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March 26, 2018
Initiating Coverage
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Structural growth story...
Incorporated in 2002, TeamLease Services (TLS) is a focused player in
temporary staffing and enjoys ~6% market share in the fragmented
general staffing business. We like TLS given its leadership position in
general staffing and favourable industry dynamics for expanding the
organised pie through structural changes such as GST and other
regulatory reforms. We believe that with scalability and expertise in
staffing, the company is set to reap the benefits of an under-penetrated
flexi staffing industry in India and grow at a healthy rate of 22.1% CAGR
to | 5381.9 crore in FY18-20E. Beside this, the company has expanded its
addressable market in specialised staffing through the inorganic route
prudently. This would expand its EBITDA margin profile by 70 bps to
2.5%. Hence, we initiate coverage on TLS with a BUY recommendation
and a DCF based target price of | 2660/share (implied PE multiple of 29.9x
and PEG multiple of 0.8x).
Focused player on general staffing…
TLS is India’s leading staffing company in the organised space with an
overall market share of ~6%. In terms of associate count, it is also the
largest staffing company in India. With its core expertise in general
staffing and focus on India, the company is ready to grab the opportunity
in the least penetrated temporary staffing market in India (0.5% in 2015
vs. global average of 1.7%). We believe penetration in the temporary
staffing market should rise through favourable industry dynamics like
formalisation of economy, GST & other regulatory reforms. Hence, we
expect revenues to grow at 20.9% CAGR to | 4,917 crore in FY18E-20E.
Expanding into specialised staffing through prudent acquisitions…
TLS has expanded its addressable market to high margin specialised
staffing such as IT and telecom (four out of six targets in the last two
years) through the inorganic route in a prudent manner (4-6x EV/EBITDA
on an LTM basis). These acquisitions should increase specialised revenue
contribution from ~2% in FY17 to ~7% in FY20E resulting in a 70 bps
improvement in overall EBITDA margin to 2.5% in FY18-20E.
Niche play on staffing business; initiate with BUY…
With its leadership position in general staffing, we believe TLS is set to
reap the benefits through structural changes in industry dynamics.
Consequently, we expect TLS’ adjusted earnings to grow robustly at
35.7% during FY18E-20E. Considering the robust growth trajectory and
strong return ratio (RoIC – 28.6% in FY19E), we initiate coverage on TLS
with a BUY recommendation and a DCF based target price of | 2660/share
(implied PE multiple of 29.9x and PEG ratio of 0.8x).
Exhibit 1: Key Financials
(| Crore) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Net Sales 3,041.9 3,611.9 4,416.8 5,381.9
EBITDA 44.3 65.5 102.2 135.0
Net Profit 66.3 72.7 111.8 152.3
EPS (|) 38.8 42.5 65.4 89.1
P/E (x) 54.4 49.6 32.3 23.7
EV/EBITDA 78.1 53.3 32.9 24.2
RoCE (%) 15.4 15.4 18.9 20.7
RoE (%) 17.4 16.0 19.8 21.7
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
TeamLease Services Ltd (TEASER) | 2109 Rating Matrix
Rating : Buy
Target : | 2660
Target Period : 12-18 months
Potential Upside : 26%
Key Financials
| Crore FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Net Sales 3,042 3,612 4,417 5,382
EBITDA 44 65 102 135
Net Profit 66 73 112 152
EPS (|) 38.8 42.5 65.4 89.1
Valuation Summary
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
P/E 54.4 49.6 32.3 23.7
Target P/E 68.6 62.5 40.7 29.9
EV / EBITDA 78.1 53.3 32.9 24.2
P/BV 9.5 7.9 6.4 5.1
RoNW (%) 17.4 16.0 19.8 21.7
RoCE (%) 15.4 15.4 18.9 20.7
Stock Data
Particular Amount
Market Capitalization (| Crore) 3,606.2
Total Debt (| Crore) 23.4
Cash and Investments (| Crore) 169.6
EV (| Crore) 3,460.0
52 week H/L 2537 / 928
Equity capital 17.1
Face value 10.0
Price movement
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Nifty (L.H.S) Price (R.H.S)
Research Analysts
Deepak Purswani, CFA
deepak,[email protected]
Deepti Tayal
Page 2 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Company background
TeamLease (TLS), established in 2002, is one of India’s leading providers
of human resource services in the organised segment with ~6% share in
the flexi staffing industry. It was co-Founded by Manish Sabharwal
(Chairman) and Ashok Kumar Nedurumalli (MD & CEO) wherein Mr
Sabharwal is an alumnus of The Wharton School of the University of
Pennsylvania while Mr Ashok is a first generation entrepreneur with 17
years of experience in the human resource services industry. TLS’
services span the entire human resources supply chain covering
employment, employability and education. Employment services include
temporary staffing solutions, permanent recruitment services and
regulatory consultancy for labour law compliance while employability
offerings include learning and training solutions.
In February 2016, TLS came out with an IPO with an issue size worth
| 424 crore (at | 850 per share). This included a fresh issue (| 150 crore)
and an offer for sale of ~| 273 crore from private equity investors
including Gaja Capital and India Advantage Fund (making a partial exit)
and shares by promoters. Moreover, total money raised in IPO in
February 2016, was utilised up to December 2017 implying TLS’
disciplined approach in capital allocation.
As of December 2017, TLS had an associate and trainee headcount of
177,283 deployed over 2500 clients spread across various verticals and 29
states. Associate employees are people placed with clients while the core
are TLS internal employees. As per FY15, five of top 10 clients by revenue
have been with TLS for more than six years. In line with its strategy, TLS
has expanded its addressable market by foraying into specialised staffing
such as IT and telecom through very selective acquisitions to expand its
margin.
Exhibit 2: Timeline: Focused player in general staffing
2013
Started New Service
Offerings & Makes
Compliance a separate
strategic business unit
Starts permanent
recruitment business
for one client
First round of PE investment by
Gaja Capital.
