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THE IMPACT ON INFRASTRUCTURE OF THE GROWTH IN DOMESTIC COMBINED TRANSPORT
Introduction by Eric Peetermans, International Affairs SNCB Holding
Chairman of the UIC Combined Transport Group
Developing Infrastructure and Operating Models for Intermodal Shift
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
UIC Combined Transport Group (CTG) Study about Infrastructure Capacity Reserves 2015
• This investigation comprehensively examined if the capacity of rail network and intermodal terminals in Europe will be sufficient to absorb the growth of international combined transport by the year 2015.
• Published in June 2004, the full report can be downloaded from the UIC website http://www.uic.asso.fr/tc/Study-on-capacity-reserve.html
• The project was initiated and financed by the UIC (Union Internationale des Chemins de Fer), with the participation of the UIRR (Union Internationale des Sociétés de Transport Combiné Rail-Route).
• This partnership reflects the joint concern for maintaining an optimum development of this exciting transport mode.
• The study was carried out by the following team of consultants:•
Kessel & Partner Transport Consultants, Freiburg
•
KombiConsult GmbH, Frankfurt am Main
•
MVA, Paris
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
UIC Combined Transport Group (CTG) Study about Infrastructure Capacity Reserves 2015:
Trans-European reference corridors of the StudyCorridor Via…
1 Benelux, Germany, Switzerland, Italy
2 Benelux, France, Switzerland, Italy Bettembourg/Athus, Metz, Basel
3 Benelux, France, Italy Bettembourg/Athus, Metz, Modane
4 Benelux, France, Italy Paris, Modane
5 Scandinavia, Germany, Austria Italy
6 Germany, Poland
7 Benelux, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakian Republic
8 Benelux, France, Spain Paris, Bordeaux, Hendaye
9 Benelux, France, Spain Paris, Dijon, Lyon, Cerbère
10 Germany, France, Spain, Portugal Cerbère and Hendaye
11 France, Germany, Austria, Hungary Le Havre/Forbach or Paris/ Basel
12 France, Hungary Switzerland
13 United Kingdom, France, Spain Cerbère or Hendaye
14 United Kingdom, France, Germany, Austria, Hungary Calais, Metz or Forbach
15 United Kingdom, France, Italy Paris or Metz or Modane
16 United Kingdom, France, Switzerland, Italy Metz, Strasbourg or Basel
17 United Kingdom, France, Belgium, Germany, Switzerland, Italy
18 Italy, France, Spain Modane or Ventimiglia/ Cerbère or Hendaye
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Main Basic Assumptions of the Study
• Sustained growth of International Combined Transport (ICT) on all corridors• Growth differentiated per corridor but average growth for Unaccompanied ICT
estimated at 6,8 % per year (less than historical growth of CT)• Which means + 113% 2015/2002 (+ 134,92 % for Unaccompanied International
Combined Transport and + 19% for Accompanied ICT)• Increase of the number of Conventional Freight Trains by 25%• Increase of 20% of the productivity in the use of the Infrastructure by Freight
trains:– 750 m/ 1 500 Gross Tons on all corridors studied– 80% use of the available length– Internationally integrated railway paths– Return of quality of service to normal levels (85/90% punctuality)
• All identified Infrastructure projects have been implemented by 2015• Severe Railway Infrastructure saturation is shown, requiring far reaching
boundary crossing actions in terms of investments in rail and terminal infrastructure, technical-operational improvements, working procedures between all stakeholders of CT
• With the network effect, the problematic of the central European network impacts all European related flows, including South Eastern Europe and Asia Minor
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
UIC Combined Transport Group (CTG) Study about Infrastructure Capacity Reserves 2015 : Growth Projections
(International non accompanied Combined Transport)
14
44,1
103,6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1988 2002 2015
mill
ion
tonn
es
6,8 % average annual growth rate
8,5 % average annual growth rate
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Utilisation rate of the Railway Infrastructure in 2015 after consideration of planned enlargement investments
> 100%
2015: > 173 trains per day and
direction
85% - 100% 147 - 17370% - 84% 103 - 146
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Main International Rail Lines of Route with Bottlenecks by 2015
Country Main Lines of Route with bottlenecksGermany Hamburg – Rhein/Main
Köln – Rhein/Main
Saarbrücken – Stuttgart
France Metz – Dijon
Lyon – Avignon
Paris – Orléans – Tours
Belgium Freight corridors from/to Antwerp
Switzerland Greater Basel area
Spain Barcelona-Tarragona
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Top 25 transport areas by 2015 for international CT
