The Seventh Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studiesconferences.law.stanford.edu/cels2012/wp-content/...10:30-11:45 a.m. Empirical Methods Lectures II Modern Trends in Data Mining

The Seventh AnnualConference on Empirical Legal StudiesNovember 9-10, 2012

ContentsWi-Fi ......................................................................................................................... 2

Overview .................................................................................................................. 3

Shuttle...................................................................................................................... 4

Maps ......................................................................................................................... 5

Rooms ...................................................................................................................... 6

Full Schedule

Friday, November 9 .......................................................................................... 7 Saturday, November 10 .................................................................................. 13

SELS ....................................................................................................................... 19

Wi-Fi InformationNetwork: Stanford Visitor

Open a browser and load any URL and click to acknowledge the terms of use.

PapersPapers and posters presented at the conference are available in a secured repository online:

URL: http://cels.stanford.edu/papers

Username: cels

Password: mcmc

Please refer to the conference website (http://cels.stanford.edu) for other logistical information.

Panel FormatsEach panel has been scheduled for two hours for three papers, with 40 minutes dedicated to each paper. Papers should be presented in the order they appear on the program. For each 40 minute block, presenters have 18 minutes to give the paper, discussants have 8 minutes to respond, and the audience has 14 minutes for general questions and comments.

The Seventh Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies 3

Friday, November 9 Room

8:15-9:00 a.m. Registration & Continental Breakfast First Floor

9:00-10:15 a.m. Empirical Methods Lectures IBayesian Data Analysis 180Spatial Statistics 95BJS Workshop 90

10:15-10:30 a.m. Break First Floor

10:30-11:45 a.m. Empirical Methods Lectures IIModern Trends in Data Mining 95Online Surveys 90

11:45 a.m.-12:30 p.m. Lunch Paul Brest Hall

12:30-2:30 p.m. Session I Bankruptcy Faculty LoungeCivil Justice I 95Comparative Law 280BCourts and Judging I 180Criminal Justice I 190Intellectual Property I 90Law and Finance I 280A

2:30-2:45 p.m. Break First Floor

2:45-4:45 p.m. Session IICorporate Governance I 280BCourts and Judging II 180Criminal Justice II 280AEmployment Discrimination 90Law and Politics I 190Tax 185Torts/Medical Malpractice 95

5:00-6:30 p.m. Reception & Poster Session Law Café

6:45-8:30 p.m. Keynote Dinner Paul Brest HallKeynote Address: Ian Ayres“Confessions of a Predictive Analytics

Consultant”Introduction: Dean M. Elizabeth

Magill

Saturday, November 10 Room

8:15-8:45 a.m. Continental Breakfast First Floor

8:45-10:45 a.m. Session IIIContracts 280ACorporate Governance II 95Courts and Judging III 280BCriminal Justice III 190Family Law 180Law and Finance II 185Law and Politics II 90

10:45-11:00 a.m. Break First Floor

11:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. Session IVCorporate Governance III 185Courts and Judging IV 190Criminal Justice IV 180Health Care/Law and Science 280BLaw and Finance III 90Law and Psychology I 95Lawyering/Legal Profession 280A

1:00-2:00 p.m. Lunch Paul Brest Hall

2:00-4:00 p.m. Session VCivil Justice II 185Corporate Governance IV 280BCourts and Judging V 85Criminal Justice V 95Intellectual Property II 90Law and Politics III 180Law and Psychology II 190

Overview

4 Stanford Law School

Friday, November 9, 2012Hotels to SLS: 7:15 a.m.-11:30 a.m.

For Dinner Non-Attendees:SLS to Hotels: 6:30 p.m.- 7:30 p.m.

For Dinner Attendees:SLS to Hotels: 8:15 p.m.- 9:30 p.m.

Saturday, November 10, 2012Hotels to SLS: 7:45 a.m.- 9:15 a.m.

SLS to Hotels: 3:30 p.m.- 4:30 p.m.

Shuttle service will run every 25-30 minutes. Shuttle drop off and pick up at Stanford Law School is at Arguello Mall and Bowdoin Lane marked as B on map. All shuttle times are approximate.

