View
231
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Tearing the Social Fabric:
Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats
Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing
Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure
September 11 Enters History of the Earth
Major disasters that engage us powerfullyOften correlate with big deviations
The Buddhas of Bamiyan
Before March 12 2001
After
The destruction of a world treasureApproximate time, noon in Afghanistan
The World Trade Center
Fall, 2001
Carol M. Highsmith Al Dove
The World Trade Center
September 11 2001
Tamara Beckwith
The destruction of the World Trade TowersSept 11 2001
A 50-hour trend followed the attacks
What is there to say?
Sept 11 Formal prediction: Inter-egg Variance Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom
Context: Variance on Sept 10 - 12Departure begins ~4 hours before attack
Independent AnalysesRadin: Odds against chance
For variance excursion on Sept 11The real data vs pseudorandom data
Data from EGG network Pseudorandom clone data
Shoup: examining a larger contextComparing Sept 11 vs four months of days
Bancel: Autocorrelation on Sept 11Structure where there should be none
Treating the nodes like EEG electrodes we reduce 35 dimensions to 3
and plot the combination
Real data
Pseudo data
Summary of statistical measures for Sept 11
Measure Probability estimate Comparison standard
Composite deviation 0.003 Resampling: 400 days
Inter-node correlation 0.0002 Student t: 400 days
Device variance peak 0.0009 Permutation: control p = 0.756
Autocorrelation 0.001 60 control days: p > 0.05
News correlation 0.002 Student t: 365 days
Diurnal variation 0.30 Time series: 365 days
Repairing the Social Fabric:
MeditationsPrayer VigilsCeremonies
Holidays
Chicago, Moment of Silence
September 14 2001
Three Minutes of Silence
September 14 2001
Focused Siddhi Meditation
September 23 to 27, 2001
A Substantial Agreement on
Getting our Ecological Act Together