Taulov
VeronaLjubljana
BudapestBasel
Ludwigshafen/Mannheim
Nürnberg
München
W ien
W els
Praha
Lübeck
RotterdamAntwerp
Zeebrugge
BremerhavenHamburg
DuisburgNeuss
Köln
Paris
Barcelona
Valencia
Madrid
Novara
Milano
W arszawa
Poznan
Le Havre
Bremen
Gliwice
Graz
Genk
Roma 25 largest areas
Villach
Bologna
9 end-of-corridortransport areas
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
The Terminals : Capacity Gap 2015 (Inland Terminals)
Capacity 2002Capacity 2002
Handling capacity of transport area in load units p.a. } Capacity gap 2015} Capacity gap 2015
2002
National CT
International CT
National CT
International CT
2015
Capacity enlarge-ment 2015/2002Capacity enlarge-ment 2015/2002
Increase2015/2002
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
What to do about it : DIOMIS Key Actions and Objectives
• In 4 domains :
- Railway Network Management- Railway Operations Management- Terminal Management- Accompanying Actions
• With the objective of :
– Achieving the productivity gains underlying the conclusions of the Study– Encouraging new types of cooperation between all stakeholders in CT– Describing and helping to implement optimal capacity management models at terminal level– Adapting and improving more effective operating practices in terms of railway operation– Describing the benefits of an international approach towards planning and production– Integrating the assessments of the IMs– Learning to grow Rail Freight traffics on a constrained railway infrastructure
• An ultimate deliverable scheduled for December 2007 : the DIOMIS CT MASTER PLAN 2015
• Budget financed by UIC
• Work started on January 23rd 2006
• The DIOMIS project is documented (objectives, workshops, press releases, reports, etc,…) on the Internet site : http://www.uic.asso.fr/diomis
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
DIOMIS Project : StatusStatus of the current modules
Module Started Planned Completion
A1 Trends in Domestic CT February 2006 October 2006 (report available, workshop 1/2/2007)
A5 Improving the Use of the Available Train Capacity January 2006 June 2006 (report available, workshop 12/10/2006)
A11 Report on CT in Europe April 2006 September 2006 (report available)
A4 Best Practices in Terminal Management July 2006 December 2006
Module To start in Planned Completion
A7 ICT Production (Long & Heavy Trains,…) October 2006 May 2007
Other Modules starting in 2006
Modules starting in 2007
Module To start in Planned Completion
A8 International Coordination of Terminals February 2007 June 2007
A9 Opportunity Costs NACT vs ACT May 2007 August 2007
A10 Wagon Technology July 2007 October 2007
A12 CT Master Plan 2015 August 2007 December 2007
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Intermediary Check : the situation of ICT in 2005First results : confirmation that the trend has set in !
44,1
14,6
53,61
10,1
0,00
10,00
20,00
30,00
40,00
50,00
60,00
Mill
ion
Tons
2002 2005
Unaccompanied ICT Accompanied ICT
+ 21.6%
-31%
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Confirmation of the projections made in 2004
DIOMIS: First results : optimal use of existing train capacity, the impact on the rail network
99.400104.900
111.100118.000
125.900
94.400
134.900
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
160.000
70 80 90 100Average use of capacity on the train (%)
Num
ber o
f int
erna
tiona
l CT
trai
ns 2
015
+ 17,000 trains p.a.
- 19,000 trains p.a.
Spared capacity could be transferred into……constant output with reduced input, or……extended output with constant input
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
DIOMIS : What is expected from the IMs with regard to the aims of the project ?
– Acknowledge the main bottlenecks– Assess the Infra measures proposed– Assess the cost of relieving the bottlenecks– Common understanding of the infrastructure requirements– Awareness of the urgency of the problem– Integrated international approach for planning the train paths– Long(er) trains : at least 750 m on the selected corridors– Review the priorities between Freight and Passenger trains– ….and many others !
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007
Rate of the Use of Railway Infrastructure Preview 2015 with inclusion of the impact of Domestic CT
> 1 7 3
R a te o f e m p lo y m e n t
N ° o f t ra in s p e r d a y a n d d ire c t io n o n a d o u b le
tra c k e d e le c tr if ie d lin e
1 4 5 - 1 7 31 2 1 – 1 4 4
< 1 2 07 0 – 8 4 %
8 5 – 1 0 0 %> 1 0 0 %
< 7 0 %
> 1 7 3
R a te o f e m p lo y m e n t
N ° o f t ra in s p e r d a y a n d d ire c t io n o n a d o u b le
tra c k e d e le c tr if ie d lin e
1 4 5 - 1 7 31 2 1 – 1 4 4
< 1 2 07 0 – 8 4 %
8 5 – 1 0 0 %> 1 0 0 %
< 7 0 %
Confirmation of the 2004 projection !
DIOMIS Workshop II - Paris, February 1st 2007