12
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore. © Your success is our success Emkay India Equity Research | Media & Entertainment August 16, 2021 Result Update Sun TV Network Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Ad recovery slower than expected Revenue/EBITDA missed our estimates by 8%/6% due to weak ad and subscription revenues. Ad revenue was down 35% over Q1FY20 vs. a 22% decline for Zee. The higher dependence on retail advertisers in the South market led to a greater impact on Sun TV. Clarity on domestic subscription revenue should emerge after implementation of NTO 2.0. Sun has changed its amortization policy for film satellite rights from 100% in 1 st year to spreading it over 4 years, resulting in Rs703mn rise in PAT, with no impact on cash flows. Management stated that it is on track to strengthen its content offerings across markets and has started with the launch of Master Chef in Tamil in August. It has a strong line-up of non-fiction shows across the South markets for the coming weeks. Retail ad revenues were still below pre-Covid levels. We cut FY22-23E EBITDA by 3-5%, while earnings were compensated by the lower amortization charge. Retain Hold & roll forward to Sept’23E, with a revised TP of Rs520 (12x Sep’23E EPS) from Rs505 earlier. Relative price chart Source: Bloomberg This report is solely produced by Emkay Global. The following person(s) are responsible for the production of the recommendation: Naval Seth [email protected] +91 22 6624 2414 Sonali Shah [email protected] +91 22 6624 2482 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 400 440 480 520 560 600 Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 Aug-21 % Rs Sun TV Network (LHS) Rel to Nifty (RHS) Change in depreciation and amortization policy supports bottom-line: Although revenue rose 34% yoy, it was 8% below our expectations. The revenue miss was on account of subdued performance by all segments - ad revenue missed by 9%, domestic subscription revenue by 5% and international subscription revenue by 29%. EBITDA margins contracted by 762bps yoy, primarily due to IPL-related expenses. Adjusting for it, margins expanded by 197bps yoy. Other income was significantly lower yoy as the base quarter had a one-off MTM gain and an income tax refund. Beginning from this year, the company has changed its amortization policy, under which it has reassessed the useful life of film broadcasting rights and should now amortize it over four years instead of expensing it fully upon the first telecast. This led to a Rs703mn bump-up in RPAT. Outlook: Although positive revenue growth is expected ahead with the recovery in ad revenues, we believe it will be restricted in the near term. The higher dependence on local advertisers who are refraining from ramping up spends due to the uncertainty around a third Covid wave could potentially confine Sun’s ad revenues. In addition, the impending implementation of NTO 2.0 after the SC hearing should also dictate domestic subscription revenue growth. The company has been emphasizing on content launches, with a healthy pipeline of shows across markets. The increased focus on the Bangla market with new content releases should also augur well. That said, the constant delay and ambiguity about the timelines for investments in Sun NXT are negative as competitors have been aggressively investing in their own OTT platforms. Key risks: 1) faster market share recovery and ad growth; 2) better-than-expected subscription growth; 3) minimal impact of OTT on traditional TV in the medium term; and 4) higher-than-expected spends on the OTT platform. Please see our sector model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Media & Entertainment (Page 9) CMP Target Price Rs 525 Rs 520 (▲) as of (August 13, 2021) 12 months Rating Upside HOLD (■) (1.1) % Change in Estimates EPS Chg FY22E/FY23E (%) 0.8/- Target Price change (%) 2.9 Target Period (Months) 12 Previous Reco HOLD Emkay vs Consensus EPS Estimates FY22E FY23E Emkay 38.4 41.9 Consensus 39.6 42.7 Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 584 Stock Details Bloomberg Code SUNTV IN Face Value (Rs) 5 Shares outstanding (mn) 394 52 Week H/L 587 / 381 M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 207 / 2.79 Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 26,47,202 Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 19.2 Shareholding Pattern Jun '21 Promoters 75.0% FIIs 7.7% DIIs 3.6% Public and Others 13.7% Price Performance (%) 1M 3M 6M 12M Absolute 1 - 3 30 Rel. to Nifty (4) (11) (6) (11) Financial Snapshot (Consolidated) (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E Revenue 35,199 31,769 37,290 43,038 46,239 EBITDA 22,757 20,715 23,049 26,090 27,704 EBITDA Margin (%) 64.7 65.2 61.8 60.6 59.9 APAT 13,852 15,255 15,143 16,516 17,619 EPS (Rs) 35.2 38.7 38.4 41.9 44.7 EPS (% chg) (3.4) 10.1 (0.7) 9.1 6.7 ROE (%) 24.6 23.9 20.4 20.1 19.3 P/E (x) 14.9 13.6 13.7 12.5 11.8 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.8 9.5 8.4 7.1 6.5 P/BV (x) 3.6 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.2 Source: Company, Emkay Research

