Technical Memorandum RBF Consulting

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    Technical Memorandum

    Date: October 5, 2011

    To: Richard Svindland, Director of Engineering, California American Water

    From: Paul Findley, RBF Consulting

    Subject: Cost Analysis of Water Supply Alternatives

    This technical memorandum presents the results of cost analysis for eleven alternatives to solve the

    water supply deficit in CAWs Coastal Division. It should be noted that these alternatives represent

    physical solutions and that we have not fully explored permitting and schedule impacts for each of these

    alternatives. Permitting and schedule impacts will be presented in a subsequent technical

    memorandum.

    Alternative 1 Implementation of 10 mgd Marina project; Alternative 2 Implementation of 6.5 mgd Marina project with 2700 AFY MRWPCA

    Groundwater Recharge in Seaside, and 2700 AFY of Carmel River water used for ASR and

    injection dilution;

    Alternative 3 35 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant with a 6900 AFY ASR system inSeaside;

    Alternative 4 24 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant with a 6900 AFY ASR system inSeaside, with 2700 AFY MRWPCA Groundwater Recharge, and 4200 AFY of Carmel River water

    used for ASR and injection dilution;

    Alternative 5 32 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant, a 3. 5 mgd desalination plant inNorth Marina, and a 5500 AFY ASR system in Seaside;

    Alternative 6 35 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant, expansion of the Sand Citydesalination plant from 0.3 mgd to 1.0 mgd, and a 6500 afy ASR system in Seaside;

    Alternative 7 32 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant, a 3.0 mgd desalination plant nearthe Naval Post Graduate School, and a 5200 AFY ASR system in Seaside;

    Alternative 8 20 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Iron Removal Plant, a 5 mgd desalination plant nearthe Naval Post Graduate School, and a 5100 AFY ASR system in Seaside;

    Alternative 9 35 mgd Salinas River Filtration Plant with a 6900 AFY ASR system in Seaside; and

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    Alternative 1010 mgd Deep Water Desalination Plant near Moss Landing with a 1300 AFYASR system in Seaside.

    Alternative 11 5 mgd Marina project with 2700 AFY MRWPCA Groundwater Recharge inSeaside, 2700 AFY of Carmel River water used for ASR and injection dilution, and

    implementation of a more aggressive conservation program to reduce demand by an additional1500 AFY. A potential variation of this alternative would be to obtain additional Table 13 direct

    diversion rights in lieu of additional conservation.

    Regional Project as Basis for Cost Estimating

    Capital Costs

    The capital and annual cost estimates costs for the Regional Project have been estimated by RMC and

    are shown in a table titled Monterey Bay Regional Water Supply Project, Project Cost Comparison-

    (With Escalation to October 2012). From that reference, it is clear that the estimate is based on anassumption that all of the supply wells for the regional desalination plant are slant wells, and that the

    costs are in October 2012 dollars. The capital costs for MCWD and MCWRA are also shown in Exhibit C

    of the Water Purchase Agreement, as follows:

    Project Facilities Estimated Base Construction Costs $140,100,000

    Implementation, Start-up and Acceptance Costs $ 29,600,000

    Initial Capital Outfall Expenses $ 3,000,000

    MCWD and MCWRA Real Property Acquisition Costs $ 2,000,000

    Mitigation Costs $ 2,000,000

    Pre-Effective Date Costs and Expenses $ 14,000,000

    Project Administration and Oversight Expenses $ 3,000,000

    Subtotal Estimated Project Facilities Cost $193,700,000

    Project Contingency $ 46,700,000

    Subtotal - Estimated Project Facilities Cost $240,400,000

    High-end Allowance (for Accuracy) $ 42,070,000

    Total Overall Estimated Project Facilities Cost $282,470,000

    Reserve Fund Payments Account $ 6,000,000

    Costs of Obtaining Indebtedness $ 9,000,000

    Total $297,470,000

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    RMCs cost comparison table also includes an estimate for CAWs regional project facilities, in October

    2012 dollars, as follows:

    Base Construction Cost $ 53,300,000

    Post-Effective Implementation Costs $ 14,500,000

    Pre-Effective Date Costs and Expenses $ 36,900,000ROW Easements and Land Acquisition $ 3,400,000

    Mitigation $ 1,000,000

    Capital Costs (Excluding Contingency) $109,100,000

    Project Contingency $ 22,700,000

    Most Probable Capital Cost with Contingency $132,000,000

    High End of Accuracy Range $156,000,000

    Low End of Accuracy Range $118,000,000

    From the Settlement Agreement and the CPCN, it is clear that the cost cap of $106.875 million for CAW

    facilities was set at the mid-point between a most probable cost estimate of $95 million and the high

    end of the accuracy range at $118.75 million. Using the estimate above, an estimated capital cost of

    approximately $107 million can be obtained by adding an accuracy allowance of $12 million to $95

    million, which is the most probable capital cost with contingency but without CAWs pre-effective costs.

    An estimate of $404 million for the capital cost of all facilities in the Regional Project can be obtained by

    adding the estimate of $297 million for MCWD/MCWRA facilities to the estimate of $107 million for

    CAW facilities. Many of the individual line items in the above cost estimates can be consolidated into

    facilities or facility categories. The consolidated capital cost estimate for the Regional Project is shown

    in Table 1.

    TABLE 1

    REGIONAL PROJECT CAPITAL COST

    Capital Cost Categories Estimated Cost (Oct 2012 $)

    MCWD/MCWRA

    Raw Water & Brine Facilities $56,600,000

    Treatment Facility $174,200,000

    Conveyance Facilities $37,200,000

    Total MCWD/MCWRA Facilities $268,000,000

    Pre-Effective Date Costs $14,000,000

    Reserve Requirements & Financing $15,000,000

    Total MCWD/MCWRA Capital Cost $297,000,000

    CAWConveyance Facilities $57,300,000

    Terminal Reservoir $24,200,000

    ASR System $25,500,000

    Total CAW Capital Cost $107,000,000

    TOTAL REGIONAL PROJECT CAPITAL COST $404,000,000

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    Alternatives

    Alternative 1 Implementation of a 10 mgd Marina project

    Description. This alternative would have the same facilities as the previously described Regional Project.

    Operation. The assumed operation of Alternative 1 is shown in Table 2. For this alternative and all

    other alternatives except Alternative 11, the assumed system demand is 15,200 AFY. The total

    production of new project facilities for Alternative 1 would be 11,800 AFY. The desalination plant

    would be operated at 10,500 afy (8,800 afy to CAW and 1,700 afy to be returned to Salinas Valley users)

    and BIRP would be operated to produce a long term average of approximately 1300 AFY of excess

    Carmel River water to be stored and recovered via the ASR system. The desalination plant would

    produce 700 AF of excess water to be stored in the ASR system during the 6-month wet season and

    recovered in the 6-month dry season.

