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The Effectiveness of Trading Halts and Investor Trading Performance: An Intraday
Analysis on the Stock Exchange of Thailand
Charlie Charoenwong
Nanyang Technological University
Chiraphol Chiyachantana
Singapore Management University
and
Nareerat Taechapiroontong*
College of Management Mahidol University
This Version: October 2009
Preliminary and Incomplete. Please do not quote without permission
Keywords: Trading halts, Price discovery, Volatility, Retails, Institutions, Foreign,
Microstructure, Stock Exchange of Thailand
JEL Classifications: G12, G14, G15
All comments are welcome. Please address correspondence to
Nareerat Taechapirootong, Tel: (662) 206-2000; Fax: (662) 206-2090;
E-mail: [email protected], [email protected]
The Effectiveness of Trading Halts and Investor Trading Performance: An Intraday
Analysis on the Stock Exchange of Thailand
Abstract
This paper examines the effectiveness of trading halts using trade-by-trade data provided
by the Stock Exchange of Thailand between January 1999 and December 2007. The transaction
data enables us to closely analyze return, volatility and trading activities around the halts. This
study also investigates trade performance of different types of investors around trading halts.
Our results suggest that trading halts are efficient in maintaining stability and an orderly
trading in the market. Trading halts serve as devices to facilitate price discovery process by
allowing investors opportunity to adjust their trading interests and react to the material
information. Our findings show that price return and volatility tend to reverse to their normal
period in a short period of time. However, high trading volume appears before and after halts but
gradually decays within three days after resumption of trades. The result also suggests that long
duration of halts may cause higher volatility than short duration. Moreover, the evidence reveals
that domestic investors trade at better prices than foreign investors around trading halts periods.
Retail domestic investors trade at the most favorable price than institutional domestic and foreign
investors. Retails follow contrarian trading strategy by buying low and selling high.
1
I. Introduction
Trading halt represents a temporary interruption in trading of an individual stock on a
stock exchange. It has been implemented extensively by many international stock exchanges.
The main purpose of trading halt is to protect investors and public interests by maintaining
stability and orderly market. Exchanges generally post trading halts to allow investors extra time
to react to newly released information and to determine new equilibrium price. It is also used to
require companies to disclose additional information or when there is excessive volatility or
when there is some other indication of disorderly trading. In all these cases, trading halts are
primarily designed to reduce volatility and promote orderly price discovery.
However, there exists critical debate among securities market regulators, market
participants and academicians as to the usefulness of trading halts. Proponents of trading halts
propose that trading halts maintain price stability, facilitate an orderly market and keep
transaction costs low. This proposition is consistent with empirical results found in the United
States (Madura, Tucker and Ritchie (2006)), Canada (Kryzanowski (1979)), United Kingdom
(Engelen and Kabir (2006)), Sweden (DeRidder (1990)) and Turkey (Bildik (2004)). On the
other hand, opponents argue that a trading halt is not advantage because it delays stock price
adjustments and impedes price discovery (Christie, Corwin and Harris (2002)), imposes
additional trading opportunity costs on investors and increases post-halt trading volatility (Lee,
Ready and Seguin (1994) and Corwin and Lipson (2000)). Furthermore, it can be argued that
institutional investors can evaluate new information quicker than uninformed investors during
the halt period, and can profit from on that information after the halt using superior trade
execution (Bildik (2004))..
2
The controversial issues are the motivations of this paper to search for the benefits and
costs of trading halts. How effective are trading halts? Do trading halts reduce possible
speculation? Do trading halts cause higher price volatility? Do trading halts enhance efficiency
of the market? Do trading halts affect the trading behavior of retail, institutional and foreign
investors? This paper investigates these issues by analyzing the impact of trading halts on the
trading behavior of stocks listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). Particularly, this
study examines abnormal changes in returns, volatility and liquidity of stocks around trading
halts. This study adds to existing literature in four ways. First, examining SET offers an
opportunity to evaluate the efficacy of trading halts on a computerized order-driven market
without any influence of market-makers or specialists, as is the case, on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE). Second, previous studies examine only the halts that occur during trading,
and exclude halts that occur before the trading day starts. Differently, this study analyzes both
types of halts that occur during the trading day (intra-day) and before the trading session starts
(delayed opening). Third, testing whether the impact of trading halts are related to halt time, halt
duration and firm size are able to assist SET exchange officials to improve the screening process
used to call a trading halt. Finally, another important interesting of this paper is the investigation
of the trading behavior of various types of investors such as retail, domestic institutional and
foreign investors.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes hypotheses
development. Section 3 describes the trading halts in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. Section 4
explains data selection process and methodology used in the study. Section 5 presents the result.
Section 6 compares the trade performance among various investor types. Section 7 providea the
conclusion.
3
II. Hypotheses Development
Several studies on the trading halts provide inconclusive evidence which cause
controversial issues among academicians and regulators. This paper examines the impact of
trading halts surrounding three market activities aspects which are price discovery process,
volatility and liquidity.
Delayed Price Discovery Hypothesis
In a semi-strong form efficient market, a new equilibrium market price is assumed to
reflect the new information within a short period of time. If halts are tools that enable
dissemination of material information, it is expected that halts should be installed unpredictably
and withdrawn when full information disclosed. Thus the return in the first interval following
resumption of trades should be relatively large to show how quickly new information is absorbed
by the market. The rapid market adjustment in prices should leave the abnormal return small and
insignificant in the post-halt period. On This leads to the first hypothesis:
H1: Abnormal returns in the post-halt periods are not significantly different from zero.
On the other hand, if there is a delay in price discovery, we expect that the market would
experience long time positive abnormal (negative) returns for stocks that are halted due to
positive (negative) news in the post-halt period. We investigate the immediate and subsequent
price movements following the halt using return series around the halt intervals.
Volatility Spillover Hypothesis
The main purpose of imposing trading halts is to prevent the excessive volatility caused
by unexpected information released during trading. Since the halts allow dissemination of
4
information, the ability of the market to reflect this new material information before, during and
after the halt is examined. If the halt is an effective tool, volatility in the post-halt period should
return to its normal level in a short period of time. In contrast, trading halt may interrupt
information flow and cause volatility to spread over a longer period by preventing trading. This
leads to the second hypothesis:
H2: Volatility in the post-halt periods is not significant different from that in nonhalt period.
One interesting question also relates to how quickly new information reflects into prices.
In other words, if a spillover exists, how long it lasts.
Trading Interference Hypothesis
Admati and Pfleiderer (1988) conjecture that concentrated trading patterns arise
endogenously because of the strategic behavior of liquidity traders and informed traders. The
results show how trading volume will be high after a non-trading period, suggesting that trading
volume will be abnormally soaring following a trading halt. In addition, Aitken, Frino and Winn
(1995), Lee, Ready and Seguin (1994) and Corwin and Lipson (2000) demonstrate that trading
volume is expected to increase due to the need of investors to trade for liquidity and portfolio
rebalancing purposes after receiving new information The further increases in volume after a
halt interval reveal trading interference by halts. Therefore, if the halt is effective to control the
volatility and trading activity, volume and number of trades should not increase excessively in
the post-halt period. This view leads to the third hypothesis:
H3: Trading activities in the post-halt periods are not significantly different from those in
nonhalt period.
5
III. Trading Halts in the Stock Exchange of Thailand
The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) uses various supervisory signs to regulate trading
and inform investors of special situations and conditions that may affect the securities of any
listed company in order to ensure fair and efficient trading. One of the significant sign that SET
posts is the trading halt sign, the "H" sign on the security during the trading session to notify
investors that trading in the security is not allowed Trading in the security is halted for a
maximum period of one trading session. This may be because of four main reasons. First, when
there exist critical changes or major events concerning a listed company which have occurred
during trading hours. The firm involved must then clarify the situation with the SET
immediately. Second, when the market experiences trading conditions (e.g., price fluctuations)
which indicate that some investors may have received important news or information about a
listed company before it was formally disseminated to the public. Third, trading may be halted at
the request of the issuer in order to allow for clarification of a major development or for a news
announcement to be made during trading hours. Fourth, there exist major events which may
critically influence the ASSET trading system. The Halt Sign may be removed at any time during
the trading session, if deemed appropriate by the SET, and/or following clarification or
resolution of the situation.
IV. Data and Methodology
A. Data Selection
We obtain data for trading halts placed between January 1999 and December 2007 on the
Stock Exchange of Thailand from two sources. First, SETSMART database provide information
of trading halts such as posted time and date and lifted time and date. Second, we use unique
6
intraday transactions data compiled by the research center of the Stock Exchange of Thailand
(SET) from the year 1999 to 2007. The transactions data provides information on each trade
execution including trade execution time, price, volume and both buyer and seller sides
information, such as order times as well as the investors types. If the SETSMART data do not
provide posted or lifted time, the approximate times of halts are drawn from transaction data. We
consider transaction executed during normal trading hours (10.00 - 12.30 hours. and 14.30 –
16.30 hours). We group types of investors into (1) R--Individual domestic investors which
include broker portfolio, broker customer, sub-broker portfolio and sub-broker customer, (2) I--
Institutional domestic investors which include broker mutual fund and sub-broker mutual fund,
and (3) F--Foreign investors which include broker foreign and sub-broker foreign. The sample is
selected only from common stocks.
