers to shift to unconventional feed ingredients. [7]

Government may extend the notification period if need be.

Trade:

Assuming strong international demand for Indian oil meal, meal exports are forecast to increase 5

percent to 5.6 million tons [8]

in MY 2013/14. The potential to export will be limited by strong

domestic consumption. During first 5 months of MY 2012/13, oilmeal exports dropped 12 percent

(Table 4), mainly due to reduced international demand. Specifically, declining sales in Japan, Iran, and

China, affected the volume of Indian oil meal exports. At the same time, Indian rapeseed and mustard

meal are increasingly finding new markets as organic products.

Table 4. India: Oilmeal Exports, In Thousand Metric Tons

Soybean meal Rapeseed meal Peanut meal Sunflower meal Total

Oct-12 49,840 39,058 0 0 88,898

Nov-12 517,103 66,966 0 0 584,069

Dec-12 494,456 26,590 0 0 521,046

Jan-13 619,793 69,990 0 0 689,783

Feb-13 581,606 45,656 0 0 627,262

Oct 12-Feb-13 2,262,798 248,260 0 0 2,511,058

Oct 11-Feb-12 2,475,893 364,518 0 0 2,840,411

Percent Change -9 -32 -12

Source: Solvent Extractors’ Association of India

Geographical proximity to Asian and the Middle Eastern countries, the ability to ship in smaller vessels,

delivering higher protein content (48 percent in soybean meal), and a marketing strategy focused on

non-GMO status, enhance India’s competitiveness as an oil meal exporter.

[8]

The forecast does not include castor and rice bran meal

Policy:

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Recent Policy Developments announced in the 2013/14 Union Budget (April-March)

The GOI has removed a 10 percent export duty on de-oiled rice bran cake. This commodity is an

important cattle feed ingredient of cattle feed, especially in markets like Vietnam.

The GOI has allocated Rs 132.15 billion for a mid-day meal program for schoolchildren, Rs 177

billion for an Integrated Child Development Service and host of other programs to promote

protein rich foods. Several state governments are also promoting increased utilization of low-

cost high-protein supplements derived from soybeans.

The GOI is proposing to establish a National Livestock Mission with a provision of Rs 3.07 billion to

attract investment and enhance productivity. This program will seek to promote the availability of

quality feed and fodder (including green fodder).

Commodities:

Oil, Coconut

Oil, Sunflowerseed

Oil, Cottonseed

Oil, Peanut

Oil, Rapeseed

Oil, Soybean

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Production:

Table 5. INDIA: TOTAL OILS PSD

OILS (‘000 metric tons) MY 2011/12 MY 2012/13 MY 2013/14

Revised Estimate Forecast

Crush 28,684 28,129 29,770

Beginning Stocks 1,602 1,577 1,460

Production 7 ,217 7,195 7,629

MY Imports 9,085 10,115 10,915

Total Supply 17,904 18,887 20,004

MY Exports 5 17 10

Industrial Dom. Cons. 625 690 770

Food Use Dom. Cons. 15,697 16,720 17,600

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0

Total Dom. Cons. 16,322 17,410 18,630

Ending Stocks 1,577 1,460 1,354

Total Distribution 17,904 18,887 20,004

An expected increase in total oilseed production, coupled with the larger oilseed crush is expected to

raise total edible oil production by 6 percent to 7.6 million tons in MY 2013/14. Rapeseed-mustard oil,

as well as soybean and peanut oil, will account for most of this increase. Edible oil production for

current marketing year is estimated at 7.2 million tons, which includes 2.5 million tons of rapeseed oil,

1.7 million tons of soybean oil, 1.2 million tons of peanut oil, 1.1 million tons of cottonseed oil, and

690,000 tons of coconut, palm and sunflower oils. Other minor edible oils such as rice bran oil, sesame

seed oil, safflower oil and niger seed oil are not included in this report.

Sesame seed oil is premium oil, exported in small but significant quantities to cater to niche demand

from overseas buyers. According to industry sources, sesame oil exports in MY 2011/12 were worth

$10.6 million. Countries such as China, Mexico, Taiwan, UAE, Singapore, the United States of

America, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom are the major buyers of Indian sesame oil.