    Alternative 2 Implementation of 6.5 mgd Marina Project and 2700 AFY MRWPCA Groundwater

    Recharge

    Description. This alternative is similar to Alternative 1 except that the desalination plant would be

    reduced to 6.5 mgd capacity and the ASR system would be supplemented with recharge of 2700 AFY of

    advanced water treatment (AWT) effluent from the Monterey Regional Water Pollution Control

    Authoritys regional treatment facility. The AWT effluent would be used to recharge the Seaside aquifer

    with separate injection wells. These separate injection wells are not included in the capital cost

    estimate for CAW facilities, however, a 5000 feet, 18-inch diameter pipeline is included to transport

    dilution water to the AWT effluent injection wells. The Transfer Pipeline from the desalination plant to

    the Monterey Pipeline would be reduced from 36- inch diameter to 24-inch diameter.

    Operation. For this alternative, it was assumed that the desalination plant would be operated at a

    constant rate of 6.5 mgd, producing approximately 7300 AFY (6100 AFY to CAW and 1200 to be returned

    to Salinas Valley users). The Salinas Valley return would be split seasonally, with 400 AFY being

    delivered during the 6-month wet season, and 800 AFY being delivered during the 6-month dry season.

    BIRP would be operated to produce a long term average of approximately 4600 AFY of Carmel River

    water, of which 2700 AFY would be injected in the ASR system as dilution water to match the amount of

    recharge water received from MPWPCA (required by regulation). It is assumed that CAW would then

    recover the total recharge amount (AWT effluent plus dilution water) at ASR extraction wells. This

    alternative would require operation of the Seaside wells during the injection season, and they would not

    be operated during the 6-month dry-season . The ASR wells would be operated in extraction mode

    during the 6-month dry season at an average rate of 9.8 mgd, to recover 5500 AFY.

    Alternative 3 Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant (LCVFP)

    Description. This alternative, shown schematically on Figure 1, features a seasonally operated surface

    water filtration plant fed by an extensive system of supply wells (16 wells) and piping (10,000 lineal feet

    of 12-inch to 42-inch diameter pipe) in the lower Carmel Valley. It is assumed that the raw water supply

    from the wells would be considered groundwater under the influence of surface water (GWUISW),

    and thus it would require filtration to meet the Surface Water Treatment Rule

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    The LCVFP examined in this analysis would be the primary supply, not a supplement to a desalination

    plant. The capacity of the raw water supply system and the plant would need to be approximately 35

    mgd (54 cfs) in order to capture more water during periods of high river flow and to produce a long term

    average of 8,900 AFY of excess Carmel River to meet demand during the rainy season and to provide

    injection water for the ASR system. This and all alternatives promoting an increase in high flow river

    diversions above the currently permitted maximum instantaneous diversion rate will be of concern to

    the Steelhead Association and Environmental agencies.In addition to the raw water supply system

    described above, this alternative also includes the following new facilities:

    35 mgd membrane filtration plant, on 6 acres at a location generally south of CarmelValley Road and east of Carmel Rancho Road, with pressure ultra-filtration (UF) system,

    UV and chlorination disinfection, 3.5 MG clear well, membrane backwash supply

    system, waste backwash recovery, solids processing and handling , chemical building,

    and O&M building;

    35 mgd, 4,500 hp treated water pump station on the LCVFP site; 43,000 feet, 42-inch diameter Peninsula Transfer Pipeline, proceeding from the west

    end of Carmel Valley Road towards 17 Mile Dr, Forest Lake Road, Congress Avenue and

    Sinex Road to the old Eardley Pump Station at the west end of the alignment for the

    Regional Projects Monterey Pipeline;

    26,000 feet, 42-inch diameter Monterey Pipeline, on the same alignment as theRegional Projects Monterey Pipeline, to the intersection of Del Monte Boulevard and

    Broadway Avenue.

    9,000 feet, 42-inch diameter Seaside Pipeline, proceeding from the intersection of DelMonte Boulevard and Broadway Ave along Broadway Avenue and then to Yosemite

    Street and then to the east end of the Seaside Pipeline alignment as proposed for the

    Regional Project;

    3 mgd Valley Greens Pump Station, same as proposed for the Regional Project;

    6 MG Terminal Reservoir, same as proposed for the Regional Project; 40 mgd, 1,400 hp ASR Pump Station, located at the northwest corner of the intersection

    of Hilby Avenue and new General Jim Moore Boulevard (GJM);

    2 ASR wells at Fitch Park, each at 2.1 mgd injection/4.3 mgd extraction, same asproposed for the Regional Project;

    2 ASR wells located along GJM, each at 2.1 mgd injection/4.3 mgd extraction; 12 ASR injection wells, each with 2.1 mgd injection capacity, at various locations north

    of the existing Santa Margarita ASR wells;

    57,000 feet of 16-inch and 30-inch diameter pipeline for ASR well supply/extraction,recirculation, and backflushing;

    Centralized reclamation facility for ASR backflush; and Centralized chlorination facility for extracted ASR water.

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    Table 2

    System Flow Rates

    Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    AFY

    Average

    Flow

    (MGD)

    Supply

    SRFP N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    LCVFP N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 8,870 15.8 - -

    Desal (to

    CAW)3,990 7.1 4,810 8.6 3,250 5.8 2,850 5.1 N/A N/A N/A N/A

    Desal

    Return1,630 2.9 70 0.1 400 0.7 800 1.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A

    Sand City 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3

    ASR

    Extraction- - 2,000 3.6 - - 5,500 9.8 - - 6,850 12.2

    SeasideWells

    - - 1,500 2.7 1,500 2.7 - 0 - - 1,500 2.7

    MRWPCA N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,700 4.8 - - N/A N/A N/A N/A

    BIRP 4,620 8.2 - - 4,620 8.2 - - 4,620 8.2 - -

    Demand System 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2

    ASR

    Injection2,020 3.6 - - 5,520 9.8 - - 6,920 12.4 - -

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    Table 2 - Continued

    System Flow Rates

    Alternative 4 Alternative 5 Alternative 6 Alternative 7

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    AFY

    Avg.