First inorganic acquisition of
IIJT Education Pvt Ltd
2002
Signs a memorandum of
understanding (MoU) for setting
up the country’s first skills
university with Gujarat
government
Company starts
operations with 20
clients and 40
employees
2004
2005
Strengthened the technology
infrastructure with
centralizing the operations in
head office at Bengaluru
2007-08
2009
20112017
2016
Acquires Keystone Business Solutions to
strengthen IT staffing.
Acquires 30% stake in Freshersworld.com
Acquires Evolve Technologies to enter telecom
staffing business
Aquires 40% stake in education start-up
Schoolguru
Comes out with IPO in February 2016
with IPO oversubscribed 66 times.
Adds IT staffing as a new service
offering, acquires ASAP Info Systems &
Nichepro Technologies
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Shareholding pattern (as on December 2017) (%)
Shareholder Holding (%)
Promoter 43.1
DII 14.7
FII 24.6
Others 17.5
Total 100.0
Source: bseindia.com, ICICIdirect.com Research
FII and DII Trend
14.7 14.8
17.1 17.3
24.6
19.9
17.1
14.0
Q3FY18 Q2FY18 Q1FY18 Q4FY17
DII FII
Source: bseindia.com, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 3 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Segmental snapshot
General staffing - It is the largest business segment both in terms of
associate headcount as well as revenue contribution. The segment
comprises a general staffing business and a training programme called
National Employability Through Apprenticeship Programme (NETAP). The
general staffing business has been the core contributor to revenues and
formed ~95-98% of total revenues in FY11-17. Associate headcount
(including NETAP) has grown 3x to 149,902 in FY11-17. TLS has invested
in developing software applications (Associate Lifecycle System, etc),
which led to productivity improvement for TLS (associate to core
employee ratio improved from 149 in FY11 to 203 in FY17). The topline of
general staffing grew at 28.5% CAGR to | 2945.3 crore in FY11-17. NETAP
is a public private partnership of the Ministry of Skill Development &
Entrepreneurship, TeamLease Skills University, CII and NSDC under the
National Employability Enhancement Mission of the Ministry of HRD
(AICTE). Via this programme, the company has more than 40,000 trainees
in Q3FY18 compared to ~11500 trainees in FY16. This would lead the
company to have a large database proving beneficial for the company.
Specialised staffing - With its core expertise in staffing, TLS has expanded
its addressable market by entering specialised staffing by way of selective
acquisitions. With these acquisitions, IT and telecom staffing was added
to TLS’ portfolio wherein it entered IT staffing in FY17 and telecom in
FY18 (Q3FY18). With currently 5910 associates in the segment, this
segment contributed 6.4% to overall topline in Q3FY18 compared to 1.7%
in FY17. Compared to general staffing, this segment is a high margin
business thereby supporting overall margins, going ahead.
HR services - This segment mainly comprises permanent recruitment,
payroll processing & compliance consulting services and contributes ~1-
3% to consolidated revenues. Its revenues grew ~24% YoY to | 46 crore
in FY17. With the segment being a high margin one, it supports overall
margins.
Exhibit 3: Segment revenue contribution (FY17) (%)
General
Staffing &
Allied Services
97%
Specialised
Staffing
services
2%
Other HR
services
1%
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 4: Segment revenue contribution (9MFY18) (%)
General
Staffing &
Allied Services
94%
Specialised
Staffing
services
4%
Other HR
services
2%
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Page 4 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Financial story in charts
Exhibit 5: Overall revenues grow healthy 26.9% in FY12-17
1530
2007
2505
3042
926 1
251
35% 35%
31%
25%
21%22%
500
1500
2500
3500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(|
crore)
10%
20%
30%
40%
(%
)
Revenues Growth, YoY
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 6: Productivity enhancements lead to turnaround in EBITDA
-21
12
24 26
44
-11
0.8%
1.2%1.0%
1.5%
-2.2%
-0.9%
-50
-25
0
25
50
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
| c
rore
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
(%
)
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 7: Led by EBITDA turnaround, PAT grows 54.9% in FY14-17
(16)
25
66
(4)
18
31
(40)
(20)
-
20
40
60
80
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(|
crore)
CAGR 55%
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 8: RoE and RoCE trend
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
(%
)
RoE RoCE
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 9: General staffing: Revenue grows at 26.7% CAGR in FY12-17
1,2
24
1,9
73
2,9
45
901 1,5
03
2,4
68
37.8%35.9%
22.8%
31.3%
25.1%
19.3%
500
1,500
2,500
3,500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
| c
rore
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Revenue Growth, YoY
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 10: Specialised staffing*: Revenues grow 165% YoY in Q3FY18
5
2223
51
25 27
59
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18
| c
rore
*Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
*Entered in Q2FY17
Page 5 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Flexi staffing industry overview
The flexi staffing industry includes a shared relationship among the
employer, client and an associate wherein a client hires an associate from
an employer for an assignment for a particular period while the associate
is on the payroll of an employer.
Exhibit 11: Shared relationship in tripartite agreement
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Flexi-staffing offers companies flexibility in economic, business and
seasonal requirements thereby allowing the company to utilise human
resources more efficiently by not necessary retaining employees who are
surplus to requirements. It also provides companies savings in hiring,
training and integration costs. Moreover, companies outsource their non-
core activities to flexi staffing agencies to focus on the core business.
During 2013-15, the flexi staffing industry size in India has grown at 11%
CAGR to 2.1 million people. With the above-mentioned factors playing
out, it is expected to reach 2.9 million people in 2018.
