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1 TERRORISM AND ITS IMPACT ON GLOBAL SECURITY (A CASE STUDY OF AL-QAEDA) A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE OFFICE OF UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH BAZE UNIVERSITY, ABUJA BY RACHAEL ISTIFANUS ZAKARIYA BU/17C/BS/2863 IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEFREE BACHERLOR OF SCIENCE MAJOR: INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND DIPLOMACY JANUARY, 2021

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TERRORISM AND ITS IMPACT ON GLOBAL SECURITY

(A CASE STUDY OF AL-QAEDA)

A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE OFFICE OF UNDERGRADUATE

RESEARCH BAZE UNIVERSITY, ABUJA

BY

RACHAEL ISTIFANUS ZAKARIYA

BU/17C/BS/2863

IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE

DEFREE BACHERLOR OF SCIENCE

MAJOR: INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND DIPLOMACY

JANUARY, 2021

2

DECLARATION

I, Rachael Istifanus Zakariya, hereby declare that this project titled TERRORISM AND ITS

IMPACT ON GLOBAL SECURITY; A CASE STUDY OF AL-QAEDA has been carried

out by me, under the supervision of Dr. Ebimboere Seiyefa. I further certify that this work has

not been previously submitted for the award of a degree or certificate elsewhere. The

information derived from the literature had been duly acknowledged in the text and a list of

references provided. No part of this project was previously presented for another degree or

diploma at this or any institution.

________________________ __________________ RACHAEL ISTIFANUS ZAKARIYA Date (BU/17C/BS/2863)

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CERTIFICATION

This is to certify that the project titled research work titled TERRORISM AND ITS

IMPACT ON GLOBAL SECURITY; A CASE STUDY OF AL-QAEDA by Rachael

Istifanus Zakariya BU/17C/BS/2863, has been approved by the Department of International

Relations and Diplomacy, Faculty of Management and Social Sciences, Baze University,

Abuja, Nigeria.

APPROVAL PAGE

1. …………………………………… ………………………………………

PROJECT SUPERVISOR DATE

DR. EBIMBOEIE SEIYEFA

2. …………………………………… ………………………………………

HEAD OF DEPARTMENT DATE

PROF. USMAN MUHAMMED

3. …………………………………… ………………………………………

DEAN, FACULTY OF MGT DATE

AND SOCIAL SCIENCES

PROF. OSITA AGBU

4. …………………………………… ………………………………………

EXTERNAL EXAMINER DATE

4

DEDICATION

I dedicate this research work first to God Almighty who has always been there for me,

and has brought me this far. I also dedicate this research work to my beloved parent

Mr. Istifanus Zakariya, and my dearest mum Late Mrs. Rejoice Istifanus Zakariya, and

to my siblings, also to my uncles Late Mr. Emmanuel Filibus Gwama and Mr.

Emmanuel Peter and to my darling aunt Mrs. Helen Haruna for their never ending love,

support, prayers, support, and encouragement throughout this entire program. Thank

you for always being there for me and always believing in me.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

My profound gratitude goes to God almighty for bringing me this far and making my

research project a success, which without him I would not have gotten to where I am

today. I will also remain grateful to my family for their never ending support, I really

appreciate you all.

To Dr. Ebimboere Seiyefa, my supervisor, Thank you for all the support, time,

guidance, advise, and patience, I really appreciate you, and truly lucky to be under your

supervision. Also to the lectures of my department, thank you for always being there

for me and for all you have taught me, I could not have wished for better people to have

taught me. A big thanks to Amira, Aisha, Isa, Adil and Faith for all the words of

encouragement, supports and love, I appreciate you all. Also to my classmate and

friends Thank you.

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TABEL OF CONTENT

TABEL OF CONTENTS

TITLE PAGE.............................................................................i

DECLARATION.......................................................................ii

CERTIFICATION....................................................................iii

DEDICATION.........................................................................iv

ACKNOWLEDGMENT..........................................................v

TABLE OF CONTENTS........................................................vii

ABSTRACT............................................................................xi

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION

1.0 Background to the Study.................................................................. 1

1.1 Statement of the Problem................................................................. 4

1.2 Research Aim.......................................................................... 5

1.3 Research Questions.......................................................................... 6

1.4 Significance of study........................................................................ 6

1.5 Scope and limitations.........................................................................7

1.6 Research Methodology……………………….……………………...7

1.7 Review of Theory ………………………………………………… 8

1.8 Definition of Terms …………………………………………………. 9

1.9 Summary of Chapter……………………………………………… 10

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW

2.0 Introduction………………………………………………………………. 11

2.1 Overview of Terrorism ……………………………………………….. 12

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2.1.1 Causes of Terrorism…………………………………………………….. 15

2.2 Terrorism and Global Security ………………………………………… 16

2.3 The Concept of Collective Security …………………………………… 20

2.3.2 Multilateralism and Collective Agreements on Global Security

………………………………..….. 24

2.3.3 Implication of Terrorism on Global Security………………………… 29

2.4 The Theory of Realism ……………………………………………. …..... 30

CHAPTER THREE: AL-QAEDA TERRORIST GROUP AND GLOBAL TERRORISM

3.0 Introduction................................................................................................... 38

3.1 Links between Terrorism and Global Security............................................. 38

3.2 Origin of Al-Qaeda ………………………………………………… 41

3.3 Objectives of Al-Qaeda …………………………………………. .......... 45

3.4 Structure of Al-Qaeda …………………………………………………… 47

3.4.1 Organizational Structure of Al-Qaeda ………………………………. 49

3.5 Al-Qaeda’s Affiliates …………………………………………......... 49

3.5.1 Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) ………………………………………………………….. 49

3.5.2 Al-Qaeda in Islamic Maghreb ……………………………………… 50

3.5.3 Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan ……………………………………………. 51

3.6 Impacts of Al-Qaeda Attacks on Global Security …………………… 52

3.6.1 Specific Impacts of Global Terrorism Across Various

States ……………………………………………………. 56

3.6.2 Global Effects of The 9/11 Attacks ………………………………. 56

3.6.3 The Effects of 9/11 on the United States in General ………………….. 57

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3.6.4 Damage Impact of 9/11 Attacks ………………………………………….. 59

3.7. Immediate Economic Impact ……………………………………………… 60

3.7.1 2001 Recession …………………………………………………………….. 61

3.7.2 War on Terror …………………………………………………………….. 61

3.7.3 Debt Crisis ………………………………………………………………… 61

3.8 Bali Bombing impact ………………………………………………………. 62

3.8.1 Impact of the Bombing ……………………………………………………... 63

3.8.2 Impact on state Society Relations …………………………………………… 63

CHAPTER FOUR: INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE TO AL-QAEDA IN RELATION

TO GLOBAL SECURITY

4.0 Introduction .................................................................................................... 65

4.1 Legal and Financial Clampdown …………………………………………… 65

4.2 Examining the Progress in the Fight Against Terrorism ……………………. 71

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, DISCUSSION OF FINDINGS AND

RECOMMENDATION

5.0 Introduction …………………………………………………………………. 74

5.1 Summary ........................................................................................................... 74

5.2 Conclusion ………............................................................................................ 76

5.3 Recommendations............................................................................................. 78

REFERENCES…………………………………………………………………… 79

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ABSTRACT

Terrorism is not a new phenomenon which has been in existence for years carried out by

individuals and organizations mainly for political reasons. Notwithstanding, due to the

activities of these terrorist groups, they will in general debilitate a state's capacity to guarantee

the wellbeing and security to its citizens. Using Al-Qaeda as a case study, a group in existence

for over 2 decades, the study focuses on their terror acts such as the bombing of train stations

in Madrid 2004, and London 2005, the Bali club bombing, and how it has impacted the world

at large, economically, psychologically, and socially. More so, for the objective of the study to

be achieved, the study made use of qualitative research to analyze the subject of this research

work. In the context of theoretical framework, the theory of Realism was used. Based on the

findings the study concludes that the US assemble and sponsor terror networks mostly for short

term purposes and where they are no longer useful, they are disposed, although sometimes

disposing such network is not the easiest of tasks. Political intentions remain the major link

between terrorism and global security with major actors, while promotion of religious

ideologies come as the minor indications because they are not which much state sponsorship

like the political element. Regarding the specific impacts of terrorism on Economic Security,

findings includes the reduction of FDI, reduced capital inflows, stalls stock markets, shifts

investment both capital and labour. It ushers in higher uncertainty thus reducing confidence

among potential investors. The study recommends an understanding of the adaptive and

resilient nature of transnational terrorist groups is critical. By incorporating this data into

antiterrorist doctrine, strategy, and tactics, which various actors in the fight against terrorism

can adjust their operations to meet the changing demands of the security environment against

a dynamic enemy such as Al Qaeda.

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CHAPTER ONE- INTRODUCTION

1.0 BACKGROUNG OF STUDY.

Terrorism has been a focal point that has gained wide acknowledgement by the research,

academic, professional, governmental, and international communities. Its origin can be traced

as far back as the 20th century, prior to the event that happened in September 11th, 2001.

Terrorism was among one of the developing numbers of global security concerns before the

assault of September 11, 2001, however, turned into the principal concern of the international

community. Terrorism today is viewed as an impede to the development of social orders

governed by the rule of law; but also seen as a global threat that affect every nation.

However, it is important to define the term Terrorism for a better understanding before

proceeding. Terrorism is numerous and disputable, and has gained a wide range of debate with

the saying that “one man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter”. As a result of this,

different scholars and researchers have defined the term terrorism in different ways;

The Oxford Dictionary calls terrorism "the unlawful utilization of viciousness and

intimidation, particularly against regular citizens, in pursuit of political objectives. Merriam-

Webster considers it the methodical and coercive utilization of terror, defined as "fierce or

destructive, (for example, bombing) committed by groups to threaten a populace or government

into conceding their requests.

According to Shreyasi Ghosh, terrorism is a complicated term that is an upsetting sort of

brutality, a strategy for battle or an approach used to accomplish certain objectives, to advance

a condition of fear in its casualties that does not affirm to humanitarian standards which

exposure is essential for its approach. This usually involves killing innocent individuals and

the demolition of property, to make panic and fear, which affected even the remotest aspect of

the globe.

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UNSC resolution 1566 in 2004 defines terrorism as any criminal demonstrations including

against customary residents, executed to cause death or genuine considerable injury, or taking

of prisoners, with the motivation to prompt a condition of fear in the general populace or a

gathering of individuals or explicit individuals, alarm a general population or drive a

government or an international organization to do or to avoid doing any act.

It will be well said that terrorism is a recent phenomenon, and to a degree because of current

correspondence. In any case, terrorist activities existed even hundreds of years back. Three

groups of terrorist acts existed hundreds of years back which are; the Things also known as the

Hindu, the Assassin known as the Islamic, and the Zealots who are the Jewish, showing that

terrorist activity has been in existence since the times of the Roman Empire. Notwithstanding,

terrorism is not a phenomenon brought about by extreme consideration from present-day

media, for instance, the Assassins did not require the media to contact audiences and make

known their intentions because their victories were killed in adored spots and regal courts,

which generally occurs on blessed days within the sight of numerous witnesses.

From the last part of the 1960s to the last part of the 1980s, terrorism is supposed to be propelled

by patriotism, nonconformity, communist belief system, prejudice, agnosticism, and financial

balance. It is contended that the current influx of present-day terrorist activity is observable on

account of its religious character. Since the start of 1980, the quantity of terrorist monger on

religion-based gathering has expanded because of the dynamism of terrorist group. Because of

the global development of strict fundamentalism, a few researchers consider the religious-

based group as more perilous than that of the whole terrorist group whose rationale is to prevail

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upon individuals and with this, they do not have any desire to leave enormous losses while

other researchers cannot help contradicting this arguing that, the ebb and flow type of terrorism

is not new and not specially identified with religion.

Terrorism is a complex phenomenon that is an alarming kind of violence, a method to combat

or a strategy to achieve certain goals that it aims to induce a state of fear in the victim, that it

is ruthless and does not conform to humanitarian norms and that is one the reason it stands out

a threat to global security.

According to a report by the UN released in 2018, “political and social polarization built on

economic disparities and populism, competition for natural resources and environmental

degradation, fragmented non-State armed actors and the absence of political solutions to

evolving conflicts, remain the main causes for insecurity.” The above serves as a stage for

terrorism to rise as a source of insecurity. Depending on the world economic state, poverty

serves as a fuel for terrorists’ sympathizers, thereby increasing the rate of reoccurring terrorism

incidents.

More so, the purpose behind terrorism being a cause of global insecurity is its relationship

between religious and political causes, on the identification with religion then terrorist action

represents a challenge to the state- sovereignty system. It has been known that the use of

terrorism implies an attempt to delegitimize the concept of sovereignty and even the structure

of the state system itself. Although most nations are far from helpless, we live in a world that

is rapidly becoming a local village also known as globalization.

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Looking at the security side of the globalization analysis, international security has become so

complex and multi-dimensional that the normal traditional national border-setting type of

security perception is not capable of recognizing new threats that transcend the national borders

and this is a problem. In this context, international terrorism became one of the main concerns

with its highly complicated characteristics. This problem has been recognized not only by one

nation but also in the era of globalization when the nations became much more connected and

interdependent, it became a threat to international security. Some of the states have witnessed

terrorist threats for many years. Nevertheless, though these states have already known the pains

of terrorism, it became more concerned with incidents such as the 9/11 attack.

Terrorism thus, under the impact of globalization has rippled in world politics, adding an

altogether new dimension in the study of international relations in particular to security studies,

threatens the state system and the global security as a whole. The largest international

organization (UN) responsible for maintaining global peace and security views it as the biggest

threat to mankind, which may upset the maintenance of global peace in our times and pose a

serious challenge in safeguarding human rights and fundamental freedoms throughout the

world.

1.1 STATEMENT OF PROBLEM

Terrorism has been a predominant issue that has been in existence for quite a long time.

The Department of Defense Dictionary of Military Terms defines terrorism as the

determined use of unlawful violence or threat of unlawful violence to instill fear, to force

or scare government or social orders in the quest for objectives that are commonly political,

religious, or ideological. Terrorism has been a significant issue not just in the United States

nor the United Kingdom, but the world at large. Bearing this in mind, it is critical to outline

14

the fact that terrorist activities will in general, debilitate a state's capacity to guarantee the

wellbeing and security to its citizens. All humans have experienced enormously the results

of terrorism. The 9/11 assault on the U.S. has demonstrated that not just little actors in the

global framework experience the ill effects of terrorism also the most remarkable states

and vital participants in the international system.

Using Al-Qaeda as a case study, the group has been in existence for some time and has

carried out different operations, for example, the 9/11 assault in the U.S., the bombing of

train stations in Madrid 2004, London 2005, the Bali club bombing, and some more.

Notwithstanding this has affected people and the world at large, economically,

psychologically, and socially.

More so, it is also important to outline the fact that people consistently play a key role with

regards to terrorism, which could be in form of killings, kidnapping, taking of hostages,

and the releasing of violence. Due to all these, their memories consistently bear traumatic

and torturing events to people. However, this essay tends to focus on this problem and find

a solution to manage the act of terrorism with the help of the following research questions.

1.2 RESEARCH AIM

The aim of my research is to examine terrorism and its impact on global security with

reference to Al-Qaeda.

In order for the above aim to be achieved, the following are objectives set:

1. To investigate the link between terrorism and global security.

2. To critically analyze specific impacts of terrorism on global security in relation to

Al-Qaeda activities.