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    AFY

    Avg

    Flow

    MGD

    Supply

    SRFP N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    LCVFP 6,170 11.0 - - 5,510 9.8 - - 8,080 14.4 5,510 9.8 - -

    Desal (to

    CAW)N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,950 3.5 1,390 2.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,670 3.0 1,670 3.0

    Desal

    ReturnN/A N/A N/A N/A - - 560 1.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    Sand City 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 540 1.0 540 1.0 150 0.3 150 0.3

    ASR

    Extraction- - 6,850 12.2 - - 5,460 - - 6,460 11.5 - - 5,180 9.2

    Seaside

    Wells- - 1,500 2.7 - - 1,500 2.7 - - 1,500 2.7 - - 1,500 2.7

    MRWPCA 2,700 4.8 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    BIRP 4,600 8.2 - - 4,600 8.2 - - 4,600 8.2 - - 4,600 8.2 - -

    Demand System 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2

    ASR

    Injection6,920 12.4 - - 5,510 9.8 - - 6,520 11.6 - - 5,230 9.3 - -

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    Table 2 - Continued

    System Flow Rates

    Alternative 8 Alternative 9 Alternative 10 Alternative 11(*)

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    6-Month Wet

    Season

    6-Month Dry

    Season

    AFYAvg.Flow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    AFYAvgFlow

    MGD

    Supply

    SRFP N/A N/A N/A N/A 8,870 15.8 - - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    LCVFP 3,250 5.8 - - N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

    Desal (to

    CAW) 2,800 5.0 2,800 5.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3,970 7.1 4,850 8.62,650 4.7 2,050 4.7

    Desal

    Return N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A150 0.3 750 0.3

    Sand City 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3 150 0.3

    ASR

    Extraction - - 4,500 8.0 - - 6,850 12.2 - - 2,000 3.6- - 5,400 6.4

    Seaside

    Wells 450 0.8 1,050 1.9 - - 1,500 2.7 - - 1,500 2.71,500 2.7 - -

    MRWPCA N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,700 4.8 - -

    BIRP 4,600 8.2 - - 4,600 8.2 - - 4,600 8.2 - - 4,620 8.2 - -

    Demand System 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,700 12.0 8,500 15.2 6,200 11.1 7,600 13.6

    ASR

    Injection4,550 8.1 - - 6,920 12.3 - - 2,020 3.6 - - 5,420 6.5 - -

    (*) Conservation approach presented in this Table. Additional direct diversion from Table 13 would have different values.

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    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2.

    The LCVFP would be operated during the 6-month wet season at an average rate of 15.8 mgd, toproduce a long term average of approximately 8870 AFY, of which approximately 5620 AFY would be

    injected into the ASR wells. At the same time, BIRP would be operating. Together, the two plants

    would produce water to meet demand during the 6-month wet season (estimated at 6700 AF) and to

    also capture a long term average of approximately 6920 AF that would be injected into ASR wells. The

    LCVFP and the BIRP would not be operated during the summer. The ASR wells, supplemented by the

    Seaside wells and the Sand City desalination plant, would be used to meet demand during the 6-month

    dry season (May through October). The ASR system would provide a long term average supply of

    approximately 6850 AFY.

    The assumed average demand during the 6-month wet season is 12 mgd (range of 9 mgd to 14 mgd).

    For this 6-monthwet season, the assumed operation for Alternative 3 is as follows:

    Operate LCVFP at an average of 15.8 mgd (range of 5 mgd to 35 mgd, depending on riverflow);

    Operate the BIRP at an average of 8.2 mgd (range of 6 mgd to 16 mgd, depending on riverflow), with 6 mgd (3300 AF in 6 months) being delivered to customers, and a long term 6-

    month average of approximately 2.3 mgd (1300 AF) would be sent to the ASR Pump Station

    via the Segunda/Crest/Carlton Pipeline route.;

    Operate the Sand City desalination plant continuously at approximately 0.3 mgd; Operate the ASRPS and ASR wells in injection mode at an average of 12.3 mgd (range of 0

    mgd to 40 mgd);

    Operate the Seaside wells to meet any daily shortfalls caused by demand exceeding thecombined output of the SRFP, BIRP, and Sand City desalination plant;

    Turn off the Valley Greens Pump Station; and Operate the Segunda Pump Station at an average of approximately 3 mgd (range of 1 mgd

    to 10 mgd).

    The assumed average demand during the 6-month dry season is 15.2 mgd (range of 12 mgd to 21 mgd).

    For this 6-month period, the assumed operation for Alternative 3 is as follows:

    Turn off the LCVFP and BIRP; Operate the Sand City desalination plant continuously at approximately 0.3 mgd;

    Operate the ASR wells in extraction mode at 8 mgd to 21 mgd, and an average of 12.2 mgd; Operate the Seaside wells at 2 mgd to 6 mgd, and an average of approximately 2.7 mgd; Operate the Valley Greens Pump Station at approximately 3 mgd in order to maintain

    Segunda Tank levels, Crest Pipeline flow, and supply to upper Carmel Valley;

    Operate the Segunda Pump Station at approximately 1.5 mgd to maintain flow in the CrestPipeline.

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    Alternative 4 24 mgd Lower Carmel Valley Filtration Plant with a 6900 AFY ASR system in Seaside,

    with 4200 AFY Carmel River ASR and 2700 AFY MRWPCA Groundwater Recharge

    Description. Similar to Alternative 2, this alternative would supplement the ASR system with recharge

    of 2700 AFY of advanced water treatment (AWT) effluent from the Monterey Regional Water Pollution

    Control Authoritys regional treatment facility. The AWT effluent would be used to recharge the Seaside

    aquifer with separate injection wells. It is assumed that CAW would provide up to 2700 AFY of excess

    Carmel River water as dilution water to the AWT effluent injection wells, and would then recover the

    total recharge amount (AWT effluent plus dilution water ) at ASR extraction wells.

    In comparison to Alternative 3, the capacity of the LCVFP, and the associated intake well system and

    high service pump station, would be reduced from 35 mgd to 24 mgd. The Peninsula Pipeline would be

    reduced from 42-inch diameter to 36-inch diameter. The number of new ASR wells would be reduced

    from 16 to 11 (2 new injection/extraction wells and 9 injection-only wells), and the ASRPS capacity

    would be reduced from 40 mgd to 30 mgd.

    Operation. The LCVFP would be operated during a 6-month season (November through April) at an

    average rate of 11.0 mgd, to produce a long term average of approximately 6170 AFY, of which

    approximately 2920 AFY would be injected into wither the AWT effluent injection wells, or the ASRwells. At the same time, BIRP would be operating. Together, the two plants would produce water to

    meet demand during the 6-month wet season (estimated at 6700 AF) and to also capture a long term

    average of approximately 4220 AF that would be injected. The LCVFP and the BIRP would not be

    operated during the summer.