Exhibit 12: Flexi staffing industry size in India
2013
1.7 million
2015
2.1 million
2018
2.9 million
India ranks fourth globally with 2.1
million flexi staff in 2015
Source: ISF Report, ICICIdirect.com Research
India ranks fourth globally with 2.1 million flexi staff in
2015. Flexibility in manpower planning, lower hiring costs
and focus on core business would enable the flexi staffing
industry to reach 2.9 million people in 2018
Page 6 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Investment Rationale
Leadership position in general staffing industry…
TLS is India’s leading staffing company in the organised space with
overall market share of ~6%. In terms of associate count, it is also the
largest staffing company in India. Revenues in the general staffing
business posted growth at 26.7% CAGR while its associate count has
grown at a CAGR of 19.7% to 149,902 employees (including NETAP
trainees) in FY12-17. As of December, 2017, TLS’ associate employee
count was at 171,373 (including NETAP). With favourable industry
dynamics such as formalisation of the economy, GST and labour reforms,
we anticipate TLS’s associate count and revenues will grow at a CAGR of
19.6% and 20.9% to 253,368 and | 4,917 crore, respectively, in FY18-20E.
We also highlight that TLS’ associate to core employee ratio at 203 in
FY17 is low compared to its peers (Quess Corp: 223 in FY17).
Exhibit 13: Associate growth (in- NETAP) grows 22.8% in FY14-17
81022
94647
120434
149902
177045
222938
253368
81022
94647
108860
126463
134045
152938
173368
60,000
140,000
220,000
300,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(X
)
Associate count (including NETAP) Associate count (excluding NETAP)
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 14: Staffing associate to core ratio to enhance productivity
154165 166
203
222
273
303
100
200
300
400
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(x)
Staffing associate to core ratio
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 15: Mark-up of general staffing per associate
687702
738
813
892
600
700
800
900
FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(|)
Mark up per employee p.m. (General Staffing)
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com ResearchICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 16: General staffing revenue to grow at 21% CAGR in FY18-20E
1,503
1,973
2,468
2,945
3,363
4,033
4,917
22.8%
31.3%
25.1%
19.3%
14.2%
19.9%21.9%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%)
(| c
rore)
Revenue Growth, YoY
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Foray into specialised staffing through M&A…
In line with its strategy to expand its addressable market to specialised
areas of staffing and improve its EBITDA margins, TLS has forayed into
specialised staffing such as IT and telecom through the inorganic route.
We highlight that the company is very prudent in selecting its acquisition
targets. Most acquisitions are EPS accretive from the year of
consolidation and are mostly done at EV/EBITDA (LTM) of 4-6x. In FY17,
TLS made three acquisitions in the fields of IT staffing - ASAP Info
Systems, NichePro Technologies and Keystone Business Solutions.
Acquisitions of ASAP and NichePro were done at an EV/EBITDA multiple
Largest staffing company in India by associate
count
Rank Company Name
Associate/ Flexi-staff
Count
1 TeamLease 125,207
2 Quess Corp 110,000
3 Adecco 100,000
4 Randstad 60,000
5 Genius Consultants 50,000
6 Global Innovsource 50,000
7 Manpower Group 38,000
Source: Quess IPP document, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 7 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
of 4-6x. In FY18, TLS ventured into telecom staffing through the
acquisition of Evolve Technologies. Evolve with 150 core employees
provides temporary staffing in the telecom sector and reported a revenue
CAGR of 62% to | 108.6 crore in FY15-17. The Evolve acquisition got
consolidated for two months in Q3FY18 and contributed | 29.3 crore of
revenue and | 2.1 crore to the overall EBITDA. With incremental one-
month contribution to come in Q4FY18 and full consolidation in FY19E, it
enhances the revenue visibility for the year ahead.
Going ahead, we expect high margin specialised staffing revenues
contribution in total revenues to increase from 2% in FY17 to 7% in
FY20E on account of recent acquisitions. Consequently, we expect
EBITDA margins to improve from 1.5% in FY17 to 2.5% in FY20E.
Exhibit 17: Entry into high margin business to drive margins
12
24 26
44
65
102
135
0.8%
1.2%
1.0%
1.5%
1.8%
2.3%
2.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
0
40
80
120
160
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
| c
rore
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
12
24 26
44
65
102
135
0.8%
1.2%
1.0%
1.5%
1.8%
2.3%
2.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
0
40
80
120
160
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
(|
crore)
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
General Staffing &
Allied Services
97%
Specialised staffing
services
2%
Other HR services
1%
FY17
General staffing &
allied services
91%
Specialised staffing
services
7%
Other HR services
2%
FY20E
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 18: Acquisitions by TLS to venture into specialised staffing
Date Acquired Company Acquired company Profile SALES EBITDA EBITDA Margin(%) EV EV/SALES EV/EBITDA
Jul-16 ASAP Info Systems IT staffing 63.5 11.1 17.5% 67 1.1 6.0
Sep-16 NichePro Technologies IT staffing 26.0 6.8 26.2% 29.5 1.1 4.3
Jan-17 Keystone Business Solutions IT staffing 7.5 2.0 26.7% 8.2 1.1 4.1
May-17 Cassius Technologies-Freshersworld Hiring strategy 5.1 NA 0.0% 18 3.5 NA
Oct-17 Evolve Technologies Telecom staffing 108.6 10.8 9.9% 36.68 0.3 3.4
Nov-17 Schoolguru Strengthen content library NA NA 0.0% 13.5 NA NA
Source: Media sources, Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 8 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Structural changes in fragmented flexi staffing industry – setting the tone
for growth in next decade…
The flexi staffing industry is highly fragmented with unorganised players
accounting for ~70% of the industry. Secondly, though India is the fourth
largest flexi staffing market in associate count, India is still among the
least penetrated flexi staffing markets globally and accounted for 0.5% (in
2015) in overall employment in India against the global average of 1.7%.
Penetration in developed economies is as high as 3.8% in UK, 2.2% in the
US, 2.4% in Germany and 1.8% in China. With the playout of factors such
as formalisation of the economy, GST, labour law reforms, increasing
number of enterprises shifting to organised flexi-staffing players and
requirement of skill development, we believe the organised flexi staffing
sector is poised for the next leg of growth over the long term.