According to SETSMART database, trading halts are posted 882 times from 1999 to
2007. In order to analyze the effects of trading halts alone, we exclude (1) halts surrounded by
other signs such as NP, NR and SP 20 days prior to and after halts (2) multiple halts incurring
within 20 days (3) halted stocks having no trades within 1 days prior and after halts (4) halts that
are posted and lifted before the open of the day (5) halted stocks with price below 1 baht and (6)
halts having trade execution for at least 54 intervals before and after events. The final sample
comprises 228 trading halts.
Table 1 contains summary statistics of final sample used in this study. Panel A of Table 1
shows year, day-of-week and month-of-year of 228 trading halts occurred from 1999 to 2007.
Trading halts in the sample are mainly from 1999 for 61 halts (27%) and only 3 halts (1%) from
2001. Halts are usually posted during the first half of the year, especially in February and March.
Halts are typically enforced on Monday and Thursday, respectively. Whereas halts posted on
7
mid of the week seems to be less. Panel B shows that these halt events belong to 150 firms. Out
of 150 firms, 98 firms experience halt for once, 34 firms for twice, 12 firms for 3 times, 4 firms
for 4 time and only 2 firms for 5 times. This result shows that our halt sample does not bias to
only the same group of firms; thus, this sample allows us to analyze the trading halts in relation
to other associated characteristics.
B. Halt Characteristics based on Price Change, Halt Time, Duration and Firm Size
B.1. Price Change
To assess the favorableness of information content released during the halts, we compare
first trade price following resumption of trade with last trade price before the halt starts similar to
tick test method suggested by Lee and Ready (1991). If the first price is greater (less) than last
trade price, this informative trading halt is defined as good (bad) news. Conversely, less
informative halts (no news) indicate zero price change. Panel C of Table 1 shows that 109 halts
relate to good news, 77 halts link with bad news and 42 halts are neutral news.
B.2. Time of Halts
Previous works mainly study only the halts imposed during the trading day, and ignore
halts that occur during off- hour trading. This paper analyzes both types of halts that occur
before the opening of the trading session (delayed opening halts) and during the trading session
(intraday halts). In Table 1 Panel D, halts is grouped into 192 delayed opening and 36 intraday
halts. The results indicate that SET primarily imposes halts during the pre-opening period.
B.3. Duration of Halts
8
Bhattacharya and Spiegel (1998) indicate that the NYSE has improved its ability to
absorb more extreme news by using shorter halt durations. On the contrary, Christie, Corwin and
Harris (2002) find that post-halt price volatility and transaction cost impacts are significantly
larger following NASDAQ halts that are re-opened with a 5-minute quotation period than for
NASDAQ halts re-opened with a 90-minute quotation period. This is consistent with Greenwald
and Stein (1991), who suggest that longer trading halts will allow time for greater information
dissemination and allow time for liquidity suppliers to enter the market. Therefore, this paper
investigate whether duration of halts effect the uncertainty of market. We divide halts into three
groups: (i) up to 60 minutes; (ii) from 60 to 120 minutes and (iii) more than 120 minutes. Table 1
panel D shows that the minimum duration of halt is 12 minutes with maximum of 240 minutes.
The halt sample is distributed equally across three duration groups, but mainly posted less than
an hour.
B.4. Firm Size
Spiegel and Subrahmanyam (2000) argue that variance uncertainty and asymmetric
information are lower for larger stocks as they have greater analyst coverage and are widely held.
Consequently, they suggest that the suspension of trade due to impending public disclosures
should occur less often for larger stocks.
To investigate whether our sample focuses only one firm size, especially, small firms, we
conversely discover that our sample halts are primarily belongs to high and medium
capitalization firms ranked from total listed stocks on SET. We further group the halted stocks
into three size portfolios based on market capitalization as small, medium and large. Each group
9
‐360 360 ‐90 9054‐54 Hold Lifted
‐‐‐‐‐nonhalt‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐nonhalt‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐pre‐halt‐‐‐‐ ‐‐post‐halt‐‐‐‐
contain 76 halts. The small, medium and large size portfolios have mean market capitalization
of 817, 2,867 and 36,282 million bath respectively.
C. Methodology
We use event study method to analyze the trading behavior around trading halts. We
follow Lee et al. (1994) and Corwin and Lipson (2000) in calculating abnormal measures of
three days activity centered from halts. Each trading day is divided into 18 fifteen-minute
intervals (ie. 10.00-10.15, 10.15-10.30…). We compare activities in event-period with those of
the halted stocks during a non-event period (nonhalt). In each event, hold interval and lifted
interval are identified. Event-periods consist of 108 intervals from (-54,…, -1) and (+1,…,+54).
We define the nonhalt period from (-360,…,-90) and (90,…,360).
C.1. Variables measurements
C.1. 1. Return measure
Abnormal return are measured as
itnonitit RRAR −= (1)
Rit= percentage change of the last trade price of stock i on interval t relative to the last trade price
on interval t -1 during halt period
10
Ritnon= percentage change of the last trade price of stock i on interval t relative to the last trade
price on interval t -1 during halt period
where
( )it
ititit P
PPR −= −1 (2)
Average abnormal return is defined as
∑=
=N
titt AR
NAAR
1
1 (3)
Cummulative Average Abnormal Return is defined as
∑=
=T
ttT AARCAAR
1 (4)
C.1.2. Volatility
Following Lee et al. (1994) and Corwin and Lipson (2000), we calculate two volatility
measurements: high-low transaction price range and absolute value of transaction price return
Absolute return= the differences between last trade price on interval t relative to the last
trade price on interval t -1 during halt period
C.1.3. Trading Activity
We compute both total share volume and total number of trades in each trading interval.
11
The abnormal statistics of both volatility and trading activity utilize the following method
as proposed by Lee et al. (1994). For each variable and each time period, the abnormal measure
is defined as
Abnormal measure (%) = 100*⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛ −PeriodsNonhaltAcrossValueMean
PeriodsNonhaltAcrossValueMeanValuePeriodHalt
(5)
This measure can be interpreted as the percentage difference between the halt-day value
and the mean value across the nonhalt period.
C.2. Volatility Regression Analysis
To investigate the relationship between abnormal volatility measures and abnormal
volume, we employ an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and control for time of halt,
duration of halt and firm size. The regressions are estimated for interval 1 (15minutes after a
trading halt interval) to give an indication of the relationship immediately after a trading halt.
The regressions take the following general form:
iii
iii
MarketCapDurationmHaltTimeDuVolumeAbnormalVolatilityAbnormal
εααααα
+++++=
****
43
210 (6)
We use abnormal absolute return as abnormal volatility measures. Abnormal volume is
measured from share volume. HaltTimeDum is dummy variable defined as 1 for Delayed
Opening Halts and 0 for Intraday Halts.
12
V. Empirical Findings
A. Delayed Price Discovery
To examine the price discovery process around trading halts, we measure price return for
our analysis. Table 2 reports average abnormal return (AAR) around trading halts events in
relation to news types, halt time, durations, and size.
Panel A indicates that AAR for full sample significant increases to 1.26% for the first 15
minutes after halts and decreases to normal level after 30 minutes following halt period. The
significant changes appear for both good and bad news. Figure 1 shows cumulative average
abnormal return (CAAR) classified by news types. The ‘good news’ CAAR exhibit an upward
trend in the pre-halt and significant drift in the first post-halt period. While the ‘bad news’ halts
provide some unanticipated results. The ‘bad news’ halts are unanticipated for two reasons. First,
there is a positive price run up in the pre-halt period for ‘bad news’ trading halts. If there was
correct anticipatory trading behavior in the market, ‘bad news’ trading halts should show a
negative run up. This could possibly be explained by investors that anticipate trading halts and
trade in the incorrect side prior to the information released during the trading halt. Secondly,
‘price discovery’ generally occurs faster on ‘bad news’ rather than ‘good news’ (Easley, Kiefer
and O’ Hara (1995), Easley, Kiefer, O’ Hara and Paperman (1996)). The CAAR for ‘no news’
trading halts exhibit a positive abnormal returns just before the halts, but not during or after a
trading halt. This is as expected, suggesting that ‘no news’ trading halts are initiated for the
release of less informative announcements that have no significant impact on the returns
generated.
13
In general, market immediately reacts to halts. Price discovery process occurs during the
first 15 minutes after halt interval for ‘good news’ as price reach its new equilibrium level and
does not seem to reverse to the pre-halts period. The increase in prices in pre-halt period
indicates the existence of information leakage or insider trading prior to halts imposed. It is
possible that posting halt stimulate the investors to adjust their interests faster. However, the
price discovery process takes about 75 minutes for ‘bad news’. Overall, halts are effective in
controlling pre-halt information asymmetry which shows consistent with the first hypothesis that
the market does not experience the delay in price discovery.