    As indicated previously, 2700 AFY of AWT effluent would be separately injected into the Seaside Basin

    and recovered by the ASR wells. The ASR wells, supplemented by the Seaside wells and the Sand City

    desalination plant, would be used to meet demand during the dry season (May through October). The

    ASR system would provide a long term average supply of approximately 6850 AFY.

    Alternative 5

    Marina Desalination Plant and LCVFP

    Description. This alternative, shown schematically on Figure 2, adds a 3.5 mgd desalination plant to the

    facilities described in Alternative 3. The desalination plant would be located at the North Marina site.

    The capacity of the LCVFP would be reduced to 32 mgd. The LCVFP clearwell (3.2 MG) and treated

    water pump station (32 mgd, 3,600 hp) would be slightly smaller in this alternative than in Alternative 3.

    In addition to the facilities described for Alternative 3, additional facilities in this alternative would

    include:

    3 vertical feedwater supply wells, each at 2.3 mgd and 250 hp, at locations currentlyproposed for the Regional Projects desalination plant supply wells;

    30,000 feet, 24-inch diameter feedwater pipeline to the desalination plant; 3.5 mgd desalination plant, at location currently proposed for the Regional Projects

    desalination plant;

    0.4 MG clearwell at the desalination plant site; 3.5 mgd, 300 hp desalinated water pump station at the desalination plant site; 1 mgd, 25 hp desalinated water return flow pump station;

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    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2. The LCVFP would be operated at an average of 14.4mgd

    (range of 4 mgd to 35 mgd) during the 6-month wet season, to produce a long term average of

    approximately 8080 AFY, of which 5220 AFY would be injected into the ASR wells. The ASRPS and ASR

    wells would operate in injection mode at an average of 11.5 mgd (range of 0 mgd to 40 mgd) during the

    6-month wet season, and the ASR wells would operate in extraction mode at 7 mgd to 20 mgd (long

    term average of 11.6 mgd) during the 6-month dry season. All other operational aspects of Alternative 6

    would be the same as for Alternative 3.

    Alternative 7 Monterey Desalination Plant and LCVFP

    Description. This alternative, shown schematically on Figure 4, adds a 3 mgd desalination plant to the

    facilities described in Alternative 3. The desalination plant would be located in Monterey near the Naval

    Post Graduate School. The capacity of the LCVFP would be 32 mgd. The LCVFP clearwell (3.2 MG) and

    treated water pump station (32 mgd, 3,600 hp) would be slightly smaller in this alternative than in

    Alternative 2A. In addition to the facilities described for Alternative 3, additional facilities in this

    alternative would include:

    4 feedwater supply slant wells, each at 2.2 mgd and 50 hp, at beach locations; 1200 feet, 18-inch diameter feedwater pipeline to the desalination plant; 3 mgd desalination plant, with partial second pass; 300,000 gallon clearwell at the desalination plant site; 3 mgd, 300 hp desalinated water pump station at the desalination plant site; 3,000 feet, 18-inch diameter horizontal directional drilled brine discharge pipeline to

    the ocean, with brine diffuser;

    1,500 feet, 18-inch Desalinated Water Transfer Pipeline from the desalination plant toconnect to the Monterey Pipeline;

    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2. In Alternative 7, the desalination plant would be operated

    continuously year-round at 3 mgd. The LCVFP would be operated at an average of 9.8 mgd (range of 2

    mgd to 32 mgd) during the 6-month wet season to produce a long term average of 5510 AFY, of which

    approximately 3930 AFY would be injected into the ASR wells. The ASRPS and ASR wells in injection

    mode would operate at an average of 9.3 mgd (range of 0 mgd to 40 mgd) during the 6-month wet

    season, and the ASR wells would operate in extraction mode at 6 mgd to 17 mgd (long term average of

    9.2 mgd) during the 6-month dry season. All other operational aspects of Alternative 7 would be the

    same as for Alternative 3.

    Alternative 8 Monterey Desalination Plant and LCV Iron Removal Plant For ASR Supply

    Description. This alternative, shown schematically on Figure 5, would include a 5 mgd desalination

    plant located in Monterey near the Naval Post Graduate School, and a 20 mgd iron removal plant in

    lower Carmel Valley (LCVIRP). The LCVIRP would produce water that would be sent directly to the ASR

    system via an 80,000 feet, 36-inch diameter pipeline. It is assumed that iron removal is required in order

    to prevent plugging of the ASR injection wells with oxidized iron precipitates. The LCVIRP would not

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    provide sufficient treatment or disinfection to meet the Surface Water Treatment Rule, so water from

    the plant could not be served directly to customers. Water from the LCVIRP would be sent directly to

    ASR injection wells, and separate ASR wells would be used for extraction. It is assumed that sufficient

    separation will be provided between the injection and extraction wells so that the injected water

    becomes groundwater as it travels from the injection wells to the extraction wells.

    This alternative would include the following facilities:

    20 mgd iron removal plant, on 2-3 acres at a location generally south of Carmel ValleyRoad and east of Carmel Rancho Road, with aeration towers, contact basin, gravity dual

    media filters, chloramination system, 2.0 MG clear well, waste backwash recovery,

    solids processing and handling , chemical building, and O&M building);

    20 mgd, 2400 hp treated water pump station on the LCVIRP site; 80,000 feet, 36-inch diameter Peninsula Transfer Pipeline, proceeding from west end of

    Carmel Valley Road towards 17 Mile Dr, Forest Lake Road, Congress Avenue and Sinex

    Road to the old Eardley Pump Station and then parallel to the Monterey Pipeline and

    the Seaside Pipeline to the ASR Pump Station on General Jim Moore Boulevard.

    26,000 feet, 30-inch diameter Monterey Pipeline, on the same alignment as theRegional Projects Monterey Pipeline, from the old Eardley Pump Station to the

    intersection of Del Monte Boulevard and Broadway Avenue.

    9,000 feet, 30-inch diameter Seaside Pipeline, proceeding from the intersection of DelMonte Boulevard and Broadway Ave along Broadway Avenue and then to Yosemite

    Street and then to the east end of the Seaside Pipeline alignment as proposed for the

    Regional Project;

    3 mgd Valley Greens Pump Station, same as proposed for the Regional Project; 6 MG Terminal Reservoir, same as proposed for the Regional Project; 20 mgd, 800 hp ASR Pump Station, located at the northwest corner of the intersection

    of Hilby Avenue and new General Jim Moore Boulevard (GJM);

    2 ASR extraction wells at Fitch Park, each at 4.3 mgd extraction, same as proposed forthe Regional Project, (the existing ASR wells at Seaside Middle School and Santa

    Margarita would be used for extraction only);

    1 ASR extraction well (4.3 mgd capacity) located along GJM between the Fitch ParkWells and the Seaside Middle School ASR extraction well;

    11 ASR injection wells, each with 2.1 mgd injection capacity, at various locations northof the existing Santa Margarita ASR wells;

    35,500 feet of 16-inch, 30-inch, and 36-inch diameter pipeline for ASR wellsupply/extraction and backflushing;

    Centralized reclamation facility for ASR backflush; and Centralized chlorination facility for extracted ASR water.