Exhibit 19: Potential for India's flexi staffing penetration to reach global average
3.8%
2.4%
2.1%2.2%
2.0%1.8% 1.7%
0.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
UK
Germ
any
France
US
Japan
Chin
a
Glo
bal
Average
India
(%
)
Source: CIETT Economic Report 2017, ICICIdirect.com Research
Looking at the industry growth size, the temporary general staffing market
size in India was | 50033 crore in 2016. It is expected to grow at 16.8%
CAGR in 2016-21. The organised flexi staffing industry, which is currently
at ~30% of the total industry, should grow more rapidly than the overall
industry growth.
Exhibit 20: Temporary general staffing market in India expected to grow 16.8% in FY16-21E
50033
57542
66676
78043
91759
108749
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(|
crore)
CAGR 16.8%
Source: F&S Research & Analysis, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 9 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
We delve further into the industry growth rate to check whether industry
growth is sustainable or not. Hence, we started looking at industry growth
through the volume growth rate. Looking at the volume component
separately, we believe the flexi staffing industry should grow at 13.3%
CAGR over the next decade and reach 1.0 crore from 0.24 crore
employees in the flexi staffing industry in 2016.
Exhibit 21: Macro opportunity in terms of volume growth
Population Crore % Crore % Crore %
2013 127.9 83.1 65.0 48.6 58.5 0.1 0.3
2015 130.9 86.0 65.7 50.4 58.6 0.2 0.4
2013-15 CAGR(%) 1.2 1.7 1.8 27.1
2018 135.4 89.9 66.4 52.8# 58.7 0.3 0.5
2015-18 CAGR(%) 1.7 2.2 2.4 17.5
2028E 149.0 101.2 67.9 59.4# 58.7 1.0 1.7*
2018-2028 CAGR(%) 1.0 1.2 1.2 13.3
Flexi Staffing
Penetration
Working Age
population
Labour force
Participation
Source: F&S Research & Analysis, ICICIdirect.com Research, #assumed labour participation rate
* assumed penetration level to reach global average of 1.7% over next 10 years
Working age population%: Working age population/Population
Labour force participation%: Labour force participation/Working age population
Flexi staffing penetration%: Flexi staffing penetration/ Labour force participation
GST: Move from unorganised to organised to create level playing field…
The rollout of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) should lead to a
structural shift towards organised players and create a level playing field
between unorganised and organised players. Prior to GST
implementation, clients were getting tax credits for payment made to
unorganised flexi staffing players irrespective of whether the unorganised
players were actually making statutory employee payments or not.
Hence, unorganised players were offering flexi staffing services at ~15-
25% cheaper rates compared to organised players while giving the same
take home salary to employees while evading tax and flouting statutory
requirements (please refer exhibit 22). Post GST, the client would be able
to claim input tax credit only when taxes and statutory payments are
made by flexi staffing players due to the bill matching mechanism in GST
era. Hence, we believe unorganised players would have to comply with
statutory requirements to survive in the industry. These changes would
significantly narrow the pricing difference between unorganised and
organised companies, thereby benefiting organised players like TLS. In
our view, the pricing difference between organised and unorganised
players could narrow down to as low as to 1-3% post GST era vs. 15-25%
earlier.
Page 10 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 22: Illustration of GST benefits to organised players
Organised Unorganised Organised Unorganised
To Employees
Gross Salary per employee 20000 15300 20000 20000
Basic Pay @70% 14000 10710 14000 14000
EPF 3360 0 3360 3360
Employer Contribution (12%) 1680 0 1680 1680
Employee Contribution (12%) 1680 0 1680 1680
ESIC 1300 0 1300 1300
Employer Contribution (4.75%) 950 0 950 950
Employee Contribution (1.75%) 350 0 350 350
Take Home for Employee 15340 15300 15340 15340
To Client
Associate cost 20000 15300 20000 20000
Mark up 700 459 700 400
Service Tax/GST 3105 2364 3726 3672
Amount charged to client 23805 18123 24426 24072
Pricing Difference (%) -23.9 -1.4
Pre GST Post GST
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Further reforms may raise prospects for organised players…
Beside GST, various laws such as unique enterprise number, online filing
and deposition of statutory requirements along with consolidation of 44
central labour laws are needed to accelerate formal job creation and for
ease of doing business. If adopted, these reforms would raise the
prospects for organised players. Laws like
Unique enterprise number – Currently, organisations have
multiple numbers. Creating a unique identifier at the company
level would be crucial in a digital economy
Consolidation of 44 central labour laws into four labour codes-
India has 44 central labour laws and more than 150 state laws,
which create multiplicity thereby increasing the compliance
permissions and process delays. Consolidation of 44 central
labour laws into four labour codes pertaining to wages, industrial
relations, social security & welfare, safety & working conditions
would simplify the process
Amendments in Contract Labour and Regulation Act- India has
about ~25-30% of its workforce engaged as contract staff.
Various procedures and regulations such as threshold size for
applying license, digitisation of payments and documentation in
the act need to be revisited for the benefit of employers and
contract workers and for ease of doing business
Rationalise period of apprenticeships- The period of
apprenticeships ranges between a minimum of six months to a
maximum of three years. However, the maximum period of three
years remains long for many industries. State Apprenticeship
Councils should be permitted to select the appropriate duration,
rationalising the period based on demand and key sectors in the
state
Further reforms to accelerate formal job creation -
Unique enterprise number
Consolidation of 44 central labour laws into
four labour codes
Amendments in Contract Labour and
Regulation Act
Rationalise period of apprenticeships
Page 11 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Tax benefit of 80JJAA to provide additional boost to bottomline…
In Union Budget 2016, the existing provision of Section 80JJAA was
extended from manufacturing to all other sectors. The section 80JJAA of
Income Tax Act allows a company to claim deduction of 30% of
additional employee cost incurred in the previous year for three
consecutive assessment years, subject to certain prescribed conditions.
Factoring in these benefits into our estimates, we have considered a zero
tax rate in FY18E-20E. The benefits of Section 80JJAA are expected to
play out significantly for TLS and are anticipated to positively impact
earnings estimates to the tune of 49% in FY18E and FY19E.