Alternative Transportation(1) The Stanford Park Hotel runs a courtesy shuttle, which you may schedule at 650-322-1234. Availability is on a

first-come, first-served basis.

(2) Stanford’s “Marguerite” shuttle is also available when CELS shuttle is not available. For more information or full a Marguerite schedule and map, please see the registration desk in Cooley Courtyard at Stanford Law School or visit: http://transportation.stanford.edu/marguerite/. The easiest pick up location is at the Palo Alto Transit Center and the closest stop is at Campus Drive East by the Munger Residences.

(3) Cabs are available by calling Yellow Cab at 650-289-0200 or Yellow Checker Cab at 650-321-1234.

(4) Airport Super Shuttle: 800-BLUE VAN (258-3883).

(5) Car Service: Reliable Rides, 650-573-1482 or Mosaic Global Transportation, 800-398-7881.

Shuttle


Maps

Bowdoin Ln

Wilbur Way

Nath

an A

bbott

Way

Lane A

Arguello Mall

Lane C

Cam

pus D

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Line X

and Y

stop

Shuttle Pick-up/Drop-off

StanfordLaw School

See “Rooms” map for classroom locations

D E

Unive

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Ave

Emba

rcade

ro

Galve

z St

Serra

St

Campus Dr

Campus Dr

Lane A

Nathan Abbott Wy

Bowdoin Ln

Junipero Serra Blvd

Arboretum

El Camino Real (82)

Alma St

Palm Dr

Quarry Rd

Stan

ford

Ave

Page

Mill

RdOr

egon

Exp

y

Sand

Hill

Rd

C

Stanford Park Hotel

Munger Graduate Residence

Sheraton

The Westin

Transit Center

A

A

B

Cam

pus D

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Stanford Law School559 Nathan Abbott WayStanford, CA 94305

Shuttle Pick-up/Drop-off

Stanford Park Hotel100 El Camino RealMenlo Park, CA 94025(650) 322-1234

Sheraton Palo Alto Hotel625 El Camino RealPalo Alto, CA 94301(650) 328-2800

The Westin Palo Alto675 El Camino RealPalo Alto, CA 94301(650) 321-4422

D

C

E

B

A

Parking Structure 6

(PS-6)

Paul

Bres

t Hall

Greater Area

Stanford Law School Campus


Rooms

Basement First Floor

Emergency

Exit

80

Elev

ator

190

180

Exit

Exit

Main Entrance

Elev

ator

9095

*Maps are not to scale but are intended, rather, for orientation purposes.

85

185

285

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290

280A

230

Second Floor

Breezeway - Second Floor

280B283

271

Faculty Lounge

272

270

(to administration

building)


Full Schedule: Friday, November 9

8:15-8:45 a.m. Continental Breakfast

9:00-10:15 a.m. Methods Lectures IBayesian Data AnalysisSimon Jackman

Room 180

Abstract: Bayesian data analysis uses Bayes’ Theorem to update beliefs about parameters and hypotheses based on data. The lecture reviews conceptual distinctions between Bayesian and (conventional) frequentist inference, emphasizing the conceptual simplicity of the Bayesian approach. Practical examples from social science also demonstrate the utility of Bayesian inference.

Spatial Statistics and GISPatricia Carbajales

Room 95

Abstract: This lecture will provide an overview to spatial statistics and “geographic information systems” (GIS). It will discuss the basics of GIS software, data models, shapefiles, geodatabases, earth reference systems, projections, visualization, and spatial analysis.

Bureau of Justice StatisticsThomas Cohen

Room 90

Abstract: This lecture will provide an overview of core data collection activities related to state and federal courts by the Bureau of Justice Statistics. The lecture will cover several topics, including: (1) the processing and sentencing of felony defendants in state courts; (2) data on civil litigation in state court systems; (3) the organizational characteristics of courts, prosecutors, and indigent defenders; (4) the disposition of criminal appeals; and (5) the Federal Justice Statistics Program linked data file.