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3. To critically examine international response to Al-Qaeda in relation to global

security.

1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS

1. What are the facilitators and barriers of terrorist activities internationally?

2. What are the impacts of terrorism on global security in relation to Al-Qaeda activities.

3. What are the actions taken by regional bodies against acts of terrorism?

4. What are the specificity of such impacts of terrorism on global security and to what

extent have they been curtailed?

1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF STUDY

The significance of the study is the inspiration driving this research work. In this regard,

the significance of the study will be on the following essentials;

• The study is going to lay accentuation on how the exercises of Al-Qaeda has

affected the world as a whole, and how it has impacted insecurity in the world.

• The study will likewise examine how Al-Qaeda has caused nations to fortify their

security policies.

• The study will, however, highlight the effect of terrorism on the arms trade, which

endless nations use as motivation to build its military budget.

• The study will likewise add to the existing body of literature on terrorism and

global security and be critical to analyze terrorism and global security.

1.6 SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS

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The scope of this study is centered around the implication of terrorism on global security

using Al-Qaeda as a contextual analysis.

LIMITATION OF STUDY

While doing this research work, there were a ton of difficulties encountered such as;

Time Constraint: This exploration will require a great deal of time and commitment,

which will not be conceivable because of the reality it will participate in the study with

other academic work, and will however reduce the time dedicated to this research and slow

down the progress of this research that could result to the work not being ready on time.

Financial Constraint: Insufficient funds will, in general, ruin the viability of the

examination in getting the relevant materials, data, literature, and the process of data

collection. This is because of the reality the majority of the materials online must be

purchased, which are costly and are usually in foreign currencies, in which the conversion

scale is high.

Sourcing of materials: The accessibility of materials is restricted, which is because of the

way that most libraries are shut because of the pandemic, making it difficult to get printed

copy books. With the progressing circumstance, the research must choose the option to

depend on an online source, which is restricted, with a ton of biased works in which getting

the accurate materials required might be hard. Another issue is that some online libraries

require the Institution to be enlisted, which, tragically, Baze University is not registered.

1.7 RESEARCH METHODLOGY

The principal goal of the research methodology is that it clarified how data is assembled,

examined, and deciphered. However, this essay will be making use of qualitative research

to analyze the subject of this work. Consequently, the main source of this research is mainly

secondary data derived through the context of articles, official publications, relevant

17

writings, magazines, books, newspapers, and documentaries, will serve as a tangible insight

to terrorism and global security. Be that as it may, this research is carefully restricted to

recorded data on al-Qaeda its implications, and exercise, and be investigated through the

substance examination of libraries, academic articles, books, and the web. Likewise, this

technique will be utilized to assess such discoveries with previously existing discoveries

on the topic.

To arrive at a finding, the various information from the secondary sources will be analyzed

using the thematic method of analysis as the researcher seeks to find topics, ideas and

patterns of meaning that come up repeatedly or with similarities across the various

secondary sources.

1.8 REVIEW OF THEORY

This research will rely on the Theory of Realism in the discussion of terrorism and

global security. The theory of Realism offers an alternative explanation on the

failure of idealism to curtail problems posited by terrorism on international peace

and security. Realists consider the principal actors in the international arena to be

states, which are concerned with their own security, act in pursuit of their own

national interests, and struggle for power. The negative side of the realists' emphasis

on power and self-interest is their skepticism regarding the relevance of ethical

norms to relations among states. Korab-Karpowicz (2011:6) states that “national

politics is the realm of authority and law, whereas international politics, they

sometimes claim, is a sphere without justice, characterized by active or potential

conflict among states.” This realist perception underscores the very nature and

behavior of states.

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Bennet (1984:134) states that “the national goals, values, interest and international

commitments compete with the demands of collective security for action…national

security takes precedence over collective security, cultural, traditional, trade and

investment, military alliances and ideology are balanced against a general

commitment to world peace.” Thus the selfish and competitive aspects of

international relations present a major challenge to the success of collective security

agenda at the regional and global level. The study provided that human beings are

needy and vulnerable and can easily be led astray by our attempts to know the world

and communities around us such that when we act, we may do so selfishly and

impulsively on the basis of faulty reasoning or theology.

1.9 DEFINITION OF KEY TERMS

Terrorism: Terrorism can be said as a demonstration of viciousness against people,

gatherings, states, and some more, ordinarily with political or ideological aims, with the

intent to cause havoc (Jenkins, 2019).

Global Security: Global security can be defined as measures, for example, military or

political carried out by countries and international associations intending to accomplish

common peace, security, and safety (Global Security, 2019).

Security: Security is the condition of being protected from danger (Booth, 2014).

Al-Qaeda: Al-Qaeda is a terrorist wide-based assailant Islamist association whose point is

to kill the Western presence in Arab nations and to restrict western foreign policy

established by Osama bin Laden in 1988 (Encyclopedia, 2020).

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1.10 SUMMARY OF THE CHAPTER

This chapter is an overview of the study. The chapter shows that terrorism is not a new

phenomenon, and has been in place and used by individuals to achieve certain goals. Also,

it gives an overview of security and global security. Thus, the study gives a background to

the study, the history and origin of terrorism, talked on security and global security, the

statement of the problem, research aim and objectives, research questions, the significance

of the study, the scope and limitation, and finally the definition of terms.

20

CHAPTER TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW

2.0 Introduction

This chapter provides an insight into the review of the literature on the issue of terrorism and

global security. It consist of the concept of terrorism and global security and an explanation

into the issues surrounding global security and how terrorism affects it.

In trying to provide an analysis of the effects of terrorism on global security the study relied

on the concept of collective security which is derived from the theory of Idealism to explain

why states come together to combat terrorism. The major terrorist groups and the way they

operate across the world are discussed in this chapter. Incidences of the terrorist acts are costly

and have led to the loss of life, disturbance of the environment and destruction of infrastructure.

Terror is persistent, evolving and transnational such that individual states in the international

system has a need to come together to eliminate terrorism. The terrorist activities are

transnational and have been manifesting in various forms including kidnapping, suicide

bombing, accessing Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and hostage-taking. They seek to

fulfill different political objectives to suit their individual goals. This instills a sense of

insecurity for both the state and its citizens as the attacks are sporadic and have unknown

formulae of execution.

The UN (2002:V) Preface by the former UN Secretary General Koffi Annan states that

“terrorism is a global threat with global effects…its consequences affect every aspect of the

UN agenda from development, peace to human rights and the rule of law…” The continuous

devastating and horrific attacks in the presence of collective security custodian, UN and other

regional bodies responsible for peace keeping suffered serious challenges in guaranteeing

peace and international security.

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2.1 Overview of Terrorism

The concept of terrorism is not a new phenomenon in human history. It is a concept

that is complex, multifaceted and emotive. It is complex because it combines so many different

aspects of human experiences, including politics, psychology, philosophy, military strategy,

religion and history. Terrorism is emotive both because experiences of terrorist acts arouse

tremendous feelings and because those who see terrorists as justified often have strong feelings

concerning the rightness of the use of violence in solving differences among mankind. The

term terrorism from the etymological concept had its origin from the French word ‘terrorism’

which in turn derives from the Latin word, ‘terreo’ which means to frighten (Ruby, 2002).

In many cases terrorists internationally choose to attack innocent targets, to make their

political or religious demands from the government or people with which they are in conflict,

violating domestic and international laws. The phenomenon of terrorism has been widely

examined in the extant literature, yet, there is no universally accepted definition. This is

because act that convey terrorism impressions are often viewed from different perspectives

(Wolftang, 1982).

In similar view, Hughes (2002) described terrorism as the use of threat or use of anxiety

induced extra normal violence for political purpose by any individual or group whether acting

for or in a position to established governmental authority when such action is intended to

influence the attitudes and behaviour of a largest group wider than the immediate victims and

through the nationality or foreign ties and its perpetrators.

LaFree and Dugan, (2007), further see terrorism as “acts by non-state actors involving

the threatened or actual use of illegal force or violence to attain a political, economic, religious,

or social goal through fear, coercion, or intimidation”(pg. 183). As witnessed in Nigeria during

the reprobate regime of General Sanni Abacha in 2005 – 2008, when bombs were used as a

terror weapon against Nigerians. In a world perceived as peaceful, an act of political violence

22

may be considered as domestic terrorism, while the same act of violence can be considered

justified by others who perceive the world to be at war. Juergensmeyer (2003), described

terrorism as a tool used to achieve a specific outcome by using force or violence on one segment

of society with the primary goal of causing fear in the larger society to make change in that

society (Garrison, 2004). According to FEMA (2009), some scholars have argued that

terrorism is a form of violent conflict, in that view, it is a form of unconventional warfare.

Terrorism most times is used when attempting to force socio-political change by convincing a

government or population to agree to demands to avoid future harm or fear of harm,

destabilization of existing government, motivating a discontented population to join a mutiny,

escalating a conflict in the hope of upsetting the status quo, expressing an injustice, or drawing

attention to a cause. Terrorism is characterized by some common strings: political,

psychological, coercive, dynamic and deliberate.

This definition is based on the fact that, almost all known terrorist acts are caused by

human injustice or man’s inhumanity to man, marginalization, exploitation, greed, deprivation,

poverty, corruption, oppression, and repression. The United States Federal Bureau of

Investigation (FBI) describes terrorism as the unlawful use of force or violence against persons

or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population or any segment

thereof, in furtherance of political, or social objective (FBI, 2009). However, terrorism can be

described as an act of psychological warfare driven by fear or panic, intimidation, force or

threats of violence on the individual(s) or the general public with the view of compelling a

government, an institution or organization or individual to act in ways, ordinarily such an

individual or organization would not have acted in order to ensure safety of lives and property

or justice, equity and fairness.

It has been argued that the victims or objects of a terrorist attack have little intrinsic

value to the terrorist but represent a larger human audience whose reaction the terrorists seek

23

(Crenshaw, 1981) .The panic terror impact produces and the sense of insecurity terrorism

creates on the population make more sense to the terrorist than real victims of a terrorist

incident. Terrorism includes a range of social and political problems whose behavioural scope

is boundless and includes behaviour that appears to be abnormal (Brown, 2007).

Terrorism is often characterized by the use of violence against civilians, with the

expressed desire of causing terror or panic in the population. Terrorism is not unique to the

21st century, in fact it existed in the 18th, 19th and 20th centuries. Today, terrorist activity can

be found in Israel, Indonesia, the United Kingdom, Sri Lanka, Colombia, France, Spain,

Germany, Nigeria, the United States and almost in all countries of the world. The most popular

terrorist attack is the September 11 suicide attacks against the World Trade Center and the

Pentagon and the attempted attack that resulted in the plane crash in Pennsylvania.

The terrorists in Nigeria have found as a strategy the attacks on civil population and

government institutions such as the police, military and other security agencies coupled with

massive destruction of public facilities and civil properties including oil installations, police

stations, prisons, churches, mosques, and shops. In recent years, the analysis of country-level

terrorism data has increased dramatically along with the increasing availability of worldwide

terrorism event data (LaFree, 2012). Besides, other scholars have linked terrorism to the macro

economic and political context of a country (Dugan, LaFree, & Piquero 2005; Enders &

Sandler, 2006; Fahey, LaFree, Dugan, & Piquero, in press; Greenbaum, Dugan, & LaFree

2007; LaFree, Dugan, and Fahey, 2007; LaFree, Dugan, & Korte, 2009; Piazza 2008; Tikusis,

2009). Also as Hughes (2002) underscores; writing about terrorism has been controversial not

only because of its wide perspective but also of the muddle of controversies generated by it”.

In the religious dimension Muslims and Christians alike religiously adopt their view.

From the above, it can be said that terrorism involves organized violent attack on a

target with the aim of undermining a lawfully constituted authority and to cause fear among

24

the populace in furtherance of some socio political objectives. In essence it is a coercive or

premeditated act or threat of violence or the use of violence with the aim of instilling fear in

the target such as to alter its behavior in the desire of the perpetrators (Anyaoku, et al, 2005).

Earlier scholars have confirmed connections between terrorism and macro political

factors, including legitimacy, democratization, and failed or fragile states (LaFree and

Ackerman, 2009). For example, Ross and Gurr (1989) identified the electoral success of the

Parti Quebecois, a legitimate, nonviolent political party, as one of the leading reasons that the

Front de Liberation du Quebec experienced a decline in political strength. In a quantitative

analysis of worldwide terrorism attacks, LaFree & Dugan (2007) found that, controlling for a

wide variety of rival explanations, a common democracy measure had a strong-curvilinear

relationship to terrorist attacks and fatalities. Piazza’s (2007), Multivariate analysis also

showed that state instability is the most consistent predictor of country-level terrorist attacks.

Also, LaFree, Dugan and Fahey, 2007 found strong support for the conclusion that by the

2000s worldwide terrorist attacks were concentrated in failed or weak states. Government

policies and counter measures have also been shown to affect terrorist activity, sometimes

reducing it through deterrence or target hardening, but at other times increasing it through

backlash effects (Lum, Kennedy & Sherley, 2006).

2.1.1 Causes of Terrorism

Several authors have reported different causes of terrorism. Terrorism in Nigeria in

whichever dimension is often stimulated by economic considerations. For instance, the Niger

Delta agitations were greatly underpinned by the bid of what (Ake, 1981) is referred to as the

primary material condition. Onuoha and Ugwueze (2014) identify religious, political and the

terrorist schools as common causes of terrorism. The religious school argues that Boko Haram

insurgency is a grand design to impose the religion of Islam on Nigeria. Emerging from the

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different schools, scholars have categorized motivations for terrorism into psychological,

ideological, and strategic perspectives.

1. Psychological Perspective: This perspective argues that those who engage in terrorism

may do so for purely personal reasons, based on their own psychological state of mind.

Their motivation may be nothing more than hate or the desire for power.

2. Ideological Perspective: Ideology is defined as the beliefs, values, and/or principles by

which a group identifies its particular aims and goals. Ideology may encompass religion or

political philosophies and programs.

3. Strategic Perspective: Terrorism is sometimes seen as a logical extension of the failure of

politics. When people seek redress of their grievances through government, but fail to win

government’s attention to their plight, they may resort to violence. From this viewpoint,

terrorism is the result of a logical analysis of the goals and objectives of a group, and their

estimate of the likelihood of gaining victory. If victory seems unlikely using more

traditional means of opposition, then one might calculate that terrorism is a better option

2.2Terrorism and Global Security

According to Oche and Dokunbo (2001), terrorism originates from the Latin word, terrere. It

is characterized by the desire to attain its goals by frightening those it believe stands on its way.

However there are little consensus as to the root causes of terrorism, whether they bear political,

economic or social. In terms of political terrorism, Shultz and Sloan (2002) defined it as the

threat and / or use of extra normal form of political violence, in varying degrees, with the

objective of achieving certain political goals or objectives. This is to influence the behavior

and attitude of certain groups. It has basically political motives. In addition to this Cline and

Alexander (1987, p.215) defined terrorism as a deliberate employment of violence or the use

of violence by sovereign states as well as some national groups, assisted by sovereign states in

26

order to attain strategic and political objectives through the violation of law. Lodge (1981)

identified three broad types of terrorism.