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Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

©

Your success is our success

Emkay

India Equity Research | Media & Entertainment

August 16, 2021

Result Update

Sun TV Network Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Ad recovery slower than expected

Revenue/EBITDA missed our estimates by 8%/6% due to weak ad and subscription

revenues. Ad revenue was down 35% over Q1FY20 vs. a 22% decline for Zee. The higher

dependence on retail advertisers in the South market led to a greater impact on Sun TV.

Clarity on domestic subscription revenue should emerge after implementation of NTO 2.0.

Sun has changed its amortization policy for film satellite rights from 100% in 1st year to

spreading it over 4 years, resulting in Rs703mn rise in PAT, with no impact on cash flows.

Management stated that it is on track to strengthen its content offerings across markets

and has started with the launch of Master Chef in Tamil in August. It has a strong line-up

of non-fiction shows across the South markets for the coming weeks.

Retail ad revenues were still below pre-Covid levels. We cut FY22-23E EBITDA by 3-5%,

while earnings were compensated by the lower amortization charge. Retain Hold & roll

forward to Sept’23E, with a revised TP of Rs520 (12x Sep’23E EPS) from Rs505 earlier.

Relative price chart

Source: Bloomberg This report is solely produced by Emkay Global. The following person(s) are responsible for the production of the recommendation:

Naval Seth

[email protected]

+91 22 6624 2414

Sonali Shah

[email protected]

+91 22 6624 2482

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

400

440

480

520

560

600

Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 Aug-21

%Rs

Sun TV Network (LHS) Rel to Nifty (RHS)

Change in depreciation and amortization policy supports bottom-line: Although revenue

rose 34% yoy, it was 8% below our expectations. The revenue miss was on account of

subdued performance by all segments - ad revenue missed by 9%, domestic subscription

revenue by 5% and international subscription revenue by 29%. EBITDA margins contracted

by 762bps yoy, primarily due to IPL-related expenses. Adjusting for it, margins expanded by

197bps yoy. Other income was significantly lower yoy as the base quarter had a one-off MTM

gain and an income tax refund. Beginning from this year, the company has changed its

amortization policy, under which it has reassessed the useful life of film broadcasting rights

and should now amortize it over four years instead of expensing it fully upon the first telecast.

This led to a Rs703mn bump-up in RPAT.

Outlook: Although positive revenue growth is expected ahead with the recovery in ad

revenues, we believe it will be restricted in the near term. The higher dependence on local

advertisers who are refraining from ramping up spends due to the uncertainty around a third

Covid wave could potentially confine Sun’s ad revenues. In addition, the impending

implementation of NTO 2.0 after the SC hearing should also dictate domestic subscription

revenue growth. The company has been emphasizing on content launches, with a healthy

pipeline of shows across markets. The increased focus on the Bangla market with new content

releases should also augur well. That said, the constant delay and ambiguity about the

timelines for investments in Sun NXT are negative as competitors have been aggressively

investing in their own OTT platforms. Key risks: 1) faster market share recovery and ad

growth; 2) better-than-expected subscription growth; 3) minimal impact of OTT on traditional

TV in the medium term; and 4) higher-than-expected spends on the OTT platform.