Exhibit 23: Illustration of tax benefit
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
Reported PBT 72.7 111.8 72.7 111.8
Tax rate @33% 24.0 36.9 0.0 0.0
PAT 48.7 74.9 72.7 111.8
Earnings Difference (%)
Pre Tax Benefit Post Tax Benefit
49%
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Benefits of section 80JJAA of the Income-tax act are
anticipated to positively impact earnings to the tune of 49%
in FY18E and FY19E
Conditions with respect to additional employees:
1. New employees should be employed during the previous year
leading to increase in employee count.
2. Compensation to additional employees should not exceed
| 25,000 per month.
3. Employment for a period of 240 days or more during the relevant
previous year. In the recent Budget, there was a modification by
allowing the benefit for a new employee who is employed for less
than the minimum period during the first year but continues to
remain employed for the minimum period in the subsequent year.
4. However, these deduction would not be applicable to cost incurred
on those employees who does not participate in recognised
provident fund or whose entire contribution is paid by the
government under the National Pension Scheme.
Page 12 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Lower working capital, healthy balance sheet lends comfort…
We also like TLS as it enjoys best in class working capital days (in the
range of 15-27 historically). This is far lower and efficient compared to its
industry peers like Quess Corp (Quess), where debtor days (including
unbilled) are in the range of 70-75 days. This is mainly on the back of
Quess’ sizeable presence in IT staffing wherein debtor days are higher.
TLS also enjoys a healthy balance sheet position with cash & cash
equivalent of | 159 crore (as on FY17), which is ~4.5% of market cap.
This bodes well for the company as the cash can be deployed for further
investments in expanding to newer verticals and geographies. Moreover,
total money raised in IPO in February 2016, was utilised up to December
2017 depicting TLS’ disciplined approach in capital allocation.
Exhibit 24: Best in class working capital cycle
Days FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
TeamLease 16 17 25 27
Quess Corp 73 52 67 68
SIS 52 55 53 63
*Working Capital: Inventory days+ Debtor days+ Unbilled days- Creditor days
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Diversified client portfolio…
TLS, with its presence in 150 locations, has 2500+ corporate clients
across sectors. Besides this, contribution mix of top five/10 clients implies
a diversified client portfolio and less concentration risk from a client mix
perspective. During FY17 and Q3FY18, top five clients contributed 11%
and 12% to revenues, respectively, while top 10 clients contributed 17%
and 19%, respectively, during the same period. Compared to its industry
peer, Quess Corp that has ~31% revenue contribution from top 10
clients, TLS is better placed from a client portfolio perspective.
Exhibit 25: Diversified client portfolio
13%
11%
14% 14%
12%
17% 17%
20%21%
19%
0%
6%
12%
18%
24%
FY16 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18
(%
)
Top5 Top10
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 13 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Focus on general staffing to play out well for TLS…
A gradual movement from unorganised to organised staffing companies
in India is expected to bode well for organised staffing players like TLS
that have their revenue base in India. TLS being a focused player in
general staffing with 97% revenue contribution to total revenues in FY17,
would be a key beneficiary of this shift. Moreover, the company’s revenue
growth is an organic story with ~98% of revenue growing organically.
Exhibit 26: Focused player in general staffing
Operational Parameters (FY17)
Scope of operations
General Staffing, Specialised Staffing (IT & Telecom), Other HR
Services
General Staffing, IT Staffing, Integrated Financials Management,
Industrials
Revenue Mix
General Staffing (97%), Specialised Staffing (2%), Other HR
Services (1%)
General Staffing (57%), IT Staffing (28%), Integrated Financials
Management (10%), Industrials (5%)
General Staffing Revenue | 2945.3 crore | 2345.4 crore
Number of Associates 126463 114800
Core Employees 738 515
Associate to Core Ratio 203 223
Geographical Presence India
India, Singapore, Canada, USA, Phillipines, Malaysia Germany,
SriLanka
Number of Clients 1900+ 1700+
Top 10 clients contribution 17% 31%
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 27: Comparison on Financial matrix
Financial Parameters (FY17)
Market Cap (| crore) 3573.7 15217.7
Revenue (| crore) 3041.9 4157.3
EBITDA Margin (%) 1.5% 5.4%
PAT (| crore) 66.3 113.5
FY14-17 CAGR (%)
Revenue 25.8% 60.5%
PAT 54.9% 85.6%
RoE 17.4 13.6
RoCE 9.0 11.6
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 14 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Financials
Revenue to grow at 22.1% CAGR in FY18-20E…
Historically, the topline has grown at a healthy CAGR 26.9% to | 3042
crore in FY12-17. Growth was driven by the general staffing business,
which grew at 26.7% CAGR to | 2945 crore during the same period.
Going ahead, rising penetration of temporary staffing in India in
conjunction with TLS’ core expertise in general staffing and primary focus
in India would provide an immense opportunity for sustainable growth.
Consequently, we expect general staffing & allied services revenues to
grow at 20.9% CAGR to | 4917.1 crore in FY18-20E. Revenues from
specialised staffing and other HR services are expected to grow in healthy
double digits at a CAGR of 42.8% and 17.5%, respectively, in FY18-20E.
Overall, we expect revenues to grow at a healthy 22.1% CAGR in FY18-
20E to | 5381.9 crore.