They are revolutionary terrorism, aimed at political revolution, sub- revolutionary terrorism

which has political motives other than revolution and repressive terrorism aimed at restraining

certain groups, individuals or forms of behavior deemed to be undesirable. Shultz and Sloan

(2002, p.2) identified international, transnational, domestic and state terrorism as different

types of political terrorism. Oche and Dokubo (2001) identified the broad types as the non-

state terrorism, state sponsored terrorism and the state directed terrorism or establishment

terrorism. However, our interest is on the domestic terrorism which is an action initiated by an

individual or group of nationals within its own borders (Shultz and Sloan, 2002 p.2). Karen De

Young and Dobbs (2001) emphasized that the threats of terrorist attacks are not necessarily

from indigenous extreme-left movements but from self determination struggles and struggles

against injustices which sometimes coincides with or are given moral justification through the

use of religion. Terrorism is an act that is a criminal violation if committed within the

jurisdiction of any state. The acts appear to be intended to intimidate or coerce a civilian

population, influence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercion, or affect the

conduct of a government by assassination or kidnapping. The act of terrorism transcend

national boundaries in terms of the means of which they are accomplished, the persons they

appear intended to coerce or intimidate, or the locale in which the perpetuation operate or seek

asylum. In the past, what we watched and read were the more newsworthy events that have

filled the media. In these present days, terrorists have been going about their deadly business

aided by the evolution in technology leading the invention of new weapons of mass destruction

increasing their destructive capability invariably increasing the threat of terrorism. Terrorism

is threatening the viability of a nationstate, bringing about economic crisis, instability, a threat

to tourism, energy-sector, civil-aviation, maritime, transportation and civil transportation. The

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problem of terrorism has refused to go away instead; it has kept people in perpetual fear,

robbing people of freedom and security. Thus the world as a whole is voicing concerns over

the menace of terrorism, extremism and radicalism. No country goes unaffected by

international terrorism, for these reasons the global community can no longer turn a blind eye

on terrorism (Nimma, 2007). The world now lives in fear. We are afraid of everything. We are

afraid of flying, afraid of certain countries, afraid of bearded Asian men, afraid of shoes airline

passengers wear; of letter and parcels, of white powder. The countries allegedly harbouring

terrorists, their people, innocent or otherwise, are afraid too. They are afraid of war, of being

killed and maimed by bombs being dropped on them, by missiles from hundreds of miles away

by unseen forces. They are afraid because they have become collaterals to be killed because

they get in the way of the destruction of their countries (Mahathir bin Mohamad, 2003). The

above statement brings bare the experiences and changes the world is experiencing that are not

only impacting on individuals, but also affecting countries both positively and negatively.

According to Agbu (2004), one of the major features of the current conjecture in international

politics and the international security is the appearance on international terrorism in a more

deadly and impersonal fashion. Fundamentally the linkage between terrorism and globalization

can be more easily examined and explained by focusing on the national security ramifications.

It is noteworthy to state that the globalization that has made terrorism what it is today is the

integration of countries into the world economy through increased trade, investment, short term

capital flows and international migration of skilled and unskilled labour (Chishti, 2002, p.227).

Terrorism has been in practice throughout history and throughout the world. It is affecting

global security in the 21st century because it is becoming more rampant. Terrorism has a

negative impact on global security, which affects every nation because they are all connected.

Today, terrorism affects the foreign policy of many nations. A huge number of lives have been

destroyed, and properties worth billions also destroyed. People live in perpetual fear of

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insecurity, because they do not know the next turn of events, where it would take place and the

propensity of the effects. As a result of modern and sophisticated technology, the world has

become a global village, hence the impact of terrorism on global security. International

terrorism continues to pose difficult challenges to state and human security in the international

system. Apart from the fear of insecurity terrorism brings about, it also reflects in economic

decline, unemployment, inability to pay salaries of workers, debt burden; it brings about

poverty and a general sense of frustration amongst the victims.

Crime has had this effect in the inner cities as people. People are afraid to walk the streets at

night. Life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness are inalienable rights according to the universal

Declaration of human right to ensures domestic tranquility; such can not co- exist with a state

of terrorism. One cannot afford the destruction of cars, buildings, and airplanes which are

frequent targets of terrorists. Other costs are more hidden, but are just as costly as direct

demolition. "During the last decade, it is estimated that U.S. corporations, which have been a

prime target of overseas terrorism have paid between $125 and $200 million dollars in ransom.

Other hidden costs are incurred when government organizations and private companies spend

thousands of dollars to upgrade and maintain facilities that are resistant to terrorist attack. Each

year billions of dollars are spent to train and equip government and private personnel to deter

terrorism (Johnston, 2003).

The economic impact of terrorism can be calculated from a variety of perspectives. There are

direct costs to property and immediate effects on productivity, as well as longer term indirect

costs of responding to terrorism. Economists and others have tried to calculate the economic

impact of terrorism for years in areas beset by attacks, such as Spain's Basque region and Israel.

In the last several years, most analyses of terrorism's economic costs begin with an

interpretation of the costs of the September 11, 2001 attacks (Zalman, 2011).

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In the United States, Defence and Homeland Security spending are by far the largest cost of

the attack. The human cost, of course, is incalculable. The direct cost of the September 11

attack has been estimated at somewhat over $20 billion (Krugman, 2004). Glen Hodgson, the

Deputy Chief Economist for the Export Development Candada (EDC) explained the costs in

2004: The US alone now spends about US $500 billion annually--20 percent of the US federal

budget--on departments directly engaged in combating or preventing terrorism, most notably

Defense and Homeland Security.

The Defense budget increased by one-third, or over $100 billion, from 2001 to 2003 in response

to the heightened sense of the threat of terrorism – an increase equivalent to 0.7 per cent of US

GDP. According to Hodgson (2004) expenditures on defense and security are essential for any

nation, but of course they also come with an opportunity cost; those resources are not available

for other purposes, from spending on health and education to reductions in taxes. A higher risk

of terrorism, and the need to combat it, simply raises that opportunity cost (cited in Kazoun,

2007).

2.3 The Concept of Collective Security

The death of civilians prior to World War 1 (WW1), violence and growing pressure of terrorists

left the world with a high sense of insecurity and a distorted future world security system. The

effects of the war were massive to an extent that states were left exposed and vulnerable. In

January 1918, the United States of America (USA), President Woodrow Wilson proposed a

“general association of nations” which was the human kind‟s only salvation. The History

Learning Site (2011:1) argued that “Woodrow Wilson was horrified by the slaughter that had

taken place during WW1 in what was meant to be a civilised part of the world. The only way

to avoid a repetition of such a disaster was to create an international body whose sole purpose

was to maintain world peace” In this way, Woodrow Wilson was proposing for a democratic

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peace formula that will serve the people from the scourge of war. This study revealed that it

led to the formation of the League of Nations in 1921, which was later transformed into the

UN in October 1945. The UN has become a Collective Security Organisation which has a

mandate given to it by the Charter of the United Nations (2011 Article 1.1) to “maintain

international peace and security, and to that end: to take effective collective measures for the

prevention and removal of threats to peace… and for the suppression of acts of aggression or

other breaches of peace…” It is from this background that UN plays a pivotal role in

international peace and security maintenance. This study centred on the efforts, failures and

hopes of the UN as the “barometer” of peace and security maintenance in fighting terrorism.

International Relations Theory Knowledge Base (http://www.irtheory.com/know.htm) defines

collective security as “arrangements for facilitating peaceful settlements of disputes assuming

that the mechanisms of preventing war and defending states under armed attack will

supplement and reinforce each other.”

The definition for collective security implies that states have to come together and find a

common solution to end the problems affecting the peace and security arrangements. The need

for collective security can be traced back to Emmanuel Kant‟s writings in The Perpetual Peace

in 1795. Gallile (2002:9) states that “perpetual peace has usually been taken to be a call for

immediate political action and to provide a recipe for the immediate achievement of a lasting

European peace, but it has also been interpreted as presenting a moral ideal to which states

ought indeed to aspire in their external relations.” It can be argued that enforcement of peace

by combined power of a league of peace-loving nations would ensure maintenance of

international peace and security which is the hallmark of a pacifist tract of settlement of

disputes. However, terrorist organisations have not followed pacific pact because they have

governments which they define in their own unique way but not conventionally accepted.

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The concept of collective security rests on the assumption that all nations share a primary

interest in maintaining peace. In order for collective security to operate, peace must be viewed

as indivisible and threats to peace anywhere must be treated as the concern of all members of

the international system. Once the aggressor is established then an overwhelming opposition

from all other members of the system will respond such that peace will be restored. This has

not been the case with the UN members today. In the case of terrorism, there is no agreed

working definition at the UN level such that the perpetrators are seen as “liberators, fighters

and redeemers who are fighting for emancipation of entangled people” within some member

states while some members see them as “terrorists, axis of evil who deserve to be wiped out,

tyrants and despots”.

Thus there is no unanimous agreement on identification of terrorist at the international level.

According to Papp (1984:80) “when seen from the American perspective, the „Indians‟ of the

Boston Tea Party were American nationalists making a political point; when seen from a

British perspective, they were terrorists destroying property and endangering life.” This serves

to give the differences in perceiving a “terrorist” by states. To further express the difficulty of

definition of a terrorist, Lowe (2005:266) states that “in the 1960s Nelson Mandela was

regarded as a terrorist by the white supremacy and kept in jail for 27 years; now he is respected

and revered by the same whites. President Bush refused to meet “terrorist” Yasser Arafat yet

when the Israeli government carried out similar attacks they are recognised as a legitimate

government.” The definition and identification of terrorists is problematic at the international

level. According to Bennet (1984:134) the following are some of the conditions required for

collective security application: “a commitment on the part of all members of the international

system to peace as a paramount goal requiring the subordination of other goals of foreign policy

and the ability of the members of a system not only to reach initial consensus for establishing

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the system, but also to find a consensus in each situation that a threat to peace or a breach of

peace does exist.” Baylis (2002:227) states that “collective security is based on collective

decision making once the aggressor is found… this will work better if the power is dispersed.”

In order to qualify as collective security organisation there is need to employ the conditions of

consensus and commitment to peace and collective response that are fundamental to collective

security concept. According to Baylis (2002:228), “there should be a distinction between

collective security and collective defence …the later refers to an arrangement such as the North

Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and the War Saw Pact (WSP) which involve alliances

for mutual protection against outside attack.” The NATO in the twenty-first century has been

seen being active in protecting its strategic interests. The NATO actions in Afghanistan in the

past decade, Palestine, Iraq invasion in 2003, Ivory Coast 2011 and Libya in 2011 can be

allegedly equated to state-sponsored terrorist attacks in the guise of the Responsibility to

Protect (R2P) and Humanitarian Intervention. The concept of collective security is based on

the fundamentals of idealism which supposes that peace can be restored by coming together of

states that share a common view and base their arrangements on consensus. Idealism has led

to the formation of collective security organisation, UN.

There are several strides that the organisation has made in trying to promote international peace

and security but it has been less successful to eradicate terrorism as evidenced by the continued

terrorist attacks that have continued to cause great suffering and defied international peace and

security initiatives.

Given the continued attacks from the year 2000 to 2010 and the continued struggles of religion

has been one of the major causes of violence especially in the Middle East. Baylis (2002:227)

stated that “the advent of cyber terrorists brings a belief that the irregular wars will be fought

in cyberspace… given the vulnerabilities of websites and servers to hackers, terrorists

inevitably will become cyber terrorists through the World Wide Web (WWW).” This leads to

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electronic raids on vital national systems controlled by computers for example financial

services, transportation networks and power grids. Baylis (2002:227) further stated that “

access to the web and portability of modern computer equipment will allegedly give new power

to aspiring terrorists…an individual can do more damage than armed terrorist cells.” The fact

that technology is not governed by sovereign states presents a total defeat of collective security

where states usually react to what technologists have introduced. The operations of terrorists

are not clear because they conceal themselves in publics and use the technology which every

citizen is using. Napolitano (2009:1) alleges that “September 11 2001 attacks conceived of

their plans in the Philippines, planned in Malaysia and Germany, recruited from Yemen and

Saudi Arabia, trained in Pakistan and Afghanistan and carried them out in USA-New York

City (NYC).” This was made possible by a networked international system. However, the

above implicated states are members of the international collective security organisation who

were serving their own interests. To explain why collective security has never worked so

effectively, the researcher used the theory of realism.

2.3.2 Multilateralism and Collective Agreements on Global Security

The contemporary security paradigm raises these issues: Does the collective defence

model have an answer regarding global security threats? The position of global threats

with the dialectical dualism of the contemporary globalisation movement leads to

complex reactions from marginalised or vulnerable groups, individuals and nations.

Whether it is a terrorist or criminal organisation model, an individual or group, proxy

extremist movements, they strive to express their frustration and draw attention to their

goals in order to improve their position.

National defence has a strategic approach, is defined by laws and strategic documents

and is an instrument of foreign policy. Integration is imposed by a common response to

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security threats, challenges, and risks, and looks like a rational path for a nation that

strives for the ideals of the open security community. The existence of common, global

threats inevitably leads to the existence of a collective response to the supposed threats,

challenges, and risks.

Collective conflict management (CCM) “is a form of joint action that can be taken from

the global or regional organisations or temporarily formed alliances in response to

conflict or to prevent or stop the conflict, regardless of whether it originated within the

state or an interstate conflict” (Lepgold and Weiss 2008). So CCM is a systematic and

organised effort to avoid, prevent, or stop acts disturbing peace with a wide range of

common actions involving collective security, various multilateral forms of establishing

and maintaining peace and stability. However, a question about the objectivity of the

supranational authority that will assess that global security is distinguished.

The allocation of an individual nation’s legitimacy regarding the decisions regarding

the security problem opens a potential area for powerful stake-holders institutions to

have an influence regarding the objectivity of crisis assessments. It is important to note

that CCM creates the possibility that allows powerful and influential countries to create

an environment in which some regime or state could be represented as “dangerous” for

the rest of the world. From this position, an institution of CCM could be used as a tool

for the success of dominant stakeholders, sometimes against international law and by

using hybrid or conventional types of action.

Therefore, in ideal circumstances, it is necessary to achieve several principles, which

involve the realisation of a “critical mass” in the international environment, due to the

granting of supranational legitimacy to CCM. Nevertheless, at some point, it is almost

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a “mission impossible’’ task, because of the core of CCM being based on a globalisation

legacy, in other words on the interest of power elites (Nye 2006). In summary, the

characteristics of collective conflict management can be summarised as follows

(Lepgold et al. 1998):

• Since international institutions express the balance of power, they have no

independent approach to resolving the conflict.

• Collective conflict management is jeopardised by the over-engagement of large

and powerful states.

• Cooperation in the implementation of the concept of collective conflict

management is very fragile if there is no form of binding contract between the

parties.

• In accordance with the orientation towards common goals, conflict management

is collectively insensitive to individual national interests.

• Collective conflict management has the greatest effects when applied in the

preconflict phase as prevention in the phase of conflict prevention and it is

becoming a conflict.

• The most powerful tool of preventive diplomacy is a pragmatic interest-driven

process of negotiation.

The interest of each state determines and recognises the fact that the institutional,

international approach to collective action leads to cost reduction of individual

responses to threats. The results and effects include a synergistic performance of all

participants, respect for procedures and rules, decision-making consensus, objectivity

in approach etc. Although it is difficult to achieve this ideal form of international

36

response to the conflicts that occur globally, it must be noted that this approach to

solving security challenges and threats is most effective. In order to achieve maximum

results, it is necessary to accomplish common attitudes regarding politics and the

achievement of strategic interaction among different factors.