Panel B of table 2 shows significant positive AAR in the first post-halt interval for
delayed opening halts which is consistent with existing literature of high return at the opening
session ( Harris (1986), French and Roll (1986), Amihud and Mendelson (1987, 1991), Jain and
Joh (1988), Stoll and Whaley (1990), Gerety and Mulherin (1992), Andersen and Bollerslev
(1997)). The intraday halts show insignificant negative abnormal return post-halt period. Figure
2 provides the graph of CAAR.
Panel C of table 2 show that halt durations from 1 to 2 hours show significant AAR of
1.62% for the first post-halt and significantly negative after that. Figure 3 indicate that halts with
shorter time duration are followed by positive adjustment or favorable event, while longer halt
duration is associated with negative adjustment or unfavorable information.
Panel D of table 2 indicate that the significant positive AAR post-halt period is attributed
to large size halted stocks.
B. Volatility Spillover
14
Table 3 reports that both average abnormal volatility measures for full sample, high-low
and absolute return, increases significant to 720% and 480%after trade resume and decline
significantly within one hour. This implies that halts are successful in controlling volatility. Halts
do not cause volatility to spread over long period, however, halts helps prevent overreaction to
announcements by facilitating the distribution of valuable information during the halt periods.
High volatility is mainly influenced by trading for information at the reopening. The slightly
higher volatility in the post-halt period is possibly explained by the change in the change in the
fundamental value of the stock and unmeasured information effects after the announcement
(Corwin and Lipson (2000)).
Panel A shows that good news cause the highest volatility and last longer than other types
of news. Delayed openings halts shows higher volatility and last longer than intraday halts as
shown in panel B. Panel C show an interesting result in that long duration more than 2 hours
show highest volatility in terms of absolute return than the shorter time, and tend to last longer
than the shorter halt duration. This result is consistent with Spiegel and Bhattacharya (1998) in
that the market has improved its ability to absorb more extreme news by using shorter halt
durations. Panel D shows that medium size stocks shows highest volatility after halts but
declines significantly within one hour.
C. Trading Interference
Table 4 presents abnormal trading volume and abnormal number of trades. Both trading
volume and number of trades greatly increase one day before halts and then significantly
increase after resume of trades after the first fifteen minutes. Trading activities decline
immediately after first fifteen minutes hour and stay higher than nonhalt period but gradually
15
decrease and almost fully reverse at the beginning of third days. Investors tend to slowly adjust
their liquidity and portfolio rebalancing. Trading activity is more pronounced for good news.
High abnormal trading occurs with delayed opening, large firms and long duration halts.
D. Volatility Regression Analysis
The regression result of abnormal volatility is reported in table 5. Abnormal share trading
volume significantly positively related to abnormal volatility. Long duration of halt significantly
results in high abnormal volatility. However, firm size and halt time show weak relationship with
volatility.
VI. Investors Trading Performance around Trading Halts
It is interesting to further discover who gain or lose from the trading halts. The impacts of
trading halts are significant for investors who want to understand the behavior of stock prices
from a portfolio management viewpoint.
To investigate trade performance of different types of investor, we follow Choe, Kho and
Stulz (2005) and Agarwal, Faircloth, Liu and Rhee (2007) methodology to calculate the volume-
weighted average price. In particular, the volume-weighted average price measurement will be
calculated using the volume-weighted average price at which the stock traded using all trades
during interval ( tdiWP ) and then compute the volume-weighted average price for all trades
involving the investor group which are interested in dtjiWP , . Finally, the ratio of the average price
for all trades involving an investor class to all trades for a stock on a given interval is calculated.
The volume-weighted average price is calculated separately for purchases and sales as well as for
investor types.
16
tdiWP =
∑∑
t
tdi
t
tdi
tdi
V
VP td
jiWP , = ∑∑
t
tdji
t
tdji
tdji
V
VP
,
,,
(7)
where, tdiP is the price of stock i on interval t for trade d,
tdiV is the number of share traded for stock i on interval t for trade d,
tdjiP , is the price of stock i on interval t for trade d by investor group j
tdjiV , is the number of share traded for stock i on interval t for trade d by investor group j
tdiWP is the volume-weighted average price for stock i on interval t for trade d
tdjiWP , is the volume-weighted average buying or selling prices by investor group j
for stock i on interval t for trade d
Trading performance is measured by trade price ratio as below.
dtjiWP , / dt
iWP
The ratio is mainly indicated which investor type trade at better price than the others in
each day. In other words, this ratio is simply a measure of how much more or less an investor
pays than the average price on that day when he buys and how much more or less he receives
when he sells. Furthermore, crucial question is whether trading performance in each group
significantly differs from others groups. To answer this question, we compare trading
performance across investor classes. In each day we summarize both investor class’s purchases
and sells, then take the difference on that day between the prices paid by two investor groups. If
17
one of the two investor groups does not trade on that day, this study will skip that day and report
the t-statistic for the daily differences. The result will indicate the trading price of the investor
groups which are more significantly higher or lower than other groups.
Table 6 reports trading volume, value of each investor type. Panel A and B shows that
retails are major players for halted stocks for both volume and baht, account for more than 85%
during the event period. Foreigners tend to trade at large trade size. Retails increase their trade
half hour before halts, whereas Institutions intensely trade forty five minutes prior halts. This
may imply that domestic investors know better than foreign investors. Panel C shows that retails
mostly concentrate on small size stocks and medium stocks. Foreigners focus on large size
stocks and less on small stocks. Institutions focus on larger size stocks but less volume than
foreigner. In other words, retails prefer small stocks and institutions and foreigners prefer large
stocks.
Table 7 compares trade price performance for different types of investors. Retails trade at
better price than foreign investors by buying low and selling high three days prior halts. Retails
do not buy better than institutions. Retails sell at higher price than institutions after halts during
good news. Institutions start buying at lower price than foreign just two days prior to trading
halts.
The better performance of retails and institutions than foreign investors implies that there
is leakage of information before halts. In other words, domestic investors know more than
foreign investors and take advantage of this information by purchasing earlier at a lower price.
They buy on good news. Retails follow contrarian trading strategy by buying low and selling
high. Their performance is more manifest for good news.
18
VII. Conclusion
This paper empirically investigates the efficiency of trading halts on the Stock Exchange
of Thailand during the year 1999 to 2007. This paper is of interesting for four reasons. First, we
examine trading halts for the first time on SET which offers an opportunity to evaluate the
efficacy of trading halts on a computerized order-driven market. Second, differently from the
previous studies, we study all halts occur during the trading day (intra-day) and before the
trading session starts (delayed opening). Third, we test whether the impact of trading halts are
related to halt time, halt duration and firm size. Finally, our unique data set allow us to
investigate the trading behavior of various types of investors such as retail, domestic institutional
and foreign investors.
We find that trading halts are effective in maintaining stability and an orderly trading in
the market. Trading halts facilitate price discovery process by allowing investors to adjust their
trading interests and react to the material information. The price and volatility tend to reverse to
their normal trading period in the short period of time, especially for good news. However, high
trading activity appears before and after halts but slowly decays within 3 days after resumption
of trades. . The result also provides implication to policy maker in that long duration of halts may
cause higher volatility than short duration. Furthermore, the evidence shows that domestic
investors trade at better prices than foreign investors during trading halts. Retail domestic
investors trade at the most favorable price than institutional domestic and foreign investors.
Retails generally implement contrarian trading strategy by buying low and selling high.
19
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Ferris, S.P., R. Kumar, and G.A. Wolfe, 1992, The Effect of SEC-Ordered Suspensions on Returns, Volatility, and Trading Volume, The Financial Review 27, 1-35.
20
Fong, W.M., 1996, New York Stock Exchange trading halts and volatility, International Review of Economics and Finance 3, 243-257.
French, K., and R. Roll, 1986, Stock Return Variances: The Arrival of Information and the Reaction of Traders, Journal of Financial Economics 17, 5-26.
Gerety, M.S., and J.H. Mulherin, 1992, Trading Halts and Market Activity: An Analysis of Volume at the Open and the Close, The Journal of Finance 47, 1765-1785.
Greenwald, B.C., and J.C. Stein, 1991, Transactional Risk, Market Crashes, and the Role of Circuit, The Journal of Business 64, 443-463.
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Hauser, S., H. Kedar-Levy, B. Pilo, and I. Shurki, 2006, The Effect of Trading Halts on the Speed of Price Discovery, Journal of Financial Services Research 29, 83-99.
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Hopewell, M.H., and A.L.J. Schwartz, 1976, Stock Price Movement Associated with Temporary Trading Suspensions - Bear Market Versus Bull Market, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 11.