10:30-11:45 a.m. Methods Lectures IIModern Trends in Data MiningTrevor Hastie

Room 95

Abstract: As their ability to capture and organize large amounts of data increases, organizations rely more on datamining technology to learn from this valuable resource. We will give several examples of this process, based on our own experiences. This lecture will give a brief overview of some of the most promising new methods for ”supervised” learning, including the lasso, random forests, boosting, and support vector machines.

Internet SurveysDouglas Rivers

Room 90

Abstract: This lecture will provide an overview of recent developments in internet surveys. It will consider the advantages and disadvantages of internet surveys relative to other modes (such as phone, mail, and face-to-face). Recent developments for sample selection, matching, weighting and modeling data with non-response and self-selection will be described, along with applications to elections, public policy and consumer choice.

11:45 a.m.-12:30 p.m. Lunch Paul Brest Hall



12:30-2:30 p.m. Session I

Faculty Lounge BankruptcySocial Networks and Personal BankruptcyMichelle Miller

Discussant:Marcus Cole

Provision of Incentives in Chapter 11 FirmsVidhan Goyal, Wei Wang

Discussant:Richard Craswell

Bankrupt ApologiesJennifer Robbennolt, Robert Lawless

Discussant:Joseph Doherty


Room 95 Civil Justice IBuilding a Taxonomy of Litigation: Clusters of Causes of

Action in Federal ComplaintsChristina Boyd, David Hoffman, Zoran Obradovic

Discussant:Marc Galanter

Justice or Just between Us: Empirical Evidence of the Trade-Off between Procedural and Interactional Justice in Workplace Dispute Resolution

Adam Seth Litwin, Zev Eigen

Discussant:Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar

Material Facts in the Dispute Over Twombly and Iqbal: Using Defense Summary Judgment Win Rates to Measure the Quality of Cases Affected by Heightened Pleading

Jonah Gelbach

Discussant:William Hubbard


Room 280B Comparative LawWhy Do Countries Adopt Constitutional Review?Mila Versteeg, Tom Ginsburg

Discussant:Barry Weingast

Suing the Leviathan: An Empirical Analysis of the Changing Rate of Administrative Litigation in China

Ji Li

Discussant:Deborah Hensler

An Empirical Exploration of Mock Jury Trial: Paving the Ground for Introducing Lay Participation in Taiwan

Chang-Ching Lin, Kuo-Chang Huang

Discussant:Shari Diamond


Room 180 Courts and Judging IBiases in Perception of JudgmentsChen Toubul, Oren Gazal-Ayal, Ronen Perry

Discussant:Mark Kelman

Lay Judgments of Legal Decision-Making: The Ineffectiveness of Legal Expert Opinions

Dan Simon, Nicholas Scurich

Discussant:Victoria Plaut

What Makes the Bonding Stick? A Natural Experiment Involving the U.S. Supreme Court and Cross-Listed Firms

Amir Falk, Yitzhak Benbaji, Yuval Feldman

Discussant:Katerina Linos




Room 190 Criminal Justice IThe Penalties for PiracyEugene Kontorovich

Discussant:Allen Weiner

Organizational Structure, Police Activity and Crime: Evidence from an Organizational Reform in Jails

Itai Ater, Oren Rigbi, Yehonatan Givati

Discussant:Anne Joseph O’Connell

Does the ‘Community Prosecution’ Strategy Reduce Crime? A Test of Chicago’s Experience

Thomas Miles

Discussant:Robert Weisberg


Room 90 Intellectual Property IDo Applicant Patent Citations Matter? Implications for the

Presumption of ValidityBhaven Sampat, Christopher Cotropia, Mark Lemley

Discussant:David Abrams

Unenforceable PatentsJason Rantanen, Lee Petherbridge, R. Polk Wagner

Discussant:Brian Love

The Presumption of Validity in Patent Litigation: An Experimental Study

Christopher Seaman, David Schwartz

Discussant:Matthew Sag


Room 280A Law and Finance IMeasuring Fiduciary and Investor Losses in 401(k) PlansIan Ayres, Quinn Curtis