Compatibility of participants and their characteristics is necessary, as well as the

correlation of their relative power. The actors need to have an appreciation of the nature

of the relationship, as well as to encourage faith in the importance of developing the

relationship of trust and cooperation. It is necessary to have the ability to perceive the

future, they have a vision of the political goals for which the actors are in favour and

the links to international politics and political beliefs and regulations within states

(Lamborn 2008). If we consider that in a general overlay of resources, technical support

and information exchange, collective defence has a primary role, interoperability has

unique importance for achieving the effectiveness of common efforts.

The existence of active interdependence in all spheres of life on a global scale, wiping

clear boundaries between the state and a compromising security of “free” entities, as

well as the escalation of asymmetric and hybrid challenges, indicate the need to adapt

security and defence science and the global approach to security. The inevitability of

finding an adequate multidisciplinary approach of defence, political, social,

demographic, technological, and other aspects is recognised as a rational response to

contemporary global security challenges. The science is also imposed as a capital

resource and a factor in society’s development and the link between scientific

knowledge and the application of these findings in practice is negligible. Although there

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is intensive scientific research, the implementation of the research findings is not

sufficiently developed and applied in practice. Why is this necessary?

Compared to the Cold War period when the role of the armed forces was primarily

reflected in the defence of territory, this role has been extended today to the changing

nature of keeping operations throughout the world as sort of the diplomacy and defence

matters of internal security.

Certainly, the issue of defending national territory has not become obsolete or

irrelevant, but new security challenges include the projection of forces for warfare and

peacekeeping and humanitarian missions, internal state security issues, participation in

the construction of national states and helping civilian authorities.

These changes have caused significant organisational, financial and doctrinal demands,

and making difficult decisions about the further development of the armed forces. The

very same armed forces have undergone many significant changes in line with global

demands (Edmunds and Malešič 2005):

Ø Professionalisation, which included the termination of mandatory military

service, voluntary service, and high professional standards.

Ø Functionality, with a contemporary demand for non-traditional missions (peace

missions, humanitarian interventions, and crisis management).

Ø Internationalisation of missions in a multinational context.

Ø Strengthening the legitimacy of the state.

Ø Reducing the motivation for joining the professional armed forces due to the

insufficient competence of the military profession.

Ø Reducing the social role of the armed forces.

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Ø Increasing cooperation in civil-military relations, especially in the fields of

training, education, and logistics.

New hybrid and asymmetric challenges have a completely different structure than those

that threatened stability and security during the Cold War, which posed the issue of

reconceptualization of the notion of security itself. The defense science at the beginning

of the 21st century needs to adapt its research to a cooperative approach across the

spectrum of multidisciplinary scientific fields that need to intellectually contribute to

the maintenance of stability and security in the world.

2.3.3 Implications of Terrorism on Global Security

Global security includes military and diplomatic measures that nations

and international organizations such as the United Nations and NATO take to ensure

mutual safety and security (rand, 2020).

Implications of terrorism are enormous and have far-reaching consequences on the

collective peace and security of the entire world. This is because national borders are

becoming blurred and difficult to identify. In effect, the nationals of each nation-state

migrate far and wide to other regions of the world. Therefore, any act of terrorism in

any part of the world will definitely affect other regions of the world. Also, the influx

of refugees arising from such terrorist acts will have negative impacts on the economy

of the host country as seen in Europe where a chunk of refugees migrated from Syria to

western Europe. Also, organized terrorism denies a society security, peace, stability,

good governance and socio-economic development. Apart from destroying lives on a

large scale, the damages terrorism does to infrastructural facilities especially those

39

directly related to developmental processes like electricity, communication, and

transportation can be enormous and prosperity-retarding.It also creates global

enmity and hostility, thereby propelling insecurity, psychological depression and fear

in the minds of citizens of the world. Also, investors and tourists (foreign and domestic)

are also discouraged, thus denying the state or society vital developmental (foreign

revenue) revenue (Nwolise, 2000). In a situation where new investments are not

emerging (as a result of fear of attack), and existing factories and industries are not

producing at reasonable proportions of their installed capacities, retrenchment of

workers may follow, and this in turn may increase crime rate, and worsen security

situations. General economic depression may follow with serious consequences for

people’s welfare.

2.4 The Theory of Realism

The theory of Realism offers an alternative explanation on the failure of idealism to curtail

problems posited by terrorism on international peace and security. Realists consider the

principal actors in the international arena to be states, which are concerned with their own

security, act in pursuit of their own national interests, and struggle for power. The negative side

of the realists' emphasis on power and self-interest is their skepticism regarding the relevance

of ethical norms to relations among states. Korab-Karpowicz (2011:6) states that “national

politics is the realm of authority and law, whereas international politics, they sometimes claim,

is a sphere without justice, characterized by active or potential conflict among states.” This

realist perception underscores the very nature and behavior of states.

Bennet (1984:134) states that “the national goals, values, interest and international

commitments compete with the demands of collective security for action…national security

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takes precedence over collective security, cultural, traditional, trade and investment, military

alliances and ideology are balanced against a general commitment to world peace.” Thus the

selfish and competitive aspects of international relations present a major challenge to the

success of collective security agenda at the regional and global level. The study provided that

human beings are needy and vulnerable and can easily be led astray by our attempts to know

the world and communities around us such that when we act, we may do so selfishly and

impulsively on the basis of faulty reasoning or theology.

Korab-Karpowicz (2011:7) quoting Thomas Hobbes in Leviathan XI 2 argued that “human

beings are subject to perpetual and restless desire of power after power that they inevitably

struggle for power….independent states, like individuals are enemies by nature, asocial and

selfish, and that there is no moral limitation on their behavior.” This is a great challenge to the

idealist political vision basing on collective security formula to solve problems posed by

terrorism. It can be put forward that USA, Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan have become terrorist

themselves because of the perceived benefits of terror.

Thus attending the terrorist conventions is just a routine event. With regards to fighting

terrorism, the individual states have never agreed on the way forward and identifying of the

perpetrators because there is no universally agreed definition of terrorism. The individual states

struggle for international dominance at the expense of cooperation. In advancing their political

motives, they use intimidation and induction of fear not as means to an end but as a way to

acquire dominance. In turn, they subvert other states by sponsoring acts of terrorism which are

anarchic to the legitimate ruling governments.

For example Dershowitz (2002:7) states that “the USA has supported, financed and trained

groups that are widely regarded as terrorist, such as the Contras in Nicaragua, the Mujahedeen

in Afghanistan, The National Union for the Total Independence of Angola (UNITA) Angola

41

and Samuel K. Doe in Liberia and Sierra Leone.” It becomes ironic that the states at the

forefront of countering terrorism supported or are supporting some alleged terrorist groups.

This leaves a lot to be desired when it comes to collective security where some states are

members of the UN yet they act as spies to terrorist and combine to disrupt peace and security

they intend to preserve. They are working to pull down every idea brought nobly to combat

terrorism. That becomes a realistic world where people, states and continents are not unified

by “the desire to find common interest” but are driven by their egoistic interests. Given the

theory of realism, it is imperative to conclude that the collective security mechanism have tried

to a lesser extent to fight terrorism which is interrupting international peace and security

arrangements.

This researcher argues that, the concept of Collective Security is not very effective in

combating terrorist activities. It goes without saying that, the concept is based on pacifist tract

and is muted from the writings of Immanuel Kant (1975 Section 1) which stated that “ A state

is a society of men whom no-one else has any right to command or dispose except the state

itself and it is a trunk with its own roots.” This means that a state can decide whether to be part

of the collective security or not. Collective security is guided by morality and consensus to an

extent that fighting terrorism is likely to be ineffective. Realism offers a more credible reason

why the states are driven by their zest for the struggle for power and individual interest. These

interests have led to the following incidences.

The failure to prevent the September 11 2001 USA attacks, 2008 Mumbai attacks, Marriot

Hotel bombing in Islamabad, Chechnya, Kosovo, Montenegro, Northern Island and Kashmir

between the year 2000 and 2010 has reflected that collective security has failed to bring

international peace and security. The Jewish Virtual Library (2011:1) states that “from

September 2000 until December 2005, 1 100 Israelis were killed during the Palestinian Al-

Aqsa-Intifada.” It can be pointed out that the problems between Israel and Palestine is a

42

historical one but it is now controlled by self- interest embroiled in terrorism to advance their

claims. Siebert, (2010:5) argues that “although they are pledged to defend each other, many

countries will refuse to do so if such an act is not in their own interests or is thought to be too

risk or expensive.” Collective security has not successfully included human security other

forms of security like human security. Collective Security has remained narrow and has

remained an “ought to be” fantasy kind of concept yet realism is an extreme way of expressing

the reality in the international system. Realism thus offers better reasons why states have not

been so effective and exhaustive in fighting terrorism. Thus both theories give focus on the

state and forget all other types of security which citizens need. Literature Review Kepel

(2008:2) argued that “on the morning of 9/11 a quadruple attack of the USA marked the

beginning of the new century and continuation of the discord and demons of preceding ones.”

The horrific attack indicated a blink future in the new millennium and it served as a premonition

of many destructive activities to come. This has attracted many terrorist groups to activate their

operations in order to attack the most powerful states having witnessed the crush of the USA.

Throughout the Middle East and Western Europe, German, Basque, Italian and Palestinian

terrorist groups have increased assaults. Kupperman (1979:5) pointed out that, terrorist possess

weapons, “not just pistol, submachine and bombs, for there have been attempts to use heat

seeking surface -to –air rockets (SA-7s) and Soviet anti-tank weapons (RPG-7s), German

entrepreneurs disbursed mustard gas and nerve agents.” This highlights the level of massive

penetration terrorists used to be in the early 2002s. Slater (1988:1) states that, “the face of

international terrorism is constantly changing as it increases in scale…the number of terrorist

groups has multiplied and from the year 2000 to 2010, terrorists have introduced the resurgence

of suicidal bombing, developed collaborative networks, have gained better access to

international arms, they have refined their planning, intelligence and targeting.

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They have discovered new sources of funding through crime, bank robberies and they have

entered lucrative narcotic markets.” This is how intricate the situation has become and it has

become very difficult to remove this network which has claimed many lives and casualties.

Waugh (2000:4-12) states that, “in 2002, the world witnessed Bali bombing in Indonesia which

claimed 202 lives, 2003 Istanbul bombing claimed 57 lives, March 2004 Madrid train bombing

claimed 192, Beslan School hostage crisis 334 killed, Mumbai attacks 175 killed, Yemen

killing of 17 people, Colombia in 2000, about 27 lost their lives and 145 hostage taking in

Nigeria in 2000.”

All these events are overshadowed by horrific attacks on 11 September 2001 which is the major

destructive terrorist effort by the late Osama bin Laden and the Taliban. The Rock Mountain

News (2002), reported that, “the death toll exceeded 3000 and the financial losses for just the

destruction of the WTC were estimated to be in excess of US $83 billion.” Terrorist Groups

have increased in the past decade but there are major groups which are identified by massive

attacks on civilians to induce fear from 2000 to 2010 while a few have been disabled prior to

2000. The following are the major terrorist groups in Africa, Asia, USA, Latin-America and

Middle East.

• Abu Nidal Organisation (ANO) - This is a loose coalition of organisations founded and

operated by terrorist leader Sabri-al-Banna who broke with Palestine Liberation

Organisation in 1974. The group has operated using other names like Arab

Revolutionary Council (ARC), Fatah Revolutionary Council (FRC) and sometimes

Black September. Henderson (2001:47) argued that “the group has conducted more

than 100 terrorist actions in more than 20 countries killing about 900 and their actions

includes attacks on passengers in airports in Vienna and Rome in December 1985 as

well as the killing of worshippers in Istanbul synagogue in 1986.” The vicious attacks

on civilians disrupted communities and livelihoods in the Middle East. Lowe

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(2005:267) argued that “ANO was committed to a completely independent Palestinian

state; it had bases in Lebanon and Palestine and drew support from Syria, Sudan and

Libya.” This resembles a sophisticated network which was aimed at liberating

Palestine. In the process life unfortunately is lost.

• Al Qaeda (the Base) – This is an Islamic terrorist group which has worked tirelessly to

fight USA domination in the Islamic states and it is the most prominent terrorist group

at the present time. In his testimony Fadl (2001:5) argued that “it is widely thought that

the organisation was founded by Osama bin Laden between August 1988 and the late

1989. It operates as a network comprising both a multinational, stateless army and a

radical Sunni movement group for global Jihad.” The group has implored variety of

tactics to indiscriminate targets to further their interest. Wright (2006:107) states that

Al-Qaeda uses “techniques include suicide attacks and simultaneous bombing of

different targets and instigating violence among resistance Islamic groups and the group

has attacked civilian and military targets in various countries including Europe, North

Africa, Asia and Latin America.” The group has been destabilized in 2011 by the

murdering of its founder and leader Osama bin Laden in Pakistan by the notorious USA

forces who buried him in the sea.

• Arab National Youth Organisation for the Liberation of Palestine (ANYOLP) - This is

a radical offshoot that broke away from the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine

(PFLP) in 1972. The group committed acts of violence on Israel diplomat in Cyprus in

April 1973. The long standing conflict between Israel and Palestine over Gaza strip

have brooded many terrorist groups who seek to emancipate themselves from the

bondage. By so doing the groups use wide-spread violence and terror actions to drive

forward their ideology. As a way of deterring the aggressions, the Israelis raided Beirut

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and PFLP killing them leading to the formation of ANYOLP. The group has not been

so active in the twenty-first century.

• Hamas- This is a militant Palestinian military Islamic movement in the West Bank and

Gaza Strip founded in 1987. The group aim at destroying Israel from the Mediterranean

Sea to the Jordan River and create Islamic State in Palestine because it was furthering

the interest of the Muslim Brotherhood. Hamas comprises of three interrelated wings

which are social welfare, political and military wing. The group is more organized and

has activities which range from the year 2000 to 2010. According to the Jewish Virtual

Library (2011:1) “Hamas has since 2000 been increasingly perpetrating terrorist attacks

in a variety of forms; firing Qassam rockets toward Israeli communities, infiltrations

into Israeli communities and murder civilians, explosive charges against tanks, vehicle

shooting and kidnapping as a bargaining method … the group since 2003 has

dispatched 113 suicide bombers and 72 suicide bombers were dispatched since

September 2000 and 227 people have been murdered and 1 393 wounded.”

• Hezbollah - This is a Shi’a Muslim militant group and a political party based in

Lebanon. The forces were allegedly formed with the aid of Ayatollah Khomeini and

were trained and organized by a contingent Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRG). Shatz

(2004) stated that Hezbollah’s 1985 manifesto was underpinned on the four aspects

“ending imperialist power in Lebanon, submission of Phalagists to “just rule”, bringing

to trial perpetrators of war for war crimes and giving people the full chance to choose

“with full freedom” the system of government they want.” From 1982, there were 36

suicide attacks in Lebanon directed against the Americans, French and Israeli forces.

According to The American Conservative (2005:7) “the group was responsible for the

1982 January 15 bombing of a USA embassy vehicle in Beirut, the 2002 Israel embassy

attack in Buenos Aires, killing 29 in Argentina, the 2004 bombing of a Jewish culture

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killing 85 in Argentina and in 2002 Hezbollah recruited Singaporeans in a failed 2000

plot to attack US and Israel ship in the Singapore straits.”

• Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) – This is a Marxist-Leninist

guerrilla organisation founded by George Habash in 1967 as a leftist alternative to the

Islamic nationalist al-Fatah between 1968 and 1970. Its main terrorist activities

included hijacking of Israel El Al airline and Lord Airport that resulted in 25 deaths.