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21
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22
Table 1. Descriptive Statistics of Sample Halts Data
Panel A. Halts Classified by Year, Month and Day of the week
Year Frequency (%) Month Frequency (%) Weekday Frequency (%) 1999 61 27 Jan 16 7 Mon 56 25 2000 24 11 Feb 38 17 Tue 49 21 2001 3 1 Mar 31 14 Wed 35 15 2002 10 4 Apr 9 4 Thu 52 23 2003 16 7 May 20 9 Fri 36 16 2004 40 18 Jun 13 6 2005 40 18 Jul 16 7 2006 27 12 Aug 17 7 2007 7 3 Sep 13 6 Total 228 Oct 18 8
Nov 24 11 Dec 13 6
Panel B. Halts Classified by Number of Companies
Number of Halts Number of Companies (%)
1 98 65 2 34 23 3 12 8 4 4 3 5 2 1 150
Panel C. Halts Classified by News Types Number of Halts Good News 109 Bad News 77 No News 42
Panel D. Halts Classified by Time of the Day Duration of Halts (minutes) Number of Halts Mean Median Min Max
Intraday 36 Delayed Openings 192
<=60 minutes 80 45 49 12 60 61-120 minutes 76 102 105 63 120 > 120 minutes 72 151 150 131 240
Panel E. Halts Grouped by Market Capitalization of All Stocks Listed on SET Number of Halts All 228 Low Cap 22 Middle Cap 99
23
High Cap 107
Panel F. Halts Portfolios Classified by Market Capitalization (in millions baht) Number of Halts Mean Median Min Max
All 228 13,322 2,566 80 255,708
Small 76
817
875 80
1,450
Medium 76
2,867
2,566 1,454
6,064
Large 76
36,282
14,596 6,124
255,708
24
Table 2. Average Abnormal Return (AAR) Around Trading Halts (%)
Panel A. All Halts Classified by News Types All Good News Bad News No News
Interval AAR AAR AAR AAR (-54,-1) 0.01 0.05 -0.07 0.02 (-36,-1) 0.04 0.06* 0.01 0.02 (-18,-1) 0.06* 0.11** 0.00 0.03 (-8,-1) 0.06 0.09 0.02 0.04 -8 -0.06 -0.13 0.18 -0.37** -7 -0.20 -0.49 0.08 0.12 -6 0.15 0.47 -0.17 -0.17 -5 0.07 -0.17 0.45** 0.06 -4 0.29 0.38 0.30 0.03 -3 0.09 0.26 -0.07 -0.08 -2 0.15 0.24 0.28 -0.38 -1 0.16 0.06 0.05 0.73*** 1 1.26*** 4.82*** -3.04*** 0.46 2 -0.27* 0.01 -0.64** -0.28 3 -0.07 0.48* -0.51* -0.81** 4 0.26 0.60 -0.10 -0.05 5 -0.01 0.34* -0.47*** -0.20 6 -0.27* -0.06 -0.67 -0.16 7 -0.01 0.00 -0.08 0.06 8 -0.12 -0.10 -0.09 -0.27 (1,8) 0.04 0.76*** -0.89*** -0.14* (1,18) 0.06 0.40*** -0.36*** -0.04 (1,36) 0.04 0.24*** -0.20*** -0.04* (1,54) 0.01 0.13** -0.13** -0.05** Panel B. All Halts Classified by Halt time
All Intraday Delayed Openings
Interval AAR AAR AAR (-54,-1) 0.01 -0.17 0.04 (-36,-1) 0.04 -0.06 0.05* (-18,-1) 0.06* -0.06 0.08** (-8,-1) 0.06 -0.12 0.09* -8 -0.06 -0.10 -0.05 -7 -0.20 -0.17 -0.21 -6 0.15 0.02 0.18 -5 0.07 0.14 0.06 -4 0.29 0.02 0.35 -3 0.09 0.33 0.05 -2 0.15 -0.42* 0.26 -1 0.16 0.30 0.14 1 1.26*** 0.54 1.43*** 2 -0.27* -0.43 -0.24 3 -0.07 -0.54 0.03 4 0.26 0.31 0.25 5 -0.01 -0.34** 0.05
25
6 -0.27* -0.86 -0.15 7 -0.01 -0.16 0.02 8 -0.12 0.51 -0.23** (1,8) 0.04 -0.15 0.07 (1,18) 0.06 0.02 0.07 (1,36) 0.04 -0.01 0.05 (1,54) 0.01 0.01 0.01
Panel C. All Halts Classified by Halt Duration All ≤60 mins 61-120 mins >120mins
Interval AAR AAR AAR AAR (-54,-1) 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 (-36,-1) 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 (-18,-1) 0.06* 0.12* 0.00 0.05 (-8,-1) 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.13** -8 -0.06 -0.04 -0.30* 0.19 -7 -0.20 -0.21 -0.29 -0.10 -6 0.15 -0.04 0.56 -0.10 -5 0.07 -0.01 -0.13 0.37** -4 0.29 -0.07 0.75 0.16 -3 0.09 0.19 0.07 0.00 -2 0.15 0.36 -0.04 0.13 -1 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.24 1 1.26*** 1.22 1.62** 0.86 2 -0.27* 0.34 -0.76*** -0.22 3 -0.07 0.34 -0.11 -0.43 4 0.26 0.80 -0.04 0.01 5 -0.01 0.09 0.09 -0.22 6 -0.27* -0.21 -0.29 -0.31** 7 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 0.07 8 -0.12 -0.28* 0.12 -0.21 (1,8) 0.04 0.23 -0.01 -0.12 (1,18) 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.03 (1,36) 0.04 0.06 0.03 0.02 (1,54) 0.01 0.04 0.01 -0.03
Panel D. Halts Portfolios Classified by Market Capitalization
All Small Medium Large
Interval AAR AAR AAR AAR (-54,-1) 0.01 -0.01 0.03 0.00 (-36,-1) 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.00 (-18,-1) 0.06* 0.19** 0.03 -0.04 (-8,-1) 0.06 0.15 0.06 -0.04 -8 -0.06 0.63 -0.31** -0.32*** -7 -0.20 -0.92 0.04 0.07 -6 0.15 0.48 0.19 -0.14 -5 0.07 -0.31 0.23 0.21 -4 0.29 1.38 -0.04 -0.20** -3 0.09 0.49* -0.31 0.15
26
-2 0.15 0.25 0.52 -0.23 -1 0.16 0.13 0.21 0.16 1 1.26*** 1.44 1.13 1.24* 2 -0.27* -0.23 -0.23 -0.35 3 -0.07 -0.21 -0.07 0.06 4 0.26 -0.02 0.45 0.28 5 -0.01 0.25 -0.05 -0.17 6 -0.27* -0.66 -0.19 -0.05 7 -0.01 -0.36 0.33** -0.06 8 -0.12 -0.05 -0.22 -0.08 (1,8) 0.04 -0.16 0.18 0.10 (1,18) 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.01 (1,36) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 (1,54) 0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.02
27
Table 3. Average Abnormal Volatility Around Trading Halts (%)
Panel A. All Halts Classified by News Types
All Good News Bad News No News
Interval High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
(-54,-1) 18.39 *** 8.22 ** 26.13 ** 14.55 ** 15.90 8.07 2.88 -7.93 (-36,-1) 20.27 ** 6.38 29.63 ** 13.91 ** 16.70 5.71 2.54 -11.95 (-18,-1) 24.53 ** 8.68 30.86 ** 16.88 * 28.66 10.14 0.55 -15.27 *
(-8,-1) 33.21 ** 10.97 46.14 ** 20.30 23.68 9.85 17.08 -11.62 -8 43.89 9.00 81.55 21.33 0.53 -9.83 23.60 12.12 -7 24.25 -1.91 54.36 * 9.19 11.71 -5.42 -43.16 ** -28.97 -6 19.39 24.93 54.71 36.29 -25.06 10.35 -0.01 19.24 -5 28.37 11.79 58.88 * 36.81 16.05 0.88 -29.83 -34.53 * -4 -8.71 2.66 -11.20 24.37 14.29 7.68 -48.08 *** -72.70 *** -3 31.19 20.81 81.21 ** 49.01 * 5.42 7.49 -62.65 *** -34.28 ** -2 71.28 ** 28.07 * 21.19 31.61 104.20 * 20.10 165.55 33.06 -1 106.49 *** 23.27 97.96 ** 27.39 107.53 ** 18.35 130.91 ** 21.19 1 720.24 *** 479.87 *** 843.16 *** 619.13 *** 680.19 *** 460.37 *** 471.13 *** 144.98 *** 2 192.50 *** 100.06 *** 207.00 *** 116.88 *** 220.55 *** 118.22 *** 94.35 ** 15.91 3 160.84 *** 83.74 *** 187.49 *** 90.23 *** 133.50 *** 86.07 *** 134.62 *** 61.50 4 107.39 *** 53.97 *** 121.96 *** 65.97 ** 102.45 *** 40.21 75.45 44.29 5 78.76 *** 14.32 112.56 *** 30.58 * 55.29 * -3.79 17.43 -0.86 6 33.43 ** 9.22 37.33 * 10.49 60.88 ** 24.52 -32.67 ** -24.85 7 43.34 *** 16.60 56.98 ** 16.13 53.71 ** 36.34 -10.47 -16.14 8 118.11 *** 25.78 ** 171.34 ** 20.09 97.27 * 40.09 ** -10.28 12.82
