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The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

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Page 1: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION
Page 2: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

• The Galveston Study Area:– Evacuation Statistics– Clearance Times

• Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area

INTRODUCTION

Page 3: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

The Design StormHurricane Carla

September 5-11, 1961A large, slow-moving storm that made landfall near Port Lavaca

Sustained winds of 150 mph (Category 4)

Peak wind gusts of 175 mph

Storm surge of 22 feet (Matagorda Bay) 18.5 feet (Port Lavaca), 14.5 feet (Port O’Connor), 14.8 feet (Houston Ship Channel)

Rainfall of 16.49 inches (Galveston), 6.25 inches (Victoria), 5.15 inches (Corpus Christi)

34 Deaths in Texas

$400,000,000 of storm damage (1961 dollars)

Page 4: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane CarlyHouston-Galveston Study Area

Landfall

Page 5: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -50 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/19 14:00 CDT

Page 6: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -38 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/20 08:00 CDT

Page 7: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -32 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/20 14:00 CDT

Page 8: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -26 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/20 20:00 CDT

Page 9: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -20 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/21 02:00 CDT

Page 10: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -14 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 4 04/21 08:00 CDT

Page 11: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -8 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 4 04/21 14:00 CDT

Page 12: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Evacuation Window: -2 hours

.

Hurricane Carly Category 4 04/21 20:00 CDT

Page 13: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

.

Hurricane Carly Category 5 04/22 02:00 CDT

Page 14: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

.

Hurricane Carly Category 5 04/22 08:00 CDT

Page 15: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

.

Hurricane Carly Category 5 04/22 14:00 CDT

Page 16: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

.

Hurricane Carly Category 4 04/22 20:00 CDT

Page 17: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

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Hurricane Carly Category 3 04/23 02:00 CDT

Page 18: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

+

+

+

+ 22.4 feet

++ 23.9 feet

+

Galveston

HOUSTON

Pasadena

Texas City

LeagueCity

Anahuac

Alvin

Angleton

++ 22.2 feet

+ + 15.8 feet

+

Houston-Galveston Study AreaStandard MEOW

(Maximum Envelope of Water)4/22 at 1400 CDT

La Porte

Page 19: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Houston-Galveston Study Area

Mean Sea Level

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 20: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 0800 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 4.5 Feet

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 21: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 8.5 Feet

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 22: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1700 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 12.8 Feet

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 23: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 2200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 15.8 Feet

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 24: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane CarlyCategory 5

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 19.0 Feet

Dickinson

Texas City

Galveston

Page 25: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Houston-Galveston Study Area

Mean Sea Level

UT MedicalBranch

Page 26: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

UT MedicalBranch

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 0800 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 4.5 Feet

Page 27: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

UT MedicalBranch

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 8.5 Feet

Page 28: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

UT MedicalBranch

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1700 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 12.8 Feet

Page 29: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

UT MedicalBranch

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 2200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 15.8 Feet

Page 30: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

UT MedicalBranch

Hurricane CarlyCategory 5

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 19.0 Feet

Page 31: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Houston-Galveston Study Area

Mean Sea Level

Page 32: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane CarlyCategory 5

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 19.0 Feet

Page 33: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane CarlyCategory 5

Wind DamageSurge: 19.0 Feet

Page 34: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Houston-Galveston Study Area

Mean Sea Level

HOUSTON

TexasCity

Galveston

La Porte

LeagueCity

Alvin

Baytown

JSC

Page 35: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

HOUSTON

TexasCity

Galveston

La Porte

LeagueCity

Alvin

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 0800 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 4.8 Feet

Baytown

JSC

Page 36: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

HOUSTON

TexasCity

Galveston

La Porte

LeagueCity

Alvin

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 10.6 Feet

Baytown

JSC

Page 37: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

HOUSTON

TexasCity

Galveston

La Porte

LeagueCity

Alvin

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1700 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 17.9 Feet

Baytown

JSC

Page 38: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

HOUSTON

TexasCity

Galveston

La Porte

LeagueCity

Alvin

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 2000 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 22.4 Feet

Baytown

JSC

Page 39: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Houston-Galveston Study Area

Mean Sea Level

HOUSTON

La Porte

Pasadena

Baytown

Webster

Bacliff

Deer Park

JSC

Page 40: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 0800 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 4.8 Feet

HOUSTON

La Porte

Pasadena

Baytown

Webster

Bacliff

Deer Park

JSC

Page 41: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1200 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 10.6 Feet

HOUSTON

La Porte

Pasadena

Baytown

Webster

Bacliff

Deer Park

JSC

Page 42: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 1700 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 17.9 Feet

HOUSTON

La Porte

Pasadena

Baytown

Webster

Bacliff

Deer Park

JSC

Page 43: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Hurricane Carly4/22 at 2000 CDT

MEOW NW at 8 MPHSurge: 22.4 Feet

HOUSTON

La Porte

Pasadena

Baytown

Webster

Bacliff

Deer Park

JSC

Page 44: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

<$10 million$10 - 100 million$100 million - 1 billion$1 - 10 billion>$10 billion

Page 45: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

Estimated Total Wind Damage from Hurricane Carly

Hurricane CarlyHouston-Galveston Study Area Landfall

Counties Affected: 31

Population Affected: 5,425,334

Households Affected: 1,913,906

Residences Destroyed: 119,626

Debris Generated: 124,023,000 tons

Damage Amount: $73,612,335,000

Page 46: The Galveston Study Area: –Evacuation Statistics –Clearance Times Visual Impact of a Category 4 Storm on the Galveston Study Area INTRODUCTION

HURRICANE FORECAST

2004 Forecast

2004 Actual

2005 Forecast*

Named Storms 13 15 11

Hurricanes 7 8 6

Major Hurricanes >Category 2

4 5 3

*The 2005 hurricane forecast will be updated in mid-April.