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The Religion Gap(s). Mark Silk Director Leonard E. Greenberg Center for the Study of Religion in Public Life Trinity College. Religion and Gender Gaps 1936-2004. 2000 Presidential Vote by Attendance and Gender. BushGore Regular Attending Men74%26% - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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The Religion Gap(s)
Mark Silk
Director
Leonard E. Greenberg Center for the Study of Religion in Public Life
Trinity College
Religion and Gender Gaps 1936-2004
2000 Presidential Vote by Attendance and Gender
Bush Gore
Regular Attending Men 74% 26%
Regular Attending Women 51% 49%
Less Regular Attending Men 51% 49%
Less Regular Attending Women 26% 74%
“Regular attenders” are defined as reported “more than weekly” plus “once a week” workship attendance.
Source: Third National Survey of Religion and Politics, University of Akron (weighted post-election N=3,000)
Religion and Congressional Vote
2002 2000
Rep Dem Other Rep Dem OtherFrequent attending 82% 16 2 85% 14 1
White “religious right”
Frequent attending 67 31 2 60 37 3
White Protestants
Less attending 66 33 1 61 36 4
White “religious right”
Other white Christians 62 35 3 54 42 4
Latino Protestants 56 42 2 48 50 2
Less attending
White Protestants 55 43 2 54 44 2
Frequent attending 53 45 2 54 42 1
White Catholics
ENTIRE ELECTORATE 51 46 3 49 48 3
Religion and Congressional Vote
2002 2000
Rep Dem Other Rep Dem Other
ENTIRE ELECTORATE 51% 46 3 49 48 3
Less attending 44 53 3 49 48 3
White Catholics
Other Non-Christians 36 56 8 35 61 4
Secular 33 63 4 32 63 5
Latino Catholics 28 71 <1 30 67 3
Jews 35 62 3 27 72 1
Black Protestants 10 89 1 12 88 <1
*The 2002 VNS exit poll had 17,872 cases over all, of which 8,188 were asked the religion questions: the 2000 VNS exit poll had 13,259 cases overall, and the religion items were available for 9,246 cases. In both surveys, the margin of error was less than 2 percent.
Religious Groups and the 2002 Elections: Estimated Turnout, Republican vote and Proportion of GOP Coalition
Rep. Vote Vote Turnout GOP Coalition
Non-South South Non-South South Non-South South
Protestants:White EvangelicalHigh church attending 75% 74 43 51 21 41
Low church attending 60 51 27 19 6 6
White Mainline
High church attending 51 65 45 46 8 11
Low church attending 51 59 38 40 19 14
Black Protestants 10 6 32 41 1 1
Religious Groups and the 2002 Elections: Estimated Turnout, Republican vote and Proportion of GOP Coalition
Rep. Vote Vote Turnout GOP Coalition
Non-South South Non-South South Non-South South
Catholics:White CatholicsHigh church attending 58% 68 45 49 15 9
Low church attending 51 67 45 28 14 4
Hispanic Catholics 27 39 36 7 2 2
Jews: 22 <1 62 <1 1 <1
Seculars: 35 42 28 39 10 10
Source: Pew Research Center, 2002 Elections Weekend Poll, N=2950