(1,8) 157.21 *** 87.49 *** 194.34 *** 105.43 *** 146.75 *** 96.73 *** 80.66 *** 24.62 * (1,18) 100.20 *** 50.70 *** 128.21 *** 58.66 *** 88.17 *** 63.82 *** 49.61 * 5.99 (1,36) 77.03 *** 36.70 *** 99.69 *** 45.81 *** 76.31 *** 44.26 *** 19.56 -0.80 (1,54) 55.97 *** 24.90 *** 72.53 *** 27.72 *** 58.04 *** 32.58 *** 9.22 3.49
Panel B. All Halts Classified by Halt time
All Intraday Delayed Openings
Interval High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
(-54,-1) 18.39 *** 8.22 ** 8.92 -6.78 20.17 *** 11.03 ** (-36,-1) 20.27 ** 6.38 12.66 -7.26 21.70 ** 8.93 * (-18,-1) 24.53 ** 8.68 26.23 -2.35 24.22 ** 10.75 *
(-8,-1) 33.21 ** 10.97 82.74 * 8.70 23.63 * 11.41
28
-8 43.89 9.00 0.09 -50.95 *** 53.66 22.37 -7 24.25 -1.91 10.09 -8.89 27.40 -0.35 -6 19.39 24.93 88.65 34.38 5.44 23.03 -5 28.37 11.79 58.91 -23.09 22.35 18.68 -4 -8.71 2.66 17.84 -12.76 -14.21 5.85 -3 31.19 20.81 62.96 62.65 25.10 12.79 -2 71.28 ** 28.07 * 8.90 28.78 82.55 ** 27.94 -1 106.49 *** 23.27 248.91 ** 51.67 80.76 *** 18.14 1 720.24 *** 479.87 *** 367.21 *** 372.69 *** 801.31 *** 504.48 *** 2 192.50 *** 100.06 *** 194.52 *** 53.44 ** 192.08 *** 109.70 *** 3 160.84 *** 83.74 *** 127.02 ** 91.49 * 167.48 *** 82.22 *** 4 107.39 *** 53.97 *** 45.22 -4.04 118.45 *** 64.29 *** 5 78.76 *** 14.32 -4.40 -14.93 95.51 *** 20.21 6 33.43 ** 9.22 -24.66 -13.79 45.78 *** 14.11 7 43.34 *** 16.60 -18.02 -9.68 55.54 *** 21.82 * 8 118.11 *** 25.78 ** 5.92 -10.93 138.57 *** 32.47 ***
(1,8) 157.21 *** 87.49 *** 81.16 *** 53.49 *** 171.15 *** 93.72 *** (1,18) 100.20 *** 50.70 *** 55.03 ** 21.70 ** 108.67 *** 56.14 *** (1,36) 77.03 *** 36.70 *** 33.78 * 11.75 * 85.14 *** 41.38 *** (1,54) 55.97 *** 24.90 *** 20.35 5.71 62.65 *** 28.50 ***
Panel C. All Halts Classified by Halt Duration
All Up to 60 mins 61-120 mins 120+ mins
Interval High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
(-54,-1) 18.39 *** 8.22 ** 12.94 1.20 18.72 * 12.22 24.11 * 11.80 (-36,-1) 20.27 ** 6.38 7.27 -1.39 18.98 7.24 36.08 ** 14.09 (-18,-1) 24.53 ** 8.68 12.41 4.40 14.82 11.65 48.27 ** 10.32
(-8,-1) 33.21 ** 10.97 28.98 7.04 26.95 * 14.57 44.34 * 11.49 -8 43.89 9.00 -14.16 -20.84 60.40 * 15.38 88.15 34.22 -7 24.25 -1.91 -12.39 -3.19 43.67 9.53 39.62 -13.52 -6 19.39 24.93 23.70 23.34 10.14 25.14 25.17 26.40 -5 28.37 11.79 36.74 -4.52 35.40 42.94 12.81 -6.57 -4 -8.71 2.66 -17.02 -15.56 -5.21 39.55 -3.65 -19.94 -3 31.19 20.81 19.90 40.64 12.68 -14.16 66.01 37.52 -2 71.28 ** 28.07 * 32.09 28.14 15.22 21.90 168.49 * 34.16 -1 106.49 *** 23.27 154.44 ** 24.40 44.01 10.53 124.94 *** 35.69 1 720.24 *** 479.87 *** 727.80 *** 382.20 *** 822.58 *** 456.34 *** 589.53 *** 586.68 ***
29
2 192.50 *** 100.06 *** 167.42 *** 60.66 *** 154.26 *** 90.91 *** 258.42 *** 144.24 *** 3 160.84 *** 83.74 *** 124.30 *** 47.37 132.10 *** 81.76 *** 232.10 *** 123.07 *** 4 107.39 *** 53.97 *** 113.94 ** 92.38 ** 58.41 ** 2.91 157.34 *** 70.13 * 5 78.76 *** 14.32 35.27 5.42 127.09 ** 23.26 68.39 ** 13.24 6 33.43 ** 9.22 -2.86 -10.32 47.39 * 16.68 53.97 ** 20.32 7 43.34 *** 16.60 35.06 20.99 41.34 ** -14.96 53.76 ** 47.92 * 8 118.11 *** 25.78 ** 62.34 -6.22 27.35 20.37 255.14 ** 59.15 ***
(1,8) 157.21 *** 87.49 *** 122.07 *** 64.93 *** 168.09 *** 80.79 *** 185.56 *** 120.53 *** (1,18) 100.20 *** 50.70 *** 87.23 *** 42.53 *** 100.16 *** 40.97 *** 114.67 *** 70.05 *** (1,36) 77.03 *** 36.70 *** 58.06 *** 31.72 *** 73.85 *** 27.05 *** 101.48 *** 52.44 *** (1,54) 55.97 *** 24.90 *** 50.62 *** 28.63 *** 52.51 *** 14.98 *** 65.56 *** 31.23 ***
Panel D. Halts Portfolio Classified by Market Capitalization
All Small Medium Large
Interval High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
High-Low
Absolute Return
(-54,-1) 18.39 *** 8.22 ** 25.16 * 16.71 * 31.86 *** 17.35 ** -1.84 -9.40 ** (-36,-1) 20.27 ** 6.38 30.21 * 16.31 * 28.26 ** 14.48 * 2.33 -11.67 ** (-18,-1) 24.53 ** 8.68 32.76 14.46 30.19 * 19.70 ** 10.65 -8.11
(-8,-1) 33.21 ** 10.97 42.21 20.59 42.04 * 24.29 ** 16.09 -11.01 -8 43.89 9.00 165.49 * 58.80 10.35 6.04 -7.93 -20.69 -7 24.25 -1.91 88.01 * 48.10 20.13 -17.37 -13.51 -21.91 * -6 19.39 24.93 -9.62 37.41 75.65 26.21 -4.74 13.95 -5 28.37 11.79 61.35 35.59 6.91 -6.12 25.11 11.86 -4 -8.71 2.66 -23.37 37.45 8.98 -7.60 -12.63 -13.24 -3 31.19 20.81 63.49 27.40 15.71 34.73 20.89 4.39 -2 71.28 ** 28.07 * 68.47 25.60 76.98 * 72.31 * 68.64 -7.80 -1 106.49 *** 23.27 167.51 ** 52.70 * 107.68 * 38.31 54.50 ** -14.08 1 720.24 *** 479.87 *** 832.43 *** 440.49 *** 919.63 *** 533.54 *** 400.28 *** 459.54 *** 2 192.50 *** 100.06 *** 184.13 *** 62.86 ** 224.87 *** 106.22 *** 165.20 *** 125.31 *** 3 160.84 *** 83.74 *** 201.64 *** 99.60 *** 180.18 *** 91.84 *** 108.33 *** 62.74 ** 4 107.39 *** 53.97 *** 160.76 *** 69.91 113.03 *** 47.38 64.17 ** 48.99 * 5 78.76 *** 14.32 62.97 ** 3.68 104.77 * 3.51 64.76 *** 32.81 6 33.43 ** 9.22 14.01 1.83 52.59 * 14.54 29.91 ** 9.73 7 43.34 *** 16.60 56.98 ** 9.61 49.10 ** 24.58 27.25 14.69 8 118.11 *** 25.78 ** 271.05 ** 35.47 87.72 * 27.44 23.46 16.36
(1,8) 157.21 *** 87.49 *** 183.66 *** 87.17 *** 191.83 *** 95.06 *** 95.68 *** 80.13 *** (1,18) 100.20 *** 50.70 *** 121.24 *** 51.96 *** 124.24 *** 52.84 *** 55.14 *** 47.30 *** (1,36) 77.03 *** 36.70 *** 106.77 *** 43.26 *** 91.53 *** 36.54 *** 32.79 *** 30.30 *** (1,54) 55.97 *** 24.90 *** 78.22 *** 31.64 *** 66.17 *** 21.79 *** 23.52 *** 21.27 **
30
31
Table 4. Average Abnormal Trading Volume and Number of Trades around Trading Halts (%)
Panel A. All Halts Classified by News Types
All Good News Bad News No News