Please see our sector model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Media & Entertainment (Page 9)

CMP Target Price

Rs 525 Rs 520 (▲) as of (August 13, 2021) 12 months

Rating Upside

HOLD (■) (1.1) %

Change in Estimates

EPS Chg FY22E/FY23E (%) 0.8/-

Target Price change (%) 2.9

Target Period (Months) 12

Previous Reco HOLD

Emkay vs Consensus

EPS Estimates

FY22E FY23E

Emkay 38.4 41.9

Consensus 39.6 42.7

Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 584

Stock Details

Bloomberg Code SUNTV IN

Face Value (Rs) 5

Shares outstanding (mn) 394

52 Week H/L 587 / 381

M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 207 / 2.79

Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 26,47,202

Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 19.2

Shareholding Pattern Jun '21

Promoters 75.0%

FIIs 7.7%

DIIs 3.6%

Public and Others 13.7%

Price Performance

(%) 1M 3M 6M 12M

Absolute 1 - 3 30

Rel. to Nifty (4) (11) (6) (11)

Financial Snapshot (Consolidated)

(Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue 35,199 31,769 37,290 43,038 46,239

EBITDA 22,757 20,715 23,049 26,090 27,704

EBITDA Margin (%) 64.7 65.2 61.8 60.6 59.9

APAT 13,852 15,255 15,143 16,516 17,619

EPS (Rs) 35.2 38.7 38.4 41.9 44.7

EPS (% chg) (3.4) 10.1 (0.7) 9.1 6.7

ROE (%) 24.6 23.9 20.4 20.1 19.3

P/E (x) 14.9 13.6 13.7 12.5 11.8

EV/EBITDA (x) 8.8 9.5 8.4 7.1 6.5

P/BV (x) 3.6 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.2

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 2

Exhibit 1: Actual vs. Estimates (Q1FY22)

(Rs mn) Actual Estimate % variation

Comment Emkay Consensus Emkay Consensus

Revenue 8,101 8,759 8,176 -8% -1% Driven by weakness in ad and subscription revenues

EBITDA 4,950 5,284 4,909 -6% 1% On lower revenues

EBITDA, margin 61% 60% 60% 78 bps 105 bps

PAT 3,898 3,694 3,806 6% 2% Due to lower change in depreciation and amortization policy

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Emkay Research

Exhibit 2: Summary of quarterly standalone financials

Rs mn Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 YoY (%) QoQ (%)

Net Sales 6,062 7,562 9,723 7,820 8,101 33.6 3.6

Programming Cost 671 1,002 1,224 1,134 1,140 70.0 0.5

as % of sales 11.1 13.3 12.6 14.5 14.1

Employee Expenses 731 724 673 670 681 (6.9) 1.7

as % of sales 12.1 9.6 6.9 8.6 8.4

SG&A and IPL expenses 495 815 1,820 549 1,331 169.0 142.6

as % of sales 8.2 10.8 18.7 7.0 16.4

Total operating expenditure 1,896 2,541 3,717 2,352 3,151 66.2 34.0

EBITDA 4,166 5,020 6,007 5,468 4,950 18.8 (9.5)

Depreciation 1,455 913 687 766 331 (77.3) (56.9)

EBIT 2,711 4,108 5,320 4,702 4,619 70.4 (1.8)

Other Income 1,086 516 621 506 561 (48.4) 10.8

Interest 18 16 15 172 10 (42.9) (94.1)

PBT 3,780 4,607 5,926 5,036 5,170 36.8 2.7

Tax 951 1,148 1,508 537 1,272 33.8 136.9

PAT 2,829 3,459 4,418 4,499 3,898 37.8 (13.4)

Margins (%) (bps) (bps)

EBIDTA 68.7 66.4 61.8 69.9 61.1 (762) (882)

EBIT 44.7 54.3 54.7 60.1 57.0 1,229 (311)

EBT 62.4 60.9 60.9 64.4 63.8 146 (58)

PAT 46.7 45.7 45.4 57.5 48.1 144 (942)

