Texas Library Association Diversity Summit April 8, 2014 San
Antonio, Texas Texas Population Characteristics, Trends, and
Projections
Slide 2
Growing States, 2000-2010 2 2000 Population* 2010 Population*
Numerical Change 2000-2010 Percent Change 2000-2010 United States
281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7% Texas
20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6% California
33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0% Florida
15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6% Georgia
8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3% North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483
1,486,17018.5% Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,38524.6%
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000
and 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count.
65% (2.8 million) of this change can be attributed to growth of the
Hispanic population
Slide 3
Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Annual
Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711,194--
19609,579,6771,868,4832.493.916.09
197011,196,7301,617,0531.786.7413.26
198014,229,1913,032,4612.741.5858.42
199016,986,5102,757,3192.065.8534.15
200020,851,8203,865,3102.349.6550.35
201025,145,5614,293,7412.154.9445.06 201226,060,796
915,2351.852.0547.95 201326,448,193387,397 1.4 * All values for the
decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year.
Values for 2012 and 2013 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S.
Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates
for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of
Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in
this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in
Texas, 1950-2012 3
Slide 4
Total Estimated Population by County, 2012 4 Source: U.S.
Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40%
of land 86% of population 92% of population growth (2011-2012)
Slide 5
Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012 5
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96
counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that
lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural
decline
Slide 6
The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011,
to July 1, 2012 6 Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6
2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky.3.7 3.Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin,
Fla.3.6 4.The Villages, Fla.3.4 5.Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville,
N.C.3.3 7.Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo.3.0 9.Columbus,
Ga.-Ala.2.9 10.Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau,
2012
Slide 7
The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1,
2011, to July 1, 2012 7 Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005
2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas,
Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis,
Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32,997 10.Clark,
Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013
Slide 8
Percent Hispanic, Texas Counties, 2007-2011 8 Source: U.S.
Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year sample,
2007-2011
Slide 9
Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in Texas,
1990-2012 9 millions Population Decline of Unauthorized Immigrants
Stalls, May Have Reversed, www.pewresearch.org/hispanic
Slide 10
Percent of the population that is native born, Texas Counties,
2007-2011 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey,
5-year sample, 2007-2011
Slide 11
Percent of the population age 5 and over that speaks Spanish
and speaks English less than very well, Texas Counties, 2008-2012
11 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-year
sample, 2008-2012
Slide 12
Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S.
Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census count
Slide 13
Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age,
2010 13 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
Slide 14
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 14 Source:
U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
Slide 15
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 15 Source:
U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
Slide 16
Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 16 Source:
U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1
Slide 17
Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050 17 Source:
Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections
Slide 18
Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050 18
Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections,
2000-2010 Migration Scenario
Slide 19
Educational Attainment in Texas, 2011 Level of Educational
Attainment Percent of persons aged 25 years and older State Ranking
High school diploma or equivalency or greater 81.1%48/49/50 (tied
with CA and MS) Bachelors or greater26.4%29 19 Source: U.S. Census
Bureau, American Community Survey, One-year Sample, 2011.
Slide 20
Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force
(aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009 20 Source: Derived from 2009
American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates by the Office of the
State Demographer. Less Than High School College and Greater
Slide 21
Trends in Educational Attainment in Texas by Race/Ethnicity
High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau,
American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011
Slide 22
Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational
Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, and 2030 Using
Trended Rates, Texas 22 Sources: Texas State Data Center, 2012
Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario U.S. Census
Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample,
2001-2011
Slide 23
Educational Attainment of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64)
by Race/Ethnicity in 2011, and Projected for 2030 Using Constant
Rates and Using Trended Rates of Educational Attainment, Texas 23
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011 1-Year
PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections,
0.5 Migration Scenario