Interval Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share (-54,-1) 38.88 *** 28.49 *** 50.80 *** 40.63 *** 44.18 * 28.65 ** -1.78 -3.32 (-36,-1) 45.58 *** 34.45 *** 55.30 *** 48.21 *** 60.13 ** 36.57 ** -6.31 -5.14 (-18,-1) 70.78 *** 53.90 *** 76.72 *** 66.01 *** 103.94 ** 65.23 *** -5.39 1.71 (-8,-1) 93.95 *** 70.16 *** 118.61 *** 93.81 *** 112.26 ** 68.94 *** -6.17 9.83 -8 143.43 *** 113.64 *** 178.00 ** 144.11 ** 143.88 100.21 39.98 51.62 -7 117.45 ** 78.59 *** 175.68 * 111.04 ** 111.68 * 85.72 * -49.88 *** -35.38 *** -6 96.77 *** 93.13 *** 122.21 ** 125.22 ** 96.12 * 76.38 * 24.11 31.30 -5 116.15 ** 86.52 *** 99.88 ** 101.59 ** 220.05 * 117.50 ** -20.93 -6.30 -4 106.20 *** 63.72 *** 84.71 * 61.56 ** 204.39 ** 107.67 *** -29.19 * -19.29 -3 112.26 *** 75.31 *** 147.28 ** 102.98 ** 130.16 ** 81.66 ** -18.38 -13.85 -2 167.36 *** 119.79 *** 187.34 ** 136.47 ** 208.55 ** 135.66 ** 17.38 32.90 -1 136.44 *** 118.91 *** 191.64 *** 167.59 *** 100.12 * 66.28 ** 43.39 82.03 ** 1 1196.38 *** 1038.25 *** 1668.70 *** 1466.57 *** 969.98 *** 762.43 *** 386.58 *** 447.34 *** 2 519.85 *** 425.46 *** 700.42 *** 592.80 *** 461.20 *** 334.15 *** 139.99 149.74 ** 3 375.08 *** 288.19 *** 598.02 *** 447.04 *** 153.59 ** 130.37 *** 143.01 122.88 ** 4 226.42 *** 161.89 *** 344.91 *** 219.74 *** 158.95 ** 139.37 *** 13.70 40.19 5 209.85 *** 130.48 *** 338.50 *** 202.86 *** 97.41 *** 68.89 ** 24.92 22.97 6 156.69 *** 106.97 *** 245.98 *** 159.73 *** 99.77 ** 79.13 *** -7.49 -1.43 7 166.26 *** 119.42 *** 251.59 *** 190.25 *** 138.69 ** 72.80 *** -11.44 12.78 8 180.55 *** 104.79 *** 251.21 *** 151.63 *** 154.02 ** 87.63 *** 7.60 -10.81 (1,8) 314.92 *** 246.54 *** 470.67 *** 365.15 *** 229.47 *** 170.36 *** 69.07 * 79.39 *** (1,18) 192.73 *** 146.94 *** 288.73 *** 222.44 *** 144.92 *** 100.59 *** 31.23 35.94 ** (1,36) 137.15 *** 105.53 *** 206.56 *** 159.24 *** 103.30 *** 75.36 *** 19.08 21.44 (1,54) 88.06 *** 68.49 *** 135.01 *** 105.53 *** 58.21 *** 43.35 *** 20.95 18.50 *
Panel B. All Halts Classified by Halt time
All Intraday Delayed Openings
Interval Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share (-54,-1) 38.88 *** 28.49 *** -2.61 16.94 46.66 *** 30.65 ***
32
(-36,-1) 45.58 *** 34.45 *** -1.69 19.39 54.44 *** 37.27 *** (-18,-1) 70.78 *** 53.90 *** 6.60 34.34 82.82 *** 57.57 *** (-8,-1) 93.95 *** 70.16 *** 17.63 62.88 108.72 *** 71.57 *** -8 143.43 *** 113.64 *** -14.14 15.88 178.57 *** 135.44 *** -7 117.45 ** 78.59 *** -17.25 4.86 147.49 ** 95.03 *** -6 96.77 *** 93.13 *** 25.36 138.85 111.14 *** 83.92 *** -5 116.15 ** 86.52 *** 18.53 102.34 135.40 ** 83.39 *** -4 106.20 *** 63.72 *** 40.01 41.00 119.92 ** 68.42 *** -3 112.26 *** 75.31 *** 70.28 ** 91.73 ** 120.31 *** 72.16 ** -2 167.36 *** 119.79 *** 66.17 * 60.56 ** 185.64 *** 130.49 *** -1 136.44 *** 118.91 *** 41.89 174.19 153.53 *** 108.92 *** 1 1196.38 *** 1038.25 *** 373.41 *** 492.03 *** 1385.35 *** 1163.68 *** 2 519.85 *** 425.46 *** 146.85 ** 150.22 ** 596.93 *** 482.34 ***
3 375.08 *** 288.19 *** 95.24 * 126.59 ** 429.98 *** 319.90 *** 4 226.42 *** 161.89 *** 105.34 116.24 ** 247.96 *** 170.02 *** 5 209.85 *** 130.48 *** 49.07 67.25 242.22 *** 143.21 *** 6 156.69 *** 106.97 *** -20.35 -16.70 194.31 *** 133.25 *** 7 166.26 *** 119.42 *** 1.85 22.99 198.94 *** 138.58 *** 8 180.55 *** 104.79 *** 2.67 14.88 212.99 *** 121.19 *** (1,8) 314.92 *** 246.54 *** 84.45 *** 109.75 *** 357.16 *** 271.61 *** (1,18) 192.73 *** 146.94 *** 27.77 48.25 ** 223.66 *** 165.44 *** (1,36) 137.15 *** 105.53 *** 7.88 24.18 161.39 *** 120.78 *** (1,54) 88.06 *** 68.49 *** -3.08 10.50 105.15 *** 79.37 ***
Panel C. All Halts Classified by Halt Duration
All Up to 60 mins 61-120 mins 120+ mins
Interval Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share (-54,-1) 38.88 *** 28.49 *** 10.77 12.77 49.63 ** 34.46 ** 58.75 ** 39.65 ** (-36,-1) 45.58 *** 34.45 *** 8.53 11.71 48.96 ** 39.47 ** 83.19 ** 54.41 ** (-18,-1) 70.78 *** 53.90 *** 21.94 25.70 61.07 ** 49.17 ** 135.32 ** 90.24 *** (-8,-1) 93.95 *** 70.16 *** 35.13 ** 41.15 * 87.36 ** 64.82 *** 164.61 ** 107.20 *** -8 143.43 *** 113.64 *** 60.77 57.59 * 146.91 117.97 * 229.94 * 170.00 * -7 117.45 ** 78.59 *** 17.93 15.35 102.01 ** 91.10 ** 236.25 128.86 * -6 96.77 *** 93.13 *** 46.10 83.99 106.76 * 87.04 ** 139.81 ** 109.76 **
33
-5 116.15 ** 86.52 *** 43.19 78.46 80.03 * 78.44 * 224.56 * 102.93 ** -4 106.20 *** 63.72 *** 32.47 30.04 75.04 ** 41.30 ** 222.99 * 126.50 ** -3 112.26 *** 75.31 *** 69.47 * 34.60 * 51.63 41.25 233.22 ** 163.14 ** -2 167.36 *** 119.79 *** 37.25 * 25.01 * 162.62 * 113.65 * 308.71 ** 225.44 ** -1 136.44 *** 118.91 *** 100.14 *** 141.82 ** 144.80 ** 96.19 ** 163.86 *** 120.13 *** 1 1196.38 *** 1038.25 *** 578.46 *** 698.32 *** 1413.82 *** 1125.11 *** 1425.82 *** 1204.37 *** 2 519.85 *** 425.46 *** 403.73 *** 353.45 *** 381.39 *** 333.01 *** 780.07 *** 594.52 *** 3 375.08 *** 288.19 *** 188.12 *** 214.94 *** 487.92 * 318.77 *** 431.32 *** 326.41 *** 4 226.42 *** 161.89 *** 144.60 *** 136.83 *** 163.85 ** 121.08 *** 392.89 *** 238.27 *** 5 209.85 *** 130.48 *** 101.95 ** 80.11 ** 259.10 *** 163.62 *** 261.78 *** 143.57 *** 6 156.69 *** 106.97 *** 21.98 27.83 * 245.82 ** 172.65 ** 190.77 *** 111.95 *** 7 166.26 *** 119.42 *** 41.23 ** 59.39 *** 149.31 108.58 * 308.41 *** 190.72 *** 8 180.55 *** 104.79 *** -11.22 1.65 183.36 * 87.76 * 346.33 *** 211.94 *** (1,8) 314.92 *** 246.54 *** 137.06 *** 145.08 *** 378.94 *** 281.51 *** 448.68 *** 324.52 *** (1,18) 192.73 *** 146.94 *** 76.95 *** 80.54 *** 243.05 *** 179.85 *** 268.26 *** 185.96 *** (1,36) 137.15 *** 105.53 *** 45.90 *** 50.80 *** 168.32 *** 128.44 *** 205.65 *** 142.16 *** (1,54) 88.06 *** 68.49 *** 31.39 *** 34.36 *** 113.89 *** 88.39 *** 123.76 *** 85.43 ***
Panel D. Halts Portfolio Classified by Market Capitalization
All Small Medium Large
Interval Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share Share
Volume
Number of