Effective Tax rate 25.2 24.9 25.4 10.7 24.6 (55) 1,394

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 3: Advertisement and subscription revenue breakdown

Rs mn Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22

Total Ad Revenue 1,262 2,450 3,106 3,190 2,460

YoY growth -66.6% -29.0% -10.2% 8.1% 94.9%

Subscription revenue

Cable TV (analog + Digital) 2,260 1,950 2,000 2,100 2,010

YoY Growth 34.5% 18.9% -2.4% 8.8% -11.1%

DTH 2,160 2,320 2,240 2,180 2,140

YoY Growth -5.3% 10.0% 8.0% 6.2% -0.9%

International 380 370 290 360 250

YoY Growth -7.3% -9.8% -29.3% -12.2% -34.2%

Total subscription revenues 4,800 4,640 4,530 4,640 4,400

YoY growth 9.8% 11.5% -0.1% 5.6% -8.3%

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 3

Exhibit 4: Ad revenue growth jumped meaningfully, but was 9% below projections

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 5: Decline in domestic subscription revenues was higher than our expectations

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Exhibit 6: Content spends rose 70% yoy

Source: Company, Emkay Research

17%2% 12%

-1% -1% -4%-14%-16%

-67%

-29%-10%

8%

95%

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Q1F

Y19

Q2F

Y19

Q3F

Y19

Q4F

Y19

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Q2F

Y20

Q3F

Y20

Q4F

Y20

Q1F

Y21

Q2F

Y21

Q3F

Y21

Q4F

Y21

Q1F

Y22

Rs mn

Advt. Revenue YoY Growth

17%

22%24%

4%

27%

10%

18%

24%

12%14%

3%7%

-6%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

Q1F

Y19

Q2F

Y19

Q3F

Y19

Q4F

Y19

Q1F

Y20

Q2F

Y20

Q3F

Y20

Q4F

Y20

Q1F

Y21

Q2F

Y21

Q3F

Y21

Q4F

Y21

Q1F

Y22

Rs mn

Domestic subscription revenue YoY Growth

18%

41%51%

76%

8%-2%

-10%-28% -23%

14% 11%23%

70%

-60%

-30%

0%

30%

60%

90%

-15050

250450650850

105012501450

Q1F

Y19

Q2F

Y19

Q3F

Y19

Q4F

Y19

Q1F

Y20

Q2F

Y20

Q3F

Y20

Q4F

Y20

Q1F

Y21

Q2F

Y21

Q3F

Y21

Q4F

Y21

Q1F

Y22

Rs m

n

Content cost % yoy growth

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 4

Changes in estimates

We cut our FY22-23 EBITDA estimates by 3-5%. However, earnings are compensated by the

lower amortization charge as we incorporate the revised policy. Our Sept’23E depreciation and

amortization charge stands at Rs661mn, implying a minimal impact on the EPS. Keeping this in

mind, we keep our target multiple unchanged at 12x.

Exhibit 7: Changes in estimates

Particulars (Rs mn)

FY22E FY23E FY24E

Old Revised % Change Old Revised % Change Old Revised % Change

Revenue 38,107 37,290 -2.1 43,545 43,038 -1.2 45,980 46,239 0.6

EBITDA 24,163 23,049 -4.6 26,843 26,090 -2.8 27,446 27,704 0.9

EBITDA Margin % 63.4 61.8 -160 bps 61.6 60.6 -102 bps 59.7 59.9 22 bps

PAT 15,018 15,143 0.8 16,589 16,516 -0.4 17,695 17,619 -0.4

EPS 38.1 38.4 0.8 42.1 41.9 -0.4 44.9 44.7 -0.4

Source: Emkay Research

Exhibit 8: Key revenue assumptions

Rs mn FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Total ad revenues 13,640 10,008 12,470 13,957 15,206

YoY growth -9% -27% 25% 12% 9%

Subscription

Domestic 15,817 17,210 17,804 19,839 21,332

YoY growth 20% 9% 3% 11% 8%

International 1,640 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,200

YoY growth -8% -15% -14% 0% 0%

IPL 2,234 2,545 3,000 3,500 3,850

Radio 1,156 604 785 902 1,011

Others 713 2 2,032 3,640 3,640

Total 35,199 31,769 37,290 43,038 46,239

YoY growth -7% -10% 17% 15% 7%

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 5

Earnings call highlights

Change in amortization policy: The company has re-assessed the useful life of film

satellite rights and will now amortize it over 4 years (30% each in the first 2 years and the

balance spread over the remaining 2 years).

