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The State and Future of Mammal Populations in The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Arctic Change Arctic Change Dan James, Chad Jay, Steven Amstrup, and Dave Douglas Dan James, Chad Jay, Steven Amstrup, and Dave Douglas U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

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Page 1: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

The State and Future of Mammal Populations in The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Oceanthe Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean

Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels of Arctic ChangeArctic Change

Dan James, Chad Jay, Steven Amstrup, and Dave DouglasDan James, Chad Jay, Steven Amstrup, and Dave Douglas, y, p, g, y, p, gU.S. Geological SurveyU.S. Geological Survey

U.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

Page 2: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

?

Habitat LossHabitat LossIndustryIndustrySubsistenceSubsistence

TourismTourism

Page 3: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Why polar bears and walrus?y pArctic undergoing rapid change

Both species are symbols of the Arctic

Both species integrate change at lower trophic levels

Both species tightly tied to sea ice – proxies for the status of the arctic ecosystem

Page 4: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Lif Hi tLife History

Page 5: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Atlantic

Pacific walrus

(90% of the

Atlantic walrus

(90% of the world

population)

Page 6: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

G l Bi lGeneral Biology

Page 7: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

General Biology ...

Page 8: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Life HistoryLife History

Page 9: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

RANGE OF POLAR BEARSIN THE POLAR BASIN

RUSSIAIN THE POLAR BASIN

GREENLANDNORTHNORTH POLE

CANADAALASKA

U.S.A

Page 10: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Polar Bears Polar Bears Utilize three Utilize three Ecological Ecological ggStrategiesStrategies

Page 11: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Life history dependence on sea iceLife history dependence on sea ice

••ForagingForaging

••ReproductionReproductionpp

Page 12: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Like all bears, polar bears begin life very small.Like all bears, polar bears begin life very small.

Page 13: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

••Females can weigh 800 pounds and males 1400 pounds Females can weigh 800 pounds and males 1400 pounds

P l b li f 30P l b li f 30••Polar bears live for 30 years.Polar bears live for 30 years.

••There are 22,000 There are 22,000 -- 25,000 polar bears in the Arctic.25,000 polar bears in the Arctic.

Page 14: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

DiatomsDiatoms

PolarPolarPolarPolarbearbear

ArcticArcticf d h if d h ifood chainfood chain

CopepodsCopepodsArctic codArctic cod

Ringed sealRinged seal

CopepodsCopepods

Page 15: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Research ChallengesResearch Challengesgg

I d t 80% f tiI d t 80% f ti Live on surfaceLive on surfaceIn or under water 80% of timeIn or under water 80% of time Live on surfaceLive on surface

Page 16: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Research ChallengesResearch Challengesgg

t 1997*

Can

ice extent 16 Sept. 1997

Beaufort Sea

Chukchi

Males to land

Russia Alaska Sea

Bering Sea

Females stay with ice

ice extent11 March1997*

WALRUSWALRUSLarge, segregated migrationsLarge, segregated migrations

POLAR BEARSPOLAR BEARSMixed populationsMixed populations

*Source: National I

g , g g gg , g g g p pp p

Page 17: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Research ChallengesResearch Challengesgg

Harder to capture Harder to capture or handleor handle

Easier to capture Easier to capture or handleor handle

Page 18: The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the …The State and Future of Mammal Populations in the Beaufort Sea and Arctic Ocean Polar Bears and Walrus as Sentinels ofPolar Bears

Sea Ice, Arctic Climate, andSea Ice, Arctic Climate, andSea Ice, Arctic Climate, and Sea Ice, Arctic Climate, and Wildlife HabitatWildlife Habitat

Al k S i C tU.S. Department of the InteriorU.S. Geological Survey

Alaska Science Center