Consumption:

Growing population, rising income levels and improved supply conditions are expected to continue to

drive edible oil consumption to 17.4 million tons in MY 2012/13, up 1.08 million tons over the previous

year. Palm oil will continue to be the largest consumed edible oil. Considering its versatility in

blending with other edible oils, competitive prices, increased usage across vanaspati (partially

hydrogenated vegetable oil), confectionary and margarine industries, its food use consumption will rise

to 8.4 million tons in MY 2013/14. After palm oil, soft oils such as soybean and rapeseed are the largest

edible oil segments estimated at 3.2 million tons and 2.6 million tons, respectively. Peanut, cottonseed

and sunflower together constitute the rest. The per capita edible oil consumption in India is increasing

Oil, Palm

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(currently estimated at 14.04 kg for MY 2012/13); however, this remains far below the estimated world

average per capita consumption of 22.4 kg.

Figure 1. India: Edible Oil Production and Consumption

Source: USDA, FAS

Note: Forecast year is 2013/14

Healthier Cooking Oils on Shelves

Given India’s current demographic profile, consumer tastes and preferences can vary widely from one

region to the next. Coconut, peanut and sunflower oil are widely consumed in south India, peanut and

cottonseed oils are more prevalent in Gujarat and Maharashtra, rapeseed oil in Northeast and Northwest

India, while soybean oil prevails in central India, and rice bran oil in eastern India.

Catering to very diverse preferences, India’s edible oil manufacturers are promoting fortified refined

palmolein, safflower and rice bran oil as healthy cooking oils, expanding capacity to produce various

palm and traditional oil blends. Use of cottonseed oil is also becoming more widespread, due to its light

color, neutral odor and blending characteristics with other oils.

Most of edible oil purchased by households or by institutional users (food processors, restaurants and

hotels) are sold in loose form or as vanaspati (partially hydrogenated vegetable oil). Vegetable oil sold

in loose form is often again repacked and re-sold under different private labels. However, the

percentage of refined oils that are directly branded and packaged by the refiners is also growing, as

consumers are becoming more aware of health and quality factors in their choice of food products.

According to industry sources, almost 35 to 40 percent of the edible oil market is branded. Branded

edible oils sold in low-volume low-priced packages or sachets are selling well, a development that

indicates a growing consumer preference for branded products.

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Trade:

India is the world’s largest importer of edible vegetable oil, followed by China and the EU-27. Rising

domestic consumption in India is expected to continue driving demand for imported edible oil, which

should reach 11 million tons in MY 2013/14, up 8 percent over the current year. The MY 2013/14

import forecast includes 8.4 million tons of palm oil, 1.3 million tons of soy oil, 1.2 million tons of

sunflower oil and 10,000 tons of other edible oils.

On January 23, 2013, the GOI published Customs Notification No 02/2013 introducing a 2.5 percent

import duty on crude edible vegetable oil. While the announcement was intended to basically to

protect domestic oilseed farmers, it did not affect the duty on refined cooking oil, which remains

unchanged at 7.5 percent.

Given Malaysia and Indonesia’s inverted export duty structure on crude and refined palm oil, and an

import duty difference of 5 percent between them, traders have been incentivized to build stocks of

refined oils. During first 5 months of the current year, total edible oil imports were up 20 percent at 4.7

million tons. Based on current trends, total imports are likely to grow 11 percent to 10.1 million tons in

MY 2012/13.

Table 6. India: Edible Oil Imports, In Thousand Metric Tons

Oct-

12

Nov-

12

Dec-

12

Jan-

13

Feb-

13

Oct 12-

Feb 13

Oct 11-

Feb- 12

Percent

Change

RBD palmolein 62 77 137 153 116 545 755 28

Crude palm oil 768 535 636 721 670 3,330 2,290 45

Crude palmolein 0 636 0 0 0 0 1 -

Crude Palm kern

oil 10 721 17 19 19 69 43 62

Total palm oil 840 615 791 893 805 3,944 3,089 28

Crude soybean

oil 92 14 22 103 63 294 328 10

Refined soybean 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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oil

Total soy oil 92 14 22 103 63 294 328 10

Crude sun oil 86 48 69 130 84 417 438 5

Refined sun oil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total sun oil 86 48 69 130 84 417 438 5