Discussant:Jonathan Levin

Labor Unions and the Cost of DebtA. Joseph Warburton, Deniz Anginer, Min Zhu

Discussant:Eric Talley

The Effect of Labor on Corporate Finance: Evidence from the 1986 Immigration Reform

Kate Litvak

Discussant:Paul Oyer

2:30-4:45 p.m. Break

2:45-4:45 p.m. Session II

Room 280B Corporate Governance IAn Empirical Critique of the Myth that Markets Value Merger

AgreementsJeffrey Manns, Robert Anderson

Discussant:Rui de Figueiredo

Fixing Multi-Forum Shareholder LitigationMinor Myers

Discussant:Janet Alexander

Private Policing of Mergers and Acquisitions: An Empirical Assessment of Institutional Lead Plaintiffs in Transactional Litigation

David Webber

Discussant:Michael Klausner



Room 180 Courts and Judging IIBelow the Bar? Racial and Gender Bias in Judicial NominationsMaya Sen

Discussant:Lauren Edelman

The Partisan Character of State Supreme Court Retention ElectionsHerbert Kritzer

Discussant:Jed Stiglitz

Judicial Selection and Death Penalty DecisionsBrandice Canes-Wrone, Jason Kelly, Tom Clark

Discussant:Michael Gilbert


Room 280A Criminal Justice IILegal Change and Sentencing Norms in the Wake of Booker: The

Impact of Time and Place on Drug Trafficking Cases in Federal Court

Mona Lynch, Marisa Omori

Discussant:Elina Treyger

Estimating Gender Disparities in Federal Criminal CasesSonja Starr

Discussant:Seth Seabury

Structural Bias in the Sentencing of Felony DefendantsJohn Sutton

Discussant:Calvin Morrill


Room 90 Employment DiscriminationRobbing a Barren Vault: The Implications of Dukes v. Wal-Mart for

Cases Challenging Subjective Employment PracticesElizabeth Tippett

Discussant:Richard Ford

Choice-Based Discrimination: Labor Force Type Discrimination Against Gay Men, the Obese and Mothers

Tamar Katz

Discussant:Ralph Richard Banks

Law, Norms, and the Motherhood/Caretaker PenaltyCatherine Albiston, Shelley Correll, Traci Tucker

Discussant:Zev Eigen


Room 190 Law and Politics IScaling Meaningful Political DimensionsBenjamin Lauderdale, Tom Clark

Discussant:Adam Bonica

Measuring the Complexity of the Law: The U.S. CodeDaniel Katz, J.J. Prescott, Michael Bommarito

Discussant:Justin Grimmer

Lost in Space? Heuristics, Spatial Voting, and Polling-Place Information in Low-Salience Elections

Cheryl Boudreau, Christopher Elmendorf, Scott MacKenzie

Discussant:Jonathan Rodden




Room 185 TaxCorporate ShamsJoshua Blank, Nancy Staudt

Discussant:Joseph Bankman

Tax Expenditure SalienceJacob Goldin, Yair Listokin

Discussant:Nancy Staudt

Legal Salience: An Empirical Analysis of the Decision to Seek Administrative Relief

Andrew Hayashi

Discussant:Yun-chien Chang


Room 95 Torts / Medical MalpracticeAssuring Adequate Deterrence in Tort: A Public Good ExperimentChristoph Engel, Theodore Eisenberg

Discussant:Thomas Miles

Does Medical Malpractice Deter? The Impact of Tort Reforms and Malpractice Standard Reforms on Healthcare Quality

Michael Frakes

Discussant:Justin McCrary

The Receding Tide of Medical Malpractice LitigationBernard Black, David Hyman, Myungho Paik

Discussant:Max Schanzenbach

5:00-6:30 p.m. Reception and Poster Session

Law CaféIt Ain’t What You Get, It Is the Way That You Get It - An Empirical

Analysis of Victim CompensationJosé Mulder

The CARD Act on Campus Jim Hawkins

Does Mortgage Deregulation Increase Foreclosures?: Evidence from Cleveland

Yilan Xu

Institutional Influences on Appellate Panels: Presiding Justice and Opinion Justice Effects, and Perceptions of Israel Supreme Court Justices