• Red Brigades (RB) - This is a left wing terrorist organization in Italy which employs

kidnappings, murder and sabotage. The group sought to advance Marxism during the

1970s and emancipations of the populace to gain access to the means of production.

The group was formed by college student Ronato Curcio in 1969 to battle “against the

imperialist state of multinationals.” In 1972, the group abducted a business executive

Idalgo Macchianni releasing him. The sign that was displayed was written “Hit one to

educate 100. Power to the armed populace.” The group has embarked on wide spread

of terror in Italy.

• Red Army Faction (RAF) - A terrorist group based on leftism in West Germany which

was founded in 1968. The group included robberies of banks and other businesses,

bombing, arson, kidnapping and murdering of prominent political, military and

business figures. According to Moncourt (2009:7) “red army faction emerged from the

intellectuals, communists, independent leftist and the radical student movement and

countercultural revolt of the 1960s…and devoted to carry out attacks within the Federal

Republic of Germany in view of establishing a tradition of illegal guerrilla resistance

to imperial and state repression”. The Red Army faction has a focus in Germany and

its actions do not cross borders.

• Irish Republican Army (IRA)-Unofficial semi-military organization based in the

Republic of Ireland (formed in 1919). It sought complete Irish independence from the

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United Kingdom (UK). The group used tactics like ambushes, raids and sabotaging

against the ruling government. This forced the British to accept the creation of Irish

Free State.

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CHAPTER THREE

AL-QAEDA TERRORIST GROUP AND GLOBAL TERRORISM

3.0 INTRODUCTION

In this chapter there will be the use of the thematic analysis to further analyze the links between

terrorism and international security. How growth of terrorism bathed such – nature of a terror

network (Al-Qaeda), tracing the history and how its foundations became laid making the group

one of the most fearsome in the history of terrorism across the globe. While the group boost a

long history, an important observation in this chapter is the structure of the group and it is

obvious that the group has a proper structure as the chapter proves that has helped the group

perpetuate some of the biggest terrorism impact on global security notably the 9/11 attacks in

the United States, drawing later impacts on both global and economic security like recession

and debt crisis the world over. These have been adequately discussed in this chapter.

3.1 LINKS BETWEEN TERRORISM AND GLOBAL SECURITY.

In the work of Sageman (2004) political motives is established as a link between terrorism and

global security, citing the Arabian political sentiments that was shaped by the French and

British colonialism. Similarly Krazlic and Korajlić indicated that the Arabian inability to stop

the recognition and establishment of Israel as a nation, will later culminate into a relationship

between Israel and Palestine directed by the help from United States of America (USA) led to

the birthing of the Arabian Jihadist group, now known as the Al-Qaeda in 1988 (Bergen, 2006).

In the Testimony of Jamal Ahmed Mohamed al-Fadl, (2001) with regards to the case of US v.

Osama Bin Laden he states that:

“Terrorism rejects morality and the political process, promotes totalitarianism and threatens only democratic systems. It has now become an international phenomenon, with links between terrorist groups of all types and nationalities, irrespective of their political, religious, or ideological origins. International terrorism is sponsored by the Soviet Union and its allies”.

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Political allies obviously will be indicated by the Red Brigade, Red Army Faction, whose

actions showed that terrorism was a mean in their politics, and the goal—destruction and

intimidation of the capitalist order.

In the work of Fayazi (2017) there are obvious proves of States sponsoring international

terrorism for political gains. The USA State Department Country Reports (2016) on Terrorism

indicts Iran as the world’s biggest sponsor of terrorism globally with reports from the USA

document stating:

Iran backs anti-Israel groups as well as proxies in Iraq, Syria and Yemen. In addition, Iran supports’ Lebanon’s Hezbollah movement and continues to recruit from Afghanistan and Pakistan for Shi’’te militia members to fight in Syria and Iraq (Lee 2017). Essentially, Iran’s relationship with terrorist and militant groups is viewed as an essential component of Iran’s foreign policy (Byman 2017).

The above cited groups are fully aligned to the Al-Qaeda network, hence they continue to

propagate political agenda in countries where Iran has political interests. Political interests are

quite broad and Fayazi discoveries proves that the Al-Qaeda network transcends just a group

used by on nation to perpetuate its political woes.

The USA is well understood to have a long controversial backing or terrorism for political

gains such is the situation in 1970 when the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) deployed the

Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt as a distractor to frustrate Soviet expansion and curtail the spread

of Marxist ideology among Arab masses. Evidences have shown US open support to Sarekat

Islam against Sukarno in Indonesia and Jamaat-e-Islami terror group against Zulfiqar Ali

Bhutto in Pakistan” (Chengu 2014).

Proves in from the British Foreign Secretary Robin Cook’s report to the House of Commons

indicates that:

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Al Qaeda and ISIS which were created and are still funded because they are a “product of Western intelligence agencies” (Ebrahim 2017). However, depending on whether Al Qaeda furthers the US’s interest or not, in a particular region, the US state department either funds or belligerently targets the group (Chengu 2014).

Saudi-Arabia is argued to be the biggest sponsor of terrorism and not Iran, despite Saudi Arabi

sanctioning Qatar for fostering and financing ISIS. Proves provided by Weinstein (2017)

indicates that Saudi Arabi fully sponsors the Wahhabism for promoting the country’s political

agenda in Islamic nations. Regardless, Donald Trump still sides with Saudi-Arabia – even

though the US has two essential bases in Qatar (New York Times Editorial Board 2017).

According to the above proves there is more to the concept of terrorism than just an element

trying to perpetuate terror and drive fear, instead they are better viewed a state creations to

drive their political agendas globally by disrupting pace and security. The US is not related to

what the term actually entails but it is rather used as a means to punish those who challenge

the US and reward those who advance American interests and those of its allies (especially

Israel). Hence, Iran is a major threat to US interests especially in the Middle East and thus is

labelled the ‘world’s leading state-sponsor of terrorism’.

Another link between terrorism and global terrorism is the promotion of religious ideologies.

Investigations into Iran’s motivations for utilizing terrorism in the work Sick (2003: 85),

proves that one of Iran’s historical motivations for terrorism was ideological, Iran’s major goal

was to ‘export its revolution to the world’. For instance, in the years directly after the

revolution, “Iranian militants with or without the official support of the government, attempted

to export the revolution by stirring up radical Islamist discontent in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and

other Gulf states” (2003: 85).

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Obviously Al-Shabaab and Al-Qaeda are pushing religious extremity in Somalia with full

backing of the Gulf States, prosecuting religious wars in the Horn of Africa. Despite the country

to be of total Muslim population, there are claims of the nation to be too moderate in practice

of Islamic rites and have highly embraced Western Culture. Hence there is massive attack of

the citizens of Somalia to embrace a full an ideology of complete Islamic way of life and

religious practice.

3.2 ORIGIN OF AL-QAEDA

The foundation of Al-Qaeda cannot be isolated from the 1979 Soviet attack of Afghanistan.

Between the years 1973 to 1978, Afghanistan was ruled by Daoud Khan, who announced the

nation a republic ending the monarchical system. Despite at first having the help of

Communists, Daoud Khan started to rotate to one side in 1977, in the light, most importantly,

of a profound downturn that was influencing the nation. The quest for higher outer pay and

Afghanistan's reduction on the reliance of the Soviets were the two components that prompted

the Afghan government starting discussions with Iran upheld by the United States, which

brought about the amount of US$2 billion being directed to Kabul within 10 years (

EWANS,2002).

The state's undertakings disturbed the protection from Daoud Khan, consolidating different

alliances of the Communist Party. The end of the coup d’état was the point at which an

endeavor was made by Khan to pull out all Communists from the military, the fundamental

organization concerning why they control the nation. Moscow, who feared being cast off in

Afghanistan from the political scene, organize the fusion of the Communists and the unseating

of Daoud Khan. By April 1978 between the 27th to 30th, The Democratic Republic of

Afghanistan was formed after the death of Daoud Khan and his entire family.

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A few changes were inspired by the Soviet model at the beginning of the new government,

with the point of modernizing the nation. Notwithstanding, the recently framed laws, for

example, that concerning marriage and agrarian were not welcomed by the citizens, and any

form of obstruction or discontent was cruelly put down by the public authority (COLL,2004).

Another significant event occurred in the year 1979 in the Middle East. A Shiite religious

government came surpassed Iran because of the Iranian Revolution of January, which disposed

of Shah Reza Pahlavi. The Saudi government in November saw a major revolt, which was an

endeavor by certain groups restricted to the Al-Said government to catch the Great Mosque of

Mecca. These marked an enormous revolt against the public authority establishment.

Considering this, it was feared by the global framework that Afghanistan could be on the way

to an inevitable Iranian solution, and the fear of the domestic breakdown of the Communist

system in Kabul, the USSR on the 24th of December 17979, invaded Afghanistan (SAIKAL,

2004).

The presence of a foreign force on Afghan soil was a significant impetus for the development

of opposition. Notwithstanding the international involvement in reducing the existence of the

USSR in the district overall the U.S. also, countries, for example, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan

(COLL, 2004), there was imagery around this event. These led to Muslim countries being

attacked by Communist states, providing air battle to the protection of Islam. Thus, bin Laden,

Ayman al-Zawahiri, and Abdullah Azzam began Al-Qaeda in August 1988, at a private

gathering in the city of Peshawar. In the beginning, the motivation behind Al-Qaeda was to

channel soldiers and assets to the Afghan resistance. With the withdrawal of the Soviet soldiers,

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the group began to go with the battles of Muslims around the world, for example, rebel against

systems seen as renegades (BYMAN,2015a).

Bin Laden, however, got back to Saudi Arabia after the Soviet fiasco in Afghanistan. In any

case, he found U.S. troops who had been situated in Saudi since the attack of Kuwait by Iraq

in 1990, a move which he regarded unsuitable because of the presence of outsiders in frightened

Muslim terrains. These prompted an expansion in Bin Laden's resistance towards the U.S., just

as his aggression toward the Saudi Regime, which drove him to engage with groups restricted

to the Al Said government. Because of the multitude of acts, Bin Laden turned into a persona

non grata in the nation, with ousting, from the start in Sudan, somewhere in the range of 1991

and 1992, the only choice he had left (COLL,2004).

In Sudan, the Al-Qaeda was corralled dependent on the condition that the group would be

created, by methods for concurrence with the Sudanese government. In any case, Bin Laden

through his fortune made commitments to the development of infrastructure projects in Sudan.

In any case, the Sudanese government likewise gave the group instructional courses and more

conditions for their activities (MIGAUX, 2007). In any case, the connection between Khartoum

and Al-Qaeda did not last for a little while because the exercises of Bin Laden started to draw

the consideration of the Persian Gulf governments. These prompted pressure on Sudan by

Middle Eastern countries on the premise that Bin Laden, should be ousted from the nation. The

Sudanese government, because of the global sanctions forced on them, had no choice but to

ask Bin Laden and his fighters to leave the country (BYMAN 2015a).

Al-Qaeda's next objective was Afghanistan, which was then constrained by the Taliban system.

According to Stern and Bergen (2015, p. 179), Al-Qaeda brought itself officially down to the

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Taliban through a pact conceded to by Bin Laden and Mullah Omar, the then Taliban leader.

At the onset, the Taliban consented to the launch of instructional courses in Afghanistan for

Al-Qaeda use. An assessment has highlighted that somewhere in the range of 10,000 and

20,000 volunteers were trained after Bin Laden oversaw those spaces (9/11 COMMISSION

REPORT, 2004, p. 67). Notwithstanding, the aid was not free, the group's yearly pre 9/11

spending plan of US$20-30 million would fill in the Taliban's assets consistently (BYMAN,

2015A, p.22).

Following the 9/11 assault, pressure increased immensely on the Taliban to turn in Bin Laden.

Because of the refusal of the Taliban to do as such, on the 7th of October Operation Enduring

Freedom was dispatched. On the 13th of November 2001, the Taliban group fell, neither its

primary leaders nor Bin Laden was caught. It has been generally assessed that about 80% of

Al-Qaeda individuals were lost and its instructional courses (BYMAN, 2015A, P. 42). Though

the group ability to carry out different activities was harmed, Al-Qaeda played key roles in

different terrorist assaults, to be specific, an assault on a place of worship in Tunisia, the Bali

club blast, the two of which occurred in 2002, train stations blasts in Madrid in 2004 and metro

stations in London in 2005.

At long last, in May 2011, Bin Laden was executed by the U.S. troops in Abbottabad, Pakistan,

knocking al-Zawahiri up to the highest point of Al-Qaeda.

3.3 OBJECTIVES OF AL-QAEDA

The origin of Al-Qaeda above shows that the ascent of the group was as respect to a violent

connection between the West and the Muslim world. Because of the Status quo which the

expected to change was one of imbalance, in which, as seen by the modern Islamist group,

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Islam was as often as possible attacked by the Western nations, mostly by the U.S. also its

allies' impedance in the Middle East. Nonetheless, Al-Qaeda had three primary objectives. To

start with, it was to go about as a terrorist group all by itself. Second, it was to go about as a

coordinator, enrollment specialist, and strategic supplier for other militant Muslims, urging

them to battle past Afghanistan. Additionally, al-Qaeda was to be the vanguard of the

opposition, binding together, and driving the jihadist development, and giving it reason and

course (BYMAN, 2015a).

It is anyway important to cease the investigation that will, in general, comprehend Islamist

militants, most particularly the vicious ones, as just the advanced expression of obscurantism

whose primary goal is Western modernity. As indicated by Esposito (2005), the development

and groups, for example, Al-Qaeda, are appearances of inconsistencies of modernity itself,

which had Europe as a lead and was appeared to the world not just through specialized or

logical, military, and economic strength, however through European colonization.

It can therefore be argued that since the eighteenth century, the Muslim world has pledged

itself as being in decay, specifically concerning European nations. Because of this sequence of

events, a few theories have contrasted the circumstance with the distinction of Muslim

governments from Muhammad's teachings. An illustration of a famous movement coming

starting here was Wahhabism, which was set up by Muhammad ibn and al-Wahhab between

1703 to 1793. Wahhab here demonstrates that the consequence of the issues of the time, which

were political and social was a re-visitation of the consistent and faultless wellsprings of Islam,

which were the Qur'an and the Sunnah. Later on, basically from the 1950s and 60s, Sayyid

Qutb's impact went ahead. Qutb's ideology turned into the fundamental administration of the

Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, articulating a dream of Muslim society partitioned between two

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isolated and contradictory fields; the believers and the unbelievers. Qutb additionally regards

the announcement of an Islamic state as fundamental as it is through to that God's plan on Earth

would be acknowledged ( ESPOSITO, 2005).

Thusly, it very well may be said that the objectives of Al-Qaeda somewhat show to some degree

the political and ideology symbolism. Bearing this in mind, it very well may be said that the

group was without question, impacted by the thoughts of Qutb, who considers the West be a

verifiable adversary of Islam and the jihad which as per him was to be an armed struggle, was

the solution to the situation. As per Bin Laden and his contenders, the reason for decadence in

the Muslim world was because of diversion in Muslim teachings by the government actors and

the involvement of foreign actors. More so, it very well may be said that the U.S. was prominent

in the public declarations of Al-Qaeda. A fatwa was published by Al-Qaeda calling for jihad

to battle the U.S. conquest of Saudi Arabia and other Muslim states in 1992. Furthermore, a

fatwa which, was distributed in 1996, reviles Saudi Arabia and the presence of the U.S. in the

Arabian Peninsula, which had to do with regional battles to the worldwide enemy of U.S. battle.