Canola Rape oil 0 0 2 6 0 8 25 68

Cottonseed Oil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Safflower oil 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 64

Coconut oil 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 100

Grand Total 1,018 676 883 1,133 954 4,665 3,880 20

Source: Solvent Extractors’ Association of India

Policy:

Recent Policy Developments

Per the recent DGFT notification No 32 (RE-2012)/2009-2014, the GOI has extended the

‘prohibition on export of edible oils’ until further notice (the previous order expired on October

2012). However, export of branded consumer packs up to 5 kg are permitted with a minimum

export price of USD 1500 per metric ton. The export restriction does not apply to non-edible

grade castor oil, coconut oil, and certain other specific tree oils.

The GOI has again extended the subsidized edible oil program for the year ending September 30,

2013. The program is intended to reach target beneficiaries, providing 1 million tons of

imported edible oils at a subsidy of Rs 15 per kg through state government’s public distribution

system (PDS).

The only biotech food product currently authorized for import into India is soybean oil derived from

glyphosate-tolerant soybeans. On June 22, 2007, the GEAC gave a permanent approval for importation

of soybean oil derived from Roundup Ready soybeans for consumption after refining. Also, as Bt

cotton now accounts for over 90 percent of the total cotton produced in India, most of the cottonseed oil

produced and consumed in India is GM.

Table 7. India: Import Duty Structure on Edible Oils, In Percent

Edible Oils Duty E.C S.A.D Effective Duty

Vanaspati (Partially hydrogenated fat) 7.5 3 4 12.03

Crude Palm Oil and Crude Olein 2.5 0 0 2.50

Crude Soy Oil (degummed) 2.5 0 0 2.50

Crude Sunflower Oil 2.5 0 0 2.50

RBD Palmolein 7.5 3 0 7.72

Refined Rapeseed Oil 7.5 3 0 7.72

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Refined Sunflower Oil & Other Oils 7.5 3 0 7.72

Refined Soybean Oil 7.5 0 0 7.50

(E.C- Educational Cess, S.A.D. – Special Additional Duty) Source: Department of Revenue, Ministry of Finance, Government of India

Table 8. India: Vegetable Oil Reference Price as on March 15, 2013

Oil $/Ton

Crude Palm Oil 838

RBD Palm Oil 870

Other-Palm Oil 854

Crude Palmolein 871

RBD Palmolein 874

Other-Palmolein 873

Crude Soybean Oil 1147

Note: Tariff values are revised from time to time by the GOI to reflect changes in international prices. The

import duty is applied to the current tariff value rather than to the actual invoice value.

Source: http://www.cbec.gov.in/customs/cs-act/notifications/notfns-2013/cs-nt2013/csnt30-2013.htm

Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:

Table 9: Commodity, Oilseed, Soybean, PSD

Oilseed, Soybean

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year Begin:

Oct 2011 Market Year Begin:

Oct 2012 Market Year Begin:

Oct 2013

USDA New USDA New USDA New

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Official Post Official Post Official Post Area Planted 10,300 10,270 10,800 10,700 11,000 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 10,270 10,270 10,800 10,700 11,000 (1000

HA) Beginning Stocks 505 505 335 335 315 (1000

MT) Production 11,000 11,000 11,500 11,200 12,000 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 11,505 11,505 11,835 11,535 12,315 (1000

MT) MY Exports 20 20 20 20 20 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Crush 9,600 9,600 9,900 9,600 10,300 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 550 550 600 600 640 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,100 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 11,150 11,150 11,500 11,200 12,040 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 335 335 315 315 255 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 11,505 11,505 11,835 11,535 12,315 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 20 10 20 10 10 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

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Table 10: Commodity, Meal, Soybean, PSD

Meal, Soybean

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 9,600 9,600 9,900 9,600 10,300 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 1. 0.8 1. 0.8 0.8 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 140 325 105 230 110 (1000 MT)