    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2. In Alternative 8, the desalination plant would be operated

    year round at approximately 5 mgd, producing 5600 afy. BIRP would be operated at an average of 8.3

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    mgd during the 6-month wet season, with 6 mgd (3300 AF in 6 months) being delivered to customers,

    and a long term 6-month average of approximately 2.3 mgd (1300 AF) being sent to the ASR Pump

    Station via the Segunda/Crest/Carlton Pipeline route. The LCVIRP would be operated during the 6-

    month wet season, if excess Carmel River water is available, at an assumed long term average of 5.8

    mgd, and a maximum of 20 mgd, to produce 3250 AFY which would be sent directly to the ASR system

    for injection. The ASRPS and ASR injection wells would operate at an average of 8.1 mgd (range of 0

    mgd to 20 mgd) during the 6-month wet season, and the ASR wells would operate in extraction mode at

    6 mgd to 17 mgd (long term average of 8.0 mgd) during the 6 month dry season.

    It should be noted that the assumed operation of this alternative is slightly different than the operation

    of Alternative 7. System demand during the 6-month wet season would be met by operating BIRP at a

    constant rate of 6 mgd, the Sand City desalination plant at 0.3 mgd, and the new Monterey desalination

    plant at a constant rate of 5 mgd. If demand exceeds 11.3 mgd, the difference would be supplied from

    the Seaside wells, so that excess Carmel River Water produced at BIRP could continue to flow to the

    injection wells. Excess Carmel River water would also be treated at the new Carmel Valley Iron Removal

    Plant and routed directly to the ASR injection wells, and no portion of this excess water would be served

    directly to customers.

    During the 6-month dry season, demand would normally first be met by constant supplies ofapproximately 5.0 mgd of desalinated water, 0.3 mgd from the Sand City Plant, and 1.9 mgd from the

    Seaside Wells. The difference between this combined base supply (7.2 mgd) and demand (up to 24

    mgd) would be met with the ASR extraction wells.

    Alternative 9 Salinas River Filtration Plant (SRFP)

    Description. This alternative, shown schematically on Figure 6, features a seasonally operated 35 mgd

    surface water filtration plant fed by a diversion from the Salinas River.

    The SRFP is similar in concept to a surface water treatment plant (SWTP) that was discussed in the

    Coastal Water Project EIR for Phase 2 of the Regional Project. The EIR discusses a 14 mgd membrane

    filtration SWTP that would operate seasonally to produce a long term average of 2,980 AFY. The EIRs

    concept was that the SWTP would have provided seasonal augmentation to the supply from the 10 mgd

    desalination plant constructed in Phase 1. Since the EIRs SWTP plant would operate during the winter,

    in conjunction with the desalination plant as well as seasonal operation of CAWs BIRP system, all of the

    production from the EIRs SWTP would be injected in CAWs ASR system. The EIR also indicates that the

    long term seasonal average capacity of the SWTP could be expanded to 5,800 AFY with expansion of the

    capacity of the Salinas River Diversion Facility (SRDF) from 36 cfs to 60 cfs, and construction of a perched

    aquifer storage system for storage of 3,000 AF of Salinas River water.

    The SRFP examined in this analysis would be the primary supply, not a supplement to a desalination

    plant. The capacity of the diversion facilities and the plant would need to be approximately 35 mgd (54

    cfs) in order to capture more water during periods of high river flow and to produce a long term average

    of approximately 8,900 AFY. For this reason, this alternative includes a separate intake and pumping

    station located at the SRDF Inflatable Dam, and 4,000 feet of 48-inch diameter pipeline to convey raw

    water to the SRDF.

    In addition to the diversion system described above, this alternative also includes the following new

    facilities:

    35 mgd membrane filtration plant, on 6 acres at the same general location as the EIRsSWTP, with pretreatment ( coagulation, flocculation, sedimentation), pressure ultra-

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    filtration (UF) system, UV and chlorination disinfection, 3.5 MG clear well, membrane

    backwash supply system, waste backwash recovery, solids processing and handling ,

    chemical building, and O&M building;

    35 mgd, 3,000 hp treated water pump station on the SRFP site; 43,000 feet, 42-inch diameter Transfer Pipeline, in same alignment as proposed for the

    Regional Project;

    10,000 feet, 42-inch diameter Seaside Pipeline, in same alignment as proposed for theRegional Project;

    29,000 feet, 36-inch diameter Monterey Pipeline, same as proposed for the RegionalProject;

    3 mgd Valley Greens Pump Station, same as proposed for the Regional Project; 6 MG Terminal Reservoir, same as proposed for the Regional Project; 40 mgd, 1400 hp ASR Pump Station, located at the northwest corner of the intersection

    of Hilby Avenue and new General Jim Moore Boulevard (GJM);

    2 ASR wells at Fitch Park, each at 2.1 mgd injection/4.3 mgd extraction, same asproposed for the Regional Project;

    2 ASR wells located along GJM, each at 2.1 mgd injection/4.3 mgd extraction; 12 ASR injection wells, each with 2.1 mgd injection capacity, at various locations north

    of the existing Santa Margarita ASR wells;

    57,000 feet of 16-inch and 30 inch diameter pipeline for ASR well supply/extraction,recirculation, and backflushing;

    Centralized reclamation facility for ASR backflush; and Centralized chlorination facility for extracted ASR water.

    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2.

    The SRFP would be operated during the 6-month wet season at an average rate of 15.8 mgd, to produce

    a long term average of approximately 8,870 AFY, of which approximately 5620 AFY would be injected

    into the ASR wells. At the same time, BIRP would be operating. Together, the two plants would

    produce water to meet demand during the 6-month wet season (estimated at 6700 AF) and to also

    capture a long term average of approximately 6,920 AF that would be injected into ASR wells. The SRFP

    and the BIRP would not be operated during the summer. The ASR wells, supplemented by the Seaside

    wells and the Sand City desalination plant, would be used to meet demand during the 6-month dryseason (May through October). The ASR system would provide a long term average supply of

    approximately 6,850 AFY.

    The assumed average demand during the 6-month wet season is 12 mgd (range of 9 mgd to 14 mgd).