Share (-54,-1) 38.88 *** 28.49 *** 26.35 24.00 68.84 ** 45.24 *** 21.44 * 16.23 * (-36,-1) 45.58 *** 34.45 *** 44.63 * 35.68 * 61.63 ** 45.92 ** 30.48 ** 21.74 ** (-18,-1) 70.78 *** 53.90 *** 80.29 ** 60.61 ** 81.21 ** 63.30 ** 50.85 ** 37.80 ** (-8,-1) 93.95 *** 70.16 *** 101.56 ** 74.36 ** 93.50 ** 77.00 ** 86.96 ** 59.60 *** -8 143.43 *** 113.64 *** 365.94 ** 256.06 ** 17.37 25.58 99.43 ** 91.27 * -7 117.45 ** 78.59 *** 356.07 * 217.04 ** 25.84 21.15 36.03 34.71 -6 96.77 *** 93.13 *** 112.34 73.63 * 124.06 ** 171.31 ** 61.51 43.07 -5 116.15 ** 86.52 *** 111.54 * 74.63 ** 158.70 117.15 * 77.05 64.79 * -4 106.20 *** 63.72 *** 36.06 31.30 171.98 * 89.32 ** 102.45 * 65.79 * -3 112.26 *** 75.31 *** 106.49 98.25 62.35 45.98 158.24 ** 83.35 ** -2 167.36 *** 119.79 *** 152.38 * 153.01 * 239.81 ** 153.67 ** 117.35 * 64.35 ** -1 136.44 *** 118.91 *** 156.73 ** 133.81 *** 115.51 * 129.32 * 137.26 ** 97.61 *** 1 1196.38 *** 1038.25 *** 1115.42 *** 961.28 *** 1154.25 *** 979.98 *** 1318.10 *** 1173.53 *** 2 519.85 *** 425.46 *** 546.96 *** 415.20 *** 496.16 *** 423.75 *** 521.88 *** 436.05 *** 3 375.08 *** 288.19 *** 726.93 ** 449.78 *** 213.75 ** 189.09 *** 255.23 *** 258.54 ***
34
4 226.42 *** 161.89 *** 349.25 *** 215.33 *** 138.69 *** 128.15 *** 223.49 *** 156.38 *** 5 209.85 *** 130.48 *** 357.10 ** 167.58 *** 116.41 *** 70.09 *** 193.65 *** 162.72 *** 6 156.69 *** 106.97 *** 139.02 ** 66.04 ** 205.81 * 136.66 ** 123.56 *** 109.63 *** 7 166.26 *** 119.42 *** 181.92 ** 113.29 *** 219.43 * 142.90 * 104.49 *** 102.43 *** 8 180.55 *** 104.79 *** 237.29 ** 135.23 ** 190.97 ** 85.77 ** 124.68 *** 98.34 *** (1,8) 314.92 *** 246.54 *** 339.92 *** 238.20 *** 302.08 *** 236.27 *** 302.94 *** 265.28 *** (1,18) 192.73 *** 146.94 *** 220.93 *** 151.94 *** 190.26 *** 143.66 *** 167.00 *** 145.21 *** (1,36) 137.15 *** 105.53 *** 165.47 *** 118.61 *** 131.06 *** 100.27 *** 114.93 *** 97.72 *** (1,54) 88.06 *** 68.49 *** 110.00 *** 80.45 *** 85.33 *** 64.12 *** 68.85 *** 60.92 ***
35
Table 5. Abnormal Volatility Regressions for first fifteen minutes after halts
iii
iii
MarketCapDurationmHaltTimeDuVolumeAbnormalVolatilityAbnormal
εααααα
+++++=
****
43
210 (6)
Abnormal Volatility Measures
Mean Abnormal Volatility Intercept
Abnormal Trading Volume
Halts Time
Dummy Duration of Halts
Market Capitalization
Adj. R2
(α0) (α1) (α2) (α3) (α4)
Abnormal Absolute Return 479.871 214.240 0.039 -9.089 2.311 0.000 0.0726 t-stat 1.810 2.664 -0.085 2.484 -0.581
p-value 0.072 0.009 0.932 0.014 0.562
36
Table 6. Trading Volume divided by Types of Investors
Panel A. Trading Volume (Shares) Interval R I F (-54,-1) 2824800000 86% 119150000 4% 324010000 10% (-36,-1) 2003200000 88% 88545282 4% 197530000 9% (-18,-1) 1117600000 88% 49155032 4% 103170000 8% (-8,-1) 573090000 88% 27992132 4% 53586400 8% (-4,-1) 350950000 89% 16871532 4% 27906900 7% -4 64042012 86% 3595400 5% 6785400 9% -3 57513216 81% 6755600 10% 6687800 9% -2 134430000 93% 2860532 2% 6801000 5% -1 94964691 89% 3660000 3% 7632700 7% 1 555860000 91% 19070433 3% 34211635 6% 2 190930000 89% 10048800 5% 14195800 7% 3 136720000 85% 3496100 2% 20463800 13% 4 86599859 85% 3311400 3% 12501335 12% (1,4) 970120000 89% 35926733 3% 81372570 7% (1,8) 1383100000 88% 52102533 3% 134360000 9% (1,18) 2160700000 87% 84229618 3% 244830000 10% (1,36) 2928400000 86% 116930000 3% 348790000 10% (1,54) 4140400000 86% 163010000 3% 507550000 11%
Panel B Trading Value (Baht) Interval R I F (-54,-1) 27914993030 77% 2160969853 6% 6165524395 17% (-36,-1) 20284877848 78% 1487619938 6% 4076367991 16% (-18,-1) 10522968501 79% 831969243 6% 1960629489 15% (-8,-1) 4773934130 75% 482498232 8% 1114146922 17% (-4,-1) 2732830169 76% 289299216 8% 584164418 16% -4 496267768 77% 49194602 8% 99019894 15% -3 571606643 69% 113908455 14% 146733785 18% -2 849095777 82% 42881392 4% 140439727 14% -1 815859982 74% 83314767 8% 197971012 18% 1 5115653131 87% 284055816 5% 457431812 8% 2 2210639325 83% 157775842 6% 282477377 11% 3 1461421962 82% 57267186 3% 267600406 15% 4 1005312791 80% 63953348 5% 191263883 15% (1,4) 9793027209 85% 563052192 5% 1198773478 10% (1,8) 13693568628 83% 839582786 5% 1973421124 12% (1,18) 20542397189 80% 1375014036 5% 3688648708 14% (1,36) 28567224621 80% 2009535254 6% 5241177932 15% (1,54) 40430614175 78% 2892730395 6% 8382956551 16%
37
Panel C. Trading Volume (Shares) grouped by halts portfolios Small Medium Large
Interval R I F R I F R I F (-54,-1) 96% 1% 3% 92% 2% 7% 79% 6% 15% (-36,-1) 96% 1% 4% 93% 2% 5% 79% 7% 14% (-18,-1) 96% 1% 3% 94% 2% 4% 80% 7% 14% (-8,-1) 97% 1% 2% 94% 2% 4% 79% 8% 14% (-4,-1) 95% 1% 4% 94% 2% 5% 82% 8% 10% -4 98% 0% 2% 90% 4% 6% 78% 7% 15% -3 96% 1% 2% 97% 0% 3% 70% 16% 14% -2 97% 2% 1% 95% 1% 4% 90% 4% 7% -1 90% 2% 9% 93% 1% 6% 87% 5% 8% 1 98% 1% 2% 95% 1% 4% 86% 6% 8% 2 97% 1% 2% 91% 5% 5% 84% 6% 10% 3 94% 0% 6% 90% 1% 9% 79% 4% 18% 4 89% 0% 11% 90% 3% 7% 79% 5% 17% (1,4) 96% 0% 3% 93% 2% 5% 84% 5% 11% (1,8) 96% 0% 3% 93% 2% 5% 81% 5% 14% (1,18) 96% 1% 4% 92% 2% 6% 79% 5% 16% (1,36) 96% 1% 4% 92% 2% 6% 78% 6% 17% (1,54) 96% 1% 3% 93% 2% 5% 77% 5% 18%
Panel D. Trading Value (Baht) grouped by halts portfolios Small Medium Large
Interval R I F R I F R I F (-54,-1) 96% 1% 3% 91% 2% 7% 69% 8% 22% (-36,-1) 96% 1% 3% 93% 2% 5% 70% 8% 22% (-18,-1) 96% 1% 3% 92% 3% 5% 71% 8% 20% (-8,-1) 96% 2% 2% 90% 3% 7% 67% 10% 23% (-4,-1) 96% 2% 3% 89% 3% 8% 69% 10% 20% -4 98% 1% 1% 81% 9% 10% 72% 8% 20% -3 96% 2% 2% 94% 2% 4% 60% 18% 22% -2 96% 2% 2% 91% 2% 7% 75% 6% 19% -1 93% 1% 6% 88% 1% 11% 71% 9% 20% 1 98% 1% 2% 94% 2% 5% 84% 6% 10% 2 96% 1% 3% 89% 6% 5% 80% 6% 14% 3 94% 0% 6% 88% 2% 11% 79% 4% 17% 4 87% 0% 12% 91% 4% 5% 76% 6% 18% (1,4) 95% 1% 4% 91% 3% 6% 81% 6% 13% (1,8) 95% 1% 4% 90% 4% 6% 79% 6% 15% (1,18) 94% 1% 5% 89% 4% 7% 75% 6% 18% (1,36) 93% 1% 5% 90% 4% 7% 75% 7% 18% (1,54) 94% 1% 5% 90% 3% 7% 73% 7% 21%
38
Table 7. Comparison of Trade Value-weighted Average Buy and Sell Price Ratios Relative to Daily Average Prices (%)
This table presents comparison of the volume-weighted average prices among investor groups. The sample of 228 trading halts of listed firm on the Stock Exchange of Thailand covering the period from 1999 to 2007. For each stock i and day d for trade t, the following price ratio are calculated for each investor type j.