Production 7,680 7,680 7,920 7,680 8,240 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 6 65 6 0 50 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 7,826 8,070 8,031 7,910 8,400 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 4,391 4,540 4,250 4,400 4,600 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 330 300 350 300 320 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 3,000 3,000 3,350 3,100 3,250 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 3,330 3,300 3,700 3,400 3,570 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 105 230 81 110 230 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 7,826 8,070 8,031 7,910 8,400 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 6 0 6 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 3,953 3,665 4,250 3,800 3,800 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

SME 3,330 3,300 3,700 3,400 3,570 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 16: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 11: Commodity, Oil, Soybean, PSD

Oil, Soybean

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 9,600 9,600 9,900 9,600 10,300 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.176 0. 0.176 0.1796 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 235 317 368 479 364 (1000 MT)

Production 1,710 1,690 1,765 1,690 1,850 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 1,174 1,173 1,180 1,200 1,300 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 50 10 50 0 20 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 3,119 3,180 3,313 3,369 3,514 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 1 1 5 5 10 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 2,750 2,700 3,050 3,000 3,200 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

- 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 2,750 2,700 3,050 3,000 3,200 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 368 479 258 364 304 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 3,119 3,180 3,313 3,369 3,514 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 1,100 1,176 1,180 1,100 1,100 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 50 10 50 15 15 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 1 0 5 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 17: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 12: Commodity, Oilseed, Rapeseed, PSD

Oilseed, Rapeseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted 6,700 6,600 6,750 6,730 6,850 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 6,600 6,600 6,750 6,730 0 (1000

HA) Beginning Stocks 929 1,209 304 827 685 (1000

MT) Production 6,200 6,200 6,800 6,800 7,100 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 20 0 20 20 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 7,129 7,429 7,104 7,647 7,805 (1000

MT) MY Exports 0 2 0 2 2 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Crush 6,100 5,700 6,100 6,000 6,200 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 560 630 580 660 680 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 165 270 220 300 320 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 6,825 6,600 6,900 6,960 7,200 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 304 827 204 685 603 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 7,129 7,429 7,104 7,647 7,805 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT)

Page 18: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

TS=TD 0 0 0

Table 13: Commodity, Meal, Rapeseed, PSD

Meal, Rapeseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 6,100 5,700 6,100 6,000 6,200 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 1. 0.59 1. 0.59 0.5903 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 26 364 21 402 492 (1000 MT)

Production 3,645 3,363 3,645 3,540 3,660 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 3,671 3,727 3,666 3,942 4,152 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 1,000 925 900 950 1,000 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 2 0 2 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 2,650 2,400 2,745 2,500 2,700 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 2,650 2,400 2,745 2,500 2,700 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 21 402 21 492 452 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 3,671 3,727 3,666 3,942 4,152 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 878 1,262 900 800 800 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Page 19: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

SME 1,885 1,708 1,953 1,779 1,921 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Table 14: Commodity, Oil, Rapeseed, PSD

Oil, Rapeseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 6,100 5,700 6,100 6,000 6,200 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.4035 0. 0.41 0.4097 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 185 277 158 225 173 (1000 MT)

Production 2,310 2,300 2,310 2,460 2,540 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 98 0 95 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 2,593 2,577 2,563 2,685 2,713 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 2 2 2 2 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 50 0 60 70 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 2,433 2,300 2,475 2,450 2,500 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 2,433 2,350 2,475 2,510 2,570 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 158 225 86 173 143 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 2,593 2,577 2,563 2,685 2,713 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 93 0 95 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 2 0 2 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Page 20: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

TS=TD 0 0 0

Table 15: Commodity, Oilseed, Peanut, PSD

Oilseed, Peanut

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted 5,300 5,300 5,000 4,900 4,800 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 5,300 5,300 5,000 4,900 4,800 (1000

HA) Beginning Stocks 174 47 99 57 57 (1000

MT) Production 5,500 5,500 5,000 4,650 5,200 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 5,674 5,547 5,099 4,707 5,257 (1000

MT) MY Exports 1,050 790 427 600 650 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 20 1 20 2 2 (1000

MT) Crush 3,500 4,000 3,575 3,450 3,800 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 625 400 615 350 425 (1000

MT)

Page 21: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 400 300 400 250 325 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 4,525 4,700 4,590 4,050 4,550 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 99 57 82 57 57 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 5,674 5,547 5,099 4,707 5,257 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 800 535 425 500 525 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 22: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 16: Commodity, Meal, Peanut, PSD