    For this 6-month period, the assumed operation for Alternative 9 is as follows:

    Operate SRFP at an average of 15.8 mgd (range of 5 mgd to 35 mgd, depending on riverflow);

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    Operate the BIRP at an average of 8.2 mgd (range of 6 mgd to 16 mgd, depending on riverflow), with 6 mgd (3300 AF in 6 months) being delivered to customers, and a long term 6-

    month average of approximately 2.3 mgd (1300 AF) would be sent to the ASR Pump Station

    via the Segunda/Crest/Carlton Pipeline route.;

    Operate the Sand City desalination plant continuously at approximately 0.3 mgd; Operate the ASRPS and ASR wells in injection mode at an average of 12.3 mgd (range of 0

    mgd to 40 mgd);

    Operate the Seaside wells to meet any daily shortfalls caused by demand exceeding thecombined output of the SRFP, BIRP, and Sand City desalination plant;

    Turn off the Valley Greens Pump Station; and Operate the Segunda Pump Station at an average of approximately 3 mgd (range of 1 mgd

    to 10 mgd).

    The assumed average demand during the 6-month dry season (May through October) is 15.2 mgd (range

    of 12 mgd to 21 mgd). For this 6-month period, the assumed operation for Alternative 9 is as follows:

    Turn off the SRFP and BIRP; Operate the Sand City desalination plant continuously at approximately 0.3 mgd; Operate the ASR wells in extraction mode at 8 mgd to 21 mgd, and an average of 12.2 mgd; Operate the Seaside wells at 2 mgd to 6 mgd, and an average of approximately 2.7 mgd; Operate the Valley Greens Pump Station at approximately 3 mgd in order to maintain

    Segunda Tank levels, Crest Pipeline flow, and supply to upper Carmel Valley;

    Operate the Segunda Pump Station at approximately 1.5 mgd to maintain flow in the CrestPipeline.

    Alternative 10

    Deep Water Desalination (DWD) Project

    Description. This alternative includes a 10 mgd desalination facility located about 1 mile north of the

    Moss Landing power plant, north of Elkhorn Slough. The desalination and conveyance facilities include

    the following, and the rest of the system is similar to the Regional Project:

    Intake, intake pump station, outfall, and pier structure on the north side of the harbor outlet; 4,500 feet, 54-inch diameter feedwater pipeline to the desalination facility; 4,500 feet, 36-inch diameter brine pipeline to the outfall; 10 mgd desalination plant including flocculation and UF membrane filtration pretreatment with

    partial second pass;

    3.0 MG clearwell at the desalination plant site; 10 mgd, 1,800 hp desalinated water pump station at the desalination plant site; 98,500 feet of 36-inch pipeline and 10,000 feet of 30-inch pipeline to convey desalinated water

    from the desalination plant to the Terminal Reservoir; and

    Monterey pipeline, Terminal Reservoir, ASR system, and Valley Greens pump station identical tothe Regional Project.

    Operation. The assumed supply, demand and facility flow rates used to prepare the O&M cost estimate

    for this alternative are shown in Table 2. The desalination plant would be operated to at an average of

    8.7 mgd in the 6-month dry period and 7.1 mgd in the 6-month wet period to produce a long term

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    average of 8800 afy. Desalinated water return flow to the Marina Coast Water District system would

    not be required. All other aspects ofthis alternatives operation would be identical to operation of

    Alternative 1.

    Alternative 11 5 MGD Desalination Project with GWR and Conservation

    Description. This alternative is similar to Alternative 2 except that the desalination plant would be

    reduced to a capacity 5.0 mgd. A more aggressive water conservation program would be implemented

    to further reduce demand by approximately 1500 AFY. A potential variation of this alternative would be

    to obtain additional Table 13 direct diversion rights in lieu of additional conservation.

    Operation. In this alternative, it is assumed that the CAW system demand would be reduced by 1500

    AFY to 13,800 AFY, as a result of more aggressive water conservation. The desalination plant would be

    operated year round at 5 mgd, producing 5600 AFY (4700 AFY to CAW, and 900 AFY returned to Salinas

    Valley users). The Salinas Valley return would be split seasonally, with 150 AFY being delivered during

    the 6-month wet season, and 750 AFY being delivered during the 6-month dry season. BIRP would be

    operated to produce a long term average of approximately 4600 AFY of Carmel River water, of which

    2700 AFY would be injected in the ASR system as dilution water to match the amount of recharge waterreceived from MPWPCA (required by regulation). It is assumed that CAW would then recover the total

    recharge amount (AWT effluent plus dilution water) at ASR extraction wells. This would require

    operation of the Seaside wells during the injection season, and they would not be operated during the

    6-month dry-season . The ASR wells would be operated in extraction mode during the 6-month dry

    season at an average rate of 9.6 mgd, to recover 5400 AFY.

    Cost Comparison

    Capital Cost

    Table 3 provides a comparison of the capital costs of Alternative 1 and the other alternatives.

    Compared to the $404 million estimated capital cost for the Regional Project, the capital cost for the

    alternatives range from $277 million (Alternative 1) to $583 million (Alternative 10). Base construction

    costs are essentially the same for Alternatives 3 and 9, but land acquisition costs would be expected to

    be higher for Alternative 3 in order to acquire property in Carmel Valley for new supply wells and the

    filtration plant. However, this higher land acquisition cost disadvantage of Alternative 3 is offset by its

    cost advantage in financing costs.

    For Alternative 10, a cost estimate of $38,500,000 was received from DWD for the intake, outfall and

    pier systems. It was assumed that this cost included the feedwater and brine pipelines to and from the

    desalination plant, and also an intake pump station. It was also assumed that this cost was expressed in

    2012 dollars, and that it includes construction costs and contingency and accuracy allowances, but does

    not include project implementation (permitting, environmental mitigation, engineering, project

    management) or right-of-way acquisition costs. RBF estimated these costs and included them in the

    $42.9 million cost shown for this line item in Table 3. RBF generated the capital cost estimate for the

    desalination plant and conveyance system, using the same estimating approach as was used for the

    other alternatives, in order to allow direct comparison to the other alternatives

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    O&M/Annual Cost

    Table 4 compares the estimated annual cost for operation and maintenance (O&M) and other annual

    costs for Alternative 1 ($13.2 M) to estimated O&M/annual costs of the other alternatives (ranging from

    $5.2 M for Alternative 3 to $17.6 M for Alternative 2). The O&M cost estimates were prepared for an

    assumed total CAW demand of 15,200 AFY. If demand is less, then O&M costs would be less, but the

    reduction in O&M costs would not be proportional to the reduction in demand, primarily due to theeffect of fixed costs for labor and repair and maintenance.