Ad revenues: Retail advertisers have still not come back and spends are lower than pre-

Covid levels. It would take time for retail ads to come back as there is uncertainty around a

potential third Covid wave.

The content launch trajectory remains intact. Sun launched Master Chef in Tamil on 7th

August. The company is launching KBC in Telugu, Master Chef in Telugu and an

international format show in Malayalam. The company will also launch 4-5 new shows

in Telugu.

Now the focus will also be on the Bangla market as fiction content has been tracking well

there.

Subscription revenue: NTO 2.0 implementation is not expected to lead to revenue loss.

According to management, the extent of growth in FY22 will depend on the implementation

of NTO 2.0.

Movie production: Five movies are under production and one ‘Rajnikant’ movie is lined

up for November 2021. All five movies will be fully produced between September and

October.

The Rs12bn guidance given in the last quarter for movie production was for 15 months,

while these five movies will require Rs6bn investment.

Sun NXT: The total subscriber base of Sun NXT stands at 23.5mn as of now. A large part

of these subscribers have come from telco tie-ups. According to Sun, it will start significant

investments in fresh content once it achieves a meaningful number of direct subscribers.

Other income: The one-time effect of Rs350mn on interest dues in Q1FY21 and an income

tax refund had inflated other income in the base quarter. Lower yields are also hurting other

income currently.

Exhibit 9: 1-year forward P/E valuation band

Source: Company, Emkay Research

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Au

g-0

9

Au

g-1

0

Au

g-1

1

Au

g-1

2

Au

g-1

3

Au

g-1

4

Au

g-1

5

Au

g-1

6

Au

g-1

7

Au

g-1

8

Au

g-1

9

Au

g-2

0

Au

g-2

1

10x

15x

20x

25x

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 6

Key Financials (Consolidated)

Income Statement

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue 35,199 31,769 37,290 43,038 46,239

Expenditure 12,441 11,054 14,241 16,948 18,534

EBITDA 22,757 20,715 23,049 26,090 27,704

Depreciation 7,002 4,038 5,126 6,982 7,823

EBIT 15,755 16,677 17,923 19,108 19,881

Other Income 2,609 3,069 2,551 3,151 3,851

Interest expenses 127 269 91 80 80

PBT 18,237 19,477 20,383 22,179 23,652

Tax 4,340 4,158 5,178 5,582 5,953

Extraordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0

Minority Int./Income from Assoc. (38) (64) 62 80 80

Reported Net Income 13,852 15,255 15,143 16,516 17,619

Adjusted PAT 13,852 15,255 15,143 16,516 17,619

Balance Sheet

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Equity share capital 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970

Reserves & surplus 55,276 68,567 75,822 84,457 94,194

Net worth 57,247 70,537 77,793 86,427 96,164

Minority Interest 48 50 50 50 50

Loan Funds 1,000 0 0 0 0

Net deferred tax liability 842 (3,388) (3,388) (3,388) (3,388)

Total Liabilities 59,136 67,199 74,455 83,089 92,827

Net block 11,416 9,306 9,917 10,785 11,663

Investment 26,900 35,040 35,040 35,040 35,040

Current Assets 26,092 30,267 36,525 44,997 54,466

Cash & bank balance 7,054 10,868 14,273 21,435 28,334

Other Current Assets 1,871 2,527 2,966 3,423 3,677

Current liabilities & Provision 5,936 8,878 8,490 9,196 9,806

Net current assets 20,156 21,390 28,034 35,801 44,660

Misc. exp 0 0 0 0 0

Total Assets 59,136 67,199 74,455 83,089 92,827

Cash Flow

Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

PBT (Ex-Other income) (NI+Dep) 15,628 16,408 17,832 19,028 19,801

Other Non-Cash items 0 0 0 0 0

Chg in working cap (2,094) (1,649) (3,239) (605) (1,960)