Meal, Peanut

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 3,500 4,000 3,575 3,450 3,800 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.39 0. 0.4 0.4 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Production 1,370 1,560 1,400 1,380 1,520 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 1,370 1,560 1,400 1,380 1,520 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 10 1 15 10 10 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 5 10 5 10 10 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 1,355 1,549 1,380 1,360 1,500 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 1,360 1,559 1,385 1,370 1,510 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 1,370 1,560 1,400 1,380 1,520 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 10 9 15 10 10 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

SME 1,529 1,752 1,557 1,540 1,697 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 23: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 17: Commodity, Oil, Peanut, PSD

Oil, Peanut

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 3,500 4,000 3,575 3,450 3,800 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.3355 0. 0.34 0.34 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 50 49 35 32 135 (1000 MT)

Production 1,165 1,342 1,190 1,173 1,292 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 1,215 1,391 1,225 1,205 1,427 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 20 2 0 10 10 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 10 10 10 10 10 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 1,150 1,347 1,200 1,050 1,300 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 1,160 1,357 1,210 1,060 1,310 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 35 32 15 135 107 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 1,215 1,391 1,225 1,205 1,427 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 20 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 24: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 18: Commodity, Oilseed, Cottonseed, PSD

Oilseed, Cottonseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year Begin:

May 2011 Market Year Begin:

May 2012 Market Year Begin:

May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted (Cotton) 12,200 12,200 11,700 11,700 11,800 (1000

HA) Area Harvested (Cotton) 12,200 12,200 11,700 11,600 11,800 (1000

HA) Seed to Lint Ratio 0 0 0 0 0 (RATIO)

Beginning Stocks 204 144 396 146 108 (1000

MT) Production 11,300 11,302 10,800 10,662 11,185 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 11,504 11,446 11,196 10,808 11,293 (1000

MT) MY Exports 8 0 8 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Crush 8,400 8,100 8,300 7,700 8,050 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 2,700 3,200 2,692 3,000 3,100 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 11,100 11,300 10,992 10,700 11,150 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 396 146 196 108 143 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 11,504 11,446 11,196 10,808 11,293 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 8 0 8 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 25: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 19: Commodity, Meal, Cottonseed, PSD

Meal, Cottonseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 8,400 8,100 8,300 7,700 8,050 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.4695 0. 0.4695 0.4696 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Production 3,940 3,803 3,890 3,615 3,780 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 3,940 3,803 3,890 3,615 3,780 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 5 0 5 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 3,935 3,803 3,885 3,615 3,780 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 3,935 3,803 3,885 3,615 3,780 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 3,940 3,803 3,890 3,615 3,780 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 5 0 5 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

SME 3,189 3,082 3,148 2,929 3,063 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 26: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 20: Commodity, Oil, Cottonseed, PSD

Oil, Cottonseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 8,400 8,100 8,300 7,700 8,050 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.1426 0. 0.1425 0.1425 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 88 62 84 67 64 (1000 MT)

Production 1,210 1,155 1,190 1,097 1,147 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 1,298 1,217 1,274 1,164 1,211 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 42 40 43 35 45 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 1,172 1,110 1,180 1,065 1,100 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 1,214 1,150 1,223 1,100 1,145 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 84 67 51 64 66 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 1,298 1,217 1,274 1,164 1,211 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 27: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 21: Commodity, Oilseed, Sunflowerseed, PSD

Oilseed, Sunflowerseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted 750 745 800 800 830 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 735 735 800 800 830 (1000

HA) Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Production 620 620 670 700 725 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 620 620 670 700 725 (1000

MT) MY Exports 5 0 4 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Crush 580 530 590 600 625 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 35 90 76 100 100 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 615 620 666 700 725 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 620 620 670 700 725 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 5 0 4 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 28: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 22: Commodity, Meal, Sunflowerseed, PSD

Meal, Sunflowerseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year Begin:

May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year Begin:

May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 580 530 590 600 625 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.4811 0. 0.48 0.4806 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Production 275 255 280 288 298 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 275 255 280 288 298 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 275 255 280 288 298 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 275 255 280 288 298 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 275 255 280 288 298 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