Issachar Rosen-Zvi, Talia Fisher, Theodore Eisenberg

Precedent in Civil Law Constitutional Courts Benjamin Bricker

Boards in Practice: Director Location, Qualifications, and Credible Contracting

Conrad Ciccotello, Mark Chen, Zinat Alam

Activism an the Shift to Annual Director Elections Re-Jin Guo, Timothy Kruse, Tom Nohel

Who is Afraid of the Stick? Experimentally Testing the Deterrent Effect of Sanction Certainty

Christoph Engel, Daniel Nagin

Local Agency Bias in California Appellate Court Opinions on the California Environmental Quality Act

Ethan Elkind, Michael Enion, Sean Hecht

Risk Management for the Future: Age, Risk, and Choice Architecture On Amir, Orly Lobel

Software Patents as a Barrier to Scientific Transparency: An Unexpected Consequence of Bayh-Dole

Isabel Reich, Victoria Stodden



Predictably Incoherent Justice Andrew Wistrich, Chris Guthrie, Jeffrey Rachlinski

Too Big to Jail Hansoo Choi

Freeze-Outs Before Cross-Listings: An Analysis of the Mardi Gras Strategy

Dhammika Dharmapala, Vikramaditya Khanna

Citizen Responses to the Supreme Courts Health Care and Immigration Rulings: Comparing Experimental and Observational Methods

Katerina Linos, Kimberly Twist

Why Recusals Don’t Matter: Strategic Voting and Split Decisions on the United States Supreme Court

Robert Hume

Medical Accidents: Predicting Compensation Sofia Amaral-Garcia

Restorative Justice and its Effects on (Racially Disparate) Punitive School Discipline

David Simson

Property Rights & Attitudes Toward Environmental Regulation: An Empirical Investigation

Cherie Metcalf

The Industry-Specific Regulatory Constraint Database (IRCD): A Numerical Database on Industry-Specific Regulations for All U.S. Industries and Federal Regulations, 1997-2010

Omar Al-Ubaydli, Patrick McLaughlin

Corporate Litigation and Corporate Governance Restructuring Alfred Yawson, Chelsea Liu, Yossi Aharony

Trademarks as Keywords: Much Ado About Something? David Franklyn, David Hyman

Arbitrage Risk and Market Efficiency – Applications to Securities Class Actions

Rajeev Bhattacharya, Stephen O’Brien

Toward Legal Empowerment - An Empirical Account of Paralegal Services in China’s Labor Rights Protection

Xuanming Pan

Irregular Kelo Takings: A Potential Response to Natural Disasters Fredrick Vars

6:45-8:30 p.m. Keynote Dinner

Paul Brest Hall, Munger Graduate ResidenceKeynote Address: Ian Ayres, William K. Townsend Professor of Law, Yale Law School

“Confessions of a Predictive Analytics Consultant”

Introduction by M. Elizabeth Magill, Richard E. Lang Professor of Law and Dean, Stanford Law School


5:00-6:30 p.m. Reception and Poster Session

Law Café


Full Schedule: Saturday, November 10

8:15-8:45 a.m. Continental Breakfast

8:45-10:45 a.m. Session III

Room 280A ContractsThe Role of Dynamic Renegotiation and Asymmetric Information

in Financial ContractingMichael Roberts

Discussant:Alexander Stremitzer

Set in Stone? Change and Innovation in Consumer Standard Form Contracts

Florencia Marotta-Wurgler, Robert Taylor

Discussant:Barbara Fried

The Psychology of Contract PrecautionsDavid Hoffman, Tess Wilkinson-Ryan

Discussant:Richard Brooks


Room 95 Corporate Governance IICompetition and Corporate Fraud WavesAndrew Winton, Tracy Wang