Operating Cashflow 16,669 15,998 13,791 22,288 21,521

Capital expenditure (7,868) (2,728) (5,737) (7,850) (8,701)

Free Cash Flow 8,800 13,270 8,054 14,439 12,820

Investments 1,085 (8,140) 0 0 0

Other Investing Cash Flow 0 0 0 0 0

Investing Cashflow (4,175) (7,799) (3,186) (4,699) (4,850)

Equity Capital Raised 0 0 0 0 0

Loans Taken / (Repaid) 1,000 (1,000) 0 0 0

Dividend paid (incl tax) (11,877) (1,970) (7,882) (7,882) (7,882)

Other Financing Cash Flow 5,565 5,908 11,642 11,808 19,625

Financing Cashflow (5,440) 2,669 3,669 3,846 11,664

Net chg in cash 7,054 10,868 14,273 21,435 28,334

Opening cash position 5,952 7,054 10,868 14,273 21,435

Closing cash position 7,054 10,868 14,273 21,435 28,334

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 7

Key Ratios

Profitability (%) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

EBITDA Margin 64.7 65.2 61.8 60.6 59.9

EBIT Margin 44.8 52.5 48.1 44.4 43.0

Effective Tax Rate 23.8 21.3 25.4 25.2 25.2

Net Margin 39.5 48.2 40.8 38.6 38.3

ROCE 31.8 31.3 28.9 28.3 27.0

ROE 24.6 23.9 20.4 20.1 19.3

RoIC 67.3 75.2 82.4 78.3 74.8

Per Share Data (Rs) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

EPS 35.2 38.7 38.4 41.9 44.7

CEPS 52.9 49.0 51.4 59.6 64.6

BVPS 145.3 179.0 197.4 219.3 244.0

DPS 25.0 5.0 20.0 20.0 20.0

Valuations (x) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

PER 14.9 13.6 13.7 12.5 11.8

P/CEPS 9.9 10.7 10.2 8.8 8.1

P/BV 3.6 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.2

EV / Sales 5.7 6.2 5.2 4.3 3.9

EV / EBITDA 8.8 9.5 8.4 7.1 6.5

Dividend Yield (%) 4.8 1.0 3.8 3.8 3.8

Gearing Ratio (x) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Net Debt/ Equity (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.3)

Net Debt/EBIDTA (0.3) (0.5) (0.6) (0.8) (1.0)

Working Cap Cycle (days) 135.9 120.9 134.7 121.8 128.9

Growth (%) FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E

Revenue (7.0) (9.7) 17.4 15.4 7.4

EBITDA (12.7) (9.0) 11.3 13.2 6.2

EBIT (19.0) 5.9 7.5 6.6 4.0

PAT (3.4) 10.1 (0.7) 9.1 6.7

Quarterly (Rs mn) Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22

Revenue 6,062 7,560 9,723 7,820 31,165

EBITDA 4,166 5,019 6,010 5,468 20,662

EBITDA Margin (%) 68.7 66.4 61.8 69.9 66.3

PAT 2,829 3,458 4,421 4,499 15,207

EPS (Rs) 7.2 8.8 11.2 11.4 38.6

Source: Company, Emkay Research

Shareholding Pattern (%) Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21

Promoters 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0

FIIs 10.3 10.9 9.4 9.0 7.7

DIIs 5.6 5.2 5.0 4.1 3.6

Public and Others 9.1 8.9 10.5 12.0 13.7

Source: Capitaline

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August 16, 2021 | 8

RECOMMENDATION HISTORY TABLE

Date Closing

Price TP

Period (months)