Nonetheless, there were innumerable claims against the Saudi government, having permitted

unbelievers into the Holy Land, which is the holiest place for Muslims; Mecca and Medina

which are likewise in Saudi Arabia additionally put on pause Islamic law, misuse of wealth

gotten from oil in the nation and overlook the Palestine case, among other wrongdoings

(BYMAN, 2015a). Besides, it likewise gave Al-Qaeda uphold in the Chechnya, Bosnia, and

Palestine clashes. Bin Laden's first strategy was to overcome the U.S. in other for triumph to

be attained in these territorial clashes ( COLL, 2014).

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In sum, it tends to be said, that the political target of Al-Qaeda concerning the political and

ideological intension of fundamentalist Muslim imagery, is to return to what was viewed as the

Muslim world's situation of submission to that of the West. The essential objective of Al-Qaeda

was to center endeavors against the U.S., bearing in mind that it is the fundamental driver of

lapses in the countries of the region. Nonetheless, the following stage was to eliminate apostate

governments, establishing the conditions for the development of genuine Muslim governments.

3.4 STRUCTURE OF AL-QAEDA

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Figure 1: organizational structure and hierarchy of Al-Qaeda.

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3.4.1 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OF AL-QAEDA

Al-Qaeda has steadily formed into four levels;

1. Core Al-Qaeda: Ayman al-Zawahiri heads this group. Zawahiri is the senior head of

Al-Qaeda who holds a few mix-ups of the offshoots and settles contrasts among

accomplices and gives vital direction. Be that as it may, Zawahiri has been experiencing

a few difficulties from the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) while imposing Al-

Qaeda's decisions.

2. Affiliated groups: There are a few groups who are faithful to core Al-Qaeda, for

example, Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), which was established in 2009

as an association of Al-Qaeda's branches in Saudi Arabian and Yemeni, Taliban and

the Haqqani Network in Afghanistan, Al-Shabab in Somalia torment with Al-Qaeda

since 2007, Boko Haram in the northern part of Nigeria, Al-Qaeda in the Islamic

34dcMaghreb (AQIM) situated in Algeria and neighboring states, and Jabhat al-Nusrah

situated in Syria.

3. Allied groups: There is a couple of allied Salafi-Jihadist elements situated in Asia, the

Middle East, Africa, and the Caucasus whose authority has not indicated loyalty to the

core Al-Qaeda. These permit the group to remain independent and look for their targets,

yet be that as it may, work with Al-Qaeda on special tasks and training.

4. Motivated people and organizations: This group, as a rule, has no immediate contact

with core Al-Qaeda, and anyway moved by Al-Qaeda cause and offered by abuse of

Muslims in Afghanistan, Chechnya, and Palestine, and so on, and tend to be convinced

by scions of the west and allied organizations in the Middle East.

3.5 AL-QAEDA’S AFFILIATES

3.5.1 AL-QAEDA IN THE ARABIAN PANINSULA (AQAP):

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As stated by the United States government, the AQAP, is viewed as the most effective and

dangerous part of the Al-Qaeda organization, which is, situated in Yemen and Saudi Arabia.

The AQAP has made America express that Yemen should be the group's next operational

training center for its militants from around the globe.

The AQAP was established in January 2009, when the Saudi Arabian and Yemeni branches

met up under the banner of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula as an association during the rule

of Nasir al-Wuhayshi, who was then the individual secretary to Bin Laden. The point of the

group was to expel the Yemeni government and the monarchical framework in Saudi and

enforce its supreme analysis of Islamic Law all through the Arabian Peninsula. Reports have

additionally shown many Somali militants in association with Al Shabab, a notable terrorist

group also sending its men to go assist Al-Qaeda in the battle to oust the Yemeni government

who they likewise allude to as the foe of Allah.

3.5.2 AL-QAEDA IN ISLAMIC MAGHREB (AQIM):

AQIM is officially known as the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC), split from

the Armed Islamic Group (GIA), a key participant in the Algerian Civil War in 1998. GSPC,

in the year 2006, turned into a formal offshoot of Al-Qaeda and changed its name to Al-Qaeda

in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). AQIM is a jihadist terrorist group situated in North Africa

and the Sahel. The group is devoted to destroying regional governments and executing sharia

law in the regions it operates, mostly Algeria, Mali, Mauritania, Libya, Tunisia, and Niger. The

group is said to be the wealthiest Al-Qaeda offshoot and one of the richest terrorist associations

on the planet. It is broadly known for kidnapping Westerners for ransom, which is its primary

source of revenue and dynamic in the trafficking of both humans and drugs. However, since

AQIM merging with Al-Qaeda in 2006, its resentment towards the West, governments in the

region, and beyond for instance Nigeria, has expanded just as its call for jihad against the

United States, France, and Spain has expanded moreover. Its activities remain geographically

61

limited to Algeria and the Sahel, and the information accessible on it does not see AQIM as a

danger to the U.S. country.

At the start of it all, AQIM's global strategy depended on the three-sided dynamic of the Middle

East (where Iraq fills in like a magnet for expected volunteers), North Africa (where the group

functions as a territorial jihadi enlisting center point), and Europe (where it seeks after forceful

propaganda against the French and Spanish "Crusaders"). The downfall of al-Qaeda in Iraq

imperiled this grand plan, subverting AQIM's capacities on the two sides of the Mediterranean,

although it essentially targets Western "Crusaders" in its own Algerian and Saharan

environment, AQIM stays wedded to a global agenda.

3.5.3 AL-QAEDA IN AFGHANISTAN:

Afghanistan was the fundamental base of Al-Qaeda's activity when Osama Bin Laden resided

there from 1996 to 2001. Nonetheless, the group's agents and its defenders in the Taliban

government, which ruled those equivalent years, were caught and sent out of Afghan during

the battle period of Operation Enduring Freedom, which started in October 2001. As

announced by the late 2010 administration audit on Afghan, the U.S. mission in Afghan has to

carry out 98,000 U.S. forces, notwithstanding the 41,000 forces from different nations, with

the point of denying Al-Qaeda safe haven in Afghan and the Taliban the capacity to oust the

Afghan government.

As per U.S. officers, Al-Qaeda assailants are a larger number of facilitators of aggressor

assaults on Afghan than dynamic warriors in the Afghan revolt. A few individuals from Al-

Qaeda, including Arabs, Uzbeks, and Chechens were caught or slaughtered in battle in Afghan

in recent years as satiated by the U.S. authorities, which a portion of the fighters had a place

with Al-Qaeda affiliates, for example, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU). The

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Director of Central Intelligence Leon Panetta, on 27th June 2010, expressed that the strength

of Al-Qaeda fighters in Afghan has decreased to 50 to 100. In any case, some NATO and ISAF

authorities stated the group, may have moved to distant territories of Kunar and Nuristan locale.

3.6 IMPACTS OF AL-QAEDA ATTACKS ON GLOBAL SECURITY

Gasper (2008:12) states that “human security redirects attention in discussions of security from

the national or state level to human beings as the potential victims; beyond physical violence

as the only relevant threat or vector; and beyond physical harm as the only relevant damage.”

Human security includes economic security, food security, health security, environmental

security, personal security, community security and political security. Terrorism is deemed to

be a usurper of human security in general. This also breeds an environment for the emergence

of terrorists.

The state of nature is presented by Morgenthau (1993:29) as “international politics, like all politics is the struggle for power and whatever the ultimate aims of international politics power is always the immediate aim.”

The desire to acquire power or see power as a means to an end pushes terrorist to try and

perform their evil acts against the people to attract attention as one of their objectives. Terrorists

need dominance, their formation and the motives they pursue differ but they are united by the

major common thing of death to induce fear in targeted society. It pains to note that the

terrorists do not care about human life as extracted from the writings of Campos (2009:1) in

preface quoting Himmler, that;

“The best political weapon is the weapon of terror. Cruelty commands respect. Men may hate us. But, we don’t ask for their love; only for their fear.”

Such kind of thinking is criminality at the expense of fostering a peaceful world. Reading

through the above statements, one can argue that the state of nature is unequivocally inevitable

and is perpetually conflictual.

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The researchers extracted a few selected terrorist incidences to demonstrate that it is the

humankind that suffers most in any action of terrorism from 2000, 2001 and 2002. The basis

of selection is that the 9/11 is the major attack in the decade, while 2000 is prior to the 9/11

attacks and 2002 is after the catastrophic events of the decade. Koberston (2007:88) states that

“in 2000, Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam bomb killed C.V Gooneratine, Sri Lanka’s

industrial minister and 20 others, on 18 May a bomb exploded and Buddhist temple in

Battilacoa, Sri Lanka killing 23, on 12 October Al Qaeda attacked USS Cole, moored outside

Aden, Yemen where two suicide bombers rammed the ship and small boat loaded with

explosives killed 17 sailors, on 24 December multiple Christian Church bombed in Indonesia

killing and injuring 100” while in “2001, in March IRA car bomb exploded outside British

Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) Television Offices in West London, Hamas bombs Netanya

Israel killing 3 and 65 wounded, on May 27 Abu Sayyaf members kidnapped 20 people from

resort in Palawan, Philippines, on 11 June Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh executed,

on 11September the WTC bombing and Pentagon in New York killing over 3000 people of

various nationals, on 1 October suicide attack on legislature in Kashmir and Janmu leaving 31

people dead, on 7 October USA invaded Afghanistan, on 1 and 2 December Hamas suicide

bombers strucked targets in Jerusalem and Itaifa killing two dozens,‟ and “ in 2002, on January

17 Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade shooter killed six in Israel, 16 February PFLP suicide bomber

killed 4 people and West Bank food court, 20 March bomb exploded across from USA embassy

in former Peru, killing 10 people, 11 April 19 tourist died when Al Qaeda detonate track bomb

outside a synagogue in Tunisia, 19 June Hamas suicide bomber killed 6 people on bus in West

Jerusalem, on 31 July Hamas bomb detonated at Hebrew University killing 9, on 12 October

Jemaah Islamiah bombed two night clubs in Bali, Indonesia killing 202 predominantly Tunis

and on 27 December truck bomb destroyed headquarters of Russia government in Grozny

Chechnya killing 80 people.” The deaths by terrorists have claimed a lot of lives including

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children of the school going age. The researcher argues that the perpetrators of violence must

receive severe punishment because of the crimes against humanity and it is the human’s burden

to restore destroyed infrastructure and the environment.

The people have also suffered from biological weapons though mainly used during warfare but

terrorists are capable of accessing such weapons. Garrison (1993:62) listed the types of

biological weapons as follows “incapacitation weapons designed to cause sickness and lethal

weapons which cause massive deaths.” In 1993 Japan released anthrax with the intend to cause

an epidemic and on 20 March 1995 it released sarin nerve gas on a train system leading to

death of 12 and 5 000 injured. During the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq as pre-emptive

strategy to counter- terrorism, the USA soldiers were fought by biological weapons leading to

deaths, sickness and ill health. Human Security comprises of environment in relation to

mankind versus sustainable development. Mankind has over the years greatly modified the

environment. As environment degrades and change due to human influence, new diseases arise

and old diseases in lethality. The effects of terrorism to the environment can be equated to the

times of war. Thus, the analysis given on the environmental effects of terrorism blends

terrorism and war. It can be argued that terrorism is a form of war. In the Geographical Paper

number 169, Mannion (2003:5) states that “many European cities were substantially altered by

bombing raids during the World War Two (WW2) for example London, Coventry, Berlin, and

Dresden while in Berlin 125 000 people died, half of the buildings and one third of the

industrial plant were razed to the ground.” This is reminiscent of the terrorist attacks that saw

the destruction of the UN offices in Dar es- Salaam, Tanzania where USA embassies were

destroyed including over 250 injured and 10 lives were lost. In Kenya about 5 000 injured in

Nairobi, Kenya living building destroyed at the USA embassy. Mannion (2003:7) states that

“devastation wrought by terrorist bombing of the resort of Kuta on the island of Bali, Indonesia

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on 13 October 2002 is still evident.” This leads to destruction and annihilation of the buildings

which cause environmental damage. In Iraq from 2003, there was a lot of destruction of

buildings which is not environmentally friendly. The bombings can be equated to the aerial

bombing of the palace of the late Libyan leader Gaddafi and Ivory Coast, Gbagbo. The

bombings were offensive and kill creatures, young children and animals which are not part of

the targets propounded by Gulio Douhet in his ideas on air strategy.

The terrorists can also use biological weapons which are so harmful to the environment and

the people. Mannion further states that “NATO bombing raids in Belgrade in 1999, the petrol-

chemical plants in the suburbs leaked hazardous substances into the air and the release of oil

from these plants led to the killing of fauna and flora while they have contaminated above- and

below-ground water.” The release of hydrochloric acid and mercury compound do not only

affect the targeted state but also the downstream states while bombing of factories which

produce ammonia and plastics resulting in the release of chemicals such as chlorine and vinyl

chloride causing local air pollution and health hazards.

According to American Psychological Association the Impact of Terrorism and Disasters on

Children states that most children suffer from posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). This

condition “develops in response to witnessing or experiencing threatening or harmful events

that elicits fear, helplessness or horror.” This condition can affect the children even after 15

years. A research survey indicated that six months after 9/11 attacks, approximately 75 000

New York City public school children in grades 4 through 12 were suffering from PTSD

including children who were not directly affected by the event.

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It can be argued that terrorism highly affects individual security and education of both adults

and young. The continued killings and bombings leaves people with no sense of pride in

education as the fruits are not realized due to terrorism.

3.6.1 SPECIFIC IMPACT OF GLOBAL TERRORISM ACROSS VARIOIUS STATES

The 9/11 assaults have been named by the U.S. Department of State as the most exceedingly

awful global terrorist assault ever. Four diverse yet coordinated hijacks of the commercial

planes were done by 19 criminals having a place with the Al-Qaeda terrorist group. Two fuel-

loaded planes were purposely collided with the twin World Trade Center in New York,

prompting the total breakdown of the two towers and killed more than 3,000 individuals. A

third plane, nonetheless, collided with the Pentagon in Washington, D.C. Since the planes had

recently taken off and were with jet fuel, its effect was like that of a bomb detonating.

Regardless, the fourth plane slammed in a field in Shanksville, Pennsylvania (U.S. Department

of State, 2002).

The 19 hijackers on 9/11 were said to come from the Middle Eastern nations. The question of

how they came into the country was raised, which indicated they came into the country

lawfully. With more than 6000 mi of land borders, 95,000 mi of seacoast, and numerous air

terminals, ensuring all conceivable passage focuses on the nation and keeping out any terrorist

is almost impossible.

3.6.2 GOLBAL EFFECTS OF THE 9/11 ATTACKS

A resolution was passed by the United Nations censuring the 9/11 assaults (Columbia

University, 2003). Interpol has concentrated on bringing the 9/11 terrorist to justice (Interpol,

2001) by organizing an 11 Task Force about the assaults on that day (Interpol, 2003a). Different

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nations because of the 9/11 assault on the United States, had directly or by implication brought

into the fray against terrorists. Countries like Yemen, Pakistan, Kuwait, Tunisia, and Kenya,

have all experienced terrorist activities said to be carried out by the supposedly arranged by the

group liable for the 9/11 assault, Al-Qaeda (Hosenball et al., 2002; McGeary, 2002). Suicide

bombers in Palestine blew up buses in Israel. Australians were killed, in the Bali eatery. An oil

tanker off to Yemen blew up by terrorists. Likewise, suspected terrorists have been arrested in

France, Germany, and England. More so, foreign tourists were killed in an eatery bombed by

terrorists in the Philippines (Gibbs, 2002; Nussbaum, 2002). The United States attacked

Afghanistan and Iraq (White House, 2002).