SME 260 241 264 272 281 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 29: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 23: Commodity, Oil, Sunflowerseed, PSD

Oil, Sunflowerseed

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 580 530 590 600 625 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.3623 0. 0.3617 0.3584 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 100 231 137 437 454 (1000 MT)

Production 205 192 209 217 224 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 1,114 1,114 1,200 1,100 1,200 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 1,419 1,537 1,546 1,754 1,878 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 2 0 2 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 1,280 1,100 1,430 1,300 1,500 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 1,280 1,100 1,430 1,300 1,500 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 137 437 114 454 378 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 1,419 1,537 1,546 1,754 1,878 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 1,079 871 1,200 750 750 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 30: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 24: Commodity, Oilseed, Copra, PSD

Oilseed, Copra

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: May 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: May 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

HA) Trees 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

TREES) Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Production 736 755 736 780 800 (1000

MT) MY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 736 755 736 780 800 (1000

MT) MY Exports 18 1 18 1 0 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Crush 718 754 718 779 800 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 718 754 718 779 800 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 736 755 736 780 800 (1000

MT) CY Imports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 18 1 18 1 1 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 31: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 25: Commodity, Meal, Copra, PSD

Meal, Copra

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 718 754 718 779 800 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 0. 0.366 0. 0.3659 0.3663 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Production 255 276 255 285 293 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 50 45 50 50 60 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 305 321 305 335 353 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 10 15 10 20 23 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 295 306 295 315 330 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 305 321 305 335 353 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 305 321 305 335 353 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 50 60 50 60 60 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

SME 138 145 138 151 159 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 32: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 26: Commodity, Oil, Coconut, PSD

Oil, Coconut

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: May 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Crush 718 754 718 779 800 (1000 MT)

Extr. Rate, 999.9999 1. 0.6207 1. 0.62 0.62 (PERCENT)

Beginning Stocks 0 16 0 20 28 (1000 MT)

Production 447 468 447 483 496 (1000 MT)

MY Imports 2 1 3 15 15 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Supply 449 485 450 518 539 (1000 MT)

MY Exports 5 0 5 0 0 (1000 MT)

MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Industrial Dom. Cons. 223 225 225 235 245 (1000 MT)

Food Use Dom. Cons. 221 240 220 255 260 (1000 MT)

Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

Total Dom. Cons. 444 465 445 490 505 (1000 MT)

Ending Stocks 0 20 0 28 34 (1000 MT)

Total Distribution 449 485 450 518 539 (1000 MT)

CY Imports 5 20 5 20 20 (1000 MT)

CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

CY Exports 5 5 5 5 5 (1000 MT)

CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000 MT)

TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 33: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption

Table 27: Commodity, Oil, Palm, PSD

Oil, Palm

India

2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014

Market Year

Begin: Oct 2011 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2012 Market Year

Begin: Oct 2013

USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post USDA

Official New

Post

Area Planted 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

HA) Area Harvested 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

HA) Trees 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

TREES) Beginning Stocks 571 651 669 318 243 (1000

MT) Production 50 70 50 75 80 (1000

MT) MY Imports 7,473 6,797 8,000 7,800 8,400 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Imp. from EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Supply 8,094 7,518 8,719 8,193 8,723 (1000

MT) MY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) MY Exp. to EU 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Industrial Dom. Cons. 300 300 325 350 400 (1000

MT) Food Use Dom. Cons. 7,125 6,900 7,800 7,600 8,000 (1000

MT) Feed Waste Dom. Cons. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) Total Dom. Cons. 7,425 7,200 8,125 7,950 8,400 (1000

MT) Ending Stocks 669 318 594 243 323 (1000

MT) Total Distribution 8,094 7,518 8,719 8,193 8,723 (1000

MT) CY Imports 7,400 7,100 8,000 7,100 7,100 (1000

MT) CY Imp. from U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exports 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) CY Exp. to U.S. 0 0 0 0 0 (1000

MT) TS=TD 0 0 0

Page 34: THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND … · The FY 2013/14 Union Budget provides for a withdrawal of the education cess and secondary and higher education cess exemption