International Civil Aviation Organization

The Status of Aviation Safety in the Eastern Caribbean

Nancy Graham Director, Air Navigation Bureau

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ICAO as your Regional “Mirror”

CLARITY IMPROVEMENT

3

Global Traffic by UN Region (2007-2011)

Sources: Ascend Worldwide, Official Airlines Guide (OAG) – Scheduled Commercial Traffic. Preliminary Data.

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Depa

rtur

es

Africa AsiaEurope Latin America and the CaribbeanNorthern America Oceania

Latin America and the Caribbean

122

138

113 121 117

15 16 13 19

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Num

ber o

f Acc

iden

ts

Accidents and Fatal Accidents per Year Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2250 kg

Five year moving average

4

Global Accidents (2002-2011)

Fatal Accidents

All Accidents

On average, 1 out of 7 accidents have been fatal

over the past 10 years

2011 figures are based on preliminary data

1

0

1 1

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1

2

3

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Num

ber o

f Acc

iden

ts

Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2250 k

5

Eastern Caribbean Accidents (2002-2011)

Fatal Accidents

All Accidents

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Eastern Caribbean Overall Fatalities (2002-2011)

Five year moving average Global Fatalities

CAR Fatalities

645

524

670707

414

0 0 0 0 00

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Num

ber o

f Fat

aliti

es

Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250

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Accidents in Detail- Main Killers Accidents & Related Fatalities by Occurrence Categories

Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )

Runway Safety Related

Loss of Control Inflight

Controlled Flight into Terrain

ICAO SAFETY PRIORITIES

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Overview of Accident Trend

Globally, the number of fatalities, accident rate and fatal accident rate are stable. 2011 data show a slight increase in 2011 figures. Three categories (runway safety, loss of control, and CFIT)

account for 67% of all fatalities over 10 years; focused actions ongoing in each area

Latin America and the Caribbean is a medium traffic region – 4th highest in the world Eastern Caribbean very low traffic volume

Low number of accidents cannot indicate any trends

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Global USOAP Results Effective Implementation by Region

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Eastern Caribbean States USOAP Results - Effective Implementation by State

States with Effective Implementation Exceeding Global Average

Trinidad and Tobago

World Average

½ World Average

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Matching Priorities Effective Implementation by State

Lower EI: Focus on the 8 Critical Elements

Higher EI: Target

Operational Issues

Outcomes of GRSS: – Collaboration of all stakeholders is required - RSP Partners commitment – Runway Safety Teams (RSTs) – multidisciplinary teams should be established locally

and hosted by the airports

Regional Runway Safety Seminars (RRSSs): – Promote and enhance implementation of mitigations and best practices through RSTs – 3-day format includes optional workshop for new RSTs – Miami event in 2011 and another tentatively planned for Mexico City in the last

quarter of 2012. Mexico City airport is first pilot airport to establish a Runway Safety Team; Jamaica has also established an RST and Cuba plans to.

Runway Safety Website www.icao.int/RunwaySafety : – Easy access to information on public website, including documents and toolkits from

RSP Partners – Development of online guidance material for RSTs – Development of online RST Action Plan Tool

Addressing the Operational Issue: Runway Safety

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ICAO Actions: • Host monthly meetings of international regulators and experts, in coordination with

the US FAA ARC on LOC-I and the International Committee for Aviation Training in Extended Envelope (March through September 2012)

• Collect globally acceptable best practices, including mitigating HF issues, for upset prevention and recovery training (UPRT) as a basis for ICAO provisions development

• Publish requirements, procedures and guidance for UPRT

Deliverables: • Licensing and Training requirements (Annex 1 and Annex 6, Part I) – Nov 2013 • UPRT provisions for MPL, CPL, type-rating and recurrent training in PANS-TRG -2013 • Manual on UPRT and update of DOC 9625 for FSTD modeling – December 2012 • Symposium on UPRT/LOC-I in 2014

Loss of Control In-flight ICAO website: • Easy access to information on public website, including documents and toolkits for

UPRT • Development of online guidance material for UPRT

Addressing the Operational Issue: Loss of Control

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Major improvement in the last decade due to: • EGPWS equipage now mandatory for all turbine aeroplanes with a

MTOW > 5,7 T or carrying more than 9 passengers • Glass cockpit installed on many GA aeroplanes have some form of

terrain alerting system • Effort by ICAO and Industry on education and training (e.g. ALAR Tool

Kit)

Focus is now on implementation of Performance-based Navigation (PBN) • Objective is the provision of approach with vertical guidance at every

instrument runway of every airport

Several initiatives under consideration by the OPS panel to increase situation awareness • Head-up display, synthetic and enhanced vision systems

Addressing the Operational Issue: Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT)

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Developing a harmonized safety reporting system for: • USOAP ICVM • Runway Safety • Accident and Incidents • State Safety Overview

Expanding Safety Analysis Tools

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Expanding Safety Analysis Capabilities

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http://www.icao.int/iSTARS

Policy & Standardization – Working WITH the Aviation Community (Global Aviation Safety Plan) – Walking the talk of Safety Management – Realizing synergies between GASP and GANP

Safety Monitoring & Analysis – Continuous Monitoring – Facilitating the collection, sharing and use of

safety intelligence – Generating new sources of safety data

Taking Action to improve Safety – Coordinated community responses – Addressing the main killers – Addressing the regional differences

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Tomorrow’s Needs - New Safety Strategy

2012

Doc 99XX

Safety Management Update

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19

Safety Management

Revised Safety Management Manual has been published in with additional guidance on the State Safety Programme

New Annex 19 – First meeting of the Panel in Nov 2011 – Draft Annex proposed to ANC in April

2012 (Nov 2013 applicability) – First edition is primarily a compilation

of existing SARPs – Further amendments will be

considered by the Panel in the future

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Air Transport Safety Indicator

ICAO’s First Safety Report – Launched on International Civil

Aviation Day 2011 – Published in all ICAO languages – Provides an overview of the

status of aviation safety – Identifies key Safety Issues – Outlines ICAO and partner

safety initiatives

Thank you

• RASGS Operational • RASGS Planned

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