Exhibit 28: Revenue growth among segments
2,945
3,363
4,033
4,917
51
184
306
376
46 65
77
89
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(| c
rore
)
General Staffing & Allied Services Specialised Staffing services
Other HR services
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research e: Company, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 29: Revenue contribution among segments
96.8% 93.1% 91.3% 91.4%
1.7
%
5.1
%
6.9
%
7.0
%
1.5
%
1.8
%
1.8
%
1.7
%
0%
50%
100%
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
General Staffing & Allied Services Specialised Staffing services
Other HR services
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research, ICICIdirect.com, Research
Exhibit 30: Revenues expected to grow at 22.1% CAGR during FY18-20E
2007
2505
3042
3612
4417
5382
31%
25%
21%
19%
22%22%
0
3000
6000
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(|
crore)
15%
25%
35%
(%
)
Revenues Growth, YoY
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Diversifying into new verticals & productivity enhancements to drive
margins…
During FY12-17, absolute EBITDA turned around from -| 20.7 crore to
| 44.3 crore in FY17. Margins have expanded from 1.5% in FY17 to 1.9%
in Q3FY18. There are three parameters that could drive margins upwards.
i) Improvement in associate to core ratio- General staffing (including
NETAP trainees) associate to core employees’ ratio has increased from
149 in FY11 to 203 in FY17. The management aims to take this ratio
Page 15 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
further to the 300-400 range in five to six years, thereby enhancing
productivity. ii) Entry into high margin business segments of IT and
telecom staffing iii)) Continued growth in HR services without making any
significant investment. Taking these factors into account, we expect
EBITDA margins to expand 70 bps to 2.5% in FY18-20E.
Exhibit 31: Productivity enhancements and increase in contribution from higher margin segments to drive margins
24
26 44 65 102 135
1.2%
1.0%
1.5%
1.8%
2.3%
2.5%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
10
50
90
130
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
(| c
rore)
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
PAT to get further boost upon availing 80JJAA tax benefit…
During FY15-17, PAT has grown at a robust CAGR of 46.8% to | 66.3
crore. Strong growth was the blend of revenue and EBITDA growth,
which witnessed a CAGR of 23.1% and 35.7%, respectively, during the
same period. Going ahead, we expect PAT to grow at 44.8% CAGR
(adjusted PAT to grow at ~35.7%) to | 152.3 crore in FY18-20E on the
back of a strong operating performance along with additional tailwind
from Section 80JJAA of the income tax benefits.
Exhibit 32: PAT expected to increase 44.8% CAGR in FY18-20E
31 25
66 73*
112
152
72.4%
-19.4%
167.5%
9.5%
53.8%
36.3%
-30%
20%
70%
120%
170%
10
50
90
130
170
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
(| c
rore)
PAT Growth, YoY
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research
* It includes one off acquisition related expenses in FY18E. Adjusting for this, net income grew 25.7% YoY
Page 16 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Operating profitability, tax benefits to drive return ratios…
From FY15-17, the decline in profitability ratios (RoE, RoCE) was primarily
on account of increase in the share capital base from | 0.5 crore in FY15
to | 17.1 crore in FY17. Going ahead, the margin trajectory inching
upwards owing to TLS entering high margin revenue segments along
with cost optimisation and playout of tax benefits would drive profitability.
Hence, we expect RoE and RoCE to inch upwards to 21.7% and 20.7%,
respectively, in FY20E.
Exhibit 33: Return ratios trend upwards
20.7
8.0
17.416.0
19.8
21.7
18.9
20.720.1
11.3
15.4
15.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
RoE RoCE
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
FCF could improve in FY19-20E…
On account of acquisitions in FY17, TLS generated a negative FCF of
| 57.1 crore in FY17. Taking into account the capex on acquisition and
stretching of the working capital cycle mainly due to GST concerns, we
expect FCF to be negative in FY18E. However, with improving operating
profitability and minimum capex requirements over FY19-20E, we expect
the FCF of the company to witness an improvement in the same period.
We do not factor in any new acquisitions.
Exhibit 34: FCF to witness improvement in FY19-20E
-57.1
-43.6
103.7
88.2
-1.6%
-1.2%
2.9%
2.4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
-60
-20
20
60
100
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
(%
)
(| c
rore)
FCF FCF Yield
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 17 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Risk & concerns
Insourcing of associates by clients…
TLS enjoys huge benefits under section 80JJAA of the Income Tax Act on
account of net employee addition. Going ahead, clients may either
directly look at client insourcing to avail the benefits themselves or may
ask for benefits to be passed through pricing. As of now, the management
has indicated that it has not seen such kind of scenario. If it happens in
future, it may impact TLS’ profitability. Also, with advancements in
technology and drive towards automation could impact company’s
business.
Higher competition and lower margins…
The Indian staffing market is currently dominated by unorganised players,
which account for ~70% market share with the organised space
accounting for the balance ~30% share. With a highly fragmented
industry, price competition becomes intense, making it difficult for
organised players to see an up-tick in pricing. Moreover, TLS operates on
wafer thin margins on account of a higher proportion of general staffing
business, which is a lower margin one. Any disruption or continued
competition by organised players could potentially limit the company’s
ability to maintain profitability. However, we highlight that structural
reforms like GST and other reforms should help the company sail through
the competitive field and benefit from a consolidation in the industry.
Slowdown in economic growth and job creation…
The staffing industry is a play on employment, which has a correlation
with the economic conditions of any country. Any economic downturn in
the operating country could impact the demand for staffing services as
many companies reduce their use of temporary employees. Global peers
in general staffing like Adecco, Randstad and Manpower, witnessed
negative growth in 2008-09 owing to economic conditions prevailing
during that period. Any economic slowdown and job creation in India
could impact TLS’ revenues and profitability, going ahead.
Acquisitions may not yield intended benefits…
TLS carried out certain acquisitions in the last two two years. Though the
company is prudent in its acquisition strategy, any failure to integrate
recently acquired entities may impact its financial performance.
Historically, TLS had encountered problems in delivering intended results
in acquisition such as IIJT. IIJT was India’s largest and leading vocational
training provider with over 40 owned centres and ~60 franchisee centres.
The acquisition did not turn around on expected lines as the high street
retail business model of the target could not work from a commercial
perspective.