Discussant:Jennifer Arlen

CEO Connectedness and Corporate FraudsE. Han Kim, Vikramaditya Khanna, Yao Lu

Discussant:Michal Barzuza

What Makes Firms Lawful? A Natural Experiment in Institutional Substitutes

Amir Licht, Christopher Poliquin, Jordan Siegel

Discussant:Robert Jackson


Room 280B Courts and Judging IIIPanel Effects in Administrative Law: A Study of Rules, Standards,

and Judicial WhistleblowingEmerson Tiller, Kristin Hickman, Morgan Hazelton

Discussant:Linda Cohen

Race, Prediction, and Pretrial DetentionFrank McIntyre, Shima Baradaran

Discussant:Hadar Aviram

Prosecutor Elections, Mistakes, and AppealsBryan McCannon

Discussant:David Ball


Room 190 Criminal Justice IIIPublic Costs and Over PunishmentAlexander Peysakhovich, Aurélie Ouss

Discussant:Daniel Kessler

The Imprisoners Dilemma: A Cost Benefit Approach to Incarceration

David Abrams

Discussant:Frank Zimring

Punishment and Recidivism in Drunk DrivingBenjamin Hansen

Discussant:Joshua Fischman




Room 180 Family LawCan You Buy Sperm Donor Identification? An ExperimentI. Glenn Cohen, Travis Coan

Discussant:Melissa Murray

Public Intuitions About Fair Child Support Allocations: Converging Evidence for an ‘Ability to Contribute’ Rule

Ira Ellman, Robert MacCoun, Sanford Braver

Discussant:Michael Wald

Pornography and DivorceRobert Daines, Tyler Shumway

Discussant:Victoria Stodden


Room 185 Law and Finance IIMortgage Securitization: The Good, the Bad, or the Irrelevant?Gang (Nathan) Dong

Discussant:Dirk Jenter

Thirty Years of Shareholder Rights and Stock ReturnsAllen Ferrell, K.J. Martijn Cremers

Discussant:Paul Pfleiderer

The Difference a Day Makes: Measuring the Impact of Payday Loan Length on the Probability of Repayment

Justin Sydnor, Paige Skiba, Susan Carter

Discussant:Ryan Bubb


Room 90 Law and Politics IIProcess Utility, Participation, and the Value of Democracy to

HumansRebecca Morton, Stephan Tontrup

Discussant:Aaron Edlin

The Power of the Purse and the Reversionary BudgetGary Cox

Discussant:Matthew Spitzer

Moderating Political Extremism: Single Round vs Runoff Elections Under Plurality Rule

Guido Tabellini, Massimo Bordignon, Tommaso Nannicini

Discussant:Sean Gailmard

10:45-11:00 a.m. Break

11:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. Session IV

Room 185 Corporate Governance IIIWhy Do IPO Firms Have Takeover Defenses?Jonathan Karpoff, Sangho Yi, William Johnson

Discussant:Katherine Litvak

Board Structure and Monitoring: New Evidence from CEO Turnover

Lixiong Guo, Ronald Masulis

Discussant:Robert Daines

What Drives the Variation in Takeover Contracts: The Economics or the Lawyers?

Christel Karsten

Discussant:George Triantis



Room 190 Courts and Judging IVOpinion Assignment and Control of the Law on the U.S.

Courts of AppealsGregory Wawro, Jonathan Kastellec, Sean Farhang

Discussant:Lee Epstein

Elevation Adaptation: How Circuit Court Judges Alter Their Behavior for Promotion to the Supreme Court

Ryan Black, Ryan Owens

Discussant:Tonja Jacobi

Organized Interests and Agenda Setting in the U.S. Supreme Court Revisited

Christopher Zorn, Gregory Caldeira, John (Jack) Wright

Discussant:Christina Boyd


Room 180 Criminal Justice IVUnconvincing Protestations: The Persistent Role of Race in

Capital Charging and Sentencing in North Carolina, 1990-2009Barbara O’Brien, Catherine Grosso, George G. Woodworth

Discussant:David Faigman

Exonerations in the United States, 1989-2012Michael Shaffer, Samuel Gross

Discussant:Lawrence Marshall

Evaluating Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Criminal Process: Evidence from North Carolina

Christopher Griffin, Frank Sloan, Lindsey Chepke

Discussant:Joan Petersilia


Room 280B Health Care / Law and ScienceThe Causal Effect of Fetal Alcohol Exposure on Height:

Evidence from State Prohibition LawsEric Helland, Jonathan Klick, Mary Evans

Discussant:Jasjeet Sekhon

Effects of Disclosure Laws on Pharmaceutical Company Payments to Physicians

Daniel Chen, Glen Taksler, S. Reinhart

Discussant:Michael Guttentag

Geoengineering and the Science Communication Environment: A Cross-Cultural Experiment

Dan Kahan, Hank Jenkins-Smith, Tor Tarantola

Discussant:Eric Biber


Room 90 Law and Finance IIIAbnormal Returns to Public and Private Acquirers of Failed

Banks: Evaluating the Effectiveness of the FDICRichard Hynes, Steven Walt, Susan Kerr Christoffersen

Discussant:Jeff Strnad

From Independence to Politics in Banking RegulationStavros Gadinis

Discussant:Jacob Gersen

Money Market Funds Run Risk: Will Floating Net Asset Value Fix the Problem?

Jeffrey Gordon

Discussant:Joseph Grundfest




Room 95 Law and Psychology IPragmatic Failure and Referential Ambiguity When Attorneys

Ask Child Witnesses ‘Do You Know/Remember’ QuestionsAngela Evans, Thomas Lyon

Discussant:Jonathan Wand

Intentional Harms are Worse, Even When They’re NotDaniel Ames, Susan Fiske

Discussant:Donna Shestowsky

Can Jurors Self-Diagnose Bias? Two Randomized Controlled Trials

Christopher Robertson, David Yokum, Matt Palmer

Discussant:Valerie Hans


Room 280A Lawyering / Legal ProfessionAre Legal Ethics Ethical? - A Survey ExperimentStephen Galoob, Su Li

Discussant:Deborah Rhode

How Lawyers’ Intuitions Prolong LitigationAndrew Wistrich, Jeffrey Rachlinski

Discussant:Orly Lobel

Mapping the Satisfaction Gap: Pathways to Demographic Differences in Job Satisfaction

Elizabeth Mertz, Katherine Barnes

Discussant:Kevin Quinn

1:00-2:00 p.m. Lunch Paul Brest Hall

2:00-4:00 p.m. Session V

Room 185 Civil Justice II‘No Win, No Fee’ and the Costs of Civil LitigationNeil Rickman, Paul Fenn

Discussant:Nora Freeman Engstrom

Do Administrative Courts Favor the Government? Evidence from Medical Malpractice in Spain

Nuno Garoupa, Sofia Amaral-Garcia

Discussant:Morgan Hazelton

Justice in the Shadow of Power: Understanding the Limits of Civil Justice Reform in China Through Entrepreneurs’ (Un)Willingness to Use Courts

Wei Zhang

Discussant:Ji Li


Room 280B Corporate Governance IVShareholder Votes and Proxy Advisors: Evidence from Say on PayDavid Oesch, Fabrizio Ferri, Yonca Ertimur

Discussant:David Larcker

Short-Term Institutional Investors and MispricingDarius Palia, Valentin Dimitrov

Discussant:Bernard Black

Does Junior Inherit? Refinancing and the Blocking Power of Second Mortgages

David Musto, Philip Bond, Ronel Elul

Discussant:Quinn Curtis




Room 85 Courts and Judging VDoes the Attitudinal Model of Supreme Court Decision Making

Depend on Litigation Choices? Applying the Priest-Klein Selection Hypothesis to Litigation in the High Court

Brent Boyea, Damon Cann, Jeff Yates

Discussant:Carolyn Shapiro

Inside the Blackwall Box: Explaining U.S. Marine Salvage AwardsJoshua Teitelbaum

Discussant:Daniel Klerman


Room 95 Criminal Justice VPolicing ImmigrationAdam Cox, Thomas Miles

Discussant:F. Daniel Siciliano

Incentives, Fear of Arrest, and HIV/AIDS: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment Amongst Lawbreakers

Margaret Boittin

Discussant:Mathew McCubbins

Testing for Racial Prejudice in the Parole Board Release Process: Theory and Evidence