Rating Analyst

13-Jun-21 531 505 12m Hold Naval Seth

08-Feb-21 551 541 12m Hold Naval Seth

13-Nov-20 425 439 12m Hold Naval Seth

17-Aug-20 426 439 12m Hold Naval Seth

28-Jun-20 421 433 12m Hold Naval Seth

21-Apr-20 359 427 12m Hold Naval Seth

15-Feb-20 497 547 12m Hold Naval Seth

01-Jan-20 440 497 12m Hold Naval Seth

12-Nov-19 529 497 12m Hold Naval Seth

23-Sep-19 499 497 12m Hold Naval Seth

09-Aug-19 450 445 12m Sell Naval Seth

23-May-19 548 529 12m Sell Naval Seth

04-Apr-19 627 574 12m Sell Naval Seth

11-Feb-19 574 574 12m Sell Naval Seth

05-Nov-18 618 601 12m Sell Naval Seth

23-Oct-18 632 601 12m Sell Naval Seth

Source: Company, Emkay Research

RECOMMENDATION HISTORY CHART

Source: Bloomberg, Company, Emkay Research

260

368

476

584

692

800

16

-Aug

-18

13

-Fe

b-1

9

13

-Aug

-19

10

-Fe

b-2

0

09

-Aug

-20

06

-Fe

b-2

1

06

-Aug

-21

BUY Hold SellAccumulate Reduce PriceTarget Price

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Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021 | 9

Emkay Alpha Portfolio – Media & Entertainment

EAP sector portfolio

Company Name BSE200 Weight

EAP Weight

OW/UW (%)

OW/UW (bps)

EAP Weight (Normalised)

Media & Entertainment 0.24 0.23 -4% -1 100.00

Inox Leisure 0.00 0.00 NA 0 0.00

PVR 0.00 0.00 NA 0 0.00

Sun TV Network 0.05 0.04 -21% -1 15.62

Zee Entertainment 0.19 0.19 0% 0 80.18

Cash 0.00 0.01 NA 1 4.19

Source: Emkay Research

* Not under coverage: Equal Weight

High Conviction/Strong Over Weight High Conviction/Strong Under Weight

Sector portfolio NAV

Base Latest

1-Apr-19 13-Aug-20 11-Feb-21 12-May-21 13-Jul-21 12-Aug-21

EAP - Media & Entertainment 100.0 45.7 59.5 54.3 59.1 52.4

BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF) 100.0 41.1 53.7 49.3 53.7 47.7

*Performance measurement base date 1st April 2019

Source: Emkay Research

Price Performance (%)

1m 3m 6m 12m

EAP - Media & Entertainment -11.3% -3.5% -11.9% 14.7%

BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF) -11.2% -3.4% -11.2% 15.9%

Source: Emkay Research

NAV chart

Source: Emkay Research

Please see our model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Nifty

Please see our model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): SMID

“Emkay Alpha Portfolio – SMID and Nifty are a supporting document to the Emkay Alpha

Portfolios Report and is updated on regular intervals”

25

41

57

73

89

105

Apr-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Aug-21

NAV

EAP - Media & Entertainment BSE200 Neutral Weighted Portfolio (ETF)

Analyst: Naval Seth

Contact Details

[email protected]

+91 22 6624 2414

Sector

Consumer Durables, Media &

Entertainment, SMID and Telecom

Analyst bio

Naval holds an MBA in Finance and has

more than 13 years of experience in

equity research. His team currently

covers 19 stocks spread across three

different sectors.

Sun TV Network (SUNTV IN) India Equity Research | Result Update

Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

August 16, 2021| 10

Emkay Rating Distribution

Ratings Expected Return within the next 12-18 months.

BUY Over 15%

HOLD Between -5% to 15%

SELL Below -5%

Completed Date: 16 Aug 2021 11:18:42 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 16 Aug 2021 11:19:42 (SGT)

Sources for all charts and tables are Emkay Research unless otherwise specified.

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