Page 18 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Valuation
At the CMP, TLS is trading at 23.7x FY20E EPS. We like TLS given its
leadership position in the general staffing industry. The company is well
set to grab the opportunity from rising penetration of temporary staffing
in India. Hence, we expect earnings to witness a strong growth trajectory
of 44.8% (adjusted PAT at 35.7%) on the back of a strong operating
performance and tax benefits under section 80JJAA. Hence, we initiate
coverage on the stock with a BUY recommendation and a target price of |
2660/share based on DCF methodology. Our target price implies 29.9x
FY20E EPS. In our view, our target multiple for TLS is justified considering
the robust growth trajectory implying a PEG ratio of 0.8x and strong
return ratio (RoIC – 28.6% in FY19E).
We value TLS at | 2660/share based on DCF methodology. With its core
expertise in general staffing, we believe TLS is set to reap the benefits
from the formalisation of the economy through structural reforms. This
would enable its associates to grow at 12.8% CAGR to 1.1 million in FY18-
33E translating into revenue growth of 16.7% during the same period.
Exhibit 35: DCF valuation details
FY19E FY20E FY21E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E FY31E FY32E FY33E
Net Sales 4417 5382 6434 7667 9149 10890 13015 15346 17855 20707 23947 27363 30596 33885 36787
y-o-y growth rate 22.3% 21.8% 19.5% 19.2% 19.3% 19.0% 19.5% 17.9% 16.4% 16.0% 15.6% 14.3% 11.8% 10.8% 8.6%
EBIT 92 125 161 202 260 319 395 475 562 661 773 893 1012 1135 1252
Margin (%) 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4%
EBIT(1-t) 73 99 127 159 206 252 312 318 377 443 518 598 678 760 839
Tax rate 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33%
Add: Depreciation 10 10 11 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 20 22 22 23 23
Change in WC 4 -42 -46 -54 -65 -76 -93 -102 -110 -125 -142 -150 -142 -144 -127
Capex -3 -4 -5 -6 -8 -9 -11 -13 -15 -17 -20 -23 -6 -6 -6
FCFF 84 62 86 110 145 179 222 218 268 319 376 447 552 632 728
Discounting Year 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Discount Factor 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Discounted FCFF 62 77 89 105 116 129 113 125 133 141 151 167 171 177
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
We also consider a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 11.5%
and terminal growth rate of 4% to value TLS. Exhibit 38 shows the
sensitivity of these assumptions. Every 1% change in WACC and terminal
growth rate is expected to have an impact of 7-8% each on our target
price.
Exhibit 36: WACC assumption (%)
Beta 1.0
Risk Free rate (Rf) 7.5
Risk Premium 4.0
Cost of Equity 11.5
Cost of Debt (post tax) 8.0
Equity (%) 100.0
Debt(%) 0.0
WACC(%) 11.5
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 37: DFC valuation
Sum of Discounted FCFF 1756.0
Terminal growth rate 4.0
Terminal Value 2453.2
Enterprise Value 4209.1
Net Debt/ (Cash) -342.4
Target Market cap 4551.5
No of shares 1.7
Target Price 2660.0
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
We initiate coverage on TLS with a BUY
recommendation and a target price of | 2660/share
Page 19 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 38: Sensitivity Analysis
2660 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0
9.5 2790 2970 3200 3500 3900
10.5 2550 2710 2910 3180 3540
11.5 2340 2480 2660 2900 3220
12.5 2150 2280 2440 2650 2940
13.5 1980 2100 2240 2430 2680
WA
CC
(%
)
Terminal growth rate (%)
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research
Comparing TLS with its peers, we highlight that TLS is trading at a
relatively better valuation multiple of 24.1x FY20E while it is available at
an industry average PEG multiple of 0.7x on adjusted earnings growth of
35.7% in FY18-20E.
Exhibit 39: Peer comparison
Global Players RoCE RoE
CY17E CY18E CY19E CY17E CY18E CY19E CY17E CY18E CY19E CY17E CY17E
Adecco 12.7 29.0 30.0 30.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 2.9 12.6 12.1 11.5 14.8 21.6 2.9
Randstad Holding 13.1 26.3 30.1 31.2 0.8 1.0 1.1 19.3 15.2 13.1 12.4 11.9 15.9 1.9
Manpower Group 8.1 21.0 23.2 24.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 11.8 17.6 13.5 13.3 16.2 21.2 1.8
Average 11.3 25.4 27.8 28.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 11.3 15.1 12.9 12.4 14.3 19.6 2.2
Domestic Peer RoCE RoE
FY18E FY19E FY20E FY18E FY19E FY20E FY18E FY19E FY20E FY18E FY18E
Teamlease 3606.2 3611.9 4416.8 5381.9 72.7 111.8 152.3 44.8 49.6 32.3 23.7 15.4 16.0 0.7
Quess Corp 15304.9 6189.1 8188.9 9797.6 310.7 431.0 560.3 34.3 47.8 35.0 26.8 15.8 21.6 0.8
SIS 6269.7 5852.7 6901.9 7965.4 177.8 265.3 340.6 38.4 44.2 30.2 23.6 16.0 21.7 0.6
Average 8393.6 5217.9 6502.5 7715.0 187.0 269.4 351.1 39.2 47.2 32.5 24.7 15.7 19.8 0.7
CY17-19E
CAGR (%)
PAT (US$ bn)
Current
PEG
P/E Current
PEG
P/EMarket Cap
(Rs crore)
Revenue (Rs crore) PAT (Rs crore) FY18-20E
CAGR (%)
Market Cap
(US$ bn)
Revenue (US$ bn)
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
In terms of PE multiple, TLS has traded at an average PE multiple of 27x
since its listing in February 2016. Currently, it is trading at 23.7x FY20E
EPS. We value TLS at | 2660/share based on DCF methodology. Our
target price implies 29.9x FY20E EPS. In our view, this is justified
considering the robust growth trajectory implying a PEG ratio of 0.8x and
strong return ratio (RoIC – 28.6% in FY19E).