Hanming Fang, Shamena Anwar

Discussant:Prasad Krishnamurthy


Room 90 Intellectual Property IIDoes Agency Funding Affect Decisionmaking?: An Empirical

Assessment of the PTO’s Granting PatternsMelissa Wasserman, Michael Frakes

Discussant:Jonathan Masur

What’s a Name Worth? Experimental Tests of the Value of Attribution in Intellectual Property

Christopher Buccafusco, Christopher Sprigman, Zachary Burns

Discussant:Michael Frakes


Room 180 Law and Politics IIIWhen Do Voters Punish Corrupt Politicians?

Experimental Evidence from BrazilFernando Hidalgo, Miguel de Figueiredo, Yuri Kasahara

Discussant:Beatriz Magaloni

In the Shadows of Sunlight: The Effects of Transparency on State Political Campaigns

Abby Wood, Douglas Spencer

Discussant:Bruce Cain

The Effect of Foreclosures on Crime: An Instrumental Variables Approach

Andrea Chandrasekher, John Hagan

Discussant:Clayton Nall





Room 190 Law and Psychology IISticky Rebates: Loyalty Rebates Impede Rational

Switching of ConsumersAlexander Morell, Andreas Glöckner, Emanuel Towfigh

Discussant:Scott Hemphill

The Endowment Effect: Voluntary Debiasing Through Agents and Markets

Jennifer Arlen, Stephan Tontrup

Discussant:Alison Morantz

Mind, Body, and the Criminal LawFrancis Shen

Discussant:Andrea Roth

Society for Empirical Legal Studies

PresidentDaniel E. Ho

Executive DirectorDawn Chutkow (Cornell Law School)

Stanford Program CommitteeRobert M. Daines

David Freeman Engstrom

Deborah R. Hensler

Daniel P. Kessler

Michael Klausner

Alison D. Morantz

Stanford Program Group and StaffSara Abarbanel, Stephanie Basso, Jackie Del Barrio, Trish Gertridge, Alain Kelder, Patrick Leahy, Erin Lee, Cassey Limgenco, Kelly Murdock, Bao Tran, Irina Zaks

RefereesJoseph Bankman, Richard Craswell, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, Robert M. Daines, John J. Donohue, David Freeman Engstrom, Joseph A. Grundfest, Matthew C. Harding, Deborah R. Hensler, Daniel E. Ho, Simon Jackman, Mark G. Kelman, Daniel P. Kessler, Michael Klausner, David F. Larcker, Mark A. Lemley, Neil A. Malhotra, Alison D. Morantz, Joan Petersilia, Edward Stiglitz, James Frank Strnad, Alan O. Sykes, George G. Triantis, Michael S. Wald

Poster Prize CommitteeYun-chien Chang (Academia Sinica), Shari Diamond, Michael Heise, Eric Talley

SSRNCatherine Challand

ChairpersonBernard Black (Northwestern University Law School)

Board of DirectorsDavid Abrams (University of Pennsylvania Law School)

Jennifer Arlen (New York University Law School)

Bernie Black (Northwestern University Law School)

Shari Diamond (Northwestern University Law School)

John Donohue (Stanford Law School)

Theodore Eisenberg (Cornell Law School)

Valerie Hans (Cornell Law School)

Michael Heise (Cornell Law School)

Daniel E. Ho (Stanford Law School)

Geoffrey Miller (New York University Law School)

Eric Talley (University of California at Berkeley Boalt Hall Law School)

Emerson Tiller (Northwestern University Law School)

Future CELSWe are pleased to announce the date and location of CELS 2013.

Location:University of Pennsylvania Law School

Dates: Friday Oct. 25 – Saturday Oct. 26, 2013

CELS Website: http://www.lawschool.cornell.edu/sels/

CELS 2014 and 2015 will be hosted by Berkeley and Washington University in St. Louis Law Schools, respectively.

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Documents

The Seventh Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studiesconferences.law.stanford.edu/cels2012/wp-content/...10:30-11:45 a.m. Empirical Methods Lectures II Modern Trends in Data Mining