3.6.3 THE EFFECTS OF 9/11 ON THE UNITED STATES IN GENERAL

The 9/11 assaults had various immediate effects on the United States in general. The underlying

tenor of the populace in the United States was stun, distress, and shock after the assault.

Assessments of individuals changed. Because of this, individuals developed to loathe and

oppress Muslims and Arabs (Quinn, 2003), just as another national curiosity to learn and find

out about Islam (Ghio, 2001). Individuals started giving blood and cash to the casualties of

9/11. Workers turned out to be keener on investing energy with friends and family and

simultaneously adjusting work and home just as stretching out more endeavors to helping other

people in need. The general population of the U.S. turned out to be a lot closer to one another,

as well as a notable increase in the solidarity of the general population (Cohen, 2002).

Numerous changes were made at the administrative level. Organizations of intelligence and

law enforcement like the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and (FBI) were stressed. A sum

of forty government offices and units were allocated to accumulate data on terrorism. A bureau

level division of Homeland Security was formed in the national government (U.S. Department

of Homeland Security, 2003a). Congress set up a Transportation Security Administration

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which recruited and employed more than 40,00 government baggage screeners and oversees

the screening of checked things at the 429 U.S. airport (Peraino, 2002). President Bush,

however, pronounced a "War on Terrorism" which got tremendous support. There was an

attack on Afghanistan by the U.S., and its allies to discover and destroy those believed to be

the culprits of 9/11. Additionally, there was an attack on Iraq, which was formally recorded by

the U.S. Department of State as a sponsor of terrorism (White House, 2002).

The U.S. economy was adversely affected by 9/11, with business collapsing significantly

(Cooper and James, 2002). As indicated by Oster (2000), terrorist strikes were the greatest

misfortune for the insurance business in 2001. The 9/11 assault had both immediate and long

haul economic effect, some of which continues to date. Because of these assaults, the stock

market was shut for seven days, and it caused the Dow to drop just about 700 points,

exacerbating the 2001 recession. Be that as it may, it cost Al-Qaeda an estimate of $400,000

to $500,000 to design and execute the attacks, it cost the U.S. much more.

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Figure 1: Cost of Al-Qaeda attack in billions.

3.6.4 DAMAGE IMPACT OF 9/11 ATTACKS

It has been estimated by a report from the New York Comptroller’s Office in 2002 that the cost

of 9/11 actual harm was at $55 billion, which $24 billion of it is the expected income of lives

lost. The estimation of the World Trade Center structure alone was $8billion. PCs, furnishings,

and vehicles cost $6 billion, while the harm of utilities and subway framework was additionally

$6 billion, and harms to different structures cost $5 billion. $5billion was also used to treat

wounds, including those endured by people on call who breathed in poisonous dusty and $1

billion to tidy up the territory.

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Figure 2: Cost of damage in billions.

3.7 IMMEDIATE ECONOMIC IMPACT

After the assaults, the stock market was shut for four trading days, which was the first since

the time of President Franklin D. Roosevelt of the Great Depression, which he closed the trades

for two days in March 1933 to stop a bank run. Additionally, the Federal Reserve dropped the

fed subsidizes rate a half a point to 3.0%. Nonetheless, the stock market returned on September

17, 2001. The oil value tumbled from $23.77 a barrel in August 2001 to $15.95 in December.

Although oil costs decrease in the fall, this was a more honed decay than expected. Another

reason was the dollar value, which rose strongly between August and December. The aircraft

business lost $5 billion from the assaults. The four-day closure cost $1.4 billion alone.

Travelers feared flying for at least a year. Therefore, 1,000 planes were stopped during that

time, and thousands of workers were furloughed. On September 22, Bush endorsed into law

$15 billion in government loans.

3.7.1 2001 RECESSION

The 9/11 assaults deteriorated the 2001 recession, which had started in March 2001. The

economy had contracted 1.1% in the principal quarter however ricocheted up 2.4% in the

subsequent quarter. The assaults made the economy contract 1.7% in the second from last

quarter, expanding the recession. Development got back to 1.1% in the final quarter. The Y2K

alarm had at first caused the recession. It made a boom and subsequent bust in web

organizations. Unemployment kept on increasing until June 2003, when it arrived at 6.3%. That

was the peak of that recession.

3.7.2 WAR ON TERROR

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On Sept. 20, 2001, President Bush called a War on Terror. He stated, "Americans ought not to

anticipate one fight however a protracted mission, dissimilar to some other we have ever

observed." Osama bin Laden was at the top of the al-Qaeda association that launched the 9/11

assaults. In its first year, Congress appropriated $29.3 billion in crisis financing for the war.

On March 21, 2003, President Bush sent soldiers into Iraq. He said the CIA had discovered

weapons of mass pulverization. He added that Iraq's leader, Saddam Hussein, was helping al-

Qaeda agents. Congress appropriated $36.7 billion in crisis financing for the battle in Iraq in

its first year. The expenses for the two wars continued mounting, coming to nearly $6 trillion

out of 2019.

3.7.3 DEBT CRISIS

The main economic effect of the 9/11 assaults was how the increased defense spending

prompted the U.S. debt crisis. Without the War on Terror, 2020 debt would be $20 trillion or

less. That is $26 trillion total debt, as of now, minus $6 trillion. If it were $20 trillion, it would

be 103% of the nation's economic output. The U.S. gross domestic product was $19.5 trillion

as of the second quarter of 2020. This total is as yet higher than the 77% debt to-GDP tipping

point suggested by the World Bank. In any case, it is superior to the actual 133% level. The

War on Terror reduced funds for development projects to help the nation out of the 2008

monetary crisis. Fewer positions were made, which implied less expense income and further

increase debt. That additionally implied less financing for infrastructure fix and replacement.

3.8 BALI BOMBINGS IMPACT

At approximately 11:20 pm, Saturday, October 12, 2002, the idyllic island paradise of Bali,

was rocked by a series of devastating explosions. Paddies Bar and the Sari Club on the main

street of Kuta bore the brunt of the impact. Both entertainment venues were packed with

unsuspecting tourists, staff, and revelers; many others were in the vicinity. Despite medical and

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emergency response efforts, 202 people died as a result of these blasts, and hundreds more

were injured with varying degrees of severi132ty (ABC Online 2003). Revealed as an act of

terrorism, the Bali Bombings affected more than just the direct victims and their families.

Amidst altruism and adversity, the community of Bali has struggled to regain some sense of

stability and normalization following this tragedy. While international media attention assured

emotional and financial support, negative images, and growing concerns regarding safety

served to undermine the tourism industry (Kalla 2003). Depending on the income generated

through tourist expenditure, many individuals and businesses in Bali have been faced with the

loss of their livelihoods. Beyond the immediate response, rehabilitation of physical

infrastructure, and short-term provision of aid, successful disaster recovery efforts need to

address all impacts on the community with an aim of sustainability. Implicit in such

revitalization is greater local resistance and resilience. The challenge for Kuta and Bali has

been for the various organizations and agencies to effectively collaborate, strategize, and

achieve, in a situation of limited resources.

3.8.1 IMPACTS OF THE BOMBING

The Bali bombings had a significant negative impact on the local and regional economies. Bali

is heavily dependent on tourism, which plummeted in the wake of the attacks. Indeed, while

some analysts have argued that the economic impact of the bombings was negligible given that

the contribution of tourism to the Indonesian GDP was only 4 to 6 percent. However, the impact

of the bombings on the livelihood of everyday Balinese cannot be easily dismissed. Besides,

the attackers reject arguments that the bombings had an adverse economic consequence for

Bali. Samudra argues that any business activities which involve the consumption of alcohol

and the encouragement of sexual promiscuity—activities the targets certainly condoned, he

argues—are impermissible in Islam. Samudra also contends that even businesses that only

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obliquely profited from the nightlife industry, such as handicraft stalls, were illegitimate. He

states that the proprietors of such businesses are guilty of associating with “un-Islamic”

activities. With these arguments as justification, Samudra suggests that there was no significant

harm done to Bali by the bombings. Indeed, Samudra expressed his hopes that Allah would

replace lost businesses with more legitimate and “Islamic” ones.

3.8.2 IMPACTS ON STATES SOCIETY RELATIONS

Despite Imam Samudra’s arguments, the impact of the bombings was far-reaching. State-

society relations throughout the region were significantly affected as a result of the attacks,

especially in Indonesia. In the immediate aftermath of the attacks, the mainstream Muslim

intelligentsia in Indonesia was not inclined to accept that there could be radical elements among

them prepared to condone the deaths of innocent civilians in pursuit of a pan-Islamic caliphate.

For example, Nadhatul Ulama (NU), one of Indonesia’s largest Muslim groups and a mostly

moderate organization, accused the US of resorting to “unethical political maneuvers” to

pressure Indonesia, and warned Washington not to antagonize Indonesia with “propaganda

tricks.” However, after the perpetrators were arrested and put on trial, they publicly accepted

responsibility for the attacks. The bombings also sparked the recognition of the threat posed by

terrorism in the security strategies of Southeast Asian governments. This acknowledgment

resulted in increased law enforcement coordination and intelligence sharing within the region.

This cooperation may not have eradicated radical networks, but it certainly weakened them.

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CHAPTER FOUR INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE TO AL-QAEDA IN RELATION TO GLOBAL

SECURITY

4.0 INTRODUCTION There have been continued efforts from United States and its allies in their efforts to diminish

the threats posed by non-state actor such as Al Qaeda. Through criminal legislation, the United

States and the UN have sought to erode the capability and operations of terrorist organizations

by limiting the international terrorists’ access to operating finances. Also legal methods are

also applied to criminalize territorial terrorism, a veritable manner of operations by Al-Qaeda

which will be studied in this chapter and how such methods help to curtail the operations of

the terrorist group.

4.1 LEGAL AND FINANCIAL CLAMPDOWN In the work of Nineteen days after the attack, President George W. Bush addressed a joint

session of Congress and stated;

“Our war on terrorism begins with Al Qaeda, but does not end there. It will not end until every terrorist group of global reach has been found, stopped, and defeated.”1 In essence, the president confirmed the opening of the US-led global war on terrorism (GWOT). Unlike previous experiences in which the United States has gone to war, in this new era of warfare, the enemy is fundamentally different (Kalic, 2005:1).

In the post-Cold War security environment, transnational threats such as terrorist groups

emerged to fill the void left by the demise of the Soviet Union. However, unlike the days of

the Cold War where military and diplomatic solutions provided the best options to combat the

expansive enemy, the United States and the international community remained unsure of how

to target and prosecute transnational terrorists. Essentially, the United States and other nations

used criminal and financial methods to prosecute and bring terrorist organizations to justice

for two reasons. First, the use of criminal proceedings to combat terrorism allows the US

government and other nations to apply legislation that has a proven track record in fighting

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crime. By characterizing transnational terrorist groups as criminal enterprises, the nations of

the international community can use the well-established international networks, such as

INTERPOL, to combat the actions and movement of terrorist members. Through the

application of criminal legislation, the United States and the international community are

attempting to decapitate and erode the membership of transnational terrorist organizations.

Experience in fighting transnational organized crime factions provided the model the United

States and other nations used to begin their attack on nonstate terrorist organizations (Baveja,

2002).

By using their experiences to combat the influence of transnational organized crime

groups, the United States and the UN have expanded the scope and application of traditional

criminal legislation to apply to terrorist groups. The objective behind the application of

criminal statutes is to weaken the leadership of terrorist organizations by degrading their

operational capability. Law enforcement agencies have been successful in applying this

approach to capture leadership in Al Qaeda. However, this method has not curbed membership

at the lower levels.

In conjunction with the application of criminal legislation, the United States and the UN

have sought to erode the capability and operations of terrorist organizations by limiting the

international terrorists’ access to operating finances. Money is a vital component in the

operations carried out by terrorist organizations. Therefore, the United States and the UN have

surmised that if the international community can limit a terrorist organization’s access to its

capital, the nations of the world can slowly destroy the operational capability of terrorist

organizations. The Banking Secrecy Act and the Money Laundering Control Act are two

examples of legislation used by the United States to deprive terrorist organizations of their

operating funds (Smith, 2004). As with the use of criminal legislation, the experience gained

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from fighting and prosecuting organized crime groups provides vital insight into the adaptation

and evolution of financial legislation for the war on terrorism.

The United States and its allies in the war on terrorism extensively use criminal and

financial methods to erode the growing presence of transnational terrorist organizations.

Clinton established a precedent when he used executive orders as an additional tool to fight

transnational terrorism. Specifically, Clinton issued Executive Order (E.O.)12947 on 23

January 1995 to deter potential terrorists from disrupting or attempting to stop the Middle-East

peace process. Clinton stated in the E.O. 12947 “grave acts of violence committed by foreign

terrorists that disrupt the Middle-East peace process constitute an unusual and extraordinary

threat to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the United States” (Clinton,

1995). The executive order also outlawed an individual or a group’s “financial, material, and

technological support and/or assistance” to terrorist organizations identified as hostile to the

Middle-East peace process (Executive Order (E.O.) 12947, 5079). Although Clinton issued

E.O. 12947 to ensure stability in the peace process, the document provides another example

of US legislative attempts to reduce the support and influence of terrorist organizations in the

years prior to the attacks by Al Qaeda.

In addition to the use of criminal legislation, financial legislation, and executive orders to

fight terrorism, military force is yet another tool available to political leaders as they attempt

to curb the threat posed by groups such as Al Qaeda. However, until the openly declared

“GWOT” by President George W. Bush, the military option remained the most reserved and

guarded response used by US presidents.

As the United States expanded its fight against terrorism in the 1990s, so did the UN.

Scholars Jane Boulden and Thomas G. Weiss argue “prior to the 1990s, the General Assembly

of the UN approached the issue of terrorism as a general international problem” (Boulden and

Weiss, 2004). Within this period, the General Assembly strove to develop “an international

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framework for cooperation among states,” while still directly avoiding a definition of terrorism

(Boulden and Weiss, 2004). Based on increased terrorist activity in the 1990s, the persistent

issue of terrorism slowly gravitated toward the jurisdiction of the Security Council and away

from the General Assembly. Boulden and Weiss observe that the “attempted assassination of

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, the bombing of American embassies, and first attacks on

the World Trade Center” led the Security Council to begin issuing sanctions as a way to deal

with the state sponsorship of terrorism (Boulden and Weiss, 2004). The Security Council

directed these actions against nations such as Libya and Sudan, which supported terrorism,

and any other nation refusing to cooperate with the rest of the international community in the

condemnation of terrorism. In the aftermath of the Al Qaeda attacks on the World Trade Center

in New York and the Pentagon in Washington DC, the UN and the Security Council

fundamentally embraced the position of President George W. Bush in his efforts to eradicate

the threat posed by terrorism by initiating a “global war on terrorism.”

Although efforts to combat terrorism before 11 September 2001 had been well established,

the severity and high casualties in the Al Qaeda attacks reinforced the sentiments within the

United States and the international community that terrorism needed to be stopped.

International actors such as the UN and NATO, as well as individual nations such as Britain

and Russia, pledged to assist in the US war to eradicate transnational terrorist groups. The

response to terrorism by the United States and the nations of the world fundamentally changed

after 11 September 2001.