    As expected, Alternatives 5, 6 and 9 have lower O&M/annual costs than Alternative 1, primarily due to

    the reduced amount of desalinated water produced by each alternative, and the resulting reduction in

    power costs. Alternative 9 has higher treatment chemical costs than Alternative 3, because it would

    treat water diverted directly from the Salinas River, with highly variable turbidity and organic carbon

    content, whereas Alternative 3 would be treating water pumped from alluvial wells. The estimated

    O&M/annual cost for Alternatives 5, 7, and 8 are similar ($10.8 M, $10M, and $10.9 M, respectively) and

    are the highest of the non-GWR alternatives because they would have higher energy costs to produce

    more desalinated water and they would have significantly higher labor costs due to the requirement to

    staff two treatment plants.

    Unit Costs

    Table 5 compares the unit costs for water for Alternative 1 to the unit costs of water for the other

    alternatives. The unit cost for Alternative 1 is estimated at $3970/AF, compared to the unit costs for

    the other alternatives which range from $4160/AF for Alternative 2 to $6280/AF for Alternative 7.

    CAWs annualized capital costs were calculated at a capital recovery factor (CRF) of 0.093 (8.5% interest

    rate, 30 year term). For sake of discussion, a calculation of annualized capital costs was prepared at a

    CRF of 0.051 (3% interest rate, 30 year term) so as to determine the effect of financing cost on the

    overall cost. For Alternative 10, the annualized capital costs DWDs portion of the project were

    calculated using a CRF of 0.057 (4%, 30 years) per DWDs draft analysis.

    Also, the unit costs were calculated by dividing the total annualized costs by the total water productionof all project facilities, and this total production is the amount of project production received by CAW

    (10,100 AFY) plus the amount of desalinated water that is produced and returned to Salinas Valley users

    in order to avoid exportation of Salinas Valley groundwater. For the Regional Project and Alternative 1,

    the amount of desalinated water to be returned to MCWD would be 1700 AFY, and the total project

    production would be 11,800 AFY. For Alternative 2, the amount of desalinated water to be returned

    would be 1200 AFY, and the total project production would be 11,300 AFY. If the total annualized costs

    are divided by 10,100 AFY (the amount received by CAW), the unit costs of Alternative 1 would be

    $4640/AF, and the unit cost of Alternative 2 would be $4650/AF. Similarly, if the total annualized costs

    of Alternative 5 are divided by 10,100 AFY, the unit costs would be $5580/AF.

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    TABLE 3

    CAPITAL COST COMPARISON (2012 Dollars in Millions)

    Capital Cost CategoriesAlt

    1

    Alt

    2

    Alt

    3

    Alt

    4

    Alt

    5

    Alt

    6

    Alt

    7

    Alt

    8

    Alt

    9

    Alt

    10

    Alt

    11

    Owned by Others

    Raw Water & Brine Facilities $50.2M

    Treatment Facility $221M

    Conveyance Facilities

    Total Facilities $271M

    TOTAL Owned by Others $271M

    CAW

    Raw Water and Brine Facilities $56.3M $49.4M $27M $20.1M $42.9M $43.8M $68.1M $71.5M $13.5M $42.9M

    Treatment Plants $173M $139M $186M $145M $172M $202M $243M $172M $187M $0.8M $113M

    Conveyance Facilities $83.7M $70.6M $88.7M $82.6M $102M $89.1M $89.3M $72.3M $86.5M $138M $64.5M

    Terminal Reservoir $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M $24.1M

    ASR System $25.3M $32.3M $149M $110M $149M $149M $149 M $171M $149M $149M $32.3M

    TOTAL CAW $362M $316M $475M $382M $490M $508M $573M $511M $461M $312M $277M

    TOTAL PROJECT $362M $316M $475M $382M $490M $508M $573M $511M $461M $583M $277M

    TABLE 4

    O&M/ANNUAL COST COMPARISON (2012 Dollars)

    Annual Cost CategoriesAlt

    1

    Alt

    2

    Alt

    3

    Alt

    4

    Alt

    5

    Alt

    6

    Alt

    7

    Alt

    8

    Alt

    9

    Alt

    10

    Alt

    11

    Power $5.66M $4.38M $1.54M $1.36M $3.34M $1.90M $3 .33M $4.31M $1.51M $6.00M $3.50M

    Chemicals $1.07M $0.78M $0.16M $0.16M $0.51M $0.22M $0 .46M $0.63M $0.51M $1.33M $0.61M

    Membrane/Media Replacement $0.57M $0.46M $0.36M $0.29M $0.54M $0.42M $0 .53M $0.30M $0.36M $0.95M $0.30M

    Equipment Repair and Replacement $1.77M $1.44M $1.40M $1.07M $2.28M $1.50M $2 .15M $2.10M $1.52M $1.91M $0.80MLabor and Miscellaneous Costs $3.11M $3.02M $1.71M $1.64M $3.41M $1.97M $3 .38M $3.36M $1.67M $3.48M $2.97M

    Total Annual O&M Cost $12.2M $9.8M $5.2M $4.5M $10.0M $6.04M $9.9M $10.7M $5.6M $13.7M $8.2M

    Outfall User Charge & Annual Inspection $0.45M $0.45M $0 $0 $0.25M $0.06M $0.20M $0.20M $0 $0 $0.45M

    Groundwater Monitoring Program $0.55M $0.55M $0 $0 $0.55M $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0.55M

    Recharge Water Purchases $6.8M $6.8M $6.8M

    Total Other Annual Cost $1.0M $7.8M $0 $6.8M $0.8M $0.06M $0.16M $0.20M $0 $0 $7.8M

    TOTAL O&M /OTHER ANNUAL COST $13.2M $17.6M $5.2M $11.3M $10.8M $6.1M $10.1M $10.9M $5.6M $13.7M $16.0M

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    TABLE5UNITCOSTCOMPARISON

    CostCategories Alt1 Alt2 Alt3 Alt4 Alt5 Alt6 Alt7 Alt8 Alt9 Alt10 Alt11ProjectProduction(AFY) 11,800 11,300 10,100 10,100 10,700 10,100 10,100 10,100 10,100 10,100 8,600

    CAWCapitalCost($M)$362 $316 $475 $382 $490 $508 $573 $511 $461 $312 $277

    OtherCapitalCost($M) $271

    OtherAnnualized

    CapitalCost

    @CRF=0.057($M/yr)

    $15.4

    TotalO&M&Other

    AnnualCosts($M/yr)$13.2 $17.6 $5.2 $11.3 $10.8 $6.1 $10.1 $10.9 $5.6 $13.7 $16.0

    CAWAnnualized

    CapitalCost

    @CRF=0.093($M/yr)