Exhibit 40: One year forward PE band
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Feb-17
May-17
Aug-17
Nov-17
Feb-18
(|)
Price 20x 25x 30x 35x 40x
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 41: Average one year forward PE multiple
15
30
45
Feb-1
6
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-1
6
Feb-1
7
May-17
Aug-17
Nov-1
7
Feb-1
8
(x)
P/E Average PE 1+ STD
1- STD 2+ STD 2-STD
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 20 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
In terms of EV/EBTDA multiple, TLS has traded at average EV/EBITDA of
30x since February 2016. Currently, it is trading at 24.2x FY20 EV/EBITDA.
Our target price also implies target EV/EBITDA of 27.0x, which is at ~10%
discount to its historical average.
Exhibit 42: One year forward EV/EBITDA band
700
2,200
3,700
5,200
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Feb-17
May-17
Aug-17
Nov-17
Feb-18
EV
(| c
rore)
EV 50x 40x 30x 20x
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 43: Average one year forward EV/EBITDA multiple
10
20
30
40
50
Feb-1
6
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Feb-1
7
May-17
Aug-17
Nov-17
Feb-1
8
EV
(| c
rore)
EV/EBITDA Average EV/EBITDA
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 21 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Financial Summary
Exhibit 44: Profit and loss statement | Crore
(| Crore) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Revenue from operations 3,041.9 3,611.9 4,416.8 5,381.9
Growth (%) 21.4 18.7 22.3 21.8
Other Income 22.4 18.4 22.9 31.9
Total Revenue 3,064.3 3,630.4 4,439.8 5,413.8
Employee benefits expense 2,937.7 3,459.7 4,217.2 5,128.3
Other Expenses 59.9 86.8 97.3 118.6
Total Operating Expenditure 2,997.6 3,546.5 4,314.6 5,246.9
EBITDA 44.3 65.5 102.2 135.0
Growth (%) 71.8 47.8 56.2 32.0
Interest 1.1 2.2 3.6 4.4
Depreciation 4.3 9.0 9.8 10.2
PBT 61.3 72.7 111.8 152.3
Tax (5.0) - - -
PAT 66.3 72.7 111.8 152.3
Growth (%) 167.5 9.6 53.7 36.3
Diluted EPS 38.8 42.5 65.4 89.1
Growth (%) 143.7 9.5 53.8 36.3
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 45: Balance sheet | Crore
(| Crore) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Equity Capital 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1
Reserve and Surplus 364.0 436.7 548.5 685.6
Total Shareholders funds 381.1 453.8 565.6 702.7
Long term borrowings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Short term borrowings 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Bank overdraft 22.3 32.5 44.2 53.8
Total Debt 23.4 33.6 45.3 55.0
Other long term liabilities 4.8 5.7 7.0 8.6
Long term provisions 37.6 44.6 54.6 66.5
Liabilities Total 447.0 537.8 672.5 832.7
Fixed Assets 102.9 137.0 130.2 124.5
Tangible 2.7 4.2 5.4 7.6
Intangible 100.2 132.8 124.8 116.9
Non-current Investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Deferred tax asset 14.9 17.7 21.7 26.4
Long terms loans and advances 92.5 109.9 134.3 163.7
Other non-current assets 35.2 41.8 51.1 62.3
Inventories 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Trade receivables 187.2 263.7 273.8 333.7
Current Investments 10.3 10.3 10.3 10.3
Cash 159.3 142.2 276.9 387.0
Short term loans and advances 26.7 31.7 38.8 47.3
Other current assets 63.0 74.8 91.5 111.4
Total Current Assets 446.7 522.9 691.5 890.0
Trade Payable 10.5 12.4 15.2 18.5
Other current liabilities 219.7 260.9 319.0 388.8
Short term provisions 15.2 18.1 22.1 26.9
Total Current Liabilities 245.4 291.4 356.3 434.2
Net Current Assets 201.3 231.5 335.2 455.8
Assets Total 447.0 537.8 672.5 832.7
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 22 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Exhibit 46: Cash flow statement | Crore
(Year-end March) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Profit before Tax 61.3 72.7 111.8 152.3
Add: Depreciation 4.3 9.0 9.8 10.2
(Inc)/dec in Current Assets (39.2) (93.3) (34.0) (88.3)
Inc/(dec) in CL and Provisions 37.3 27.2 38.4 46.1
Taxes paid (19.1) - - -
CF from operating activities 33.2 (0.6) 106.7 92.7
(Inc)/dec in Investments (15.1) 18.4 22.9 31.9
(Inc)/dec in Fixed Assets (1.8) (43.0) (3.0) (4.5)
Others
CF from investing activities (16.9) (24.6) 19.9 27.5
Inc/(dec) in loan funds (21.7) 10.2 11.7 9.7
Dividend paid & dividend tax - - - (15.2)
Others (19.5) (2.2) (3.6) (4.4)
CF from financing activities (41.2) 8.0 8.0 (10.0)
Net Cash flow (24.9) (17.1) 134.7 110.2
Opening Cash 49.6 159.3 142.2 276.9
Closing Cash 159.3 142.2 276.9 387.0
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 47: Ratio analysis
(Year-end March) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Per share data (|)
EPS 38.8 42.5 65.4 89.1
Cash EPS 41.3 47.8 71.1 95.0
BV 222.9 265.4 330.8 411.0
DPS - - - 12.2
Cash Per Share 93.2 83.2 161.9 226.3
Operating Ratios (%)
EBIT Margin 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.3
PBT Margin 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.8
PAT Margin 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.8
Debtor days 22 27 23 23
Creditor days 1 1 1 1
Return Ratios (%)
RoE 17.4 16.0 19.8 21.7
RoCE 15.4 15.4 18.9 20.7
RoIC 17.0 16.9 28.6 34.6
Valuation Ratios (x)
P/E 52.7 48.1 31.3 23.0
EV / EBITDA 75.6 51.6 31.8 23.4
EV / Net Sales 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6
Market Cap / Sales 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.6
Price to Book Value 9.2 7.7 6.2 5.0
Solvency Ratios
Debt/EBITDA 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Current Ratio 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5
Quick Ratio 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Page 23 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
RATING RATIONALE
ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns
ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional
target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
Page 24 ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
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