dtjiWP,/ dt
jiWP ,, dt
iWP = ∑∑
t
dti
t
dti
dti
V
VP , dtjiWP , =
∑∑
t
dtji
t
dtji
dtji
V
VP
,
,, , j = 1, 2, 3 (7)
where dtiWP is the volume-weighted average price for stock i on day d for trade t, and dt
jiWP , is the volume-
weighted average buying prices by investor group j for stock i on day d for trade t. This price ratio is computed for market trends and investor groups. The ratio represents the average price of a security weighted by size. The more volume traded at a certain price level, the more impact that price has on the ratio. Panel A reports the differences in trade price ratio among types of Investors classified by buy and sell trades. Panels B report the differences in trade price ratio among types of Investors around good news. Panels C report the differences in trade price ratio among types of Investors around bad news All results are computed over the entire study period. The table also compares trading performance between foreign and individual and institutional domestic investors across the sample stocks. ***, **, and * indicates significance at 1%, 5% and 10% level respectively based on a t-test statistics.
Panel A. Differences in Trade Price Ratio among Types of Investors classified by Buy and Sell Trades
Buy Sell Interval R-F R-I I-F R-F R-I I-F
(-54,-1) -0.0302 ** 0.0032 -0.0370 0.0460 ** -0.0100 0.0959 * (-36,-1) -0.0438 *** 0.0028 -0.0514 * 0.0480 ** -0.0144 0.1057 * (-18,-1) -0.0400 * -0.0235 -0.0176 0.0411 -0.0145 0.1188
(-8,-1) -0.0567 * 0.0270 -0.1273 *** -0.0048 0.0111 -0.0252 (-4,-1) -0.0844 ** 0.0625 -0.1283 ** 0.0104 0.0485 -0.0678
-4 0.0204 0.0722 -0.0772 0.0042 0.0026 -0.0295 -3 0.0159 0.0732 -0.1946 * -0.0766 0.0954 -0.0874 -2 -0.1343 ** -0.0043 0.0451 0.0160 -0.0565 -0.0264 -1 -0.2081 * 0.1050 -0.2719 ** 0.0923 0.1784 -0.1425 1 0.0339 0.1088 -0.1817 0.1749 0.3577 *** -0.1264 2 0.0412 -0.0783 0.3727 ** 0.0867 -0.1524 * 0.3376 ** 3 0.1303 -0.1556 0.5181 * 0.2005 * -0.0985 0.2282 4 -0.0694 -0.2505 0.1769 0.1126 -0.0387 -0.2908 *
(1,4) 0.0380 -0.0676 0.1586 0.1445 *** 0.0529 0.0255 (1,8) 0.0109 -0.0311 0.1122 0.0967 *** -0.0243 0.0920
(1,18) -0.0052 -0.0218 0.0362 0.0816 *** 0.0124 0.0197 (1,36) -0.0196 -0.0189 0.0322 0.0528 *** -0.0086 0.0413 (1,54) -0.0240 * -0.0116 0.0153 0.0449 *** -0.0092 0.0547 **
39
Panel B. Differences in Trade Price Ratio between Types of Investors around Good News Good News
Buy Sell Interval R-F R-I I-F R-F R-I I-F
(-54,-1) -0.0550 *** 0.0088 -0.0342 0.0566 ** 0.0109 0.0958 (-36,-1) -0.0826 *** 0.0029 -0.0355 0.0798 ** -0.0107 0.1881 * (-18,-1) -0.1149 *** -0.0160 -0.0841 ** 0.0685 0.0035 0.2273
(-8,-1) -0.1160 *** 0.0263 -0.1304 ** -0.0099 0.0087 0.0077 (-4,-1) -0.1294 * 0.0595 -0.1398 * 0.0064 0.0625 -0.0312
-4 -0.0320 0.0491 -0.2074 0.0045 -0.0372 -0.0706 -3 0.0525 0.1180 -0.1554 -0.1146 0.1130 -0.1250 -2 -0.1442 ** -0.0343 0.0847 0.0500 -0.0672 0.1051 -1 -0.3331 0.0971 -0.2376 0.0850 0.2654 0.0401 1 0.0527 0.4063 -0.4952 0.1504 0.4906 *** -0.4251 ** 2 -0.0395 -0.2833 ** 0.5669 *** 0.1148 -0.2208 0.3800 3 -0.0058 -0.2894 0.6447 0.1208 -0.0334 0.3554 4 -0.1976 -0.0399 -0.3636 0.0655 0.0575 -0.3840 *
(1,4) -0.0369 -0.0174 0.0381 0.1138 0.1359 -0.0563 (1,8) -0.0152 0.0199 0.0285 0.0710 0.0274 0.0080
(1,18) -0.0079 -0.0071 -0.0073 0.0788 * 0.0489 -0.0312 (1,36) -0.0367 * -0.0214 0.0121 0.0395 -0.0128 0.0206 (1,54) -0.0293 * 0.0035 0.0157 0.0411 * 0.0093 0.0198
Panel C. Differences in Trade Price Ratio between Types of Investors around Bad News Bad News
Buy Sell Interval R-F R-I I-F R-F R-I I-F (-54,-1) 0.0152 -0.0073 0.0353 -0.0064 -0.0238 0.0296 (-36,-1) 0.0198 0.0165 -0.0175 -0.0100 -0.0152 0.0292 (-18,-1) 0.0292 0.0207 0.0468 0.0164 -0.0406 0.0383 (-8,-1) 0.0243 0.0543 -0.1372 ** 0.0112 0.0065 -0.0661 (-4,-1) -0.0655 0.0768 -0.1387 0.0108 -0.0015 -0.1264
-4 0.0693 -0.0881 0.0822 -0.0475 0.0368 0.0000 -3 -0.0206 0.1828 * -0.2971 -0.0602 0.1304 -0.1226 -2 -0.1852 0.1438 -0.2177 0.0909 -0.2585 0.2217 -1 -0.1242 0.1313 -0.3149 0.0547 0.0500 -2.0464 1 0.0144 -0.3677 * 0.4269 * 0.2675 0.0220 0.4735 2 0.2017 0.1435 0.2182 0.0164 -0.1302 0.3287 ** 3 0.3651 -0.2664 0.6834 0.3971 -0.3600 ** 0.3683 4 0.0049 -0.1320 0.1428 0.2612 0.0089 -0.4007
(1,4) 0.1284 * -0.1490 0.3721 ** 0.2244 ** -0.0935 0.2537 * (1,8) 0.0136 -0.0958 0.2413 ** 0.1517 *** -0.1107 * 0.2622 ***
(1,18) -0.0145 -0.0714 0.0948 0.0988 ** -0.0832 * 0.1362 ** (1,36) -0.0031 -0.0408 0.0683 0.0910 ** -0.0241 0.0941 ** (1,54) -0.0277 -0.0245 0.0217 0.0454 * -0.0721 0.1010 **
40
Figure 1. CAAR around Trading Halts Classified by News Types
Figure 2. CAAR around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Time
41
Figure 3. CAAR around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Durations
Figure 4. CAAR around Trading Halts Classified by Size Portfolios
42
Figure 5. Abnormal Volatility around Trading Halts Classified by News Types
Figure 6. Abnormal Volatility around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Time
43
Figure 7. Abnormal Volatility around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Durations
Figure 8. Abnormal Volatility around Trading Halts Classified by Size Portfolios
44
Figure 9. Abnormal Share Volume around Trading Halts Classified by News Types
Figure10. Abnormal Share Volume around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Time
45
Figure11. Abnormal Share Volume around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Durations
Figure12. Abnormal Share Volume around Trading Halts Classified by Halt Portfolios