    $33.7 $29.4 $44.2 $35.5 $45.6 $47.2 $53.3 $47.5 $42.9 $29.0 $25.8

    TotalAnnualizedCost

    w/CAWCRF=0.093

    ($M/yr)

    $46.9 $47.0 $49.4 $46.8 $56.4 $53.3 $63.4 $58.4 $48.5 $58.6 $41.8

    UnitCost,[email protected]

    ($/AF) $3,970 $4,160 $4,890 $4,640 $5,270 $5,280 $6,280 $5,780 $4,800 $5,760 $4,860CAWAnnualizedCapital

    Cost@CRF=0.051$18.5 $16.1 $24.2 $19.5 $25.0 $25.9 $29.2 $26.1 $23.5 $15.9 $14.1

    TotalAnnualizedCost

    w/CAWCRF=0.051

    ($M/yr)

    $31.7 $33.7 $29.4 $30.8 $35.8 $32.0 $39.3 $37.0 $29.1 $45.1 $30.1

    UnitCost,[email protected]

    ($/AF) $2,680 $2,980 $2,910 $3,050 $3,340 $3,170 $3,890 $3,660 $2,880 $4,460 $3,500

    PerTable5,theleastexpensivecostperAFregardlessonthefinancingrateisAlternate1.

    OtherConsiderationsOftheelevenalternativesdiscussedabove,onlyonewasconsideredinCPUCsCoastalWaterProjectEIR

    (Alternative1,whichwaspreviouslycalledtheNorthMarinaAlternative). Implementationofanyofthe

    otheralternativeswouldrequireadditionalenvironmentalimpactanalysis,recertificationoftheEIR,

    amendmentandreapplicationfortheCPCN,andamendmentoftheapplicationtotheCaliforniaCoastal

    Commission.

    Thesere

    permitting

    costs

    are

    not

    specifically

    estimated

    in

    the

    cost

    estimates

    in

    this

    technicalmemorandum,althoughitcouldbearguedthattheyareincludedunderprojectcontingency.

    Moreimportantly,repermittingoftheprojectwoulddelayimplementationwellbeyondtheOctober

    2012midpointofconstructionthatisthebasisofestimatingcapitalcostsinthismemorandum,andthe

    resultingimpactsofinflationonprojectcostsarenotreflectedinthiscostanalysis.

    Alternatives3through9arebasedonanassumptionthatwaterrightscouldbeobtainedtodivert

    significantamountsofwaterfromeithertheCarmelRiverortheSalinasRiverwithattendantrightsto

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    deliversomeofthedivertedwaterdirectlytocustomersand/ortostoresomeorallofthediverted

    waterintheSeasideGroundwaterBasin. Eveniftheserightscouldbesecured,transitionalrightswould

    needtobenegotiated,overaperiodcoveringseveralyearsofinitialoperation,toallowsomeminimum

    levelofdiversionfromtheSalinasRiverand/orfromtheCarmelRiver(above3,376AFY).These

    transitionalconditionswouldneedtobeineffectuntilsuchtimeassufficientwaterhasbeenstoredin

    theASRsystemtoprovidesupplyduringamultiyeardrought.

    SinceAlternatives5,7,8and11allhaveasignificantdesalinationplanttofurnishayearroundbase

    supply,thetransitionperiodwouldbeshorterthaninAlternatives3,4,and6,withlessimpactto

    CarmelRiverflows. Also,Alternatives5,7,8and11wouldbeabletoprovidealargerminimumamount

    ofsupplyintheeventofadroughtintheinitialyearsoftheproject,beforeanASRreservehasbeen

    established. Forexample,inAlternative8,thetotalCAWsupplyavailableintheyear2020withoutASR

    wouldbeapproximately10,900AFY,orapproximately2/3ofthe15,200AFYdemandthathasbeen

    assumedforthisanalysis.

    ImplementationofAlternative9alsopresumesthatSalinasRiverwaterisofsuitablequalitythatitwill

    bepossibletomeetdrinkingwaterstandardswithmembranefiltrationtreatment,i.e.,nanofiltrationor

    reverseosmosiswillnotberequired. Anothernecessaryassumptionisthatregulatoryorpublic

    concernsover

    water

    quality

    issues

    do

    not

    prevent

    Salinas

    River

    water

    from

    being

    stored

    in

    the

    Seaside

    GroundwaterBasin.

    Aswithallotherscenariosthathavebeenconsideredoverthelastsevenyears,thecostestimatedoes

    notincludeanycostsforupgradingtheBIRPtocomplywiththeSurfaceWaterTreatmentRule.

    However,sinceAlternatives3through7doinvolveimplementationofanewlargetreatmentplantusing

    CarmelRiverWater,theopportunitytoabandontheBIRPandincreasethesizeoftheLCVFP(to50+

    mgd)wouldpresentitself,andthiswouldincreasetheimplementationcostsofthisalternative.

    ImplementationofAlternative8isbasedonASRinjectionofCarmelRiverwaterproducedbytheLCVIRP

    thathasnotbeentreatedtomeettheSurfaceWaterTreatmentRule. Theassumptionisthatthe

    resultingsupplyofwaterproducedfromseparateASRextractionwellswillnotbeclassifiedas

    groundwaterundertheinfluenceofsurfacewater,andwillthusbeexemptfromtheSurfaceWater

    TreatmentRule.

    ThealternativesthatinvolveaLowerCarmelValleyFiltrationPlantarepremisedonanassumptionthat

    landandROWcouldbesecuredintheLowerCarmelValleyinreasonabletimeframes,atlandpricesof

    $750,000peracreforacquisition,and$75,000peracreforeasements. Atthistime,itisnotknownif

    thesearereasonableassumptions.

    Itisnotfullyknownifthe1500AFYofconservationcanbeachievedforAlternative11;however,the

    needforthislevelofconservationmaybesomewhatreducedpriortotheyear2021whentheamount

    ofwateravailablefromtheSeasidegroundwaterbasinwillbegreaterthanthe1500AFYthatwas

    assumedforthisanalysis. Additionally,changestotheTable13directdiversionmaybeabletoreduce

    theamountofconservationneededforthisalternate.

    SummaryWehavereviewedpossiblephysicalsolutionstothepeninsulaswatersupplyshortageonanequal

    basis. Thenextstepistocompleteanassessmentofthepermittingandscheduleimpactforeach

    alternative. Thiswillbepresentedinasubsequenttechnicalmemorandumatwhichpointafinal

    recommendationastothemostattractivealternateoralternatescanbedetermined.