For the United States, actions taken against terrorist groups prior to 11 September 2001

focused on the criminal actions and financial assets of transnational terrorist networks in an

effort to reduce their operational capability. In the period after the attacks, President George

W. Bush established that the United States would use all means necessary to combat the forces

of terrorism. Bush warned that nations assisting, supporting, or conducting terrorist operations

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would be held accountable for their actions. Bush openly declared a GWOT and broke with

previous administrations by arguing the transnational terrorist threat, posed specifically by Al

Qaeda and its leader bin Laden, demanded overt military force. Bush and his National Security

Council viewed the attacks as “acts of war” (Briscoe, Kiper, Schroder, and Sepp, 2003). As

the administration officially linked Al Qaeda and bin Laden to the attacks, Bush’s cabinet

moved to align the nation for a “campaign against terrorism” (Briscoe, Kiper, Schroder, and

Sepp, 2003). Congress supported the president’s decision by “approving a joint resolution that

authorized the use of armed force against those responsible for the attacks” (Briscoe, Kiper,

Schroder, and Sepp, 2003). Secretary of State Colin Powell diplomatically maneuvered to

align nations with the US position, while Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and his staff

at DoD worked on putting together a military package to use against Al Qaeda and the Taliban

government in Afghanistan.

On 7 October 2001, Operation ENDURING FREEDOM began. The initial stage of the

attack consisted of “aircraft and cruise missile attacks on Taliban forces, Al Qaeda fighters,

training sites, command and control systems, and radar installations” in Afghanistan (Duncan,

2004). The second phase of the operations entailed the landing of US Special Forces and Army

Rangers (Briscoe, Kiper, Schroder, and Sepp, 2003). Behind the special forces and rangers,

US Marine Corps Expeditionary Units (MEUs) followed to establish a base in the vicinity of

Kandahar, from which US forces could fight for control of the nation (Briscoe, Kiper,

Schroder, and Sepp, 2003).

The combat operations carried out in Afghanistan by the United States were not unilateral.

The British, Russian, and Pakistani governments as well as other nations overtly supported

and contributed to the combat effort (Washington DC: State Department, 2004). The sustained

combat operations in Afghanistan by the United States and its allies against the Taliban and

Al Qaeda therefore represent a fundamental break with how nations attempted to combat

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terrorism prior to September 2001. The use of overwhelming military force is not what made

this action different; rather it was the alliance forged in the wake of 11 September 2001 to

reduce the international security threat posed by transnational terrorist groups.

In conjunction with the use of military power, the United States and the international

community recognized the fight against terrorism demanded the application of a whole

spectrum of approaches. The work done before 11 September 2001 became fundamentally

significant because it provided a foundation upon which the United States and the international

community began to build and expand common links found throughout the national systems.

The link of transnational organized crime, arms traffickers, and narcotics traffickers to terrorist

organizations proved to be one such connection made and pursued in the international

community’s fight to eradicate transnational terrorist groups. The use of criminal, financial,

and immigration legislation, combined with the use of force by law enforcement and military

organizations, converged to offer the nations allied in the GWOT a plethora of tools to combat

the transnational terrorist activity. In the aftermath of 11 September 2001, the international

community worked diligently with the United States to establish a loosely grouped cooperative

network of national and international laws designed to curtail and eventually eradicate threats

posed by terrorist organizations. The actions taken by the United States and the international

community discussed thus far describe how Al Qaeda’s attacks forced the United States and

the international community to focus on transnational terrorism as an international security

issue. The second part of this study details the adaptation of terrorist groups since they were

first identified as a potential security risk in the immediate post-Cold War environment.

4.2 EXAMINING THE PROGRESS IN THE FIGHT AGAINST TERRORISM

Other experts and scholars on terrorists and terrorism share Hoffman’s pessimistic

characterization of the impact of the war on terrorism on Al Qaeda and other like-minded

terrorist organizations. A terrorist specialist from the University of Saint Andrews, Dr. Rohan

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Gunaratna, argues that since 11 September 2001 Al Qaeda has adapted to the GWOT by

“identifying loopholes and gaps in the western security architecture,” thereby enabling them to

maintain an operational capability in an increasingly complex security environment

(Gunaratna, 2004) Gunaratna uses excerpts from Ayman al-Zawahiri’s “Knights Under the

Prophets Banner: Meditations on the Jihadist Movement,” printed in December 2001 to build

his case that Al Qaeda has adapted to the GWOT, as well as maintained its commitment to its

ideological struggle (Gunaratna, 2002). According to Gunaratna, al-Zawahiri advocated the

“escalation of terrorism.” After the GWOT had already commenced, al-Zawahiri stated Al

Qaeda needed to:

inflict the maximum casualties against the opponent, no matter how much time and effort such operations take; the need to concentrate on the method of martyrdom operations as the most successful way of inflicting damage on the opponent and the least costly to the Mujahideen in terms of casualties; the targets as well as the type and method of weapons used must be chosen to have an impact on the structure of the enemy and deter it enough to stop its brutality, arrogance, and disregard for all taboos and customs; and focusing on the domestic enemy alone will not be feasible at this stage (Gunaratna, 2002:27).

Gunaratna argues that despite the US-led efforts to weaken and eradicate Al Qaeda, the

transnational terrorist organization continues to adapt to the efforts designed to counter its

operations. Increasingly, Al Qaeda called on militant Islamic groups around the globe to ally

in the fight against the West. In the wake of 11 September 2001, Al Qaeda co-opted political

parties, Islamic charities, and other militant Islamic groups to strengthen and expand its

international support base (Gunaratna, 2002)

Although the US and its allies continue to erode the leadership of Al Qaeda, membership

flourishes. According to former director of the US Congressional Task Force on Terrorism and

Unconventional Warfare Yosef Bodansky, in the pre-11 September 2001 era Al Qaeda relied

on “approximately 250,000 individuals willing to die for the cause, while an additional 2.5-5

million people supported their efforts” (Lefkovitz, 2004). In the post-11 September 2001 era,

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Bodansky claims “as many as 500,000-750,000 people are willing to be trained” as suicide

bombers, while a further 10 million more radical Muslims are willing to “support the operations

of suicide bombers” (Lefkovitz, 2004). In addition to the 10 million plus cited by Bodansky,

he states an additional “50 million more Muslims are willing to offer financial support” to Al

Qaeda’s cause (Lefkovitz, 2004). Based on these numbers, Bodansky concludes that “America

is losing the war on terrorism” based upon actions taken within the context of the GWOT and

Operation IRAQI FREEDOM (Lefkovitz, 2004).

In addition to expanding its global support base, Al Qaeda has also sought to increase its

destructive power by investing in surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), rocket-propelled grenades

(RPGs), and light antitank guns (Davis, 2002). Documents recovered in Kabul after the US

invasion of Afghanistan and in the aftermath of a UK police raid on suspected Al Qaeda safe

houses, revealed the terrorist organization possessed manuals on the use and manufacture of

chemical, biological, and radiological (CBR) weapons (Gunaratna, 2002). While it appears that

Al Qaeda has not yet developed or produced a CBR weapon, experts agree it will attempt to

do so in the near future (Lefkovitz, 2004). Acquisition of a CBR weapon by a terrorist

organization has been the nightmare scenario envisioned by successive US presidents since the

1990s.

Al Qaeda appears to be readily adaptive to the post-11 September 2001 security environment.

Since 11 September 2001, Al Qaeda has consistently maintained its commitment to its

ideological struggle by expanding its international support base while also improving its

weapons cache. In addition to these adaptations, Al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations

have maneuvered to maintain high levels of international funding, despite sanctions and actions

taken by nations to impede the funding of terrorist organizations. One of the most significant

changes to Al Qaeda’s post- 11 September 2001 operations has been its willingness to partner

with international drug traffickers (Bernad, 2003). In the group’s early genesis as an emerging

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international security threat, bin Laden and Al Qaeda renounced drug traffickers for religious

purposes. Two main factors led to the partnership with this once taboo element. First, Al Qaeda

and bin Laden recognized that through their association with the Taliban government in

Afghanistan, they could easily get involved in the international trafficking of heroin to

supplement their finances (Gunaratna, 2004). Second, Al Qaeda ignored its previous

theological aversion to participating in narcotics trafficking, claiming the production and

subsequent sale of heroin contributes to the “social degeneracy” of the US and Western

population (LeBlanc, 2004).

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CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY, DISCUSSION OF FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.0 INTRODUCTION There are various results and findings that have been gathered from the previous chapter where

a thematic analysis has been carried out. The findings that will be expatiated on in this chapter

centers around the connection between terrorism and global security with information deduced

cites political, ideological and religious elements as connecting factors between terrorism and

security the world over, considering the involvement of various like Iran, Saudi Arabia and the

United States. Broad impacts which regarding the activities of Al-Qaeda on security is

discussed, while specific effects are also touched with findings proving how terrorism actions

in the US, Britain and Bali had terrible economic impacts. Other findings prove that there are

actions mostly by the US to curtail the Al-Qaeda network, with efforts of the UN also, first

making laws to criminalize territorial terrorism and controlling the access to money by the

terrorist network.

5.1 SUMMARY

The focuses on Al-Qaeda as a case study, the group has been in existence for some time and

has carried out different operations, for example, the 9/11 assault in the U.S., the bombing of

train stations in Madrid 2004, and London 2005, the Bali club bombing, and some more.

Notwithstanding this has affected people and the world at large, economically, psychologically,

and socially.

More so, it is also important to outline the fact that people consistently play a key role with

regards to terrorism, which could be in form of killings, kidnapping, taking of hostages, and

the releasing of violence. Due to all these, their memories consistently bear traumatic and

torturing events to people. However, this essay tends to focus on this problem and find a

solution to manage the act of terrorism with the help of the research questions.

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From the various scholarly works findings prove that terrorism has negatively affected

collective state effort in maintaining international peace and security. The decade in the

millennium witnessed the major attack of a superpower where almost 3000 people dead of over

50 nationalities.

The concept of collective security has been discussed in detail but it has remained very difficult

for states to collectively co-exist. This is because of the ideological and geographical

differences between and among member states of the UN. The global security agenda is

overridden by state interest. This is accompanied by refusal by some member states to be bound

by the rules of the UN. This concept is based on the pacifist settlement of disputes but on the

other hand diverge from the real practice of politics and peace. The concept is usually favored

during large conferences whose idea is to stimulate research while on the ground states act

together with friends than enemies. As noted earlier, the concept of global security is

outweighed by the clear reasons why states are reluctant to fight terrorism collectively. It states

that politics is ridden by selfishness and egoism of states and individuals who are always in

pursuit of power. Politics is thus the struggle for power and peace. States exercise hard power

in a political world.

Iran has been pitched as one of the nations that clearly and openly sponsor terrorism, it is even

a part of the nation’s diplomatic objectives. Their objectives cut using the various terrorist

groups to perpetuate political agenda across Muslim territories like Palestine and Pakistan.

Saudi Arabia according to the study is confirmed as the biggest sponsor of terrorism in

cooperation with other Gulf States they have been able to penetrate major parts of the Horn of

Africa including Somalia and Yemen using the Al-Shabaab and Al-Qaeda networks. The US

is also found as one of the actors funding terrorism with evidence of the actions of the Muslim

Brotherhood in Egypt attempted coup on ex-President Mubarack and it is also confirmed that

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the US at some point sponsored Al-Qaeda to prosecute political intents in the middle east

surviving as a detractor.

Based on the Theory of Realism This researcher argues that, the concept of Collective Security

is not very effective in combating terrorist activities. It goes without saying that, the concept is

based on pacifist tract and is muted from the writings of Immanuel Kant (1975 Section 1) which

stated that “ A state is a society of men whom no-one else has any right to command or dispose

except the state itself and it is a trunk with its own roots.” This means that a state can decide

whether to be part of the collective security or not. Collective security is guided by morality

and consensus to an extent that fighting terrorism is likely to be ineffective. Realism offers a

more credible reason why the states are driven by their zest for the struggle for power and

individual interest. These interests have led to the following incidences.

5.2 CONCLSUION

Based on the findings the study concludes that the US assemble and sponsor terror networks

mostly for short term purposes and where they are no longer useful, they are disposed, although

sometimes disposing such network is not the easiest of tasks.

Political intentions remain the major link between terrorism and global security with major

actors, while promotion of religious ideologies come as the minor indications because they are

not which much state sponsorship like the political element.

Regarding the specific impacts of terrorism on Economic Security, findings includes the

reduction of FDI, reduced capital inflows, stalls stock markets, shifts investment both capital

and labour. It ushers in higher uncertainty thus reducing confidence among potential investors.

The state shifts its priority from projects designed for growth to higher demand for security

and once security is given higher priority, transport sector suffers especially dealing with cross

border. Besides industry will act below capacity or forced to close due to the lack of labour.

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The Effects of Terrorism on Individual Security. The research study explained security not

only to mean insulated from physical harm but also from environmental security, food security,

community security, economic security and even health security among other securities. The

continuous advancement in technology has led to the emergence of cyber-terrorism, Narco-

terrorism, biological terrorism and even nuclear terrorism. These are designed to inflict pain

and insecurity upon the citizens of a government which will then fail to protect its citizens. The

Mumbai attacks, Black September, 9/11, bombing of the WTC in 1993, hostage taking and

kidnapping have all caused human insecurity.

There have been continued efforts from United States and its allies in their efforts to diminish

the threats posed by non-state actor such as Al Qaeda. Through criminal legislation, the United

States and the UN have sought to erode the capability and operations of terrorist organizations

by limiting the international terrorists’ access to operating finances. Money is a vital

component in the operations carried out by terrorist organizations. Therefore, the United States

and the UN have surmised that if the international community can limit a terrorist

organization’s access to its capital, the nations of the world can slowly destroy the operational

capability of terrorist organizations. The Banking Secrecy Act and the Money Laundering

Control Act are two examples of legislation used by the United States to deprive terrorist

organizations of their operating funds

Despite the substantial progress made in the GWOT, Al Qaeda and other like-minded

organizations remain operational. Since 11 September 2001, the United States and the

international community have increasingly sought to reduce the financial support of terrorist

organizations by freezing their financial assets, as well as those of their supporters. In an effort

to recuperate their financial resources, terrorist organizations have increasingly allied with drug

traffickers. These nefarious alliances are emblematic of the major adaptive efforts taken by

terrorist organizations to maintain their violent presence within the GWOT. The United States

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and the international community have recognized the significance of this scheme and have

worked diligently in the past years to curb these associations.

5.3 RECOMMENDATIONS

Understanding the adaptive and resilient nature of transnational terrorist groups provides the

allies in the GWOT with critical insight into the enemy. By incorporating this data into

antiterrorist doctrine, strategy, and tactics, the allies in the GWOT can adjust their operations

to meet the changing demands of the security environment. Against a dynamic enemy such as

Al Qaeda, it is necessary to leverage the full spectrum of political, diplomatic, military, and

law enforcement measures in the fight against terrorism. To date, the United States and its allies

have consistently applied a broad spectrum of resources to combat the terrorist threat. As the

fight continues and the enemy adapts, the allies in the GWOT need continually to reassess the

threat and adjust accordingly. In the context of the GWOT, the United States and its allies need

to maintain a constant awareness of how best to eradicate the terrorist threat by assessing and

adjusting the best mixture of political, diplomatic, military, and law enforcement measures to

apply. By retaining flexibility and maintaining constant pressure on transnational terrorists, the

United States and its allies will prevail in the GWOT.

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